Cnotes 2018 Canadian Football League Picks - News - Trends !

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PREVIEW

TICATS, BOMBERS LOOK TO STAY HOT ON FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL


HAMILTON ? The Hamilton Tiger-Cats and Winnipeg Blue Bombers are two teams that have made early statements through the opening weeks of the 2018 CFL season.

Both teams head to Tim Hortons Field in search of back-to-back wins after a pair of impressive performances in Week 2.

After starting their season with two games out in Alberta, Hamilton can expect a warm welcome from Tiger Town in their 2018 home opener.

The Ticats road swing out west was considered a success, finishing with a 1-1 record against two of the top teams in the league. In their most recent matchup, the Black and Gold picked up an impressive 38-21 win over the Edmonton Eskimos.

After needing nine games to get heir first win last season, Hamilton accomplished the same feat in less than a quarter of the time in 2018.

It?s clear after just two games that the Tabbies are a new and improved version of their 2017 selves.

?You have to be able to win some games on the road if you want to be a championship team,? Head Coach June Jones told Ticats.ca after the game. ?Winning there had always been difficult. But we pulled it off.?

Jeremiah Masoli was named a CFL Top Performer of the Week after completing 19 of 29 attempts for 332 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. The 29-year-old currently sits second in passing yards in the league after a pair of impressive performances to open the season.

Masoli credited his entire cast on offence for his early success.

?We do have a lot of talented guys over here,? said Masoli. ?We?re still trying to get better. Still trying to find our stride. Hit on all levels, which we haven?t yet. We?re still looking to take the next step forward.?

Receiver Brandon Banks was superb in the victory, picking up a game-high 117 receiving yards on six catches, including a touchdown in the third quarter that put more distance between the Ticats and Esks. Luke Tasker was equally as impressive with a pair of touchdown grabs to go along with 103 receiving yards.

The most pleasant surprise of the evening was third-year running back Mercer Timmis, who broke out for 133 rushing yards in the victory. The Burlington, Ont. native also found the end zone twice for the first two majors of his young career, displaying that the Ticats? run game is still a threat despite the absence of Alex Green.

?It definitely gives you a little bit of confidence,? Timmis said of his breakout performance. ?But at the same time, you have to kind of reload. Different week. Different opponent. You can?t look into it too much. We have to focus on Winnipeg. That?s the task at hand.?

While Timmis and Masoli?s performances were a highlight of Week 2, Winnipeg Blue Bombers Chris Streveler has also been turning heads early into the CFL season.

The rookie pivot was dominant in a 56-10 slaying of the Montreal Alouettes last week. The 23-year-old completed 22 of 28 passes for 246 yards with three touchdown passes to go along with one rushing major and 98 yards on the ground.

But rather than rest on his laurels, Streveler is focused at the task at hand this week against the Ticats.

?I?ve done a lot of preparation this week preparing for these guys [Hamilton],? Streveler told BlueBombers.com. ?You definitely see the speed and the intensity they play with on defence. It?s going to be a big challenge for us. They?ve got some really good players. It?s a test we?re looking forward to.?

While the Bombers offence racked up a boatload of points on the Als, the defence did not go unnoticed. Winnipeg held Montreal to just 129 passing yards through 60 minutes of play, while defensive end Tristan Okpalaugo picked up two quarterback sacks on the night.

Okpalaugo says that key to beating the Ticats will be slowing down Misoli.

?He?s a special quarterback,? said Okpalaugo. ?He?s athletic. A dual threat?..We have to contain him. Get in his face. Make sure he doesn?t scramble as much as he would like to.?

Winnipeg ranks second in fewest points among teams who have played two games with 43, behind only Calgary.

However, the Bombers? defence will take a hit this week with the absence of Anthony Gaitor, who has been placed on the six-game injured list. The halfback was tied for the fourth most tackles league wide with 12 after two games.

Returning to the defence as a starter is Maurice Leggett, who saw some action in the return game last week after a grueling but determined recovery from a season-ending Achilles injury suffered late last fall.

The Bombers encountered a bit of a scare last week when star running back Andrew Harris left that game near the end of the third quarter after taking a low hit from Alouettes linebacker Jermaine Robinson. Harris also missed the Bombers first two practices of the week. But the four-time CFL all-star made it clear that he is good to go against the Ticats.

?I was ready to go back into the game in Montreal,? said Harris. ?We were up by 30 at that point in time. We had a pretty healthy lead?.If the score was tighter and in different circumstances, I would have been playing.?

It?s the Blue and Gold against the Black and Gold. Game on.

Crunchin? Numbers:

6 ? Passing touchdowns by Bombers rookie quarterback Chris Streveler this season, tied for the most in the CFL.

7 ? Consecutive 300-yard passing games for Jeremiah Masoli. He can tie Mike Reilly (2015-16) and Anthony Calvillo (2012) for the second most 300-plus yard performances in a row in CFL history.

18 ? The number of times the Ticats and Bombers have met since 2011. They have split the games evenly at nine wins apiece.

32 ? Number of first downs by the Ticats last week, their best total since July 6, 2010.


Masoli and Streveler have been two of the most exciting pivots to watch in the league this season.

However, both quarterbacks realize that two talented players are on their heels; motivating them to play even harder.

Johnny Manziel news has diminished over the past couple of weeks thanks to a pair of impressive games by Masoli. That being said, if the Ticats quarterback for the foreseeable future begins to underperform, there will be no hesitation by Hamilton to give Manziel a go.

Unlike Masoli, Streveler was not the predicted starter for the Bombers. The rookie quarterback was thrust into the job after Matt Nichols was injured in practice earlier this month. With Nichols expected to return in the coming weeks, Streveler is determined to make a statement that the veteran QB is not their only option at quarterback.

As if this matchup wasn?t intriguing enough, this will be the first live mic game of the 2018 season. Coaches and quarterbacks will be wearing mics for the entire game so fans can feel like they are in the huddle.
 

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FRIDAY, JUNE 29
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


WPG at HAM 07:00 PM
WPG +4.5
U 58.5


BC at EDM 10:00 PM
EDM -6.5
O 55.5
 

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GAME RECAP

TICATS OFFENCE CONTROLS BOMBERS IN HOME OPENER WIN AT THF


HAMILTON ? The Hamilton Tiger-Cats dominated both sides of the ball for long stretches on Friday night en route to a 31-17 win over the Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Tim Hortons Field.

