Cnotes 2018 - 2019 NBA Thru The Playoffs-Picks/Trends/News !

[Cnotes53]

Sunday's Early Tips
April 20, 2019
By Kevin Rogers

Game 4 - Celtics (-2 ?, 204) at Pacers ? 1:00 PM EST ? ABC
Boston leads series, 3-0

The Pacers entered the playoffs without their top scorer in Victor Oladipo and faced a team that was one victory away from the NBA Finals last season. However, Indiana led Boston at halftime in the series opener, held a double-digit advantage heading into the fourth quarter in Game 2, and erased an early 15-point deficit to own a halftime lead in Game 3 at home.

Unfortunately, the Pacers have nothing to show for those second half leads as Indiana sits in a 3-0 hole and needs to save its season with a victory at Bankers Life Fieldhouse on Sunday. Rewinding back to Friday?s Game 3, the Celtics jumped out to a seemingly commanding 40-25 first quarter cushion before the Pacers clawed back for a 61-59 halftime edge. Indiana put together its second horrible third quarter in three games by getting outscored, 21-12 as the Celtics held off the Pacers, 104-96 to cash as 2 ?-point underdogs.

Brad Stevens? team put together a horrible 1-7 mark away from TD Garden in the 2018 postseason, but the Celtics knocked down 15 three-pointers, including four treys from Jaylen Brown, who led Boston with 23 points. Kyrie Irving scored 19 points, highlighted by several big baskets late to give the Celtics breathing room and their sixth consecutive win over the Pacers since losing at Indiana by one in November.

Dating back to 1993, the Pacers have been swept only once in the playoffs, which came two seasons ago against Cleveland in the opening round. Since the start of the 2017 postseason, road teams seeking a sweep in Game 4 own a solid 6-3 SU/ATS record, although Boston suffered one of those losses at Philadelphia in last season?s second round.

VegasInsider.com NBA expert Tony Mejia checks in with his take on this pivotal Game 4 for the Pacers, ?Indiana has had an opportunity to win every game in this series if it had just made plays in the fourth quarter but has been unable to make big shots when it has had to have them most. We?ll see if the Pacers are able to respond with the pressure essentially off of them, but if you believe they?ll play with pride to avoid being swept at home, the high-side may be the way to go.?

?The Pacers have only scored 105 points after halftime through the first three games, so you can expect Nate McMillan to utilize different personnel to try and find a better flow, likely employing more of Tyreke Evans and potentially utilizing guys like Doug McDermott and Kyle O?Quinn more. We?ve yet to see an ?over? in this series, but I expect to see a game eclipse 200 points for the first time and consider that more likely than the Pacers forcing a return trip to Boston,? Mejia notes.

Game 4 ? Warriors (-8 ?, 235 ?) at Clippers ? 3:35 PM EST ? ABC
Golden State leads series, 2-1

After the Clippers shocked the Warriors in Game 2 at Oracle Arena by erasing an insurmountable 31-point deficit, Golden State bounced back with a blowout in Los Angeles in Game 3. The two-time defending champions jumped out to a 17-point lead after one quarter as the Warriors cruised to a 132-105 victory to easily cash as 9 ?-point favorites and take back the series lead.

Kevin Durant torched the Clippers for 27 first half points as he finished with 38 points, while Stephen Curry shot an efficient 7-of-11 from the floor for 21 points. Golden State drilled 15 three-pointers, while limiting Los Angeles to 7-of-32 shooting from downtown. Only one Clippers? starter finished in double-figures as Ivica Zubac posted 18 points and 15 rebounds, while three players off the L.A. bench put up at least 15 points in the loss.

The Clippers fell to 1-6 ATS the last seven games as the only cover came in the Game 2 miracle comeback in Oakland. Each of the past three losses at Staples Center as an underdog have come by 21, 32, and 27 points, which certainly doesn?t bode well to make this a competitive series.

Chris David of VegasInsider.com believes this series will be over in two games but this scheduling spot could bring out the best in the Clippers. He explained, ?The hierarchy at the Staples Center has been clear-cut since it?s opened with the Lakers always receiving preferential treatment, then the NHL Kings and lastly the Clippers and I?m sure Steve Ballmer?s team has been bumped for ?Disney on Ice? or a ?Scientology? seminar over the years as well. With all that being said, Los Angeles is forced into playing many afternoon games at the venue and while the late-arriving crowds create empty seats at times, Doc Rivers' club has flourished in these spots this season.?

?The Clippers have played eight games at the Staples Center which started at 12:30 p.m. PT this season and they went 7-1 both straight up and against the spread. Five of the wins came by double digits and four matchups were against playoff teams. The offense averaged 120.5 PPG, which helped the ?over? go 5-2-1 and the lone loss came to Detroit, who received a monster effort from Blake Griffin as he stuck it to his former team. Golden State is clearly the more talented team and I expect them to be up 3-1 after Sunday?s result. However, it?s going to need a big effort and my top lean would be to the Clippers Team Total Over (113 ?) and I would also buy Los Angeles in the first quarter (+3) and first half (+5) in the day matinee as well.?

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday?s games

Celtics are up 3-0 in series; they?ve been outscored by 7 points in first half of games, but in 2nd half, they outscored Indiana by 33 points. Boston won its last six games overall vs Indiana. Pacers scored 29-41-35 points in 2nd half, as absence of Oladipo becomes glaring. Pacers lost 11 of last 16 games overall, four of last five at home. Celtics won nine of their last 11 games overall; they won/covered five of last six road games. Five of their last seven games stayed under. All three games in this series stayed under total.

Golden State led first three games in this series by 13-23-21 points at halftime; they scored 121-131-132 points, and led by 31 in only series game they?ve lost. Warriors won eight of their last ten games overall. Golden State won ten of last 13 games with the Clippers, but LA covered five of last nine. Warriors shot 55% from floor in Game 3; Durant scored 38 points in 30:00. Clippers lost five of last seven games overall; over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games. LA covered only three of its last ten games at Staples. Golden State turned ball over 43 times in Games 1-2, only 12 times in Game 3.

Orlando took 44 3-pointers, 36 2-point shots in 98-93 home loss in Game 3; Magic shot 37/36% in last two games; they shot 40% (14-29 on arc) in their one win. Orlando won 12 of its last 16 games, eight of last nine at home. Toronto won nine of its last 11 games overall; they covered five of last seven road games. Toronto won eight of its last 11 games with the Magic; eight of last ten series games stayed under. Lowry was +8 in Game 3, is +49 in series. All three games in this series stayed under the total.

Oklahoma City made 15-29 on arc in Game 3, after going 10-61 on arc in losing Games 1-2 in Portland; Westbrook was 11-22 in Game 3, 4-6 on arc. Thunder also was 31-39 on foul line Friday, outscored Trailblazers by 13 points there. OKC won/covered their last four home games. Nine of last 13 OKC games stayed under. Blazers won 17 of their last 21 games overall; they?re 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Blazers are 7-5 in last 12 series games; they?re 3-3 vs spread in last six visits to Oklahoma. Six of last nine series games stayed under.

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday's Late Tips
April 21, 2019
By Tony Mejia

Eastern Conference First Round ? Game 4

No. 2 Toronto at No. 7 Orlando (TNT, 7:05 p.m. ET) -- Raptors lead 2-1
April 13 - Magic (+9.5) 104 at Raptors 101 (Under 212.5)
April 16 ? Raptors (-11) 111 vs. Magic 82 (Under 212.5)
April 19 ? Raptors (-5.5) 98 at Magic 93 (Under 211)


The Magic lost its first home playoff game since 2012 but were able to generate some confidence through a late run that helped them flirt with an epic comeback. Kyle Lowry saved the Raptors by getting to a loose ball faster than a pair of Orlando players, helping produce a pair of free-throws that put the game away and set the table for Sunday night?s fourth installment.

