DR. BOB
2 Star Selection
MICHIGAN STATE (-9) over NC State
28-Nov-07 04:00 PM Pacific Time
Neither one of these teams has been as good as expected so far this season, but Michigan State has been very good over the years under coach Tom Izzo when hosting good teams, as these are the games that Izzo focuses on. In fact, Michigan State is 56-25-2 ATS under Izzo at home when not favored by more than 11 points. Having 3 days off to prepare will also help Izzo, whose teams are 90-56-3 ATS in regular season games with 3 or more days off between games ? including 36-10-2 ATS at home up to -11 points. The Spartans also apply to a solid 279-156-16 ATS non-conference home situation if they are favored by 9 points or less. My ratings using this year?s games only favors Michigan State by 9 ? points and I?ll take Michigan State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -9 points or less.
2-Stars at -9 or less, 3-Stars at -8 or less.
3 Star Selection
James Madison (+2) over EASTERN KENTUCKY
28-Nov-07 04:00 PM Pacific Time
James Madison is an improved team this season but that reality hasn?t found itself in the pointspread thus far this season, as the Dukes are 2-0 ATS and undervalued in this game. My ratings make this a pick and James Madison applies to a very good 92-28-1 ATS early season situation that plays on teams that were horrible the previous season but have shown signs of life. That angle is 42-9-1 ATS if the play on team has revenge from last season, which is the case here. I?ll take James Madison in a 3-Star Best Bet at +1 or more and for 2-Stars at pick or -1.
3-Stars at +1 or more, 2-Stars at pick or -1.
Opinion
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT (+11 ?) over San Diego State
28-Nov-07 07:00 PM Pacific Time
Loyola Marymount has been horrible so far this season, but their 97- 92 road win at Mercer sets the Lions up in a very strong 61-16-2 ATS home momentum situation that is 13-1 ATS for home dogs of 4 points or more against a visitor coming off a loss. Unfortunately, the line is a little too low for my tastes, as my ratings favor San Diego State by 13 ? points. The situation, however, is very strong and I?ll lean with Loyola at +11 or more and I?d take Loyola Marymount in a 2-Star Best Bet at +13 points or more.
OPINION - 2-Star Best Bet at +13 or more only.