That makes a lot of sense... I think I will try betting 1 unit each on draw (+210, +245, +210) tonight. Breaks down like this:
# draws W/L
0 -3.00
1 +0.10 to +0.45
2 +3.20 to +3.55
3 +6.65
Also trying 1 unit on Sweden/Nigeria under 2.5 -130.
Good luck Mr.!