Ticats quarterback Jeremiah Masoli broke the 300-yard passing mark for the eighth-straight game, Hamilton?s defence largely shut down the Chris Streveler-led Bombers offence ? at one point forcing six consecutive two-and-outs ? and the Tabbies built an important cushion in the second half.

Masoli finished the night with 31 completions for 369 yards, while three of his receivers eclipsed the 80-yard receiving mark; defensively, the Ticats limited Winnipeg for the better part of three quarters before a late Bomber comeback attempt.

The Bombers defence got off to a hot start, as rookie defensive back Marcus Sayles stepped up and intercepted a Jeremiah Masoli pass intended for Terrence Toliver; Sayles then took off and scampered nearly 40 yards down inside the Hamilton 30-yard line.

Four plays later, Winnipeg found the end zone on a plunging one-yard Andrew Harris touchdown dive. Justin Medlock?s convert then opened up a 7-0 lead for the visitors.

Masoli and co. found their offensive rhythm later in the first quarter; the Ticat pivot found Brandon Banks for 37 yards, then running back Sean Thomas-Erlington battered the ball down to the 1-yard line, setting up a short Mercer Timmis touchdown run. Lirim Hajrullahu?s convert tied the ballgame at seven.

Bombers head coach Mike O?Shea then went into his bag of tricks with a fake-punt run by Jesse Briggs to extend a drive; three plays later, Medlock drilled a 38-yard field goal to retake the lead for Winnipeg.

That lead did not last long, as Hajrullahu nailed a 50-yard boot on the ensuing drive to draw the Ticats level.

A run by Thomas-Erlington ? featuring a ridiculous hurdle over a Winnipeg defender ? then set up a 17-yard chip shot of a field goal by Hajrullahu.

Another kick from Hajrullahu, this time from 42 yards out as the second-quarter clock expired, sent the Ticats to the locker room with a 16-10 lead at the half.

Masoli came out firing in the third quarter, completing six straight passes to set up Timmis?s second touchdown plunge of the evening from four yards out; the two-point convert fluttered incomplete, and Hamilton led 22-10.

The Ticats continued to stifle Streveler and the Winnipeg offence, and Masoli was more than happy to seize the opportunity to widen the gap: After a Bomber two-and-out, Hamilton?s offence needed just four plays to find the end zone on a pretty 25-yard Masoli-to-Toliver connection.

Coordinator Jerry Glanville?s Hamilton defence forced six straight Winnipeg two-and-outs.

But, there was more than a bit of life left in the Bombers? rookie quarterback, as he sprinted his way into the end zone with 10 minutes left to cut the deficit ? following Medlock?s convert ? to 14 points.

Despite running a strong three-minute drill, Streveler and co. were unable to find the end zone late, sealing their fate.

While Mercer Timmis was the story in the Ticat back field in Week 2, it was Sean Thomas-Erlington who stole the show in black and gold with a dazzling 92-yard performance.

Bombers linebacker Adam Bighill registered a game-high 10 tackles in the defeat; veteran Ticat Simoni Lawrence paced his team with six tackles and also recorded a sack.

Streveler finished the night with a 17-for-28, 146-yard line; the 23-year-old did not throw a touchdown or interception in the defeat.

With the win, the Tiger-Cats improved to 2-1 on the young season; June Jones?s team will now travel to Saskatchewan for a date with the Roughriders (1-1) in Week 4?s Thursday Night Football matchup (9 p.m. ET).

The loss dropped the Bombers to 1-2; Mike O?Shea?s group will return home in Week 4 for a date with the BC Lions next Saturday (8:30 p.m. ET).
 

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GAME RECAP

ESKIMOS OVERCOME EARLY DEFICIT, RUNAWAY WITH WIN OVER LIONS


EDMONTON ? Like an aeroplane, it was a gradual take-off for Mike Reilly and the Edmonton Eskimos offence. But once they got some wind under their wings, there was nothing the BC Lions could do to slow them down.

Edmonton defeated the BC Lions and improve to 2-1 on the season after a 41-22 decision. The Lions get handed their first loss of the 2018 season.

Coming off of their Week 2 Bye, the Lions travelled to Alberta?s capital to take on an Edmonton squad in search of a bounce-back after losing to the Hamilton Tiger-Cats last week.

The Edmonton Eskimos were certainly hoping for a much different start than the one they put forth in the opening quarter of their game Friday night.

On Edmonton?s first offensive drive, TJ Lee found a Mike Reilly pass attempt falling into his mitts after Eskimos? Nate Behar was unable to handle a jump ball.

Jennings immediately took advantage of the positive field position following the interception by taking a deep shot of his own and drawing a pass interference call in the end zone, setting up a first and short for the Lions offence. Jeremiah Johnson plunged forward for the first touchdown of the game.

The nightmarish start for the Eskimos would continue on the following kick off as BC?s Mitch Barnett forced a fumble on the return. DyShawn Davis recovered the fumble, which resulted in a 14-yard Ty Long field goal to put the Lions ahead 11-0 early in the first quarter.

At the end of the first quarter, Edmonton had only tallied 51 yards of offence. Needless to say, it was a very uncharacteristic quarter of play from the Eskimos that only saw Mike Reilly complete two passes as the Lions held possession for nearly ten minutes.

The offensive struggles would carry over to the second quarter. On a well set up play by the Eskimos, Reilly failed to connect with a wide-open Kenny Stafford who had the potential of taking it the distance.

Ty Long connected on his second field goal of the night on a 39-yard attempt to put the Lions up by 12 halfway through the second quarter.

A challenged-aided drive gave the Eskimos some life nearing the three-minute warning of the second quarter. Reilly connected with Stafford on a crossing route to push Edmonton deep in the Lions end of the field. The drive would conclude with a 14-yard touchdown from Reilly to Natey Adjei.

That was just the start, however.

Reilly and his offence got possession back with less than two minutes remaining in the second quarter, piecing together a scoring drive that was capped off by a touchdown pass to Kenny Stafford and a two-point conversion to D?haquille Williams.

Edmonton headed into halftime overcoming a 12-point deficit and leading the Lions 17-14.

In the third quarter, the Eskimos continued to have their offence rolling on the ground as CJ Gable eclipsed the 100-yard rushing mark for the night, as well as scoring a touchdown with 4:42 remaining in the quarter.

