NBA WED 032509 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

JCWhy

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Mar 17, 2009
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Here are my numbers:

Wolves/76ers 195.5
Bucks/Raptors 193.5
Heat/Pacers 204
Spurs/Hawks 182
Nets/Cavs 189
Bobcats/Wiz 192
Clips/Knicks 217
Nuggets/Hornets 194.5
Celtics/Magic 191
Warriors/Mavs 225.5
Jazz/Suns 229.5
 

axp59

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Here are my numbers:

Wolves/76ers 195.5
Bucks/Raptors 193.5
Heat/Pacers 204
Spurs/Hawks 182
Nets/Cavs 189
Bobcats/Wiz 192
Clips/Knicks 217
Nuggets/Hornets 194.5
Celtics/Magic 191
Warriors/Mavs 225.5
Jazz/Suns 229.5

I like it
 

JCWhy

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This is the tightest my numbers have been all season for a card as a whole. Like the Bucks/Raptors after first glance and Wolves/76ers may also be worth a look of those with lines released.
 

axp59

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This is the tightest my numbers have been all season for a card as a whole. Like the Bucks/Raptors after first glance and Wolves/76ers may also be worth a look of those with lines released.

tighter on my end JCW with a 197
 

JCWhy

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tighter on my end JCW with a 197

Thanks for the info. I really like the Bucks game. I haven't gotten around to trending it yet though. Do you think it is possible we get a 210-211 line in Indianapolis?
 

axp59

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Thanks for the info. I really like the Bucks game. I haven't gotten around to trending it yet though. Do you think it is possible we get a 210-211 line in Indianapolis?

I'm going to stay optimistic but it's going to be pushing it. they met last in Indy and that was only 207...before that, we're talking 190's...
 

KillaB16

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I see some value in the Under for the Pho/UTA game. IMO Uta will not want to get into a run and shoot game. The will use their strong front court to where down and slow down the game to a half court set. Thoughts...?
 

jim844

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lac/nyk 216 look like an over play to anyone else?

i also think nj/cle could go over 190 as well as nj covering
anyone thoughts?
just gut talking
 

jim844

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i also put in for the mil/tor u at 200.5 but i dunno i think the game might go over for some reason... :|
 

maka

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I like:

Boston H2H
Milwaukee H2H
New York -6.5

Have the PHX v UTA and SAS v ATL odds come out yet?
 

JCWhy

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:topic:
Sitting here getting my fantasy baseball rankings ready makes me realize just how close opening day is :00hour
 

axp59

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Guys, let's come in tomorrow with something to backup our gut plays. I just try to spot funny lines with my eye and minimal stats analysis. I'll come back and try to justify the MiL/TOR U. If I don't feel right about it, I'll be the first one to buy it back. Holding steady now at 200.
 

Slicer

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Overnight Accuscore as of 1:35am:

Mavs 13 and 227
Sixers 7.1 and 197.5
Cavs 11.5 and 186.5
Raptors 6.5 and 196.5
Knicks 6.6 and 219
Magic 3.8 and 188
Suns 1.5 and 233.5
 

burnetto57

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burnetto57

burnetto57

AX,

Know much about somethin called ' acela triangle theory' - Jcts @ the other site was talkin abt it - he does a lot of 2H NBA picks - pretty good too.
 
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axp59

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AX,

Know much about somethin called ' acela triangle theory' - Jcts @ the other site was talkin abt it - he does a lot of 2H NBA picks - pretty good too.

LMAO, Yes, do know it very well and it's really simple sys play with Celtics/Knicks... it's not Acela triangle...it's the Acela angle. It's an unspoken deal between the the two teams. You aint going to make an east coast run by beating both. You beat the C's in Boston, you aint gonna be beat the Knicks at the garden. I've actually played with this just this year but I can remember which West coast team it was. The problem was there was a team in between like TOR. I think the sys play has to be NY/BOS and vise versa but no other teams in between. interesting theory. I tried to build on it actually by adding some superior teams into the mix like CLE but didn't work out too well when the Lakers ripped trough the East.
 

jim844

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jcts posted this in a thread on the other site and said he would be playing nyk big tomorrow against the clippers
even though the clippers games were boston (2 nights ago) then ny with no teams in between... the clippers lost to boston so the theory doesn't really apply to tmw's game
the theory only applies to teams that win the first game

his other theory about betting halves on home favorites tho is interesting

something like..... if the 2ndH line of a match of 2 teams whose record is over 500 and the score is tied at the end of the 1st H is greater than half the total favored line, then take the favored team

or does this make more sense...

When the game tie at Half time - and the HF line number HIGHER than the 1st Half line number - TAKE the HF ...this system apply to Home Fav only ...Not Away Fav

this is taken from his thread regarding
just thought it was interesting
 
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