Wednesday service plays 10/1/08
- Thread starter Aflacc
- Start date
Dave M@linsky
10/1/2008
3* PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (**SERIES**)-175 over Milwaukee Brewers (**SERIES**)
The Brewers are a most fragile item heading into playoffs. Instead of being a confident side that has the momentum of achieving a post-season berth, they did not play well at all down the stretch, merely riding the massive shoulders of C. C. Sabathia to get here. Note that they were 6-14 in the last 20 games that were not started by Sabathia, and that with Ben Sheets injured, and without a closer that they can rely on under this pressure, the pitching is a mess. Yovani Gallardo becomes the go-to guy for the opener, despite only having thrown 67 pitches since May 1st, a four-inning stint vs. the weak Pirate offense last week. Then, of course, it becomes C. C. time again, but on Thursday he will be pitching on three days rest for the 4th straight time, including an exhausting 122 pitches vs. the Cubs under that intense Sunday pressure. The Phillies bring a 13-3 run into this series, and can make things happen in so many ways, not just with the lumber on offense, but that terrific 136-161 in stolen base opportunities. We believe that will be the biggest factor in this series, as they run a mediocre (outside of Sabathia) pitching staff ragged, and it would not be a surprise at all if this one ended quickly. They dominated the Brewers by a commanding 26-10 in a four-game home sweep in September, and this picks up right where that left off.
4* LOS ANGELES ANGELS(**SERIES**)-125 over Boston Red Sox (**SERIES**)
If you win 100 games during the regular season, despite playing through a slew of injuries that likely prevented several more W?s from being added, and have the home field advantage, you should be favored by significantly more than the Angels are for this series. But the magic of the Red Sox name rears its head again, even though they bring significant issues to the table this time. Instead of Josh Beckett being the horse that Boston will ride in the post-season, we will not see him until game #3 at the earliest, and his effectiveness is an issue. J. D. Drew and Mike Lowell? Also cloudy pictures. And it absolutely must be factored in just what the home field disadvantage means to a team that was 56-25 in Fenway Park this season, but just 39-42 on the road. But even Fenway is not the usual advantage, with the Angels going 5-1 there this season, part of an 8-1 head-to-head in which seven of those wins came by multiple runs. The better team in this price range is impossible to pass up.
10/1/2008
3* PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (**SERIES**)-175 over Milwaukee Brewers (**SERIES**)
The Brewers are a most fragile item heading into playoffs. Instead of being a confident side that has the momentum of achieving a post-season berth, they did not play well at all down the stretch, merely riding the massive shoulders of C. C. Sabathia to get here. Note that they were 6-14 in the last 20 games that were not started by Sabathia, and that with Ben Sheets injured, and without a closer that they can rely on under this pressure, the pitching is a mess. Yovani Gallardo becomes the go-to guy for the opener, despite only having thrown 67 pitches since May 1st, a four-inning stint vs. the weak Pirate offense last week. Then, of course, it becomes C. C. time again, but on Thursday he will be pitching on three days rest for the 4th straight time, including an exhausting 122 pitches vs. the Cubs under that intense Sunday pressure. The Phillies bring a 13-3 run into this series, and can make things happen in so many ways, not just with the lumber on offense, but that terrific 136-161 in stolen base opportunities. We believe that will be the biggest factor in this series, as they run a mediocre (outside of Sabathia) pitching staff ragged, and it would not be a surprise at all if this one ended quickly. They dominated the Brewers by a commanding 26-10 in a four-game home sweep in September, and this picks up right where that left off.
4* LOS ANGELES ANGELS(**SERIES**)-125 over Boston Red Sox (**SERIES**)
If you win 100 games during the regular season, despite playing through a slew of injuries that likely prevented several more W?s from being added, and have the home field advantage, you should be favored by significantly more than the Angels are for this series. But the magic of the Red Sox name rears its head again, even though they bring significant issues to the table this time. Instead of Josh Beckett being the horse that Boston will ride in the post-season, we will not see him until game #3 at the earliest, and his effectiveness is an issue. J. D. Drew and Mike Lowell? Also cloudy pictures. And it absolutely must be factored in just what the home field disadvantage means to a team that was 56-25 in Fenway Park this season, but just 39-42 on the road. But even Fenway is not the usual advantage, with the Angels going 5-1 there this season, part of an 8-1 head-to-head in which seven of those wins came by multiple runs. The better team in this price range is impossible to pass up.