Toronto forwards Kawhi Leonard and Pascal Siakam have each had excellent showings in the series, while Magic All-Star center Nikola Vucevic has been bottled up and forwards Aaron Gordon and Jonathan Isaac have put both their brilliant potential and inconsistency on display.

Orlando was able to steal the series opener as D.J. Augustin put together one of the best games of his career as Lowry struggled mightily, finishing scoreless in 34 minutes after missing all seven of his shots. Augustin has shot 4-for-13 since his 25-point Game 1 outburst, averaging just eight points over the last two contests. All five starters and top reserves Terrence Ross and Michael Carter-Williams scored in double-figures in the opener, but only Gordon and Ross have been able to score in double-figures in every game of the series. The Raptors have demonstrated an ability to clamp down more than the Magic have been able to despite Orlando being the nation?s top defensive team since the All-Star break.

Leonard comes off his worst game in the series, shooting 5-for-19 after shooting 60 percent (25-for-40) in the first two games in Toronto. He?s just as likely to play decoy so that Siakam and Marc Gasol can do damage inside, especially since Isaac?s length has been a major factor in the paint and getting into passing lanes.

The Magic finally got Nikola Vucevic to settle in and deliver his usual production in Game 3, which is something head coach Steve Clifford was thrilled to see considering there was little he could say to help the All-Star settle down and be sharper in dealing with the various coverage looks and double-teams he?s seen.

Gasol and Serge Ibaka each got four fouls whistled against them throughout the course of Game 3, so their ability to avoid early trouble will be a key here. Another point of contention will be the play of Ross off the Magic?s bench since he?s the player most capable of delivering a scoring flurry. After shooting 2-for-11 in the win, he?s averaged 19.5 points over the last two contests, shooting 8-for-20 (40 percent) from 3-point range. Keeping him from getting going will be important for the Raptors to pull off another road win.

After watching the ?under? go 3-0 in the first three games of this series, oddsmakers sent out a total of 207 for Game 4 and Chris David of VegasInsider.com believes the number could be lower but the better investment on Sunday night is on a Team Total.

He explained, ?the Raptors and Magic have proven themselves as very solid defensive teams and their size and athleticism have taken away plenty of easy baskets in this series. Fortunately for Toronto, it has more offensive firepower and that?s been the difference.

"Rather than mess around with the game total, I?m going to ride a solid playoff trend on Toronto. Since the NBA?s club from Canada has returned to the postseason in 2014, they?ve played 25 road games and they?ve been held to less than 100 in 19 of them. When you add in new names like Leonard and Gasol who come from teams (Spurs, Grizzlies) that grinded out wins in the playoffs with defense, I certainly believe that their footprints have carried over to this squad. I?m going to lean Toronto?s Team Total (106) Under and stick with the probabilities.?

Western Conference First Round ? Game 4

No. 3 Portland at No. 6 Oklahoma City (TNT, 9:35 p.m. ET) -- Blazers lead 2-1
April 14 ? Blazers (+3) 104 vs. Thunder 99 (Under 224.5)
April 16 ? Blazers (-1) 114 vs. Thunder 94 (Under 224.5)
April 19 ? Thunder (-7.5) 120 vs. Blazers 108 (Over 221.5)

This series has been a wild ride so far.

Center Enes Kanter dominated Game 1 and ended up being the reason the Trail Blazers were able to survive blowing a massive first-half lead. Guards Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum combined for 62 points in a Game 2 blowout, but the overwhelming takeaway from the first two games of this series was that the Thunder?s season-long Achilles? heel was ultimately going to spell their downfall. Oklahoma City shot 10-for-61 from 3-point range in the first two games. The main issue that had kept them from a top-four finish in the Western Conference had kept them from gaining a split in Portland.

The buzzards were circling on Friday, having descended on Oklahoma?s capital city to pick at the carcass of Russell Westbrook if the Thunder would?ve fallen behind 3-0 to place themselves one loss from a third straight first-round exit.

The predatory bird posse is still in town since Portland can still head home with a vice grip on the series, but the Thunder have to be encouraged after shooting 15-for-29 from 3-point range in holding serve in Game 3. Although Paul George continued to struggle in shooting 2-for-7 from beyond the arc, teammates Westbrook, Jerami Grant, Terrance Ferguson and Dennis Schroder combined to knock down 13 of 18 (72.2 percent). That same foursome shot 3-for-33 over the course of the first two games.

Although Westbrook?s matchup with Lillard is getting the most attention, this series is going to boil down to whether the Thunder can knock down enough shots to impose their will. This definitely has the potential to be one of those series where the home team wins every matchup, but the Thunder opened the series as the betting favorite despite being the higher seed and actually closed as road chalk in Game 1, not to mention laying multiple possessions at home.

Portland has had wild fluctuations in its offensive efficiency, getting stifled in two of three second-quarters as OKC has been able to lock in defensively. The Trail Blazers own a 39-point first quarter in Game 1 and scored 37 in the third in Game 2 and 43 in Game 3, so they?ve been able to find a rhythm and knock the Thunder off their heels enough to invest in taking the points given what we?ve seen thus far. The Blazers offense finished only behind the Warriors, Rockets and Bucks during the regular season in efficiency and is facing a statistical peer on the boards in OKC, but they have to be encouraged that they?ve been able to maintain without center Jusuf Nurkic, who they lost late in the season. It now remains to be seen if they have the stamina to continue pulling the rope.

The emotional fire should certainly be present since these teams genuinely dislike one another outside of Kanter and Steven Adams, who were good buddies as teammates on the Thunder. Lillard and Westbrook won?t back down from one another, while George ruffled Portland?s feathers by dunking unnecessarily at the end of Game 4. The points didn?t even end up counting, but the Trail Blazers took it as a sign of disrespect.

Lillard has averaged 30.3 points in the series, while McCollum has also been incredibly impressive and shot 5-for-8 from 3-point range in quickly adapting to the sight lines at Chesapeake Energy Arena. Seth Curry, Rodney Hood and Evan Turner combined for just six points on 1-for-6 shooting and had nowhere near the impact they enjoyed in Portland, so getting significant improvements from the bench is yet another way the Blazers can steal this game.

George and Westbrook can no longer be counted on to consistently hit from the perimeter, but we?ll see if they?re able to get to the line and hold serve to ensure a return trip to Oklahoma City.

VI?s David touched on the lack of playoff success that Portland has had with Lillard running the show in his piece on Friday and he?s not sure if the Trail Blazers can flip the switch but another competitive game is likely.

?Including Friday?s Game 3 loss, Portland is now 1-17 SU and 3-14-1 ATS in its last 18 road playoff games and the lone victory has an asterisk next to it because the Clippers were hobbled in the 2016 postseason. The game on Friday was closer than the final margin and we?ve seen the Blazers play well away from home, especially since the All-Star break,? David said. ?During this span, the team closed 11-5 on the road and that included a respectable 4-4 mark versus playoff teams. However, a 2-5 record in its last seven games as a road underdog doesn?t give me much confidence. Portland has gone 20-9 off a loss this season and with the line dropping for Game 4, you can see what the oddsmakers are thinking. I?m expecting OKC to even-up the series on Sunday but it won?t be easy and this contest will be decided by single-digits.?

