Wednesday Service Plays 5/28/08

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Gator

MLB 70% Super Situations

MLB (15-8 +585) Wednesday: Play Over MLB (NL) teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest.
53-19 Over since 1997 (73.6%) PLAY: Houston / St Louis OVER 8.5 (-105)
 

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Jimmy The Moose comp

Game: Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies May 28 2008 7:05PM

Prediction: over

Reason: Colorado has played the over in 4 of their last 5 games. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. NL East opponents. The over is 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Philadelphia has played the over in 3 straight and 5 of their last 7 games. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 home games where they have been the favorite. The over is 5-1 in the Rockies last 6 trips to Philadelphia. The team's have also played the over in 5 of their last 6 meetings overall. Play the over.
 
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vegas steamline

Free Winner for Wednesday: Take NY METS w/ Perez -130 over Florida
 

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Ross Benjamin: Free Pick
Sport: MLB
Game: Yankees (Pettite) @ Baltimore (Guthrie)
Date/Time: 5/28/2008 7:05PM EST
Pick: Baltimore +115
Reason: Andy Pettite has not fared well in his 4 starts at Camden Yards since 2005 posting a lofty 6.41 ERA. The Baltimore starter Guthrie enters the game in good form off of his last 3 starts posting a 1.83 ERA. In 2 career starts at Camden Yards versus the Yankees Guthrie posted a 2.92 ERA and the Orioles were winners in both. Baltimore is 10-3 in home night games this season versus a right-handed starting pitcher. Play on Baltimore as my Wednesday night free selection.
 

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Jim Feist

Take "Over"

Examining walks is one way to gauge totals in baseball. In this game, Boston?s offense is very patient, trying to draw walks and get the opposing pitcher into a high pitch count. Notice that Seattle ace Erik Bedard has a 4.95 ERA against Boston, walking 33 in 60 innings. Red Sox knuckler Tim Wakefield has an ERA over 5 and is 3-8 in his career against Seattle, with 52 walks in 111 innings. Seattle is on a 6-1 run over the total. Play the Red Sox/Mariners Over the total!
 
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VEGAS EXPERTS FREE PLAY

Detroit Pistons at Boston Celtics
Wednesday, May 28th, 8:35 PM ET

Boston, who's own offense has been struggling mightily in these playoffs, allowed the Detroit attack to have its way in Monday's game. Now, it's time to turn things around. The Celtics have made it this far in this event with a stifling defense and they were embarrassed by the easy baskets Detroit was getting in the last game. There will be none of those tonight and Boston tightens up the passing lanes and flies to the perimeter. Detroit's defense won't make it easy for the Pistons either. Hence, another snorer.

Play on: Under
 
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Insider Sports Report

Cincinnati -135 over Pittsburgh (MLB)
 

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Hondo

May 28, 2008 -- Lincecum must really want that stall in Hondo's stable. The Giant ace came through again for Mr. Aitch, as he delivered in the desert last night to in crease the earnings to 405 tasbys.

Tonight, he is going Coastal with Happy Halladay - 10 units Joakim Noah's favorite team, the Jays
 

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Carlo Campanella

Game: New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles May 28 2008 7:05PM

Prediction: Baltimore Orioles

Reason: The Yankees are road Favorites in Baltimore on Wednesday as they start Pettitte on the mound, but we'll back the home Dog in this affair. NY is just 1-2 during his last 3 trips to the mound and he's been shelled for 10 Earned Runs in just 16 Innings Pitched during those three starts. With Yanks struggling to an 11-14 road record this season, doubt their 3.7 runs per game away from home will be enough run support for Pettitte to earn the victory...Solid ATTACK DOG here.

