Round 4 play (4pts):
Bubba Watson to beat Rickie Fowler -175 @ Bet365
A short price, but I think Bubba carries on as he did yesterday. This was always going to be a difficult event as the first time back since his emotional win at The Masters and it showed with a couple of opening 71s that saw him in 63rd place at the cut. He has spoken at length in his post-round interviews about being exhausted mentally from not only winning The Masters, but also the adoption of his baby son just two weeks before that win. But that was after his first two rounds; after his round yesterday he did talk about getting a lot of sleep and feeling better. But, in truth, that 'exhaustion' resulted in just a poor couple of rounds on the greens that cost him, not a lack of focus from tee-to-green. In all three rounds to date, he has hit 15 of 18 greens in regulation. Since the 2011 PGA Tour season ended at the Tour Championship in September, he has finished in the top-20 in all ten of the events that he has played and will surely do the same this week. He has raised to a whole new level and despite his early-week 'exhaustion', in last night's post-round interview he said "So long as I don't choke tomorrow, I should have a good shot at it.". He is clearly very confident in his game right now and so am I, enough to take this price against a player who has just one top-10 finish in ten attempts in 2012.
[unofficial rd4 system plays: Rose tb McNeill -150; Rose tb Simpson -115; Dufner tb DeLaet -150; Piercy tb Walker -123; Piercy tb Reifers -138; Donald tb Simpson -133; Palmer tb DeLaet -123; Holmes tb Summerhays -150; McNeill bt Duke -133]