WC2018 хорошо !

[Snafu]

that went as planned :0003

1st period corners: 1 , second period 9...


2-1 +5.00u

I'm gonna stick with Iceland though line moved first against them and now is heavily favoring them.
After all they finished above Croatia when they played quals in same group (W1-0 and L0-2):

Iceland pk -103 4u
to win +182 2u
O2 -102 4u

cards: O2? -150 4u
Nigeria has taken quite a lot cards in competitive matches. And Iceland isn't shy playing harsh either.


about tomorrows Germany - Sweden match, three swedish players didn't travel with team and very likely won't play: Pontus Jansson, Filip Helander and Marcus Rohden. Jansson (d) was only one in opening eleven against SK.

based on this, early play Germany -1 -111 4u

 

[BASON]

Like you said, easy money!!

 

[Snafu]

well, that didn't go so well. Iceland had good first half but Nigeria had Musa who individually turned this match to Nigeria, great goals. Shame that Iceland missed pk too...

2-4 -7.12u

Swizz had great quals and missed top spot to Portugal in last match and goal difference.
I guess this is excepted to worst snooze fest so far...

Switzerland to win +203 2u
pk +108 4u
O2 -109 3u
cards U3? -120 3u
cards Serbia -? +110 2u

:toast:

 

[Snafu]

37-44 -9.82u
6-5 +2.86u

good finish for the day, shame that iceland was that bad

Germany -1 -111 4u
swedens team has some kind of stomach flue

i don't get Mexico -140 line at all, imo it should be like -200...
Mexico to win -140 5u
Mexico -1? +209 2u
Mexico tt 1st half O? -111 3u

edit:
Croatia coach said they are gonna rest all players that have been booked when Croatia plays Iceland next tuesday.
Iceland to win is just +228 :SIB

 

[Snafu]

Saturday

Tunis and South Korea were just utterly bad. Yes they run a lot and try hard but it doesn't change anything. Their combined shots on goal in first matches was.... wait for it .... one. And that was penalty by Tunis.


Belgium
-1 -160 5u
-1? 2u +124 3u

card count: Tunis -? -120 3u

Belgium
Mexico
--------------------
+134 5u


15u on Mexico, they better get result here....


AND Mexico line keeps rising, now -133... :scared

 

[Snafu]

1st half over and i'm placing that 1st period Mexico tt O? to

South Korea or draw +300 3u

:0008

 

[Snafu]

they just HAD to let that one in

today so far 6-2 +21.42 :0074

late match, i really don't trust neither team one bit at the moment but based on Swedens performance vs SK and Germanys situation in group, i'm gonna count Germans to get it done.

pending
Germany
-1 -111 4u
-1? +163 2u
-2 +270 1u

U2? +128 2u

corners U10 +100 2u

btw ref is Polish Marciniak S. , imo lean to Germans.

 

[Snafu]

Germany looks like shit, players don't care, they are one step behind even when having ball possession.

If ?zil or Khedira comes in Sweden has won...

passing live plays and hoping U2? and corners to hold and minimize damage.


ok, small play Sweden clean sheet +240 2u

 

[Snafu]

today 6-7-1 +12.42u
W C 43-51 +2.60u

sunday has some interesting matches, England should roll over Panama, Japan match might be a shootout and last one snooze fest where both needs a win.

i have this earlier play pending:
Colombia to qualify : +162 5u

adding group plays:

Japan NOT TO QUALIFY +135 3u

Senegal TO WIN GROUP +113 3u

this scenario breaks down if Japan wins tomorrow...

 

[Snafu]

a few early ones to SK - Germany match

O3 -136 4u

Germany
-1? -200 5u
-2? +125 3u

:toast:

 

[Snafu]

England - Panama, it's like Arsenal playing any bottom table team.
You just have that underlying feeling that they will fuck it up. Wasn't that far away in England's first match vs Tunis where they scored lucky winner at 92min.

But luckily if Panama would be playing in english soccer system they wouldn't be playing EPL :mj07:

So, it's like Wenger's Arsenal's cup match vs 2nd league team. What could go wrong :shrug:


ht/ft England/England -150 3u

England tt O2 -124 4u

1st half O1 -124 3u

corners O9? -125 3u

 

[Snafu]

3-1 +6.25u


Senegal to win +171 2u
O2 -108 3u

cards Japan O1? -110 3u

:toast:

 

[Snafu]

Colombia shouldn't have problem tearing this monkeying bunch apart in their last match...

showcase of asian vs african mentality and team work. i think Japanese even won head balls ?

5-2 +10.25u

Poland - Colombia
simple, loser is out and with a draw both teams have slim chances to qualify.
I think it takes two goal win in last match ?

enough pending for Columbia to qualify so let's go with props:

1st half O1 +122 2u
BTTS 1st half YES +450 2u
Colombia tt O1? +133 2u
Colombia corners -1? +100 2u


:toast:

 

[Snafu]

sunday 6-4-1 +8.91u
W C 49-55 +11.51u

Poland was close to score in 1st but noup... little loss there. But other than that :0074

Senegals defence "line" vs this attack ?

