CNOTES 2020-2021 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

[Cnotes53]

529MINNESOTA -530 CLEVELAND
MINNESOTA is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

529MINNESOTA -530 CLEVELAND
Ryan Saunders is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread (Coach of MINNESOTA)

531LA LAKERS -532 ATLANTA
LA LAKERS are 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

539HOUSTON -540 OKLAHOMA CITY
HOUSTON is 28-11 ATS (15.9 Units) in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing <=12 turnovers/game since 1996.

543MEMPHIS -544 SAN ANTONIO
MEMPHIS are 62-96 ATS (-43.6 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1996.

545PHOENIX -546 DALLAS
PHOENIX is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.


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NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, February 1

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MINNESOTA (5 - 14) at CLEVELAND (9 - 11) - 2/1/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 307-363 ATS (-92.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (15 - 6) at ATLANTA (10 - 9) - 2/1/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (9 - 11) at MIAMI (7 - 12) - 2/1/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (8 - 11) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 11) - 2/1/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (9 - 12) at CHICAGO (7 - 11) - 2/1/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 30-46 ATS (-20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 188-149 ATS (+24.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
CHICAGO is 32-50 ATS (-23.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (9 - 9) at OKLAHOMA CITY (8 - 10) - 2/1/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 57-38 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-6 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (10 - 8) at MILWAUKEE (11 - 8) - 2/1/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 53-35 ATS (+14.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 99-70 ATS (+22.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 296-358 ATS (-97.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (8 - 6) at SAN ANTONIO (11 - 9) - 2/1/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1135-1007 ATS (+27.3 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 579-488 ATS (+42.2 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 231-165 ATS (+49.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 323-262 ATS (+34.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 184-138 ATS (+32.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-5 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (10 - 8) at DALLAS (8 - 12) - 2/1/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 588-504 ATS (+33.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DALLAS is 82-61 ATS (+14.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 8-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (5 - 15) at DENVER (12 - 8) - 2/1/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 44-76 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Hoop Trends for Monday February 1
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Phoenix at Dallas (8:30 p.m. ET)

-- The Mavericks are 11-0 ATS (8.27 ppg) as a dog with less than two days rest after a loss in which they led by double digits.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Denver (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Nuggets are 0-11 ATS (-8.50 ppg) at home coming off a home game in which Nikola Jokic was their high scorer by at least eight points.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Sacramento at New Orleans (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Pelicans are 11-0 OU (15.09 ppg) as a favorite with rest coming off a loss as a home dog.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day (8:05 p.m. ET)
Matchup: New York at Chicago (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Knicks are 0-10 OU (-11.70 ppg) with no rest off a game as a dog in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)


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[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 1
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CHA at MIA 07:30 PM
CHA +6.5
O 217.5

LAL at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL +5.0...107 - 95 LOST
U 218.5....WIN

SAC at NO 08:00 PM
SAC +3.0....118 - 109 WIN
O 233.0...LOST

NY at CHI 08:00 PM
NY +4.0...102 - 110
O 218.5 LOST

POR at MIL 08:00 PM
POR +9.5....106 - 134 LOST
O 236.0

HOU at OKC 08:00 PM
U 223.5

MIN at CLE 08:00 PM
CLE -4.5

PHO at DAL 08:30 PM
PHO +3.0...109 - 108 WIN

MEM at SA 08:30 PM
MEM +3.5

DET at DEN 09:00 PM
DET +8.5
O 217.5 ...PPD



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb. 01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00



January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

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December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday?s 6-pack
? Miami 77, Duke 75? Duke is 7-6, 5-4 in ACC, an underdog to make NCAA?s.
? Loyola 70, Missouri State 50? Ramblers won their last eight games.
? Drake 95, Illinois State 60? Bulldogs are 17-0, 8-0 in the Valley.
? Wofford 67, East Tennessee 62? Terriers take over first place in SoCon.
? Phoenix 109, Dallas 108? Chris Paul scored 34 for the 11-8 Suns.
? Kings 118, Pelicans 109? Sacramento outscored NO 31-15 in 4th quarter.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 442,207
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I think he was quietly pissed when they took Jordan Love a year ago. The one thing I?ll say about Aaron Rodgers, pretty much the last 10 years of his career he?s wanted that team to just go all-in for one year. ?Just give me some pieces, let?s just go all-in, let?s trade a future first if we have to get a couple guys. Let?s just go all-in and try to win this thing.??
Former Green Bay lineman TJ Lang

Tuesday?s quiz
What was the first team to lose two Super Bowls?

Monday?s quiz
Klay Thompson played his college basketball at Washington State.

Sunday?s quiz
When Michael Jordan?s North Carolina team won the NCAA title in 1982, they beat Georgetown in the final. Georgetown won the title two years later.

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Tuesday?s Den: Nobody asked me, but??.

13) Here?s a question to debate with your friends:

If there was a new football league with every player ever playing IN HIS PRIME, and you had the first pick of all the quarterbacks, who would you take?

Elway? Montana? Brady? Marino? Fouts? Peyton Manning?

Its an interesting question. Brady has accomplished the most, in terms of championships/wins in playoff games; does that make him better than all the other quarterbacks?

12) What makes a great quarterback? I?ve discussed/argued about this with several people for years, it is part of what makes sports so much fun.

We watch NFL games every Sunday, and some things are obvious:
? Accuracy
? Mobility
? Arm strength
? Toughness

Here?s the thing; a lot of what makes a quarterback great are things that we, the average fan, cannot see:

? Do his teammates believe in him?
? Is he receptive to coaching?
? Does he make the proper reads?

NFL teams are worth an average of $3B apiece, so this is a $100B business. Teams go about that business in different ways, for better or worse.

11) Over the weekend, an adventurous gambler wagered $4,000 on the Carolina Panthers to win the Super Bowl NEXT YEAR. At 75-1 odds, the gambler will bank $300,000 if he wins, but the casino gets to hold that $4,000 for over a year.

When I saw that betting ticket on Twitter, the conspiracy theorist in me suspected that Deshaun Watson was getting traded to Carolina, that?s the only way the bet makes a lot of sense, because their odds would drop dramatically if they upgraded from Teddy Bridgewater to Watson at QB.

10) Nolan Arenado?s contract has six years and $199M left on it; Colorado is sending St Louis around $50M along with Arenado, who right now can be a free agent after the 2021 season.

Colorado is expected to get five prospects in return; reality of this is that it is a depressing time to be a Rockies? fan. Trust me, I know, being an Oakland A?s fan.

Next rung on the depression ladder will be when Colorado trades SS Trevor Story.

9) CBS is going to have 120 cameras working during the Super Bowl. Lot of cameras.

8) Green Bay Packers fired their special teams coach; now they?ve fired defensive coordinator Mike Pettine, who had been in Green Bay for three years.

7) Jason Witten joins Philip Rivers as NFL players who retired and instantly became a high school football coach. Witten is the new coach at Liberty Christian School in Dallas. He also had offers to become an NFL assistant, but he wants to spend more time with his family.

6) Baylor?s basketball team has eight players who have red-shirted, which means sitting out a year, either because they transferred, were hurt, or just wanted to get bigger/stronger. College athletes have five years to play for; red-shirting is more prevalent in football.

It also means that Baylor?s team is a little older than most of their competitors.

5) More baseball stuff:
? Indians gave OF Eddie Rosario $8M for one year.
? Phillies gave Didi Gregorius $28M for two years.

4) Random question: Can you remember a 26-year old QB who made the playoffs three out of his first five years but still got dumped by his team? I mean, Jared Goff is 42-23 as a starter the last four years and he gets traded, while lesser QB?s on cruddy teams keep their job.

A friend suggested Drew Brees when he moved on from the Chargers to New Orleans, but he was coming off of shoulder surgery; Miami?s team doctor suggested they pass on Brees. Detroit sure as hell hopes this move works out as well as when the Saints acquired Brees.

3) Chad Hall is the Buffalo Bills? WR coach; he played HS ball in the Atlanta area, then went to the Air Force Academy, and later played in 25 NFL games, catching 16 passes, two for TD?s.

When Hall was in high school, one of his school?s rivals had a QB/DB named Sean McVay, who later became a WR at Miami OH and obviously now is the coach of the Rams; the two players became friends, and stayed in contact over the years.

Here?s what makes this relevant; Chad Hall?s sister is??.married to Matthew Stafford.

2) ESPN should be embarrassed about their daytime programming; it isn?t good- they should go back to showing re-runs of the World Series of Poker.

They pay huge money to Mike Greenberg, Stephen A Smith, who get involved in contrived arguments as they spout out their ?hot takes?

Monday morning, Greenberg was babbling something about how, if the Stafford/Goff trade doesn?t work out well for the Rams, fingers will start pointing at Sean McVay.

? Under McVay, Rams have had four winning seasons in a row.
? Last time Rams had four winning seasons in a row: 1983-86, under John Robinson
? Before McVay, Rams hadn?t made the playoffs since 2004.

Some people on TV say stupid stuff for attention. No bueno.

1) Strange times we live in:

A Texas police chief accused of cheating on his wife with two different women, neither of whom knew about the other, quit his job after he was arrested on suspicion of faking a marriage annulment he showed to one of the girlfriends.

Oy.

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 2

Toronto @ Orlando
Raptors (8-12)
? Toronto lost four of its last seven games.
? Raptors are 3-6 SU on road (3-6 ATS)
? Three of last four Toronto games went over the total.

Magic (8-13)
? Orlando lost 11 of its last 13 games (3-10 ATS)
? Magic is 1-4 ATS in last five home games.
? Under is 7-2 in their last nine home games

? Toronto won last nine series games (8-1 ATS)
? Raptors beat Orlando 115-102 in Tampa last nite.
? Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

LA Clippers @ Brooklyn
Clippers (16-5)
? Clippers won 10 of their last 11 games.
? Clippers are 6-2 ATS in last eight road games.
? Over is 7-4 in their last eleven games.

Nets (13-9)
? Brooklyn won eight of its last 11 games.
? Nets won their last five home games SU.
? 15 of last 16 Brooklyn games went over the total.

? Clippers won seven of last nine series games.
? LA is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Brooklyn.
? Six of last seven series games went over.

Memphis @ Indiana
Grizzlies (9-6)
? Memphis won its last seven games (6-0-1 ATS).
? Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS on the road.
? Last three Memphis road games went over the total.

Pacers (11-9)
? Indiana is 3-5 in its last eight games.
? Pacers are 1-5 ATS in last six home games.
? Over is 6-2 in their last eight games overall.

? Pacers won five of last six series games.
? Grizzlies covered once in last four visits to Indiana
? Six of last seven series games went over.

Portland @ Washington
Trailblazers (10-9)
? Portland is 3-4 SU in its last seven games.
? Blazers are 6-3 ATS on road this season.
? Over is 5-1 in Portland?s last six games.
? Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out.

Wizards (4-12)
? Wizards lost six of their last eight games.
? Washington is 2-6 SU at home (3-5 ATS)
? Over is 8-3 in Wizards? last eleven games.

? Portland won/covered last three series games.
? Blazers covered four of last five visits to Washington.
? Six of last nine series games went over.

Detroit @ Utah
Pistons (5-15)
? Detroit lost six of its last eight games.
? Pistons are 1-8 SU/3-5-1 ATS on the road
? Over is 6-3 in Detroit?s last nine games overall.

Jazz (15-5)
? Utah won/covered 10 of its last 11 games.
? Jazz won/covered their last seven home games.
? Over is 4-1-1 in last six Utah games.

? Jazz won last nine series games.
? Pistons are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
? Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Boston @ Golden State
Celtics (10-8)
? Boston lost five of their last seven games.
? Celtics are 1-3 SU/ATS in their last four road games.
? Last three Boston games stayed under the total.

Warriors (11-9)
? Golden State won/covered three of last four games.
? Warriors are 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
? Three of Golden State?s last four home games went over.

? Boston won last three series games.
? Celtics covered four of last five visits to the Bay Area.
? Last nine series games stayed under the total.


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NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 2

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MEMPHIS (9 - 6) at INDIANA (11 - 9) - 2/2/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 183-144 ATS (+24.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 185-138 ATS (+33.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (8 - 12) at ORLANDO (8 - 13) - 2/2/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 9-5 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 11-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (16 - 5) at BROOKLYN (13 - 9) - 2/2/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 51-27 ATS (+21.3 Units) against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 2-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 2-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (5 - 15) at UTAH (15 - 5) - 2/2/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (10 - 8) at GOLDEN STATE (11 - 9) - 2/2/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 60-43 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (10 - 9) at WASHINGTON (4 - 12) - 2/2/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 84-59 ATS (+19.1 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 349-410 ATS (-102.0 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 145-187 ATS (-60.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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549MEMPHIS -550 INDIANA
INDIANA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

551TORONTO -552 ORLANDO
TORONTO is 185-142 ATS (28.8 Units) in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days since 1996.

553LA CLIPPERS -554 BROOKLYN
LA CLIPPERS are 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

555DETROIT -556 UTAH
UTAH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the current season.

557BOSTON -558 GOLDEN STATE
BOSTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

579PORTLAND -580 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 229-282 ATS (-81.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% since 1996.


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Hoop Trends for Tuesday February 2
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Memphis at Indiana (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS (17.45 ppg) when they are off two straight games in which they had twice as many assists as turnovers.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Washington (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Trail Blazers are 0-13-1 ATS (-7.11 ppg) as a road dog off a loss as a road dog in which Damian Lillard was not their high scorer.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Utah (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Pistons are 12-0 OU (11.54 ppg) as a 8+ point dog after being outscored in the paint by double digits last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at Golden State (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Celtics are 0-10-1 OU (-11.09 ppg) off a game as a dog in which Jayson Tatum was their high scorer.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)


*************************

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 2
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TOR at ORL 07:00 PM
ORL +6.0 .....123 - 108
U 214.0....LOST

LAC at BK 07:30 PM
BK +1.5....120- 124 WIN
U 241.5

POR at WAS 08:00 PM
POR +2.5
O 240.5

MEM at IND 08:00 PM
IND -5.0
O 223.5

BOS at GS 10:00 PM
BOS -2.5...111 - 107 WIN
U 226.5....WIN

DET at UTA 10:00 PM
UTA -12.5.... 105 - 117 LOST
O 217.5 ....WIN



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb. 02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS...................7 - 6..........+2.00


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday?s 6-pack
? Baylor 83, Texas 69? Bears are 17-0; all 17 wins are by 8+ points.
? Illinois 75, Indiana 71 OT? Illini was 24-32 on line, Indiana 23-34.
? Ole Miss 52, Tennessee 50? Vols led by 11 in the second half.
? Maryland 61, Purdue 60- Terps scored last six points of the game.
? P Chris Archer signed a 1-year deal with Tampa Bay, his old team.
? Fred VanVleet scored 54 points for Toronto Tuesday, the most points EVER by a player who wasn?t taken in the NBA Draft.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 442,207
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?It?s tough. Golf?s a game of sportsmanship, and it?s tough to put us in the spot to call him out because we weren?t there. But at the end of the day, I think 99% of the golfers out here, if it?s in question one way or the other, they?re going to go the other way, not taking a drop ? that type of deal. So it?s tough to see, it?s sad, kind of pisses us off, but it?s the way it is. Hopefully something changes and come to a conclusion.?
Pro golfer Lanto Griffin, talking about Patrick Reed?s embedded-lie drop on Saturday

Wednesday?s quiz
Green Bay won the first two Super Bowls; what was the next team to win two Super Bowls?

