Wednesday Service Plays 3/12

YTownGambler

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INDIAN COWBOY


ST. LOUIS vs DAYTON

Play: Dayton -5.5

Only early game on the card

Three night plays will be posted later
 

YTownGambler

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Kelso


5 units Villanova +2 v. Syracuse

4 units Central Mich -6 v. N Ill

3 units St. Joes -7.5 v. Fordham
 

YTownGambler

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BURNS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL


SETON HALL
Game: Seton Hall vs. Marquette Game Time: 3/12/2008 9:20:00 PM Prediction: Seton Hall *Contrarian GOW

FORDHAM
Game: Fordham vs. St. Josephs Game Time: 3/12/2008 2:20:00 PM Prediction: Fordham *A-10 GOY

VILLANOVA
Game: Syracuse vs. Villanova Game Time: 3/12/2008 12:00:00 PM Prediction: Villanova *Main Event
 

YTownGambler

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Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball

Knicks -1.5 over Heat

College Basketball

Fordham +8 over St. Joes

Providence/West Virginia Over 138
 

YTownGambler

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Larry Ness

Rhode Island -1.5 vs Charlotte

Analysis:

Are the Rams dead? I guess one could argue so. On Jan 2 Rhode Island was 14-1 and ranked No. 22 in the nation but lost at No. 17 Dayton, 92-83. The Rams won the rematch with the Flyers on Feb 2 (82-70) and looked like an NCAA 'lock' at 19-3. Then the 'bottom' fell out. Rhode Island finished the year on a 2-7 slide (1-6-1 ATS) and only a A-10 tourney title will get the Rams 'dancing' this year. However, I'm sticking up for Jim Baron's team and give them a great shot to win the A-10 tourney. Let's take a closer look at the team's 2-7 'collapse.' The Rams lost a two-point game at U Mass and suffered a three-point OT loss at Temple. In close home losses to Xavier and St Joe's, the Rams saw the Musketeers shoot 54.0 percent and the Hawks shoot 62.2 percent. Are you kidding me? Baron's an excellent coach and in his son Jim (13.9) and Bitee (12.0-4.5 APG), he's got an excellent guard duo. In the 6-8 Daniels (18.8-6.7) he's got one of the A-10's best forwards. Also, Rhode Island's frontcourt is the deepest in the league, with the 6-8 Seawright (9.3-8.4), swingman Cothran (7.7), the 6-6 Ulmer (7.3-4.9) and the 6-6 Mbang (6.5-4.7) all joining Daniels. Charlotte cannot match that type of depth or talent in its frontcourt with the 6-7 Mack (12.9-5.1), the 6-7 Coley (8.5-5.7), 6-6 freshman Wilderness (8.4-4.9) and the 6-10 Jones (3.4-3.1) trying to keep up. Goldwire (18.8-4.4) is a terrific guard and four other perimeter players combine for just under 20 PPG, giving Charlotte and edge in depth on the perimeter. However, Charlotte depends way too much on its three-point shooting, owning the lowest percentage of two-point scoring in the entire conference. Case in point was last Saturday's season-finale for both teams, when the 49ers won in Kingston over the Rams, 74-64. In that game, Charlotte made 12-of-25 three pointers with Goldwire scoring 34 points (6-of-13 on three pointers) and Mack scoring 19 points (6-of-7 on three pointers. Meanwhile, the Rams shot an abysmal 33.9 percent for the game, including 3-of-21 from behind the three-point line. Jim Baron likely couldn't have hand-picked a better opponent for his team's first game in this "must-win" tourney. Can Rhode Island "run the table?" That's for later. For now, expect the Rams to return the favor from last Saturday, winning by 10 points or more!

A-10 Tourney GOY 20* Rhode Island.
 

