Boxing 8/16 - 8/18

[BOXLOCKS]

YTD Total: +17.95 units
2 units: 1-0 +2.0
1 unit: 5-0 +4.70
1/2 unit: 45-20 +4.25
Dogs: 44-54 +7.30
LT's: 1-12 -0.30



8/17

Rosales over Venegras -120...lay 1.0 to win .85 (winner)


Parlay

Litzua over Lucero -1075 (winner ) / Cintron -1200 / Ibragimov -565...(-250)...lay .60 to win .25

Hedge Lucero over Litzua +700...lay .05 to win .35 (loser)


Larsen over Hamdan -1000 (winner) / Cintron -1400 / Ibragimov -565...(-260)...lay .65 to win .25

Hedge Hamdan over Larsen +700...lay .05 to win .35 (loser)


Pending Parlays

Johnson over Wills -350 (winner) / Cintron -1200 / Ibragimov -555...(-155)...lay .45 to win .30

Forrest +17.5 points -400 (winner) / Cintron over Feliciano -1200...(-280)...lay .85 to win .30


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Futures


9/8 Mayorga over Vargas +175...lay .20 to win .35

9/15 Ouma over Mora +110...lay .30 to win .35

9/15 Ouma-Mora Over 9.5 -260...lay 1.05 to win .40

9/28 Haye over Mormeck +130...lay .40 to win .50

9/29 Taylor by 12 round decision +320...lay .30 to win .95

10/6 Barerra over Pacman +270...lay .15 to win .40


gl bl

 

[UT-Longhorn]

Box, what do you think of these 2?

Anselmo Moreno vs Ricardo Vargas

 

[Romi]

Still debating on what, if any to wager on. I do have 1 decnt size wager on the over for Moreno/vargas 9 1/2 -290. Moreno should win. Vargas went the distance w/ Marquez and Mabuza. He appears to be somewhat sturdy. My concern is the sth paw style and a potential clash of heads. He also has been off for 1 1/2 yrs so a little risky here. GL everybody

 

[tonymontana]

i play mackay over murat for the max at 5dimes (only 100) at plus 160.

I expect murat to get knocked out.
I have seen maybe 30 sec of Murat and nothing from mackay.
But Mackay has a half decent record and Murat has fought one fighter with a winning record (4 to 1).
Murat may have some talent but he has no good defence that the word in some german boxing forums.

 

[tonymontana]

and again at plus 140.

 

[tonymontana]

ortiz at plus 800. (pinny sorry guys)
600 at 5dimes.

 

[signalcaller]

Hey Box. I know its early but what are your thoughts on RJJ and Tito?

 

[BOXLOCKS]

UT-L...sorry I wasn't around to respond

Tony...why no response on Mads Larsen?

Tony...where did the play on Ortiz come from?

signalcaller...I think 175 is way too high for Trinidad who fought at 147 in his prime. Roy will outclass him from start to finish, the only problem is, will Tito land that one big punch to Roy's glass jaw somewhere in the fight? I like Jones with a small hedge on Tito by stoppage


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding


Rosales over Venegras -120...lay 1.0 to win .85


gl bl

 

[Romi]

Adding


Rosales over Venegras -120...lay 1.0 to win .85


gl bl

Rosales was +125 earlier and I effing waited. He's the better technician and it's just an 8 rder. As long as their isn't any residual from the ko loss, I think he wins.

 

[Zerwas]

5dimes has Ouma to win by 10 round decision at +212 and Mora at +139.
I think this fight will most certainly go the distance, and since this is pick em fight Im a little surprised...

Are they seriously overrating Ouma's chances to win by ko!?

I mean he is moving up in weight, he has never really been a big puncher and Mora has never been stopped either....

I have never seen Mora, so any feedback would be apreciated.

:shrug:

BTW, this is certainly worth a little throw away bet on a draw.


Any thoughts on tua vs. montana.
I picked Hawkins to beat Tua and lost, but this fight is in the US.

 

[tonymontana]

UT-L...sorry I wasn't around to respond

Tony...why no response on Mads Larsen?

Tony...where did the play on Ortiz come from?

signalcaller...I think 175 is way too high for Trinidad who fought at 147 in his prime. Roy will outclass him from start to finish, the only problem is, will Tito land that one big punch to Roy's glass jaw somewhere in the fight? I like Jones with a small hedge on Tito by stoppage


gl bl

Did somebody ask about Larsen ?
Then i missed it. The odds seem about right and he is very solid and he will win but at these odds no bet for me.
likeley he will win via dec but he def needs a ko publicity wise and for confidence. So the over is no play neither.

The ortiz play comes from my man. That is good enough for me.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Tony, I asked about Larsen in punchmaster's TonyMontana...Trabant thread

No biggie, thanks for the info

gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding

Parlay

Larsen over Hamdan -1000 / Cintron -1400 / Ibragimov -565...(-260)...lay .65 to win .25


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

5dimes has Ouma to win by 10 round decision at +212 and Mora at +139.
I think this fight will most certainly go the distance, and since this is pick em fight Im a little surprised...

Are they seriously overrating Ouma's chances to win by ko!?

I mean he is moving up in weight, he has never really been a big puncher and Mora has never been stopped either....

I have never seen Mora, so any feedback would be apreciated.

:shrug:

BTW, this is certainly worth a little throw away bet on a draw.

Mora is a solid fighter with a good chin, but he cuts very easily. Ouma is a come forward southpaw who throws a ton of punches, so he could bust up Mora. But thats the only way I can see this fight being stopped early, its the only reason I didn't play the Over very large.

I think Ouma will outwork him

The Draw is definitly a must play

gl bl

 

[s_dooley24]

Adding

Parlay

Larsen over Hamdan -1000 / Cintron -1400 / Ibragimov -565...(-260)...lay .65 to win .25


gl bl

Box-

Looking to put Larsen and Litzua in a parlay with someone that fights this weekend, so it will close this week....any thoughts?

Possibly Abraham?

 

[gardenweasel]

The ortiz play comes from my man. That is good enough for me.

he might be looking at the possible size differential....and ortiz` power....i don`t think ortiz is much and i`ve read he can be outboxed....

but,he can punch....maybe your guy gives him a puncher`s chance and thinks 8-1 is worth a small shot....

 

[Romi]

Still debating on what, if any to wager on. I do have 1 decnt size wager on the over for Moreno/vargas 9 1/2 -290. Moreno should win. Vargas went the distance w/ Marquez and Mabuza. He appears to be somewhat sturdy. My concern is the sth paw style and a potential clash of heads. He also has been off for 1 1/2 yrs so a little risky here. GL everybody

The fight lasted an entire 66 seconds. I sure picked that one...eff me.

 

[Zerwas]

he might be looking at the possible size differential....and ortiz` power....i don`t think ortiz is much and i`ve read he can be outboxed....

but,he can punch....maybe your guy gives him a puncher`s chance and thinks 8-1 is worth a small shot....

Well, I think this is enough to bet on an 8-1 underdog, the line has already dropped to +604.


What do you think of Montana vs. Tua!?

I picked Hawkins to beat Tua, and I think - if everything is fair and if Saul doesnt get caught which is a bit iffy because of his style - he might be worth a small play!? :shrug: