Crook, I believe Goretzka touched the ball which made him offsides. I think that is why they did not review it.
Bason 2019-2020 Season
- Thread starter BASON
- Start date
Well I totally missed that, I was content grabbing that push, but it looked close on the reply for that Coutinho goal.
I am interested in seeing what your gonna do with the Final, I know Bayern is your squad. The total opened 3/3.5 and got steamed right away to 3.5. My alt lines haven't been released yet, but if I can catch the 3 at -150 or better I am going to hit it hard. I generally pay the extra prices to bring the line of the 3.5. Interestingly, the initial line is shading towards PSG. Should be an entertaining final with tons of firepower between these squads.
I think the Euro final is a tough game to bet. Inter has been on fire and a great money maker while Sevilla just thrives in this competition. My gut says Inter wins, but I really do not like it enough to bet it that way as I always come back to Sevilla's performances in Europa competition. As such, I will be looking to the totals for a play.
On paper, this looks to be an under play given both teams total body of work, but I prefer to focus on recent performances and this tells us something else. Sevilla beat Man U 2-1 but Man U had plenty of chances and had 20 goal attempts and 8 shots on goal. I think they were exposed a little and I like Inter's attack just as much, if not more, than Man U's. Inter's offense is on fire and has scored at least 2 goals in 14 of the last 16 games. Lukaku is a beast and difficult for any team to handle. As such, I am going with the recent trends for my plays in this game:
Inter TT Ov 1.5 +120
Inter/Sevilla Ov 2 -? or 2.25 -125
Listing the lines as they stand now so you can know how I am betting, but I have not played these yet and I will wait until the morning. I will be surprised if Sevilla can keep Inter off the board and I like the + odds on the team total. I am listing the Asian line for now on the total, but if I get an alternative line of Ov 2 -160 or so in the morning I will be playing that instead. It is a bit of a risk given these teams defensive prowess, but you have to go with the recent trends and we have the money to lay on it.
Will update in the morning.
On paper, this looks to be an under play given both teams total body of work, but I prefer to focus on recent performances and this tells us something else. Sevilla beat Man U 2-1 but Man U had plenty of chances and had 20 goal attempts and 8 shots on goal. I think they were exposed a little and I like Inter's attack just as much, if not more, than Man U's. Inter's offense is on fire and has scored at least 2 goals in 14 of the last 16 games. Lukaku is a beast and difficult for any team to handle. As such, I am going with the recent trends for my plays in this game:
Inter TT Ov 1.5 +120
Inter/Sevilla Ov 2 -? or 2.25 -125
Listing the lines as they stand now so you can know how I am betting, but I have not played these yet and I will wait until the morning. I will be surprised if Sevilla can keep Inter off the board and I like the + odds on the team total. I am listing the Asian line for now on the total, but if I get an alternative line of Ov 2 -160 or so in the morning I will be playing that instead. It is a bit of a risk given these teams defensive prowess, but you have to go with the recent trends and we have the money to lay on it.
Will update in the morning.
Just go it:
Inter/Sevilla Ov 2 -165
This replaces the Asian line. Will be very surprised if there are not at least 2 goals in this game. Do not mind laying the juice especially since I have the bankroll to do it.
Inter/Sevilla Ov 2 -165
This replaces the Asian line. Will be very surprised if there are not at least 2 goals in this game. Do not mind laying the juice especially since I have the bankroll to do it.
And the hits just keep on coming. Lines do not matter in this one. All the overs are done. Wow, I expected some goals but this is nuts. Lots of fun. Anyone having fun yet?
In the money on the over, in the money with my draft king on the game, loaded up on team totals on both teams at 1-1 and Inter and over 2.5. So, yeah. Gonna take over 5 and some more crazy shit. Lots O fun!
My greed bet is the second half draw at +135. Lines are definitely telling me they think a draw is coming. Worth a shot.
