Week 12 Card (Nov 14th-18th)
- Thread starter Irish
- Start date
Forest---IMO you are exactly the type of poster that this site does not need. Welcome to my ignore list.
Irish--- Keep it going. Thanks for posting quality info. Your time and effort are greatly appreciated by those who matter. Forget the basher. He adds nothing of value to this forum.
Thanks guys, I'll keep posting info because I enjoy to give others the basis for my play. I really appreciate the back though... NOW Back to our regular scheduled program
Ohio St (-7) over Mich
Horse shoe..... The bucks play VERY well there. They have a lot of young players on defense and this game might bring about a little game time jitters. A little emotion (RIP Bo) on the Mich side with the passing of Bo, this should inspire the Wolverines but it will be a little draining as they will take a moment of silence before kick. Troy Smith has pulled off a few brilliant, Houdini acts to get out of some bad situations to make big plays, but he hasn't had to face any pass rushers of Woodley's caliber. The Wolverines have to get consistent pressure and try to force Smith to make quicker decisions and make plays on the move to let the fast back seven clean everything up. The more Smith forces his passes, the more plays Leon Hall and the talented Wolverine secondary will make. Michigan has a way of historically screwing things up. The Wolverine defensive front will completely shut down the Buckeye running game, while CB Leon Hall will erase Ted Ginn from the game plan. Ohio State has won the last two meetings in Columbus, including a 14-9 victory in 2002 that sent the Buckeyes to the BCS title game, where they upset Miami 31-24 in double overtime. Mich has played Wisky that is a very good team but I think the win OSU had at texas was a bit more impressive. Texas has a very good front 7 and OSU handled that pressure well and the offense was crisp and I am thinking Troy sets the table today. One question I have is if the book and all the experts think Michigan is so evenlly matched why would OSU spot 7? IMO that is asking for Mich money and I just can't explain it. Ohio State is 4-1 since Jim Tressel took over before the 2001 season, including a 25-21 victory in Ann Arbor last season in which the Buckeyes rallied from a nine-point fourth-quarter deficit. Henne has deep threat Mario and Breston while Smith has Ginn and Gonzo, both teams has solid running backs and good O-line play. The edge in front lineman goes to Mich but IMO the edge at LB goes to OSU secondary I have to give credit to Michigans Hall but is Hall matches up against Ginn I think Gonzo will have a big day. Special teams are also pretty evenly matched but so I again question the spread. I think the home field advantage will be a factor. It should be a good game but I am thinking the OSU bucks come out and establish early, get the crowd involved and make it very difficult for Mich on offense. Then I have a bit of an advantage in Smith, I think he steps up to the pressure and makes BIG plays with his arm and feet if the pressure is intense by Mich.
Cheers
Irish
Ohio St (-7) over Mich
Horse shoe..... The bucks play VERY well there. They have a lot of young players on defense and this game might bring about a little game time jitters. A little emotion (RIP Bo) on the Mich side with the passing of Bo, this should inspire the Wolverines but it will be a little draining as they will take a moment of silence before kick. Troy Smith has pulled off a few brilliant, Houdini acts to get out of some bad situations to make big plays, but he hasn't had to face any pass rushers of Woodley's caliber. The Wolverines have to get consistent pressure and try to force Smith to make quicker decisions and make plays on the move to let the fast back seven clean everything up. The more Smith forces his passes, the more plays Leon Hall and the talented Wolverine secondary will make. Michigan has a way of historically screwing things up. The Wolverine defensive front will completely shut down the Buckeye running game, while CB Leon Hall will erase Ted Ginn from the game plan. Ohio State has won the last two meetings in Columbus, including a 14-9 victory in 2002 that sent the Buckeyes to the BCS title game, where they upset Miami 31-24 in double overtime. Mich has played Wisky that is a very good team but I think the win OSU had at texas was a bit more impressive. Texas has a very good front 7 and OSU handled that pressure well and the offense was crisp and I am thinking Troy sets the table today. One question I have is if the book and all the experts think Michigan is so evenlly matched why would OSU spot 7? IMO that is asking for Mich money and I just can't explain it. Ohio State is 4-1 since Jim Tressel took over before the 2001 season, including a 25-21 victory in Ann Arbor last season in which the Buckeyes rallied from a nine-point fourth-quarter deficit. Henne has deep threat Mario and Breston while Smith has Ginn and Gonzo, both teams has solid running backs and good O-line play. The edge in front lineman goes to Mich but IMO the edge at LB goes to OSU secondary I have to give credit to Michigans Hall but is Hall matches up against Ginn I think Gonzo will have a big day. Special teams are also pretty evenly matched but so I again question the spread. I think the home field advantage will be a factor. It should be a good game but I am thinking the OSU bucks come out and establish early, get the crowd involved and make it very difficult for Mich on offense. Then I have a bit of an advantage in Smith, I think he steps up to the pressure and makes BIG plays with his arm and feet if the pressure is intense by Mich.
