561CLEVELAND -562 PHILADELPHIA
CLEVELAND is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.
563OKLAHOMA CITY -564 INDIANA
INDIANA is 20-7 ATS (12.3 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents in the last 3 seasons.
565DETROIT -566 MIAMI
MIAMI is 39-24 ATS (12.6 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.
567NEW YORK -568 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
569LA LAKERS -570 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in the first half of the season in the current season.
571ATLANTA -572 DENVER
ATLANTA is 61-91 ATS (-39.1 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=43% since 1996.
573BROOKLYN -574 UTAH
BROOKLYN is 54-32 ATS (18.8 Units) in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.
**********************************
NBA
Tuesday, November 12
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 4-8-2 ATS in its last 14 games
Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Indiana is 2-5-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Indiana's last 16 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Oklahoma City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Oklahoma City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Oklahoma City's last 16 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 18 games
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Philadelphia is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Philadelphia's last 25 games when playing Cleveland
Philadelphia is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games
Cleveland is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
Cleveland is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing Philadelphia
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Cleveland's last 25 games when playing Philadelphia
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Cleveland is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Miami Heat
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games at home
Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games when playing Detroit
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 games
Detroit is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games
Detroit is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing Miami
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games
Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Chicago is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
Chicago is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing at home against New York
New York Knicks
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 9 games
New York is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New York is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
New York is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Utah Jazz
Utah is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Utah's last 13 games
Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games at home
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games
Brooklyn is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
Brooklyn is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Brooklyn is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Brooklyn is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Brooklyn is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Denver Nuggets
Denver is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home
Denver is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Denver is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Denver is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Denver
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Atlanta is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Phoenix is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Phoenix is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Phoenix's last 11 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
LA Lakers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
LA Lakers is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Lakers is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
LA Lakers is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
LA Lakers is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 11 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Sacramento is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Sacramento is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Portland
Sacramento is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Portland
Sacramento is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Portland
Sacramento is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Portland
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Portland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Portland is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Portland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
*************************
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, November 12
Cavaliers-76res
Cleveland won its last two games, is 4-5 SU overall, 3-1-1 ATS on road (under 4-1). 76ers lost three of last four games, are 2-1 ATS as a home favorite. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.
Philly won four of last five games with the Cavaliers; Cleveland covered its last four visits here. Three of last four series games went over.
Thunder-Pacers
Oklahoma City won three of its last four games, is 0-3 SU on road, 2-1 ATS as a road underdog. Thunder?s last three games went over total. Indiana won five of last six games after an 0-3 start; they?re 1-2-1 ATS as a home favorite. Pacers? last three games went over the total.
Thunder won three of last four games with the Pacers; they?re 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Indiana. Last five series games went under the total.
Pistons-Heat
Detroit lost five of last seven games overall and four in row on road (0-3-1 ATS; )four of their five road games went over total. Miami won/covered all three of its home games; they won six of nine games overall. Five of their last six games went under.
Home side won six of last eight Detroit-Miami games; Pistons covered once in their last five visits to South Beach. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.
Knicks-Bulls
New York lost five of its last six games; they?re 4-2 ATS as a road underdog. Eight of their last nine games went under total. Chicago lost six of its last eight games; they?re 1-3 SU at home, 2-3 ATS when favored. Three of their last four games stayed under.
Knicks won/covered their last three games with the Bulls; they covered once in their last three trips to Chicago. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.
Lakers-Suns
Lakers won seven of their last eight games; they?re 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS on road. Under is 5-4 in their games. Phoenix won six of first nine games (under 5-3-1); they covered five of their six home games.
Lakers won seven of last nine games with Phoenix; they covered four of last five trips to the desert. Four of last five series games went under total.
Hawks-Nuggets
Atlanta lost six of its last seven games; they?re 1-2 SU/ATS on road. Under is 6-2 in their games. Denver won its last four games; they?re 1-3 ATS as a home favorite. Nuggets? last four games stayed under the total.
Hawks won six of last eight games with the Nuggets; they?re 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Denver. Four of last five series games went under.
