Hey Weasel,
If you don't mind me asking how much of your bankroll do you have on the fight? I like Kessler alot but I've waited till now to place a bet and the line has gone up from when it opened. Do you think the line moves at all before the fight?
i`ve bet 1/4 before......this is a bit more than that.....which means i`m betting about 1/25th of a decent sized weepaul wager...:grins:
what i`m thinking is this....kessler`s lost twice...once to h.o.f`er joe calzaghe in wales.....once to potential future h.o,f`er andre ward(who hasn`t lost a fight,pro or amateur since 1998...the first american olympic gold medalist in 8 years) in ward`s hometown of oakland......
what do both calz and ward have in common?...quicks...multi-faceted styles...both master boxers....both super talented boxers...hand and foot speed...
kessler lost to probably the two best 168 pounders in the short history of the division(might be jumping the gun a tad on ward....and maybe i`m not)....
both were away fights...
has kessler even been in a close fight aside from these two losses?...i don`t recall any...other than these two master boxers,kessler`s been dominant....particularly vs other european style fighters...guys that aren`t long on clever and quickness...
froch is a big strong guy...a roughhouser...but he doesn`t have a height or talent advantage...kessler`s the better technician...
froch has power..but kessler`s never been off his feet(that i`m aware of)...
in this tourney,froch was losing on two cards to damaged jermain taylor(the british judge had froch ahead) until taylor cooperated in the 12th(the same jermain taylor who was handled twice by kelly pavlik,struggled with kassim ouma and just squeeked by cory spinks)...
he barely beat andre dirrell in the u.k.(most on this board had dirrell wining the fight)....
now he travels to face mikkel kessler in denmark...a place where kessler`s never lost...and he`s pissed...
contrary to some,i kinda like the idea of kessler coming in off a loss...a loss to a bad style match-up for him...
this looks to be his kind of opponent....
what worries me?...the cuts from the dirrell fight...
froch`s pascal win?....a good win...in england....but beating 5`9" adrian diaconu and silvio branco doesn`t make pascal a world beater...
i just love this style match-up...i don`t see any way for froch to outpoint kessler in denmark...and if he`s the first to k.o. kessler,then he earned it....
i don`t think it happens...i think kessler uses that jab..the better hand speed and combination punching to pick froch apart and break him down in front of his countrymen....
home court is a powerful advantage in this tourney......