YTownGambler

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Rocky Atkinson

California -1.5 vs Washington


Analysis:

California is 6-1 ATS on Wednesday last 3 years. California is scoring 77.5 points per game overall this year. Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Wednesday games. CALIFORNIA is 15-5 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. CALIFORNIA is 14-5 ATS in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons. CALIFORNIA is 13-5 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons. CALIFORNIA is 7-1 ATS in road games after 3 consecutive conference games this season. CALIFORNIA is 7-1 ATS in road games after one or more consecutive overs this season. CALIFORNIA is 23-10 ATS in road games off a road loss against a conference rival since 1997. CALIFORNIA is 22-10 ATS in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997. CALIFORNIA is 15-5 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog since 1997. CALIFORNIA is 30-16 ATS in road games after playing a game as a road underdog since 1997.
CALIFORNIA is 9-2 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. CALIFORNIA is 12-4 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 2 seasons. CALIFORNIA is 9-1 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 5-15 ATS off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog since 1997. California really played good ball in their final 2 games despite 2 straight up losses. The dropped one at Southern Cal by only 4 points and then went into UCLA to lose by only 1 in a game they should have won SU. We'll play California for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
 

the duke

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Dr Bob

St. Louis (+5 ?) over Dayton
La Salle (+7) over Duquesne

ONLY OPINIONS
 

the duke

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WINNING POINTS


**PREFERRED
Saint Louis over Dayton by 1
SAINT LOUIS, 59-58.

**PREFERRED
Rhode Island over Charlotte by 14
Seed this! RHODE ISLAND, 75-61.


**PREFERRED
Southern Miss over Rice by 17
SOUTHERN MISS, 69-52.


St. Joseph?s over Fordham by 10
ST. JOSEPH?S, 68-58


Duquesne over LaSalle by 9
DUQUESNE, 78-69.


Tulsa over East Carolina by 7
TULSA, 71-64.


UTEP over SMU by 12
UTEP, 67-55


Marshall over Tulane by 1
MARSHALL, 67-66


Wyoming over Colorado State by 4
WYOMING, 62-57


Cal-Irvine over Long Beach State by 9
CAL-IRVINE, 71-62


Arizona over Oregon State by 17
ARIZONA, 73-56.


California over Washington by 8
 

Real Deal

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Any Root or Lovell today? Thanks.

Brandon Lovell

Wednesday, March 12, 2008
DOUBLE YOUR WAGER
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
GAME OF THE YEAR!
 

the duke

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BIG AL ( Cold as of late from what I read....)


At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over Houston. 5* NBA Game of the Month on Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.


At 9 pm, in the Championship game of the Big Sky Tourney, our selection is on the Portland State Vikings over Northern Arizona. Big Sky Conference Game of the Year on Portland State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.


At 8:50 pm, our selection is on the Rhode Island Rams over Charlotte. Atlantic 10 Tourney Game of the Year on Rhode Island. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.


Write ups




At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over Houston, as Atlanta falls into several super systems of mine, including one that is 32-6 ATS since 1998 which plays on certain home dogs of +2 or more points off a SU/ATS loss vs. foes off 4+ SU/ATS wins. With Atlanta in off 5 SU/ATS losses, and Houston in off 11 SU/ATS wins, the Hawks fall into our 32-6 system. Also, the home team is a strong 20-6-2 ATS in this series since 1992, including 10-1 ATS off a loss and also 10-1 ATS vs. its foe if that foe is off a SU/ATS win. The Houston Rockets have been without center Yao Ming for some time now, but one of the reasons there hasn't been a drop-off has been the solid play of rookie Carl Landry (who leads all rookies this season in Player Efficiency Rating (PER)). However, Landry will miss tonight's game and that will hurt Houston. All good things must come to an end, and tonight, it's Houston's win streak. 5* NBA Game of the Month on Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al ** ***. And don't miss my College Winners tonight, as I'm 35-11 since last year in March Madness (ranked #1 in 2007).


