CNOTES 2020-2021 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 12
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NY at WAS 07:00 PM
NY -2.5.........109 - 91.........WINNER
U 219.0

MIN at CHA 07:00 PM
MIN +3.5
U 228.5

SA at ATL 07:30 PM
SA +2.0........125 - 114.......WINNER
U 224.5.......LOSER

NO at DAL 07:30 PM
NO +3.0......130 - 143.....LOSER
O 232.5.........WINNER

LAC at CHI 08:00 PM
LAC -7.5......126 - 106
O 227.5..........WINNER

DET at BOS 08:00 PM
DET +7.5........108 -102....WINNER
O 211.5........LOSER

OKC at DEN 09:00 PM
OKC +11.5..........95 - 97
O 222.0....LOSER

MIL at UTA 09:00 PM
UTA -2.5...........115 - 129..........WINNER
O 234.0...........WINNER

CLE at POR 10:00 PM
POR -3.5......110- 129...........WINNER
O 221.5

MEM at LAL 10:00 PM
MEM +7.0..........105 - 115......LOSER
U 219.5........LOSER

ORL at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC -8.5.......123 - 112 LOSER
O 223.0........WINNER



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb. 11, 2021..........9 - 7.........+6.50
Feb. 10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
Feb. 09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
Feb. 08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
Feb. 07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb. 06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb. 05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb. 04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb. 02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS..................54 - 49.......- 0.50


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Udog]

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Milwaukee at Utah (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Jazz are 15-0 ATS (9.20 ppg) as a favorite coming off a win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cleveland at Portland (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Cavaliers are 0-16-1 ATS (-10.62 ppg) on the road with rest after a game as a road dog in which they shot under 40% from the field.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Antonio at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Hawks are 10-0 OU (8.70 ppg) at home off a loss as a dog in which they led after the third.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Orlando at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Kings are 0-12 OU (-13.79 ppg) as a favorite off a home loss in which Buddy Hield was their high scorer.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Six leading scorers in the NBA:
32.8? Bradley Beal, Wash
30.0? Steph Curry, GSt
29.4? Damion Lillard, Port
29.4? Joel Embiid, Phil
28.2? Zach LaVine, Chi
28.1? Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 480,510
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind??.

13) NCAA Tournament, like everything else for the last year or so, promises to be a bit bizarre; right now, Michigan/Baylor would both be #1 seeds in the Field of 68, but both teams are on pause, because of COVID.

In my mind, teams like that will need to play some games before the tournament, so their players can get their legs back. Teams on pause usually don?t practice, sometimes the players aren?t even allowed to go outside and jog, or shoot hoops.

12) Houston Texans released JJ Watt, who has been a great player and is an iconic figure in the Houston area? he raised $41.6M for victims of Hurricane Harvey a few years ago.

The thing is, Watt will be 32 in March; he doesn?t want to go thru a rebuilding program, and if any team is going thru a rebuild, it is the Texans. He requested the release and he got it.

11) Illinois 77, Nebraska 72 OT? Illini was favored by 15 points in Lincoln; they needed five extra minutes to put away the gritty Cornhuskers.

10) Iona 85, Manhattan 67? Rick Pitino?s Gaels are 6-3; this was their first game in 51 days.

9) Robert Morris 88, Oakland 82 OT? Colonials? last four home games have gone into overtime; this was the first one of those they won.

8) Utah 129, Milwaukee 115? Jazz won five in row, 15 of last 16 games; they?re 14-1-1 ATS in those 16 games.

7) Lakers 115, Memphis 105? Lakers were down 22-2, but they still won/covered. LA won its last seven games. Lebron James played 34 minutes, down some from their last few games.

6) Texas State?s football team offered over 100 kids scholarships this year, but none of them accepted. That is zero out of 100, very unsuccessful recruiting.

Texas State has instead brought in 11 transfer students, who will try and improve the fortunes of Bobcat football. They need to do better at recruiting next year.

5) Guy on the Interweb posted a picture of a room in his house, where he had his sneaker collection spread out on the floor. 85-90 pairs of Air Jordans; thats an expensive collection, and a very cool one.