Tuesday?s quiz
Minnesota was the first team to lose two Super Bowls, losing to the Chiefs in SB IV, Miami in Super Bowl VIII.

Monday?s quiz
Klay Thompson played his college basketball at Washington State.

**********************

Wednesday?s Den: My nine favorite Super Bowls, and other Super Bowl trivia

13) Steelers 31, Rams 19:
? Even though they lost, it was first time Rams made it to a Super Bowl.
? Rams led 19-17 after third quarter; they were 10.5-point underdogs.
? This was Pittsburgh?s fourth Super Bowl title in six years.

12) Giants 17, Patriots 14:
? The thought of a New England team going 17-0 was nauseating.
? Subway sandwich chain was recently sued by two people who claim the ?tuna? in Subway?s tuna subs is something other than tuna.
? I used to eat lot of Subway subs, until they hired Bill Belichick to do commercials, then I switched to Jersey Mike?s. Much better subs.

11) Chiefs 23, Vikings 7:
? NFL Films? highlight film of this game made KC coach Hank Stram a household name.
? ?Keep matriculating the ball down the field, boys? NFL Films struck gold miking the coach.
? This was the last game before AFL/NFL merged; Chiefs were a 12-point dog.

10) Raiders 32, Vikings 14:
? Minnesota made the Rams? life miserable in 70?s playoff games, so this was a good result.
? This was my senior year in HS; I played in a CYO basketball league where the games were played in a Jewish Community Center. Go figure.
? We had a game scheduled at same time as the Super Bowl; our refs didn?t show up until after the football game. I sat in a lounge and ate chips/drank soda watching the football game. Needless to say, I was fairly useless during the basketball game.

9) From 1984-96 seasons, the NFC won 13 consecutive Super Bowls.

8) In his nine Super Bowls, Tom Brady?s team has never scored a first quarter TD, or led after the first quarter (0-4-5). He?s won six of the nine games SU.

7) Strange Stat of the Day:
Last 14 Super Bowls, the team with the lesser win %age went 10-4 SU, 13-1 ATS

6) Only twice has the team that lost a Super Bowl won the big game the next season:
? Dallas lost Super Bowl V to the Colts, beat Miami the next year.
? New England lost Super Bowl LII to Philadelphia, won the Super Bowl the next year.

5) Saints 31, Colts 17:
? Saints were in the NFL 21 years before they played a playoff game.
? Someone made a commercial of Saints fans? reactions at home parties when Tracy Porter ran back a pick-6 74 yards to clinch the game for New Orleans. It is a great commercial.

4) Chiefs 31, 49ers 20:
? Whenever the 49ers lose, I?m probably pretty happy.
? I?ve never heard anyone say they dislike Andy Reid, and I know someone who hates Ray Romano. Reid won his first world title in his 21st year as a head coach.
? 49ers led this game 20-10 after third quarter.

3) Eagles 41, Patriots 33:
? Nick Foles is 28-27 as a regular season starter, 4-2 in playoff games.
? He?s played for five teams in nine years, but will always be a Philly legend.
? Foles caught a TD pass on a trick play to give Philly a 22-12 halftime lead.

2) Steelers 27, Cardinals 23:
? Arizona lost, but getting Cardinals here put Kurt Warner in the Hall of Fame.
? Warner threw a 64-yard TD pass to Larry Fitzgerald with 2:37 left to put Arizona ahead.
? Big Ben won it with a 6-yard TD pass to Santonio Holmes with 0:35 left.

1) Rams 23, Titans 16:
? 73-yard TD pass from Warner to Bruce with 1:54 left put Rams ahead.
? Mike Jones tackles a Titans? WR on 1-yard line as time ran out.
? Warner capped off a storybook season, throwing for 414 yards.

 

[Cnotes53]

559INDIANA -560 MILWAUKEE
INDIANA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

561PHILADELPHIA -562 CHARLOTTE
PHILADELPHIA is 26-48 ATS (-26.8 Units) in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the last 3 seasons.

565WASHINGTON -566 MIAMI
MIAMI is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.

567DALLAS -568 ATLANTA
DALLAS are 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.

569HOUSTON -570 OKLAHOMA CITY
HOUSTON is 29-11 ATS (16.9 Units) in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing <=12 turnovers/game since 1996.

571NEW YORK -572 CHICAGO
NEW YORK is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

573MINNESOTA -574 SAN ANTONIO
MINNESOTA is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) off a road loss in the last 3 seasons.

575PHOENIX -576 NEW ORLEANS
PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

577BOSTON -578 SACRAMENTO
SACRAMENTO is 51-29 ATS (19.1 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.


**************************


NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 3

Philadelphia @ Charlotte
76ers (14-6)
? 76ers won eight of their last ten games.
? Sixers are 2-4-1 ATS in last seven road games.
? Over is 3-1 in Philly?s last four road games.

Hornets (9-11)
? Charlotte won/covered its last three games.
? Hornets are 4-3 ATS in their last seven home games.
? Over is 7-2 in Charlotte?s last nine games.

? 76ers won last ten series games (7-3 ATS)
? Philly covered its last four visits to Charlotte.
? Five of last six series games went over.

Indiana @ Milwaukee
Pacers (12-9)
? Indiana is 4-5 in its last nine games.
? Pacers are 5-3 ATS on the road this season.
? Over is 7-2 in their last nine games overall.

Bucks (12-8)
? Milwaukee lost four of last seven games; they?re 3-6 ATS in last nine.
? Bucks are 6-4 ATS as a home favorite this year.
? Four of Milwaukee?s last five games went over total.

? Bucks won/covered five of last six series games.
? Pacers are 0-4 ATS in last four trips to Milwaukee.
? Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Dallas @ Atlanta
Mavericks (8-13)
? Dallas lost its last six games (0-6 ATS).
? Mavericks are 6-3 ATS in last nine road games.
? Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Dallas games.

Hawks (10-10)
? Atlanta won five of its last eight games (6-2 ATS).
? Hawks covered five of their last six home games.
? 13 of Atlanta?s last 16 games stayed under total.

? Home side won last five series games.
? Dallas covered once in last five visits to Atlanta.
? Last four series games stayed under.

LA Clippers @ Cleveland
Clippers (16-6)
? Clippers won 10 of their last 12 games.
? Clippers are 6-3 ATS in last nine road games.
? Over is 8-4 in their last dozen games.

Cavaliers (10-11)
? Cleveland lost four of its last six games (5-4 ATS in last nine).
? Cavaliers covered five of their last six home games.
? Six of Cavaliers? last nine games went over the total.

? Clippers won seven of last eight series games.
? LA is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Cleveland.
? Six of last nine series games stayed under.

Washington @ Miami
Wizards (4-13)
? Wizards lost seven of their last nine games.
? Washington is 0-3 SU/ATS in last three road games.
? Over is 9-3 in Wizards? last dozen games.

Heat (7-13)
? Miami lost six of its last seven games.
? Heat is 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
? Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

? Miami won six of last eight series games.
? Wizards covered their last four visits to South Beach.
? Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Houston @ Oklahoma City
Rockets (10-9)
? Houston won its last six games (5-1 ATS).
? Rockets won/covered their last four road tilts.
? Under is 11-4-1 in their last 16 games

Thunder (8-11)
? Thunder lost seven of last ten games, covered three of last five.
? OKC is 2-6 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

? Houston hammered the Thunder by 30 here Monday.
? Home side won eight of last ten series games.
? Rockets are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma.
? Three of last four series games stayed under.

New York @ Chicago
Knicks (9-13)
? New York lost five of its last six games.
? Knicks are 6-7 ATS on road this season.
? Under is 9-4 in New York?s road games.

