Week 9 betting big on the locks

rocky mountain

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Jord a question for your handicapping brain. The Jets and Rodgers turned a switch yesterday and looked like a viable offensive team in crunch time. Do you look at this momentum for next game or is it all about match ups and scenarios? I finally saw Aaron Rodgers play for the Jets last night, so is that considered for next match up or too random of a subset?
 
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Jord20

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Jord a question for your handicapping brain. The Jets and Rodgers turned a switch yesterday and looked like a viable offensive team in crunch time. Do you look at this momentum for next game or is it all about match ups and scenarios? I finally saw Aaron Rodgers play for the Jets last night, so is that considered for next match up or too random of a subset?

I don't look at it as momentum, but I think the Davante addition matters, I think Rodgers is getting in form, I think the stupid mistakes will normalize, same for some of the RZ, 4th down stuff... and they will be fine...

I also think it was not nearly as bad there as all the hysterics would indicate. They easily could have had a few more wins in there this season, and we'd all have a different perception. We like to everything is skill, and it's not. Variance is real, and Yes, I'm a fan of this team and think they are very dangerous.
 

rocky mountain

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I don't look at it as momentum, but I think the Davante addition matters, I think Rodgers is getting in form, I think the stupid mistakes will normalize, same for some of the RZ, 4th down stuff... and they will be fine...

I also think it was not nearly as bad there as all the hysterics would indicate. They easily could have had a few more wins in there this season, and we'd all have a different perception. We like to everything is skill, and it's not. Variance is real, and Yes, I'm a fan of this team and think they are very dangerous.
Great call, , 1st half should have paid you too or at least pushed. I was hating on the Jets and holding GRUDGE on a couple of our past losses. Thank you, just trying to learn a bit here, after a lifetime of emotional losses and drinking the Kool Aid on teams too quickly!! :p I'm getting ready to get back on the field this weekend, will be ready! Let's do the whole village!
 

Jord20

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Ravens -9.5/6 8/4

Cute run by Broncos, who i actually like, but look at their 3 wins. Raiders, the Saints corpses, and the dreadful Panthers.

Ravens coming back home after a couple weeks on the road and a gross loss last week. They get Humphrey back and they should feast on Nix. They seem to just make rookie qbs look bad at home. Think they will creat havoc, and open up the O

Call it 30-13
 

Jord20

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Fish +6.5/3.5 10/5

Again, i love this Bills team, but not this spot. Fish completely blew it last week. 2 weeks in a row really they were the better team and gagged. Tua has another game under his belt.

McDaniel will be ready for this one. This is a season saver, Super Bowl type game for this Dolphins team. The offense is ready to erupt and this Bills D can be vulnerable to sophisticated schemes. Dolphins over 20.5 -120 was also played.

This is way too many points. I think Fish win, but 6.5 leaves a lot of outs from a close game to a backdoor. This is a no doubter for me.

Fish 31-23
 

Jord20

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Titans -3/1.5 7/4

Listen, Titans are bad so it never feels good to lay a full FG with such a team. But, this Pats team is a joke. don’t let last week fool you. Pats offense is a joke. Their D is underrated bad. Their coaching is inept.
If there was ever a get right spot for a bad team, this is it. Titans at home vs maybe the worst team in the AFC. They can open up the O. They have some ok schematic matchups here.

Tits 31-17
 

softballmvp

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Titans -3/1.5 7/4

Listen, Titans are bad so it never feels good to lay a full FG with such a team. But, this Pats team is a joke. don’t let last week fool you. Pats offense is a joke. Their D is underrated bad. Their coaching is inept.
If there was ever a get right spot for a bad team, this is it. Titans at home vs maybe the worst team in the AFC. They can open up the O. They have some ok schematic matchups here.

Tits 31-17
I'm curious how this one plays out. Titans should cover, but every team that has played the Lions this year have then got whooped the following week. Every single time, only exception has been a bye for the Cowboys the next week.
 
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EasyCovers

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Fish +6.5/3.5 10/5

Again, i love this Bills team, but not this spot. Fish completely blew it last week. 2 weeks in a row really they were the better team and gagged. Tua has another game under his belt.

McDaniel will be ready for this one. This is a season saver, Super Bowl type game for this Dolphins team. The offense is ready to erupt and this Bills D can be vulnerable to sophisticated schemes. Dolphins over 20.5 -120 was also played.

This is way too many points. I think Fish win, but 6.5 leaves a lot of outs from a close game to a backdoor. This is a no doubter for me.

Fish 31-23
This is an interesting call. I believe Allen and the Bills has owned Miami the last few years.
 
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