 

[Cnotes53]

 

[Cnotes53]

567 GOLDEN STATE -568 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

569 TORONTO -570 ORLANDO
ORLANDO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents in the current season.

571 PORTLAND -572 OKLAHOMA CITY
PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

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NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, April 21


Boston @ Indiana

Game 565-566
April 21, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
122.291
Indiana
115.685
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 6 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 2 1/2
204
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-2 1/2); Over

Golden State @ LA Clippers

Game 567-568
April 21, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
127.678
LA Clippers
112.276
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 15 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 8 1/2
235 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-8 1/2); Under

Toronto @ Orlando

Game 569-570
April 21, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
126.488
Orlando
122.337
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 4
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 5 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+5 1/2); Under

Portland @ Oklahoma City

Game 571-572
April 21, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
124.253
Oklahoma City
122.105
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 2
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 6
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+6); Over




NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, April 21

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BOSTON (52 - 33) at INDIANA (48 - 37) - 4/21/2019, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 101-79 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 77-58 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 53-39 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 71-54 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 9-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 11-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (59 - 26) at LA CLIPPERS (49 - 36) - 4/21/2019, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 37-47 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-44 ATS (-15.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 46-38 ATS (+4.2 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 61-46 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 138-101 ATS (+26.9 Units) in April games since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 70-45 ATS (+20.5 Units) in all playoff games since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-11 ATS (+16.9 Units) in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 88-59 ATS (+23.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 176-221 ATS (-67.1 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 235-288 ATS (-81.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 230-292 ATS (-91.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 9-6 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 12-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (60 - 25) at ORLANDO (43 - 42) - 4/21/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 207-263 ATS (-82.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
ORLANDO is 46-36 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
ORLANDO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
ORLANDO is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
ORLANDO is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ORLANDO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
ORLANDO is 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 38-27 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 8-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 9-5 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (55 - 30) at OKLAHOMA CITY (50 - 35) - 4/21/2019, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 47-38 ATS (+5.2 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 30-21 ATS (+6.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PORTLAND is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 57-76 ATS (-26.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) on Sunday games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 9-6 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 9-6 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, April 21

Celtics are up 3-0 in series; they?ve been outscored by 7 points in first half of games, but in 2nd half, they outscored Indiana by 33 points. Boston won its last six games overall vs Indiana. Pacers scored 29-41-35 points in 2nd half, as absence of Oladipo becomes glaring. Pacers lost 11 of last 16 games overall, four of last five at home. Celtics won nine of their last 11 games overall; they won/covered five of last six road games. Five of their last seven games stayed under. All three games in this series stayed under total.

Golden State led first three games in this series by 13-23-21 points at halftime; they scored 121-131-132 points, and led by 31 in only series game they?ve lost. Warriors won eight of their last ten games overall. Golden State won ten of last 13 games with the Clippers, but LA covered five of last nine. Warriors shot 55% from floor in Game 3; Durant scored 38 points in 30:00. Clippers lost five of last seven games overall; over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games. LA covered only three of its last ten games at Staples. Golden State turned ball over 43 times in Games 1-2, only 12 times in Game 3.

Orlando took 44 3-pointers, 36 2-point shots in 98-93 home loss in Game 3; Magic shot 37/36% in last two games; they shot 40% (14-29 on arc) in their one win. Orlando won 12 of its last 16 games, eight of last nine at home. Toronto won nine of its last 11 games overall; they covered five of last seven road games. Toronto won eight of its last 11 games with the Magic; eight of last ten series games stayed under. Lowry was +8 in Game 3, is +49 in series. All three games in this series stayed under the total.

Oklahoma City made 15-29 on arc in Game 3, after going 10-61 on arc in losing Games 1-2 in Portland; Westbrook was 11-22 in Game 3, 4-6 on arc. Thunder also was 31-39 on foul line Friday, outscored Trailblazers by 13 points there. OKC won/covered their last four home games. Nine of last 13 OKC games stayed under. Blazers won 17 of their last 21 games overall; they?re 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Blazers are 7-5 in last 12 series games; they?re 3-3 vs spread in last six visits to Oklahoma. Six of last nine series games stayed under.




NBA

Sunday, April 21

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Trend Report
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Boston Celtics
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games on the road
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Indiana
Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 16 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Indiana is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games at home
Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing Boston
Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
Indiana is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indiana's last 16 games when playing at home against Boston

Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Golden State's last 24 games
Golden State is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 12 games on the road
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Golden State is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Golden State's last 14 games when playing LA Clippers
Golden State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Clippers is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
LA Clippers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Clippers's last 12 games
LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Clippers is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Clippers's last 9 games at home
LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
LA Clippers is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Clippers's last 14 games when playing Golden State
LA Clippers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State
LA Clippers is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State

Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Toronto is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Orlando
Toronto is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Orlando
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando Magic
Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Orlando is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games
Orlando is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Orlando is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Orlando is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Orlando is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Portland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Portland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
Portland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Portland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Portland's last 25 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Portland
Oklahoma City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing Portland
Oklahoma City is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Portland
Oklahoma City is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Oklahoma City's last 25 games when playing at home against Portland

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, APRIL 21
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BOS at IND 01:00 PM
BOS -3.0
U 204.0

GS at LAC 03:30 PM
GS -9.5
O 236.0

TOR at ORL 07:00 PM
ORL +5.5
U 207.0

POR at OKC 09:30 PM
POR +5.5
O 222.0

 

[Cnotes53]

Celtics sweep Pacers; Warriors, Raptors take 3-1 leads
April 21, 2019
By The Associated Press

INDIANAPOLIS (AP) Gordon Hayward scored 20 points and Marcus Morris started a decisive 3-point flurry late in the fourth quarter Sunday to give the Boston Celtics a series-clinching 110-106 victory at Indiana.

It's the first four-game sweep for the Celtics since 2011 and their second since 1986-87, becoming the first team to reach the second round of the playoffs.

Bojan Bogdanovic finished with 22 points and Tyreke Evans finished with a playoff career-high of 21 to lead the Pacers. It still wasn't enough to prevent Indiana from enduring its second first-round sweep in three years - the only two best-of-seven sweeps in franchise history.

WARRIORS 113, CLIPPERS 105

LOS ANGELES (AP) - Kevin Durant scored 33 points, Klay Thompson added 32 and Golden State beat Los Angeles to take a commanding 3-1 lead in their first-round playoff series.

Stephen Curry was in foul trouble for the second straight game and finished with 12 points. Andrew Bogut fouled out with 5:50 remaining in the game with eight points and 10 rebounds.

The Warriors were 17 of 19 from the free throw line. They controlled the boards, 49-33, led by Curry and Bogut with 10 rebounds apiece.

Rookie Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Clippers with a career-high 25 points. Danilo Gallinari added 16 points but was just 5 of 20 from the floor. Patrick Beverley had 12 points and 10 rebounds.

RAPTORS 107, MAGIC 85

ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) - Kawhi Leonard scored 34 points and Toronto beat Orlando to take a 3-1 lead in their Eastern Conference first-round series.

Pascal Siakam and Norman Powell each scored 16 for the Raptors, who can advance with a home win in Game 5 on Tuesday. Toronto has now won three consecutive postseason games, only the third time that's happened in franchise history.

Aaron Gordon scored 25 for the Magic, making his first seven shots of the second half. Evan Fournier scored 19 and Nikola Vucevic added 11 for the Magic, who committed 17 turnovers that became 21 Toronto points.

TRAILERBLAZERS 111, OKC 98

 

[Cnotes53]

Road, sweet road! NBA away teams go 8-0 over weekend
April 22, 2019
By The Associated Press

ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) Road, sweet road.

There were eight NBA playoff games this weekend, and all eight were won by the road team. It's the first time in NBA history there were eight road playoff wins in a two-day span.

''Road wins are the best, especially in the playoffs,'' Toronto's Kawhi Leonard said.

The Raptors were one of the eight road winners this weekend, prevailing at Orlando on Sunday. Other Sunday road winners included Boston over Indiana, Golden State over the Los Angeles Clippers and Portland over Oklahoma City.

On Saturday, it was Philadelphia over Brooklyn, Denver over San Antonio, Houston over Utah and Milwaukee over Detroit.

Through 30 games of this year's playoffs, road teams are 16-14. Home teams went 3-0 on Wednesday, and went 2-12 in the four days that followed. Since the NBA went to the 16-team playoff format in 1984, there has never been a first round where road teams won more than home teams.

Home teams won 71 percent of playoff games last season, the NBA's highest such clip since 2008.

 

[Cnotes53]

SCHEDULE FOR MONDAY APRIL 22, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
8:05 PM Milwaukee Bucks Detroit Pistons Little Caesars Arena
10:35 PM Houston Rockets Utah Jazz Vivint Smart Home Arena


*********************************


NBA PLAYOFF RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

04/21/2019 3-5-0 37.50% -12.50
04/20/2019 4-4-0 50.00% -2.00
04/19/2019 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
04/18/2019 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
04/17/2019 6-0-0 100.00% +30.00
04/16/2019 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
04/15/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
04/14/2019 4-4-0 50.00% -2.00
04/13/2019 7-1-0 87.50% +29.50

Totals..............32-26-0 55.17% +17.00


******************************


BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS

04/21/2019.............2 -2 .....................-1.00....................1 - 3................-11.50..............-12.50
04/20/2019.............1 - 3.....................-11.50..................3 - 0................+15.00.............+3.50
04/19/2019.............1 - 2.....................-6.00....................2 - 1................+4.50...............-1.50
04/18/2019.............1 - 1.....................-0.50....................1 - 2................-6.00................-6.50
04/17/2019.............3 - 0....................+15.00..................3 - 0................+15.00.............+30.00
04/16/2019.............1 - 1.....................-0.50....................1 - 1.................-0.50...............-1.00
04/15/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50....................0 - 1.................-5.50...............-11.00
04/14/2019.............2 - 2.....................-1.00....................2 - 2.................-1.00...............-2.00
04/13/2019.............3 - 0.....................+15.00.................3 - 0.................+15.00............+30.00

Totals....................14 - 12..................+4.00.................16 - 10................+25.00............+29.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday?s 6-pack

? Celtics 110, Pacers 106? Boston sweeps series, 4-0.

? Warriors 113, Clippers 105? Klay Thompson had 27 points at the half.

? Trailblazers 111, Thunder 98? Russell Westbrook was 5-21 from the floor.

? Sharks 2, Golden Knights 1 (2 OT)? Game 7 is Tuesday in San Jose.

? Bruins 4, Maple Leafs 2? Game 7 is Tuesday in Boston.

? Nets? GM Sean Marks was suspended one game without pay, fined $25,000 for entering the refs? locker room after Brooklyn?s 112-108 loss Saturday.

Quote of the Day
?You can be rich without the dollar signs.?
Porter Moser, basketball coach at Loyola, Chicago

Monday?s quiz
Which two current starting QB?s were the top two picks in the 2015 NFL Draft?

Sunday?s quiz
San Diego Chargers drafted Eli Manning in 2004, then traded him to the Giants for Philip Rivers. Giants traded an ?05 #1 pick and an ?04 3rd-round pick to the Chargers in that deal.

Saturday?s quiz
Four of the top five picks in the 1989 NFL Draft are Hall of Famers (Troy Aikman, Barry Sanders, Derrick Thomas, Deion Sanders); Tony Mandarich was the #2 pick that year, an offensive lineman from Michigan State. Green Bay drafted Mandarich.

**********************

Monday?s List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend??

13) Philadelphia Eagles? center Travis Kelce played LY with a broken foot, something he called a ?torn elbow? (he wore a big brace), and a Grade 2 MCL tear.

Toronto pitcher Aaron Sanchez left Sunday?s game in Oakland with a broken right fingernail on the middle finger of his pitching hand.

12) Jim Kaat and Bert Blyleven discussed pitching all weekend on Twins? TV; Kaat said Sunday he thinks the strike zone is much tighter now than when he pitched.

Blyleven mentioned that back when he pitched, umpires weren?t graded on each pitch by MLB and that has changed how the game is called.

11) Twins hit 11 home runs in their doubleheader sweep of the Orioles Saturday. Hard to believe Baltimore was in the playoffs only three years ago; their team is awful.

Baltimore?s AAA farm team is 7-10, their AA team is 3-13 and got shut out in both ends of a twin bill Saturday, so not sure where the Orioles? help is going to come from.

10) Indianapolis Colts? owner Jim Irsay recently spent $718,750 for the piano John Lennon used to write songs for Sergeant Pepper?s Lonely Hearts Club Band.

9) They run a commercial on Colorado Rockies games for University of Colorado health services; it shows an older fellow who struggles to get out of his easy chair, then starts to work out- they show pics in his house of him running when he was much younger.

They show the man?s name; he survived heart failure, and as he recovers, his treadmill workouts get more rigorous, and the commercial ends with him finishing a 2-mile run in a local race.

The commercial is so well-done and very inspirational; the guy should get a sneaker contract from Nike or adidas, and they should run that commercial during the Super Bowl.

8) Christian Yelich is first player with 12+ homers in his team?s first 22 games since Alex Rodriguez in 2007.

7) Baseball injuries:
? Rays? OF Austin Meadows (thumb) had an MRI.
? Blue Jays put P Matt Shoemaker (knee) on IL; he tore his ACL and is out for the season.

6) Merrill Kelly threw 109 pitches for Arizona Friday, but he didn?t finish the 4th inning. He got 18 called strikes, had 21 pitches fouled off, gave up six hits on 12 balls in play.

Funny thing, two of the three runs he gave up came on a harmless looking pop-up to short CF that the wind played games with and no one caught it.

5) Detroit Pistons have lost 13 consecutive playoff games, tied for longest-ever streak in NBA.

4) Seattle Mariners have already had five games with 4+ homers this year; all of last season, they had five games with 4+ home runs.

3) Former major league OF Matt Holliday is retired now and lives in Stillwater, OK; he recently had a house built in Stillwater. The guy who built the house is Philly catcher JT Realmuto?s uncle. Small world.

2) Good grief, the Utah Jazz uniforms are terrible. Like the old purple uniforms with the musical note on them that Pete Maravich wore for the Jazz back in the day.

1) A comedian was elected president of Ukraine; I was going to make a joke about this, but then remembered who the president is here. Having a comedian as president wouldn?t be so bad.

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 22


National League
Diamondbacks (11-11) @ Pirates (12-7)
Godley is 1-1, 6.65 in four starts. He is 1-0, 3.86 in three games (2 starts) vs Pittsburgh. Team in his starts: 2-2
5-inning record: 1-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4 Over/under: 3-1

Musgrove is 1-1, 1.77 in three starts. He is 0-1, 5.56 in three games (2 starts) vs Arizona. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 0-2-1

Diamondbacks won five of their last seven games; their last five games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-2 last 11.

Pittsburgh won five of its last six games; under is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1 last six

Phillies (12-9) @ Mets (11-10)
Arrieta 3-1, 2.25 in four starts; he is 3-3, 2.33 in 11 starts vs NY. Team in his starts: 3-1
5-inning record: 3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4 Over/under: 1-2-1

Matz is 1-1, 6.75 in four starts; he faced eight hitters in last start- they all scored. He is 0-3, 5.96 in six starts vs Philly. Team in his starts: 3-1
5-inning record: 2-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-4 Over/under: 4-0

Phillies lost three of their last four games; four of their last five games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five.

Mets lost six of their last eight games (over 6-1-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-1-2 last nine.

Brewers (13-10) @ Cardinals (12-9)
Houser is making his first MLB start; he?s allowed five runs in 15.2 IP in nine MLB relief stints. He is 1-0, 1.10 in three AAA starts this year. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Flaherty is 1-1, 4.91 in four starts; he is 1-2, 4.58 in seven starts vs Milwaukee. Team in his starts: 2-2
5-inning record: 2-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4 Over/under: 4-0

Brewers lost four of their last five games; under is 4-1 in their last five. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1 in last four.

St Louis won seven of its last eight home games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games overall. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-1-1 last nine.

Nationals (10-10) @ Rockies (9-13)
Hellickson is 2-0, 1.54 in two starts; he is 1-1, 6.00 in two starts vs Colorado- he?s never pitched in Denver. Team in his starts: 2-0
5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 2-0

Unknown starter Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Nationals split their last 14 games; three of their last four games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1 in last four.

Colorado won six of its last seven games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-3 last ten.

American League
White Sox (8-12) @ Orioles (8-15)
Banuelos was 1-4, 5.13 in seven games (6 starts) for Atlanta in 2015; this year, he?s allowed four runs in 10.1 IP in four relief stints. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Hess is 0-3, 9.24 in his last three starts; he allowed four runs in 4.1 IP in his one start against Chicago. Team in his starts: 1-3
5-inning record: 1-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4 Over/under: 3-0-1

White Sox lost three of their last four games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-0 last four

Baltimore lost five of its last six games; they?re 1-9 at home. Over is 9-2 in their home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-0-1 in last six

Royals (7-15) @ Rays (14-8)
Keller is 2-1, 2.64 in five starts. Team in his starts: 3-2
5-inning record: 2-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-5 Over/under: 2-3

Bullpen game for the Rays. Team in bullpen games: 3-3
5-inning record: 3-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-6 Over/under: 4-1-1

Royals lost five of their last seven games; six of their last eight road games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-3-1 on road.

Tampa Bay lost its last four games; they?re 0-6 in games where winning run scores after 6th inning. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 11-3-1 last 15.

Tigers (10-10) @ Red Sox (9-13)
Boyd is 1-0, 2.33 in his last three starts. He is 1-2, 5.71 in four starts vs Boston. Team in his starts: 2-2
5-inning record: 1-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4 Over/under: 0-3-1

Sale is 0-4, 8.50 in four starts this year; he is 10-8, 2.94 in 32 games (22 starts) vs Detroit. Team in his starts: 0-4
5-inning record: 0-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4 Over/under: 2-2

Tigers lost six of their last eight games; under is 8-1 in their road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-0 last four.

Boston won its last three games; they?re 3-3 at home. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: last three under.

Twins (12-7) @ Astros (13-8)
Odorizzi is 1-2, 5.29 in four starts; he is 3-1, 2.12 in five starts vs Houston. Team in his starts: 1-3
5-inning record: 1-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-4 Over/under: 2-2

Peacock is 1-0, 4.63 in two starts. He is 0-2, 4.05 in seven games (3 starts) vs Minnesota. Team in his starts: 2-0
5-inning record: 1-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 1-1

Twins won four of their last five games; over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-0-1 last five.

Houston lost three of its last four games; they?re 6-0 at home. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 in last five.

New York (11-10) @ Angels (9-13)
Happ is 0-2, 6.98 in four starts; he is 2-6, 5.57 in eight starts vs LA. Team in his starts: 2-2
5-inning record: 1-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-4 Over/under: 3-1

Harvey is 0-2, 10.12 in four starts; he is 1-0, 1.25 in three starts vs NY. Team in his starts: 2-2
5-inning record: 0-2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4 Over/under: 2-2

New York won its last three games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-3 on road.

Angels lost seven of last nine games; they?re 7-4 at home. Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 12-3 in last 15.

Rangers (12-8) @ A?s (11-13)
Minor is 2-0, 0.78 in his last three starts; he is 2-1, 2.61 in six games (3 starts) vs Oakland. Team in his starts: 2-2
5-inning record: 3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4 Over/under: 2-2

Bassitt was 2-3, 3.02 in 11 games (7 starts) LY; he is 0-1, 9.00 in three games (1 start) vs Texas. Team in his starts: 3-1
5-inning record: 4-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-4 Over/under: 3-1

Rangers won six of their last seven games; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 15-5.

Oakland lost five of its last six games; over is 10-2 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-2-2 in last 13.

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 4/21
Ariz 4-12??2-9???6
Atl 3-8??6-12??..9
Cubs 2-11??1-8???3
Reds 4-12??1-8???5
Colo 1-13??1-9??..2
LA 2-10??8-12??10
Mia 1-7??3-15??..4
Milw 2-9??.6-13??..8
Mets 5-15??0-5??..5
Philly 2-9??.3-11??..5
Pitt 3-9??.4-9???7
StL 3-10?..2-10??..5
SD 4-10??1-13??.5
SF 0-13??0-10??0
Wash 3-9??.4-10??..7

Orioles 4-11??.4-10???8
Boston 2-15?..1-6???.3
W Sox 3-11??.1-8???4
Clev 4-11??.5-9??..9
Det 0-8??.3-12??.3
Astros 5-14??.2-6??..7
KC 3-9??.6-12??.9
Angels 1-10??1-10???2
Twins 4-11??2-9???.6
NYY 3-7??6-14???.8
A?s 3-11??.2-12??..5
Sea 5-13??.5-11??.10
TB 7-9??.4-12???11
Texas 1-5??.5-12???6
Toronto 0-11??.2-10??.2

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL? 8-5 AL, favorites -$565 over 7-5-1
AL @ NL? 5-4 NL, favorites -$167 over 5-4
Total: 12-10 AL, favorites -$732 Under 12-9-1

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB

Monday, April 22

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chicago White Sox
Chi White Sox is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games
Chi White Sox is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 10 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Chi White Sox is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Chi White Sox is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Baltimore is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Baltimore's last 10 games at home
Baltimore is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
Arizona is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home
Pittsburgh is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
Pittsburgh is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Arizona
Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
Kansas City is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games
Kansas City is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
Kansas City is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing Kansas City
Tampa Bay is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Boston
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 15 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Red Sox
Boston is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Boston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Boston's last 17 games at home
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing NY Mets
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Philadelphia is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
New York Mets
NY Mets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games
NY Mets is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games at home
NY Mets is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Philadelphia
NY Mets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
NY Mets is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Milwaukee is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 15 games on the road
Milwaukee is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing St. Louis
Milwaukee is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
St. Louis is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games
St. Louis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Milwaukee
St. Louis is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Houston
Minnesota is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Houston
Minnesota is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
Minnesota is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Astros
Houston is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games
Houston is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
Houston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Minnesota
Houston is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Washington Nationals
Washington is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 11 games
Colorado is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Colorado is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Washington
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington

New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 8 games
NY Yankees is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of NY Yankees's last 14 games on the road
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
NY Yankees is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Los Angeles Angels
LA Angels is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Angels is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
LA Angels is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
LA Angels is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games at home
LA Angels is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
LA Angels is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Angels's last 12 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Texas Rangers
Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Texas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Texas is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Texas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Texas's last 23 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oakland's last 12 games
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games at home
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Oakland is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Texas
Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Oakland's last 23 games when playing at home against Texas

 

[Cnotes53]

Ballpark Figures - Week 5
Joe Williams

Beer Battle

The Milwaukee Brewers will travel to meet the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium II on Monday, and the wind will be blowing out hard to left field at a 12-15 mph clip for the matchup between RHPs Adrian Houser and Jack Flaherty. Milwaukee heads into this one with a sparkling 20-7 mark in their past 27 games inside the division, and they're 19-9 in the past 28 games on the road. In addition, they're 9-2 in the past 11 road games against teams with a winning overall record. The Brew Crew is also an impressive 20-8 over their past 28 contests following a loss.

For the Cardinals, they're 9-4 in their past 13 games overall, while posting an 8-3 record across their past 11 games against teams with a winning record. With Flaherty on the mound, those winning ways will be put to the test. The Cards are just 2-8 across his past 10 starts, and they're only 2-6 in the past eight agaisnt teams with a winning overall record. The Cardinals have dropped nine of the past 11 meetings with the Brewers, and they've lost four in a row at home to their division rivals. In addition, the Cards are 2-5 in their past seven starts against the Brewers.

Looking Ahead

Monday, April 22

The Twins and Astros tangle at Minute Maid Park in Houston to open a new set. The Twins have won four of their past five games, and they sit atop the AL Central with a plus-20 run differential. They have won four of thep ast five on the road, too, but that will be put to the test with RHP Jake Odorizzi on the bump. Minnesota has won just one of Odorizzi's past nine road outings, and they're 1-10 in the past 11 road contests against teams with a winning record. They're also 0-5 in the past five vs. AL West foes. The Astros have won 19 of the past 26 at home, and they're 6-1 in Brad Peacock's past seven outings, and 4-1 in his past five against winning teams, too. The Twins have won just three of the past 15 meetings overall, and they're 0-4 in the past four at the Juice Box. The under is also 4-1 in the past five in Houston, and 6-2 in the past eight meetings overall in this series.

It's a matchup of Rangers LHP Mike Minor and Athletics RHP Chris Bassitt in Oakland. The Rangers streak into this one with victories in six of their past seven games against divisional foes, and they're 5-1 in the past six outings against right-handed starting pitching. They're also 6-1 in Minor's past seven inside the division, while going 8-2 in his past 10 outings against teams with a losing overall record. The A's are 7-1 in their past eight vs. LHP, and 5-0 in the past five at home against southpaws. However, while they're 4-0 in Bassitt's past four starts, they're just 2-5 in his past seven at home and 2-5 in his past seven against winning teams, too. This series has been tilted in Oakland's favor recently, as the Rangers are just 2-10 in the past 12 meetings overall, and 5-16 in their past 21 trips to Oakland. The over has cashed in five straight meetings in this series, too.

Weather Report

In New York, the Mets and Phillies face a 40 percent or greater chance of rain through 10 p.m. ET. They might get this one in after a lengthy delay. For the Tigers-Red Sox game in Boston, there is a 70 percent chance of rain throughout the day, so you can expect a postponement in this one. If they do play, the wind is blowing in 11-14 mph from center field to home plate. The Brewers and Cardinals will see a strong breeze at 10-13 mph to left field, so watch the over.


Tuesday, April 23

The Giants open an interleague road series against the Blue Jays, and they have managed just four wins in 13 road contests, while posting a minus-13 run differential overall. The Jays have won a season-high four in a row, and they have turned things around with a plus-7 run differential. San Francisco has posted a poor 3-8 in the past 11 against AL East foes, while going 2-6 in the past eight interleague games against a right-handed starter. They're also 2-5 in the past seven interleague road games overall. In addition, they're 0-6 in the past six road outings by RHP Jeff Samardzija, and 2-9 in his past 11 starts overall. The Jays are also 12-4 in their past 16 home interleague games, and 11-5 in the past 15 interleague home outings vs. RHP. However, they're 0-4 in RHP Trent Thornton's past four starts.

The Phillies and Mets square off on Tuesday with RHP Zach Eflin and RHP Zack Wheeler battling it out for Zach/Zack bragging rights. The Phils have won just one of Eflin's past nine road outings, although they're 8-3 in his past 11 against teams with a winnin record. The Mets are 12-5 in Wheeler's past 17 starts overall, while going 6-1 in his past seven against teams with a winning record, and 8-3 in his past 11 outings inside the division. The Mets are also 6-2 in his past eight home outings, too. The over has cashed in six of Wheeler's past eight starts agaisnt the Phils, who are just 3-7 in their past 10 battles at Citi Field.

The high-flying Mariners, who have a plus-32 run differential, which is second-best in the AL. The M's also enter 9-1 in the past 10 road games, and 8-2 in the past 10 games vs. LHP. However, Seattle enters 0-7 in the past seven against winning teams and 0-5 in their past five interleague games. The Padres have managed a 1-6 record in the past seven overall, and 1-6 in the past seven vs. RHP. San Diego has won four in a row in this interleague series, however, with the over 6-2-1 in the past nine battles.

Weather Report

In Cleveland, the Marlins and Indians will face a stiff wind blowing out 15-18 mph to the right-center field power alley. The winds will be blowing from first to third base for the Braves-Reds battle. In the Steel City, the Diamondbacks and Pirates will be dealing with some light rain. If they do play, they will see a 10-13 mph wind blowing out to the left-center field power alley. Those are the only weather trouble sports, however.

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, April 22

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ARIZONA (11 - 11) at PITTSBURGH (12 - 7) - 7:05 PM
ZACK GODLEY (R) vs. JOE MUSGROVE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 34-54 (-23.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GODLEY is 3-11 (-9.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 94-86 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 667-589 (+69.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 69-57 (+14.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 17-12 (+12.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 28-15 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 35-24 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ZACK GODLEY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
GODLEY is 1-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

JOE MUSGROVE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MUSGROVE is 0-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.30 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (12 - 9) at NY METS (11 - 10) - 7:10 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-44 (-21.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-55 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-27 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MATZ is 12-4 (+9.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 861-905 (+20.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NY METS are 39-47 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 380-396 (-121.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
NY METS are 25-32 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 58-100 (-37.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. NY METS since 1997
ARRIETA is 3-4 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.64 and a WHIP of 1.047.
His team's record is 5-7 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-2. (+5.8 units)

STEVEN MATZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
MATZ is 0-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.96 and a WHIP of 1.676.
His team's record is 1-5 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (13 - 10) at ST LOUIS (12 - 9) - 7:45 PM
ADRIAN HOUSER (R) vs. JACK FLAHERTY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-2 (+2.7 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

ADRIAN HOUSER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

JACK FLAHERTY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
FLAHERTY is 1-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.59 and a WHIP of 1.330.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (10 - 10) at COLORADO (9 - 13) - 8:40 PM
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. TYLER ANDERSON (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. COLORADO since 1997
HELLICKSON is 1-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

TYLER ANDERSON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
ANDERSON is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.50 and a WHIP of 1.222.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (8 - 12) at BALTIMORE (8 - 15) - 7:05 PM
MANNY BANUELOS (L) vs. DAVID HESS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 55-130 (-51.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 29-62 (-29.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 32-85 (-42.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 38-90 (-33.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 233-385 (-124.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 26-48 (-19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MANNY BANUELOS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

DAVID HESS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
HESS is 0-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.24 and a WHIP of 1.617.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (7 - 15) at TAMPA BAY (14 - 8) - 7:10 PM
BRAD KELLER (R) vs. YONNY CHIRINOS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRAD KELLER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

YONNY CHIRINOS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (10 - 10) at BOSTON (9 - 13) - 7:10 PM
MATT BOYD (L) vs. CHRIS SALE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 61-200 (-77.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997.
DETROIT is 71-130 (-43.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 50-86 (-33.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-13 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 603-451 (-64.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MATT BOYD vs. BOSTON since 1997
BOYD is 1-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.71 and a WHIP of 1.558.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)

CHRIS SALE vs. DETROIT since 1997
SALE is 9-8 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.99 and a WHIP of 1.119.
His team's record is 10-12 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-10. (+0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (12 - 7) at HOUSTON (13 - 8) - 8:10 PM
JAKE ODORIZZI (R) vs. BRAD PEACOCK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 54-38 (-23.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-31 (-28.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-24 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. HOUSTON since 1997
ODORIZZI is 3-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.12 and a WHIP of 1.112.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

BRAD PEACOCK vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PEACOCK is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.140.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (11 - 10) at LA ANGELS (9 - 13) - 10:07 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. MATT HARVEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 64-50 (-28.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 23-35 (-16.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 33-60 (-23.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

J.A. HAPP vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
HAPP is 2-6 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.57 and a WHIP of 1.453.
His team's record is 2-6 (-6.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-1. (+6.0 units)

MATT HARVEY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HARVEY is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.25 and a WHIP of 0.692.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

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TEXAS (12 - 8) at OAKLAND (11 - 13) - 10:07 PM
MIKE MINOR (L) vs. CHRIS BASSITT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 108-79 (+31.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 103-72 (+30.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 13-4 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 67-53 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 46-31 (+19.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

MIKE MINOR vs. OAKLAND since 1997
MINOR is 2-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.00 and a WHIP of 0.722.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

CHRIS BASSITT vs. TEXAS since 1997
BASSITT is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, April 22


Arizona @ Pittsburgh

Game 951-952
April 22, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Godley) 16.698
Pittsburgh
(Musgrve) 15.726
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-145
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+125); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore

Game 959-960
April 22, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Banuelos) 14.991
Baltimore
(Hess) 13.519
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-120
10
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-120); Under

Philadelphia @ NY Mets

Game 953-954
April 22, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Arrieta) 13.657
NY Mets
(Matz) 15.136
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-110); Over

Detroit @ Boston

Game 963-964
April 22, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Boyd) 15.463
Boston
(Sale) 13.995
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-220
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+190); Over

Kansas City @ Tampa Bay

Game 961-962
April 22, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Keller) 15.562
Tampa Bay
(Chirinos) 14.082
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-180
8
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+160); Over

Milwaukee @ St. Louis

Game 955-956
April 22, 2019 @ 7:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Houser) 15.870
St. Louis
(Flaherty) 17.394
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-155
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-155); Over

Minnesota @ Houston

Game 965-966
April 22, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Odorizzi) 15.786
Houston
(Peacock) 16.963
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-180
9
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-180); Under

Washington @ Colorado

Game 957-958
April 22, 2019 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Hellckson) 16.684
Colorado
(Andrson) 15.016
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-130
11
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+110); Under

Texas @ Oakland

Game 969-970
April 22, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Minor) 17.040
Oakland
(Bassitt) 14.234
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+110); Under

NY Yankees @ LA Angels

Game 967-968
April 22, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Happ) 16.605
LA Angels
(Harvey) 14.941
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-115); Over

 

[Cnotes53]

573Milwaukee -574 Detroit
MILWAUKEE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

575Houston -576 Utah
UTAH is 79-54 ATS (19.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, April 22

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (63 - 22) at DETROIT (41 - 44) - 4/22/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 66-111 ATS (-56.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 50-32 ATS (+14.8 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
MILWAUKEE is 62-39 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in April games this season.
DETROIT is 119-167 ATS (-64.7 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
DETROIT is 27-36 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 8-5 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 12-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (56 - 29) at UTAH (50 - 35) - 4/22/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 40-30 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 12-6 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 14-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 22

Not much stress for Milwaukee in this series, winning first three games by 35-21-16 points; Bucks are 40-107 from arc in series, and held Detroit under 40% from floor in all three games. Bucks won 11 of last 13 games with Detroit; under is 6-4-1 in last 11 series games. Milwaukee won 10 of last 13 games overall; eight of their last ten games went over; Bucks covered five of last seven road games. Detroit lost its last 13 playoff games; they set an all-time NBA record if they lose this game. Pistons lost seven of their last nine games overall; they?re 0-3 vs spread in last three home games.

Mitchell had 34 points in Game 3 but was only 9-27 from floor; Rockets pulled out 104-101 road win, taking 3-0 series lead despite Harden going 3-20 from floor, 2-13 on arc. Houston is 47-128 on arc in series, Jazz is 27-106; both teams took 40+ 3?s in Game 3. Rockets won/covered nine of their last ten games overall; they?re 8-4 vs spread in last 12 road games. Houston won ten of its last 13 games with the Jazz; under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games (2-0-1 in this series). Jazz had won its last eight home games before Saturday, but Rockets won/covered four of last five visits to Salt Lake City.




NBA

Monday, April 22

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 10 games
Milwaukee is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
Milwaukee is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Detroit is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Houston Rockets
Houston is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Houston's last 23 games
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games on the road
Houston is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Utah
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah Jazz
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 11 games at home
Utah is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games when playing Houston
Utah is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
Utah is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, April 22


Milwaukee @ Detroit

Game 573-574
April 22, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
127.096
Detroit
111.272
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 16
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 12
218
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-12); Over

Houston @ Utah

Game 575-576
April 22, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
132.938
Utah
121.763
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 11
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 2 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-2 1/2); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

On Basketball: This first round sorely lacks playoff drama
April 22, 2019
By The Associated Press

ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) If there was a silver lining for Indiana fans after the Pacers were the first team to be bounced from the 2019 NBA playoffs, it's this: They won't have to watch any more first-round games.

For that, they should be thankful.

Drama is in very short supply so far in these playoffs. Close games? Few and far between (more on this later). Ratings? They're down double-digit percentages from last year, a massive hit that suggests casual fans aren't watching if LeBron James - out of the playoffs for the first time since 2005 - isn't playing. Tickets? There were seats on the secondary market available for Monday's Milwaukee-Detroit game for as little as $18.

That's $18, by the way, to see a Bucks team that was the best team in the NBA during the regular season. The Bucks have the likely MVP in Giannis Antetokounmpo. Pistons fans can probably bank on it being their team's last home game of the season. And apparently, not very many people want to go see that game.

Can't blame them.

The divide between the haves and the have-nots in the NBA looks like a canyon right now. Unless San Antonio takes two of the next three against Denver, or someone rallies from 3-1 or 3-0 down, the eight higher-seeded teams will all win in the first round for the first time since 2008.

On the one hand, that means the second-round matchups could be really good. Boston-Milwaukee. Golden State-Houston. Philadelphia-Toronto. None of them are set yet, but they would all be fascinating if they happen.

''You take control of a series by winning games on the road,'' Golden State star Stephen Curry said. ''We've been able to do that.''

This past weekend, all the higher-seeded teams took control by winning away from home. Road teams went 4-0 on Saturday. Road teams went 4-0 again on Sunday. That's never happened in NBA history. And with lower seeds not cashing in on home-court advantage, this first round might wind down real fast.

Boston swept away Indiana. Houston can sweep Utah on Monday night. Philadelphia, Golden State, Toronto and Portland all have a chance to win in five games. Entering Monday, only one series - Denver vs. San Antonio - was assured of going six games. There might not be a single Game 7 in the first round. The last time that happened was 2011.

