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  1. J

    One man's opinion on the SB . . .

    I've heard over and over again this week how the Eagles lost because of their "conservative" play calling. The Eagles played conservatively because they knew being aggressive would play right into the Bucs' hands, and THEY WERE RIGHT! 2 examples: at the end of the 1st half with the Eagles...
  2. J

    Question for the board about system plays

    I know the tried and true system of playing an unranked home favorite over a ranked road dog but I was watching the Bama-Miss St. game last night and I started thinking, doesn't this system really apply to anytime a home team is favored over a higher ranked road team? I mean, the commentators...
  3. J

    One that jumps out at me

    Haven't done a whole lot of research into it yet, but I really like Indiana laying 9.5 at home over Ohio St. I know that conference play does produce a lot of tight games but there are some reasons I like this one. To start with, Ohio St. is just not very good this year, and Indiana is capable...
  4. J

    Interesting UCONN-Miami stat

    Last 3 games in this series (going back to last year) have been decided by a combined total of 6 points: 1/11/03 - 83-80 (OT) UCONN (at UCONN) 2/2/02 - 68-66 Miami (at Miami) 1/5/02 - 76-75 UCONN (at UCONN) Seems to me like taking the points is a good call in this series.
  5. J

    Bears/Fins thoughts

    Reasons to bet Miami: They are the overall better team, should win straight up, and the points have only come into play on Monday night once this year. The Bears are extremely banged up (O and D) and Urlacher and Traylor are both questionable. Bears can't stop the run, and Ricky Williams is...
  7. J

    Anybody like Duke tonight?

    Curious that I haven't really seen any posts about the Duke/Ohio St. game. Duke very rarely wins a home game by less than 15 and always has the potential to beat a team by 40, especially an overmatched and already hurt Buckeye team. Is there some other factor I'm not considering or are people...
  8. J

    Thoughts on Ark LR/Memphis

    Line is Memphis -6. Seems like Memphis is the way to go here, but I'm not sure. I think the only reason the line is this low is due to Memphis' home loss to Austin Peay. I admittedly know nothing about Ark LR so if anyone can give me a reason why I shouldn't bet Memphis I'd love to hear it.
  9. J

    Too early for system play?

    I know the old system that you take an unranked home favorite over a ranked away dog, and tonight's Marquette at ND fits the bill. To anyone who uses this system (I haven't much), are the rankings too unreliable at this point to make this system profitable yet? Or does it make it better, since...
  10. J

    My take on WVU - V Tech

    This is an interesting game to cap. On the surface, V Tech seems to be the much better team and thus the play, but digging a little deeper this game looks pretty evenly matched. V Tech and WVU play very similar types of games. They each make their living with a solid run game (V Tech - 253...
  11. J

    Weather in Louisvill

    Currently 54 degrees. Forecast for tonight is clear with lows in the lower 40s. Perfect football (and tailgating ;) ) weather.
  13. J

    Weather in Green Bay

    Currently, as of 4:00 CST, the temperature is 41 degrees. Tonight, clear with lows of 25-30. I know he's hurt, but I would not bet against Favre at home in cold weather against a warm weather team.:nono:
  14. J

    Eagles/Giants - Some compelling stats

    Overall Eagles 6th ranked Offense (370.8 YPG) vs. NYG 5th ranked Defense (282 YPG) Eagles 2nd ranked Defense (254.5 YPG) vs. NYG 18th ranked Offense (331.8 YPG) Rushing Eagles 6th ranked Rush D (85.5 YPG) vs. NYG 28th ranked Rush O (87.3 YPG) Eagles 5th ranked Rush O (143.5 YPG) vs. NYG 3rd...
  15. J

    Who are the Bengals gonna beat?

    OK, so no team in the NFL has ever gone 0-16. However, there may not ever have been as bad a team as this year's Bengals squad. Just for fun, let's assume that the Bengals will win one game this year (I know it's hard to imagine, but try). So . . . . Who's it gonna be? The remaining schedule...
  16. J

    One man's opinion 7/19

    Inauspicious start for me yesterday: 0-1 (-1.0 unit) Let's get back to even today. Going with: Houston/Chicago over 7.5 Bad karma to take the same over number 2 days in a row? Naaahhh!;) This is Prior's 3rd start against the Astros this year, and they've knocked him around pretty good...
  17. J

    One man's opinion 7/18

    OK, I've never posted my picks before, but I'm gonna give it a try and see how I do. Ideally, I'm going to try and find 1 game a day where I think there's value. Tonight's game: San Diego/LA over 7.5 In the 1st 8 matchups between these two teams the total has been over 7 once. Well, logic be...
  19. J

    Thoughts on Cubs/Fla game . . .

    OK, I'm trying not to bet with my heart on this one, but I actually do think there's some value with the Cubs today. Kerry Wood looked much improved against these same Marlins on the 3rd, allowing 2 runs on 3 hits in 6 innnings. I look for a similar outing from him today. He is 2-0 with a...
  20. J

    Explanation for Kent/Indiana Line

    Someone want to explain to me why Kent, who were favored over Okla St., 2 point dogs to Alabama, and a Pk against Pitt, are 3.5 point dogs to Indiana? I'm thinking Kent +3.5 big time.
  21. J

    OU not getting their props . . .

    Am I the only one that has been blown away by the performance of this OU team? Seems like it, because I think there are only 2-3 people on this forum on OU tonight, and about 10-12 on 'Zona. Not saying that Zona can't beat OU, but am really surprised to see that kind of distribution. I guess...
  22. J

    Betting ML underdogs in the tourney

    Does anyone have any experience or stats on what past results would have been taking all the underdogs' MLs in the first round? Seems like if you don't take the 16s or 15s(the odds of a 15 beating a 2 two years in a row is very unlikely given that it's only happened 4 times in 17 years), with...
  23. J

    Pitt line very suspicious

    I know a couple others have already alluded to this, but can anyone give me any kind of a logical reason why this Pitt line is so low? I thought that it was a steal at -4, but now that I've seen that it's been bet down to -2 I can't help but get suspicious. I was one among the many that got...
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