Missouri now -1 (5 units) - love that the public money is on Missouri!! Contrarians typically go opposite. I like the skill players for Missouri the best!!!
Wild BoWlS & CfP
- Thread starter WildBillPicks7
- Start date
Missouri 86% money line, 60% still of ATS line money, yet the line only moved 1 1/2 total points, which means nothing to me!!
4 lesser known bowl games left. Still looking at a big totals play.
December 31 - January 1
Michigan +13 1/2 (1 unit) - Bama dissed by the CFP for final 12 spot really? You have 3 losses, Oklahoma, Vandy & Tennessee, ok they were on the road, but in order to get into a Championship playoff, I'd think you need to win on the road too!! Wolverines as a DDD vs Ohio State took their best shot at the Buckeyes and shut down the running game and Will Howard? That's amazing tbh and at Ohio State, even more amazing. How did they do that? Wolverine's "D" isn't bad folks, they can put pressure on the running game and passing game, the key is to keep their "D" on the field which Bama will try and do with Milroe and whatever's left in the running game. I have this as a touchdown game, 27-20. Edwards is out for Michigan however he's not the best RB Michigan has, they do have Mullings and a few young players who have amazing talent. Bama has Jam Miller to deliver the tote with Milroe, the key is Bama turns the ball over way too much and will be the difference in this game RB Mullings for Michigan will not play,
Louisville -2 1/2 (5 units) - Cards with senior BU QB Bailey, 6-6 in passing in his only action for Ville, Slough is out (portal pussy) yet Cards have the talent here on "D" and key positions to beat Washington who's using Demond Williams a pipsqueak QB who can run, his passing is meh if he can even see over the linemen, Washington with bad losses to Wazoo, Rutgers, Iowa, Indiana and Penn St, quality win over Michigan? Meh. Sun Bowl typically a dog cover or win SU bowl, however, Bailey being a senior and finally getting a chance to QB may be the difference in this tilt and I'll take Brohm, what I don't like is ACC has yet to cover in a bowl game, Clemson could have a push vs Texas most of us had Texas <-14 however. Huskies have a talented WR in Boston also Giles Jackson w/TE Lutu and RB if he plays in Coleman, on D Huskies had only 20 sacks in 12 games? OUCH. Isaac Brown & Watson RBs for Cards are legit pounders, missing Brooks at WR (opt out-portal pussy, NFL Draft) hurts but depth at WR for Cards w/Bell, TE Redman future NFL TE, Cards on D with 29 sacks should be key here. Cards 5-3 SU vs Bowl teams while U Dub 2-6 SU vs Bowl teams.
LSU +4 (5 units) - this is an anti Baylor pick, the Bears are just 3-3 SU vs Bowl teams while LSU is 6-4 SU, this game in Houston, both teams with many players from that area, however, LSU solid QB in Nussmeier, has some keys wins and Brian Kelly fighting for his job, although he'd get a nice pay out if LSU decides to can him after this game is over is LSU doesn't win. I have LSU winning by 3, this is a 30-27 type game.
Boise State +11 1/2 (5 units) - can't back Franklin once again, vs SMU was easy since it was at Happy Valley, this one in Arizona has slight edge for Boise which has solid WRs & TEs and a "D" which had 51 sacks, Maddox Madsen threw only 3 picks in 361 attempts for Boise, which played and lost a close one to Oregon, so if there's a matchup likeness, Penn State also played Oregon but on a neutral field and Oregon beat Penn St. I can see Boise winning this one or keeping it close. Penn St 31 Boise 30
Arizona State +13 1/2 (5 units) - Texas is 8-2 Su vs Bowl teams, Sun Devs are 4-1 SU & ATS vs Bowl teams and thrive as an underdog, Sun Devs said to be one dimensional with Skattebo toting the rock and catching the rock, but Sun Devs are very gritty and I think they can hang with the Horns and they'll put pressure on Ewers from a "D" which thrives on turnovers. Leavitt wants this game badly and he had a pretty good year passing with on 5 INTS in 304 attempts and he likes to RPO. Skattebo averages 6 yards per carry is what Horns have to key on so if they do, Sun Devs will need to pass a bit more, Guillory WR and Metayer TE are key receivers, Sun Devs have team speed too. Horns have the usual suspects with the huge RB whom the Sun Devs will key on and if anyone watched ASU vs Iowa St, State got shut the hell upped by the Sun Devs and we saw what State did vs Miami but to their defense Miami's "D" sucks!! Sun Devs "D" with only 21 sacks and 45 PD (pass deflections) and 15 INTS. Texas with Wisner RB & Golden, two keys offensive weapons, which matchup equally vs Sun Devs. Defensively Texas 41 sacks and 20 INTS key. Also wildcard is TE Helm for Texas, check his injury situation as he got nailed a few times vs Clemson but should be good to go. UT 34 ASU 27