Cheers
Irish
You, me, and the MAC :nono: I hate that conference lately. I'd be fine if I would just fade my plays :mj07: GL on today's menu. Let's win those games we're on together :SIB
BC (-8) over Maryland
The terps have been playing well but after watching last weeks game I am not sure if they are playing well of beating the poor teams in the ACC, they have won 5 in a row including a game at Clemson. The Maryland defense continues to be stingy when it comes to points allowing only 20 per game. On the field for a whopping 37 minutes against Miami, the Terp D held the Hurricane offense to 320 yards of total offense and only 13 points. BUT remember BC on a Thursday and handed a very good VT defense a lot of points. Boston College offense is lighting up ACC scoreboards averaging just over 26 points per game. The offensive line has been improving over recent weeks, and while it?s not going to dominate the Terp front, it should control the game against a group giving up 168 rushing yards per game and allowed 180 to Miami. The Eagles learned a valuable lesson at Wake Forest ? mistakes = losses. They lost that game down the stretch with key fourth quarter mistakes but consider it lesson learned going into this showdown. BC QB Matt Ryan will find the open holes in Maryland?s secondary and the run game will be productive controlling the time of possession. The Eagles lead the all-time series 2-1 over the Terrapins, including a 31-16 win Nov. 19, 2005. BC has the offense that can score points on a tough defense and at home I think the Terps might be in trouble. The only scary thought in this play is normally for some reason Maryland keeps them selves in ACC games. They have won or been within 4 in all the ACC matchup. Still they did lose by a big number against WVU and after BC started to get the running game on track last week I think they have some success at home. Plus this is a VERY big game in the confrence and if both teams bring their A game and the home field advantage Ryan and the Eagles should be too much.
RE-HIT RICE (ML) and WAKE (0):SIB
Cheers
Irish
The terps have been playing well but after watching last weeks game I am not sure if they are playing well of beating the poor teams in the ACC, they have won 5 in a row including a game at Clemson. The Maryland defense continues to be stingy when it comes to points allowing only 20 per game. On the field for a whopping 37 minutes against Miami, the Terp D held the Hurricane offense to 320 yards of total offense and only 13 points. BUT remember BC on a Thursday and handed a very good VT defense a lot of points. Boston College offense is lighting up ACC scoreboards averaging just over 26 points per game. The offensive line has been improving over recent weeks, and while it?s not going to dominate the Terp front, it should control the game against a group giving up 168 rushing yards per game and allowed 180 to Miami. The Eagles learned a valuable lesson at Wake Forest ? mistakes = losses. They lost that game down the stretch with key fourth quarter mistakes but consider it lesson learned going into this showdown. BC QB Matt Ryan will find the open holes in Maryland?s secondary and the run game will be productive controlling the time of possession. The Eagles lead the all-time series 2-1 over the Terrapins, including a 31-16 win Nov. 19, 2005. BC has the offense that can score points on a tough defense and at home I think the Terps might be in trouble. The only scary thought in this play is normally for some reason Maryland keeps them selves in ACC games. They have won or been within 4 in all the ACC matchup. Still they did lose by a big number against WVU and after BC started to get the running game on track last week I think they have some success at home. Plus this is a VERY big game in the confrence and if both teams bring their A game and the home field advantage Ryan and the Eagles should be too much.
RE-HIT RICE (ML) and WAKE (0):SIB
Cheers
Irish
Small play
Auburn (-2.5) over Bama
Inconsistent all season long, the ground game has been ineffective over the last four weeks gaining just 339 yards including mediocre days against FIU and Mississippi State. Basically, the Tigers played one whale of a defensive game against LSU, were breathtaking in the second half against Florida, and have been totally mediocre against everyone else. Still I think they were embarassed last week and they will come out with a chip on the shoulder in the Iron bowl. Auburn is not the greatest team but they do have talent and ability. They have an overrated secondary but when they come to play they will hit hard and make some big plays. Bama is a running team and they like to running to set up everything. So the front 7 for Auburn will have to play heavy and go with one v one coverage in the secondary and expect Irons to make the plays he is expected to make. Cox has looked terrible over the past few weeks and it is time to get him under control. They have Irons to run the ball but when teams are box crowded he has no where to go. So Cox needs to be accurate and throw because there is talent on the WR level but again it all stems from Cox. IMO he does enough to generate some points and the defense plays outside themselves after being a joke last week. This is a rivalry game so I am expecting both teams to be up for this game and BAMA has the home field advantage but Aurburn has the players to take the crowd out of the game early. This is all is they come out and try to redeem themselves for last week. IMO thats a lot of motivation for a team and add the rivalry and the edge goes with Auburn.