Three minutes later, the Eskimos added to their score after Reilly completed a homerun pass to Duke Williams for 64-yards, only to re-connect for the two-point convert immediately following.

The third quarter came to a close following a pass attempt that initially fell incomplete. Following a challenge by BC?s head coach Wally Buono, it was determined that there was pass interference, giving the Lions a first and goal situation to open the final quarter.

Cody Fajardo, BC?s short-yardage quarterback, plunged the ball in from 1-yard out to bring the Leos within ten following the point-after.

Tallying his fourth of the season, and tied for the league lead at that, Reilly capped the following Eskimo drive with a 1-yard sneak of his own, further extending Edmonton?s lead to 38-22.

Shawn Whyte capped off the Eskimo scoring for the night, kicking a 24-yard field goal and sealing the victory for Edmonton.

Edmonton will hit the road to Toronto, taking on their second team in a row who will be coming off of a Bye Week. That game is scheduled for a 5:30 kick off on Saturday, July 7. As for the Lions, they?ll continue their western road trip against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers following the conclusion of the Edmonton at Toronto game.
 

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Saturday, June 30, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
9:00 PM Montreal Alouettes Saskatchewan Roughriders


****************************

Canadian Football Record; ( All Picks )

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

06/29/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
06/28/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
06/23/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/22/2018 4-0-0 100.00% +2000
06/21/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
06/16/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
06/15/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
06/14/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50

Totals.......... 12-10-0........54.54%.....+5.00


CFL Best Bets:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

DATE.........................ATS.................. .....UNITS.....................O/U...................UNITS...........TOTAL

06/29/2018...............1 - 1......................-0.50......................1- 1...................-0.50...............-1.00
06/28/2018...............0 - 1......................-5.50......................1 - 0..................+5.00..............-0.50
06/23/2018...............1 - 0.....................+5.00......................1 - 0.................+5.00..............+10.00
06/22/2018...............2 - 0.....................+10.00....................2 - 0.................+10.00.............+20.00
06/21/2018...............0 - 1......................-5.50......................0 - 1...................-5.50.............-11.00
06/16/2018...............1 - 1......................-0.50......................0 - 2..................-11.00.............-11.50
06/15/2018...............1 - 0 .....................+5.00.....................0 - 1...................-5.50..............-0.50
06/14/2018...............1 - 0......................+5.00.....................0 - 1...................-5.50..............-0.50

Totals.......................7 - 4.....................+13.00.................... 5 - 6..................-7.00............+5.00
 

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PREVIEW

RIDERS, ALS LOOK TO BOUNCE BACK IN WEEK 3 FINALE


REGINA ? The Montreal Alouettes and Saskatchewan Roughriders are looking to get back on track after a pair of disappointing performances in Week 2.

The Als would like to forget last week?s game against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Montreal was dominated in all three phases, falling 56-10 in their home opener at Percival Molson Stadium last week.

First-year head coach Mike Sherman made it clear that his team needs to be better going forward.

?There?s accountability, which starts with me,? Sherman told the Montreal Gazette after the game. ?If we?re all looking for excuses, we probably won?t get it fixed. If we?re searching for answers and solutions, we can get it fixed.

?It starts with how the head coach handles it. He passes that on to players and coaches. It starts with me.?

The Bombers racked up 24 points in the second quarter alone, running away with the game before halftime.

The Als? offence struggled to find any momentum as quarterback Drew Willy completed 16 of 25 attempts, throwing for only 111 yards and a touchdown. Willy was pressured by the Bombers defence all night, and was sacked three times in the first half.

It was the same story on the other side of the ball. Montreal?s defence couldn?t solve Bombers rookie quarterback Chris Streveler, who racked up three touchdown passes and a rushing major in just his second CFL game.

?He just made plays on second down,? cornerback Tommie Campbell told the Montreal Gazette. ?If you look at it, he just ran around with the ball. We prevent that from happening, that whole game and outcome?s a lot different. We had them in second-and-medium, second-and-long and he was able to extend drives with checkdowns and quarterback scrambles.

?We have to do a better job of tackling.?

Montreal?s defence is expected to get a boost on Saturday with veteran defensive end John Bowman making his 2018 debut. The seemingly ageless two-time CFL all-star is back after recovering from an ankle injury.

After opening their season against the reigning Grey Cup champion Toronto Argonauts, the Riders took a step back last week after falling 40-17 at the hands of the Ottawa REDBLACKS.

Turnovers proved costly for the Riders, who gave up the ball four times.

But perhaps even more devastating than the lopsided loss was the injury to starting quarterback Zach Collaros. The 29-year-old left last week?s game in the second quarter and has been placed on the six-game injured list with a head injury.

Collaros was one of Saskatchewan?s prized acquisitions during the off-season. The Riders quarterback was looking to reignite his career after a disappointing 2017 season with the Ticats that saw him drop eight straight games before being replaced by Hamilton?s current starter Jeremiah Masoli.

Head coach Chris Jones says he is unsure if Collaros will be back on the field before six games.

?We?ll see,? Jones told Ridervill.com. ?You can be optimistic all you want but I?ve seen some guys that didn?t respond well. We will just go with whatever cards we are dealt with.?

Canadian pivot Brandon Bridge has been handed the reigns to the offence for the foreseeable future in Collaros? absence.

The 26-year-old will make his second start for the Riders on Saturday night, which will be against his former team. Bridge played with the Als in 2015.

Bridge says he uses every game to try and show his potential.

?You just have to make the best of your opportunities so you can start the next game,? said Bridge. ?Every game day is like building a resume. The more starts you have, hopefully the more comfortable I will become.?

Dual threat receiver and defensive back Duron Carter will start in the secondary once again this week. Jones says that he plans to keep Carter at defensive back until Nick Marshall returns from injury. This will be the second straight game that Carter has started at corner back.

The Riders say that they do not plan to take the Als lightly despite their 0-2 start.

?We just want to line up and play good football,? said Jones. ?It?s pro football. They?ve got good players over there just like we?ve got good players over here. We?ve got to worry about what we do.?

Crunchin? Numbers:

0 ? Number of interceptions thrown by Brandon Bridge as a starter. His last start was on Sept. 5, 2017. He threw three touchdown passes to lead the Riders to a 27-19 win over Hamilton. He is 1-1 in his career as a starter and 1-0 as a starter for Saskatchewan.

2 ? Number of touchdown scoring drives produced by the Riders this season during 28 possessions.

13 ? Consecutive losses for the Als heading into Week 3; a club record. A loss against the Riders would tie for the third longest losing streak in CFL history.

15 ? League high tackles by Henoc Muamba after two weeks of play.


History shows that the Riders have an edge while playing against the Als at home.

Saskatchewan is 4-1-0 in its past five home games versus Montreal. However, the two teams have been evenly matched while going head-to-head in recent years.

The Als and Riders have split their last 10 matchups evenly with five wins apiece.

Saturday?s game will be player with heavy hearts as the Humboldt Broncos of the Saskatchewan Junior Hockey League will be honoured before the contest.

Sixteen people died and 13 others were injured back on April 6 when the teams? bus crashed en route to a playoff game in Nipawin, Sask. Each fan will receive a Humboldt Strong ribbon as they enter the stadium.

Kickoff is at 9:00 p.m. ET and can be seen on TSN, ESPN+ and RDS.
 

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SATURDAY, JUNE 30
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MTL at SSK 09:00 PM


MTL +10.5

U 46.0
 

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GAME RECAP

DEFENCE SETS THE TONE AS ALS GRIND OUT WIN OVER RIDERS


REGINA ? The Montreal Alouettes defence recorded four interceptions to hold off the Saskatchewan Roughriders and secure a 23-17 win.

Najee Murray?s pick off Riders quarterback David Watford in the final moments of the game locked down the first victory of the year for the Als.

Both teams used two quarterbacks in the game for two different reasons. Watford replaced starter Brandon Bridge at halftime for the Riders while Drew Willy left the game for the Als in the third quarter and Jeff Mathews took over duties under centre.

The game started as a defensive battle with neither team managing much on offence in the first half.

On the Als second drive of the game, Willy stepped out of the pocket and found BJ Cunningham deep downfield for a 47 yard gain. In the red zone, the Als had to settle for a field goal to grab the opening 3-0 lead.

The two teams continued to trade possessions with the defences not allowing much progress. A sack by Willie Jefferson on Willy held the Als on offence and they were forced to punt the ball away. Back to back grabs by Naaman Roosevelt and Shaq Evans pushed the Riders past midfield and into scoring territory. Just when it appeared the Riders would find the end zone at the end of the first quarter, Branden Dozier picked off Bridge and returned it 63 yards to put the Als right back in solid starting position.

It didn?t take long for the Riders to get the football back as Jefferson was back at it again, forcing a Willy fumble and it was recovered by Saskatchewan. They could not take advantage however and failed to move the chains.

The defensive battle continued but the Riders offence started clicking with a 16-yard gain by Tre Mason. Brett Lauther knocked a 39-yard field goal to tie the game.

Willy and the Als responded on the next drive with a 79-yard touchdown grab by Chris Williams who used his speed to break away from the defence and found the end zone with 3:25 left in the first half. The pass tied Willy?s mark for the longest pass in his career.

Montreal continued holding the momentum with a Jermaine Robinson interception on Bridge to instantly get the ball back at midfield. A Boris Bede punt pinned the Riders at the one-yard line and the Als got the ball back with less than a minute remaining in the half. Bede added another field goal to take a 13-3 lead into the halftime break.

Watford slotted in under centre for the Riders to start the second half to make his CFL debut and ended his first drive on a two-and-out. On his next possession, Watford connected with Evans on a 35-yard gain before taking off on a 14-yard rush to get another first down. Saskatchewan kicked another field goal to cut the deficit to 13-6.

The Als defence recorded their third interception of the evening as Joe Burnett picked off Watford. Mathews came in for Willy at quarterback, who did not return to the game. Bede booted another field goal to add another three points to the Als lead, 16-6.

Another big gain by Williams, this one for 47 yards, kept the pressure on the Riders defence. The Als added another point on a rouge.

Christion Jones? 56-yard kick return put the Riders in great position to make a comeback. It didn?t take long for Watford to find Roosevelt in the end zone for the touchdown but the Riders failed to convert on the two-point conversion.

A costly fumble from Tyrell Sutton gave the football back to the Riders who were still searching for their first lead of the game. Lauther added another field goal to cut the Als lead to 17-15.

Back-to-back first downs by Ernest Jackson and Cunningham moved the chains for the Als and Bede notched his fourth field goal of the night to increase the lead to 20-15 with 4:43 remaining.

Another strong return from Stefan Logan kept the foot on the gas pedal for the Als and led to another Als field goal. Murray picked off Watford in the final minute of the game to secure the win for Montreal. The Riders added a safety with one second left but it was not enough.

Before the game, members of the Humboldt Broncos were honoured in front of the Mosaic Stadium crowd.

Next week, the Riders host the Hamilton Tiger-Cats while the Ottawa REDBLACKS visit the Als.
 

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WEST DIVISION

RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV

1 Calgary 3 3 0 0 6 93 35 2-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0

2 Edmonton 3 2 1 0 4 95 90 1-1-0 1-0-0 2-0-0

3 BC 2 1 1 0 2 44 51 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0

4 Saskatchewan 3 1 2 0 2 61 82 1-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0

5 Winnipeg 3 1 2 0 2 103 74 0-1-0 1-1-0 0-1-0


EAST DIVISION

RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV

1 Hamilton 3 2 1 0 4 83 66 1-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0

2 Ottawa 2 1 1 0 2 54 41 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0

3 Montreal 3 1 2 0 2 43 95 0-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0

4 Toronto 2 0 2 0 0 26 68 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
 

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WEEK 4

Thursday, July 5, 2018

Time (ET) Away Home
9:00 PM Hamilton Tiger Cats Saskatchewan Roughriders

Friday, July 6, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
7:30 PM Ottawa Redblacks Montreal Alouettes

Saturday, July 7, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
5:30 PM Edmonton Eskimos Toronto Argonauts
8:30 PM British Columbia Lions Winnipeg Blue Bombers
 

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CFL Betting Recap - Week 3
July 2, 2018


League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 3
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 3
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 3
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 3
-- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 3


Analysis

The games on Thursday and Friday nights were pretty cut and dry. The favorites and the home teams each covered, rather handily in the Friday contests, and there was a good amount of defense with the exception of one game.

Calgary (3-0) is off to its usual solid start, humbling Ottawa (1-1) in a 2016 Grey Cup rematch by a 24-14 margin to cover seven and a hook. The two teams played a defensive battle which saw just one quarter with more than 10 points, the final stanza. As such, the 'over' (56.5) was never seriously threatened. The RedBlacks are 0-4-2 SU in the past five regular-season meetings (yep, two ties), and 2-4 ATS in the past six. The RedBlacks do have that win in the Grey Cup against the Stamps, however.

Hamilton (2-1) is off to a solid start, winning and covering for a second straight game in a 31-17 victory over Winnipeg (1-2) behind QB Jeremiah Masoli. The former standout at Oregon has recorded eight straight 300-yard games, just in case you were wondering why Johnny Manziel isn't playing.

Edmonton (2-1) got off to a sluggish start in their divisional battle with BC Lions (1-1). In fact, the visitors fired out to an 11-0 lead thanks to some early miscues by the Eskimos. However, the Esks outscored the Lions 15-3 in the second quarter, and 24-8 in the second half to run away from the visitors and easily cover a 6 1/2-point number. Edmonton is having no problem putting points on the board, averaging 31.7 PPG through three outings. As you would imagine, the 'over' is a perfect 3-0.

The surprise of the weekend was in Regina, as Montreal (1-2) surprised Saskatchewan (1-2) by a 23-17, winning straight up as 10 1/2-point underdogs to make any moneyline bettors (+425) very happy.

Team Betting Notes and A Look Ahead

-- The red-hot Ti-Cats hit the road for Regina to try and keep the Roughriders down. Hamilton hasn't had luck against the Mean Green lately, getting swept in two non-covers last season. They have dropped three in a row in the series dating back to a 53-7 win in the Hammer back on Aug. 20, 2016. Hamilton's last win in Saskatchewan came in a 31-21 victory July 26, 2015 as 1 1/2-point road 'dogs.

-- The RedBlacks and Alouettes will play their first divisional games of the season in Week 4. Ottawa had its way with Montreal last season, sweeping all three meetings while also going 3-0 ATS. The 'under' cashed in each of the three contests, too. Montreal has dropped four in a row and went 0-4 ATS against Ottawa dating back to Aug. 19, 2016. The 'under' is also 5-1 in the past six meetings.

-- The Esks catch Toronto (0-2) coming off a bye. The Argos hope the rest does them some good. They're 0-2 SU/ATS so far, with an average of just 13.0 PPG on the board while allowing 34.0 PPG. The 'under' has hit in both contests. These sides split a pair of regular-season meetings last season, with both teams protecting their home field. The Argos are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS across the past five in this series.

-- In Saturday's late game, the Lions and Bombers square off. Winnipeg has dominated this series of late, at least against the number, going 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings. That includes a 3-1 SU/ATS mark in their past four home meetings with BC. The 'over' is an impressive 6-2 in the past eight in this series, too.
 

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Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

? Texas OF Shin-Soo Choo has now reached base in 44 straight games; the record is 84.

? Astros 5, Rangers 4? Houston beats Texas for the 8th time in a row.

? Rockies 1, Giants 0? Chris Iannetta?s homer was the only run in this game.

? Brewers 3, Twins 2? Nate Orf?s first major league hit was a homer.

? Reds 7, White Sox 4? Cincinnati won 16 of its last 22 games.

? Mets are 13-23 (.361) this season when their pitcher has a quality start, which would be worst record by any such team since 1916.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud??

13) Bad news on the rumor mill for the NBA?s Minnesota Timberwolves; star Jimmy Butler apparently has no intention of signing an extension with Minnesota- he is not very happy with ??..the nonchalant attitude of his younger teammates.? Uh-oh.

12) Tuesday night, Rays beat Miami 9-6 in 16 innings. Tampa Bay TV guy Dewayne Staats called it the strangest baseball game he?d ever seen. Here are some highlights:

? As they often do, Tampa Bay started a relief pitcher; he threw three innings, then eight other relievers plus their backup catcher pitched in the game.
? Leading 9-3 in the 16th, Rays put backup catcher Jesus Sucre in to pitch; he faced four batters, got one of them out, before Alvarado came in and got his third save when things almost dicey.
? Rays? reliever Vidal Nuno had two hits and also got the win, but he pulled a hamstring in the 16th inning and went on the DL, which is why Sucre was put in to pitch. The two hits were his first since 2015.
? Wilson Ramos caught all 16 innings for Tampa Bay; he didn?t play in Wednesday?s game.
? Tampa Bay had 20 hits but hit into four double plays.
? Total of 510 pitches were thrown; game took 5:31 to play in front of an announced crowd of 6,259.

11) No idea how this was established, but the Phoenix Suns are 8-1 favorites to win the Las Vegas Summer League, which starts Friday at UNLV. Charlotte/Sacramento are both 10-1. Denver and Minnesota are the longshots, at 50-1.

10) Guy named Richard Henry Lee was the original draftee of the Declaration of Independence, but when his wife got sick, he stopped writing it and Thomas Jefferson took over.

Jefferson and John Adams both passed away on July 4, 1826, fifty years to the day after the Declaration was signed.

9) Houston Astros are little thin behind plate right now; Brian McCann is done for a while after he had knee surgery. Backup Max Stassi got hit on the wrist by a pitch, was out Wednesday but is expected back Thursday.

Astros brought Tim Federowicz up from AAA to catch; in a pinch, Evan Gattis could also catch- he?s appeared behind the plate in two games this season.

8) Some genius climbed onto the Statue of Liberty Wednesday; seven other protestors were arrested on Liberty Island. Not only could the person get killed/maimed, now they?re going to spend some time in jail. Go have some hot dogs and a few drinks. Whats the point?

7) Georgia Bulldogs? QB Jake Fromm broke his left (non-throwing) hand in a lake accident, but is expected to be fine for the start of the Dawgs? season.

6) Michigan QB Shea Patterson, who played the last couple years at Ole Miss, signed a 2019 contract to play baseball in the Texas Rangers organization after he exhausts his football eligibility at Michigan.

If Patterson plays real well for Michigan this fall, he?d have a shot at an NFL roster, which makes the baseball thing a curious decision, seeing how Texas drafted him in the 39th round.

5) Bronx Bombers put 2B Gleyber Torres (hip) on the DL.

4) Pretty big rule change in college football this fall: Players will be able to fair catch a kickoff inside the 25-yard line and have it result in a touchback, with the ball placed on the 25-yard line.

Last year, 47.2% of kickoffs weren?t returnable, meaning they were touchbacks, kicks out of bounds or onside kicks. Rules makers are trying to greatly reduce the number of kickoffs without totally taking it out of the game.

3) Last two years, Ivy League experimented with kicking off at the 40-yard line instead of the 35: in 2016, 44.1% of kickoffs were touchbacks, and in 2017, 36.1%. In 2015, before the rule was put in, only 12.4% of Ivy kickoffs were touchbacks.

2) Oakland A?s are the only team in major leagues that has not had a single international free agent signed and developed by that team appear in a major league game this season. They only had one (Renato Nunez) last year.

1) Joey Chestnut ate 74 hot dogs (and rolls) to win the Nathan?s Hot Dog Eating Contest on Coney Island in Brooklyn. 74 hot dogs in 10 minutes; I had three the other night and that was more than enough for a while, but I also had macaroni salad with it.

Hot dog contest was more fun when Kobiyashi was involved; he gave Joey Chestnut a run for his money. Competition makes all sports better, even competitive eating.
 

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CFL Betting Notes - Week 4
David Schwab

Thursday, July 5

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)

Point-spread: Hamilton -5 ?
Total: 49

Game Overview

Hamilton has won its last two games by a combined 31 points after a tough loss to Calgary in Week 1 that was much closer than the 28-14 final score as a 7 ?-point road underdog. The total has stayed UNDER in two of its first three games after closing at 55 points or higher in all three contests. The Tiger-Cats? offense has been successfully led by Jeremiah Masoli at quarterback. He threw for 369 yards and a score in Friday?s win against Winnipeg.

Saskatchewan had a rough night against Montreal last week, especially when it came to throwing the ball. Brandon Bridge and David Watford combined for four interceptions filling in for an injured Zach Collaros. The Roughriders ended the game with just 279 yards of total offense. This was the second game in a row where they failed to score more than 17 points. Saskatchewan quarterbacks have now thrown a total of seven interceptions in those two loses.

Betting Trends

-- Saskatchewan has covered in five of its last six home games against Hamilton and the total has stayed UNDER in four of those six games.

Friday, July 6

Ottawa RedBlacks (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)

Point-spread: Ottawa -5 ?
Total: 48 ?

Game Overview

The RedBlacks blasted Saskatchewan in their season opener in Week 2 with Trevor Harris completing 26-of-36 passes for 345 yards and two scores. Against the best team in the CFL last Thursday night, Harris came back down to earth with 135 passing yards and one interception. He completed a dismal 44.8 percent of his 29 passing attempts. The lone bright spot was William Powell?s 123 yards rushing the ball on 13 carries. He has gained 217 yards on 32 carries in his first two games.

Montreal?s defense came to life in that Week 2 upset over the Roughriders after allowing a combined 78 points in the first two games this season. Quarterback Drew Willy left that game in the third quarter due to injury and his status for this game remains unknown. In his place, Jeff Mathews completed 8-of-12 passes for 98 yards. The Alouettes? ground game was not a factor in the stunning upset with 32 yards on 16 rushing attempts.

Betting Trends

-- Ottawa has a SU 8-1 edge in the last nine meetings and it has covered the spread in its last five road games against the Alouettes. The total has stayed UNDER in all five of those games.

Saturday, July 7

Edmonton Eskimos (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS)

Point-spread: Edmonton -4 ?
Total: 52 ?

Game Overview

Edmonton looked a bit shaky in its SU 1-1 start (0-2 ATS), but it quickly returned to form in Week 3 with that convincing victory against BC. The total has gone OVER in all three of its games with a scoring average of 31.7 points per game. Mike Reilly is once again one of the top quarterbacks in the CFL when it comes to passing yards with 1,020 in his first three starts. He is tied for the lead in passing touchdowns with six and he has completed 69.8 percent of his 106 attempts.

Toronto needed last week?s bye to try and regroup following losses to Saskatchewan on the road and Calgary at home in the first two weeks of the new season. The bigger loss could be veteran quarterback Ricky Ray, who appears to be out for the season with a neck injury. In his place against Calgary in that 41-7 loss was James Franklin. He completed eight of his 13 passing attempts for 65 yards. The Argonauts gained another 76 yards running the ball on 15 attempts.

Betting Trends

-- Edmonton has the 6-3 edge ATS in the last nine meetings in Toronto, but the Argonauts are 5-1 SU in their last six home games against the Eskimos. The total gone OVER in five of those six home games.

British Columbia Lions (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -3 ?
Total: 53

Game Overview

The Lions got past Montreal at home in Week 1, but they are going to have to play much better than they did last week against Edmonton to compete in the West Division this season. Jonathon Jennings has completed 68.8 percent of his 48 passing attempts for 382 yards and two touchdowns against one interception. Emmanuel Arceneaux has been his top target with seven receptions for 106 yards in the first two games. The ground game has been led by Jeremiah Johnson with 116 yards and one score on 21 rushing attempts.

Winnipeg had its hands full against the Tiger-Cats? defense last week after a promising start by rookie quarterback Chris Streveler. He continues to fill in for an injured Matt Nichols and last week he looked like he was making his third start in the CFL with 146 yards passing, while completing 17 of his 30 passing attempts. The Blue Bombers were able to move the ball on the ground behind Andrew Harris and Streveler with a combined 121 yards rushing.

Betting Trends

-- The Blue Bombers have covered ATS in seven of the last eight meetings overall and the total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings in Winnipeg.
 

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CFL
Dunkel

Week 4



Thursday, July 5

Hamilton @ Saskatchewan

Game 351-352
July 5, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
121.097
Saskatchewan
102.614
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 18 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 6
49
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-6); Under


Friday, July 6

Ottawa @ Montreal


Game 353-354
July 6, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
116.662
Montreal
95.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 21
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 6
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(-6); Under


Saturday, July 7

Edmonton @ Toronto


Game 355-356
July 7, 2018 @ 5:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
112.575
Toronto
110.633
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 5
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+5); Over

BC Lions @ Winnipeg


Game 357-358
July 7, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
109.328
Winnipeg
111.274
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 4
53
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+4); Over
 

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Long Sheet

Week 4


Thursday, July 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAMILTON (2 - 1) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 2) - 7/5/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 135-99 ATS (+26.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in July games since 1996.
HAMILTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, July 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (1 - 1) at MONTREAL (1 - 2) - 7/6/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 5-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, July 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (2 - 1) at TORONTO (0 - 2) - 7/7/2018, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 since 1996.
TORONTO is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1996.
TORONTO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 1) at WINNIPEG (1 - 2) - 7/7/2018, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-3 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Week 4


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, July 5

Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Hamilton is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
Hamilton is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Hamilton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Hamilton is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games when playing Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton


Friday, July 6

Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games on the road
Ottawa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Montreal
Ottawa is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Montreal
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 1-13 ATS in its last 14 games
Montreal is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games at home
Montreal is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa


Saturday, July 7

Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Edmonton is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Edmonton's last 9 games on the road
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Edmonton is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Edmonton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Toronto is 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton


British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
British Columbia is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games
British Columbia is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
British Columbia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
British Columbia is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 6 of British Columbia's last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
British Columbia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 games
Winnipeg is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 10 games at home
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing British Columbia
Winnipeg is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 4



Hamilton (2-1; -7.5, 51) @ Saskatchewan (1-2)? Roughriders won last three series games, winning four of last five series games played here, last two by 37-20/20-18 scores. Home side won seven of last nine series games. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Ti-Cats scored 38-31 points in winning their last two games; they split pair of road games, winning in Edmonton after losing opener 28-14 in Calgary. Riders scored 17-17 in losing its last two games; they split pair of home games, beating Toronto 27-19, losing 23-17 LW to Montreal.

Ottawa (1-1; -7.5, 48.5) @ Montreal (1-2)
? Ottawa won last five series games, last three all by 18+ points; they won last five visits to Montreal, three by 15+ points. RedBlacks are 9-1 vs spread in last 10 series games; last five series games stayed under. Ottawa split its first two games after its Week 1 bye, losing 24-14 in its only road game, in Calgary. Alouettes lost their only home game 56-10 to Winnipeg, but went to Regina LW and upset the Riders as 10.5-point underdogs. Two of their three games stayed under.

Edmonton (2-1; -3, 55.5) @ Toronto (0-2)
? Home side won seven of last eight series games; Eskimos lost four of last five visits here, with the one win two years ago. Nine of last ten series games went over the total. Edmonton scored 33-41 points in its two wins, 21 in their only loss at at home to Hamilton. Eskimos won their only road game, 33-30 in Winnipeg. Over is 3-0 in Edmonton games this season. Argonauts lost their first two games 27-19/41-7; Franklin is their new QB after Ray was injured LW. Under is 2-0 in Toronto games this season.

BC Lions (1-1) @ Winnipeg (1-2; -4.5, 55.5)
? Lions won three of last four series games; they?re 2-3 in last five visits to Manitoba, winning 36-27 here LY. Six of last seven series games went over the total. BC scored 22-22 points in splitting its first two games this year; Lions lost their only road game 41-22 in Edmonton. Blue Bombers allowed 31-33 points in their two losses, but crushed Montreal 56-10 in their only win- they lost their only home game, 33-30 to Edmonton. Two of their three games this season went over.

After CFL Week 3:
Favorites 7-5; Under 7-5
 

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PREVIEW

RIDERS LOOK TO BOUNCE BACK IN WEEK 4 OPENER VS. TICATS


REGINA ? The Hamilton Tiger-Cats and Saskatchewan Roughriders are two teams that carry much different storylines heading into Week 4.

The Ticats are riding high after picking up wins against two tough teams in the West and find themselves going for a third straight victory. Meanwhile the Roughriders, who started off the season strong with a convincing win over the reigning Grey Cup champs, now find themselves 1-2 after a pair of lopsided losses.

CFL.ca has unprecedented coverage of Thursday Night Football presented by the Brick, including a 30-minute live show CFL Game Time at 8:00 p.m. ET, as the Ticats visit the Riders in Regina.

The Black and Gold made a statement last week with a dominant 31-17 victory over the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Quarterback Jeremiah Masoli completed 31 of 41 attempts for 369 yards with one touchdown pass and one interception. It was the eighth straight game that the 29-year-old broke the 300-yard passing mark.

?It?s just a testament for how hard our offence is working,? Masoli told Ticats.ca after the game. ?Number one, with the guys in the trenches giving me all kinds of time, making me feel comfortable, and everybody else just getting open. And the scheme that the coaches are calling; we?re feeling pretty good.?

Brandon Banks led all receivers with 111 yards, while Sean Thomas-Erlington rushed for 92 yards in the win. Fellow Canadian running back Mercer Timmis was effective when needed, finding the end zone twice.

?They?re putting me in a good place to succeed,? said Timmis. ?I think a lot of guys probably could have walked in on those ones, but it?s definitely nice to get them?It?s always nice to contribute to the team in any way. On special teams, I was playing a little bit of that, and a little bit of running back.

?Anything I can help the team do to get a win, that?s the biggest goal.?

The Ticats have emerged as one of the most pleasant surprises to start the CFL season. After needing nine games to pick up their first win in 2017, the Ticats now have twice as many victories as they did halfway through last season.

Hamilton will face off against another tough West Division opponent for the fourth straight week as they roll into Riderville on Thursday.

?When all is said and done I think they?ll be very aggressive,? said Head Coach June Jones. ?They pass rush. They?re interested in getting to the quarterback. They got to us quite a bit last year. I would think that they?ll be very aggressive?. They had a little bit of a disappointing game last week, so they?ll start off coming after us.?

The team will be without defensive end Adrian Tracy, who was injured in last weeks win against the Bombers. First year Ticat Julian Howsare will get the start.

The Roughriders have their own injury woes.

Saskatchewan will be without starting quarterback Zach Collaros for a second straight week. Collaros left the Riders? Week 2 game against the Ottawa REDBLACKS with a head injury and currently sitting on the six-game injured list.

The Riders will once again put their faith in Canadian pivot Brandon Bridge as the starter, despite being pulled in the team?s disappointing 23-17 loss to the Montreal Alouettes last week. Bridge completed just eight of 18 passes for 111 yards with a pair of picks.

