Cnotes 2019 WNBA News - Notes - Picks Thru The Playoffs !

[Cnotes53]

SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY AUGUST 1, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:00 PM Phoenix Mercury Connecticut Sun Mohegan Sun Arena
8:00 PM New York Liberty Dallas Wings College Park Center
10:00 PM Las Vegas Aces Los Angeles Sparks Staples Center


******************************


WNBA JULY'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

07/31/2019........N O P L A Y....................
07/30/2019 4-2-0 66.67% +9.00
07/24/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
07/23/2019 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
07/21/2019 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
07/20/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
07/19/2019 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
07/18/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
07/17/2019 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
07/07/2019 3-5-0 37.50% -12.50
07/06/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/05/2019 6-2-0 75.00% +19.00
07/03/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/02/2019 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50


Totals............33-27-0 ......55.00% ....+16.50


*****************************

BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS

07/31/2019........N O P L A Y...............................................................................................
07/30/2019.............2 - 1...................+4.50.................2 - 1..................+4.50...............+9.00
07/24/2019.............1 - 0...................+5.00.................1 - 0..................+5.00...............+10.00
07/23/2019.............0 - 2...................-11.00.................1 - 2..................-6.00................-17.00
07/21/2019.............1 - 1....................-0.50..................1 - 2..................-6.00................-6.50
07/20/2019.............1 - 1....................-0.50..................1 - 1..................-0.50................-1.00
07/19/2019.............2 - 1...................+4.50..................0 - 3.................-16.50...............-12.00
07/18/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50..................0 - 1..................-5.50................-11.00
07/17/2019.............1 - 1....................-0.50..................2 - 0.................+10.00.............+9.50
07/07/2019.............2 - 2....................-1.00..................1 - 3.................-11.50...............-12.50
07/06/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50..................1 - 0.................+5.00...............-0.50
07/05/2019.............3 - 1....................+9.50.................2 - 1.................+4.50...............+14.00
07/03/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00.................0 - 1..................-5.50................-0.50
07/02/2019.............2 - 0....................+10.00...............1 - 1..................-0.50................+9.50


Totals....................16 - 12.................+14.00................13 - 16..............-23.00...............-9.00

 

[Cnotes53]

WNBA

Thursday, August 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games
Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Phoenix is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games on the road
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Connecticut
Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Connecticut
Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Phoenix is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Connecticut's last 9 games
Connecticut is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
Connecticut is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
Connecticut is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Connecticut is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix

New York Liberty
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New York is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games on the road
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing Dallas
New York is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
New York is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Wings
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 10 games at home
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing New York
Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against New York
Dallas is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against New York

Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Las Vegas's last 7 games
Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Las Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Las Vegas's last 8 games on the road
Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
Las Vegas is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Las Vegas's last 13 games when playing Los Angeles
Las Vegas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Las Vegas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Las Vegas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
Los Angeles is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Los Angeles's last 25 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
Los Angeles is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Los Angeles's last 13 games when playing Las Vegas
Los Angeles is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing at home against Las Vegas


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MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 1

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PHOENIX (10 - 9) at CONNECTICUT (14 - 6) - 8/1/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 7-2 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-4 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (8 - 11) at DALLAS (5 - 15) - 8/1/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LAS VEGAS (14 - 6) at LOS ANGELES (11 - 8) - 8/1/2019, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 5-3 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 6-2 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, August 1


Phoenix @ Connecticut

Game 619-620
August 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
104.870
Connecticut
117.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 12 1/2
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
N/A

New York @ Dallas

Game 621-622
August 1, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
104.661
Dallas
102.955
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 1 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
New York
N/A

Las Vegas @ Los Angeles

Game 623-624
August 1, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Las Vegas
117.095
Los Angeles
110.558
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Las Vegas
by 6 1/2
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Las Vegas
N/A

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, AUGUST 1
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

PHO at CONN 07:00 PM
PHO +6.5
O 153.5

NY at DAL 08:00 PM
DAL -1.5
O 151.0

LV at LA 10:00 PM
LV +2.0
O 155.5

 

[Cnotes53]

Jones, Williams lead Sun past Mercury
August 1, 2019
By The Associated Press

UNCASVILLE, Conn. (AP) Jonquel Jones had 15 points and 14 rebounds, Courtney Williams scored 12 of her 14 points in the fourth quarter and the Connecticut Sun beat the short-handed Phoenix Mercury 68-62 on Thursday night.

