BIG Boxing weekend ahead 05/04 - 05/06

december26

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Deandre Latimore vs. Carlos Quintana

Deandre Latimore vs. Carlos Quintana

(Carlos Quintana +120)
Def. not my only play this weekend, I will list more, but I really like Quintana in this one. I'm fully aware Latimore's technically the house fighter as the latest signee of Mayweather Promotions, and his first fight under the banner he took a MD win by the skin of his teeth, but that's precisely why I'm going with Quintana. From fights I've watched of Deandre Latimore, he tends to take his foot off the gas pedal in the second half of the fight. In his rematch with Sechew Powell, he looked good early, but Powell took over the fight in the second half. The recent opponent in that MD win, Milton Nunez, took the fight on three days notice. Latimore was on the verge of taking his man out, but stepped off the gas and in turn was hurt himself, being knocked down in the 9th and 10th rounds. Carlos Quintana has both operated and won at higher levels than Latimore. Latimore's biggest win to date is his KO victiory over Powell in the first fight, which Powell ultimately ended up testing positive for marijuana in the post-fight drug tests. Quintana, it could be arguably said was the one who ultimately laid the blueprint on tall Paul Williams.

Now here's the key piece of information that ultimately swayed me to place the wager on Quintana: all of Latimore's losses have come against fellow southpaws with a longer reach.
 

LordoftheLunch

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Mayweather wins by wide decision or late round stoppage in my opinion

Mayweather's unreal defense has allowed him to stay at the top of his game this late in his career (much like Hopkins). Cotto on the other hand has taken alot of punishment over the years and I don't think he's the same fighter he once was. Having said that, even Cotto in his prime would have problems with Floyd's handspeed, and I think that combined with Floyd's superior defense will be the difference in this fight...same as every other Floyd fight

I've got Mayweather as the closer of several parlays, and included him in several more that end with Kahn in two weeks. Those are my final plays on this fight...good luck gents

Looks like we have the same feeling about the fight.
Still looking for the best value bet. Will be a intersting weekend :0corn
 

LordoftheLunch

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Prizefigther plays

Prizefigther plays

Ryan Greene -300
JJ McDonagh -225
Simon O Donnell -185
-> JJ McDonagh to win PF +500
(all small)
 

LordoftheLunch

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Play: Over 9.5-280. Yea, a big number, but Corley is like a turd that just won't flush.

Like that bet, I have several overs this weekend too:

Paul McCloskey
Huck
Saul Alvarez
Kubrat Pulew
over 8 / over 9
(all small / mid)

:toast:
 

Habecki

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Small bet on Maurice Harris. Guy is better than his record indicates and watching some footage of Gerber doesn't inspire me. Gerber's work rate seems poor and he hardly ever throws combinations. A little stiff overall and not sure how he'll react to someone he enters the ring actually believing he'll win.

7-1 a good price here.
 

LordoftheLunch

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Small bet on Maurice Harris. Guy is better than his record indicates and watching some footage of Gerber doesn't inspire me. Gerber's work rate seems poor and he hardly ever throws combinations. A little stiff overall and not sure how he'll react to someone he enters the ring actually believing he'll win.

7-1 a good price here.

hmmmm the only thing is there is that Harris will propably need a KO to win... and with 11 KOs out of 25 wins...

:00x32
 
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fastfrank

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desert southwest
OK, so Villanueva has 22 wins, 21 by KO. Yordan on the other hand has 28 wins, 22 by KO, BUT, he has gone 12 with Chris John(loss) and 12 with Celestino Caballero(loss). Only edge for Villanueva is maybe fighting on his home turf. I like Yordan at +120.

Once again "perception" and smoke and mirrors. Odds makers get jobbed by Mad Jacker's again.
 

fastfrank

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desert southwest
(Carlos Quintana +120)
Def. not my only play this weekend, I will list more, but I really like Quintana in this one. I'm fully aware Latimore's technically the house fighter as the latest signee of Mayweather Promotions, and his first fight under the banner he took a MD win by the skin of his teeth, but that's precisely why I'm going with Quintana. From fights I've watched of Deandre Latimore, he tends to take his foot off the gas pedal in the second half of the fight. In his rematch with Sechew Powell, he looked good early, but Powell took over the fight in the second half. The recent opponent in that MD win, Milton Nunez, took the fight on three days notice. Latimore was on the verge of taking his man out, but stepped off the gas and in turn was hurt himself, being knocked down in the 9th and 10th rounds. Carlos Quintana has both operated and won at higher levels than Latimore. Latimore's biggest win to date is his KO victiory over Powell in the first fight, which Powell ultimately ended up testing positive for marijuana in the post-fight drug tests. Quintana, it could be arguably said was the one who ultimately laid the blueprint on tall Paul Williams.

Now here's the key piece of information that ultimately swayed me to place the wager on Quintana: all of Latimore's losses have come against fellow southpaws with a longer reach.
Seems you did your homework here. I looked at it and passed as I did not get a strong read. I tailed for a medium play.
 

fastfrank

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desert southwest
Boxing props play

Boxing props play

Play: Floyd wins in rounds 7-12 +315/Alvarez wins in rounds 7-12 +342(was +423 2 days ago). Small play; big odds(17-1). Looking for ref stoppage or corner towel toss.
 

Habecki

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German main events I'm going with Pulev by stoppage at 2.5-1. I'm not convinced by Dimitrenko's stamina and durability. Also just looks like he wants to quit sometimes when he is struggling. Pulev packs a better punch then his KO ratio suggests and should test Dimitrenko's will as the fight progresses.

Main event going with Afolabi and Afolabi by stoppage at 7-1. Afolabi with the better skills and after already being in with Huck's style of brutality before he won't be surprised/unsettled by his caveman tactics. Its usually a better situation for the superior boxer the second time round. And will try my luck with the stoppage, seems a touch too high.
 
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