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the duke

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Youngstown Connection

Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, October 09, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed:

San Jose -140 10:35 EST


Captain


20* Wf

15* Over Houst



Cobra


Wake Forest



Dave Cokin

Wake Forest



Cowton

Wake Forest
 

the duke

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Larry Ness

Manny joined the Dodgers and hit .396 with 17 homers and 53 RBIs in 53 regular-season games for LA. However, it was the team's 19-8 record from August 30 through the end of the regular season which gave the Dodgers the NL West title. The Phillies ran down the Mets in the NL East for the second year in a row, going 13-3 from September 11 through the end of the year. In the NLDS, the Dodgers swept the Cubs, who owned the NL's best record, while the Phillies beat the Brewers in four games. The series opens in Philadelphia and features a terrific pitching matchup. Derek Lowe goes for LA and Cole Hamels for Philadelphia. Lowe got hammered at St Louis on August 6, allowing 13 hits and eight ERs in 3.1 innings of a 9-6. He then beat the Phillies in LA in his next start 8-6, allowing three ERs in 6.1 innings. Since that game (including his Game 1 win over the Cubs in Wrigley), Lowe has allowed only eight ERs over 10 starts (63.2 innings), for an ERA of 1.13. However, LA's mark in those 10 games is just 6-4. Hamels hasn't been quite that good over a similar time frame, but not by much. Hamels lost at St Louis 6-3 on August 1 (6 IP / 8 hits / 4 ERs) but over his next 11 starts (including his Game 1 start vs the Brewers), allowed two ERs or less 10 times (allowed four ERs to the Mets in a loss). His ERA over that 11-game span was 2.16 but similar to Lowe's hard luck with the Dodgers, the Phillies were only 6-5 in those 11 starts. Lowe gets an edge with his recent playoff history, as he has not lost in the postseason since he was with Boston when he lost twice against the Yankees in the 2003 ALCS. Since that time, he's 4-0 with a 2.93 ERA in six playoff appearances, including his Game 1 win over the Cubs this year. Lowe is 4-0 with a 2.58 ERA in his last six outings versus the Phillies but the Phillies are 50-33 at home this year, including their two wins over the Brewers in the NLDS. Hamels faced LA twice in '08, both times going seven innings while allowing only two ERs (a win and a no-decision in a game Philly lost). It seems as if the Dodgers have been crowned this year's "team of destiny" because of Joe Torre and Manny but I'm not sure I'm buying into that. The Phillies lineup is much more dangerous overall than that of the Dodgers and let's remember that LA was only 36-45 on the road in the regular season. Hamels is at the least the equal of Lowe on the mound (I believe he's better) and I see the Phillies winning this game handily.

NLCS Game of the Year

20* PhiadelphiaPhillies
 

the duke

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RON RAYMOND

5* PRIVATE PLAYERS PLAYS
Boston Bruins / Colorado Avalanche Under 5.5 -130


5* NLCS GAME 1 PICK
Los Angeles Dodgers / Philadelphia Phillies Over 7.5 -110
 

the duke

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Nick Parsons

NHL Money Line
double-dime bet4 COL (-134)Bodog vs 3 BOS

Colorado The Avalanche were expected to exhibit more of a wide open style with the return of head coach Tony Granato. However, while the offense should be impressive, especially with ?all hands on deck? and healthy, the defense looks like it could also impress this season. With a top six featuring Adam Foote, Brett Clark, Jordan Leopold, Scott Hannan, John Michael-Liles, and Ruslan Salei, the Avs defense should enjoy success in shutting down a Bruins offense that is the club?s Achilles heel. Boston just can?t seem to score enough goals to enjoy success. Yes, Patrice Bergeron is back but don?t underestimate the loss of center Glen Metropolit as he?s the kind of gritty forward that makes things happen in the offensive zone. Also, Bergeron and goalie Manny Fernandez are both back and healthy for this season but it could take awhile for Bergeron to return to form and the question regarding Fernandez is how his return will impact the play of Tim Thomas who was solid during the time Fernandez was out. Now with Fernandez coming back for this season, could this get into the head of Thomas? As for the Avs, they bring a lot of firepower to the ice as usual and with Granato back we expect some solid offensive performances for this club as that will be his emphasis. Keep in mind that part of last season?s struggles for Colorado had to do with injury issues and being, for the most part, healthy coming into the season is a step in the right direction for this club. The injuries last season forced this Avs team to play under it?s potential. That is offering some line value to the Avalanche in this spot because, on home ice, and facing a weaker Eastern foe, the Avs should roll at home in this one! Colorado was 27-12-2 at the Pepsi Center last season while the Bruins won just 21 of their 41 road games last season. Also, the Avalanche did get off to a quick start last season as they went 7-4 in October. With Granato, 72-44-17 in his career, back coaching the Avs we see renewed enthusiasm with this club and that spills onto the ice right away in their home opener. The Avs in a home rout!