7* Play On Baltimore
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE

(2) Detroit (10-5, 9-6 ATS) at (1) Boston (10-8, 7-11 ATS)
The Pistons, who bounced back from a Game 3 home loss to win Game 4 on Monday and even this best-of-7 series, travel back to the TD Banknorth Garden for the critical Game 5 battle with the Celtics.
Detroit kept Boston at arm?s length for the first three quarters Monday night, then pulled away late in the fourth for a 94-75 rout as a six-point home chalk. Antonio McDyess surprisingly led the Pistons with 21 points and 16 rebounds, while Richard Hamilton added 20 points as a total of five Pistons reached double figures. Meanwhile, the Celtics? Big Three of Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Ray Allen shot a dismal 11-for-38 from the floor (28.9 percent), combining for 43 points.
Detroit is 14-5 SU and 13-6 ATS in its last 19 starts going back to the regular season. As for the Boston, it finished the regular season on an 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS tear, but the Celtics have been wildly inconsistent in the playoffs, never winning or losing more than three games in a row. Also, the C?s are just 2-7 at the betting window in their last nine games.
Boston still leads the season series 4-3 SU and ATS, and the straight-up winner has cashed in seven straight meetings in this rivalry. Also, despite Detroit?s win and cover in Game 4, the road team is still 9-3 ATS in the last 12 clashes between these two, and the underdog has cashed in 12 of the last 17 contests.
The Pistons are on positive ATS runs of 8-1 as an underdog of five to 10? points, 5-2-1 as a playoff ?dog of that same price, 5-1 after a double-digit victory, 7-2 on one day of rest and 9-4 against teams with a winning percentage above .600. On the flip side, though, Detroit is on a 3-13 ATS slide in conference finals games and is 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road pup and 0-4 ATS in its last four after a SU win.
The Celtics, who snapped their 0-6 postseason road losing streak in Game 3 after suffering their first playoff home loss in Game 2, are still 12-4 ATS in their last 16 at the Garden, 7-1 ATS in their last eight at home against teams with a winning road record and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after a double-digit loss. However, Boston is mired in pointspread funks of 1-6 laying five to 10? points, 1-7 laying that same price in the playoffs, 2-6 in the conference finals and 2-7 on one day of rest.
Monday?s Game 4 fell short of the 176-point total, running the red-hot ?under? streak in this rivalry to 10-2 in the last 12 clashes, including 7-1 in the last eight contests (3-1 in this playoff series) and 6-1 in the last seven clashes at the Garden.
Furthermore, for Detroit, the under is on streaks of 19-8 overall (10-5 in the playoffs), 21-8 against the Eastern Conference, 21-9 against the Atlantic Division and 21-8-1 in the conference finals. For Boston, the over is 7-2 in its last nine when laying five to 10? points, but the under is 7-2 in its last eight conference finals games and 19-8 in its last 27 against Central Division opponents.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
 

