BASON 2021-22
- Thread starter BASON
- Start date
Totally forgot about the Nations League, 4 great teams in the semi-finals.
Italy/Spain BTTS Yes +116
Going against the grain on this one as everyone thinks it will be a very low scoring game. I think we may see a 1-1 game so I will gladly take the plus money on BTTS.
Italy/Spain BTTS Yes +116
Going against the grain on this one as everyone thinks it will be a very low scoring game. I think we may see a 1-1 game so I will gladly take the plus money on BTTS.
Yeah, right, that red card really screwed up what has looking like a great game, but a win is a win.
Coming back tomorrow with the same play:
Belgium/France BTTS Yes -113
I see no reason we see another aggressive FH like we did today which should lead to a few goals. I think today showed that the lines are being set too tight for these games. The teams were more aggressive than most would have thought today.
I also hit this rather hard today:
Germany -2 -157
I think Romania is in for some trouble as well as N. Macedonia (revenge game) coming up. This is when Germany will likely pour it on to secure the group.
Coming back tomorrow with the same play:
Belgium/France BTTS Yes -113
I see no reason we see another aggressive FH like we did today which should lead to a few goals. I think today showed that the lines are being set too tight for these games. The teams were more aggressive than most would have thought today.
I also hit this rather hard today:
Germany -2 -157
I think Romania is in for some trouble as well as N. Macedonia (revenge game) coming up. This is when Germany will likely pour it on to secure the group.
Yup, very nice two days as I also had the BTTS parlayed as well as the overs. Nice when you get it right. Odds makers are not wrong often but I think they misjudged how these games would be played.
I think I am just sticking with Germany for tomorrow.
The US should beat a weakened Jamaica team handily tonight, but you have yet another US lineup that has never played together so I am not comfortable betting the game at the current prices.
Norway is a spot I would usually play tomorrow given how bad Turkey has been lately and with a new coach, but Haaland and a few other starters are out so I am going to stay away.
Being selective is working right now, so nothing wrong with just booking profits and waiting for better opportunities.
I think I am just sticking with Germany for tomorrow.
The US should beat a weakened Jamaica team handily tonight, but you have yet another US lineup that has never played together so I am not comfortable betting the game at the current prices.
Norway is a spot I would usually play tomorrow given how bad Turkey has been lately and with a new coach, but Haaland and a few other starters are out so I am going to stay away.
Being selective is working right now, so nothing wrong with just booking profits and waiting for better opportunities.
Yeah, every time I get hot I can count on Germany to cool me off. Been happening for years.
Not much to like today. Scotland/Israel is a big game and I lean to Scotland at home but I am not playing it.
Not much to like today. Scotland/Israel is a big game and I lean to Scotland at home but I am not playing it.
Been tough for me to post as I have had a little accident. All good but just can not get around right now.
Today has some very interesting and important games.
This one is not as important but I played it:
Denmark Ov 2.5 +107
Denmark has been on fire, and while this game is not that important to them, it is a must win for Austria so I expect them to push the pace and get caught a couple of times, plus I like the price.
Definitely lean to Sweden in what is a huge game for them. Should be a low scoring game. Also big games for Ukraine/Bosnia and Albania/Poland. These fights for second place are huge as many of the groups are more or less decided. Its just tough to count on all these teams in these pressure situations. I will probably put the Ukraine and Sweden in a parlay, maybe with the Ov 2 in the Poland game or the Israel TT Ov 2.5.
Today has some very interesting and important games.
This one is not as important but I played it:
Denmark Ov 2.5 +107
Denmark has been on fire, and while this game is not that important to them, it is a must win for Austria so I expect them to push the pace and get caught a couple of times, plus I like the price.
Definitely lean to Sweden in what is a huge game for them. Should be a low scoring game. Also big games for Ukraine/Bosnia and Albania/Poland. These fights for second place are huge as many of the groups are more or less decided. Its just tough to count on all these teams in these pressure situations. I will probably put the Ukraine and Sweden in a parlay, maybe with the Ov 2 in the Poland game or the Israel TT Ov 2.5.
Hopefully a better, more aggressive second half. Neither side pushing forward much. Austria doesn't seem too interested in scoring. On another note, hope you are feeling better. Thanks for your efforts.
From the trauma center:
It always scares me when I really like a CL card, especially when I have been doing really well in CL.