4) Thing I learned from listening to Bill Walton on TV: Arizona is the 6th biggest state in the country, roughly the same size as Italy.

3) Oregon basketball coach Dana Altman has won Coach of the Year in four different leagues.

2) I?ve had two eye operations in the last 16 months, then I saw the Miami Heat?s new uniforms last week and thought my eye fell apart again. Pink on the left side, blue on the right, ugly on both sides. First I checked my eyes, then the TV; they?re all fine. The uniforms are terrible.

1) There is a United States Senator from Rhode Island named Sheldon Whitehouse; this guy has to run for President someday, yes? I don?t even know what party he is in, but if your last name is Whitehouse, he needs to seriously consider running for President.

 

[Cnotes53]

563PHILADELPHIA -564 PHOENIX
PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

565INDIANA -566 ATLANTA
INDIANA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

567HOUSTON -568 NEW YORK
HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after 3 straight games being outrebounded by opponent by 5 or more over the last 2 seasons.

569BROOKLYN -570 GOLDEN STATE
BROOKLYN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the current season.

571MIAMI -572 UTAH
UTAH is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.




NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, February 13

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PHILADELPHIA (18 - 8) at PHOENIX (15 - 9) - 2/13/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 52-79 ATS (-34.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 27-43 ATS (-20.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (13 - 13) at ATLANTA (11 - 14) - 2/13/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 165-124 ATS (+28.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (11 - 14) at NEW YORK (12 - 15) - 2/13/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 31-44 ATS (-17.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 114-79 ATS (+27.1 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
HOUSTON is 57-31 ATS (+22.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (15 - 12) at GOLDEN STATE (14 - 12) - 2/13/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
BROOKLYN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-58 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 68-96 ATS (-37.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (11 - 14) at UTAH (21 - 5) - 2/13/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
UTAH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 13

Philadelphia @ Phoenix
76ers (18-8)
? 76ers won six of their last eight games. (5-2-1 ATS last eight)
? Sixers are 3-1-1 ATS in last five road games.
? Over is 5-2 in Philly?s last seven road games.

Suns (15-9)
? Phoenix won/covered seven of its last eight games.
? Suns won/covered their last five home games.
? Under is 4-2 in their last six home games.

? Teams split last ten series games.
? 76ers are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the desert.
? Over is 9-1 in last ten series games.

Atlanta @ Indiana
Hawks (11-14)
? Atlanta lost five of its last six games.
? Hawks are 3-1 ATS in their last four road games.
? Four of Atlanta?s five games went over the total.

Pacers (13-13)
? Indiana lost six of its last eight games.
? Pacers are 2-7 ATS in last nine home games.
? Indiana?s last four games stayed under the total.

? Pacers won seven of last eight series games.
? Hawks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Indiana.
? Four of last six series games went over the total.

Houston @ New York
Rockets (11-14)
? Houston lost five of its last six games.
? Rockets covered once in their last four road games.
? Under is 5-1 in their last five games.

Knicks (12-15)
? New York won three of its last five games (4-1 ATS).
? Knicks are 3-5 ATS in last eight home games.
? Under is 7-2 in New York?s last eight games.

? Houston won eight of last nine series games.
? Rockets are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan.
? Over is 7-2-1 in last ten series games.

Brooklyn @ Golden State
Nets (15-12)
? Brooklyn lost four of its last six games.
? Nets are 1-6 ATS in last seven road games.
? 18 of last 21 Brooklyn games went over the total.

Warriors (14-12)
? Golden State is 6-4 SU in its last ten games.
? Warriors are 8-5 SU/ATS in last 13 home games.
? Under is 8-3 in Golden State?s last 11 home games.

? Brooklyn won last two series games, by 41-26 points.
? Nets covered three of last four visits to the Bay Area.
? Under is 7-1 in last eight series games.

Miami @ Utah
Heat (11-14)
? Miami won its last four games (3-1 ATS).
? Heat is 4-2 ATS in its last six road games.
? Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Jazz (21-5)
? Utah won six in row, 16 of its last 17 games (16-1-1 ATS).
? Jazz is 10-0-1 ATS in its last 11 home games.
? Over is 5-1-1 in Utah?s last seven home games.