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS


NATIONAL LEAGUE

Houston (30-23) at St. Louis (30-23)
The Astros will send left-hander Wandy Rodriguez (1-0, 2.31 ERA) to the mound at Busch Stadium, while the Cardinals will counter with right-hander Adam Wainwright (4-2, 3.06) in the second game of a three-game set between these National League Central rivals.
Houston rolled to an 8-2 victory in Tuesday?s series opener, improving to 17-7 in its last 24 overall, including 5-2 in the last seven. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have followed up a 6-1 tear by dropping their last two, and they need to win the next two contests against the Astros to extend a streak that has seen St. Louis win three consecutive three-game series.
This is the third series this season between these two teams, and the Cardinals now hold a 4-3 edge after last night?s loss, splitting four contests at Busch Stadium. St. Louis is 4-0 all-time with Wainwright going against the Astros.
Rodriguez, who has three no-decisions among his four starts, is returning to the Astros? rotation after missing more than a month with a strained left groin. In his last outing, he allowed two runs on five hits in four innings, getting a no-decision in a 3-2 home loss to Colorado on April 19. Prior to that, he got the win in a 5-1 victory over Florida, allowing one run on five hits in seven innings on April 13.
Rodriguez was solid in an April 7 home start against St. Louis, throwing 7 1/3 innings of shutout ball, yielding just three hits and leaving with a 2-0 lead. But the bullpen gave up three runs in the ninth as the Cardinals rallied for a 3-2 victory. Rodriguez is 1-4 with a 5.25 ERA in seven career appearances (six starts) against St. Louis. Also, in his lone road start this year, he gave up four runs on eight hits in five innings in a 9-6 loss at San Diego on April 2.
Wainwright allowed one run on five hits in seven innings Friday en route to a 2-1 road victory over the Dodgers. That ended Wainwright?s four-week drought without a win, as he went 0-1 with three no-decisions in his previous five outings. But St. Louis is 7-3 this season behind Wainwright, who is 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA in five home starts, all Cardinals victories.
On April 26 against Houston, Wainwright threw a five-hit complete game, allowing three runs as St. Louis earned a 4-3 home win. The right-hander is 3-0 with a 2.41 ERA in 10 appearances (four career starts) against the Astros.
The Astros are on hot streaks of 6-1 versus the N.L. Central, 5-1 on Wednesdays, 11-3 against winning teams, 8-3 on the highway, 6-1 overall when Rodriguez starts, 6-0 when Rodriguez faces division rivals and 4-1 when Rodriguez works on the highway.
The Cardinals have now dropped five of their last six in N.L. Central play, but otherwise the trends are all positive, including 8-2 on Wednesday, 10-4 at home against winning teams and 13-6 against lefties. In addition, behind Wainwright, St. Louis has won six in a row at Busch, six in a row against winning teams and five of six against N.L. Central foes.
The under for Houston is 4-1 in Rodriguez?s last five starts, but the over is 10-1-1 in his last 12 road outings against winning teams and is 8-2-1 in his last 11 road starts overall. With Wainwright going, the over for St. Louis is 5-2-2 in division play, but the under is 11-4-1 with him going on four days? rest and 9-4-2 in his last 15 starts against winning teams.
Furthermore, for Houston, the under is on streaks of 7-3 overall, 8-3 in division games, 11-6-1 on the highway and 35-18-2 against winning teams. For the Cardinals, the under runs include 4-2 overall, 5-2-1 against winning teams and 5-2 vs. left-handed starters. Finally, even though last night?s contest jumped over the total, the under is still 6-2 in the last eight head-to-head meetings overall and 4-1 in the last five clashes at Busch Stadium.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS and UNDER



AMERICAN LEAGUE

Toronto (28-26) at Oakland (29-23)