Connecticut (15-6), which is 11-1 at home this season, has won six straight games to remain atop the WNBA standings. Phoenix (10-10) was without star center Brittney Griner after the 6:23 mark of the second quarter due to an ankle injury.

Shekinna Stricklen added 12 points, and Jasmine Thomas had 10 for Connecticut. Jones had her fourth double-double in six games, totaling 11 on the season.

DeWanna Bonner had 20 points and 10 rebounds, and Leilani Mitchell added 13 points for Phoenix. Former UConn star Diana Taurasi did not play. UConn coach Geno Auriemma sat courtside.

WINGS 87, LIBERTY 64

ARLINGTON, Texas (AP) - Arike Ogunbowale scored 22 points, fellow rookie Megan Gustafson added 11 points and eight rebounds and Dallas beat New York to move out of last place in the WNBA standings.

Dallas (6-15) snapped a six-game losing streak with its first victory since July 9. New York (8-12) has lost four in a row on the road.

Kia Nurse scored 13 points for New York, and rookie Asia Durr added 10.

SPARKS 76, ACES 68

LOS ANGELES (AP) - Nneka Ogwumike had 19 points and 11 rebounds, Candace Parker added 16 points in her return and Los Angeles beat Las Vegas for its sixth victory in seven games.

Gray added 16 points and 10 assists for Los Angeles (12-8). Chiney Ogwumike did not play after getting a tooth pulled.

Kayla McBride led Las Vegas (14-7) with 19 points.

 

[Cnotes53]

SCHEDULE FOR FRIDAY AUGUST 2, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
10:00 PM Washington Mystics Seattle Storm Angel of the Winds Arena


*******************************



WNBA AUGUST'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


08/01/2019 2-3-1 40.00% -650


Totals...............2-3-1 .......40.00% ....-6.50


*****************************

BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS............. ..UNITS...............O/U..............UNITS...........TOTALS


08/01/2019..............2 - 1...............+4.50................0 - 2............-11.00............-6.50

Totals......................2 - 1................+4.50................0 - 2............-11.00............-6.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

? Mets 4, White Sox 0? New York won its last seven games.

? Cardinals 8, Cubs 0? St Louis leads NL Central by a game.

? Rays 9, Red Sox 4? Tampa Bay sweeps three games in Fenway.

? Former Carolina Panthers? C Ryan Kalil un-retired and signed on with the Jets.

? Indians? manager Terry Francona underwent unexpected eye surgery Thursday; he was at the ballpark Thursday night, but didn?t manage the game. We wish him well.

? If the playoffs started today (they do not):
NL: Braves-Cardinals-Dodgers. Wild Card: Cubs-Nationals
AL: New York-Twins-Astros. Wild Card: Rays-Indians


**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here??.

13) Looking at Week 1 of the NFL which is only five weeks away, there are four games with a spread of 7+ points. The question occurred to me, how do favorites of 7+ points do in Week 1 of the NFL? So I looked it up.

Last six years, 16 teams have been favored by 7+ points in Week 1; those teams went 4-11-1 vs spread. Last three years, Week 1 favorites of 7+ are just 6-4 SU.

Since 2009, in Week 1 games with a spread of 7+ points, over is 18-12-1.

12) Week 1 favorites of 7+ points this year:
? Eagles (-9) vs Washington
? Seahawks (-9.5) vs Cincinnati
? Cowboys (-7.5) vs NY Giants
? Saints (-7) vs Houston

11) Over last 20 years, only five teams haven?t been a Week 1 favorite of 7+ points:
Bengals, Browns, Chiefs, Giants, 49ers.

10) New England has been a Week 1 favorite of 7+ points eight times since 2005; they?re 2-5-1 vs spread in those games. Patriots are -6 vs Pittsburgh in Week 1 this year.

9) Day after the trade deadline, baseball GM?s who made trades the day before go on their local TV broadcasts and get patted on the back for the great deals he made the day before.

On Miami telecasts, one of the worst-run franchises in the sport, they tout the new kids in the organization, even the ones hitting .204 and .206 in the minors. Oy.

8) Marlins 5, Twins 4 (12)? Miami tied game with three runs in 9th, won it in the 12th.

7) Baseball stuff:
? Texas DFA?d IF Asdrubel Cabrera and C Tim Federowicz.

6) Six players and both managers got suspended after the Pirates-Reds fracas the other night; Keone Kale got 10 games, Amir Garrett 8 games. Cincy skipper David Bell got six games, Clint Hurdle got two.

According to Hall of Fame writer Jayson Stark, this is the most players suspended for one fight since a 2013 incident involving Ian Kennedy/Zack Greinke.

5) Longtime kicker Phil Dawson retired from the NFL this week, after a 20-year career where he kicked 441 FG?s, 518 PAT?s- he even punted nine times.

4) White Sox P Lucas Giolito is from a family of actors; his grandfather appeared in five episodes of Seinfeld, playing Susan Ross? father. His mother Lindsay Frost lists 49 TV and movie credits.

3) The other night, I stumble upon this old movie, Guilty As Sin on cable late at night while I?m writing; hard to take a movie real serious when the first character you see in the movie is a judge being played by the guy who was Morty in Meatballs.

Movie had Jack Warden and Rebecca DeMornay in it, though, so it wasn?t all bad.

2) San Francisco Giants have won three World Series in this decade; surprising thing is who they beat in those series, the Rangers, Tigers, Royals.

1) One bettor at the Westgate in Las Vegas placed a $100,500 wager on the 76ers to make the playoffs this coming season at -$5,000 odds; the bet would win $2,010.

Same guy made/won a similar bet on Golden State last season.

 

[Cnotes53]

WNBA

Friday, August 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington Mystics
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle Storm
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle's last 14 games
Seattle is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 13 games at home
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WNBA
Long Sheet

Friday, August 2

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (13 - 6) at SEATTLE (12 - 9) - 8/2/2019, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WNBA
Dunkel

Friday, August 2


Washington @ Seattle

Game 625-626
August 2, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
113.235
Seattle
112.135
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
159
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+5); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

Preview: Mystics (13-6) at Storm (12-9)
Date: August 02, 2019 10:00 PM EDT

The Washington Mystics are playing some of the best basketball in the WNBA at the moment. Whether it is good enough to end their recent struggles against the Seattle Storm remains to be seen.

Looking to match a season high with their fifth straight win, the visiting Mystics will also try to end a four-game overall slide to the Storm on Friday night.

Washington (13-6) is certainly playing like a team aiming to get back to the WNBA Finals for a second straight season. Led by star Elena Delle Donne (18.1 points per game, 8.3 rebounds per game), the Mystics lead the "W" in scoring at 84.5 points per game and they're averaging 91.5 during a four-game winning streak.

Delle Donne has averaged 25 points over the last four after scoring 33 in Tuesday's 99-93 home win over Phoenix. Kristi Toliver (13.7 ppg) had 25 for Washington, which led by as many as 23 points but nearly blew the advantage as the Mercury got within two late in the game.

"We all know that this is a championship team, but nothing is going to be given to us, we have to go out and take it," guard Natasha Cloud said as posted on the Mystics' official Facebook page.

Washington won five in a row from June 18-29. That streak followed a 74-71 home loss to Seattle (12-9) on June 14. It was the teams' first meeting since the Storm swept the Mystics in three games of the 2018 WNBA Finals.

Delle Donne had 19 points in that contest, but Washington was outscored 22-8 in the fourth quarter. Seattle star Jewell Loyd (14.4 ppg) scored 14 and hit the go-ahead jumper with 8.6 seconds left.

While the Storm will try for a fourth consecutive home victory, they look to bounce back after their overall four-game winning streak ended with a 79-62 loss at Las Vegas on July 23 - their final contest before the All-Star break. Natasha Howard (18.1 ppg) and Alysha Clark each scored 13 and Loyd added 12, but Seattle was outscored 43-27 in the second half.

Despite that defeat, the Storm have more than managed to keep their collective head above water without injured stars Breanna Stewart and Sue Bird.

"Considering our circumstances and everything we've kind of dealt with, we're sitting really well," Loyd told heraldnet.com earlier this week.

These teams will conclude their regular-season series at Washington on Aug. 14.

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, AUGUST 2
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

WAS at SEA 10:00 PM

SEA +5.0

U 159.0

 

[Cnotes53]

Delle Donne's 29 points, 12 rebounds lead Mystics past Storm
August 2, 2019
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SEATTLE (AP) Elena Delle Donne had 29 points and 12 rebounds, Ariel Atkins added 17 points - hitting five 3-pointers - and the Washington Mystics beat the Seattle Storm 99-79 on Friday night.

Emma Meesseman chipped in with 13 points for Washington (14-6), which matched its season high with a fifth straight victory. Kristi Toliver and Aerial Powers each scored 12 points.

The Mystics had lost their past four games in the series - including three straight in the 2018 WNBA Finals - but started strong by scoring the first eight points of the game and led 48-34 at halftime before scoring 30 points in the third quarter.

Natasha Howard was the lone player for Seattle (12-10) to reach double figures with 26 points. The Storm made just 3 of 22 from 3-point range in their first loss at home in four games.

It was a championship themed night in Seattle as Sue Bird walked down the red carpet with the WNBA trophy.

 

[Cnotes53]

SCHEDULE FOR SATURDAY AUGUST 3, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:00 PM Chicago Sky Atlanta Dream McCamish Pavilion
7:00 PM Minnesota Lynx Indiana Fever Bankers Life Fieldhouse
8:00 PM Las Vegas Aces Dallas Wings College Park Center


**************************


WNBA AUGUST'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

08/02/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/01/2019 2-3-1 40.00% -650


Totals...............2-5-1 .......28.57% ....-17.50


*****************************

BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS............. ..UNITS...............O/U..............UNITS...........TOTALS

08/02/2019..............0 - 1...............-5.50.................0 - 1............-5.50..............-11.00
08/01/2019..............2 - 1...............+4.50................0 - 2............-11.00............-6.50

Totals......................2 - 2................-1.00................0 - 3............-16.50.............-17.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

? White Sox 4, Phillies 3 (15)? OF Roman Quinn pitched, took the loss; P Vince Velasquez made a great catch and threw a guy out at the plate from LF.

? Cubs 6, Brewers 2? Javier Baez had three hits, knocked in three runs.

? Washington 3, Arizona 0? Diamondbacks had only one hit.

? Rangers 5, Tigers 4? Detroit lost 34 of its last 41 games.

? Dodgers put P Hyun-Jin Ryu (neck) on the IL.

? 77 players were traded in 30 deals at the trade deadline Wednesday.


**********

Armadillo: Saturday's Den: College football knowledge??..

Numbers/ratings in this list are from Phil Steele?s college football magazine:
13) Top 3 quarterbacks in country:
Trevor Lawrence (Clemson), Tua Tagovailoa (Alabama), Justin Herbert (Oregon)

12) Top three offensive lines in country:
Oregon, Georgia, Clemson

11) Most experienced offensive lines in country:
Oregon, UL-Monroe, UL-Lafayette, Texas Tech

10) Teams who lose lot of close games one year tend to improve the next year; these teams had 4 net close losses last year:

Arkansas, Nebraska, North Carolina, Western Kentucky (2 have new coaches this year)

9) Teams who win lot of close games one year tend to regress the next year; these teams had 4 net close wins last year:

Notre Dame, Ohio State, Texas

8) Michigan State gained 18.3 yards per point LY, 2nd-worst in country, which means their defense/special teams provided very little help to the offense. As a result, Spartans regressed from a 10-3 record in 2017 to 7-6 LY.

Here is how Michigan State fared the last six years:
2013-15: 36-5 W-L, +46 turnover margin
2016-18: 20-18 W-L, -1 turnover margin

7) Then there is Utah State, which gained only 10.46 yards/point LY, best in country, as they jumped from 6-7 to 11-2, and their coach jumped to Texas Tech for more money.

Aggies were +14 in turnovers LY, after being -2 in turnovers from 2015-17.

6) These four teams had the best defensive yards/point in country LY:

Clemson, Fresno State, Kentucky, Mississippi State? Bulldogs have only 9 of 22 starters back this season; other three teams all have only four starters back on defense. Experienced teams tend to get the most out of what they have, then take a step back when new guys step n.

5) These three teams had the worst defensive yards/point in country LY:
Bowling Green, Louisville, Western Michigan

Louisville went 57-21 from 2012-17, then went 2-10 LY and fired the coach; Bowling Green also fired its coach, who was 9-27 the last three years (they were 28-14 from 2013-15).

4) Toughest schedules in country this fall:

South Carolina, Auburn, USC, Texas A&M

3) Since 1991, 353 teams went -10 or worse in turnovers; 67% of them improved the next year, only 23% got worse:

-17: UTEP, UConn
-14: East Carolina, Rutgers
-12: Louisville, UL-Monroe

2) Since 1991, 440 teams went +10 or better in turnovers; only 28% of them improved the next year, 64% got worse:

+22 Georgia Southern
+16 Kansas
+14: UCF, Utah State
+13: Syracuse, Ohio U.

1) Over the last seven seasons, 53 teams were +14 or better in turnovers; 45 of those 53 teams did worse the following season.

Kansas went 3-9 with a +16 turnover ratio, which isn?t easy; they fired the coach and brought in Les Miles, so the Jayhawks will be a fascinating study for the next couple years. Miles will improve their talent base.

 

[Cnotes53]

WNBA

Saturday, August 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chicago Sky
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Minnesota's last 22 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana Fever
Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Indiana is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Indiana is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Indiana is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Indiana is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indiana's last 14 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Las Vegas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games
Las Vegas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games on the road
Las Vegas is 7-13-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Dallas
Las Vegas is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Dallas
Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Las Vegas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Las Vegas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Wings
Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Dallas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 11 games at home
Dallas is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Las Vegas
Dallas is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing at home against Las Vegas

 

[Cnotes53]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, August 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (10 - 10) at INDIANA (7 - 15) - 8/3/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (11 - 9) at ATLANTA (5 - 16) - 8/3/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LAS VEGAS (14 - 7) at DALLAS (6 - 15) - 8/3/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-4 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-2 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


**************************************


WNBA (WOMEN'S PROFESSIONAL)

DUNKEL'S HIGHLIGHTED GAME

Chicago at Atlanta - Saturday August 3, 2019

The Chicago Sky come into today?s contests with a Dunkel road rating of 110.077. Chicago is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 road games. The Atlanta Dream come in with a home rating of 102.676. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last six Saturday games. The Chicago Sky come in with a Dunkel O/U road rating of 151.129. The Sky have gone under in four of their last five games in Atlanta. Dunkel?s Pick: Chicago (-3; Under).


SATURDAY AUGUST 3, 2019
Chicago
@
Atlanta
Game 629-630
August 3, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Chicago
110.077
Atlanta
102.676
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Chicago
by 7 1/2
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Chicago
by 3
154 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago
(-3); Under


Minnesota
@
Indiana
Game 627-628
August 3, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Minnesota
107.311
Indiana
107.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Indiana
Even
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Minnesota
by 2 1/2
153
Dunkel Pick: Indiana
(+2 1/2); Under


Las Vegas
@
Dallas
Game 631-632
August 3, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Las Vegas
115.156
Dallas
105.773
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Las Vegas
by 9 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Las Vegas
by 7
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Las Vegas
(-7); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, AUGUST 3
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIN at IND 07:00 PM
IND +2.5
O 151.5

CHI at ATL 07:00 PM
ATL +4.0
O 155.0

LV at DAL 08:00 PM
DAL +7.0
U 148.5

 

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Saturday, August 3


Chicago @ Atlanta

Game 629-630
August 3, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
110.077
Atlanta
102.676
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 7 1/2
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3
154 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-3); Under

Minnesota @ Indiana

Game 627-628
August 3, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
107.311
Indiana
107.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
Even
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
153
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+2 1/2); Under

Las Vegas @ Dallas

Game 631-632
August 3, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Las Vegas
115.156
Dallas
105.773
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Las Vegas
by 9 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 7
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Las Vegas
(-7); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

Fever pull away to beat Lynx, 86-75
August 3, 2019
By The Associated Press

INDIANAPOLIS (AP) Kelsey Mitchell scored 20 points, Tiffany Mitchell added 17 points and the Indiana Fever pulled away late to beat the Minnesota Lynx 86-75 on Saturday night.

Indiana (8-15) took the lead for good during a 25-5 run to open the third quarter. Kelsey Mitchell capped the rally at 63-53 with a step-back 3-pointer. Twice in the fourth quarter, the Lynx (10-11) cut the deficit to two.

Minnesota had an 18-0 run in the second quarter and led by as much as 20 before going into the break with a 48-38 lead.

Sylvia Fowles had 17 points for Minnesota. The Lynx have lost four in a row.

ACES 75, WINGS 70

ARLINGTON, Texas (AP) - Kayla McBride had 21 points, including five in the final 30 seconds, in Las Vegas' victory over Dallas.

Carolyn Swords added season highs of 13 points and 10 rebounds, and Jackie Young - the No. 1 overall pick in April's draft - had a career-high 17 points and five assists for Las Vegas (15-7).

Arike Ogunbowale led the Wings (6-16) with 24 points.

SKY 87, DREAM 75

ATLANTA (AP) - Diamond DeShields had 12 points, a career-high 12 rebounds and a season-best six assists, Courtney Vandersloot added 13 points and nine rebounds, and Chicago beat Atlanta.

Stefanie Dolson led Chicago (12-9) with 16 points.

Alex Bentley scored 21 points for Atlanta (5-17). The Dream have lost seven in a row.

 

[Cnotes53]

SCHEDULE FOR SUNDAY AUGUST 4, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
3:00 PM Connecticut Sun New York Liberty Westchester County Center
5:00 PM Seattle Storm Los Angeles Sparks Staples Center
6:00 PM Washington Mystics Phoenix Mercury Talking Stick Resort Arena


********************************


WNBA AUGUST'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


08/03/2019 5-1-0 83.33% +19.50
08/02/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/01/2019 2-3-1 40.00% -6.50


Totals...............7-6-1 .......53.84% .....+2.00


*****************************

BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS............. ..UNITS...............O/U..............UNITS...........TOTALS


08/03/2019..............2 - 1..............+4.50.................3 - 0...........+15.00...........+19.50
08/02/2019..............0 - 1...............-5.50.................0 - 1............-5.50..............-11.00
08/01/2019..............2 - 1...............+4.50................0 - 2............-11.00............-6.50

Totals......................4 - 3...............+3.50................3 - 3............-1.50..............+2.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Standings

EASTERN CONFERENCE

Team Win Loss Percent GB Home Away Conf. Last 10 Streak

Connecticut Sun 15 6 0.714 0 11-1 4-5 9-3 6-4 W-6

Washington Mystics 14 6 0.700 0 6-3 8-3 8-2 7-3 W-5

Chicago Sky 11 9 0.550 3 8-3 3-6 6-4 5-5 L-1

New York Liberty 8 12 0.400 6 4-5 4-7 1-6 5-5 L-2

Indiana Fever 7 15 0.318 8 3-8 4-7 4-6 2-8 W-1

Atlanta Dream 5 16 0.238 10 4-7 1-9 2-9 3-7 L-6



WESTERN CONFERENCE

Team Win Loss Percent GB Home Away Conf. Last 10 Streak

Las Vegas Aces 14 7 0.667 0 9-2 5-5 7-4 8-2 L-1

Los Angeles Sparks 12 8 0.600 1 6-2 6-6 5-4 8-2 W-2

Seattle Storm 12 10 0.545 2 8-4 4-6 6-4 5-5 L-2

Minnesota Lynx 10 10 0.500 3 6-5 4-5 4-6 5-5 L-3

Phoenix Mercury 10 10 0.500 3 6-2 4-8 5-5 5-5 L-2

Dallas Wings 6 15 0.286 8 6-5 0-10 3-7 2-8 W-1

Updated Sun Aug 4 12:34 AM EDT

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

? Portland State PG Deante Strickland, 22, died in a shooting Friday afternoon.

? A couple got married in the RF pavilion at Dodger Stadium Saturday afternoon.

? Draymond Green signed a 4-year, $100M extension with Golden State.

? New York 1B Edwin Encarnacion broke his wrist, is on the IL. Colorado Rockies put OF David Dahl (ankle) on the IL.

? Aaron Sanchez threw six no-hit innings in his first start for Houston.

