Wednesday Service Plays 6/25/08

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Big Al

At 7:10pm our selection is on the Tampa Bay Rays and Florida Marlins 'over' the total. Injuries continue to devastate the young arms of the Florida Marlins pitching staff. Before this season even started, Josh Johnson, Sergio Mitre, and Anibel Sanchez were out of commission for the Marlins. One of the young guns picked to step in and fill the holes, righthander Burke Badenhop, just went on the DL with shoulder tendinitis. Enter 21-year-old righthander Ryan Tucker. Prior to this season, Tucker had never pitched above single A ball, and now he is being thrust into a starting role with the Major League club. And although Tucker is 2-1 in his first three starts, which certainly has to be considered a success, he also has given up sixteen hits and ten walks in sixteen innings so far with the Marlins. Tampa Bay's righthander James Shields has had a very eventful season so far in 2008. Shields has run the gamut from a complete game shutout to a suspension for a brawl, to some pretty ugly outings including a game in which he surrendered 10 hits and seven earned runs in less than four innings. And most importantly, Shields has some of the most one-sided home/away stats of any starter in baseball. This is an away game for the Rays and Shields and that is not a good situation for either of them. Shields is a disasterous 1-4 with a 6.99 ERA away from Tampa's Tropicana Field. The over is 14-3 (with 4 pushes) in the Marlins' last 21 interleague games, and 21-6-4 in their last 31 overall. Take the 'over'. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

 

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MLB
Write-up


Wednesday, June 25

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AL teams were 10-4 yesterday, are 109-76 against NL this year. Over is 67-70-7 since over last 12 days in interleague games.

Hot Pitchers
-- Wakefield has 2.75 RA in his last five starts.
-- Jays won three of last four Halladay home starts.
-- Cardinals won six of last seven Lohse starts. Tigers are 9-2 in Galarraga's starts, 4-1 at home.
-- Duke is 2-0, 2.70 in his last four starts; Pirates won five of his last six home outings. Chamberlain has 1.54 RA in his last two starts for Bronx- he still hasn't won in four starts.
-- Tucker is 2-1, 4.50 in his first three big league starts; the loss was 7-3 to Rays at the Trop (five runs in five IP).
-- Nationals won Redding's last eight starts. Santana is 3-1, 3.28 in his last five starts.
-- Cubs won Lilly's last three starts (1-0, 2.79).
-- Colorado won six of Cook's last eight road starts.
-- Phillies are 10-2 in Kendrick's last dozen starts. Smith has 2.73 RA in his last five home starts.
-- Padres won last six Maddux home starts. Minnesota is 5-2 in last seven Perkins starts.
-- Stults won his first start, at Cincinnati (three runs in six IP). White Sox won last five Floyd starts, scoring 45 runs.

Cold Pitchers
-- Braves lost last three Campillo starts (0-2, 4.12). Brewers lost four of last five Suppan road starts.
-- Zito is 1-3, 9.52 in his last four starts, but Giants have won his last three road starts. Sowers is 0-2, 6.66 in five starts in 2008.
-- Cincinnati lost Harang's last six road starts.
-- Rangers are 0-5 in Feldman's road starts.
-- Burres has 10.42 RA in his last five starts.
-- Arizona lost four of Johnson's five road starts.
-- Mets lost Maine's last three home starts (0-1, 6.23). Mariners are 1-5 in Batista's road starts this season.
-- Rays lost five of last six Shields road starts.
-- Hochevar is 1-4, 6.64 in his last seven starts.
-- Oswalt is 2-4, 5.56 in his last seven starts.

Hot Teams
-- Brewers won eight of their last nine games.
-- Pirates are 11-5 in their last sixteen home games.
-- Blue Jays scored 22 runs in winning last two games, after a seven-game losing streak that cost Gibbons his job.
-- Tigers won eight of their last ten home games. Cardinals won three of their last four games.
-- Marlins won six of their last nine home games.
-- Angels won 14 of their last 17 road games.
-- Mariners won first two games of series at Shea, outscoring the Mets 16-2.
-- Cubs are 14-1 in their last fifteen games at Wrigley.
-- Royals won nine of their last ten games.
-- Twins won their last seven games, allowing total of 13 runs.
-- Oakland won seven of its last ten games.

