What the hell is up with all the teasers?

gman2

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i think guys fail to realize that books dont make money on your losing teasers.

they make money on your WINNING teasers.

it sounds paradoxical, but thats the reality of it.

you are only getting a fraction of what you should be getting for your winning bets.

a lot of guys are just happy to be getting free points and a partial payout..... and that, of course, is why the books will continue to kick the asses of the majority of bettors.

i dont think anyone is doubting that its possible to hit a high % of teasers.

but the payout you get for the percentage that you are required to hit is just stupid.
 

chuckdman

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My opinion on teasers is they're good for the NFL only!! Forget it for NBA and College is pretty hard too because of that continious thirst to score points even when a team may be up by 10 points with 30 seconds left in a game.

NFL lines are as tight and accurate as they can get.

True, there is little to no value betting a 2 team 6pt teaser and earning even money for hitting both teams but in the NFL I think they work because Vegas has very accurate lines on the games.

My teasers in the NFL have made me lots of cash this year. I think I had 2 losing weeks on my teasers throughout the year. I bet 4-5 teasers and always come up on top in the money department. But then again, favs hitting at a high rate might have something to do with that.

Whatever works for you, do it but there is a lot of truth in that teasers are not worth the return on investment. They also cloud your preception on a game and not let you cap the game as good as you could have.

If you can't cheat, don't play! :)
 

Dice34

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my 16 team...52 point teasers do exceptionally well......the payout is not great but I hit them at high percentage
 

FirstnGoal

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gjn23 said:
i've been trying to make that point in countless threads on this board to no avail....amateurs

if approx 18% of your teasers hit as straight parlays, you're making more money on the parlays

great example above

gjn...the majic word that you used is "IF"...I won my Big Teaser again this week and pointed it out in that thread afterwards that if I approached it the way you suggested i would have won 2 out of the 3 games straight out for a profit around $320 or so...I made $832 on my Teaser...a $500 difference.

You don't need to play teasers every week...just the weeks that you feel it will be tough to beat the spread...amateurs to me are the people that don't take advantage of what is given them by their book! :)
 

FirstnGoal

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gman2 said:
i dont think anyone is doubting that its possible to hit a high % of teasers.

but the payout you get for the percentage that you are required to hit is just stupid.


I have to disagree with you... and from the looks of it... so would a lot of other people...as I pointed out in my thread I'm 21-5 on my Teasers this season - 80.7%...the payout you receive (your usually laying 6-5 (-120) on a teaser instead of 11-10 (-110) on a straight wager) for the percentage that is required isn't the same as if you have to beat the spread in a 2,3 or 4 game teaser...remember in a teaser you have the opportunity to "adjust" the spread in your favor which is much to your advantage! :)
 

PAWAQATSI

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Coops....

You're right about the drought mate!!! :s4: But after the hot run I've been on the last few weeks, I think my girl may just be asking me to go and put on my "Mr. Tease" jacket before I climb in the sack!!


Guys, like I stated in another thread, I am new to these teaser bet options. Local Australian books don’t offer them for AFL football betting, which is my main gambling sport, here in Australia. I have only started dabbling with them in NFL since the early few weeks of this season. Only one of my books (from the UK) offers 7 pointers only. Overall this season I have been hitting these 2 teamers at around 70 odd % at a return of $177 for my $100 outlay. With my recent run over the last 3 weeks where I have concentrated more on them than straight single “line bets” that % has jumped up to over 80 odd % hits for the overall season. I won’t claim to be doing this all on my own as I usually coat-tail some of the other guys here for about a ? of my 2 teamers If I like what they have suggested. Bombercoops has also sharpened me up on some games and key numbers.

What am I getting for this slightly smaller return? I’m getting an extra +14 points combined and a better chance to collect on the already sharp NFL lines. I’m getting some insurance to a degree that helps me collect on the easier games on the card. How many times have we all lost a line bet on a bad call, bad coaching, or a crucial freaking turnover? Considering that the books can conceivably payout on all four possible teaser combinations of a given game, I’m happy to increase my chances of being on the right side of any of those four winning combinations. I honestly would have expected the return to be less given the huge payouts they must hand back on some game results. I also don't need to "sweat" the final few minutes on plenty of these games!!

Yes I could just be having a good run (perhaps with so many faves covering this season) and it may not last but all I can say is that I am going to milk these 2 teamer 7 pointers dry until the cows come home!! It looks to me like plenty of other guys here are doing the same thing with similar success.

To come in here and preach about how we are ripping ourselves off on other possible returns by betting other ways with so many “ifs” and “buts” is just ludicrous. The bottom line is always about making a $ and if it helps to “cheat” in order to get some advantage back from the books well so be it.

You may be right when it comes to 3 or more teamer, 10-13 point teasers……but 2 team 7 pointers are currently cleaning up for me and my account is increasing at a phenomenal rate. I may just be an “amateur”……but I’m cashing when a lot of the guns here are struggling.
 