? 2B Eric Sogard homered in his first two AB?s for Tampa Bay. then later in the game they pinch-hit for him; WTF?


**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) White Sox 4, Phillies 3 (15)? This unique game Friday night saw Phillies P Vince Velasquez make a great catch as a left fielder, also throw out a runner at home and damn near throw out a second runner at the plate, all while OF Roman Quinn was pitching for the Phillies.

484 pitches in all, 36 thrown by an outfielder; Phillies starter Zach Eflin also threw 28 pitches in relief in a game that took 5:28 to play. White Sox used nine pitchers in a game with no DH and somehow none of them were starters or outfielders.

12) To make the playoffs in baseball, especially if you?re not a real wealthy team, you need to get contributions from 30-35 players over the course of a 6-month season.

I?m thinking back to the 2012 Oakland A?s, who were 37-42 on July 1st, but went on a run from that point on (57-26) and finished 94-68, winning the AL West. A fun year.

? Brandon Hicks played in only 22 games that year, but hit two walk-off homers.
? Brandon Moss played in only 84 games, but hit 21 homers.
? AJ Griffin made only 15 starts, but was 7-1 with a 1.13 WHIP in those games.
? Evan Scribner pitched only 35 innings, but had two wins and a save.

With no trading allowed after July 31, teams? organizational depth will get a serious test, since the only improvement to the roster will come from within the organization.

11) My opinion on having no trading is August is that it is bad for the sport; baseball needs to stay in the news to compete with the NFL for attention. Speculation can be annoying, but when people are talking about baseball, it is good for the sport as a whole.

If you must have only one trade deadline during the season, I?d prefer August 31 to July 31.

10) They?re going to call a lot of holding penalties in NFL exhibition games, to emphasize whatever rules changes they put in; once the regular games start (and the starters play) the penalty flags will get put away the way they always do.

But it is something to remember if you?re betting on these (meaningless) preseason games.

9) San Diego Padres? lefty P Eric Lauer is 1-0, 2.65 in three starts against the Dodgers this season; he is 5-8, 4.77 in 17 starts vs everyone else. Makes no sense.

8) Will Smith hit a grand slam to beat the Padres Thursday night; when he hit the ball, the relief pitcher on the mound jumped up in the air, happy that Smith had hit an inning-ending fly ball, but he forgot the ball is juiced? it landed over the centerfield fence.

7) Baseball stuff:
? Twins put P Michael Pineda, OF Byron Buxton on the IL.
? Cardinals put OF Tyler O?Neill (wrist) on the IL.

6) Actors in Blue Chips who are still active in basketball, 25 years after the movie came out:
? Penny Hardaway, coach at Memphis
? Rick Pitino, coached pro ball in Greece last year
? Jim Boeheim still coaches Syracuse.
? Allan Houston works for the Knicks.
? Matt Painter, coach at Purdue
? Bobby Hurley, coach at Arizona State

5) 23-year-old Nathan Patterson signed a minor-league contract with the A?s after hit 96 on the radar gun twice and also hit 95 at a speed pitch challenge at a Colorado Rockies? game- he had also done it at a minor league game in Nashville.

Reminds me of the movie The Rookie, the true story of a 35-year old Biology teacher who throws 98 at a tryout and gets signed by Tampa Bay.- lefty Jim Morris pitched for a little while in the majors for the then-Devil Rays.

4) New York 4, Boston 2? This Friday night game was only 2nd MLB game in last 25 years in which there were 6+ runs scored in the first inning, then no runs scored the rest of the game. It also happened on April 29, 2017 (Indians over Mariners, 4-3).

3) John Smoltz is pushing for the Wild Card thing to be best-of-3, instead of a one-game deal. His point is that teams aren?t going all-out at the trading deadline because they don?t want to mortgage their future, just to get into a one-game playoff.

2) Falcons? backup QB Kurt Benkert played well in the Hall of Fame Game, but he suffered what was described as a major toe injury, so Atlanta is bringing in Matt Simms to play behind Matt Schaub and Matt Ryan. Three QB?s, three Matts.

1) NBA scheduled their opening night on same night as Game 1 of the World Series? Could have Dodgers playing the World Series at home, while Lakers-Clippers would be opening their season four miles away.