Wild NBA Post-Season picks thread

Big G21

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Thanks for all your help!!! It has been a great playoff run!! See you in cfb unless you happen to come across one more 5/10 unit nba total play!! :) thx again BG
 

WildBillPicks7

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Heat/Spurs Repeat

Heat/Spurs Repeat

Repeat of last year's finals matchup.

Head to head this year, both teams won at home and won by DD, 1 over 1 under.

Last year Heat won in 7, game 6 was pivotal of course with Ray Ray hitting trey to spoil Spurs' championship clincher.

Both teams reverse power ratings on sagarin.

SA average 107-99 at home, Heat 99-97 on the road

H2H, last 39, 28 have gone under the number, SA is 23-17 SU in last 40

L3 years, 7-5 overs, SA 6-6 SU but 4-8 ATS.

Spurs slightly older and experienced over Heat, Spurs a #1 seed, Heat #2 seed.

This should be a very good series barring any horrendous injury/injuries to any of the top players, Parker as we know has been injury prone, as has Wade.

Opening number, SA -4 198 1/2, the 198 1/2 is based on matchup score first meeting in SA where SA won 111-87.

Betting public 63% on Spurs spread, 50/50 ML and 48/52 on UNDER in Game 1.

Last year, road team won game 1 as a 6 pt opening line dog and total was 188, SA @ Miami 92-88.

Heat with slightly more rest than Spurs going into this matchup. Spurs very tough at home. Heat very tough as a road dog, Heat 1-1 as a road dog of 4-6 pts, Spurs just 3-2 as a home fav of 4-6.

In post-season, Heat are 12-3 overall, 11-3 over, Spurs are 12-6 and 10-8 over.

GL with game one tonight - I pass.

BOL!! I may have a play or so in this thread after tonights first game.

GL once again!

:toast:
 

WildBillPicks7

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Spurs -4 (1 unit)

UNDER 199 1/2 (1 unit)


GL!!

Heat - after a loss by 10 points or more this year 6-6 ATS, L3 years 20-16

Heat as a road dog of 3 1/2 to 6 pts: this year 0-4, L3 yrs 5-5

Spurs - after a win by 10 points or more this year 25-18 ATS, L3 years 70-50

Spurs now 15-7 as a home fav since 2011, Heat 5-8-1 as a road dog since 2011.

:0003
 

WildBillPicks7

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Spurs off a home loss by a narrow 2 pt margin, atone for poor FT showing, Heat off big win after huge loss in Spurs heated building!!

SPURS +4 1/2 (3 units)
UNDER 197 1/2 (1 unit)


1 unit.....33-28-3, +2.5
3 unit.....6-3-1, +8.1
5 unit.....6-5-1, +2.5
10 unit...1-0, +10.0
Money Line..0-2, -2.0
Teasers...2-2, -4.0
WON..49....LOSS...40..PUSH..5...,+17.3 as of 4/19/2014
 

WildBillPicks7

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Game 4, June 12

Game 4, June 12

5 pt tease: Heat pk & Under 202 1/2 (1 unit) - Going with how Heat typically respond after DD home beat down.

1 unit.....33-29-3, +1.4
3 unit.....7-3-1, +11.1
5 unit.....6-5-1, +2.5
10 unit...1-0, +10.0
Money Line..0-2, -2.0
Teasers...2-2, -4.0
WON..50....LOSS...41..PUSH..5...,+19.2 as of 4/19/2014
 

WildBillPicks7

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Game 5

Over 195 (10 units) Heat struggling to contain guards for Spurs as well as playing upbeat tempo to keep up with the Spurs, they are down 3-1, dog has covered and won 3 of 4 in this series to date, 1 over and 3 unders thus far depending on your closing number of the totals, this one should go well above 200 pts.

GL!
 

WildBillPicks7

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Game 5

Over 195 (10 units) Heat struggling to contain guards for Spurs as well as playing upbeat tempo to keep up with the Spurs, they are down 3-1, dog has covered and won 3 of 4 in this series to date, 1 over and 3 unders thus far depending on your closing number of the totals, this one should go well above 200 pts.

GL!

