WiLd NfL pIcKs 2024-25
- Thread starter WildBillPicks7
- Start date
Week 18 NFL Saturday 1/4/25 to Sunday 1/5/25
PROP PLAYS:
Burrow over 289 yards passing -115 (5 units) - Joey boy had 309 yards passing last time vs Pittsburgh, this is win or go home!!
Najee Harris over 60 yards rushing +175 (5 units) - Bunholes all year can't stop the other team from doing anything
1st Half: Over 21 1/2 Browns/Ravens (5 units)
Regular plays:
7 pt: Over 41 Cin/Pitt & Over 34 1/2 Cle/Ravens (5 units)
Over 41 1/2 Browns/Ravens - Ravens just need to win to secure AFC North and in revenge mode over loss at Brownyville
Over 48 Cincy/Pitt
Over 43 NOLA/TB - Tampa still needs to win to secure NFC Sowff
Under 38 1/2 Buf/NE- Allen most likely out for Buff along with other key skills players, Pats playing for what? Jobs?
Over 40 1/2 Chi/GB - Packers are in the post-season, won by 1 at Chicago thanks to a botched FG by daBears, Bears playing for? Packers at home in a much colder environment than last time, should be a scoring machine game
KC +10 (5 units) - Denver likely to win this? Ok. Wentz playing for pride, when KC was a DDD last time? Denver has to win to get the W/C, this should be a tight game
Chargers -5 1/2 - Chargers have a W/C but still need to win for seeding, Herbert likely will play limited if any action at all, leaving Stick as QB, Faiders playing for Pride.
Atlanta -8 - Falcons off bad loss where they failed to use the clock correctly vs Wash to get closer for a FG which would have put them tied with Tampon Bay. Penix game #3 for him, he's improving overall, Pitts had a great game finally last week, Bryce Young likely to start for Panthers, Panthers last 2 losses crushed them
Over 44 Wash/Dallas - Dallas last home game, Ceedee out, Elliott I believe is out, Lance likely to get a lot more action in this one than Cooper Rush, Wash off 2 big wins in a row vs Philly & Atlanta, lost at home vs Boys yet they are in the playoffs, so Daniels could be limited to action.
Dallas +4 1/2
Eagles -2 1/2 (5 units) - no Barkley, most likely no Pickett or AJ Brown, Eagles going for record tying 14 win season, last was in '22, Giants in position still for #1 NFL Draft pick, they play lousy in Philly, Lock playing for a contract, he's the best QB the Gints have and their "D" sucks, Eagles should win this even with McKee, Gainwell, Dotson, Calcaterra by 7!!
Niners +4 1/2 - Niners off MNF let down beat, have no expectations than to end on a good note. Arizona sucks.
Pitt +2 1/2 (5 units) - Steelers with rare 3 straight game losing skid all as dogs must win for seeding, Fields likely to get more snaps, Bengals with outside slim if no chance at post-season so long as Denver wins. Steelers won at Cincy and should do the same at home in last regular season home game, as they'll probably not play a post-season game at home.
Over 56 Viqueens/Lions (5 units) - fight for #1 seed? Highly doubt both teams will leave their starters in the entire game if it gets lopsided.
Vikings +3 (5 units) - Lions should have opened a higher favorite than 2 1/2. Vikings going in right direction and this will be a battle until the end.
7 pt: Pitts +9 1/2, Eagles +4 1/2, Chiefs +17 (1 unit) +120
83-74-1, +1.6, 1 unit plays
5-6, -1.6, 1 unit 7 pt teaser
7-10-1, -3.6, 1 unit live
0-2, -2.0, 1 unit parlay
1-3, -2.7, 1 unit money line plays
16-21, -3.45, 1 unit prop plays
3-1, +3.75, 1 unit halftime plays
29-22-3, +25.75, 5 unit plays
2-0, +10.0, 5 unit moneyline plays
34-13-1, +86.5, 5 unit live plays
3-4, -7.0, 5 unit halftime
34-26-2, +34.25, 5 unit player prop plays
7-4, +11.5, 5 unit 7 pt teaser
3-1, +27.5, 10 unit live plays
+10.0 units, WINNER, 11/17/24 Over 45 KC/BUFF, BUFF 31 KC 20, TOTAL OF THE YEAR
+10.0 units, WINNER, 28-27, Pittsburgh +2 1/2, 11/10/24, PIT 28 WASH 27-GAME OF YEAR
WON…..229….LOSS…..187…..PUSH….8.., +200.50, since of 9/9/24, total units corrected as of 12/31/24
PROP PLAYS:
Burrow over 289 yards passing -115 (5 units) - Joey boy had 309 yards passing last time vs Pittsburgh, this is win or go home!!