Bulls (8-11)
? Chicago lost three of its last four games (1-3 ATS)
? Bulls are 4-5 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

? Knicks lost 110-102 here Monday night.
? New York won four of last six series games.
? Knicks covered once in last four visits to Chicago.
? Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Minnesota @ San Antonio
Timberwolves (5-15)
? Minnesota lost 15 of its last 19 games.
? Wolves are 3-6 ATS on road this season.
? Four of Minnesota?s last six road games went over total.

Spurs (11-10)
? San Antonio won three of its last five games overall.
? Spurs are 6-6 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 3-0 in Spurs? last three games.

? Minnesota won three of last four series games.
? Timberwolves covered once in last four trips to the Alamo.
? Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Phoenix @ New Orleans
Suns (11-8)
? Phoenix won its last three games after a 1-5 skid.
? Suns are 7-3 ATS in last ten road games.
? Under is 8-3 in their road games.

Pelicans (7-12)
? New Orleans lost 10 of its last 13 games.
? Pelicans are 3-6 ATS at home this season.
? 12 of their last 14 games went over the total.

? Suns won four of last five series games; three of the five games went OT.
? Phoenix is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Bourbon Street.
? Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Boston @ Sacramento
Celtics (11-8)
? Boston lost five of their last eight games.
? Celtics are 2-3 SU/ATS in their last five road games.
? Last four Boston games stayed under the total.

Kings (8-11)
? Sacramento won four of last five games (5-0 ATS)
? Kings are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
? Nine of their last 14 games went over.

? Boston won eight of last ten series games.
? Celtics are 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Cleveland.
? Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.


*****************************


NBA

Wednesday, February 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ Charlotte
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games

Indiana @ Milwaukee
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Indiana
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Indiana

Dallas @ Atlanta
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

LA Clippers @ Cleveland
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
LA Clippers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Washington @ Miami
Washington
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 12 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Miami's last 12 games when playing at home against Washington

New York @ Chicago
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of New York's last 19 games
Chicago
Chicago is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against New York
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York

Houston @ Oklahoma City
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

Minnesota @ San Antonio
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Minnesota
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Phoenix @ New Orleans
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games at home

Boston @ Sacramento
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games


-------------------------------------


NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (12 - 9) at MILWAUKEE (12 - 8) - 2/3/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 29-9 ATS (+19.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (15 - 6) at CHARLOTTE (10 - 11) - 2/3/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (16 - 6) at CLEVELAND (10 - 11) - 2/3/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 307-364 ATS (-93.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (4 - 13) at MIAMI (7 - 13) - 2/3/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games after allowing 130 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 22-45 ATS (-27.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (8 - 13) at ATLANTA (10 - 10) - 2/3/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 192-151 ATS (+25.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
DALLAS is 82-62 ATS (+13.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (10 - 9) at OKLAHOMA CITY (8 - 11) - 2/3/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 57-39 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-7 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (9 - 13) at CHICAGO (8 - 11) - 2/3/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 33-50 ATS (-22.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (5 - 15) at SAN ANTONIO (11 - 10) - 2/3/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 32-50 ATS (-23.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-45 ATS (-26.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 127-163 ATS (-52.3 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1135-1008 ATS (+26.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 579-489 ATS (+41.1 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 101-68 ATS (+26.2 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 58-27 ATS (+28.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 231-166 ATS (+48.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 91-64 ATS (+20.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 456-382 ATS (+35.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (11 - 8) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 12) - 2/3/2021, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (11 - 8) at SACRAMENTO (9 - 11) - 2/3/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 61-43 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 50-37 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 66-98 ATS (-41.8 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-0 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

-----------------------------------------


Hoop Trends for Wednesday February 3
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at San Antonio (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 11-0 ATS (6.59 ppg) after they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Clippers at Cleveland (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Cavaliers are 0-12 ATS (-11.58 ppg) off a game as a favorite where they allowed 50-plus points in the paint.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Indiana at Milwaukee (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Bucks are 11-0 OU (17.41 ppg) off a home game where Khris Middleton made more three pointers than two pointers.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Washington at MIami (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Heat are 0-13-1 OU (-9.57 ppg) at home after their opponent shot 48.5% or better from beyond the arc last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)


**************************

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 3
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

IND at MIL 07:00 PM
IND +8.5.....110 - 130...LOST
O 233.0.....WIN

PHI at CHA 07:00 PM
PHI -7.0
U 224.0

DAL at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL +1.5...122 - 116....LOST
U 223.5....LOST

WAS at MIA 08:00 PM
MIA -9.5.....103 - 100...LOST
O 227.5

LAC at CLE 08:00 PM
LAC -8.0...121 - 89
O 219.0....LOST

NY at CHI 08:00 PM
NY +2.0...107 - 103
O 217.0....LOST

HOU at OKC 08:00 PM
HOU -7.0
U 222.0

MIN at SA 08:30 PM
MIN +8.0...108 - 111..WIN
O 223.5

PHO at NO 09:30 PM
PHO -3.5...101 - 123...LOST
O 222.5

BOS at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC +1.5....111 - 116 WIN
U 226.0




NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb. 03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb. 02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS..................10 - 13.........-21.50


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the Waste Management Phoenix Open:
+675? Jon Rahm
+900? Justin Thomas
+1050? Rory McIlroy
+1200? Xander Schauffele
+1500? Webb Simpson
+2000? Daniel Berger

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 450,680
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?You get paid a ton of money to do a certain job, and just do it, and let the chips fall where they may. I think we make too much money to voice an opinion, but I?m not saying he?s wrong. Again, I think it?s a different day and time, and it?ll be interesting to see how the organization handles it.? Brett Favre, talking about Deshaun Watson?s situation

Thursday?s quiz
Who are the only two coaches to win a Super Bowl and a Rose Bowl?

Wednesday?s quiz
Green Bay won the first two Super Bowls; Miami Dolphins were the next team to win two Super Bowls, winning Super Bowls VII, VIII.

Tuesday?s quiz
Minnesota was the first team to lose two Super Bowls, losing to the Chiefs in SB IV, Miami in Super Bowl VIII.

*****************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.

13) One of the best comebacks in NBA history happened Sunday; with 0:12.3 left, Washington trailed the Brooklyn Nets 146-141. Wizards then scored 8 points in the last 0:10 to pull out a highly unlikely 149-146 win. They hit two 3-pointers in a span of 4.3 seconds, then sealed the win with a couple of foul shots.

Over the last 25 years, there have been 23,507 NBA games where a team trailed by 5+ points in the last 0:10 of a game. Only nine (9!!!) of those 23,507 teams won.

12) There was a really bad beat in college ball Saturday, when LSU (+3) led Texas Tech 71-64 at home with 1:06 left in their game. The game ended in regulation, but Tech outscored LSU 12-0 over the final 1:06 and not only won the game, they covered.

11) 2019-20 was the first basketball season when NBA teams took a higher percentage of their shots behind the arc than college teams did.

10) People who who basketball stats should have a new category, a refined-assist stat, where an assist on a 3-pointer counts as 1.5 assists, a pass that leads to a made free throw counts as half an assist for each foul shot made.

It could compiled as ?points assisted on?, would be more accurate than the current assist stat.

9) Baseball stuff:
? Minnesota Twins signed DH Nelson Cruz for one year, $13M

8) Los Angeles Angels have suspended pitching coach Mickey Callaway, in wake of five female reporters saying he sent them inappropriate pictures and unprompted texts over a span of at least five years. Oy.

7) An adventurous human wagered $520K to win $433K on the Chiefs (-3, -$120) in Sunday?s Super Bowl. Yikes.

6) There were some pretty big upsets Wednesday:
? East Carolina (+16) 82, Houston 73
? Georgetown (+14) 86, Creighton 79
? LaSalle (+11) 82, Saint Louis 75
? St John?s (+9) 70, Villanova 59
? South Carolina (+8.5) 76, Florida 70
? VMI (+8) 84, Wofford 80 OT

5) I?d like to watch the Caribbean baseball series on TV/Internet, but the games are only being shown on ESPN Deportes, and that isn?t included in my ESPN+ account. Not really interested in paying extra for a station where they don?t speak English, so no Caribbean Series for me.

