thanks for the link ghost kid.
garcia got a draw in canada, the opponent's hometown. home cooking?
youre right zerwas, the man has been on a real bad streak as of late. the write-up for medina was concivincing and i followed it knowing little of either guy, assuming the line would move in my favour like his plays usually do, and not realizing it was just 1 hour away. then i went to boxrec and fightwriter and read graham's write-up, and was like "oh f*ck!" i scrambled desperately to buy some back, naaah too late! the fight started, and 2 rounds later it was over and i lost big.
i took ruiz as soon as the pick was released, going to do some research into it, hopefully the line moves in my favor.
after the nwodo fight, i made lengthy post about randomness and chance as the most determinant factor in betting, and life in general. it was deep and bleak, i opted to erase it. after 3 rounds the nwodo play looked like genius, after the 4th suddenly godfrey backers were sharps. i think we overestimate our ability to predict the outcomes, considering the most important factors are physiological state of the athlete including their mood, their personal lives, and random minor factors like temperature, unexpected physiological changes such as anxiety or fatigue, brief lapses in concentration, sweat, etc.
the point was that we really cnat judge someone on their ability to predict things out of their control. like king yao said in his book, the outcome of the north carolina-georgetown game had nothing to do with who wanted it more, or who was better prepared. james worthy was out of position defensively, and Brown passed the ball to the position where worthy shouldn't have been, and that won the game. people who picked georgetown were squares, while people who picked NC were sharps. in truth, nobody predicted it, it was sheer chance.
garcia got a draw in canada, the opponent's hometown. home cooking?
youre right zerwas, the man has been on a real bad streak as of late. the write-up for medina was concivincing and i followed it knowing little of either guy, assuming the line would move in my favour like his plays usually do, and not realizing it was just 1 hour away. then i went to boxrec and fightwriter and read graham's write-up, and was like "oh f*ck!" i scrambled desperately to buy some back, naaah too late! the fight started, and 2 rounds later it was over and i lost big.
i took ruiz as soon as the pick was released, going to do some research into it, hopefully the line moves in my favor.
after the nwodo fight, i made lengthy post about randomness and chance as the most determinant factor in betting, and life in general. it was deep and bleak, i opted to erase it. after 3 rounds the nwodo play looked like genius, after the 4th suddenly godfrey backers were sharps. i think we overestimate our ability to predict the outcomes, considering the most important factors are physiological state of the athlete including their mood, their personal lives, and random minor factors like temperature, unexpected physiological changes such as anxiety or fatigue, brief lapses in concentration, sweat, etc.
the point was that we really cnat judge someone on their ability to predict things out of their control. like king yao said in his book, the outcome of the north carolina-georgetown game had nothing to do with who wanted it more, or who was better prepared. james worthy was out of position defensively, and Brown passed the ball to the position where worthy shouldn't have been, and that won the game. people who picked georgetown were squares, while people who picked NC were sharps. in truth, nobody predicted it, it was sheer chance.
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