Going to apologize to the board for my picks not being as good as I wanted in the group stage. It is hard to explain but I tried to do too much. I agreed to provide some picks to an old friend for a service he was providing while not trying to overlap. It was a stupid thing to do and I should not have done it, but he was an old friend who I wanted to help out, but I like this board and really thought I could do both. Hubris, and maybe stupidity, on my part. While I was not terrible, it was not up to my normal standards. Just too hard to please everyone. I expect to do better moving forward and will post when I can. I will be traveling a lot over the next few weeks so will do the best I can.
These next round of games may not be great. I am expecting the chalk to rise to the top so some parlays may be in order. We saw many upsets in the group stage, but I am not expecting many moving into this round and we have some mismatches on paper. The group stages always cause many teams not to play to their full potential, but I am expecting more in this round. There are a couple lesser not teams that can contend (Morocco and Japan) but most will likely fade. Makes it difficult to bet given the odds and I do not want to lay huge juice at this point.
I got a huge break with the Brazil to win the group bet (which gave me some serious heart burn) as I had a lot riding on that. I got all that money back so going to be judicious in this first round as I think the best plays are yet to come.
Overall, it has bee an interesting WC. Biggest thing for me is to see some parity finally. Germany, Belgium and Denmark gone, only two South American teams moving on while 3 Asian teams do is a big deal. Actually it is unprecedented. VAR has gone mostly as expected (too much tech for me) but the penalty calls have been a little inconsistent. Uruguay has a serious argument today as that German ref really screwed that game up. I love that fact that real time has been added to the halves and game. This is something that has been missing from the game and I am glad to see it changed. Hopefully it continues post WC so teams realize that injury stalls and late meaningless substitutions will not work.
Having a big USA party in the morning so early bed time to me. I wish you all the best of luck for the rest of the tournament.