Heat +5 1/2 (3 units) Heat with backs against the wall when facing elimination, Dog covered 3 of first 4, I think LeBron brings his A+ game tonight and adjustments made by cagey vets should pay off, looks like a 2-4 pt type game to me, Spurs 110 - Heat 108!

1 unit.....33-29-3, +1.4
3 unit.....7-3-1, +11.1
5 unit.....6-5-1, +2.5
10 unit...1-0, +10.0
Money Line..0-2, -2.0
Teasers...2-2, -4.0
WON..50....LOSS...41..PUSH..5...,+19.2 as of 4/19/2014



New Management System format, 3/18/2014 - END OF NBA REGULAR SEASON
1 unit.....23-28-1 -8.8
3 unit.....11-6-2, +13.2
5 unit.....2-0, +10.0
10 unit...
Round Robin x 3...-3.04
Money Line..1-1, +4.25
Teasers...3-1, +2.85
WON..39....LOSS...36..PUSH..3...+20.19, since 3/18/2014.


14-24-1, -17.4 units, since 03/01/2014

1 unit....178-142-3, +23.0
2 unit....59-44, +21.2
3 unit....15-9, +13.3
4 unit....9-9, -3.6
5 unit....16-22-3, -41.0
TT prop...0-1 -5.0
Teasers...6-15, -17.01
Parlay/RR....3-8, +6.61
ML........4-0, +7.0
NBA Game of Year....Suns pk, WON 117-103, 01/19/14, +10.0 units
NBA Total of Year...WON, +10.0, 11/24/13, Over 193 Chi/Clips, final LAC 121 CHI 82.
Sides....170-152-5, 52.79%...Totals....113-74-1,...60.42%...+28.1
WON....290.....LOSS....250....PUSH....6, Units....+28.1 from October 27, 2013 to March 1, 2014.
 

WildBillPicks7

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Miserable loss on the total, even moving it 2 pts from 195 to 197, fall short by 6 pts, missed free throws and turnovers kill ya!!

Congrats to the Spurs!! Obviously the better defensive and team collaboration did it!!

Thank you for all the MJ Forum supporters of the Wild Man's picks the last 2 plus years - 2013/2014 was another positive year, starting with a 100 unit bankroll and staying positive isn't an easy feat and coming out over 100 plus units the last 2 years should have put a lil cash in your bankrolls for football!

Now it's time to study the new rosters, new coaches and systems for the colleges and NFL!

Thanks again!

Game 5, Sunday, June 15

OVER 195 (10 units) LOSS 104-87
Heat +5 1/2 (3 units) LOSS


1 unit.....33-29-3, +1.4
3 unit.....7-4-1, +7.8
5 unit.....6-5-1, +2.5
10 unit...1-10, -1.0
Money Line..0-2, -2.0
Teasers...2-2, -4.0
WON..50....LOSS...43..PUSH..5...,+4.8 as of 4/19/2014



New Management System format, 3/18/2014 - END OF NBA REGULAR SEASON
1 unit.....23-28-1 -8.8
3 unit.....11-6-2, +13.2
5 unit.....2-0, +10.0
10 unit...
Round Robin x 3...-3.04
Money Line..1-1, +4.25
Teasers...3-1, +2.85
WON..39....LOSS...36..PUSH..3...+20.19, since 3/18/2014.


14-24-1, -17.4 units, since 03/01/2014

1 unit....178-142-3, +23.0
2 unit....59-44, +21.2
3 unit....15-9, +13.3
4 unit....9-9, -3.6
5 unit....16-22-3, -41.0
TT prop...0-1 -5.0
Teasers...6-15, -17.01
Parlay/RR....3-8, +6.61
ML........4-0, +7.0
NBA Game of Year....Suns pk, WON 117-103, 01/19/14, +10.0 units
NBA Total of Year...WON, +10.0, 11/24/13, Over 193 Chi/Clips, final LAC 121 CHI 82.

Sides....170-152-5, 52.79%...Totals....113-74-1,...60.42%...+28.1
WON....290.....LOSS....250....PUSH....6, Units....+28.1 from October 27, 2013 to March 1, 2014.
 
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