Nets-Jazz
Brooklyn lost three of its four road games SU (1-1 AU); over is 5-4 in their games. Utah won at Golden State Monday; their third win in row. Jazz is 5-0 SU at home, 2-1-1 as a HF. All five of their home games stayed under.
Nets lost five of last six games with the Jazz; they?re 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Utah. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games. .
Trailblazers-Kings
Portland lost four of its last five games; they?re 3-3 SU on road, 2-1 1-2 SU/ATS on road. as a road underdog. Four of their last five games went over. Sacramento won three of last four games after an 0-5 start; they?re 1-3 SU at home, 0-1 as a home favorite. Under is 5-4 in their games.
Trailblazers won six of last seven games with the Kings; they covered three of last four visits to Sacramento. Four of last six series games went over.
*********************************
NBA
Long Sheet
Tuesday, November 12
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CLEVELAND (4 - 5) at PHILADELPHIA (6 - 3) - 11/12/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 83-106 ATS (-33.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 46-64 ATS (-24.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 46-64 ATS (-24.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 57-38 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OKLAHOMA CITY (4 - 6) at INDIANA (6 - 4) - 11/12/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 177-136 ATS (+27.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DETROIT (4 - 7) at MIAMI (6 - 3) - 11/12/2019, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW YORK (2 - 8) at CHICAGO (3 - 7) - 11/12/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 38-52 ATS (-19.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 28-41 ATS (-17.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LA LAKERS (7 - 2) at PHOENIX (6 - 3) - 11/12/2019, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 6-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 6-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ATLANTA (3 - 6) at DENVER (7 - 2) - 11/12/2019, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BROOKLYN (4 - 5) at UTAH (7 - 3) - 11/12/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 69-48 ATS (+16.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PORTLAND (4 - 6) at SACRAMENTO (3 - 6) - 11/12/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 128-164 ATS (-52.4 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
******************************
NBA
Dunkel
Tuesday, November 12
Cleveland @ Philadelphia
Game 561-562
November 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
113.301
Philadelphia
122.494
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 9
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 11
216
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+11); Under
Oklahoma City @ Indiana
Game 563-564
November 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
120.632
Indiana
117.747
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 3
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 3
213
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+3); Under
Detroit @ Miami
Game 565-566
November 12, 2019 @ 7:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
111.865
Miami
121.457
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 9 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 7 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-7 1/2); Over
New York @ Chicago
Game 567-568
November 12, 2019 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
New York
104.355
Chicago
112.692
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 8 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 5 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-5 1/2); Over
Brooklyn @ Utah
Game 573-574
November 12, 2019 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
113.918
Utah
123.855
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 10
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 7
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-7); Under
Atlanta @ Denver
Game 571-572
November 12, 2019 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
112.311
Denver
120.269
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 8
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 11
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+11); Over
LA Lakers @ Phoenix
Game 569-570
November 12, 2019 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
122.652
Phoenix
122.415
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
Even
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 2 1/2
217
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+2 1/2); Over
Portland @ Sacramento
Game 575-576
November 12, 2019 @ 10:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Portland
118.779
Sacramento
114.161
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 4 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 2
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-2); Under
****************************
Weekly Essentials
Tony Mejia
Injuries Hinder East's Beasts
The basketball gods may try to be telling us they don?t care for the NBA dipping their toe into coach?s challenges.
That's as good a guess as any when trying to make sense of all the early injuries that have crept up on teams over the season?s first few weeks.
Players aren?t spraining their ankles with more frequency just because the season started earlier but it sure does seem like that?s going around the flu bug tends to this time of year. Kings point guard De?Aaron Fox suffered his late in practice on Monday and will be re-evaluated at the end of the month.
Toronto?s Serge Ibaka suffered his sprain on Friday night against the Pelicans. The Raptors were pressing forward without him and point guard Kyle Lowry in splitting a pair of games at Staples Center when Clippers? shooter Landry Shamet was helped to the locker room in the fourth quarter of L.A.?s 98-88 win late Monday.