Colombia -110 10 to win Senegal
Colombia -1? +230 3u

I hope Poland was humiliated enough to bring decent performance (at least a draw) vs Japan...
before games started i didn't really think i would be hoping something like that :142smilie

 

[Snafu]

quite awful selection of games tomorrow...

i'm pretty sure Spain & Portugal is most played parlay tomorrow :0002

playing four draws

SA/E +260
U/R +210
I/P +280
S/M +400

parlaying them as 2 and 3 teamers, ?u each = 5u .

four snooze fests coming up. haven't seen lineups but some teams might be resting their booked players.

might add some props but most likely not...

:0008

 

[Snafu]

so, after 1st group finished B-groups winner plays Russia and second Uruguay. I think both Spain and Portugal are interested not to play Uruguay... Both teams also need "fair play points" in case they finish with same goal difference, now both 4-3.


Spain -1? +124 3u
corners Spain -3 -111 3u

Portugal -1? +160 3u
corners Portugal -2? -125 3u
bookings U3? +110 2u

 

[Snafu]

damn IE jinxing that Saudi Arabia match last second goal :mj07:

would have been sweet pay out with third draw (quickly calculated in my head +50u)

parlay paid 3.8x5.0x?u-5u = +4?u

2-3 +2.50u
W C 51-58 +14.01u


i think i'm gonna play hefty amount on Argentina, it's kind of win-win because i would be happy to see them going home... hard yet to say about other matches.

 

[Snafu]

^sorry IE, it was brilliant call, don't get me wrong. but you know
how it goes when one guy goes against mainstream :toast:


tuesday

France and Denmark are happy with a draw and that's exactly what i except from this match, but odds
are just ridiculous. Australia still has shot vs eliminated Peru.


Australia to win +220 3u
1st half Australia -? +295 2u
1st half O1 +103 3u

will there be a red card YES +482 1u
bookings O3? +100 3u
ref is Russian Karasev who isn't shy with cards and front of the home crowd might put up a card show...
http://worldreferee.com/referee/karasev

France - Denmark
BTTS ? NO -130 2u
corners Denamrk +1? +118 2u

:toast:

i just have to add this:
Champions league quals are on their way and tonight two possibly not the strongest favorites to win CL meet in San Marino. La Fiorita has not lost in 26 matches AND they have scored in each one of them, Red Imps aren't shy scoring and allowing goals either:
EUROPE: Champions League - Preliminary - Semi-finals
La Fiorita (San) - Lincoln Red Imps (Gib) O2? +100

:142smilie

 

[Snafu]

3-3-1 +1.36u


Australia, goal attempts 14, shots on goal 2, goals 0
Peru goal attempts 4, shots on goal 3, goals 2

should have known better :mj07:

i don't escept Croatia to start backing up even when they are playing with "B" team:
will not play (source soccerstand)
Brozovic M.(Yellow Cards)
Corluka V.(Coach's decision)
Kalinic N.(Coach's decision)
Mandzukic M.(Coach's decision)
Rakitic I.(Coach's decision)
Rebic A.(Coach's decision)
Vrsaljko S.(Coach's decision

those guys who are now in line up want's to show what they have and i don't think it would be good
idea from coach to start altering their tactics but play these "new" guys too as team has played before.

Croatia to win -115 2u
Croatia tt O1? +115 3u

Argentina to win -198 2u <-suicidal line...
Argentina -1 -124 2u
Argentina win to nil +172 2u
correct score Argentina 1 - 0 Nigeria +800 1u
cards Nigeria O2? -125 3u

 

[BigGaycapper]

3-3-1 +1.36u


Australia, goal attempts 14, shots on goal 2, goals 0
Peru goal attempts 4, shots on goal 3, goals 2

should have known better :mj07:

i don't escept Croatia to start backing up even when they are playing with "B" team:
will not play (source soccerstand)
Brozovic M.(Yellow Cards)
Corluka V.(Coach's decision)
Kalinic N.(Coach's decision)
Mandzukic M.(Coach's decision)
Rakitic I.(Coach's decision)
Rebic A.(Coach's decision)
Vrsaljko S.(Coach's decision

those guys who are now in line up want's to show what they have and i don't think it would be good
idea from coach to start altering their tactics but play these "new" guys too as team has played before.

Croatia to win -115 2u
Croatia tt O1? +115 3u

Argentina to win -198 2u <-suicidal line...
Argentina -1 -124 2u
Argentina win to nil +172 2u
correct score Argentina 1 - 0 Nigeria +800 1u
cards Nigeria O2? -125 3u

Thanks for all your plays I have enjoyed the WC so far. Quick question with not much time to respond but would it not make sense for Croatia to flop on this game just to keep a power house team like Argentina out of the knockout rounds? :shrug: