Boxing 8/2 - 8/5

[BOXLOCKS]

YTD Total: +1.30 units
1 unit plays: 6-4 -3.00
1/2 unit plays: 62-28 -2.20
Dogs: 39-58 +6.50



8/2

Mtagwa-Brown Under 7.5 -143...lay .35 to win .25 (winner)


8/4

Herrera-Bunting Under 4.5 -155...lay .45 to win .30 (winner)

Dog

Hanshaw by 10 round decision +275...lay .1 to win .3 (winner)


8/5

Ouma over Powell -138...lay .40 to win .30 (winner)

Dogs

Mosquera over Valero +115...lay .20 to win .25 (loser)


Parlays

Mtagwa -1000 / Narvaez over Flores -625...lay .9 to win .25 (winner)

JM Marquez -875 / Hanshaw -800 / Forrest -185...lay .25 to win .25 (winner)


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Mtagwa destroyed Brown in 4 rounds

Easy money

 

[amhlilhaus]

what do you guys think of ouma over powell? I think ouma's gotten a bad rap for his loss to karmazin and is a class above powell.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

what do you guys think of ouma over powell? I think ouma's gotten a bad rap for his loss to karmazin and is a class above powell.

I hear ya...with Ouma now at -150 its almost a must play. The loss to Karmazin was clearly a fluke as Ouma had the flue going into the fight.

However

Ouma's style leaves him wide open and he gets hit on regular basis. He was dropped by Karmazin and Rubio in his last fight, and Powell has power for sure. The kicker here is that Powell is a southpaw and Ouma has never fought a decent lefty. Another thing to consider is the home field advantage for Powell who's fighting in his back yard.

I think Powell is a dangerous opponent for Ouma given the situation, but Ouma has fought and beat much better opposition. If Ouma gets any lower than -150, I'll be forced to play him.

gl bl

 

[andrew057]

The loss to Karmazin was clearly a fluke

:nono:

 

[BOXLOCKS]

If you have something to say....say it

 

[frank s.]

A lot of times corners have "excuses" for their guys loss. Outside distractions, not training properly, the "flu", among others. I am not so sure. These things are part of life for everyone, not just boxers. Altitude, travel, venue; it's almost endless. A true champion will overcome many of these obstacles and still win. I like Ouma myself as he is tuff as nails. But if he lost before he lost. Honestly, has anyone SEEN a doctor's report attesting to his "flu"?

 

[Spreadking]

2 plays I like, but won't recommend cause I'm not sure

Mosquera as the underdog. He went through a war at 130 with Nanthachai. I'm sure he will be well trained for his fight with Valero. Sometimes the hometown makes you worse, or sometimes you train harder to look better at home. not sure. I just think he can brawl with Valero and still win. Mosquera has quick hands. I love Valero and want him to win. but I think Mosquera is the favorite no matter what the line says.

Quartey/Forrest under 9.5
Forrest is still a great finisher. Verno Phillips, had Quartey ready to go, but didn't finish him. Quartey was able to wear Phillips out the way Kassim Ouma wore Verno out in their title fight. I think Quartey will need to land lots of punches to wear Forrest down, but I think Forrest can put Quartey down with 1 punch. I think Forrest can win by knockout. but he could go the distance. but this +200 (or higher) line I like.

not sure about Ouma/Powell. I have under-estimated Powell in the past and don't want to eat my words again. I think he might be able to school Ouma a good part of the fight. Ouma of course has the better experience. not sure on the odds, but the over seems a good bet.

 

[amhlilhaus]

just took forrest at + 165 at sportsbook. didn't notice the + number until I reviewed the bet and even did a live chat with someone to see if they had the line screwed up. he said it was okay, but why do I know if I win it's gonna be canceled, and if it loses it won't be voided?

 

[BOXLOCKS]

A lot of times corners have "excuses" for their guys loss. Outside distractions, not training properly, the "flu", among others. I am not so sure. These things are part of life for everyone, not just boxers. Altitude, travel, venue; it's almost endless. A true champion will overcome many of these obstacles and still win. I like Ouma myself as he is tuff as nails. But if he lost before he lost. Honestly, has anyone SEEN a doctor's report attesting to his "flu"?