Cold Teams
-- Braves are 6-12 in their last 18 games.
-- Indians lost five of their last seven games.
-- Bronx lost three of its last four games.
-- Arizona is 7-18 in its last 25 road games. Red Sox lost three of their last five games.
-- Reds lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Rays lost seven of their last eleven road games.
-- Nationals are 5-17 in their last twenty-two home games.
-- Mets lost three of their last four games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last nine home games.
-- Orioles lost four of their last six road games.
-- Rockies lost their last three games, allowing 18 runs.
-- Padres lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Phillies lost six in row, eight of last nine games.
-- White Sox lost nine of their last ten road games. Dodgers lost

Totals
-- Five of seven Campillo starts stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Indian home games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Arizona games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-5-1 in Cardinals' last sixteen road games.
-- Five of last seven Cincinnati games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Florida games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Washington home games.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Mariners' last seven games.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven games at Minute Maid Park.
-- Four of last six Wrigley games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Kansas City home games went over total. .
-- Five of last seven Maddux home starts stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-2 in Phillies' last ten road games.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in Floyd's last five starts.

Umpires
-- Mil-Atl-- Underdog is 5-2 in last seven Cooper games.
-- SF-Clev-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Kulpa games.
-- Cin-Tor-- Underdog won last five Rapuano games; under is
5-2-1 in his last eight games behind plate.
-- Az-Bos-- Home team is 13-2 in Dimuro games, with favorites winning his last six games behind dish.
-- StL-Det-- Under is 13-1-2 in Bell games this season.
-- NY-Pitt-- Not enough info for ump Causey to give any help.
-- Sea-NY-- Over is 7-2-1 in Barry's last ten games.
-- TB-Fla-- Over is 10-4 in last 14 Darling games, with underdog winning four of his last five games behind plate.
-- LAA-Wsh-- Four of last five Fairchild games went over total.
-- Tex-Hst-- Seven of last nine Dreckman games went over.
-- Balt-Chi-- Favorite won last nine Hudson games.
-- Col-KC-- Last four Nauert games stayed under the total.
-- Phil-A's-- Under is 9-5 in last fourteen Johnson games.
-- Min-SD-- Four of last five Layne games went over total, with underdog winning five of his last seven games.
-- Chi-LA-- Home side won seven of last nine Barrett games.

 

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Sebastian

5 Mets Over (Comp)
10 Atlanta Over
20 Toronto
20 St Louis
30 Arizona
100 Cubs -1.5
100 Over Cleveland (Vegas Steam)

 

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Matty O' Shea

Underdog Pod- Nationals

 

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SAPKOWSKI ALL PICKS:73-38
Premium37-21 L58, Yesterday 2-0 (HOU Astros"W",KC Royals"W")
BOS Red Sox
CHI Cubs
Free picks36-17 L53, 2-1 Yesterday (BAL Orioles"W",NY Mets"L",LA Angels"W")
COL Rockies
TOR Blue Jays

Note:I like both premium as RL, but for myself as pro capper, priority is deliver winners and I don't want surprise so that why I'm not giving both as RL, but if anyone like a bit more risk you can try play in my opinion both as RL, both team are very effective VS. LHP, and both team no matter in witch streak they are, playing very well at home.


Tips:
For Euro 2008 play German is low line but very strong bet, turkey missing 6 first team players because of cards and Injuries, and in fact German are much better team and favorite to win Euro, now line is -250

 

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J. R. Miller


GIANTS +1.5 -126 at Indians (Zito-Sowers) (OR +161)
BLUEJAYS -165 over Reds (Halladay-Harang) (OR -1.5 +132)
REDSOX -148 over Diamondbacks (Wakefield-Johnson)
CUBS -175 over Orioles (Lilly-Burres)
ROYALS +108 over Rockies (Hochevar-Cook)


Comments:
In the Giants/Indians' game, we like the moneyline on the Giants (+161) about as much as the runline (-126), and in the Reds/Bluejays' game we like the runline on the Bluejays (+132) about as much as the moneyline (-165). Six of one, half-a-dozen of the other. Here in the newsletter we took the conservative choices.
If you agree with these three big moneyline favorites today, (the Bluejays, Redsox and Cubs), you might consider using a 2- or 3-bet parlay. If you do use a parlay, remember to risk the same as you risk on individual bets. If you risk "100" on single bets, be sure to risk "100" on your parlays.

 

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Robert Ferringo - only a couple of games today



3-Unit Play. Take #920 Houston (-145) over Texas (8 p.m., Wednesday, June 25)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #923 Colorado (-115) over Kansas City (8 p.m., Wednesday, June 25)

2-Unit Play. Take #914 New York Mets (-1.5, +100) over Seattle (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 25)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #929 Chicago White Sox (-115) over Los Angeles Dodgers (10 p.m., Wednesday, June 25)

Today's totals:

2-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.0 (+100) Minnesota at San Diego (10 p.m., Wednesday, June 25)


2-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 10.0 Baltimore at Chicago Cubs (8 p.m., Wednesday, June 25)

1.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 9.0 Seattle at New York Mets (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 25)

1.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 9.0 (-105) Colorado at Kansas City (8 p.m., Wednesday, June 25)

1.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.5 (-115) Philadelphia at Oakland (10 p.m., Wednesday, June 25)

1.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.0 Los Angeles Angels at Washington (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 25)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 10.0 San Francisco at Cleveland (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 25)

 

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LOVELL 10* St Louis/DET UNDER 9

 

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Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Today in Baseball we are featuring our 5000* BASEBALL WINNER! You can get this WINNER for just $25 and you are GUARANTEED TO WIN or you will not be charged! We are currently on a REMARKABLE 87-41 run with all of our guaranteed selections including 40-16 our last 56 selections! So far this year in Baseball we are 52-26 for PLUS 17.8 UNITS! 6/25/2008

5000* BASEBALL WINNER
Florida w/Tucker +120 7:10 EST

 

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Wunderdog

4 Units: Kansas City
4 Units: Minnesotta

 

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Wayne Root

Chairman- White Sox
Millionaire- Rays
Money Maker- Astros
Insiders Circle- Padres

 

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Wed, 06/25/08 - 7:10 PMvegas-runner | MLB RunLine Single-Dime Bet
914 NYM -1.5 (+100) Sportsbetting.com vs 913 SEA
Analysis: * 1* RL WAGER *

Wed, 06/25/08 - 8:05 PMvegas-runner | MLB RunLine Single-Dime Bet
922 CHC -1.5 (+105) Sportsbetting.com vs 921 BAL
Analysis: * 1* RL WAGER *

Wed, 06/25/08 - 7:05 PMvegas-runner | MLB RunLine Triple-Dime Bet
903 SFG 1.5 (-130) Sportsbetting.com vs 904 CLE

vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Double-Dime Bet
927 MIN (+120) Bodog vs 928 SDP
Analysis: ** 2* ML WAGER **

Vegas Runner

 

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Indian Cowboy

has lost last 4 POD's for those questioning the record.

(POD) NY Yankees UNDER 9

 

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KBHOOPS
5 units Boston -148 **POD**
5 units Kansas City +110
5 units Minnesota +120
4 units Pittsburgh +155
4 units Atlanta U/9 +100 Winner

 

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VEGAS RUNNER

FREE FORUM WAGERS :

JUNE = 14-7 (67%)....2008 = 151-72 (68%)...Over 220 FREE Bets...

1.) CUBS -1.5 (+105) (1*)...this may be one of the "squarest" bets on the board, but the oddsmakers went ahead and showed us exactly what they think the outcome will be with the 40cent jump in the opening number from last night's match-up...and more importantly, the books showed no reluctance to move that even higher...all the way to -200, with no fear of "steam" taking the plus money. Without going through details about the offensive and defensive power-rating edge the Cubs have in this match-up tonight...the fact that they are just so dominant at home, where they have a SLG% of Over ".500", and now facing a LHP ...after losing at home...and also starting Lilly, who they have won 6 of 8 home games with...and the only concern I can possibly see is the fact we are going to go ahead and make it a RL bet to avoid the big chalk. Best of Luck, VR...

 

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WINNERS EDGE - 6/25/08

MLB:

Brewers/ Braves under 8.5 even , 2 units

Florida Marlins + 120 , 2 units

Oakland A's - 130 , 1 unit

Houston Astros - 145 , 1 unit

 

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SCOTT FERRALL

HOUSTON -145 over Texas--Oswalt is getting shopped so he'll have a good outing against the Rangers and Feldman will get torched. I'm on the UNDER 9.5 RUNS

CUBS -175 over Orioles--Lilly will get the easy win at Wrigley for the Cubbies, who dominate teams that come visiting the Northside. They are the best home team in the majors

Colorado -120 over Kansas City--Aaron Cook is the Rockies best starter this year and he'll top Hochevar at Kaufmann Stadium.

Oakland -130 over Philly--Smith beats Kendrick at the Coliseum and TAKE THE OVER 8.5 RUNS. The A's light it up at home and Philly always hits, so I'm feeling some runs

PADRES -125 over Twins--I think Greg Maddux handles his business against Perkins at Petco. The Padres are over .500 at home and the Twins are 5 games under .500 away

White Sox -105 over Dodgers--Gavin Floyd is a bad ass and he'll knock off Stultz, who's making his second start in the show. LA is only two games over .500 at the Revine. What's the problem JOE TORRE ?

 

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PPP

3% St louis Cards--Lohse

 

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BOB BALFE


Mlb
Pitts +160

 

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Yankee Capper

2 Units - Rangers/Astros Under 9?