Najee Harris over 60 yards rushing +175 (5 units) - Bunholes all year can't stop the other team from doing anything
1st Half: Over 21 1/2 Browns/Ravens (5 units)
Regular plays:
7 pt: Over 41 Cin/Pitt & Over 34 1/2 Cle/Ravens (5 units)
Over 41 1/2 Browns/Ravens - Ravens just need to win to secure AFC North and in revenge mode over loss at Brownyville
Over 48 Cincy/Pitt
Over 43 NOLA/TB - Tampa still needs to win to secure NFC Sowff
Under 38 1/2 Buf/NE- Allen most likely out for Buff along with other key skills players, Pats playing for what? Jobs?
Over 40 1/2 Chi/GB - Packers are in the post-season, won by 1 at Chicago thanks to a botched FG by daBears, Bears playing for? Packers at home in a much colder environment than last time, should be a scoring machine game
KC +10 (5 units) - Denver likely to win this? Ok. Wentz playing for pride, when KC was a DDD last time? Denver has to win to get the W/C, this should be a tight game
Chargers -5 1/2 - Chargers have a W/C but still need to win for seeding, Herbert likely will play limited if any action at all, leaving Stick as QB, Faiders playing for Pride.
Atlanta -8 - Falcons off bad loss where they failed to use the clock correctly vs Wash to get closer for a FG which would have put them tied with Tampon Bay. Penix game #3 for him, he's improving overall, Pitts had a great game finally last week, Bryce Young likely to start for Panthers, Panthers last 2 losses crushed them
Over 44 Wash/Dallas - Dallas last home game, Ceedee out, Elliott I believe is out, Lance likely to get a lot more action in this one than Cooper Rush, Wash off 2 big wins in a row vs Philly & Atlanta, lost at home vs Boys yet they are in the playoffs, so Daniels could be limited to action.
Dallas +4 1/2
Eagles -2 1/2 (5 units) - no Barkley, most likely no Pickett or AJ Brown, Eagles going for record tying 14 win season, last was in '22, Giants in position still for #1 NFL Draft pick, they play lousy in Philly, Lock playing for a contract, he's the best QB the Gints have and their "D" sucks, Eagles should win this even with McKee, Gainwell, Dotson, Calcaterra by 7!!
Niners +4 1/2 - Niners off MNF let down beat, have no expectations than to end on a good note. Arizona sucks.
Pitt +2 1/2 (5 units) - Steelers with rare 3 straight game losing skid all as dogs must win for seeding, Fields likely to get more snaps, Bengals with outside slim if no chance at post-season so long as Denver wins. Steelers won at Cincy and should do the same at home in last regular season home game, as they'll probably not play a post-season game at home.
Over 56 Viqueens/Lions (5 units) - fight for #1 seed? Highly doubt both teams will leave their starters in the entire game if it gets lopsided.
Vikings +3 (5 units) - Lions should have opened a higher favorite than 2 1/2. Vikings going in right direction and this will be a battle until the end.
7 pt: Pitts +9 1/2, Eagles +4 1/2, Chiefs +17 (1 unit) +120
83-74-1, +1.6, 1 unit plays
5-6, -1.6, 1 unit 7 pt teaser
7-10-1, -3.6, 1 unit live
0-2, -2.0, 1 unit parlay
1-3, -2.7, 1 unit money line plays
16-21, -3.45, 1 unit prop plays
3-1, +3.75, 1 unit halftime plays
29-22-3, +25.75, 5 unit plays
2-0, +10.0, 5 unit moneyline plays
34-13-1, +86.5, 5 unit live plays
3-4, -7.0, 5 unit halftime
34-26-2, +34.25, 5 unit player prop plays
7-4, +11.5, 5 unit 7 pt teaser
3-1, +27.5, 10 unit live plays
+10.0 units, WINNER, 11/17/24 Over 45 KC/BUFF, BUFF 31 KC 20, TOTAL OF THE YEAR
+10.0 units, WINNER, 28-27, Pittsburgh +2 1/2, 11/10/24, PIT 28 WASH 27-GAME OF YEAR
WON…..229….LOSS…..187…..PUSH….8.., +200.50, since of 9/9/24, total units corrected as of 12/31/24
Last edited:
Baltimore will pull starters on offense now up 18 points and Henry birthday touchy!! 6:44 minutes left.