4) TCU 81, Oklahoma State 78:
? Horned Frogs beat OSU twice this season, by 1-3 points.

3) Most new starting QB?s in one NFL season:
16? 1999
2021 is going to be close to that number.

2) Salary cap hits for 2021:
? Detroit Lions: Jared Goff $21M, Matthew Stafford $19M
? Los Angeles Rams: Goff $22M, Stafford $20M

1) RIP to the great actor Hal Holbrook, who passed away this week at age 95. Mr Holbrook has 135 acting credits on IMDB.com, last working on an episode of Hawaii Five-O in 2017. He had a distinctive voice and often played politicians in his movie roles.

RIP, sir.

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 4
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

GS at DAL 07:30 PM
GS +2.5...147 - 116 ...WIN
O 228.5

UTA at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL +7.5.....112 - 91...LOST
O 227.0

POR at PHI 08:00 PM
POR +8.5...121 - 105....WIN
O 226.0....PUSH

HOU at MEM 09:00 PM
HOU +3.0....115 - 103....WIN
O 224.5

DEN at LAL 10:00 PM
LAL -5.0....93 - 114....WIN
O 216.5....LOST



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb. 04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb. 02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS..................14 - 15.........-12.50


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday?s 6-pack
? Ohio State 89, Iowa 85? Buckeyes were down 10 in second half.
? Cincinnati 63, Temple 60? This was Bearcats? first game in 25 days.
? Gonzaga 76, Pacific 58? Zags were trailing in second half.
? Colorado State 74, Wyoming 72? Rams are 10-3 in Mountain West.
? Morehead State 66, Murray State 56? Morehead won its last ten games.
? Rutgers 76, Minnesota 72? Scarlet Knights have won four in a row.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 454,272
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?If I?m gonna be brutally honest I think it?s stupid. If we have to wear masks and do all this for a regular game, what?s the point of bringing the All-Star Game back? But obviously money makes the world go ?round, so it is what it is??..You know you get fined? If you?re supposed to be in it and you?re not hurt and you decide not to play, that?s a hefty fine. So hell yeah I would play in it. Hope I don?t get fined for saying that.?
De?Aaron Fox

Friday?s quiz
What was the last college basketball team to repeat as national champs?

Thursday?s quiz
Dick Vermeil and Pete Carroll are the only two coaches to win a Super Bowl and a Rose Bowl.

Wednesday?s quiz
Green Bay won the first two Super Bowls; Miami Dolphins were the next team to win two Super Bowls, winning Super Bowls VII, VIII.

*****************************************

Friday?s Den: A small sampling of Super Bowl prop bets

You can bet on almost anything in Sunday?s Super Bowl. Here are interesting prop bets (this is just a small sample? the entire menu of bets is a 40-page document)

13) As I type this, Chiefs are a 3-point favorite, with a total of 56.

Chiefs, over/under 29.5 points

Bucs, over/under 26.5 points

12) Over/under passing yards for Patrick Mahomes: 331.5

Over/under passing yards for Tom Brady: 306.5

11) Will the game be tied at any point, after 0-0?
Yes -$200, No -$240

10) Will there be a lead change in 4th quarter?
Yes +$110 No -$130

9) Receptions by Mike Evans: over/under 4.5

8) Longest reception for Tyreek Hill: over/under 27.5

7) Teams that will have the longest touchdown play:
Chiefs -$150, Buccaneers +$130

6) Will either team score three straight times?
Yes -$210, No -$180

5) Will either team score in first 6:30 of the game?
Yes -$155, No +$135

Will either team score in final 3:30 of the game?
Yes -$170, No +$150

4) Will Tom Brady throw an interception?
Yes -$140, No +$120

3) Longest touchdown play of the game: 46.5 yards

Shortest touchdown play of the game: 1.5 yards
Over +$150, Under -$170

2) Total yardage of all made field goals in game: 112.5 yards

1) Longest made field goal in game: 46.5 yards

 

[Cnotes53]

511CHICAGO -512 ORLANDO
ORLANDO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

515NEW ORLEANS -516 INDIANA
NEW ORLEANS are 6-27 ATS (-23.7 Units) in road games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog since 1996.

517MILWAUKEE -518 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game in the last 3 seasons.

523WASHINGTON -524 MIAMI
MIAMI is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.

525DETROIT -526 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.

527BOSTON -528 LA CLIPPERS
BOSTON is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


***********************

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 5

New Orleans @ Indiana
Pelicans (8-12)
? New Orleans lost 10 of its last 14 games.
? Pelicans are 2-5 ATS as a road underdog.
? Over is 12-2-1 in their last 15 games.

Pacers (12-10)
? Indiana is 4-6 in its last ten games.
? Pacers are 5-5 ATS as a home favorite.
? Over is 8-2 in their last ten games overall.

? Teams split last ten series games.
? Pelicans covered four of last five visits to Indiana.
? Last four series games went over the total.

Chicago @ Orlando
Bulls (8-12)
? Chicago lost four of its last five games (1-4 ATS)
? Bulls are 8-2 ATS on the road this season.
? Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Magic (8-14)
? Orlando lost 12 of its last 14 games (3-11 ATS)
? Magic is 1-5 ATS in last six home games.
? Under is 7-3 in their last ten home games

? Chicago won seven of last ten series games.
? Bulls are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Orlando.
? Under is 9-1 in last ten series games.

Toronto @ Brooklyn
Raptors (9-12)
? Toronto won/covered their last three games.
? Raptors are 4-6 SU on road (4-6 ATS)
? Four of last five Toronto games went over the total.

Nets (14-9)
? Brooklyn won nine of its last 12 games.
? Nets won their last six home games SU.
? 16 of last 17 Brooklyn games went over the total.

? Toronto won nine of last ten series games.
? Raptors covered two of last three visits to Brooklyn.
? Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Milwaukee @ Cleveland
Bucks (13-8)
? Milwaukee won four of its last six games.
? Bucks are 3-7 ATS as a road favorite this year.
? Five of Milwaukee?s last six games went over total.

Cavaliers (10-12)
? Cleveland lost five of its last seven games.
? Cavaliers covered five of their last seven home games.
? Seven of Cavaliers? last ten games went over the total.

? Milwaukee won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
? Bucks covered once in last four visits to Ohio.
? Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Utah @ Charlotte
Jazz (17-5)
? Utah won 12 of its last 13 games (11-1-1 ATS).
? Jazz won/covered five of their last six road games.
? Under is 3-1 in last four Utah games.

Hornets (10-12)
? Charlotte won/covered three of its last four games.
? Hornets are 4-3-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
? Over is 8-2 in Charlotte?s last ten games.

? Jazz won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
? Utah is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Charlotte.
? Four of last six series games stayed under.

Washington @ Miami
Wizards (5-13)
? Wizards lost seven of their last ten games.
? Washington is 1-3 SU/ATS in last four road games.
? Over is 9-4 in Wizards? last dozen games.

Heat (7-14)
? Miami lost seven of its last eight games.
? Heat is 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
? Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

? Wizards won 103-100 here Wednesday.
? Heat won six of last eight series games.
? Washington covered its last five visits to South Beach.
? Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Minnesota @ Oklahoma City
Timberwolves (5-16)
? Minnesota lost 10 of its last 12 games.
? Wolves are 3-6 ATS on the road this season.
? Last five Minnesota games stayed under the total.
? Karl-Anthony Towns (COVID) is still out.

Thunder (9-11)
? Thunder won three of last five games, covered four of last six.
? OKC is 3-6 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games.