Right-hander Roy Halladay (5-5, 3.11 ERA) will toe the slab for the Blue Jays in the second game of a three-game series against the Athletics, who are set to counter with righty Rich Harden (3-0, 2.93) at McAfee Coliseum.
The A?s extended their winning streak to five in a row while at the same time snapping Toronto?s five-game hot streak with Tuesday?s 3-1 victory. Oakland?s five-game streak comes on the heels of a 2-9 slump, and the A?s are now 14-5 in their last 19 home games.
Despite Tuesday?s setback the Blue Jays are still on an 11-4 tear, holding their last five opponents to three runs or fewer. In fact, Toronto has given up more than three runs only twice in the 11 victories during this 15-game stretch.
The A?s have owned this American League rivalry lately, winning the last five clashes, including a three-game sweep last month in Canada. Going back to last year, Oakland is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. However, the road team is still 11-3 in the last 14 head-to-head contests. In addition, the Jays are 2-5 in Halladay?s last seven starts in Oakland, and the A?s are 1-4 with Harden going against Toronto.
The Blue Jays have notched wins in three of Halladay?s last four starts, with the veteran ace hurling a complete-game gem Friday against Kansas City. Halladay yielded one run on four hits, with no walks and five strikeouts, as Toronto rolled 7-1 at home in Halladay?s third complete game of the year (2-1). The right-hander, preparing for his 11th start of the season, is 2-4 with a 3.40 ERA in six road starts (seven appearances) this season.
Halladay is 4-4 with a 5.35 ERA in 11 career starts against Oakland. In his lone outing against the A?s last season, he tossed nine innings, giving up four runs on seven hits and six walks, getting a no-decision as Oakland prevailed 5-4 at home in 11 innings.
Harden, who had a stint on the 15-day DL with a strained right shoulder following his first two starts of the season, has been lights out in his last two outings, giving up a total of three runs on eight hits and four walks with 16 strikeouts in 13 innings, beating Atlanta 5-4 and Boston 8-3. The A?s are 3-0 in Harden?s three starts since returning from the DL.
Harden is 2-0 with an exceptional 1.59 ERA in three home starts this season, but he?s 0-3 with a 5.59 ERA in five career starts against Toronto.
The Blue Jays remain on streaks of 6-2 on the highway, 7-4 against winning teams and 64-30 in Halladay?s last 94 starts overall. However, Toronto is 4-12 in Halladay?s last 16 road starts, 2-5 in the team?s last seven on Wednesday and 1-4 in the team?s last five versus the American League West.
The Athletics, who have won five in a row against the A.L. East after sweeping the Red Sox in Oakland last weekend, have been money when the oft-injured Harden has made it to the mound, posting runs of 38-15 overall, 24-8 at home and 4-1 against the A.L. East.
The under is 6-2 in Halladay?s last eight starts overall, 5-1 in his last six on the highway, 4-1 in his last five against the A.L. West and 5-0-1 in his last six in Oakland. Meanwhile, the under is 5-1 in Harden?s last six home starts against winning teams and 5-2 in his last seven on Wednesdays.
For Toronto, the under is 34-16-3 overall this season (6-2 last eight), including 19-8-1 on the road, and the under is 5-0 in its last four against the A.L. West. The under is also 6-2-1 in Oakland?s last nine on Wednesday. Conversely, in this rivalry, the over is 6-3-1 in the last 10 clashes overall and 6-2-1 in the last eight battles at the Coliseum, though Tuesday?s contest stayed well below the posted price.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OAKLAND
 

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Ben Burns' Eastern Conf. Finals GAME OF THE YEAR!!
I'm taking the points with DETROIT
 

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MR A's Wednesday, May 28th, 2008 8:10 p.m. est.
Minnesota Twins (26-25) at Kansas City Royals (21-31)
(R) Livan Hernandez (6-2) vs. (R) Zack Greinke (5-2)

Minnesota Twins will attempt to win their third straight when they square off against the struggling Kansas City Royals. Kansas City has lost nine straight and five of the last seven meetings against the Twins. They will send their ace Zack Greinke (5-2, 2.82 ERA), to the hill. The right-hander is coming off a dreadful start. He allowed six runs on nine hits over five innings in a 7-1 defeat to the Blue Jays last Friday. Greinke is 2-3 with a 3.65 ERA in eleven career appearances, (7 starts) versus the Twins. Take the Twins. Minnesota has won five of the last seven meetings in Kansas City and counters with Livan Hernandez (6-2, 4.22 ERA). The right-hander has pitched poorly in his last two starts, but has been successful against the Royals in his two career starts this season, 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA. Minnesota has won 8 of Hernandez?s last 11 starts.
 

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Lance's Lock


Overall record: 608-509-22

Current streak: 2 losses

Todays play: The PISTONS +5'
 

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Dave M@linsky comp 4* play


Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds

May 28, 2008 7:10PM

SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks

PICK: Cincinnati Reds

Offered at: -133

REASON FOR PICK: 4* CINCINNATI over PITTSBURGH
 
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Professional Gamblers Newsletter

Major League Baseball:
PHILLIES -155 over Rockies (Eaton-Reynolds) (OR -1.5 +128)
PIRATES +121 at Reds (Gorzelanny-Arroyo)
BREWERS -117 over Braves (Suppan-Reyes)
ASTROS +129 at Cardinals (Rodriguez-Wainwright)
GIANTS +149 at Diamondbacks (Sanchez-Davis)
PADRES -136 over Nationals (Estes-Perez) (OR -1.5 +161)
 

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Jeffmoney

We Have 2 Plays For Ya Today

(mlb) Padres -130 (pod)
(mlb) Orioles +120
 
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