Bay Hill Invitational

Ian

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Top European
Langer 12-1 e/w 1,2,3 Surrey or Hills (14-1 at Multisports)
Langers' positions in this category over the last 9 years (I didn't bother going back further) read
1,1,1,3,1,2,1,3,1
 

simonpjc

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Weather forecasting showers thurs & Fri... Think this will tend to favor the longer hitters??? I'm looking at that -9 and was ready to say nobody gets that low, but then saw the forecast and decided to wait, as the soft greens tend to lower scores. The wind, or lack of, will probably decide if anyone goes that low. Thoughts???
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2001 Bay Hill Invitational - Ov/Un Winning Score - 72 Holes
03/15/01 301 Winning Score - 72 Holes OFF OFF Over 272 (-115)
09:00 ET Winning Score - 72 Holes OFF OFF Under 272 (-115)

2001 Bay Hill Invitational - Ov/Un Lowest Single Day Score
03/15/01 303 Lowest Single Day Score OFF OFF Over 63.5 (-115)
09:00 ET Lowest Single Day Score OFF OFF Under 63.5 (-115)

2001 Bay Hill Invitational - Ov/Un Cut Score - 36 Holes
03/15/01 305 Cut Score - 36 Holes OFF OFF Over 144.5 (-115)
09:00 ET Cut Score - 36 Holes OFF OFF Under 144.5 (-115)
 

Ian

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Simon
I would say they have their prices about right this week, will soon be opening an account there as they have just put up match ups on the LPGA this week - something virtually unheard of
 

simonpjc

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DTB...Have been very happy with sportsbook...

IAN...May take a small shot on the over 63 1/2 and hope for wind. Just think -9 will be tough to get to here.
 

Stanley

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Virtually all the Starnet books offer these props and most of them also offer deposit bonuses, so can take advantage over and over again
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If anything I would tend to the under 272 winning score rather than the 18-hole prop.
 

Stanley

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Twelve months ago I wrote "None other than Arnold Palmer issues the invitations for this event and when he issues an invitation, no-one refuses!" After Davis Love, David Duval and Thomas Bjorn has withdrawn, what a difference a year makes! But according to the pros, Bay Hill is in their top five for most enjoyed stops on the PGA Tour. It is unlikely to be repeated again next year.

One player who does keep coming back is John Daly. The Honda Classic last week was the scene of his best tournaments in recent years, Bay Hill is definitely not. It was in 1998 that he famously took 18 on the 6th hole in the final round en route to 85; last year he beat that with 87 in the final round. He didn't play in 1999 as the event fell on a week when he had custody of his daughters, but he is here this week and let's hope he makes it to Sunday!

The course is long at 7,200 yards and tight, having been lengthened in recent years; the course record of 62 dates back to Andy Bean in 1981 and Greg Norman in 1984. The favored shot for this course is a draw, particularly for the front-nine, but players who has done well in this tournament have had good all-round games. Woods, Els and Mickelson have won this tournament in three of the past four years and to highlight the importance of good putting on the large, undulating Bermuda greens, the winners immediately before them were Loren Roberts twice and Ben Crenshaw. Apart from looking for a 'complete' player, other factors to take note of are that Tiger, among others, lives close by, Steve Lowery and Dicky Pride are members of the club and Robert Damron is personal friend of Arnie and grew up on the course.

The three picks this week are Vijay Singh, Mark Calcavecchia and Steve Flesch. Singh has been in the sort of form that could easily secure him another Green Jacket. He has won two of his last four events and finished in the top-3 in the other two. In terms of course experience, he has not missed a year since 1993 and only Tim Herron of this week's field holds a lower 10-year scoring average at Bay Hill. With his putter under control, he very capable of beating Tiger and taking this title with ease.

Calc is another who has benefited from some inspired form with the putter, he would have been the most unlikely of candidates to top the putting average stats until he changed his grips and the effect has been incredible. Recently he has finished 1st, 2nd and 3rd in three of his last four tournaments and if last week is anything to go by, he has also undergone a very successful knee operation. He had been an ever-present at Bay Hill for the past ten years, securing three top-5 finishes along the way, but it is his inspired current form that could carry him to victory. He should have won last week, but right now he is more likely to be spurred on rather than disheartened by his failure to seize his chances on Sunday.

The third pick is Steve Flesch who benefits from a very large price that was certainly warranted until last week. His game had been afflicted by an ability to put four good rounds together all season, but that changed last week when he look very secure in his 7th place finish. He has only played here once before - he finished 18th last year - but can certainly compete with the best of this week's field and could build on last week to push for a place finish at least.

Outright plays:

Vijay Singh to win 16/1 e.w. @ Stanley
Mark Calcavecchia to win 25/1 e.w. @ Surrey
Steve Flesch to win 80/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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1st thanks for sportsbook info gentlemen.
2nd Stan believe this was an "extra" fine preview writeup. Lots of interesting info.

outrights all place bets @Oly all @ 12 1/2 to 1 for 1/2 unit each
Toms
Flesch
Roberts

Ian Chamblee is really a good looking longshot.Ranked Estes inthere also.
 

Stanley

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Cheers DTB
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72-hole plays:

Chris Perry to beat Stuart Appleby -111 @ Ladbrokes
Appleby's 7th place finish was his best of the season and was to be expected on a course on which he played well in the past. Not so this week as he has missed the cut in two of the past three seasons and finished 64th here the other time. Perry should yet again make the top-25 to win this one

Tom Lehman to beat Michael Campbell -111 @ Simon Bold
PGA Tour players dominate this event and there is no reason to expect Campbell to change that this week. He has not played here before and was afflicted by some erratic form last month. He will not compete with Lehman who lost in a playoff for this title two years ago and has been in the top-25 in 1998 and 2000

Greg Chalmers to beat Geoff Ogilvy -111 @ Centrebet
Apart from a let-down from last week's 2nd place finish, Ogilvy's booming driver will not find a welcome home at Bay Hill. He has not played here before and will not find the course setup to his liking. Chalmers, for his part, comes here on the back of two consecutive top-15 finishes and looks good for another top-25 finish

Scott Dunlap to beat John Daly -111 @ Simon Bold [2 units]
Not quite a headline player to oppose Daly, but on a course that demands accuracy it fits nicely into Dunlap's strengths and has at least secured a mid-table finish in his two visits. Daly's new patience will be tested here - this is a very different course to last week and he will be reminded of those final rounds here

Steve Flesch to beat Lee Janzen -111 @ Paddy Power
Janzen has an awful record here. His 46th position last year was his 2nd best in nine visits, so is definitely one to oppose this week. Flesch is tipped for a place finish, which will be more than enough

Frank Lickliter to beat Dennis Paulson -110 @ Carib
Both come here after two week breaks and a roller-coaster start to the season and while neither has played particularly well on this course so far, it should strongly favor the more accurate Lickliter who can add better putting statistics as well

David Toms to beat Steve Stricker -111 @ Simon Bold [2 units]
Raising his game after the WGC Matchplay has obviously been a difficulty for Stricker and he will find it difficult to do so again this week because of his wayward driver. Toms has neither concern and returns to an event in which he has finished in the top-20 in the past three years
 

Stanley

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Jeez, they're rather too close to call, hence my weekly trawl of the net for easier ones! If anything I would lean towards Calc @ evens over Durant, but not touch Singh @ -115.

Hopefully, the stats & ratings on my site [see profile for address] could help even if I can't
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