Cnotes 2018 Canadian Football League Picks - News - Trends !

Cnotes53

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EDMONTON 33, WINNIPEG 24

MONTREAL 30, HAMILTON 28

STAMPEDERS 26, LIONS 9



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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/03/2018 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
11/02/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00


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Sunday?s 6-pack

Top 6 picks in Week 9 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

1) Vikings, -4.5 (1,262)

2) Steelers, +3 (1,138)

3) Titans, +6.5 (1,093)

4) Chiefs, -8 (977)

5) Texans, +1 (782)

6) Seahawks, -2 (773)

Season record: 25-20-3 (6-0 last week)

Quote of the Day
?With a seven-year, $49 million salary, there?s no such thing as a rebuilding year for Malzahn. The Tigers are supposed to be, at the very least, in contention for the division title every November. ?
Barrett Sallee, CBSSports.com

Sunday?s quiz
Who holds the single season record for passing yards at Ole Miss?

Saturday?s quiz
The first Super Bowl was played in the Los Angeles Coliseum.

Friday?s quiz
Kenny Stabler was the Raiders? QB the first time they won a Super Bowl.

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Sunday?s List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

13) Auburn 28, Texas A&M 24? Talk about gagging a game away; with 7:14 left, A&M led 24-14 and had the ball on the Auburn 43. The ESPN TV guys were talking about running the ball and about clock management, taking time off the clock, but the Aggies threw an INT on the very next play. Not good.

Game completely swung on that play; Auburn had TD drives of 71-58 yards in the last 6:00 and pulled out a game that looked lost midway thru the 4th quarter.

12) West Virginia 42, Texas 41? This was a tremendous game, too bad Gus Johnson had the play-by-play and went into his hysterical act with both TD?s late in this game. He calls the action well, but if the game is close at the end, it always has to become about him and his screaming.

West Virginia trailed 41-34, but scored a TD with 0:16 left; Mountaineers went for 2 and the win? QB Will Grier ran it in for the two points.

I?ve said here before that I?m not a fan of going for two points in that situation, but Grier is a senior QB and coach Holgorsen trusted him to get the two points, and he did.

11) Georgia 34, Kentucky 17? Swift/Holyfield both ran the ball for 100+ yards as the Dawgs KO?d Kentucky and clinched the SEC East title- Georgia plays Auburn next week.

Kentucky RB Benny Snell Jr is very good; his dad was a RB for the Las Vegas Outlaws in the XFL in the one year that league existed. Snell?s granddad is cousins with Matt Snell, a terrific RB who helped the Jets win Super Bowl III.

10) South Carolina 48, Ole Miss 44? Teams played so little defense, it looked like they were auditioning to join the Big X. Ole Miss didn?t punt until midway thru the third quarter.

Rebels gained 616 yards but lost; Gamecocks averaged 11.3 yards/pass attempt and won.

9) Michigan State 24, Maryland 3? Terrapins? offensive line were the people who were upset about coach coach DJ Durkin being re-instated this week; they helped get him fired the next day, but the OL was useless in this game. Maryland ran 53 plays for a total of only 100 yards.

8) Central Florida 52, Temple 40? UCF is 8-0, but when you?re trailing Temple 34-28 at the half and the Owls get 35 first downs against you, you?re not going too impress the pollsters who may not want to be impressed in the first place.

7) Upsets of the Week:
? Illinois (+9.5) 55, Minnesota 31
? Pittsburgh (+7.5) 23, Virginia 13
? Baylor (+7.5) 35, Oklahoma State 31
? Tulane (+7.5) 41, South Florida 15
? UL-Monroe (+7) 44, Georgia Southern 25
? Texas State (+6) 40, Georgia State 31
? Missouri (+6) 38, Florida 17

6) Clemson 77, Louisville 16? Two years ago, Louisville was -2.5 at Clemson, but lost 42-36; they were +39 in this game and didn?t come close to covering. Even Dabo Swinney?s son scored a TD, his first-ever college touchdown. Clemson ran the ball for 492 yards, which is just total domination.

5) Ohio State 36, Nebraska 31? OSU fans are spoiled; Buckeyes trailed 21-16 at halftime, got booed off their home field- not much enthusiasm for a team that is now 8-1.

4) NC State 47, Florida State 28? Seminoles were 5-6 LY; they?re 4-5 this year. From 2012-16, FSU was 59-9; what the hell happened?

3) Purdue 38, Iowa 36? Boilermakers kicked a FG with 0:08 left to win the game after blowing a 35-23 fourth quarter lead. Iowa tried and failed on a pair of 2-point conversions earlier in second half, otherwise this might?ve been an overtime game.

Purdue has won five of its last six games after an 0-3 start.

2) Oklahoma 51, Texas Tech 46? Tech led 31-28 at halftime, but apparently their QB Bowman got drilled in the head with a football while warming up for the second half and went back to the locker room for evaluation- he didn?t play in the second half, or return to the sidelines.

1) Michigan 42, Penn State 7? Wolverines? defense is really good; in their last six games, Michigan has allowed 12.5 ppg, only 185.8 ypg. Notre Dame/SMU are only two teams that gained more than 300 yards against the Wolverines this season.

Penn State lost three of last five games; they?re 0-3 when scoring less than 30 points.
 

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CFL Betting Notes - Semis
David Schwab

The final weekend of the CFL regular season started with Ottawa rolling over Toronto 24-9 on Friday night as a seven-point home favorite. Winnipeg came up short in a 33-24 road loss against Edmonton as a five-point underdog in the first of three Saturday games.

Montreal was able to end a rather dismal season on a high note with a 30-28 road win against Hamilton as a six-point underdog ahead of Calgary?s 26-9 victory against British Columba as an 8.5-point road favorite to snap a three-game skid.

Sunday, Nov. 11

British Columbia (9-9 SU, 10-8 ATS) at Hamilton (8-10 SU, 7-10-1 ATS)

Point-spread: Hamilton -3
Total: 52

Game Overview

BC?s loss to Calgary has it taking the crossover route in the CFL playoffs. This was its second loss in a row both straight-up and against the spread after putting together a 6-1 SU run in its previous seven games while going 5-2 ATS. The total stayed UNDER 50 points in Saturday?s contest and it has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 11 of the Lions? last 13 games.

Quarterback Travis Lulay has played at a very high level, missed playing time due to injury and stunk up the joint over the course of the year. How he does against the Tiger-Cats this Sunday if he gets the start remains to be seen, but he closed out the regular season by going 10-for-16 for 111 yards and two interceptions. Jonathon Jennings came in to complete 16 of his 21 passing attempts for 140 yards.

Hamilton had nothing to lose or gain in Saturday?s loss to Montreal as the second seed in the East Division behind Ottawa. Back-to-back losses to the Redbacks in its previous two games sealed the team?s fate in the postseason. There has to be some genuine concern with how the Tiger-Cats finished the regular season at 2-5 SU and ATS over their final seven games.

To get past the Lions on Sunday, Hamilton quarterback Jeramiah Masoli will need his A game. He finished second to Edmonton?s Mike Reilly in total passing yards with 5,209 and he was third in the CFL in passing touchdowns with 28 against 18 interceptions. The Tiger-Cats averaged 28.5 points per game as the highest scoring team in the East Division this season.

Betting Trends

--The Lions are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six playoff games and the total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six road games.

--The Tiger-Cats have gone 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games in the postseason and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five playoff games at home.

--This season?s home-and-home series in late September was split with the home team winning each game SU and ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in 11 of the last 16 meetings in Hamilton.

Winnipeg (10-8 SU, 10-7-1 ATS) at Saskatchewan (12-6 SU, 10-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -2 ?
Total: 52

Game Overview

Following back-to-back losses (SU and ATS) to Saskatchewan in an early September home-and-home series, the Blue Bombers went on to five of their last six games both SU and ATS. Saturday?s loss to Edmonton snapped that five-game winning streak. The total went OVER 52 points in that loss after staying UNDER in four of Winnipeg?s previous five games.

One of the big reasons for that recent five-game winning streak was the Blue Bombers? ability to tighten things up on defense. On the year, this side of the ball has allowed an average of 23.3 points per game, but that number dropped to 14 points in those five victories highlighted by a 31-0 shutout against Saskatchewan at home on Oct. 13.

Other than that late-season loss to Winnipeg, the Roughriders were probably the hottest CFL team over the second half of the season at 9-2 SU in their final 11 games. They were a more modest 7-4 ATS in this same span with the total going OVER in seven of the 11 games. Saskatchewan went 6-3 ATS in nine home games this year.

Following the shutout against the Blue Bombers on the road, Saskatchewan did bounce back in a big way with a 29-24 road upset against Calgary the following week as a 8 ?-point underdog. It closed out the season with a 35-16 victory against BC at home as a 4 ?-point favorite ahead of last week?s bye. The extra rest could be an added factor in this Sunday?s home game.

Betting Trends

--The Blue Bombers have failed to cover in five of their last six games in the opening round of the postseason and the total has gone OVER in 18 of their last 26 West Division games.

--The Roughriders are 5-2-2 ATS in their last nine playoff games and the total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in eight of their last 11 games following a SU win.

--Saskatchewan has a 2-1 edge in the season series both SU and ATS with the total going OVER in two of the three games. Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games against the Roughriders and the total has gone OVER in the last nine meetings in Saskatchewan.
 

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CFL
Long Sheet

Division Semis


Sunday, November 11

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (9 - 9) at HAMILTON (8 - 10) - 11/11/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (10 - 8) at SASKATCHEWAN (12 - 6) - 11/11/2018, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 127-94 ATS (+23.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL

Division Semis


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, November 11

British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
British Columbia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
British Columbia is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
British Columbia is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games on the road
British Columbia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Hamilton
British Columbia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 8 of British Columbia's last 12 games when playing Hamilton
British Columbia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Hamilton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Hamilton's last 9 games
Hamilton is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Hamilton is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games at home
Hamilton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia
Hamilton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Hamilton's last 12 games when playing British Columbia
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia


Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 9 games
Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
 

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Dunkel

Division Semis



Sunday, November 11

BC Lions @ Hamilton

Game 659-660
November 11, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
107.274
Hamilton
110.580
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 3 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
Pick
52
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
Over

Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan


Game 661-662
November 11, 2018 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
117.464
Saskatchewan
115.537
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 3
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+3); Under
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, November 11



BC Lions (9-9) @ Hamilton (8-10) (-1.5, 52.5)? Home side won both meetings this season; Lions lost 40-10 in their visit here, won the game in Vancouver in OT. Lions won five of last seven series games; they?re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here (under 3-2). BC lost its last two games, scoring 9-16 points; they split their last four road games. Under is 7-2-1 in Lions? last ten games. Ti-Cats lost their last three games, allowing 35-30-30 points; they?re 2-5 in last seven games. Seven of their last nine games went over the total.

Winnipeg (10-8) @ Saskatchewan (12-6) (-3, 52)? Roughriders won two of three meetings this season, winning 31-23 in only one played in Regina. Blue Bombers won six of last nine series games, losing 31-23/38-24 in last two visits here. Five of last six series games went over the total. Winnipeg won five of its last six games; they?re 4-5 on the road, 2-4 as road underdogs. Four of their last six games stayed under. Saskatchewan won five of its last six games; they?re 6-3 at home, 3-2 as home favorites- over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

Through Week 21: Favorites 36-43; Under 46-32-2
 

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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 11
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


BC at HAM 01:00 PM
HAM -1.5
U 51.5


WPG at SSK 04:30 PM
SSK +0.0
O 51.0
 

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GAME RECAP

LION TAMERS: ?CATS CLAW BC IN DOMINANT EASTERN SEMI SHOWING


HAMILTON ? Jeremiah Masoli proved Sunday why he is the East Division nominee for Most Outstanding Player, dominating time of possession and putting 28 first half points on the board.

Masoli passed for 259 yards and three touchdowns yards and newcomer Bralon Addison hauled 124 of those yards as the Hamilton Tiger-Cats mauled the BC Lions 48-8 at Tim Hortons Field Sunday afternoon in the Eastern Semi-Final.

The Tiger-Cats will now travel to Ottawa to take on the REDBLACKS in the Eastern Final next weekend.

On top of a stellar outing from Masoli, the Tiger-Cats won the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and were gifted a two-touchdown performance by Luke Tasker.

For a pair of teams that only played each other twice, there was no shortage of bad blood between these two teams. The Lions stormed back in the first meeting for an overtime win and the Ticats owned the battle the following week in a game that wasn?t short on fireworks.

One of the primary differences in the Eastern Semi versus the two previous encounters was the BC quarterback, Travis Lulay, whose play in the final third of the regular season helped propel the Lions to a playoff berth.

Before Lulay could see the field, it was the MOP candidate under centre on the other side that put the first points on the board. Masoli got the Ticats off and running with a pair of big completions to SB Bralon Addison and a 21-yard screen pass to RB Alex Green to set the Ticats up on the Lions goal line. In one of the more bizarre sneaks one will see, short yardage QB Dane Evans snuck right, fumbled the ball but it was promptly recovered by offensive lineman Kelvin Palmer for the score and an early 7-0 Hamilton lead.

When Lulay did take the field for the Leos, his first play from scrimmage gave the Ticats another chance to score. Lulay went play action and when he dropped back to pass, put the ball on the carpet. It was recovered by DE Adrian Tracy on the BC 42-yard line.

Five plays later, the Ticats were in the endzone again after Masoli and Addison connected for 27 yards and then looked off the safety and found Tasker on a post for a 14-yard major.

The Lions responded with a solid drive to get some traction, but a 41-yard Ty Long field goal went wide right.

Already dominating time of possession, the TIcats made BC pay for the miss, generating a 4:56 drive that featured a 50-yard strike from Masoli to Addison before backup RB Sean Thomas-Erlington who made a nine-yard TD reception off his back shoulder.

Two possessions later, the ?Cats flexed their muscles again when a 17-yard run by Green set up Luke Taskers second major of the game when he hauled in a 25-yard pass ahead of the goal line and navigated his way to pay dirt. The major extended the lead to 28-0 with just over four minutes left and was set up by a third-and-inches stop by the Ticats when LB Larry Dean stuffed QB Cody Fajardo on the gamble at the BC 42 yard line.

Masoli entered halftime with a four-touchdown lead, a completion percentage of 81.3 and a receiver, Addison, with 124 yards receiving. The first half was dominated so heavily by the Tiger-Cats that the Lions didn?t get their first stop until the 7:37 mark of the second quarter.

When the third quarter began, the dominant Ticats offence cooled but began to play the field position game ? the Lions started their first three possessions of the half inside their own 10-yard line.

With just over five minutes remaining in the third frame, Lulay tried to work his way out of a jam, looking for WR DeVier Posey on a five-yard out. Posey came out of his break and DB Frankie Williams jumped the route, picked off the pass clean and took it 39 yards for the pick-six.

That ended Lulay?s day, who was replaced by Jonathon Jennings for the remainder of the game, stuck 37-0. Lulay finished 8 of 17 for 103 yards, one interception, one fumble and no touchdowns.

Jennings willed the Lions into the redzone for the first time and looked poised to break the shutout. The Loins lined up on the Hamilton one-yard line on first down and went for a wildcat formation but the snap was fumbled by RB Tyrell Sutton and scooped up by veteran LB Simoni Lawrence who took it 92 yards down to the BC goal line. Backup Dane Evans would punch it in from there to extend the lead to 44-0.

The Lions would finally break the goose egg when Jennings found WR Shaq Johnson for a 30-yard major. They would add a two-point conversion.

Despite the late score, it was a blip on what was otherwise a phenomenal outing by the Hamiltoin defence which forced five turnovers and controlled the line of scrimmage all day long.

Before the day was done, the Ticats put Evans in the game to close things out. He got in on the party by completing a pass to Mike Jones for a gain of 37 yards before the three minute warning to put another field goal on the board.

The ?Cats will now begin prep on the Eastern Final in Ottawa while the Lions head back to Vancouver where they will clean their lockers out on Monday. Sunday?s loss is the largest in BC Lions playoff history.


*****************************


WESTERN SEMI-FINAL

HARRIS, WOLITARSKY LEAD BOMBERS PAST RIDERS IN WESTERN SEMI


REGINA ? Drew Wolitarsky and Andrew Harris each scored a touchdown and Kevin Fogg had a key interception, leading the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to a 23-18 win over the Saskatchewan Roughriders in the Western Semi-Final on Sunday in Regina.

The Bombers got the best of their heated rival in front of a hostile crowd at new Mosaic Stadium, scoring 13 unanswered points in the second frame and never relinquishing the lead, putting the game out of reach with a fourth-quarter touchdown by Harris.

Bombers pivot Matt Nichols threw for 169 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions in the win, while the sophomore Wolitarsky had a team-high five catches for 68 yards to lead the Bombers to victory.

Mississauga, Ont. native and Riders pivot Brandon Bridge became the first Canadian quarterback to start a playoff game since Gerry Dittilio, finishing 12-of-22 for 100 yards and an interception in defeat, however he exited the game with :08 remaining after being hit by Jackson Jeffcoat.

The Riders? regular starter Zach Collaros was scratched after taking limited practice reps throughout the week.

Fogg had the game?s lone turnover, an interception in the second quarter that flipped the field and broke a first-half stalemate in the Bombers? favour.

After failing to find much of a lane in the first half with just 27 yards, Harris finished with 153 yards on 19 carries in a dominant second-half performance.

The Bombers will travel to Calgary to take on the Stampeders in the Western Final on Nov. 18.

With a raucous crowd at their back in the first game at the new stadium, the Riders came out with momentum. Bridge completed his first pass to Naaman Roosevelt for a first down, then got the edge on a second down scramble and took off for a 32-yard run into Bomber territory. Lauther?s 32-yard field goal put the Riders in front 3-0 on a successful opening drive.

After a quick two-and-out by the Riders? defence, including a sack by a blitzing Mike Edem on second down, a pass interference penalty on Chris Randle set up Lauther?s second field goal of the game, a short 16-yard chip shot to make it 6-0 midway through the opening quarter.

The Bombers needed to pick up the pace offensively and did on their second drive of the game, starting with a critical second-down hookup between Nichols and Dressler to move the sticks. Completions to Darvin Adams and Wolitarsky moved the offence into field goal range, setting up the Bombers? first points with a 37-yard field goal by Justin Medlock.

Two of the CFL?s stingiest defences began to settle in after that, as a field position battle ensued well into the second quarter.

Medlock?s second field goal of the game, this one from 36, knotted the game at six points apiece with 8:40 remaining in the opening half.

After digging out of a small hole, the Bombers had the momentum and would continue to build. A promising drive by Bridge and the Riders ended suddenly deep in Winnipeg territory when Bridge?s errant pass was picked off by Kevin Fogg and returned to the Saskatchewan 42, marking the game?s first turnover and biggest sudden swing.

A couple of plays later the Bombers finished the drive as Wolitarsky got by Edem while Nichols made no mistake, connecting for a 20-yard touchdown to give the Bombers their first lead of the game, 13-6.

The Riders answered with a big play from their special teams when Loucheiz Purifoy returned Medlock?s kick 54 yards into Bomber territory. A 19-yard run by Bridge set up a 34-yard field goal from Lauther, his third of the game, to make it 13-9.

The Bombers threatened again as the half melted away, but a 15-yard penalty against Patrick Neufeld proved to be costly, forcing an eventual 54-yard field goal attempt from Medlock. The Bombers? usually-steady kicker missed to the left, sending the game to halftime with a four-point Winnipeg edge.