Boston?s Gordon Hayward broke his hand over the weekend, just as he was finally back to playing at the All-Star level he attained with Utah that earned him a max contract. Considering he suffered a horrific leg injury just over five minutes into his regular-season debut with the Celtics, casual fans were just starting to enjoy his skill set since he was a shell of himself last season as he recovered physically and struggled to regain his form. In wins over the Bucks, Knicks, Cavs and Hornets prior to sustaining his injury, Hayward made 40 of 64 shots (62.5 percent), which included a perfect 16-for-16 from inside the arc in a 39-point game against the Cavs. He averaged 23.3 points, nine rebounds and 6.3 assists and shot 38 percent from 3-point range. He looked like himself again.
On Monday, he underwent surgery to repair the fracture and will be out at least a month.
Of the top 11 teams in the Eastern Conference, nine of them are dealing with the absence of one of their top players. Only the Magic and Nets have avoided major disruptions to date, and we?re including Brooklyn because it knows its not getting Kevin Durant back this season.
The Raptors will rely on Pascal Siakam as their driving force with Lowry out and will be Fred VanVleet?s team to run. Norman Powell has moved into the starting lineup and Chris Boucher has performed nicely taking Ibaka?s minutes, which helped Toronto upset the Lakers as double-digit underdogs on Sunday. The war of attrition is starting early so while survival of the fittest doesn?t apply, we?re going to see who is most resourceful over the next few weeks.
Bucks? All-Star Khris Middleton suffered a thigh contusion in Sunday?s win in Oklahoma City and has been ruled out 3-4 weeks. After breaking through and earning his first All-Star nod last season, he?s averaged 18.5 points and shot over 40 percent from 3-point range as the most important member of Giannis Antetokounmpo?s supporting cast. The Bucks have failed to cover in three straight games entering Thursday?s matchup with the Bulls and will rely on Sterling Brown, Donte DiVincenzo and Pat Connaughton on the wing to make up for Middleton?s absence.
Heat wing Justise Winslow, a difference-maker on both sides of the ball who is off to a tremendous start, has been out with a back issue. Winslow and Jimmy Butler have played all of two games together and have yet to do so well. Winslow shot 1-for-7 in a win over Atlanta two weeks ago in the first game they played and Butler finished a minus-23 in a 109-89 loss in Denver, shooting 3-for-12. There are a lot of cooks in Miami?s kitchen, but Erik Spoelstra needs to get those two going.
Blake Griffin made his season debut in Monday?s home loss to Minnesota and center Andre Drummond had his worst game of the season, finishing with season-lows in points and rebounds. He?d been averaging 20 points and an NBA-high 18 boards per game in playing with tremendous energy, so Pistons head coach Dwane Casey will need to make sure he remains as engaged as he?s been. Derrick Rose was also returning from a hamstring injury and started instead of coming off the bench, so you?ll probably want to see how all the pieces fit since there?s bound to be an adjustment period.
The Timberwolves defeated Detroit 120-114 despite the absence of ill point guard Jeff Teague and his backup, Shabazz Napier, out with a hamstring issue. Afterward, Rose criticized his team?s effort and wondered aloud if they wanted to work hard or get spanked every night. At least they have guys who care now. Following Tuesday?s visit to Miami, the Pistons will have plenty of time to develop chemistry through actual practices since they?ll play just one other game (Friday in Charlotte) between now and next Wednesday.
Indiana may see center Myles Turner return to action from his ankle sprain sometime this week since he?s been out all month since needing help off the floor 10 minutes into a win in Brooklyn on Oct. 30. Thanks to Domantas Sabonis stepping into the lineup, the Pacers have flourished in winning six of seven and have seen the ?over? go 3-0-1 over their past four entering Tuesday?s home date with Indiana.
Malcolm Brogdon?s ability to create easy offense in the pick-and-roll has helped overcome injuries to both Turner and new shooting guard Jeremy Lamb, who had looked sharp in averaging 17 points per game and scoring in double-figures in all five of his starts prior to spraining an ankle. Nate McMillan needed to develop some depth and has gotten increased run for the likes of Goga Bitadze, T.J. Leaf and the Holiday brothers out of necessity. Doug McDermott has been a force off the bench in helping overcome Lamb?s absence, which has turned Indiana into a team that relies on offense more than its defense. Once Turner returns, that may change given his shot-blocking and the likelihood the offense efficiency will decrease if Sabonis returns to a reserve role.