Don't need to...

He didn't look good before, during or after the fight, and the rumors of him having the flu came out days before the fight occured. Its not like he lost and then came out and said he had the flu. He told everyone before the fight he was sick but decided to fight anyway.

I've never seen Ouma look that bad in a fight, it wasn't even competitive, he was never in the fight.

Its obvious to me...

gl bl

 

[HoopsGuru]

amhlilhaus, i believe forrest is like -165 everywhere so i'm pretty sure that's a bad line. i don't see that staying up for long, good luck.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Mosquera as the underdog. He went through a war at 130 with Nanthachai. I'm sure he will be well trained for his fight with Valero. Sometimes the hometown makes you worse, or sometimes you train harder to look better at home. not sure. I just think he can brawl with Valero and still win. Mosquera has quick hands. I love Valero and want him to win. but I think Mosquera is the favorite no matter what the line says.

I agree

As posted at the other forum, I liked Mosquera at +120 and was waiting to see how high the line would get. Unfortunatly I waited too long, the line got up to +130 at pinny but I didn't play it b/c I thought it might go even higher...it was moving fast. So I checked back later and it was back down to +112.

Now it looks like +115 is the best we'll see

gl bl

 

[matt19780]

Sportbook problem

Sportbook problem

Is the 5dimes website temporarily shutdown for maintenance right now or are my computer settings off?

Can any of you guys log on right now?

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Here's their back up website...


http://www.propbet.com/


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding


Mosquera over Valero +115...lay .20 to win .25


gl bl

 

[matt19780]

Thanks Boxlocks

Thanks Boxlocks

Here's their back up website...


http://www.propbet.com/


gl bl

Thanks, the back up site works great. Btw nice pick on the Mtagawa v Brown under 7.5. That pick cashed easy and Teddy Altas even called the round Brown would get KOed.

Matt

 

[frank s.]

Ok box. I see your point. What I'm saying is did he really have the flu, or was there a problem that surfaced a few days prior to the fight and was the flu a plausible excuse? Whatever.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

I hear ya frank, all I know is that the line is now -140 and all this money on Powell had to be influenced by Ouma's performance against Karmazin. I myself wouldn't let that fight change my perseption of Ouma as a fighter b/c he clearly wasn't right that night. I don't know if it was the flu, or a cold, hell he could of had crabs for all I know. But he wasn't 100% and that was obvious.


I'm not saying he's gonna win, Powell is a solid fighter and in his back yard. Ouma hasn't fought a skilled southpaw in a while, and he gives up 2 inches to Sechew. But he's fought and beat much better guys and his relentless style makes him very hard to beat, constant pressure with accurate punches. Powell has plenty of power, but not any more than Rubio or Jantuah. If Ouma can take his power with ease, it'll be a very long night for Powell.

Still thinking on this one, probably a no play for me, but -140 is very tempting on a fighter of Ouma's caliber.

gl bl

 

[hardcorelegend]

I dont post much. I just observe alot. Here is my 2 cents.

For value alone, Ouma is a great bet. I dont think anyone should have doubts in regards to the validity of Ouma's sickness b4 the Karmazin fight.

Ouma is a solid B+ fighter. He will beat 95% of the fighters he faces throughout his career. Powell should be one of them. And if he has a bad night and gets beat by Powell? You're still getting great value on Ouma. On paper he is 2x better than Powell and it should show after the 4th round. I wont discourage you guys from betting Powell, but Ouma is the best value here if you are gonna bet this fight.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Quartey/Forrest under 9.5
Forrest is still a great finisher. Verno Phillips, had Quartey ready to go, but didn't finish him. Quartey was able to wear Phillips out the way Kassim Ouma wore Verno out in their title fight. I think Quartey will need to land lots of punches to wear Forrest down, but I think Forrest can put Quartey down with 1 punch. I think Forrest can win by knockout. but he could go the distance. but this +200 (or higher) line I like.

I just put a little on "fight won't go distance" at +115

At some point these guys will go at it, and both can be hurt by the other imo. With Quartey being 36 and Forrest at 35, there's a good chance they won't see the final bell.

gl bl