With the Bombers nursing a four-point lead, it was a Chris Jones challenge flag that gave the Riders some life with 6:00 left in the third quarter. Bridge?s pass on second-and-nine fell incomplete, but Jones challenged for pass interference on Roosevelt and won, resulting in a first down at midfield.

A pair of first-down scampers by Bridge moved the Riders into scoring possession, but a loss on first down and a false start penalty foiled their most promising drive, resulting in a 27-yard field goal from Lauther, his fourth of the game to cut the deficit to 13-12 entering the fourth quarter.

It was anyone?s game heading into the final frame on a cold but calm night in Regina, with the Bombers holding an edge of 238 net yards to 194, and just one turnover between them.

The Bombers forced a stop after Bridge?s deep ball on second-and-short fell incomplete. A long drive ensued thanks to some hard inside running by Harris, who threatened the century mark midway through the fourth, eventually setting up a 30-yard Medlock field goal to restore a four-point lead.

Jeffcoat sacked Bridge on second down on the next drive ? Jackson?s second sack of the game and his team?s third ? forcing the Riders to punt from their own 10 with barely six minutes remaining.

From there it was Harris time, with the Bombers? Most Outstanding Canadian finding the edge for a 37-yard run to the Saskatchewan 16. After carrying the pile for 14 more down to the Saskatchewan two, Harris finished the drive with his first touchdown of the game, capping a short three-play, 53-yard scoring drive.

The play was reviewed after Harris appeared to fumble, but it was revealed that he recovered the fumble in the end zone, putting the Bombers ahead 23-12 with 4:30 remaining.

The Riders weren?t ready to fade into the night, responding with another big return from Purifoy, this one 47 yards into Bombers territory. Bridge scrambled and completed a pass to Roosevelt to move a stick, then Sayles? second pass interference penalty extended the drive with a first down at the Winnipeg 22.

Bridge took a shot for the end zone to Kyran Moore and while it fell incomplete, Moore was bumped on his way to the ball, drawing another interference penalty. On first and goal from the one, short-yardage specialist Nick Marshall sprinted around the end and beat the defender to the pylon. Roosevelt couldn?t hang on to the two-point conversion attempt, but the Riders pulled to within five points with 2:36 remaining.

With the ball back in their hands with 40 seconds left, it was too little too late. David Watford?s last-gasp pass was intercepted, sending the Bombers to the Western Final on the strength of a 23-18 win.
 

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EASTERN FINAL

SUN NOV 18
10:00 AM PST
HAM
@
OTT

WESTERN FINAL

SUN NOV 18
1:30 PM PST
WPG
@
CGY


********************

PLAYOFF RECORD:

11/11/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50


BEST BETS:

DATE..................ATS....................UNITS..................O/U...............UNITS...............TOTAL

11/11/2018........1 - 1...................0.50...................0 - 2................-11.00..............-11.50
 

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CFL Betting Notes - Div Finals
David Schwab

This year?s CFL playoffs got underway on Sunday with a pair of matchups in the division semifinals. The East Division?s Hamilton Tiger-Cats made an early statement with a 48-8 rout of British Columbia as a crossover team from the West Division. Hamilton closed as a slight 1 ?-point home favorite with the total going OVER 51 ? points.

The favorite prevailed in the second game as well with Winnipeg going on the road to cover a two-point spread in a 23-18 victory against Saskatchewan as a home underdog. The total stayed UNDER 50 points in that West Division clash.

Sunday, Nov. 18

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (9-10 SU, 8-10-1 ATS) at Ottawa Redblacks (11-7 SU, 9-9 ATS)

Point-spread: Ottawa -3
Total: 53 ?

Game Overview

Hamilton limped into the postseason with just two victories in its last seven games both straight-up and against the spread. This included a pair of losses to Ottawa (SU and ATS) in a late-season home-and-home matchup. The total went OVER 54 ? points in a 35-31 loss Ottawa on the road before staying UNDER 53 ? points in the Tiger-Cats 30-13 loss at home the following week as 4 ?-point favorites. Hamilton also lost the first meeting at home 21-15 in late July as a six-point favorite against the RedBlacks.