At 9 pm, in the Championship game of the Big Sky Tourney, our selection is on the Portland State Vikings over Northern Arizona. Both teams received byes into the Tourney semi-finals by virtue of being the top 2 seeds, so the road to the Championship game was as easy as it gets, with each team needing to win just one game. But teams not favored by more than 2 points are horrific in Title games after receiving a bye into the Semis, as they've covered just 20% of the time since 1991. This game will be played in Portland at the Rose Garden since the Vikings earned the #1 seed, and top-seeded home teams are a solid 75% ATS vs. winning teams in the Tourneys, if priced from -2.5 to -12 points. Big Sky Conference Game of the Year on Portland State. Good luck, as always...Al ** ***. And don't miss my 5* NBA Game of the Month today or my Atlantic 10 Tourney Game of the Year.


At 8:50 pm, our selection is on the Rhode Island Rams over Charlotte. Rhode Island started the year with 14 wins in its first 15 games, and was ranked in the Top 25. But the Rams finished 21-10, going 7-9 in its conference schedule. However, the beauty of the Tournaments is that it's a whole new season, and we often see re-births of teams that stumbled down the stretch. And one of the things that I like to do is play on revenging teams which are Pk'em or Favored off a pointspread loss to end the regular season. These teams are 71% ATS since 1991, and I have certain tighteners which boost our win percentage to 77% which apply to Rhode Island. The Rams fell 74-64 to Charlotte last week, so they play this game with revenge. Also, since 1992, favorites in the Atlantic 10 Tourney are 101-52 ATS, including 22-6 ATS off a straight-up and ATS loss, and then 9-0 ATS when playing with revenge off a SU/ATS loss. Atlantic 10 Tourney Game of the Year on Rhode Island.
 

the duke

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Insiders Sports Network

Guaranteed Selections

Date: Wednesday, March 12, 2008

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QUADRUPLE INSIDERS BIG EAST TOURNAMENT GAME OF THE YEAR
726 West Virginia -7.5 2:20 EST
 

the duke

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Winning Points Online

NCAAB

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 12

Pac 10 Tournament at Staples Center, LA
9 pm
**PREFERRED
California over Washington by 11

Losing the services of a forward is often a blessing in
disguise and usually elevates teams. It happens all
the time. Look at the Houston Rockets and Yao Ming.
When the big stiff is outta there, everyone can play
free and easy.

But there are exceptions to every rule. By all accounts,
Washington's leading scorer and rebounder Jon Brockman
will miss this game. Losing his inside dimension enhances
Cal's, which needs it, because their own big man Devon
Hardin is a stiff extraordinaire who can now be better than
average with a better trade-off in the match-up.

Cal is livid about having been jobbed against UCLA on
Saturday, but they have felt the sting of the loss and also
took the high road about it, which is good. They are looking
ahead to UCLA tomorrow, but not really looking ahead to
UCLA tomorrow if you get the drift. They figure to come out
on fire and the Pac 10 is an ultra-liberal league that believes
in round-robin, red-carpet treatment for all the needy and
afflicted, Cal qualifying on both counts.

CALIFORNIA 82-71
 

YTownGambler

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Mark Lawrence

100% Awesome Angle Conference Tourney Key Play!

Analysis: Play On: Rhode Island

Note: Rams take on the 49ers in an Atlantic 10 Conference opening round game Wednesday night at Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City. A quick look inside our database shows us Charlotte 1-6 ATS in opening round conference tourney games, and just 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games in this event. Worse yet, they are 0-6 SU and ATS in their last six games this tourney against winning teams. On the flip side, Rhode Island is 3-0 ATS in this tournament off a loss against an opponent off a SU and ATS win. The clincher, though, is an Awesome Angle that tells us to: Play Against any .666 or less team in a conference tournament in their first game that is off a SU underdog win versus a .615 or greater opponent off a SU favorite loss. We 'play against' these teams because they are 1-19 SU and 5-14-1 ATS, including 0-12 SU and 0-11-1 ATS if they are a favorite of dog of less than 8 points and the opponent is a off a loss of 3 or more points. With this game a 'right back revenge rematch' from the final game of the season in which Charlotte upset Rhode Island, 74-64 as a seven-point dog, look for the Rams to get their revenge here tonight.
 
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