Boxing 4/30 - 5/3

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5dimes just posted the prop some of us were looking for...

Adding

Wilson inside distance +462...lay .10 to win .45

I'll probably hedge this with an Arslan parlay or the decision prop at +115...still thinking on that one

gl bl
 

gardenweasel

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5dimes just posted the prop some of us were looking for...

Adding

Wilson inside distance +462...lay .10 to win .45

I'll probably hedge this with an Arslan parlay or the decision prop at +115...still thinking on that one

gl bl

i agree...there are ways to manipulate wilson/arslan to win some cabbage....the wison inside is definitely the way to go on the wilson side of the coin...

maybe parlay arslan with the inom/sarritzu over(unless one`s worried about putting to many eggs in one basket)........

b.l...how strongly do you feel about dimitrienko getting rossy out of there?...i`m heading over to youtube to see if i can dig up some dimitrienko action...
 

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I like the one Box just posted Dimitrenko under 9.5, I've gone small but will probably upgrade to medium .

I saw value in Maldonado lasting over 8.5 rounds at +210, but that value has slipped a bit. Bookmaker has it over 7.5 rounds that started +200 but anything +150 or higher I think is good.

Maldonado has been stopped twice in the 8th round at 112 pounds, but Donaire and Darchinyan can really fricken crack. Donaire cut him bad early and was bombing the heck out of him till he finally broke him down. Slight concern that Maldo has over 40 fights with some punishment and is hitting an older age (30) for that weight class. If for some reason Monitel is fired up and bombs away up and down, the wager could be in trouble but of Montiels last 7 fights, only the last one when he was fired up at the MGM on the faded Castillo would have gone under 8.5 and Maldonado is as tough and competent as those fighters.. Over 7.5 rounds at 1% of bankroll.


Thanks for posting, glad you agree on the Dimitrenko Under, I'll hit that a little harder

I was considering that Over 8.5 but missed the opener and +175 was the highest available. I liked the + money...but not the rounds, might sound like I'm splitting hairs here but 7.5 is a little better and still +155 so its very tempting. Maldonado stepping up to 115 is my biggest concern but Darch and Donaire are both very big 112 lbers and as you mentioned they can both crack with the best of 'em. I'm a sucker for + money so I'll ride along

gl bl
 

gardenweasel

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montiel has incredible momentum,so be careful....that castillo stoppage may have awakened a monster...

on the other side of the coin,maybe fernando`s a little full of himself after that destruction of castillo..

i tend to think he`ll be very "up" here,though(of course,i`m a big montiel guy,so maybe i`m not totally objective)......
 

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i agree...there are ways to manipulate wilson/arslan to win some cabbage....the wison inside is definitely the way to go on the wilson side of the coin...

maybe parlay arslan with the inom/sarritzu over(unless one`s worried about putting to many eggs in one basket)........

b.l...how strongly do you feel about dimitrienko getting rossy out of there?...i`m heading over to youtube to see if i can dig up some dimitrienko action...


I wish Rossy was coming in at 246 instead of 236, but in the long run it shouldn't make much difference. Rossy is very limited and easy to hit, and while his stoppage loss to Chambers was more of an accumulation/exhaustion type of stoppage, Chambers was hitting Rossy at will as he plowed forward with no defense. Don't get me wrong, I think Rossy has a decent chin, but he'll get hit too much and Dimitrenko can straight bang, he's a very big guy at 6'7" 250. Also, the location of the fight is very important, even if Rossy is taking the shots well and hanging in there, the ref could step in and end this at any time. Bottom line, I think Dimitre is a class (or two) above Rossy, combine that with Rossy's lack of defense and Dimitre's power and I think 9.5 rounds is long way to go, at even money I'll definitly take my chances here. These Unders can be a bitch at times but I won't feel like a sucker if this one blows, a great bet at that price

----------------------

weasel...you're like a kid in a candy store with that high-speed connection, jackin' off to porno and old boxing matches...very nice

Sponge...can you drop me a link to your first mma fight, I know that was a really important moment for you

gl bl
 

gardenweasel

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o.k...i liked what i saw of dimitrienko...to a point...he seems fairly aggressive,until he gets hit to the body......rossy,s a come forward guy....so,barring a clinchfest,we should have a tough,physical fight....

i saw danny batchelder buckle dimitrienko with what looked like a legit body shot...didn`t look low to me...and stop him in his tracks a few other times with body shots......dimitrienko looks a little soft in the midsection.........so,i`m not sure that betting dimitrienko is a bag shot....he does get aggressive when he hurts his opponent..

2 big guys...
 

gardenweasel

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yeah..rossy was exhausted by rd 5 vs chambers...

can see dimitrienko wearing down rossy....he`s fairly agile and his hand speed pretty good for a 6`7" guy....

i think rossy could be a bit dangerous early,though..
 

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My parlay with Dimitrenko didn't make it that long...lol...so its no biggie if he's the one getting stopped, but I don't see that happening.


gl bl
 

Zerwas

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Evan is on the Under for Dimitrenko too - and le la Hoya inside for that matter.

I dont like Rossys weight for the fight.
If he comes into the fight in the same condition as he did against Chambers, this looks like a sure thing.
He might have improved though...

I'm on the under too, but Evan has been a little dissapointing lately. Had a losing April - albeit only marginal....
 

weepaul

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who`s this evan guy i hear everyone mentioning?....

Evan Young. He has a website that lets you pay for his picks. He picks almost all underdogs, so he will sometimes lose 3 and hit on the fourth for an overall profit. He is pretty good with his picks but I don't think he is any better than a lot of the posters on this forum.

I am adding Rosillette Dos Santos to win in Germany for shits and giggles.

She has a suprisingly high KO percentage for a girl and she is moving down in weight for this fight so maybe her punch will be bigger again.
At +1000 it makes a good throw away bet.

Good luck all.
 

Romi

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I added the under on Dimentrenco 9 1/2 -140. Dimentrenco not a world beater but he doesn't have to be to get Rossy out of there. The venue adds to the play as well.
 

punchmaster

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Thanks for posting, glad you agree on the Dimitrenko Under, I'll hit that a little harder

I was considering that Over 8.5 but missed the opener and +175 was the highest available. I liked the + money...but not the rounds, might sound like I'm splitting hairs here but 7.5 is a little better and still +155 so its very tempting. Maldonado stepping up to 115 is my biggest concern but Darch and Donaire are both very big 112 lbers and as you mentioned they can both crack with the best of 'em. I'm a sucker for + money so I'll ride along

gl bl

The only thing about Maldo stepping up to 115 is that might suit him even better. Look early on and he's fight at 115 and above plenty and it might even be a better weight. I also like 7.5 much better than 8.5. I think Montiel was extra fired up on the Pavlik Taylor televised HBO undercard but Castillo really hit a wall. He's a world of talent, no doubt and I don't know what the deal is in Mexico, if he'll be looking to put on a show or an exhibition. GL
 
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