The most encouraging aspect of Sunday?s playoff win was the play of Hamilton?s defense, which kept BC off the board until the fourth quarter when the game was already out of hand. Jeremiah Masoli is the East Division?s nominee for Most Outstanding Player and he showed why with 259 yards passing and three touchdown throws in that game.

Ottawa took a different path to winning the East this season with a 5-2 run in its last seven games both SU and ATS. The total stayed UNDER 47 ? points in a 24-9 victory against Toronto in the RedBlacks? season finale as four-point home favorites and it stayed UNDER in six of their last nine games. They went 6-3 SU at home this season with a 4-5 record ATS.

In order for Ottawa to get back to its second Grey Cup Championship in three seasons, its quarterback Trevor Harris is going to have to be at the top of his game. That was not always the case this season, but he did finish fourth on the list in total passing yards (5,116) while tossing 22 touchdowns against 11 interceptions. The RedBlacks averaged 25.8 points per game on offense to complement a defense that allowed an average of 23.3 PPG.

Betting Trends

-- The Tiger-Cats have gone 4-1-1 ATS in their last six playoff games and the total has gone OVER in six of their last seven division games.

-- The RedBlacks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games in the postseason and the total has stayed UNDER in 18 of their last 24 East Division games.

-- Ottawa has an 8-3 edge ATS in the last 11 meetings and the total has gone OVER in six of the last seven meetings in Ottawa.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-8 SU, 11-7-1 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (13-5 SU, 9-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -4 ?
Total: 52

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers opened as two-point road underdogs for Sunday?s matchup against Saskatchewan, but an injury to the Roughriders? quarterback Zach Collaros swung bettors the other way. Winnipeg finished the regular season with a 5-1 run in its last six games both SU and ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in five of its last seven games including the playoff win.

This was the highest scoring offense in the CFL this season with an average of 30.6 PPG, but the Blue Bombers flourished on defense down the stretch with a points-allowed average of 17.2 in their last six regular season games. Matt Nichols took the majority of the snaps at quarterback in Sunday?s win and he completed 16-of-22 passing attempts for 169 yards and a score. Andrew Harris was the difference with 153 yards and a score running the ball.

It is hard to know what to make of Calgary coming into this year?s playoffs. For the second season in a row, it stumbled down the stretch with three SU losses its last four games while going a costly 3-6 ATS over its final nine games of the year. The total stayed UNDER 50 points in a season-ending 26-9 victory on the road against BC as 8 ?-point favorites and it has stayed UNDER in four of the Stampeders? last five games.

That uncertainty could change on a dime if quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell gets off to a fast start this Sunday afternoon. He was third in the league in passing yards with 5,124 and he led the CFL in passing touchdowns with 35 against 14 interceptions. The Stampeders were the second-highest scoring team in the league with an average of 29.0 PPG, but they only exceeded that average once in their last six games.

Betting Trends

-- The Blue Bombers have covered in four of their last five playoff games on the road and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five division games.

-- The Stampeders are 2-5 ATS in their last seven postseason games played at home and the total has gone OVER in four of their last five playoff games overall.

-- The season series was split 1-1 with each team winning at home both SU and ATS. The total went OVER 53 points in Calgary?s 39-26 victory on Aug. 25 as a 7 ?-point home favorite. It stayed UNDER 52 ?-points on Oct. 26 in Winnipeg?s 29-21 victory as a 3 ?-point underdog at home.
 

