Vanguard Economic and Market Outlook for 2024

[WhatsHisNuts]

https://www.vanguard.ca/content/dam/intl/americas/canada/en/documents/ISGVEMOG_122023_CA_secure.pdf

• Monetary Policy will bare it's teeth in 2024 (written before 12/13???)
• Zero interest rates are yesterday's news
• A return to sound money
• Bonds are back
• Higher rates leave equities over valued

Higher interest rates are here to stay. Even after policy rates recede from their cyclical peaks, in the decade ahead rates will settle at a higher level than we’ve grown accustomed to since the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC). This development ushers in a return to sound money, and the implications for the global economy and financial markets will be profound. Borrowing and savings behavior will reset, capital will be allocated more judiciously, and asset class return expectations will be recalibrated. Vanguard believes that a higher interest rate environment will serve investors well in achieving their long-term financial goals, but the transition may be bumpy.

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

2024 1st Quarter Info:

VTSAX (Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund) +10.32% YTD
S&P 500: +10.79% YTD
DOW: +0.12% YTD
NASDAQ: +10.93% YTD

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

2024 1st half Info:

VTSAX (Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund) +14.95% YTD
S&P 500: +16.72% YTD
DOW: +4.47% YTD
NASDAQ: +22.25% YTD

 

[Smitty]

2024 1st half Info:

VTSAX (Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund) +14.95% YTD
S&P 500: +16.72% YTD
DOW: +4.47% YTD
NASDAQ: +22.25% YTD

clearly the economy is in shambles. i know, because faux news said so.

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

2024 YTD Info:

VTSAX (Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund) +27.6%
S&P 500: +26.86% YTD
DOW: +16.29% YTD
NASDAQ: +32.74% YTD

 

[ageecee]

2024 YTD Info:

VTSAX (Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund) +27.6%
S&P 500: +26.86% YTD
DOW: +16.29% YTD
NASDAQ: +32.74% YTD

Those are pretty sweet returns