? Home side won last five series games.
? Heat is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
? Three of last four series games stayed under the total.




NBA

Saturday, February 13

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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ Phoenix
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Indiana @ Atlanta
Indiana
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 17 games when playing at home against Indiana

Houston @ New York
Houston
Houston is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing New York
Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Brooklyn @ Golden State
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 9 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Miami @ Utah
Miami
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games


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NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, February 13

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Hoop Trends for Saturday February 14
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at Utah (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Jazz are 16-0 ATS (9.34 ppg) as a favorite coming off a win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Indiana at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Pacers are 0-10 ATS (-7.55 ppg) with rest after they had less than 15% of their points from free throws last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Brooklyn at Golden State (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Nets are 10-0 OU (23.60 ppg) as a favorite off a win in which they scored 15+ more points in the first half than the second half.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Brooklyn at Golden State (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Warriors are 0-10-2 OU (-15.21 ppg) as a dog after they had less than 10% of their points from free throws last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 13
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

PHI at PHO 03:00 PM
PHO +1.0........111 - 120....WINNER
O 222.0..........WINNER

IND at ATL 07:30 PM
IND -1.5.......125 - 113
U 224.5

HOU at NY 08:00 PM
NY +1.0...99 - 113......WINNER
U 212.0............PUSH

BK at GS 08:30 PM
GS +4.0.....134 - 117.......LOSER
U 245.5.......LOSER

MIA at UTA 09:00 PM
UTA -6.0.........94 - 112........WINNER
U 216.0.......WINNER


NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
Feb. 12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
Feb. 11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
Feb. 10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
Feb. 09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
Feb. 08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
Feb. 07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb. 06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb. 05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb. 04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb. 02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS..................59 - 51.....-+13.50


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday?s 6-pack
Six teams that score the most in college basketball:
92.7? Gonzaga
88.1? Bryant
87.4? Iowa
87.0? Baylor
86.5? Colgate
85.6? Southern Utah

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 480,510
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?After my freshman year, I just felt like I didn?t produce enough or show enough to show them I could play at the next level. With me, it?s all about getting better, no matter how long it takes, no matter how long you stay in college. That never really bothered me. I always heard, ?You should go to the draft.? But it was always my decision. I just wanted to get better and better every year.?
Alabama?s John Petty, a rare 5-star recruit who played four years in college

Sunday?s quiz
Where did James Harden play his college basketball?

Saturday?s quiz
Illinois is known as ?The Land of Lincoln?

Friday?s quiz
When Michael Jordan played minor league baseball for the Birmingham Barons in the Southern League, he wore number 45.

*********************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) A word of caution:

Friday afternoon, I got a text from my credit card company; someone tried to charge $458 on my credit card, and they were checking to see if it was me, which it wasn?t, so they shut down my credit card and will send me another one. No harm done, but no bueno.

Be careful with your personal information; lot of scam artists out there.

12) The Urban Meyer era in Jacksonville is off to a rocky start; the strength coach they hired a few days ago quit already, after complaints about how he left his job at Iowa, with former players at Iowa accusing him of racist behavior. Not the best way for this era of Jaguar football to start.

11) Baseball stuff:
? Seattle gave lefty P James Paxton $8.5M for one year.
? Royals signed IF Asdrubel Cabrera to a 1-year deal.
? Bronx signed OF Jay Bruce to a minor league deal

10) Florida State 92, Wake Forest 85 OT:
? Seminoles won their 11th straight overtime game.
? Florida State tied game with 0:00.5 left on a transition layup.
? Wake was 13-27 on the arc, Seminoles 12-25.
? This was FSU?s first game in 14 days; guys on TV who watched this game said the Seminoles looked exhausted near the end of regulation. They have a few weeks to get their legs.

9) Creighton 86, Villanova 70:
? When Bluejays make 12-26 on the arc, they can beat anyone.
? The thing is, no goes 12-26 all that often; can they make a run to the Final 4?
? Creighton starts three seniors, two juniors; they?re experience team #39.

