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  1. J

    Really like Jacksonville Tomorrow

    Hey guys, Have been mainly a lurker and haven't posted much this season but I just wanted to weigh in and get some opinions on the Thursday night game tomorrow. Really like Jacksonville in this spot. For starters, here are the margins of victory for the last 10 games between these two...
  2. J

    Sunday picks

    NFL Record 6-4-2 Haven't posted in a while; going with these today: St. Louis -4.5: Yes, let everyone drink the Niners kool-aid. They still aren't very good and haven't done a whole lot. They were obliterated on the road against the Chiefs and the Bears this year already. As long as the...
  3. J

    Week 3 Picks

    Jacksonville +7 over Indy - Jacksonville almost always plays Indy tough, and their defense looks even better than it has in years past. This one scares me a bit because it is a classic letdown situation after the Jags big win on Monday night, but really not thinking that they will pull off the...
  4. J

    Nova/G'Town Over 129.5

    Nova likes to push the tempo when they can and usually are able to at home. Georgetown is pretty scizophrenic offensively. They've shown the ability to put up a lot of points at times (most notably against Duke and Cinncinnati) but other times have struggled to hit 50. Nova, however, averages...
  5. J

    Even with the weather, gotta go Over

    Typically when the weather gets bad you will see teams running the ball a lot more. However, that is the big weakness of the Philly game. Even though they've done better lately, I think that's only because opposing defenses have been overcompensating to stop the pass since Philly is so one...
  7. J

    Strange line . . .Fresno has to be the play tonight!

    Had an easy winner last night with WV trouncing Cinncy. Trying to hit another big one tonight. This line says to me that the books are definitely looking for Boise St. money. Every write-up and all the stat analysis points to it being a close game, so I really don't see a justification for...
  8. J

    Love West Virginia tonight!

    Do not be tempted by the double digit dog. WV is superior in every phase of the game. Both teams look to run first, with Cinncy averaging 155 yds/game on the ground and WV averaging a whopping 229! The thing is, WV will not have a hard time hitting that number against Cinncy's run D, which...
  9. J

    Hate to say it, but bring out the brooms.

    Going to take a shot here with what I think is a great spot. Now, just want to say before I get accused of a homer play that I am a die-hard Cubs fan and could really care less how the White Sox do in the playoffs. This play is all about Freddy Garcia pitching on the road in a big game. He...
  10. J

    Hou/Atl - Does line look off to anyone else?

    Even given that Atlanta is the home team, doesn't it seem like offering Clemens at + odds is strange? Can't remember, but wasn't he the ERA leader in the NL this year? If not then I know he was in the top 3. I was all set to pound the Stros with Clemens but was actually expecting to have to...
  11. J

    Angels

    Angels -143 2x Don't bet a whole lot of baseball but will try this one out. Like going against rookies that have been pitching all year. Most of the time, it is the most innings they've ever pitched in their life and the arm starts to tire. In this case it's even been confirmed as Chris...
  13. J

    Beating a team 3 times: myth or good angle?

    Everyone's heard the old adage "It's tough to beat a team 3 times in one yer". Just wanted to see if anyone had any thougts on this as I've been thinking a lot about this through the first half of the conference tourneys. The last 2 nights this angle has seemed to be pretty strong with...
  14. J

    Couple of 8 point revenge games tonight

    Ohio stating trying to avenge a 7 point loss in Bloomingdale. Ohio St. has won 5 of last 6 (only loss @MSU) while Indiana has dropped 3 of 5 and is just 1-6 SU and 4-5 ATS on the road this year. OSU is 13-1 SU and 7-3-1 ATS at home this year. Playing OSU -8 for 5 units Iowa St. trying to...
  15. J

    Big Ten Saturday

    Minnesota +17 (bought half a point) 5 Units With this game sandwiched between @Wisc and @MSU, can definitely see Illinois looking ahead to Tuesday, which should be their last major obstacle to going undefeated in conference play. Had they lost @Wisky think they would be looking to make a...
  16. J

    Ohio St/Wisconsin

    Loading up on Wisconsin -6 (buying the hook). This line has been driven unusually low due to Wisconsin's loss to Indiana and Ohio St's win over a ranked Iowa team over the weekend. If Wisconsin had beaten Indiana this weekend, really think this line would be in double digits. As it stands...
  17. J

    OK/USC Under 52.5

    Should know by the end of the 1st quarter if this is a good play or not. I look for both teams to come out and try to establish the running game, with the expectation that there will not be immediate success but that they will grind down the d-lines over the course of 4 quarters. With both...
  19. J

    Thursday - Illini/G-Town

    I bleed Illini Orange and Blue but think that Georgetown is the play here. Laying DD on the road is always a tricky proposition, and I just think this is a good spot to go against Illinois. This is the first time they hit the road with the #1 ranking and they are playing their 3rd game in 6...
  20. J

    Tuesday Plays

    Top play today: Pitt -4.5 10 units This is Pitt's first big test of the season after beating up on a lot of creampuffs early. Believe they will hold serve at home. Memphis is talented but had difficulty on the road with a far inferior Purdue team. Pitt will get it done tonight. Good plays...
  21. J

    System Play Tonight

    The old favorite: unranked home favored over ranked road. ISU -1.5 for 5 units
  22. J

    Ridin' the Illini train again!

    Illini -6.5 for 5 units Going to keep riding them as single digit faves until they show me I should play otherwise. The crowd will definitely be pro-Arkansas but not at Arkansas' home court and I think that makes enough difference. Illinois knows they have a chance at the #1 ranking and that...
  23. J

    Wake - Illini (Wednesday) - May Want To Get It Now

    Just saw that the line for the Wake - Illinois game is up at Illini -3 at Pinnacle. At the risk of being considered a huge homer here I think the Illini will cover this number. Believe me, if this game was on a neutral court I wouldn't touch it and if it was at Wake with the same line I'd be...
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