? Thunder won last four series games, covered last three.
? Minnesota covered three of last four visits to Oklahoma.
? Eight of last ten series games went over the total.

Detroit @ Phoenix
Pistons (5-16)
? Detroit lost seven of its last nine games.
? Pistons are 1-9 SU/3-5-2 ATS on the road
? Over is 7-3 in Detroit?s last ten games overall.

Suns (11-9)
? Phoenix won three of its last four games.
? Suns are 2-4 ATS in last six home games.
? Over is 4-2 in their last six home games.

? Detroit won/covered last eight series games.
? Pistons covered three of last four trips to the desert.
_ Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Boston @ LA Clippers
Celtics (11-9)
? Boston lost six of its last nine games.
? Celtics are 2-4 SU/ATS in their last six road games.
? Four of last five Boston games stayed under the total.

Clippers (17-6)
? Clippers won 11 of their last 13 games.
? Clippers are 4-6 ATS as a home favorite.
? Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

? Clippers won four of last five series games; last two went OT.
? Celtics are 2-3 ATS in last five series games played here.
? Five of last six series games went over.


*************************


NBA

Friday, February 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New Orleans @ Indiana
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games

Chicago @ Orlando
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Chicago's last 16 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Orlando's last 16 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago

Toronto @ Brooklyn
Toronto
Toronto is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games when playing Brooklyn
Toronto is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Brooklyn's last 17 games

Milwaukee @ Cleveland
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Utah @ Charlotte
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Utah is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home

Washington @ Miami
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Miami's last 13 games when playing at home against Washington
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington

Minnesota @ Oklahoma City
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Minnesota

Detroit @ Phoenix
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Phoenix is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home

Boston @ LA Clippers
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Clippers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Boston


-------------------------------------------------------------


NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, February 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (8 - 12) at ORLANDO (8 - 14) - 2/5/2021, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 71-98 ATS (-36.8 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
ORLANDO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (17 - 5) at CHARLOTTE (10 - 12) - 2/5/2021, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 202-252 ATS (-75.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 69-96 ATS (-36.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (8 - 12) at INDIANA (12 - 10) - 2/5/2021, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 53-81 ATS (-36.1 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
INDIANA is 184-144 ATS (+25.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (13 - 8) at CLEVELAND (10 - 12) - 2/5/2021, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 30-9 ATS (+20.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 307-365 ATS (-94.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 232-280 ATS (-76.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 7-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (9 - 12) at BROOKLYN (14 - 9) - 2/5/2021, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (5 - 16) at OKLAHOMA CITY (9 - 11) - 2/5/2021, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 33-50 ATS (-22.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 58-39 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 68-43 ATS (+20.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (5 - 13) at MIAMI (7 - 14) - 2/5/2021, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 145-188 ATS (-61.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-45 ATS (-26.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (5 - 16) at PHOENIX (11 - 9) - 2/5/2021, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 54-83 ATS (-37.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-0 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (11 - 9) at LA CLIPPERS (17 - 6) - 2/5/2021, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 79-54 ATS (+19.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 61-44 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Hoop Trends for Friday February 5
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at Charlotte (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Jazz are 12-0 ATS (9.88 ppg) as a favorite coming off a win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: New Orleans at Indiana (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Pelicans are 0-16 ATS (-9.12 ppg) as a road dog with rest off a 10+ point win as a dog.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago at Orlando (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Bulls are 12-0-1 OU (7.35 ppg) on the road with less than two days rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Oklahoma City (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Thunder are 0-11 OU (-10.45 ppg) off a game as a dog in which they had more turnovers than assists.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 5
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NO at IND 07:00 PM
NO +1.0....114 - 113...WIN
O 228.5....LOST

CHI at ORL 07:00 PM
ORL +2.0....119 -123.....WIN
U 223.5

TOR at BK 07:30 PM
TOR +5.5

MIL at CLE 07:30 PM
MIL -10.5....123 - 105
U 226.0.....WIN

MIN at OKC 08:00 PM
O 220.0

WAS at MIA 08:00 PM
WAS +6.5...95 - 122....LOST
O 230.5....LOST

UTA at CHA 08:00 PM
UTA -8.5...138 - 121....WIN
O 223.5

DET at PHO 09:00 PM
DET +7.5...92 - 109....LOST
O 214.0....LOST

BOS at LAC 10:00 PM
LAC -6.5....119 - 115......LOST
O 220.0....WIN



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb. 05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb. 04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb. 02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS..................19 - 21.........-20.50


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday?s 6-pack
? Old Dominion 82, Marshall 81? Marshall led by 21 with 17:14 left in game.
? Penn State 55, Maryland 50? Teams shot a combined 8-40 on the arc.
? Cleveland State 80, Oakland 72? Vikings are 13-2 in Horizon League.
? Nevada 74, Boise State 72? Boise lost despite making 11-25 on arc.
? South Dakota 64, South Dakota State 56? Coyotes are 9-0 in Summit League.
? Cal-Irvine 70, Cal-Bakersfield 53? Anteaters stay atop the Big West.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 456,295
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?We are sort of splitting hairs here a little bit, but I would [take Wilson over Lawrence] as a matter of fact??..I think Zach, obviously, I just love the way he throws the football. It is hard to teach. We have seen people learn to perfect it a little bit. He has all the skills; he has a live arm, he has a strong arm, he can put touch on it, he can gun it. He is 6?3″, he is not a small guy. He moves around with great athleticism. I think, to me, watching him play quarterback, he looks really ready.?
Joe Theismann

Saturday?s quiz
Who was the Patriots? starting quarterback before Tom Brady?

Friday?s quiz
Florida (2007-08) was the last college basketball team to repeat as national champs.

Thursday?s quiz
Dick Vermeil and Pete Carroll are the only two coaches to win a Super Bowl and a Rose Bowl.

**************************

Saturday?s Den: Random stuff with weekend here??.

13) Dodgers gave P Trevor Bauer a 3-year, $102M contract; Bauer has a $17M option on Year 3 of the contract, so it is really a 2-year, $85M deal, unless Bauer struggles badly and then doesn?t opt out after the second year. If he pitches well for two years, he?ll definitely opt out so he can make a lot more than $17M in 2023.

12) Some random observations from the contract:
? An agent?s take is generally 3%, so that is a minimum of $3,060,000 for the agent.

Two years ago, no MLB pitcher started more than 34 games. Assuming Bauer starts 34 games in each of the next two seasons, for which he will be paid $85M, that means he earns:
? $1,250,000 per start
? If he averages 6.2 innings per start (his average from 2018-20), that is $187,490.643 per inning, $62,496.88 per out.

Not bad for a guy with a 75-64 career record.

11) Braves signed OF Marcell Ozuna to a 4-year, $65M deal; Ozuna knocked in 56 runs in 60 games LY, his first year as a Brave.

10) These two contracts come on the heels of the news that the average major league salary went down last year, for the third year in a row.

9) Speaking of salaries, Clemson?s offensive coordinator now makes $2M a year, making him the third college coordinator to earn $2M+ a year. Not a bad gig for an assistant coach.

8) Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence, widely expected to be the #1 pick in the NFL Draft, is going to have surgery on his left (non-throwing) shoulder. Lawrence will throw for NFL scouts next Friday instead of on Clemson?s Pro Day, so he can have the operation and his shoulder will have more time to heal.

7) When Duke-North Carolina play tonight, it?ll be the first time since 1960 that the rivals have met, with neither team ranked in the top 25.

6) When he was a GM, Theo Epstein won World Series titles with the Red Sox and Cubs; he?ll probably be in the Hall of Fame someday, but even the great ones make mistakes now and then.

December 8, 2011, Epstein made this trade with Colorado:
? Rockies got DJ LeMahieu, Tyler Colvin
? Cubs got Ian Stewart, Casey Weathers

Not his finest moment, but he also got Anthony Rizzo for Andrew Cashner. Obviously, he?s done a lot more good than bad.

