Quanah, hang in there bro !
You have brought great knowledge to these boards and have made some outstanding fight calls.
I have been doing this since 2002 and this is the first year I haven't made money. 2009 has been completely fucked. Horrible breaks and bad decisions. Just recently, the Botha decision, the Edgar Sosa headbutt, and last night, the decision on the Funeka-Guzman bout. Don't judge your capping abilities on this crazy year. I feel a great year coming up in 2010 !
:mj06: :mj06: :mj06:
This is a big week coming up and you are gonna turn things around - BIG MONEY for you THIS WEEK !
:toast: :toast: :toast: :toast:
Danny Green +250 - good size play - I think this line is off, maybe way off. Danny Green is a good fighter. I suppose the reasoning is that he is a bit square and plodding...that Roy will outquick and box him the way Mundine did. But Roy is almost 41. He does not do that unless his opponents allow him to. Green is neither a slow fighter. If he gives steady pressure, cuts off the ring, and backs Roy to the ropes... I see Jones going into that shell.
-Roy's fights have had a sideshow feel for a while now. Hanshaw, Ajamu, retired Trinidad, Sheika, Lacy...decent fighters but... How would you like Green's chances vs. any of these guys? If Green does not get caught up in the 'sideshow' of fighting Roy, he will win the fight on activity and intensity alone.
-We have seen some clear examples lately of how being at home helps so much. Green is the home fighter here, and something of an icon in Australia. Roy is far far away from his Pensacola comfort zone, on the other side of the planet. Been eating different food, getting different rest for a while...Tough for an old man who is set in his ways.
-I also think the Cruiser limit helps Green... Green looked real strong last time out, coming in mid-180's I think. The extra weight does nothing for Roy, just slows him down as far as I can tell.
I really like this play, and will be the first significant one of the week. I see a couple of GREAT weekend as well.
Big week!!!
I'm not so sure about the Jones Green fight.
I tought Roy looked much better in his last 2 fights, and Green...I dont know....if you get outboxed by Beyer and Mundine you cant be too great.
I agree with you on Jones looking better the last two fights - but I seriously believe I can fight better than Sheika and Lacy these days. Roy hand-picked two completely shot fighters. I think Green is better than both of them BY A MILE.
I watched the Green-Mundine fight and Mundine boxed circles around Green. But I think Mundine has much more left than Roy Jones at this point.
Certainly, this is no SURE THING. Roy could win every round. But I think there is value in a Green play. For many of the reasons Quanah mentioned. Venue, Roy's age, Green's determination. This fight is WAY more important to Green than it is to Roy Jones. If Green KOs Jones, he is an all-time legend in Australia. They already love the guy passionately down under.
I think that Green has a good chance to KO Jones in the first 6 rounds. I did notice, though, against Mundine Green didn't have any answers after round 6. The longer it goes, the more i favor Jones.
The last two Jones fights have almost looked "arranged" to me. I really hope Green isn't on the take. I love boxing and I hate that these thoughts even cross my mind, but some of Roy's fights haven't looked on the up and up to me.
:shrug:
Good god.....I don't see anything that makes me believe Overeem loses this....K1 can be crazy....but Overeem has been an absolute wrecking machine and I can't imagine Teixera is any more dangerous than Badr Hari or Arts. Wow. Just wow.
Badr gonna be as big as Alistair soon , here recent pic I got :mj07:
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