Round 1 plays (2pts):
Adam Scott to beat Tim Clark -165 @ 5Dimes and The Greek [available generally]
The Australian doesn't have a particularly good record in this event and on this course - just one win in the last four years - but he is playing much better than Clark who has finished mc-49-46-mc in his last four starts. And then there is the weather forecast. Scott does have a very good record when playing in bad weather - his (adjusted) scoring average is lower in both rain and over 15mph winds than in calm conditions; the opposite is the case for Clark.
Sergio Garcia to beat Thongchai Jaidee -165 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Garcia is another good 'bad weather' player and his record on this course does list a 4th place finish in 2010. For Jaidee, he did have a good week in his only previous start in this event (2010), but in his other events on an American course in the last three years, he has finished 56-wd-mc-19-47-mc-wd-mc. It is not convincing that he will be at his best on this American course.