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WILD BILL
1st Round NL & AL Divisional Series
Red Sox +110 (5 units)
Cubs -210 (1 unit)
Phils -150 (1 unit)
White Sox (2 units)
WILD BILL
1st Round NL & AL Divisional Series
Red Sox +110 (5 units)
Cubs -210 (1 unit)
Phils -150 (1 unit)
White Sox (2 units)
Bob Barf/Balfe;
Major League Baseball
Phillies -1.5 runs over Brewers +111
Hamels/Gallardo
Angels -125 over Redsox
Lackey/Lester
Major League Baseball
Phillies -1.5 runs over Brewers +111
Hamels/Gallardo
Angels -125 over Redsox
Lackey/Lester
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Bob Akmens
10* Boise St.
Bob Akmens
10* Boise St.
Big Al McMordie
Los Angeles over Boston in the Playoff Series
Boston will hand the ball in Game 1 to Jon Lester, but Lester has struggled in his career vs. the Angels, compiling a 7.78 ERA, with a 2.14 WHIP and .393 batting average against. And on the road this season, Lester had a 4.09 ERA compared to 2.49 at Fenway Park. These numbers certainly don't impress, and Boston will be hardpressed to overcome two starts by Lester in this short 5-game series. In Game 2, Daisuke Matsusaka will start for the Bosox, and his career numbers vs. Anaheim is even worse: 10.80 with a 1.80 WHIP, and a .350 batting average against. In Game 1, Angel manager Mike Scioscia will turn to John Lackey, who is 2-0 in two starts this season vs. Boston, with a 2.81 ERA and 0.69 WHIP and .132 batting average against. Ervin Santana will start Game 2, and he's coming off a season in which he struck out 214 batters, the most by an Angel in 12 years, since Chuck Finley struck out 215 in 1996. The Angels had the best record in baseball this season, and have not gone through many droughts this year. And Boston will find life difficult in the post-season without superstar Manny Ramirez.
PLAY ANGELS IN THE SERIES.
Los Angeles over Boston in the Playoff Series
Boston will hand the ball in Game 1 to Jon Lester, but Lester has struggled in his career vs. the Angels, compiling a 7.78 ERA, with a 2.14 WHIP and .393 batting average against. And on the road this season, Lester had a 4.09 ERA compared to 2.49 at Fenway Park. These numbers certainly don't impress, and Boston will be hardpressed to overcome two starts by Lester in this short 5-game series. In Game 2, Daisuke Matsusaka will start for the Bosox, and his career numbers vs. Anaheim is even worse: 10.80 with a 1.80 WHIP, and a .350 batting average against. In Game 1, Angel manager Mike Scioscia will turn to John Lackey, who is 2-0 in two starts this season vs. Boston, with a 2.81 ERA and 0.69 WHIP and .132 batting average against. Ervin Santana will start Game 2, and he's coming off a season in which he struck out 214 batters, the most by an Angel in 12 years, since Chuck Finley struck out 215 in 1996. The Angels had the best record in baseball this season, and have not gone through many droughts this year. And Boston will find life difficult in the post-season without superstar Manny Ramirez.
PLAY ANGELS IN THE SERIES.
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Triple Threat Sports 777
Milw/Phil OVER 8.5
Triple Threat Sports 777
Milw/Phil OVER 8.5
LOUISIANA TECH (2 - 1) at BOISE ST (3 - 0) - 10/1/2008, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 72-44 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 72-44 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 55-34 ATS (+17.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 40-17 ATS (+21.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 40-17 ATS (+21.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 47-24 ATS (+20.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 48-26 ATS (+19.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 72-44 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 72-44 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 55-34 ATS (+17.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 40-17 ATS (+21.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 40-17 ATS (+21.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 47-24 ATS (+20.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 48-26 ATS (+19.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Pointwise Newsletter
BOISE STATE 45 - Louisiana Tech 14 - (7:00) -- Broncos a spectacular 19-3
ATS league HFs of <28 pts. QB Moore: 3 TDs & 386 yds in first start (upset of
powerful Oregon). Note a 227-38 RY, but Tech won't do much denting of Boise
"D". As a matter of fact, the Bulldogs have a 136-20 pt deficit in their last 3 RGs.