5) Didn?t take long for a Matthew Stafford 2021 betting prop to show up online:

? Over 28.5 TD passes (-$125)
? Under 28.5 TD passes (+$105)

4) Thru two rounds of this week?s PGA tournament in Phoenix, Xander Schauffele leads by a stroke; since the beginning of the 2017-18 season, this is the 26th time Schauffele has been in the top-10 through 36 holes, most of any player during that time.

3) In 54 Super Bowls, there have been 15 pick-6?s, where a team runs an INT back for a TD. The only team to score a pick-6 in a Super Bowl and lose? Atlanta Falcons four years ago.

2) Sounds like the NBA is going to have an All-Star Game on March 7, even though not all of the league?s stars are on board with that idea.

Sunday after that is Selection Sunday for the NCAA Tournament, March should be a fun month.

1) Over the last 25 years, Super Bowl teams who were #3 or lower seed in their conference are 8-3 SU, 11-0 ATS. Tampa Bay was the #5-seed in the NFC this year.

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 6
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

POR at NY 01:00 PM
NY -1.0.....99 - 110.....WON
U 214.5

DEN at SAC 05:00 PM
SAC +3.5.....114 - 114....WON

CHI at ORL 07:00 PM
CHI -2.5...118 - 92
O 224.5.....LOST

MIL at CLE 08:00 PM
CLE +10.5
O 228.0

SA at HOU 08:00 PM
HOU +1.0.....111 - 106....LOST
O 224.....LOST

BK at PHI 08:00 PM
PHI -4.0
U 237.5

MIN at OKC 08:00 PM
OKC -1.0
U 219.0

TOR at ATL 08:00 PM
ATL +4.5.....121 - 132.....WON
O 222.5.....WON

GS at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -4.0.....132 - 134.....LOST
O 231.5.....WON

MEM at NO 09:00 PM
MEM +1.5.....109 - 118.....LOST
O 227.0

DET at LAL 10:00 PM
DET +14.0....129 - 135.....WON
O 213.0.....WON



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb. 06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb. 05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb. 04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb. 02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS..................26 - 26........-13.00


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday?s 6-pack
? Mavs 134, Warriors 132? Doncic had 42 points, Steph Curry scored 57.
? Kings 119, Nuggets 114? Nikola Jokic had 50 points, 12 assists in losing cause.
? 76ers 124, Nets 108? Durant, Irving didn?t play in this game.
? Hawks 132, Raptors 121? Atlanta made 19-36 3-pointers.
? Portland Pilots of the WCC fired hoop coach Kevin Porter.
? A?s traded DH Khris Davis to Texas, for SS Elvis Andrus.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 460,311
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I don?t understand the whole thing where he (Durant) couldn?t play, then he came on the court, then they took him back. There?s just a lot going on. There?s too much going on. It?s kind of overwhelming. We?re in the midst of a tough game, and these games are going to add up, especially if we?re talking about playoff seeding ? to catch a rhythm. It?s overwhelming. It?s frustrating.?
James Harden

Sunday?s quiz
Who did Tampa Bay beat in the previous Super Bowl appearance?

Saturday?s quiz
Drew Bledsoe was the Patriots? starting quarterback before Tom Brady.

Friday?s quiz
Florida (2007-08) was the last college basketball team to repeat as national champs.

****************************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping up a college hoop Saturday

13) Missouri 68, Alabama 65:
? This was Crimson Tide?s first loss in 11 SEC games.
? Mizzou led 58-36 with 13:05 left; Alabama had a layup blocked when they were down by a point in the last few seconds.
? Alabama?s 12-21 shooting on foul line didn?t help.

12) West Virginia 91, Kansas 79:
? Kansas has lost five in a row on road, for first time since 1983.
? Jayhawks are out of top 20 for first time since 2009.
? Kansas lost five of last seven games overall.
? West Virginia made 11-21 3-pointers; they?ve won 4 of last 5 games.

11) Tennessee 82, Kentucky 71:
? Wildcats lost three in row, 6 of last 7 games; they?re 5-12 overall.
? Vols outscored Kentucky 48-29 in second half.

10) Colorado 82, Arizona 79:
? Buffaloes jumped out to a 19-2 lead.
? Colorado made 11-20 3-pointers.
? Arizona lost three of its last four games.

9) Oklahoma State 75, Texas 67, 2OT:
? Longhorns lost four of last five games; they were 5-35 on the arc.
? Texas was 0-12 from the floor in the two overtimes.
? Longhorns are 0-3 since their 10-day COVID pause.
? Oklahoma State star Cunningham was 5-22 from the floor.

8) Drake 80, Valparaiso 77:
? Drake is the quietest 18-0 team ever; they?ve played schedule #260.
? Crusaders won despite trailing by 10 at the half.
? Drake has trailed by double digits in four of its last ten games.
? Drake plays Loyola twice next week, battle of MVC kingpins.

7) Upsets of the Day:
? Ball State (+8.5) 81, Toledo 67
? UMass (+80 75, Rhode Island 63
? Wofford (+6) 75, Furman 67
? Chattanooga (+5.5) 67, East Tennessee State 65
? Fordham (+5.5) 76, LaSalle 68
? UCF (+5) 65, Tulsa 58

6) Wofford 75, Furman 67:
? Wofford snaps Paladins? 19-game home win streak.
? Furman was 12-40 on arc, 14-24 inside arc, 3-6 on foul line.
? Wofford was down 9 with 10:51 left; they made 10-25 on the arc.

5) North Carolina 91, Duke 87:
? Blue Devils lost five of last seven games, are 3-6 vs top 100 teams.
? North Carolina made 10 of its 15 3-point shots, scored 1.20 ppp.
? Tar Heels won seven of their last nine games.

4) Virginia Tech 80, Miami 76 OT:
? Miami hit a 3-pointer with 0:02.1 left to take the lead.
? Hokies hit a 3-pointer at the buzzer to force overtime.
? Va Tech is 14-4, 8-3 in ACC:
? Miami?s five starters all played 38+ minutes.

3) Ole Miss 86, Auburn 84, OT:
? Auburn led by 14 with 16:43 left in game.
? Auburn lost its last three games, giving up 87 ppg.
? Devontae Shuler stuck an 18-foot jumper at buzzer for the win.

2) Clemson 78, Syracuse 61:
? Syracuse lost last four road games, giving up 84 ppg.
? Orangemen are worst defensive rebounding team in the ACC.
? Clemson won three of last four games, is 6-5 in ACC.

1) USC 66, UCLA 48:
? LA rivals are now tied for first in the Pac-12.
? UCLA shot 3-19 on arc, 3-8 on foul line.

 

[Cnotes53]

551UTAH -552 INDIANA
UTAH is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the current season.

555MIAMI -556 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

557BOSTON -558 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.

581WASHINGTON -582 CHARLOTTE
WASHINGTON is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, February 7

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (18 - 5) at INDIANA (12 - 11) - 2/7/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 184-145 ATS (+24.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
UTAH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
UTAH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (8 - 14) at NEW YORK (11 - 13) - 2/7/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (12 - 9) at PHOENIX (12 - 9) - 2/7/2021, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 62-44 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (11 - 11) at LA CLIPPERS (17 - 7) - 2/7/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 7-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (5 - 14) at CHARLOTTE (10 - 13) - 2/7/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 349-411 ATS (-103.1 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-46 ATS (-27.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 69-97 ATS (-37.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 7

Utah @ Indiana
Jazz (18-5)
? Utah won three in row, 13 of its last 14 games (12-1-1 ATS).
? Jazz won/covered six of their last seven road games.
? Under is 4-2 in Utah?s last six road games.

Pacers (12-11)
? Indiana is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
? Pacers are 2-6 ATS in last eight home games.
? Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games overall.