?It?s only one bad half of football,? Bridge told Riderville.com. ?If you look back on every other game, everyone is going to say I was shining bright like a diamond. But now, it?s one bad half and people think hell froze over. I just have to bounce back and take what the defence gives me and execute the game plan.?

Even after the Riders replaced Bridge with backup David Watford, the team struggled to find any momentum. Watford did manage to find Naaman Roosevelt for the Riders only major of the game, but also threw two picks of his own.

Jones made the decision late in the game to put star receiver turned cornerback Duron Carter on offence to try and provide a spark for the team. However, the 27-year-old will start in the secondary for a third straight week.

?Duron?s got to make strides,? said head coach Chris Jones. ?He?s like everybody else?He?s got to learn to play defence. He?s got to learn to disrupt routes early in the play. If he does that he?s going to see success.?

The Riders are aware that they are up against a tough Hamilton squad that is surging under their quarterback.

Chris Jones says that Masoli has evolved since last season.

?I think the maturity is there,? said the Riders head coach. ?I think the comfort in the offence certainly is there. June and his staff are doing an outstanding job?. He can spin it as good as anybody right now.?

Crunchin? Numbers:

4 ? Interceptions thrown by Jeremiah Masoli during his eight-game run of 300 plus yard on 298 attempts.

7 ? Points allowed by the Ticats in each second half of their last two games.

13 ? Times Naaman Roosevelt was targeted last week, one short of his career-high of 14.

17 ? Team-leading tackles this season by Ticats linebacker Larry Dean, ranked fourth in the league.


Our CFL writers have unanimously gone with the Ticats to pick up a win at the always hostile Mosaic Stadium. However, it?s still hard to consider the Riders an ?underdog? despite their disappointing last two games.

Saskatchewan has won their last three games against the Ticats, and four of their last five matchups against the Black and Gold.

Riders quarterback Brandon Bridge also has proven success against Hamilton. Bridge?s only start in 2017 was against the Ticats on Sept. 5. He led the Riders to a 27-19 win with three touchdown passes.

Will Bridge have another successful outing against the Ticats? Or will Hamilton pick up their third straight win?

Kickoff is at 9:00 p.m. ET and can be seen on TSN, ESPN+.
 

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THURSDAY, JULY 5
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


HAM at SSK 09:00 PM
HAM -6.5
U 51.0
 

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GAME RECAP

THIGPEN?S LATE SCORE LIFTS RIDERS OVER TICATS


REGINA ? The Saskatchewan Roughriders squeezed out an 18-13 victory over Hamilton on Thursday night to kick off Week 4 of the CFL season.

The two sides traded blows throughout the evening in a low-scoring affair, but the Riders took the lead for good with 1:50 remaining in the fourth quarter on a 34-yard touchdown run by Marcus Thigpen.

Hamilton?s offence looked sharp at the start. Early in the first quarter, Nikita Whitlock, Mercer Timmis and John White helped establish a strong running game capped off by a 29-yard pass from Jeremiah Masoli to Brandon Banks. The Ticats drove the ball to the Roughriders? four-yard line, but Saskatchewan?s goal line defence was able to hold Hamilton to a field goal.

Brandon Bridge could not find any momentum initially with the Roughriders? offence, but Masoli made an impact early on with both his arm and his legs. Late in the first quarter, Masoli?s 14-yard sneak up the middle and 30-yard completion to Banks put the Ticats in prime scoring position, but Lirim Hajrullahu missed a 32-yard field goal to keep the score within Saskatchewan?s reach at 4-0 after the first quarter.

In the second quarter, Riders head coach Chris Jones decided to insert David Watford at quarterback, and the 25-year-old had a quick impact with his feet. Nonetheless, a 29-yard rush by Watford on could not spark the offence. It was Saskatchewan?s special teams that took back some momentum by pinning Hamilton deep in their own territory on a well-executed punt.

The Ticats gained back some ground but eventually punted the ball back to Christion Jones, who gave Saskatchewan their best field position of the game with a 27-yard return late in the second quarter.

The ensuing Roughriders drive was aided by a costly roughing the passer penalty to Hamilton?s Ted Laurent, and Saskatchewan once again threatened to score. They drove the ball all the way to the Ticats? one-yard line, but Bridge fumbled the football just before landing in the end zone to hand Hamilton a massive turnover.

Led by Masoli, the Ticats were working their way efficiently past midfield until Riders? defensive lineman Charleston Hughes throttled his way through the defence for a sack and fumble. Hughes scooped up the loose ball and returned it 57 yards for a touchdown that sparked Mosaic Stadium into a frenzy and put Saskatchewan ahead 6-4.

Eager to make up for his mistake, Masoli led a two-minute drive at the end of the first half that resulted in a Ticats field goal to put Hamilton in front 7-6 at the break. Hamilton dominated the first half in net yards, out-gaining Saskatchewan 243 yards to 89.

The Ticats shut out their previous three opponents in third quarters this season, but Saskatchewan was able to buck the trend when Brett Lauther nailed a 52-yard kick to put the Riders ahead 9-7 midway through third.

Masoli responded with a 64-yard drive capped off by a 19-yard Hajrullahu field goal to put the Ticats back ahead. As the second half went on, the Riders? defence tightened up and made it difficult for Masoli to move the ball at will.

Midway through the fourth quarter, Riders defensive end Tobi Antigha dropped into coverage and picked off Masoli to give Saskatchewan prime field position at Hamilton?s 21 yard line.

The Ticats were able to hold the Riders to a field goal as Saskatchewan took a 12-10 lead.

Unfazed, Masoli needed less than three minutes to bring the Ticats back in front by leading a drive from Hamilton?s 35 yard line that finished with a 39-yard field goal by Hajrullahu for a 13-12 lead. In the fourth quarter, Masoli tied a CFL record with his ninth consecutive game of 300 or more passing yards.

Following the three minute warning, Bridge drove the Roughriders into Hamilton territory, where Marcus Thigpen broke off a 33-yard run into the endzone for Saskatchewan?s first touchdown of the game and an 18-13 lead.

With that late score, Thigpen lifted the Riders to victory and improved their record to 2-2, while the Ticats fell to 2-2. Both teams will enjoy a Week 5 bye before a rematch at Tim Hortons Field on July 19.
 
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