Pointwise Newsletter
BOISE STATE 45 - Louisiana Tech 14 - (7:00) -- Broncos a spectacular 19-3
ATS league HFs of <28 pts. QB Moore: 3 TDs & 386 yds in first start (upset of
powerful Oregon). Note a 227-38 RY, but Tech won't do much denting of Boise
"D". As a matter of fact, the Bulldogs have a 136-20 pt deficit in their last 3 RGs.
Pick logic
Pick logic
Game: Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels
Sport: Major League Baseball
Date: Wednesday, October 1, 2008
Time: 7:05 PM Pacific time
Selection: Los Angeles Angels, -126
Remember: PickLogic baseball picks are NOT dependent on any specific pitchers; if at all possible, be sure to specify this when you're placing your bet.
A few notes to keep in mind:
If the line moves up or down (from -150 to -160 or -140), you should still take the game. The ONLY time you should disregard the selection is if the line moves over -200.
The wager amount specified is what you should RISK, not what you're trying to win. If the bet amount is $100 and the line is -130, you're risking $100 to win around $77. If the line was +120, you're betting $100 to win $120.
Good luck!
The PickLogic Team
Pick logic
Game: Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels
Sport: Major League Baseball
Date: Wednesday, October 1, 2008
Time: 7:05 PM Pacific time
Selection: Los Angeles Angels, -126
Remember: PickLogic baseball picks are NOT dependent on any specific pitchers; if at all possible, be sure to specify this when you're placing your bet.
A few notes to keep in mind:
If the line moves up or down (from -150 to -160 or -140), you should still take the game. The ONLY time you should disregard the selection is if the line moves over -200.
The wager amount specified is what you should RISK, not what you're trying to win. If the bet amount is $100 and the line is -130, you're risking $100 to win around $77. If the line was +120, you're betting $100 to win $120.
Good luck!
The PickLogic Team
Lance's Lock
Overall record: 672-565-24
Current streak: 1 win
Todays play: The over 8' Red Sox/Angels game
Overall record: 672-565-24
Current streak: 1 win
Todays play: The over 8' Red Sox/Angels game
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The Sportsreporter Newsletter
QUIT POSTING SPORTS REPORTER PLAYS AND INFO
The Sportsreporter Newsletter
QUIT POSTING SPORTS REPORTER PLAYS AND INFO
- Nov 28, 2007
- 8,587
- 18
- 0
- Nov 28, 2007
- 8,587
- 18
- 0
ROQQIN RIQ ALSO HAS A SMALL PLAY ON UNDER IN HTE BOISE ST GAME....TIE THE 2 GAMES INTO A REVERSE IF YOU CAN AND COLLECT 4 TO 1 FOR YOUR MONEY LIKE I AM GONNA...HUGE PROFITS...:00hour :toast:
Big Al Mcmordie
Boston Red Sox vs. LAA Angels (MLB)
Play: Total: 8.5/105 Over
At 10:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the 'over' in the Angels/Red Sox game. John Lackey will take the mound for Anaheim, and he's struggled in his September starts, posting an 8.14 ERA in four outings. And his numbers at home this year have been worse than on the road, as he's 5-3 in 12 home starts, with a 4.29 ERA (compared to a 3.23 road ERA). Jon Lester has gotten bombed by the Angels this year (7.20 ERA; .429 batting average against). Take the 'over'.
Boston Red Sox vs. LAA Angels (MLB)
Play: Total: 8.5/105 Over
At 10:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the 'over' in the Angels/Red Sox game. John Lackey will take the mound for Anaheim, and he's struggled in his September starts, posting an 8.14 ERA in four outings. And his numbers at home this year have been worse than on the road, as he's 5-3 in 12 home starts, with a 4.29 ERA (compared to a 3.23 road ERA). Jon Lester has gotten bombed by the Angels this year (7.20 ERA; .429 batting average against). Take the 'over'.