Ohio State -2 (10 units) BOWL GAME OF YEAR: Revenge situation for Buckeyes, Ducks had a week off to get healthy, Buckeyes with momentum after beating a decent "D" in Tennessee but Ducks offense is wide open so Buckeyes after 1st matchup will need to make adjustments as will the Ducks having to make adjustments from early season game vs Buckeyes. The key here will be putting pressure on Gabriel which can be done and Will Howard is going to need to be exemplarary vs Ducks "D". The key ingredient in this game is it's in the Rose Bowl, both teams play well there. Buckeyes are 5-2 SU vs Bowl teams 4-3 ATS, while Ducks are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS vs Bowl teams. On the road, Ducks had trubs vs Wisky and Buckeyes only road tilt loss was at Eugene by a smidgen. Ryan Day gets a lot of shit for his under-performance vs Michigan, however in the key game to move onto the CFP Championshp, Will Howard will have to utilize the frosh WR who should be a #1 pick in 2 years in Jeremiah Smith, but he's got company at the receiver spot with a decent TE in Gee Scott, the 2 headed RB monster in Judkins & Henderson I feel are the difference in this game and turnover edge. Buckeyes with 37 sacks but only 9 iNTS but 47 PD. Ducks with Jordan James at RB will be who Buckeyes have to key on, he's probably an NFL caliber back who can receive out of the backfield as well. Oregon's offensive weapons will have to be shut down by Buckeyes which I see them doing. Ducks have 40 sacks 57 PD yet only 12 INTS. Banking on Will Howard here to nut up! I have Ohio St winning by 4-7 points. 30-23 type game!!
Notre Dame +1 1/2 (1 unit) - Love the Irish only because with Love in the backfield it makes the Irish more than 1 dimensional, Irish recievers are good as well. Georgia's had some time off since SEC Championship beat Texas and they rallied around Stockton at QB but for me, he's not a quick twitch QB, he'll have to be pin point on passing and Ettiene will have to take load off with a solid running day vs Irish front 7 missing one of their key guys but overall "D", Irish are tough, shutting down run first offenses and making turnovers count (USC game) so Georgia has to play flawless, this game at Neutral site in NOLA, Freeman is a solid coach, Smart has a team that makes adjustments, this game will come down to execution, flawless execution and looking at overall body of work, I feel Irish have the intangibles to get the SU win. Irish are 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS vs Bowl teams, while Georgia is 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS vs Bowl teams. Riley Leonard key here with Love vs Stockton & Ettiene. 16 turnover edge to Irish key!! ND 24 GA 20.
18-9-1, +8.1, 1 unit plays
3-0, +3.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser
1-1, -.10, 1 unit halftime plays
0-0, 1 unit moneyline plays
7-7, +1.15, 1 unit live plays
8-6, +1.90, 1 unit prop plays
4-0, +20.0, 5 unit plays
0-0, 5 unit half-time plays
1-1, -2.0, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser
5-3, +7.75, 5 unit live plays
3-4, -6.0, 5 unit prop plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit live plays
BOWL GAME OF YEAR - 10 units
BOWL TOTAL OF YEAR - 10 units
WIN.....51.....LOSS.....31...., PUSH...1...., +43.8 units, as of 12/14/24
Michigan +13 1/2 (1 unit) - Bama dissed by the CFP for final 12 spot really? You have 3 losses, Oklahoma, Vandy & Tennessee, ok they were on the road, but in order to get into a Championship playoff, I'd think you need to win on the road too!! Wolverines as a DDD vs Ohio State took their best shot at the Buckeyes and shut down the running game and Will Howard? That's amazing tbh and at Ohio State, even more amazing. How did they do that? Wolverine's "D" isn't bad folks, they can put pressure on the running game and passing game, the key is to keep their "D" on the field which Bama will try and do with Milroe and whatever's left in the running game. I have this as a touchdown game, 27-20. Edwards is out for Michigan however he's not the best RB Michigan has, they do have Mullings and a few young players who have amazing talent. Bama has Jam Miller to deliver the tote with Milroe, the key is Bama turns the ball over way too much and will be the difference in this game RB Mullings for Michigan will not play,
Louisville -2 1/2 (5 units) - Cards with senior BU QB Bailey, 6-6 in passing in his only action for Ville, Slough is out (portal pussy) yet Cards have the talent here on "D" and key positions to beat Washington who's using Demond Williams a pipsqueak QB who can run, his passing is meh if he can even see over the linemen, Washington with bad losses to Wazoo, Rutgers, Iowa, Indiana and Penn St, quality win over Michigan? Meh. Sun Bowl typically a dog cover or win SU bowl, however, Bailey being a senior and finally getting a chance to QB may be the difference in this tilt and I'll take Brohm, what I don't like is ACC has yet to cover in a bowl game, Clemson could have a push vs Texas most of us had Texas <-14 however. Huskies have a talented WR in Boston also Giles Jackson w/TE Lutu and RB if he plays in Coleman, on D Huskies had only 20 sacks in 12 games? OUCH. Isaac Brown & Watson RBs for Cards are legit pounders, missing Brooks at WR (opt out-portal pussy, NFL Draft) hurts but depth at WR for Cards w/Bell, TE Redman future NFL TE, Cards on D with 29 sacks should be key here. Cards 5-3 SU vs Bowl teams while U Dub 2-6 SU vs Bowl teams.
LSU +4 (5 units) - this is an anti Baylor pick, the Bears are just 3-3 SU vs Bowl teams while LSU is 6-4 SU, this game in Houston, both teams with many players from that area, however, LSU solid QB in Nussmeier, has some keys wins and Brian Kelly fighting for his job, although he'd get a nice pay out if LSU decides to can him after this game is over is LSU doesn't win. I have LSU winning by 3, this is a 30-27 type game.
Boise State +11 1/2 (5 units) - can't back Franklin once again, vs SMU was easy since it was at Happy Valley, this one in Arizona has slight edge for Boise which has solid WRs & TEs and a "D" which had 51 sacks, Maddox Madsen threw only 3 picks in 361 attempts for Boise, which played and lost a close one to Oregon, so if there's a matchup likeness, Penn State also played Oregon but on a neutral field and Oregon beat Penn St. I can see Boise winning this one or keeping it close. Penn St 31 Boise 30
Arizona State +13 1/2 (5 units) - Texas is 8-2 Su vs Bowl teams, Sun Devs are 4-1 SU & ATS vs Bowl teams and thrive as an underdog, Sun Devs said to be one dimensional with Skattebo toting the rock and catching the rock, but Sun Devs are very gritty and I think they can hang with the Horns and they'll put pressure on Ewers from a "D" which thrives on turnovers. Leavitt wants this game badly and he had a pretty good year passing with on 5 INTS in 304 attempts and he likes to RPO. Skattebo averages 6 yards per carry is what Horns have to key on so if they do, Sun Devs will need to pass a bit more, Guillory WR and Metayer TE are key receivers, Sun Devs have team speed too. Horns have the usual suspects with the huge RB whom the Sun Devs will key on and if anyone watched ASU vs Iowa St, State got shut the hell upped by the Sun Devs and we saw what State did vs Miami but to their defense Miami's "D" sucks!! Sun Devs "D" with only 21 sacks and 45 PD (pass deflections) and 15 INTS. Texas with Wisner RB & Golden, two keys offensive weapons, which matchup equally vs Sun Devs. Defensively Texas 41 sacks and 20 INTS key. Also wildcard is TE Helm for Texas, check his injury situation as he got nailed a few times vs Clemson but should be good to go. UT 34 ASU 27
Ohio State -2 (10 units) BOWL GAME OF YEAR: Revenge situation for Buckeyes, Ducks had a week off to get healthy, Buckeyes with momentum after beating a decent "D" in Tennessee but Ducks offense is wide open so Buckeyes after 1st matchup will need to make adjustments as will the Ducks having to make adjustments from early season game vs Buckeyes. The key here will be putting pressure on Gabriel which can be done and Will Howard is going to need to be exemplarary vs Ducks "D". The key ingredient in this game is it's in the Rose Bowl, both teams play well there. Buckeyes are 5-2 SU vs Bowl teams 4-3 ATS, while Ducks are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS vs Bowl teams. On the road, Ducks had trubs vs Wisky and Buckeyes only road tilt loss was at Eugene by a smidgen. Ryan Day gets a lot of shit for his under-performance vs Michigan, however in the key game to move onto the CFP Championshp, Will Howard will have to utilize the frosh WR who should be a #1 pick in 2 years in Jeremiah Smith, but he's got company at the receiver spot with a decent TE in Gee Scott, the 2 headed RB monster in Judkins & Henderson I feel are the difference in this game and turnover edge. Buckeyes with 37 sacks but only 9 iNTS but 47 PD. Ducks with Jordan James at RB will be who Buckeyes have to key on, he's probably an NFL caliber back who can receive out of the backfield as well. Oregon's offensive weapons will have to be shut down by Buckeyes which I see them doing. Ducks have 40 sacks 57 PD yet only 12 INTS. Banking on Will Howard here to nut up! I have Ohio St winning by 4-7 points. 30-23 type game!!
