Round 3 play (4pts):
Louis Oosthuizen to beat Sergio Garcia +100 @ SkyBet
Both players are in 3rd place, just one shot off the lead, but I think Oosthuizen is the more likely to go on and win this event. In Garcia's own words yesterday: "I don't know if I'm ready to win. I'll see ... I wish I could tell you I'm ready to win, but I really don't know." That contrasts sharply with "it's great going into the weekend‑‑ even if by the end of today I'm three, four behind, it's a great opportunity and a great spot to be in" from Oosthuizen who is only one behind, not three or four. Maybe part of Oosthuizen's more positive approach in interviews is the fact that is already a Major winner (2010 Open Championship), whereas Garcia has still to live up to his early expectations and he is constantly reminded of it in Majors: "A decade ago, you were golf's next big thing. What have you learned about yourself since then that makes you ready to win this year?" was a question to him in interview yesterday, to which he gave the earlier uncertain reply. The other reason for the different mindsets is the fact that Garcia is playing with an infected fingernail which is not only painful, but bleeds when he plays golf. Given his failures to convert his many chances in Majors so far, he will do well to remain in the top-3, whereas Oosthuizen looks the much better player all week apart during the severe cold of the front nine yesterday.
[unofficial rd3 system plays: Johnson tb Woodland -106; Singh tb Lawrie -110]