Parlay
Wake, Rice and Ohio St:SIB
Cheers
Irish
Auburn (-2.5) over Bama
Inconsistent all season long, the ground game has been ineffective over the last four weeks gaining just 339 yards including mediocre days against FIU and Mississippi State. Basically, the Tigers played one whale of a defensive game against LSU, were breathtaking in the second half against Florida, and have been totally mediocre against everyone else. Still I think they were embarassed last week and they will come out with a chip on the shoulder in the Iron bowl. Auburn is not the greatest team but they do have talent and ability. They have an overrated secondary but when they come to play they will hit hard and make some big plays. Bama is a running team and they like to running to set up everything. So the front 7 for Auburn will have to play heavy and go with one v one coverage in the secondary and expect Irons to make the plays he is expected to make. Cox has looked terrible over the past few weeks and it is time to get him under control. They have Irons to run the ball but when teams are box crowded he has no where to go. So Cox needs to be accurate and throw because there is talent on the WR level but again it all stems from Cox. IMO he does enough to generate some points and the defense plays outside themselves after being a joke last week. This is a rivalry game so I am expecting both teams to be up for this game and BAMA has the home field advantage but Aurburn has the players to take the crowd out of the game early. This is all is they come out and try to redeem themselves for last week. IMO thats a lot of motivation for a team and add the rivalry and the edge goes with Auburn.
Parlay
Wake, Rice and Ohio St:SIB
Cheers
Irish
small play
OSU/Mich UNDER (41)
These two rivals not only have two high powered offenses, but they have two of the nation's nastiest defenses. OSU gives up only 7.8 PPG and only 5.8 PPG at home. Michigan's "D" only allows 12.1 PPG and their rushing defense gives up a ridiculously low 29.9 RYPG. In the 22 total games these teams have played, they have covered the UNDER 17 times. Additionally, at home, OSU has covered the UNDER in all 6 games they have hosted. Michigan has not covered an OVER against a conference opponent all year. With numbers like these it is surprising that 80% of the early money is on the OVER 41 points. "Farewell and adieu to you fair Spanish lady"
WOW - ESPN just showed a graphic, In the 6 common teams both have played Mich wins by 16 and OSU wins by 33. And 2 media friendly (radioshow) capper say they think Mich wins out... Most of the services I have seen have Mich in a close one.
Cheers
Irish
OSU/Mich UNDER (41)
These two rivals not only have two high powered offenses, but they have two of the nation's nastiest defenses. OSU gives up only 7.8 PPG and only 5.8 PPG at home. Michigan's "D" only allows 12.1 PPG and their rushing defense gives up a ridiculously low 29.9 RYPG. In the 22 total games these teams have played, they have covered the UNDER 17 times. Additionally, at home, OSU has covered the UNDER in all 6 games they have hosted. Michigan has not covered an OVER against a conference opponent all year. With numbers like these it is surprising that 80% of the early money is on the OVER 41 points. "Farewell and adieu to you fair Spanish lady"
WOW - ESPN just showed a graphic, In the 6 common teams both have played Mich wins by 16 and OSU wins by 33. And 2 media friendly (radioshow) capper say they think Mich wins out... Most of the services I have seen have Mich in a close one.
Cheers
Irish
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Nice early call on Rice. I like them alot and with your write up I upt my wager and came away with a winner.
Nice
Love that pass interference call on 4th and 16... Yes I know the CB did not look for the ball but he still did not make contact. The ball hit him in the back.
Arizona St (-5.5) over UCLA
Going with the devils and their offense at home to take care of the Bruins. When the Bruins got off to a fast, 4-1 start it was because the defense was wreaking havoc and creating takeaways. That unit made a return engagement last week, limiting Oregon State to 260 yards, recovering four fumbles and limiting yards after contact. The Sun Devils are 102nd nationally in sacks allowed, which presents a huge problems against a Bruin team that has 32 sacks. At home, the Sun Devils are 4-1, averaging 37 points a game. On the road, UCLA is 0-4, allowing nearly 30 points a game. This is really why I like the devils they are a very good home team and UCLA is not a very good road team. Hope the passing attack of ASU hits early and often because if this game comes down to offense I likie the way the devils can move the ball over the bruins.
Small play
Hawaii (-24) over SJS
Tough game last week and Hawaii is a good home team. I think they have a big advantage over SJS in the passing game and should take care of this game controlling the scoreboard.
Cheers
Irish
Arizona St (-5.5) over UCLA
Going with the devils and their offense at home to take care of the Bruins. When the Bruins got off to a fast, 4-1 start it was because the defense was wreaking havoc and creating takeaways. That unit made a return engagement last week, limiting Oregon State to 260 yards, recovering four fumbles and limiting yards after contact. The Sun Devils are 102nd nationally in sacks allowed, which presents a huge problems against a Bruin team that has 32 sacks. At home, the Sun Devils are 4-1, averaging 37 points a game. On the road, UCLA is 0-4, allowing nearly 30 points a game. This is really why I like the devils they are a very good home team and UCLA is not a very good road team. Hope the passing attack of ASU hits early and often because if this game comes down to offense I likie the way the devils can move the ball over the bruins.
Small play
Hawaii (-24) over SJS
Tough game last week and Hawaii is a good home team. I think they have a big advantage over SJS in the passing game and should take care of this game controlling the scoreboard.
Cheers
Irish