In my Fonzarelli voice "I was wrrrrrrr.....wrrrrrr.......!"
I guess you get 2 touchy on your birthday eh? Highest line covered by an NFL favorite in some time over 20 points. Loved seeing it drop to 19/19 1/2, all the sharps getting bit!! That line opened at -14 1/2 Balt and that was value!!
Blah Saturday, missed Burrow yards by 14 & Najee gets a blow and misses by 20, also 1H at 21 1/2, misses by stupid play calling!! I know it was cold in Pissburgh but geez!!
Final day of the season, play with you head here!! A lot teams with players that need incentives for big pay outs, some playoff scenarios involving Tampon Bay, Atlanta, Denver, Miami meh, New England wants the 1st NFL Draft pick, Giants want redemption and get no chance to face Saqoun again I pitty da foooos, Detroit & Minnesota for #1 seed? Does that really matter? Both play indoors!!
These lines were locked in on Wednesday, some of the lines have changed since: They are all still plays!! GOOD LUCK TODAY!
Over 43, NOLA/TB - Tampa still needs to win to secure NFC Sowff
Under 38 1/2, Buf/NE- Allen most likely out for Buff along with other key skills players, Pats playing for what? Jobs?
Over 40 1/2 Chi/GB - Packers are in the post-season, won by 1 at Chicago thanks to a botched FG by daBears, Bears playing for? Packers at home in a much colder environment than last time, should be a scoring machine game
KC +10, (5 units) - Denver likely to win this? Ok. Wentz playing for pride, when KC was a DDD last time? Denver has to win to get the W/C, this should be a tight game
Chargers -5 1/2 - Chargers have a W/C but still need to win for seeding, Herbert likely will play limited if any action at all, leaving Stick as QB, Faiders playing for Pride.
Atlanta -8, - Falcons off bad loss where they failed to use the clock correctly vs Wash to get closer for a FG which would have put them tied with Tampon Bay. Penix game #3 for him, he's improving overall, Pitts had a great game finally last week, Bryce Young likely to start for Panthers, Panthers last 2 losses crushed them
Over 44 Wash/Dallas - Dallas last home game, Ceedee out, Elliott I believe is out, Lance likely to get a lot more action in this one than Cooper Rush, Wash off 2 big wins in a row vs Philly & Atlanta, lost at home vs Boys yet they are in the playoffs, so Daniels could be limited to action.
Dallas +4 1/2
Eagles -2 1/2 (5 units) - no Barkley, most likely no Pickett or AJ Brown, Eagles going for record tying 14 win season, last was in '22, Giants in position still for #1 NFL Draft pick, they play lousy in Philly, Lock playing for a contract, he's the best QB the Gints have and their "D" sucks, Eagles should win this even with McKee, Gainwell, Dotson, Calcaterra by 7!!
Niners +4 1/2 - Niners off MNF let down beat, have no expectations than to end on a good note. Arizona sucks.
Over 56 Viqueens/Lions (5 units) - fight for #1 seed? Highly doubt both teams will leave their starters in the entire game if it gets lopsided.
Vikings +3 (5 units) - Lions should have opened a higher favorite than 2 1/2. Vikings going in right direction and this will be a battle until the end.
7 pt: Pitts +9 1/2, Eagles +4 1/2, Chiefs +17 (1 unit) +120
Final day of the season, play with you head here!! A lot teams with players that need incentives for big pay outs, some playoff scenarios involving Tampon Bay, Atlanta, Denver, Miami meh, New England wants the 1st NFL Draft pick, Giants want redemption and get no chance to face Saqoun again I pitty da foooos, Detroit & Minnesota for #1 seed? Does that really matter? Both play indoors!!
These lines were locked in on Wednesday, some of the lines have changed since: They are all still plays!! GOOD LUCK TODAY!
Over 43, NOLA/TB - Tampa still needs to win to secure NFC Sowff
Under 38 1/2, Buf/NE- Allen most likely out for Buff along with other key skills players, Pats playing for what? Jobs?
Over 40 1/2 Chi/GB - Packers are in the post-season, won by 1 at Chicago thanks to a botched FG by daBears, Bears playing for? Packers at home in a much colder environment than last time, should be a scoring machine game
KC +10, (5 units) - Denver likely to win this? Ok. Wentz playing for pride, when KC was a DDD last time? Denver has to win to get the W/C, this should be a tight game
Chargers -5 1/2 - Chargers have a W/C but still need to win for seeding, Herbert likely will play limited if any action at all, leaving Stick as QB, Faiders playing for Pride.
