Wild BoWlS & CfP

WildBillPicks7

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I’m looking for your bowl pick of the year. Nothing showing up yet? I’ve zeroed in on a couple after Christmas.
Hey Boomer, we need to get together before I move away from B'ham again!! LOL

As far as the Bowl Game of the Year, I've got my sights set on the CFP for next week. Two double digit favorites where the line's are off more than a TD, gotta do my due diligence!
 
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TouchdownJesus

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Can't believe that asshole missed yet another field goal. 48 yarder and he left it SHORT. Then a 42 yarder wide. Then could have totally redeemed himself as they put it in the middle of the field for him....35 yarder and he missed that too.

Weird game all the way around. Fresno does a weird 2-pt after the first TD. They get up 13-3 and then just don't score again. NIU has a 20-play drive w several 4th down conversions and then don't score. Missed field goals on both sides as the Over should have easily hit...then it hits in overtime.

I had Fresno +4, Fresno ML, and Over 41. Was very happy about getting the Fresno win and then he misses the chip shot. At least in overtime I got the Over and had a chance to get all 3...even if it went to triple OT then I was guaranteed to get at least 2 of them. That game sucked and I'm getting where I like college football less and less w all the portal shit on top of all the other shit. We knew it was corrupt before. All they had to do was let the schools pay the players but make them sign 3-year contracts.

I've gotten where I like Div 1aa a lot lately.
 

WildBillPicks7

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Can't believe that asshole missed yet another field goal. 48 yarder and he left it SHORT. Then a 42 yarder wide. Then could have totally redeemed himself as they put it in the middle of the field for him....35 yarder and he missed that too.

Weird game all the way around. Fresno does a weird 2-pt after the first TD. They get up 13-3 and then just don't score again. NIU has a 20-play drive w several 4th down conversions and then don't score. Missed field goals on both sides as the Over should have easily hit...then it hits in overtime.

I had Fresno +4, Fresno ML, and Over 41. Was very happy about getting the Fresno win and then he misses the chip shot. At least in overtime I got the Over and had a chance to get all 3...even if it went to triple OT then I was guaranteed to get at least 2 of them. That game sucked and I'm getting where I like college football less and less w all the portal shit on top of all the other shit. We knew it was corrupt before. All they had to do was let the schools pay the players but make them sign 3-year contracts.

I've gotten where I like Div 1aa a lot lately.
That kicker missed 3 FGs, I believe the announcers said he was new too. Also all those 4th down go-for-its didn't help on either side, glad it went into OT to get the over and covered my teaser but my ML bet missed -125 and +3 missed!!

I like North Dakota State to win it all in FCS!! GL w/your plays TDJ!!
 

WildBillPicks7

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Tuesday 12/24 (POSTED from page 1)

Over 62 USF/San Jose - Have USF winning by 1, they're plus 2 margin on road games and San Jose is minus 3 on road margin, this one's on the Island.

Line has since moved to 65 1/2, it's a 1 unit play as are all plays unless noted.


Player Prop for today: Kelley Joiner USF over 54 1/2 yards rushing -110 (5 units) - he could get this on one run as both defenses have starters in the portal, mostly DBs and LBs.

7 pt: USF +9 1/2 & Over 58 1/2 -125 (1 unit)

GLE!
 
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WildBillPicks7

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Tuesday 12/24 (POSTED from page 1)

Over 62 USF/San Jose - Have USF winning by 1, they're plus 2 margin on road games and San Jose is minus 3 on road margin, this one's on the Island.

Line has since moved to 65 1/2, it's a 1 unit play as are all plays unless noted.



Player Prop for today: Kelley Joiner USF over 54 1/2 yards rushing -110 (5 units) - he could get this on one run as both defenses have starters in the portal, mostly DBs and LBs.

7 pt: USF +9 1/2 & Over 58 1/2 -125 (1 unit)

GLE!
Live San Jose +3 1/2 (1 unit)

Live San Jose +135 (1 unit)

Live Under 58 1/2 SJ/Usf (1 units)
 
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TouchdownJesus

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I was gone all day yesterday and just now seeing the score. 5 overtimes so I know the over hit and I know your teaser hit.

I'm leaning Montana State in that one but after watching their last game I jumped on the "Touchdown Tommy" bandwagon lol so haven't put much thought into it yet. Is it a home game or neutral site?

Merry Christmas and I should be back later tonight or at least tomorrow....gonna try a little NFL today but I'm much better college!
 

WildBillPicks7

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Merry Christmas!

Went 6-6, -10.45 units, Monday & Tuesday. Boy these transfer portal teams are giving it their all but some shouldn't even be out there this time of year.