Ben Simmons suffered a shoulder sprain that the 76ers are rightfully being cautious with, so he may be absent all week as Philadelphia hits the road following Tuesday?s home date with the Cavs. Stops in Orlando, Oklahoma City and for a rematch with Cleveland on Sunday may require the Sixers to continue running offense through Joel Embiid and Tobias Harris. Newcomers Raul Neto and Trey Burke have been playing at the point, but Philly lost three straight in Phoenix, Utah and Denver before returning home to defeat the Hornets and Sunday. The blew a substantial lead to the Nuggets in the fourth quarter to close out their disappointing and trip, but Simmons hadn?t been playing well late in games as is. Closing out contests will be a challenge Brett Brown will have to find a better answer for if his team is going to challenge for the Eastern Conference title as most expect.
Atlanta is relying on Jabari Parker as Trae Young?s pick-and-roll parker with productive results in attempting to survive John Collins? 25-game suspension, so you can count on the former No. 2 pick to opt out of his current deal and secure a larger payday via free agency if he stays healthy.
Over the next month, making the best of it is all most of the Eastern Conference can do, so teams will be hoping guys step up as Parker has to make the most of their increased minutes. Boston has set the pace with eight straight wins entering Wednesday?s home date with the Wizards by overcoming Jaylen Brown being out of the lineup in addition to the season-long absence of projected starting center Enes Kanter, who is set to join the rotation. Brown is back as Hayward heals and the dance continues.
What?s going on with??
Paul George
A major piece to the puzzle of intelligently handicapping this NBA title race should drop this week since the Clippers are going to get Kawhi Leonard's preferred tag-team partner out onto the floor for his Clippers' debut. The wing whose acquistion from OKC secured Leonard's signature in free agency should play in Wednesday's visit to Houston or Thursday's trip to Oklahoma City.
Although I anticipate that we'll see George and Leonard alternate maintenance days during back-to-backs to ensure at least one of them is out there playing catalyst, it makes most sense to see them out on the floor together early in their partnership, so it will be interesting to see how Doc Rivers handles this quick road trip. The Clippers return to Staples Center on Saturday for a date withthe Hawks and will spend all of next week in town thanks to a five-game homestand that will help George sink his teeth into playing in front of friends and family in his hometown. Look for L.A. to be a double-digit favorite against the Hawks and Thunder prior to more challenging games against the visiting Celtics and Rockets.
Brandon Ingram
The Pelicans' forward was scratched on Monday night after not feeling right in warmups, leading to him being scratched from an eventual loss to the Rockets. He's averaging nearly 26 points per game and has scored efficiently despite New Orleans struggling to secure wins, so they're going to be catching a lot of points with games against the Clippers, Heat and Trail Blazers coming up.if he misses substantial time. Ingram appeared to hyperextend his knee in the final minute of Saturday's win in Charlotte but he carried no injury designation into Monday's game against Houston before being scratched.
Jrue Holiday has started too slowly to trust to help carry the Pels without Ingram in tow, especially with Lonzo Ball still out due to an adductor strain injury and Zion Williamson probably still another month away from his debut. It's getting late early for those who felt the Pelicans would be a playoff team.
The Warriors
Draymond Green returned from a finger injury and ultimately got himself thrown out of a frustrating loss to Utah arguing calls, so he's clearly working through his frustrations right now. The Dubs went on a 3-1-1 ATS run before suffering Monday night's blowout loss thanks to the return of D'Angelo Russell, Alec Burks and Willie Cauley-Stein. I don't think we'll see Stephen Curry again this season, but Green needing to keep his competitive juices flowing should signal that you need to exercise caution before blindly fading this group like you were right to early in the season. They're attempting to defend now. If Kevon Looney is able to retun and provide another rim protector, there's a chance that a 60-loss season can be avoided.