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FirstnGoal

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PAWAQATSI said:
Coops....

You're right about the drought mate!!! :s4: But after the hot run I've been on the last few weeks, I think my girl may just be asking me to go and put on my "Mr. Tease" jacket before I climb in the sack!!


Guys, like I stated in another thread, I am new to these teaser bet options. Local Australian books don?t offer them for AFL football betting, which is my main gambling sport, here in Australia. I have only started dabbling with them in NFL since the early few weeks of this season. Only one of my books (from the UK) offers 7 pointers only. Overall this season I have been hitting these 2 teamers at around 70 odd % at a return of $177 for my $100 outlay. With my recent run over the last 3 weeks where I have concentrated more on them than straight single ?line bets? that % has jumped up to over 80 odd % hits for the overall season. I won?t claim to be doing this all on my own as I usually coat-tail some of the other guys here for about a ? of my 2 teamers If I like what they have suggested. Bombercoops has also sharpened me up on some games and key numbers.

What am I getting for this slightly smaller return? I?m getting an extra +14 points combined and a better chance to collect on the already sharp NFL lines. I?m getting some insurance to a degree that helps me collect on the easier games on the card. How many times have we all lost a line bet on a bad call, bad coaching, or a crucial freaking turnover? Considering that the books can conceivably payout on all four possible teaser combinations of a given game, I?m happy to increase my chances of being on the right side of any of those four winning combinations. I honestly would have expected the return to be less given the huge payouts they must hand back on some game results.

Yes I could just be having a good run (perhaps with so many faves covering this season) and it may not last but all I can say is that I am going to milk these 2 teamer 7 pointers dry until the cows come home!! It looks to me like plenty of other guys here are doing the same thing with similar success.

To come in here and preach about how we are ripping ourselves off on other possible returns by betting other ways with so many ?ifs? and ?buts? is just ludicrous. The bottom line is always about making a $ and if it helps to ?cheat? in order to get some advantage back from the books well so be it.

You may be right when it comes to 3 or more teamer, 10-13 point teasers??but 2 team 7 pointers are currently cleaning up for me and my account is increasing at a phenomenal rate. I may just be an ?amateur???but I?m cashing when a lot of the guns here are struggling.

I couldn't have said it any better!

Let's continue to CASH$$ those winning tickets!

:mj14:
 

gjn23

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you said it in your own thread.....you and others are hitting a larger pctg of your teaser because favs are coming in at a much higher pctg this year and who doesnt think favs teased down to only -3 is a great bet.....just wait until dogs start winning outright and tell me how those teasers work out.

in the long run, teasers are a bad investment and as gman said the adjusted payouts for hitting a teaser are even worse than the adjusted odds of hitting a regular parlay

as far as having to sweat anything out in the bears or pats game.....who cares, they covered.....almost 75 % of the games have the total or line within one score at the end of the game...thus the teaser is also in jeaporady.....the what if game goes both ways...what if the bears had run back another pick....gb +13 would have lost
 

Pink Panties

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exactly johnny....

exactly johnny....

that was one of my original comments...recently this board has seen a lot of teaser action...if you just stick with straight plays and two team pars, you will do much better in the long run than taking a portion of what you really would have won with the teasers. Typically the teaser tickets are winners without the extra points and you only get a small payback. Simply put, teasers are not offered as a way to an easier win - sure you may win at a higher percentage but your returns on those wins is piss poor. If you are here to "win" more wagers teasers are probably for you....if you have an interest in winning money stay away from them. FYI - My 30 point teaser Eagles/under ticket did NOT cash last night.
 

PAWAQATSI

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gjn23

Now it seems that you are hoping the tide will turn against those of us that are cleaning up on these teasers. Along with the assumption that all of us are only teasing faves. Very much a negative attitude and not one that I thought was promoted here at MJ's. Maybe I'm wrong.

Seems to be a regular theme of most of your posts, looking back.

Sounds much like 'sour grapes' mate!!!
 

gjn23

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it doesnt make a difference to me if you win or lose.....obviously for your sake i hope you win..... teasing favs or teasing dogs it doesnt matter....a teaser is NOT a good bet in the long run, its a losing proposition for your bankroll (guess what, not winning as much as you should win equals losing money for your bankroll)

just here to provide info

if your happy that you are winning 75-80% of your bets...congrats....i'm just informing you that your bankroll is lighter than it would have been had you been wagering differently.
 

Pink Panties

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well said

well said

anyone have a solid teaser out there? I would like to track the profits....those of you that said you have not lost a teaser all year, please post. No offense, I cannot see that continuing. :mj07:
 

Davoso

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Not a big teaser fan but this is one I like for this week...

6.5 point teaser:

Carolina +1
GB + 1/2
Vikes -1/2
 
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