? Indiana won five of last seven series games.
? Jazz is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Indiana.
? Six of last nine series games went over.

Miami @ New York
Heat (8-14)
? Miami lost seven of its last nine games.
? Heat is 3-6 ATS in its road games.
? Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Knicks (11-13)
? New York won three of its last five games.
? Knicks are 3-4 ATS in last seven home games.
? Under is 5-1 in New York?s last six games.

? Miami won/covered four of last five series games.
? Heat is 2-3 ATS in its last five visits to Manhattan.
? Under is 3-2 in last five series games played here.

Washington @ Charlotte
Wizards (5-14)
? Wizards lost eight of their last 11 games.
? Washington is 1-4 SU/ATS in last five road games.
? Over is 9-5 in Wizards? last 14 games.

Hornets (10-13)
? Charlotte is 3-4 SU in its last seven games.
? Hornets are 2-4-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
? Over is 9-2 in Charlotte?s last 11 games.

? Hornets won four of last six series games.
? Wizards covered once in last four visits to Charlotte.
? Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Boston @ Phoenix
Celtics (12-9)
? Boston lost six of its last ten games.
? Celtics are 3-4 SU/ATS in their last seven road games.
? Four of last six Boston games stayed under the total.

Suns (12-9)
? Phoenix won four of its last five games.
? Suns are 3-4 ATS in last seven home games.
? Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

? Boston won seven of last ten series games.
? Celtics covered once in last five visits to Phoenix.
? Under is 4-1 in last five series games played here.

Sacramento @ LA Clippers
Kings (11-11)
? Sacramento won six of last seven games (7-0 ATS)
? Kings are 6-3 ATS in their road games this year
? Over is 10-5 in their last fifteen games.

Clippers (17-7)
? Clippers won 11 of their last 14 games.
? Clippers are 4-7 ATS as a home favorite.
? Over is 5-1 in their last six games.

? Clippers won eight of last ten series games.
? Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in last six series games played here.
? Four of last six series games stayed under.




NBA

Sunday, February 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Utah @ Indiana
Utah
Utah is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
Utah is 13-1-1 ATS in its last 15 games
Indiana
Indiana is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games at home

Miami @ New York
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Miami's last 19 games when playing on the road against New York
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of New York's last 19 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games

Washington @ Charlotte
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games

Boston @ Phoenix
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Sacramento @ LA Clippers
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Sacramento
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


---------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

Hoop Trends for Sunday February 7
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at Indiana (1:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Jazz are 13-0 ATS (9.77 ppg) as a favorite coming off a win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at Phoenix (2:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 0-11-1 ATS (-10.96 ppg) off a home game in which they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at Indiana (1:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Jazz are 12-0 OU (17.58 ppg) on the road after a game as a road favorite in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at Phoenix (2:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Celtics are 0-11-1 OU (-10.71 ppg) off a game as a dog in which Jayson Tatum was their high scorer.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)


**************************

**********************

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 7
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

WAS at CHA 01:00 PM
CHA +1.0.....97 - 119....WIN
U 238.5

UTA at IND 01:00 PM
IND +5.5....103 - 95...LOST
U 225.0.....WIN

MIA at NY 01:00 PM
NY +6.0....109 - 103.....
O 206.5.....WIN

BOS at PHO 02:00 PM
PHO -2.5....91 - 100....WIN
U 216.0....WIN

SAC at LAC 03:00 PM
SAC +8.5....113 - 110....WIN
O 228.0......LOST




NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb. 07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb. 06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb. 05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb. 04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb. 02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS..................32 - 28........+ 6.00


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday?s 6-pack
? Indiana 67, Iowa 65? Hawkeyes lost four of last five games.
? Valparaiso 74, Drake 57? Drake (18-1) loses for first time this year.
? Cincinnati 64, Temple 61? Bearcats outscored Owls 21-11 over final 9:57
? Nevada 73, Boise State 62? Why isn?t Steve Alford the coach at Indiana?
? Villanova 84, Georgetown 74? Under Patrick Ewing, Hoyas are 22-41 in Big East.
? Kings 113, Clippers 110? Sacramento won 7 of its last 8 games.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 460,311
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I think light years. Just the mixture of all those guys in the secondary [and] solidifying the front. Again, going into last season, we had to get Shaq [Barrett] back [and] we had to get [Ndamukong] Suh back. Keeping everybody there [and] now getting Vita [Vea] back. That secondary was the key. Getting guys that could play man-to-man, that were aggressive bump-and-run type people that could also play zone, rather than soft zone players. It took a while, but I think Todd (Bowles) has just done a tremendous job and we?ve been winning with defense.?
Bruce Arians

Monday?s quiz
When Tampa Bay won its first Super Bowl title, who was coaching the Raiders that day?

Sunday?s quiz
Tampa Bay beat the Oakland Raiders in the previous Super Bowl appearance.

Saturday?s quiz
Drew Bledsoe was the Patriots? starting quarterback before Tom Brady.

************************

Monday?s Den: Wrapping up Super Bowl Sunday

13) Coming into this season, in Tampa Bay?s entire franchise history, they had a 6-9 record in playoff games, and they had even won a Super Bowl before.

Summing that up, the Buccaneers had won six playoff GAMES. Tom Brady had six Super Bowl rings, making him a pretty solid upgrade over the previous Tampa Bay starter, Jameis Winston.

12) Tom Brady now has seven Super Bowl rings. Tampa Bay has 10 playoff wins.

11) Buccaneers 31, Chiefs 9:
? Teams combined to convert only 7-25 third down plays.
? Penalties in first half: Chiefs 8 for 95 yards, Tampa Bay one for 5 yards.

10) Tell your statistics to shut up: Chiefs outgained Tampa Bay, 350-340.

Chiefs gained 64-65-48 yards on last three drives, after the issue had been decided.

9) On their first seven drives, Tampa Bay scored four TD?s and were stopped on the 1-yard line on another drive.

8) On the drive where the Chiefs stopped Tampa Bay on the 1-yard line, Bucs threw a pass on 2nd down to OL Joe Haeg- it was broken up by a defender. No offensive lineman has ever scored a touchdown in the Super Bowl- he could?ve been the first.

7) Good trivia question: who was Tampa Bay?s backup QB?

Playing for his 4th NFL team in four years, it was Blaine Gabbert, who has a 13-35 career record as an NFL starter, mostly with Jacksonville. He looked happier as hell on the sidelines near the end of Sunday?s game. Super Bowl rings are hard to find, unless you stumble onto one at a Las Vegas pawn shop, or if you?re Vladimir Putin.

Quick side story: Patriots? owner Robert Kraft does business in Russia; he met Putin once, and took off his Super Bowl ring to show Putin, who then stuck the ring in his pocket and quickly walked away, never to be seen again. Seriously, that really happened.

6) Jerry Greene of Detroit News covered his 55th consecutive Super Bowl Sunday; he is the only media member to cover every Super Bowl.

5) Chiefs? over/under for the game was 3.5 touchdowns; they didn?t score one. Kansas City had three drives in the red zone, scored on only one of those drives, a field goal.

4) If you have a friend/relative who went all in wagering on the Chiefs Sunday, you might want to avoid them for a few days- they could be looking for a loan.

3) We mentioned couple of times over weekend that over the last 27 years, Super Bowl teams who were a #3 or lower seed in their conference were 10-0-1 ATS in Super Bowls; now we can make that 11-0-1 ATS. Not really sure why that is true; guess it speaks to teams gaining a lot of momentum/confidence as they get rolling in the playoffs.

2) Odds to win the Super Bowl next year:
11-2? Kansas City
9-1? Green Bay
11-1? Tampa Bay
12-1? Baltimore, Buffalo

1) Elsewhere, Brooks Koepka chipped in for eagle on the 17th hole to win the Phoenix Open; it was his second eagle of the day, when he shot a 6-under par 65.