Injuries to Monitor
That there's still a need for this space despite this column being mostly about injuries tells you all you need to know about the NBA's current state because only items that haven't been covered will appear here. Shamet's sprain looked like one that could linger, so George's return may not affect anyone's minutes early if he just inherits Shamet's. Rodney McGruder checked in when the sharp-shooter went down to keep Rivers' rotations intact, so he may see some action... Fox's injury is extremely unfortunate since Sacramento has struggled out of the gate after losing Marvin Bagley early. Bogdan Bogdanovic is likely to see more action and offseason acquisition Cory Joseph will probably start until Swiper returns, but the Kings' preferred pace and defensive intensity is likely to be affected... The Blazers have seen Rodney Hood be compromised by back spasms and are hoping that the foot sprain center Hassan Whiteside is playing through doesn't become a bigger issue but they've seen kids Anfernee Simons and Nassir Little respond to increased roles. Mario Hezonja has also been relied upon as a small-ball four... Rockets starting forward Danuel House has been productive all season but fell hard on his back in the team's last game and is banged up. There's no word on the severity yet... Charlotte rookie P.J. Washington suffered a mild ankle sprain against New Orleans in the same game where Ingram tweaked his knee, so he may not be as explosive for the Hornets as they open a manageable streatch against the Griz, Pistons and Knicks this week.
Games to Watch
Tuesday - Hawks at Nuggets
We'll see if a third straight Nikola Jokic game-winner is neceassry, which is entirely possible since Denver has been playing down to its level of competition and has only covered a spread once in its last six games entering this one. The Nuggets opened as a 12-point favorite but have only looked dominant at Pepsi Center once. They narrowly beat the Suns in their home opener, lost to Dallas, blew out Miami and were down big vs. the 76ers before their late rally. The Nuggets squandered a large lead of their own on Sunday before Jokic's fadeaway winner over Karl-Anthony Towns prevented a second OT. Despite not looking particularly sharp, Denver opens the week on a four-game winning streak.
Wednesday - Clippers at Rockets
Hopefully we see George here, teaming with Leonard against fellow L.A. natives James Harden and Russell Westbrook. We've all been good and deserve this. Harden is averaging 37.3 points per game entering this nationally-televised Western Conference clash, the highest scoring ouput through 10 games over the past 50 years. Harden scored 39 vs. the Pels to surpass Michael Jordan's mark of 36.9 set in both '86 and '88.
Thursday - Mavs at Knicks
Kristaps Porzingis comes through Madison Square Garden for the first time but isn't going to be bringing much positive momentum into his return after stinking it up at TD Garden in Monday's loss to the Celtics. If he and Luka Doncic can get it going here and turn the arena against the Knicks via boo birds, there's a good chance David Fizdale won't need to be at work on Friday morning since he's being set up as the fall guys for New York's awful start..
Friday - Jazz at Grizzlies
Mike Conley has already confessed he'll likely need tissues for this one as he makes his first visit to Memphis in a Jazz jersey. The veteran point guard is the Grizzlies' all-time leader in a number of categories and will undoubtedly get a standing ovation. He's been playing much better of late, displaying improved chemistry with Rudy Gobert, who rightfully demanded the ball more last week.
Saturday - Blazers at Spurs
LaMarcus Aldridge has overome his slow start and will look to get the better of Whiteside and his former team, but San Antonio has unexpectedly been no sure thing at home early on. The Spurs will bring a 4-3 record at AT&T Center into this one after being upset as a double-digit favorite by Memphis on Monday despite a packed house for Tony Parker's post-game jersey retirement ceremony.
Sunday - Hawks at Lakers
The Lakers may have Rajon Rondo back by this point, but I'd expect Avery Badley to get the bulk of the time at the point against Trae Young. Count on L.A. being favored by at least 12 points considering the young Hawks will be playing on the second night of a back-to-back after facing the Clips the previous night. Considering they'll be spending Saturday night in L.A. in between games, the number might end up being closer to 15.
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Hoop Trends - Tuesday
Vince Akins
ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
-- The Nuggets are 14-0 ATS (5.82 ppg) with less than two days rest when they are off two straight games in which they allowed fewer than 100 points.
ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
-- The Bulls are 0-12 ATS (-8.42 ppg) at home off a home loss in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.
OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:
-- The Thunder are 11-0-1 OU (12.08 ppg) off a game as a dog in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers.
OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:
-- The Knicks are 0-12-1 OU (-10.15 ppg) with less than two days rest off a home loss in which they never led.