Thought a lot about this game and I have decided to keep it simple. We are on an epic run, so I prefer to cap this game just like all the others. Only recent play really matters in this format and it is very likely that the recent trends hold, so I think this makes this game rather simple. Bayern is an attacking machine, they have blown out Chelsea, destroyed Barca and beat Lyon 3-0 while not being at their best. PSG got very lucky in my opinion to get by Atalanta and then dominated Leipzig. They have their confidence back and I expect them to play very well in this game. I have said it all season that Bayern has some issues in the middle of their defense. Barca did expose them early as did Lyon who should have gone up 1-0 early in the game. PSG will give Bayern defense some problems. You saw what a difference Di Maria made for PSG in the Leipzig game, and even though I do not think Mbappe is 100% fit, he is still a handful. All of this just leads me to one play:
Bayern/PSG Ov 3.5 -105
There are a lot of other plays I can make in this one, but I am not messing around. I may make an Ov 3 bet when the alternative line comes out, but they keep changing the limits on those lines so I will have to play the 3.5 anyway. I just see no way this is a low scoring game. The only way that happens is if there are tons of missed chances or PSG decides to slow the pace. Maybe Teuchel wants that but the players have to execute and I do not see Neymar and company slowing things down. While I do not like Teuchel much, you can not ignore the fact that he is very familiar with how Bayern plays. The PSG defense is not the best so Bayern will score. They were not clicking at all in the Lyon game and they still scored 3, and I can make the argument that Lyon's defense is just as good, if not better, than PSG's. Everything just points to goals, so while it may be obvious, I think it is the best play on the board.
I am sure most of you thought I would be on Bayern. I very much want them to win but I do think PSG is going to give them some problems upfront, so I think sticking with the over is the best way to bet the game. There is a reason Bayern is at + money. Plus, I want to bet this game just like any other, and while I think Bayern will win, I think the best bet is on the total. I could make arguments for TT, FH Ov and a few other bets, but I prefer to bet more on one play. Take a reasonable risk given the run we are on while being sure to book significant profits and maintain the bankroll for the new season. I have been around long enough to learn many lessons but this is a big one. You have to make money when you are hot and take advantage of the games you really like, but you also have to be sure to bank profits. You do not get on hot streaks like this too often, so it would not be prudent to blow your wad on the last game because anything can happen in one game!
I am not much for predictions, but it is the final, so what the hell: 3-2 Bayern
This has all the makings of a great Champions League Final. Enjoy the game!!
Bayern/PSG Ov 3.5 -105
There are a lot of other plays I can make in this one, but I am not messing around. I may make an Ov 3 bet when the alternative line comes out, but they keep changing the limits on those lines so I will have to play the 3.5 anyway. I just see no way this is a low scoring game. The only way that happens is if there are tons of missed chances or PSG decides to slow the pace. Maybe Teuchel wants that but the players have to execute and I do not see Neymar and company slowing things down. While I do not like Teuchel much, you can not ignore the fact that he is very familiar with how Bayern plays. The PSG defense is not the best so Bayern will score. They were not clicking at all in the Lyon game and they still scored 3, and I can make the argument that Lyon's defense is just as good, if not better, than PSG's. Everything just points to goals, so while it may be obvious, I think it is the best play on the board.
I am sure most of you thought I would be on Bayern. I very much want them to win but I do think PSG is going to give them some problems upfront, so I think sticking with the over is the best way to bet the game. There is a reason Bayern is at + money. Plus, I want to bet this game just like any other, and while I think Bayern will win, I think the best bet is on the total. I could make arguments for TT, FH Ov and a few other bets, but I prefer to bet more on one play. Take a reasonable risk given the run we are on while being sure to book significant profits and maintain the bankroll for the new season. I have been around long enough to learn many lessons but this is a big one. You have to make money when you are hot and take advantage of the games you really like, but you also have to be sure to bank profits. You do not get on hot streaks like this too often, so it would not be prudent to blow your wad on the last game because anything can happen in one game!
I am not much for predictions, but it is the final, so what the hell: 3-2 Bayern
This has all the makings of a great Champions League Final. Enjoy the game!!
You can't win them all. Will spare everyone the recap and small rant, but I did not like the way this game was played, I did not like the way it was coached and I hated the way the game was called by the Italian referee who has no idea what a penalty is. Just was not the display of soccer we deserved in the final.
Still was a great run.
This will be the last post in this thread. I will take a little time off and then start a new one for the new season.
Still was a great run.
This will be the last post in this thread. I will take a little time off and then start a new one for the new season.
