Weekend plays so far
Weekend plays so far
All right, I don't see much at all this week, so I'm not going to force the issue. To go on nothing at all is, well, unrealistic for me...and for most of you other degenerates as well, so I will make a few small plays. I could see me going 0 for this week, but even if that happens, loses will be moderate. So far I've got:
Arslan-Herelius OVER 11.5 (-150) - small As a personal rule, I tend to shy away from 11.5 over's. There's just too many intangibles and that's a long way to go, but I do like this one to go the distance. Arslan doesn't have the pop that his looks would suggest. He's had a few distance scraps lately. Herelius is neither a big puncher. Barring the usual cut or bullshit scenarios, this one looks like a distance tilt. Forced to choose, I'd say Herelius outboxes Arslan in a close fight. Whether or not he gets the decision is another matter. I'm also taking Herelius for a tiny amount.
Anges Adjaho (+275) - small Alot of love for Melligen on the forum, and far be it for me to piss on anyone's cornflakes. And I must give full credit to Garden Weasel for that figure of speech, as apparently I've ruined his breakfast before. I think we're hip to the plot here. Melligen 'should' win this...more active, the promoted and the bigger guy etc. But I think Adjaho is the more skilled guy. He was within a whisker of beating Acosta, and he was beating DeMarco too, before a momentary lapse of reason cost him the fight. The fight is just 10, and I think he will give Melligen all he can handle, and maybe then some. At even money I would've stayed away, but at +275 I just can't pass up laying a slight on the African. My advice to anyone who got the generous opening odds, would be to hedge away and take the FREE MONEY!
I'm not quite done yet, but will hold up for just a bit before offering one or two more small plays.
Good luck madmen!!!!