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Division Finals


Sunday, November 18

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HAMILTON (9 - 10) at OTTAWA (11 - 7) - 11/18/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (11 - 8) at CALGARY (13 - 5) - 11/18/2018, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Trend Report
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Sunday, November 18

Hamilton Tiger-Cats
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games
Hamilton is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games on the road
Hamilton is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Ottawa
Hamilton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home
Ottawa is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Hamilton
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing at home against Hamilton


Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games
Winnipeg is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Winnipeg's last 25 games on the road
Winnipeg is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games when playing Calgary
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Winnipeg is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Calgary is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 9 games at home
Calgary is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing Winnipeg
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Calgary is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
 

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CFL Betting Notes - Grey Cup
November 19, 2018
By David Schwab


The 2018 CFL season will come to a close in dramatic fashion late Sunday afternoon at Edmonton?s Commonwealth Stadium with the East?s Ottawa RedBlacks taking on the West?s Calgary Stampeders in this year?s Grey Cup Championship Game.

The RedBlacks punched their ticket to a third Grey Cup berth in four seasons by hammering Hamilton 46-27 as 3 ?-point home favorites in Sunday?s East Division Final. Calgary will be making its third-straight appearance in the CFL title game following a 22-14 home victory against Winnipeg as a 4 ?-point favorite in the West Finals.

Sunday, Nov. 25

Ottawa RedBlacks (12-7 SU, 10-9 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (14-5 SU, 10-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -4
Total: 53 ?


Game Overview

Ottawa lost to Edmonton in the 2015 championship game before stunning Calgary the following season 39-33 as a heavy 9 ?-point underdog. The RedBlacks come into Sunday?s title showdown with a four-game winning streak both straight-up and against the spread. They have been able to cover in six of their last eight games with the total staying UNDER in three of their last five outings.

Trevor Harris has come under fire at times this season for his inconsistent play under center, but he brought his A-Game to Sunday?s East Division Final by setting a new CFL playoff record with six touchdown throws. He completed 29 of his 32 passing attempts against Hamilton for 367 yards. Greg Ellingson was the top target with eight receptions for 144 yards and Diontae Spencer came down with two touchdown grabs as part of his six catches on the day. Harris was fourth in the CFL this season in total passing yards (5,116) and he tossed 22 touchdowns against 11 interceptions.

The Stampeders are hoping that the third time will be the charm coming off losses to Ottawa and Toronto in the last two Grey Cups. They struggled down the stretch this season at 1-3 SU in their last four games while going a very costly 3-6 ATS in their last nine regular season games. The total stayed UNDER 53 points in Sunday?s victory against Winnipeg and it has stayed UNDER in five of Calgary?s last six games. It has stayed UNDER in 12 of 19 games on the year.

Calgary won the season series against the RedBlacks SU and ATS with the sweep in a home-and-home series early in the schedule. The total stayed UNDER in each of those contests. In Sunday?s win against the Blue Bombers, Eric Rodgers was the big story on offense with touchdown grabs in half of his six receptions on the day. Bo Levi Mitchell completed 54.8 percent of his 31 passing attempts for 214 yards. Don Jackson added another 83 yards running the ball on 14 carries. The Stampeders ended the regular season averaging 29.0 points per game as the second-highest scoring team in the CFL behind Winnipeg.

Betting Trends

-- The RedBlacks are 5-1 ATS in their last six postseason games and they have covered in four of their last five games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last four games closing as underdogs.

-- The Stampeders have failed to cover in 12 of their last 17 playoff games with one contest ending as a PUSH. This includes a 0-4 record ATS in their last four Grey Cup title games. The total has stayed UNDER in 12 of their last 16 games coming off a SU win.

-- Calgary has a SU 6-2-2 record in its last 10 games against Ottawa including this season?s two-game sweep. The Stampeders have a slight 6-4 edge ATS with the total going OVER in seven of the last 10 games between the two.
 

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Sunday, November 25

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OTTAWA (12 - 7) vs. CALGARY (14 - 5) - 11/25/2018, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 134-102 ATS (+21.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Grey Cup


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Trend Report
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Sunday, November 25

Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
Ottawa is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games on the road
Ottawa is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
Ottawa is 1-5-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing Calgary
Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Calgary is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games
Calgary is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 10 games at home
Calgary is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Ottawa
Calgary is 4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 9 games when playing Ottawa
Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
 

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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 25
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


OTT at CGY 06:00 PM

OTT +4.5

O 52.5
 
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