Here we go:
Ajax/Dort Ov 3 -148
This is probably my favorite play of the day. I would play it as soon as you can as I expect this line to rise. I will be shocked if there are not at least 3 goals in this game. I am not against playing it at 3.5 but I like the 3 much better at this price.
PSG -187 or -1 -118
I will admit that I hate betting on PSG, I mean I really hate it as they tend to screw me, but this is not your Leipzig team of the past. They are not a very good team and are especially bad on the road. PSG should win here and I think the -187 is light.
Okay, these are my two primary plays and I will mix in some of the following in parlays as I really do not understand some of these lines. Shakhtar continues to get no respect. They beat Real twice last year and now are +441 dogs at home? Not buying it. Also, how is Liverpool favored in Madrid. Just English bias. Will use this longer shot small play for fun:
Shakhtar +441/Atletico +232 +1696
If you want to go really crazy throw in the Sherriff, who is beating everyone, and it pays almost +30000. In fact, I just did it for 5 to win almost 1500. Extremely unlikely and not a recommended play but what the hell.
I do like Atletico +.5 and Shakhtar +1 to put it in the mix.
Goal is to hit the top 2 plays and hope one or two of the parlays pays off. I have the CL bankroll to do this, if you do not, I would probably just stick with the Dortmund Over and PSG -1.
It always scares me when I really like a CL card, especially when I have been doing really well in CL.
Here we go:
Ajax/Dort Ov 3 -148
This is probably my favorite play of the day. I would play it as soon as you can as I expect this line to rise. I will be shocked if there are not at least 3 goals in this game. I am not against playing it at 3.5 but I like the 3 much better at this price.
PSG -187 or -1 -118
I will admit that I hate betting on PSG, I mean I really hate it as they tend to screw me, but this is not your Leipzig team of the past. They are not a very good team and are especially bad on the road. PSG should win here and I think the -187 is light.
Okay, these are my two primary plays and I will mix in some of the following in parlays as I really do not understand some of these lines. Shakhtar continues to get no respect. They beat Real twice last year and now are +441 dogs at home? Not buying it. Also, how is Liverpool favored in Madrid. Just English bias. Will use this longer shot small play for fun:
Shakhtar +441/Atletico +232 +1696
If you want to go really crazy throw in the Sherriff, who is beating everyone, and it pays almost +30000. In fact, I just did it for 5 to win almost 1500. Extremely unlikely and not a recommended play but what the hell.
I do like Atletico +.5 and Shakhtar +1 to put it in the mix.
Goal is to hit the top 2 plays and hope one or two of the parlays pays off. I have the CL bankroll to do this, if you do not, I would probably just stick with the Dortmund Over and PSG -1.
Not messing around tomorrow so just playing one game and you can probably guess what it is:
Bayern -1 -153
I will not get off them in the CL until they show any signs of slowing. This could be a game where they are not that motivated but I think the CL streak is motivation enough to get a win over a team they are significantly better than. Plus they are simply playing great right now. I really do not see them losing this game and see another 2-3 to nil type game.
Made some decent money today but was expecting better. Money management was key as I hit the big ones and missed on all the smaller ones.
Bayern -1 -153
I will not get off them in the CL until they show any signs of slowing. This could be a game where they are not that motivated but I think the CL streak is motivation enough to get a win over a team they are significantly better than. Plus they are simply playing great right now. I really do not see them losing this game and see another 2-3 to nil type game.
Made some decent money today but was expecting better. Money management was key as I hit the big ones and missed on all the smaller ones.
Adding a small play:
Salzburg -103
I had this game circled but laid off because I read that Adeyemi was not playing. He's in the lineup so I like them at home at a good price.
Salzburg -103
I had this game circled but laid off because I read that Adeyemi was not playing. He's in the lineup so I like them at home at a good price.
CL continues to be the gift that keeps on giving. Another solid couple days. Hope your making some $$$$.
I agree with Crook for tomorrow.
I already played PSV OV 2.5 and I have them parlayed with the Leverkusen and Lazio Overs. Likely to continue to see goals tomorrow.
I agree with Crook for tomorrow.
I already played PSV OV 2.5 and I have them parlayed with the Leverkusen and Lazio Overs. Likely to continue to see goals tomorrow.