Notre Dame +1 1/2 (1 unit) - Love the Irish only because with Love in the backfield it makes the Irish more than 1 dimensional, Irish recievers are good as well. Georgia's had some time off since SEC Championship beat Texas and they rallied around Stockton at QB but for me, he's not a quick twitch QB, he'll have to be pin point on passing and Ettiene will have to take load off with a solid running day vs Irish front 7 missing one of their key guys but overall "D", Irish are tough, shutting down run first offenses and making turnovers count (USC game) so Georgia has to play flawless, this game at Neutral site in NOLA, Freeman is a solid coach, Smart has a team that makes adjustments, this game will come down to execution, flawless execution and looking at overall body of work, I feel Irish have the intangibles to get the SU win. Irish are 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS vs Bowl teams, while Georgia is 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS vs Bowl teams. Riley Leonard key here with Love vs Stockton & Ettiene. 16 turnover edge to Irish key!! ND 24 GA 20.
18-9-1, +8.1, 1 unit plays
3-0, +3.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser
1-1, -.10, 1 unit halftime plays
0-0, 1 unit moneyline plays
7-7, +1.15, 1 unit live plays
8-6, +1.90, 1 unit prop plays
4-0, +20.0, 5 unit plays
0-0, 5 unit half-time plays
1-1, -2.0, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser
5-3, +7.75, 5 unit live plays
3-4, -6.0, 5 unit prop plays
1-0, +10.0, 10 unit live plays
BOWL GAME OF YEAR - 10 units
BOWL TOTAL OF YEAR - 10 units
WIN.....51.....LOSS.....31...., PUSH...1...., +43.8 units, as of 12/14/24
Turnovers!!! And equipment manager really did his job for this game!! Michigan was only 38% to cover 17 1/2? WOW!!
Louisville now +1 1/2? Somethings up there!! Washington backers must think Demond Williams is the real deal!! Can't back the Huskies, taking the edge of L'ville experience over Washington having new head coach who was at Arizona last year. Huskies missing some big boys on OL and DL!
Experiencing system delays at Bo? Really? Can’t get any live plays in or Prop plays for later tonight. Argh 😠
It gets aggrevating tbh, they are saying I attempted to login in with invalid password? Change it, confirmed, etc., says they have suspended/blocked me for at least an hour.
Was looking at PROP BETS for Penn St/Boise this evening. Also wanted to play over Penn St/Boise, I only have 1 offshore book as Bama doesn't allow FD DK or ESPNBET.
PROP BETS: I had to research MGM, DK & FD for these props and odds
Caples over 28 1/2 yards receiving (BOISE) -115 (5 units) - Madsen usually find this guy when all the other WRs & TE are covered
Maddux Madsen over 5 1/2 rushing yards (BOISE) -115 (1 unit) - this guy will tuckit and runit with pressure on him
Warren (PENN ST) under 76 1/2 yards receiving -115 (1 unit) - Boise will key on this guy, for me, he's better than Brock Bowers.
Jeanty (BOISE) over 127 1/2 yards receiving -115 (1 unit) - he averages more than this, Penn St typically front 7 stronger against the rush, Jeanty will find his on this Arizona turface
-added action-
OVER 52 1/2 Penn St/Boise (5 units) - expecting a shootout even though both teams have a "D" which can give QBs fits, Oregon seemed to abuse the Penn St "D" and Boise has a lot of weapons in which they kept it close vs Oregon on the road earlier in the year. This is a 35-31 type game!!!
Caples over 28 1/2 yards receiving (BOISE) -115 (5 units) - Madsen usually find this guy when all the other WRs & TE are covered
Maddux Madsen over 5 1/2 rushing yards (BOISE) -115 (1 unit) - this guy will tuckit and runit with pressure on him
Warren (PENN ST) under 76 1/2 yards receiving -115 (1 unit) - Boise will key on this guy, for me, he's better than Brock Bowers.
Jeanty (BOISE) over 127 1/2 yards receiving -115 (1 unit) - he averages more than this, Penn St typically front 7 stronger against the rush, Jeanty will find his on this Arizona turface
-added action-
OVER 52 1/2 Penn St/Boise (5 units) - expecting a shootout even though both teams have a "D" which can give QBs fits, Oregon seemed to abuse the Penn St "D" and Boise has a lot of weapons in which they kept it close vs Oregon on the road earlier in the year. This is a 35-31 type game!!!