Atlanta -8, - Falcons off bad loss where they failed to use the clock correctly vs Wash to get closer for a FG which would have put them tied with Tampon Bay. Penix game #3 for him, he's improving overall, Pitts had a great game finally last week, Bryce Young likely to start for Panthers, Panthers last 2 losses crushed them
Over 44 Wash/Dallas - Dallas last home game, Ceedee out, Elliott I believe is out, Lance likely to get a lot more action in this one than Cooper Rush, Wash off 2 big wins in a row vs Philly & Atlanta, lost at home vs Boys yet they are in the playoffs, so Daniels could be limited to action.
Dallas +4 1/2
Eagles -2 1/2 (5 units) - no Barkley, most likely no Pickett or AJ Brown, Eagles going for record tying 14 win season, last was in '22, Giants in position still for #1 NFL Draft pick, they play lousy in Philly, Lock playing for a contract, he's the best QB the Gints have and their "D" sucks, Eagles should win this even with McKee, Gainwell, Dotson, Calcaterra by 7!!
Niners +4 1/2 - Niners off MNF let down beat, have no expectations than to end on a good note. Arizona sucks.
Over 56 Viqueens/Lions (5 units) - fight for #1 seed? Highly doubt both teams will leave their starters in the entire game if it gets lopsided.
Vikings +3 (5 units) - Lions should have opened a higher favorite than 2 1/2. Vikings going in right direction and this will be a battle until the end.
7 pt: Pitts +9 1/2, Eagles +4 1/2, Chiefs +17 (1 unit) +120
FWIW Dolphin's HC McDaniel has a clause in his contract for seasons over >500 record and needs the win over the J-E-T-S!!! Swam song for A-ROD too, he's horrible and even worse in last game of the season situations as a fav!
I despise the HC for the Dolphins, McGenius, he's an analytics guy, what he says in the locker room and how he motivates is beyond belief, so the answer to that question is NOOOOOOO eff'ing way!! Gun to my head,
7 pt: Dolphins +8 1/2 & Over 49 Vikings/Lions (1 unit)
7-17, -34.6 units for week 18, not the week I wanted of course, and for the Vikings to lay a total egg at Detroit was embarassing. How many redzone chances the Vikings had for 9 fucking points? Unbelievable!! Still had a fantastic year. The best since 1996!!
87-78-1, +1.2, 1 unit plays
5-8, -3.7, 1 unit 7 pt teaser
7-12-1, -5.7, 1 unit live
0-2, -2.0, 1 unit parlay
1-3, -2.7, 1 unit money line plays
16-22, -4.45, 1 unit prop plays
3-1, +3.75, 1 unit halftime plays
30-25-3, +14.25, 5 unit plays
2-0, +10.0, 5 unit moneyline plays
35-13-1, +91.5, 5 unit live plays
3-5, -12.5, 5 unit halftime
35-29-2, +22.75, 5 unit player prop plays
7-5, +6.0, 5 unit 7 pt teaser
3-1, +27.5, 10 unit live plays
+10.0 units, WINNER, 11/17/24 Over 45 KC/BUFF, BUFF 31 KC 20, TOTAL OF THE YEAR
+10.0 units, WINNER, 28-27, Pittsburgh +2 1/2, 11/10/24, PIT 28 WASH 27-GAME OF YEAR
WON…..236….LOSS…..204…..PUSH….8.., +165.9 since of 9/9/24, total units corrected as of 12/31/24
87-78-1, +1.2, 1 unit plays
5-8, -3.7, 1 unit 7 pt teaser
7-12-1, -5.7, 1 unit live
0-2, -2.0, 1 unit parlay
1-3, -2.7, 1 unit money line plays
16-22, -4.45, 1 unit prop plays
3-1, +3.75, 1 unit halftime plays
30-25-3, +14.25, 5 unit plays
2-0, +10.0, 5 unit moneyline plays
35-13-1, +91.5, 5 unit live plays
3-5, -12.5, 5 unit halftime
35-29-2, +22.75, 5 unit player prop plays
7-5, +6.0, 5 unit 7 pt teaser
3-1, +27.5, 10 unit live plays
+10.0 units, WINNER, 11/17/24 Over 45 KC/BUFF, BUFF 31 KC 20, TOTAL OF THE YEAR
+10.0 units, WINNER, 28-27, Pittsburgh +2 1/2, 11/10/24, PIT 28 WASH 27-GAME OF YEAR
WON…..236….LOSS…..204…..PUSH….8.., +165.9 since of 9/9/24, total units corrected as of 12/31/24
