Round 4 plays (2pts):
Marc Leishman to beat Padraig Harrington -105 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
I was not expecting Leishman to be 6th and Harrington to be 5th at the start of the final round, but I'll still oppose the two-time winner of this event. Leishman finished inside the top-5 in this event last year and inside the top-5 in the Memorial Tournament last month; Harrington has a best finish of 39th in this event since he won back-to-back in 2007-08 and he has failed to finish in the top-40 in any of his last ten events. He may be a proven links player, but he does not have the consistency to backed in this situation.
Zach Johnson to beat Danny Willett -108 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Two more players in 6th place, but whereas Willett fell away with three bogeys in the last six holes, Johnson has the opposite momentum with three birdies in the last six holes. With the extra pressure on the home players, particularly so on Willett who has been so close to the top of the leaderboard throughout this event, Johnson's odds look very good for a final round matchup in a Major.
Bernhard Langer to beat Ryan Fox +100 @ SkyBet [available generally]
A matchup at the other end of the leaderboard and I'll back the German to be more focused on shooting a low score tomorrow. He has hit more fairways and greens than Fox so far this week and played particularly well after a poor start - he was three-under-par for his last ten holes today. Other bookies have him as a strong favourite (as short as -150 elsewhere), so I'll take Skybet's generous odds.
Marc Leishman to beat Padraig Harrington -105 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
I was not expecting Leishman to be 6th and Harrington to be 5th at the start of the final round, but I'll still oppose the two-time winner of this event. Leishman finished inside the top-5 in this event last year and inside the top-5 in the Memorial Tournament last month; Harrington has a best finish of 39th in this event since he won back-to-back in 2007-08 and he has failed to finish in the top-40 in any of his last ten events. He may be a proven links player, but he does not have the consistency to backed in this situation.
Zach Johnson to beat Danny Willett -108 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Two more players in 6th place, but whereas Willett fell away with three bogeys in the last six holes, Johnson has the opposite momentum with three birdies in the last six holes. With the extra pressure on the home players, particularly so on Willett who has been so close to the top of the leaderboard throughout this event, Johnson's odds look very good for a final round matchup in a Major.
Bernhard Langer to beat Ryan Fox +100 @ SkyBet [available generally]
A matchup at the other end of the leaderboard and I'll back the German to be more focused on shooting a low score tomorrow. He has hit more fairways and greens than Fox so far this week and played particularly well after a poor start - he was three-under-par for his last ten holes today. Other bookies have him as a strong favourite (as short as -150 elsewhere), so I'll take Skybet's generous odds.