Fans might want the drama that comes with close games, long series, back-and-forth tussles. Players, of course, don't mind going without.

''Not worried about it or paying attention to anybody else right now,'' said Toronto guard Danny Green, whose team is up 3-1 over Orlando. ''We're focused on us and Orlando. We don't skip steps here. We can't think about the next series. We haven't won this series yet. Can't even think about the next series. Orlando's our focus. They deserve all our focus. They're a pretty damn good team. And we're not looking ahead because we haven't beat them yet. The job's not finished.''

There have been 30 games played in these playoffs entering Monday.

Road teams have gone 16-14, which is absurd.

And just two of the 30 games have been decided by three points or less. The average margin of victory so far in these playoffs: 13.7 points per game.

So there's been lopsided games, and for the most part, lopsided matchups. By Wednesday, there might be only two first-round series left. By Thursday, it might be one. By Friday, the first round might be over. There's a chance this could be the fastest first round since the NBA made the opening matchups all best-of-sevens in 2003.

The earliest the second round can start is Saturday.

Here's hoping the intrigue ramps up around then as well.

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, APRIL 22
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIL at DET 08:00 PM
MIL -12.5
U 219.5

HOU at UTA 10:30 PM
HOU -3.0
O 214.5

 

[Udog]

Monday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game 4 ? Bucks (-12 ?, 219 ?) at Pistons ? 8:05 PM EST ? TNT
Milwaukee leads series, 3-0

The Celtics are waiting in the wings for the Bucks in the second round of the playoffs after Boston swept Indiana in four games. Milwaukee is one victory away from a playoff rematch with Boston in a series that went the distance in 2018 and won by the Celtics. However, the top-seeded Bucks have to suffer through one more game with the Pistons, as Milwaukee has won and covered in each of the first three games by double-digits.

The first two contests in Milwaukee were no doubt blowouts as the Bucks cashed as 15-point favorites each time in 35 and 21-point routs. In Game 3 at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Pistons? star Blake Griffin returned to the lineup after missing the first two losses with a lingering knee injury. Griffin led the Pistons with 27 points, but Milwaukee cruised past Detroit, 119-103 for its seventh win over the Pistons this season.

Seven different Bucks posted double-figures in the Game 3 win as Khris Middleton put up 20 points, while Eric Bledsoe and Brook Lopez each scored 19 points to help Milwaukee cash as 9 ?-point favorites. The Bucks improved to 6-0-1 ATS this season against Detroit, while six of the seven wins have come by 10 points or more.

Milwaukee snapped a six-game road playoff losing streak in Saturday?s victory, as the Bucks picked up their first away postseason win since Game 1 of the 2017 first round series against the Raptors. The Pistons had won 11 consecutive games at Little Caesars Arena from February 4 through March 30, but Detroit is currently on a 1-3 run at home the last four opportunities.


Game 4 ? Rockets (-3, 214 ?) at Jazz ? 10:35 PM EST ? TNT
Houston leads series, 3-0

How well are things going for the Rockets? Last season?s MVP James Harden missed his first 15 shots from the floor in Game 3 at Utah, but the Rockets still managed a 104-101 victory to grab a 3-0 series advantage. Houston and Golden State are on the verge of meeting once again in the postseason after last season?s epic seven-game set won by the Warriors, but the Rockets need one more victory to move forward.

Rewinding to Saturday?s Game 3 in Salt Lake City, in spite of Harden?s horrendous start from the floor, he finished with 22 points and 10 assists on 3-of-20 shooting. All five Rockets? starters scored in double-figures as Chris Paul posted 18 points, while P.J. Tucker and Clint Capela each compiled a double-double. The only offensive firepower from the Jazz came courtesy of Donovan Mitchell, who scored 34 points, but also struggled shooting by hitting 9-of-27 attempts.

Utah captured the first two meetings in the regular season, but Houston won the final two matchups before taking the opening three games of this series. Dating back to the start of the 2017-18 season, the Rockets have won 13 of the last 16 meetings with the Jazz, including a 6-1 mark at Vivint Smart Home Arena.

Chris David expected Houston to sweep Utah in four games and he?s sticking with that angle on Monday. He explained, ?After closing as short ?dogs on Saturday, the Rockets go from hunter to hunted in this game and will be laying as road favorites. We saw the same situation happen yesterday with Boston as the Celtics cashed as an underdog in Game 3 on Friday before sealing the series in Game 4. While homecourt is a big factor in the NBA, talent wins out and we?ve seen that so far in this year?s playoffs. Road favorites are 7-0 straight up and 5-2 against the spread in the postseason with the Warriors and Raptors just missing covers by a couple points over the weekend.?

He added, ?Houston?s numbers as a road favorite (15-12 SU, 10-16-1 ATS) don?t seem appealing but a lot of those losses came early in the season. Since the All-Star break, the club has gone 6-3 when laying points as a visitor. It?s rare to see Utah listed as a home underdog, just twice this season (1-1). However, the Jazz are 0-3 both SU and ATS in their last three games as an underdog versus Houston and that includes a pair of losses in last year?s Western Conference semifinals. Some bettors might feel more secure taking the visitor on the money-line (-150) but make a note that the Rockets won all three of those games in Salt Lake City by double digits and the ?under? cashed in each contest too.?

Under Quin Snyder, the Jazz have put together an 0-5 SU/ATS record as a home underdog in the playoffs, including four straight losses by 11 points or more. The Rockets are currently riding a 7-1 run to the UNDER in the last eight playoff games, including three straight UNDERS against the Jazz on the road since last season?s second round matchup.

 

[Cnotes53]

Mitchell helps Jazz stave off elimination
April 23, 2019
By The Associated Press

DETROIT (AP) Donovan Mitchell scored 19 of his 31 points in the fourth quarter to rally the Utah Jazz to a 107-91 victory over the Houston Rockets in Game 4 of their Western Conference series on Monday night.

Jae Crowder added 23 points. Ricky Rubio chipped in 18 points and 11 assists and Derrick Favors finished with 12 points and 11 rebounds. Utah staved off elimination to force Game 5 on Wednesday.

James Harden scored 30 points to lead Houston. Chris Paul added 23 points, eight rebounds and seven assists. Eric Gordon chipped in 16 points.

Utah's offense got a major boost from Crowder and Rubio in the first quarter. The duo combined for 25 points on 9-of-11 shooting in the quarter to help the Jazz carve out a double digit lead.

The Jazz opened the fourth quarter with a 15-1 and outscored the Rockets 31-12 in the period. Mitchell scored 13 points in three minutes to fuel the run after totaling just 12 points in the first three quarters. He capped off the surge with back-to-back 3-pointers, giving the Jazz a 91-80 lead with 9:02 remaining. Mitchell later had an incredible alley-oop dunk when he caught an errant pass and threw it down.

BUCKS 127, PISTONS 104

DETROIT (AP) - Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 41 points, and the Milwaukee Bucks beat Detroit, completing a four-game sweep of the Pistons and advancing to the second round of the playoffs for the first time since 2001.

Milwaukee closed the third quarter with a 17-3 run, taking a 10-point lead into the fourth after the Pistons had led much of the way. Detroit set an NBA record with its 14th consecutive playoff loss, a skid that began in 2008.

The Bucks will face Boston in the second round. The Celtics are coming off a sweep of their own against Indiana.

Reggie Jackson scored 20 of his 26 points in the first half for Detroit. Blake Griffin fouled out with 7:06 remaining after scoring 22. The home fans gave him a nice ovation - then many headed for the exits.