6-5, +.50, 1 unit plays
3-0, +3.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser
1-1, -.10, 1 unit halftime plays

0-0, 1 unit moneyline plays
4-4, -.30, 1 unit live plays
3-5, -2.1, 1 unit prop plays

1-0, +5.0, 5 unit plays

0-0, 5 unit half-time plays
0-1, -7.0, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser
4-2, +8.25, 5 unit live plays
2-3, -6.0, 5 unit prop plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit live plays

BOWL GAME OF YEAR - 10 units
BOWL TOTAL OF YEAR - 10 units
WIN.....25.....LOSS.....21...., PUSH...0...., +11.25 units, as of 12/14/24
 
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TouchdownJesus

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I've always been in favor of players getting paid but the way their doing it is awful. I think we know that at least a lot of the high profile players have been getting paid behind the scenes for decades. But this NIL stuff has ruined it for the fans and the bad thing is that most fans are ok with it.

I've also always hated the process of firing/hiring coaches. If a good coach wants to jump to a better situation, the new team can just buy out the contract and then the coach abandons his team before the bowl game. And now the players do the same thing.

I wish the whole thing would collapse.
 
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WildBillPicks7

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I've always been in favor of players getting paid but the way their doing it is awful. I think we know that at least a lot of the high profile players have been getting paid behind the scenes for decades. But this NIL stuff has ruined it for the fans and the bad thing is that most fans are ok with it.

I've also always hated the process of firing/hiring coaches. If a good coach wants to jump to a better situation, the new team can just buy out the contract and then the coach abandons his team before the bowl game. And now the players do the same thing.

I wish the whole thing would collapse.
It's going to take someone with a lot of clout to turn how the NCAA does things around or a new leadership board needs to be formed, a new association to speak. Yes players have been paid even before many of us were born, baby boomers, but now, players knowing that didn't know in the lockerooms, I can just see it now. Some players will be resentful or more resentfuly than in the past because they won't be getting any $ and why should they block or play harder for that coach or the team when they're not being appreciated? The portal needs to be shut off until all bowl games are played, if coaches leave they can not take any players with them until the next school year and transfers can only transfer 1 time to be eligible to play right away, if a player transfers two straight years like Maalik Murphy just did, they must sit out that season 2025 and not eligible to play until fall of 2026. It's all insanity now and many players are playing knowing the lines, who's props are out, what they must run or receive as far as attempts or yards, etc., it's madness tbh. Then it makes some of us wonder if the players/teams are on the take when you have a game that has more flags, missed calls, etc going on. As a degenerate many times I've wanted to throw in the towel for football and basketball betting because of so many fixes it seems happening, moreso in football than in hoops, MLB? not as much but you wonder about some of the umpires when calling balls and strikes . It's all madness LOL!!
 

WildBillPicks7

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These are the last of the first posted plays I put out with the lines that were locked in then, lines have since changed, not as many portal players leaving for the teams other than Washington State, that line went from +4 to +16 1/2 to as high as +17, interim HC for Wazoo so far and 3rd string QB, Syracuse has been horrible in bowl games and this is Fran Brown's first, he's changed the culture and his QB wants to make a statement other than a big FU to Ohio State for treating him like a second class toilet flush!! Favs have gone like 13-2 overall, 2 OT games, live plays can drive one nuts, so pick your spots if you use any off-shore book like FD, DK, or whichever you use. Good luck with the rest of the bowl games.

My CFP game will be up Monday at the latest after I get all injury info, I know Beck is out for the year for Georgia, QB backup has bruised shoulder?

All the plays below are 1 unit. Total bowl record will be posted later, last time out was a losing day, Tuesday.

Thurs 12/26

Over 51 Pitt/Toledo - neither "D" will be able to stop the other's offense, Pitt should roll in this one

Over 50 1/2 Rutgers/K State

BG -7 - Ark jr on the road is minus 16 points, they're playing a MAC team in Mobile, BG with can score some points, this will be all out let everyone play game, turnovers will crush Ark jr. BG 42 ARST 27


Friday 12/27



Vandy +2 1/2 - Pavia most likely will be playing and HC wants a big bowl win, G Tech last game was vs Georgia in the OT thriller, HC for GT got an extension and their QB is money, this one in Birmingham, slight edge to no one, Dog or bust

Ark +3 now -2- Hogs just better on paper than Red Raiders



Saturday 12/28



Over 54 UNC/UConn - both "D" suck, weapons on offense, UNC RB opted for NFL Draft doesn't mean he won't play, UNC w/Kitchens coaching and UConn Mora rumored for NFL again? He won't say anything until the season is over with.

Nebraska -2 1/2 - Ruhle is hungry for a bowl win for their program, Raoila rumored to head to transfer portal? WOW. Who's buying his way away from Lincoln? If that happens, Nebraska will get a QB out of the portal as Raoila faded after the first 5 games when film was on him. Bugeaters with the better "D" of the two teams, edge Huskers in Yankee stadium.