Greg Shaker

CFB Side
double-dime bet103 Clemson 2.5 (-110) BetUS vs 104 Wake Forest

Analysis: NCAAB: Clemson Tigers at Wake Forest Demon Deacons - Clemson +2.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2 UNIT "Destroyer"
Game Date: 10/9/2008
Note: This game was supposed to be a Big Game for both of these two teams winning the ACC's Atlantic Division. That may still be the case when it is all said and done, but the fact is, both squads have struggled this year and both most recently. We no know that the Tigers loss to Alabama was not as bad as first expected but losing at home to Maryland is a bad spot on their record. Wake's home setback to Navy was a shocker by anyone's imagination. So what gives in this game? I am sure that both squads have been hearing it from their coaching staffs over the last 10 days. They both will be ready to play. The Tigers have more to play with though and the key to this game is the Tigers to ability to run the ball, Wake's inability to stop it. Conversely, Wake has not shown us much via the run game, and Clemson has not allowed their opponents much leeway in this department. We saw some of that last year with Clemson having their way with the Deacons in a 44-10 romp. That game saw Wake manage just 2.2 yards per carry and they did try to make it work 37 times for just 87 yards. The Clemson D matches up very well with Wake. They are bigger but they also are just as quick as the Wake's offense is. It would not surprise me to see the Demon Deacons come up strong on D to open this game and we could easily see a low scoring affair because of that. But over 60 minutes of play, our team has the much better chance of wearing down their opponent, and I do think that is exactly what we will see. The Tigers have been a very good Dog Proposition under Bowden, and this one should be no different than the past.
 

the duke

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Marc Lawrence

Double-Dime Bet

Clemson +2.5 vs Wake Forest
Clemson

The Tigers take on the Deacon Demons in a key ACC clash Thursday night in Winston-Salem. With both teams entering off a loss, this game becomes pivitol to post-season positioning. More so for Clemson, who has suffered a pair of upset losses this year. With that we note Tiger head coach Tommy Bowden is 19-11 ATS as a conference dog in his head coaching career, including 9-0 in his last nine tries. Better yet, when Bowden is a dog of 5 or less points in a conference game he is 13-2 ATS, including 5-0 SU and ATS when playing off a loss. With Wake Forest 1-12 ATS as a favorite in the 2nd of back-to-back home games, look for Bowden to improve on his numbers here this evening. Grab the points with the Tigers.





JORGE GONZALEZ


17-0 100% 25* NLCS Game of the Year

The last time the Dodgers and the Phillies hooked up in the playoffs was 25 years ago. That series with Tommy John pitching a complete game that saw the Dodgers win that night 4-1 and the Series. Each team has advanced last the NLCS once with Dodgers willing the World Series over the Athletics in 1988 and the Phillies lost to the Blue Jays in 1983. The Dodgers are coming off a three-game sweep of the Cubs and the Phillies knocked out the Brewers in a four games to advance. The Dodgers will be sending their playoff veteran Derek Lowe to the mound to take on Cole Hamels. Lowe has established himself as one of the best big-game pitchers in the game this time of the year. The Dodgers have Manny Rodriguez in the middle of the line-up and the players hitting in front of him and behind him have responded. Since arriving just before the trade deadline to play under the guidance of Manager Joe Torres, Manny is hitting .401, hitting 19 home runs and 56 RBIs. The Phillies know that pitching around Manny can end up being a disaster, ask the Cubs. Manny has 26 post-season home runs, a major league record. The Dodgers Lowe is 4-0 in his last six starts in the playoffs. Manny, Torre and Derek should be enough to get the Dodgers their much needed win in their first game against the Phillies. The Dodgers are 8-0 against teams with a winning record and are 5-0 after d ay off. The Dodgers have won their last four games against pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Take the Dodgers here as an underdog.
 

the duke

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Bob Balfe

Wake Forest -2.5 over Clemson

Both teams are coming off of shocking losses at home two weeks ago. Clemson lost to Maryland and Wake lost to Navy. Wake Forest was not sharp turning the ball over six times. Wake Forest does lead the nation in takeaways which is a huge stat to have under you belt playing at home. This is Clemsons first road game of the season other than the neutral site game against Alabama in which they were hammered. Clemson has a real tough time performing in the spotlight and I expect that trend to continue tonight. The Wake Forest home crowd will be in a "black out" and the stadium should be rocking. Kicker Sam Swank is questionable for the Deacons. This is big because he is one of the nations best kickers. If he does not play they do have a decent backup who needs to get game experience anyway for when Swank goes to the NFL. Wake might actually end up going to short yardage 4th downs turning a potential 3pts into 7. Wake has an excellent defense and should slow down James and Spiller. This game is also double revenge for a lot of the Wake veteran players who have lost the last two years to Clemson. Take Wake as the home favorite



John Ryan


Game: Clemson at Wake Forest Oct 9 2008 7:45PM
Prediction: Wake Forest

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Wake Forest ? AiS shows a 73% probability that Wake Forest will win this game by 3 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 76-39 ATS for 66% since 2002. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread and is a good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season. Wake is in a solid role for this game noting that they are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a good team sporting a win percentage of 60% to 75% over the last 3 seasons; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Wake Forest is also 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. HC Bowden has not displayed much resiliency when on an ATS losing streak. He is 10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of Clemson. Further, Clemson has a 3-2 mark with 3 of those wins coming against some of the worst teams in the country. They lost to Maryland and Alabama while defeating the Citadel, South Carolina State, and NC State. Wake has had a far more challenging schedule having defeated Mississippi ( who defeated Florida) Baylor, and won at Florida State. They got caught looking ahead to this game losing to Navy last week. Well, now there is NO look ahead and their focus is squarely on this important ACC conference game. Take Wake Forest.
 

GES

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What is the best capper in here???Does anyone have some records.

Thanks for the hard work you guys put in here.
 

quanjin

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Sat. plays.....

Sat. plays.....

Anyone have these plays for Sat.?

Ben Burns
2008 BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR!
#1 Game of the Week - AFTERNOON ATS BLOWOUT
Ben Burns' Oct. False Favorite GAME OF THE MONTH!

Big AL McMordie
5* NCAA FOOTBALL RIVALRY GAME OF THE YEAR
100% NCAA CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH
93% ATS NCAA CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR!

John Ryan
Ryan's NCAA 5* Monster

Scott Spreitzer
25* MORNING MASSACRE
WOODSHED BEATDOW GOM

Larry Ness
Las Vegas Insider-CFB
LEGEND Play-CFB
20* Rivalry GOY

Thanks and good luck.:mj06:
 
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