Over 55 ISU/Miami-F - Hurricane's pissed they're here but they'll play like it's 2025!! Cam Ward wants to show off his skillz and ISU playing for pride after humiliation loss vs SunDevs, should be a back n forth tilt in Orlando.

BYU +3 1/2 - Heisman jinx trend, play against Heisman winner's team if they are more than a FG fav, Cougars "D" will have to be on it's toes, as of today Buffaloes are playing all their stars, this line should be higher, it is in the Alamo dome which has favored dogs in the past, I think the Cougs can hang here, BYU is plus 6 on the road and Buffs plus 8, CU 31 BYU 30

Mizzou -3 - Tigers have some less spoken talent, they all should play here, Iowa some banged up QBs but still have scored, I believe top rusher has opted not to play in the bowl game, it's in Nashville, edge here to Mizzou w/QB & if he plays or doesn't, Burden should have a day, he entered the NFL Draft but said to play, we'll see.




6-5, +.50, 1 unit plays
3-0, +3.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser
1-1, -.10, 1 unit halftime plays

0-0, 1 unit moneyline plays
4-4, -.30, 1 unit live plays
3-5, -2.1, 1 unit prop plays

1-0, +5.0, 5 unit plays

0-0, 5 unit half-time plays
0-1, -7.0, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser
4-2, +8.25, 5 unit live plays
2-3, -6.0, 5 unit prop plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit live plays

BOWL GAME OF YEAR - 10 units
BOWL TOTAL OF YEAR - 10 units
WIN.....25.....LOSS.....21...., PUSH...0...., +11.25 units, as of 12/14/24
 

TouchdownJesus

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My sentiments exactly. Very well said! There is a lot to fix in college sports and I see it happening very, very gradually...just enough to keep fans sort of satisfied and the rest they'll use as drama that Rece and Herbstreit and Desmond, etc can argue about lol

One thing that I liked at first but has arguably contributed to the fixes or at least what looks like fixes is all the in-game betting. It seems that a little too often we see a team get a big lead, the other team comes storming back to take the lead...the whole time many are prob loading up on that team's nice ML payout...only to see the lead very short lived and all those hopes dashed.

Alabama/Georgia. Bama gets up 28-0 on 2-time nat'l champs. Then big bad Bama collapses and Georgia takes lead late?? One play later on a long pass where the guy is double covered....the 2 DB's collide into each other as the Bama WR catches and runs an extra 40 yards for the go ahead score? Give me a break! A lot of what I see on the field looks like scout team defense where they know what's coming and just "give a look". I see so many late reactions, bad angles, etc. DB's swipe at the ball a second too late to sell it. All the betting combined w the rules that hamstring defenses where clean hits can be called targeting....I hate it. I hated the dirty defenses of the 90's that would hit QB's late and spear guys etc. But it's gone way too far the other way. Remember Weurfel vs FSU way back in the day?

It is what it is....I think there are several variables and you have mentioned many of them and I do think betting is one as well that affects so many games. Like I say, I just try to bet on the right side and then watch and enjoy until something blatant happens lol. I'll prob follow you on the Overs in the first 2 games today and I like Bowling Green as well. Good luck today!!
 
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WildBillPicks7

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2-1 on regular plays yesterday watching the STIFF QB for Bowling Green telegraph everything and missed the 3 leg Prop parlay with Miller getting hardly any looks for Rutgers, Duff & Strong easily went over their receiving yards, no scoring the 2H in Ark jr/BG game to screw the live total.

Today, Friday 12/27 is an odd card, Navy bettors steam from +10 to now -1, Oklahoma QB transfered out to Auburn a given, however the backup has played quite a bit this season, Navy vs any team in power 5 conferences other than AAC/CUSA have not covered this year. This is also after the Army/Navy game where they won SU as a Dog as they did vs ECU at ECU. Some wind here in B'ham for the Ga Tech/Vandy game, total has gone from 54 down to 48, side has remained Vandy +2 1/2 to +3, Pavia is playing, he won his Bowl game with New Mex St easily last year, G Tech's last game was vs Georgia, QB said to be in the portal but he should be playing today for GT.


Friday 12/27


Vandy +2 1/2 - Pavia most likely will be playing and HC wants a big bowl win, G Tech last game was vs Georgia in the OT thriller, HC for GT got an extension and their QB is money, this one in Birmingham, slight edge to no one, Dog or bust

Ark +3 now -2-, now +2 1/2 - Hogs just better on paper than Red Raiders

Wazoo +18 1/2

Over 52 1/2 TT/Ark (5 units) - both "D" suck, Ark with backups on OL and receivers playing, T T in same situation

USC +3

Over 53 1/2 A&M/USC
 
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