8) Arkansas 86, Missouri 81 OT? They were telling Eric Musselman stories on this telecast; the son of former NBA coach Bill Musselman, Eric was a coach/GM in the Continental League when he was in his mid-20?s, highly unusual.

The first day he was GM of the Rapid City Thrillers, Musselman made four trades, which sounds like a guy I?d like to have in our fantasy baseball league.

Musselman?s Razorbacks are 16-5, 8-4 in the SEC; they?ve won six of last seven games.

7) Upsets of the Day:
? California (+10) 71, Colorado 62
? Vanderbilt (+7.5) 72, Mississippi State 51
? Valparaiso (+7) 70, Northern Iowa 57
? North Dakota (+6.5) 85, South Dakota 76
? Arkansas State (+6) 67, Little Rock 65
? Illinois State (+5.5) 80, Southern Illinois 55
? Oral Roberts (+4) 103, South Dakota State 86

6) Oklahoma 91, West Virginia 90, 2OT:
? Sooners have won six of their last severn games.
? Lon Kruger is a really underrated coach; he?s led five different schools to the NCAA Tournament, getting two of them to a Final Four.
? He also coached the Atlanta Hawks for a couple years.
? 671 college wins is a lot of wins.

5) Cal-Santa Barbara 81, Hawai?i 74:
? Gauchos win despite blowing a 12-point halftime lead.
? Santa Barbara has a slim lead atop the Big West; two of their last three wins were in OT.

4) Northeastern 76, Towson 67:
? Tyson Walker made 7-12 3-pointers, scored 36 points.
? Walker is a sophomore; Huskies? coaches better make sure he doesn?t get poached by Duke, or some other big money program.

3) Pundits on the Big 14 Network rattle on and on about how great their league is, but fact of the matter is this: Last time a Big 14 team won the basketball national title was when Michigan State won it all, in 2000. A 21-year drought seems lengthy for such a great league.

2) Candidates for the NFL?s Name Hall of Fame:
? Eagles used to have a kicker named Happy Feller? he kicked in college at Texas.
? Browns used to have a receiver named Fair Hooker? insert your own joke here.

1) Lot of times when I?m writing this site late at night, I put old episodes of The West Wing on my laptop and listen while I write. The other night, I finished up, turned the laptop off and started watching an old episode of Columbo on TV.

1973, back when I was a kid, Columbo was a popular show; Peter Falk is a quirky cop who always gets his man, but there was a familiar face in this episode, a much, much younger Martin Sheen, who I had just watched play President Bartlett on my laptop while I was writing.

What a great career he?s had; that was 48 years ago, and he still does commercials on TV.

 

[Cnotes53]

501PORTLAND -502 DALLAS
DALLAS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

501PORTLAND -502 DALLAS
PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the current season.

503MINNESOTA -504 TORONTO
MINNESOTA is 43-62 ATS (-25.2 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the last 3 seasons.

507SAN ANTONIO -508 CHARLOTTE
CHARLOTTE is 130-167 ATS (-53.7 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1996.

509MILWAUKEE -510 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

515MEMPHIS -516 SACRAMENTO
MEMPHIS are 83-117 ATS (-45.7 Units) in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days since 1996.

517CLEVELAND -518 LA CLIPPERS
CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current season.

577BOSTON -578 WASHINGTON
BOSTON is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

579NEW ORLEANS -580 DETROIT
NEW ORLEANS are 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) off a road loss in the last 3 seasons.


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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 14

Boston @ Washington
Celtics (13-12)
? Boston lost nine of its last 13 games.
? Celtics are 3-6 ATS in last nine road games.
? Four of last six Boston games went over the total.

Wizards (6-17)
? Wizards lost 11 of their last 15 games.
? Washington is 3-8 ATS at home this season.
? Under is 5-1 in Wizards? last six games.

? Celtics won five of last seven games.
? Boston is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Washington.
? Last three series games stayed under the total.

Minnesota vs Toronto (@ Tampa)
Timberwolves (6-20)
? Minnesota lost four in row, 14 of its last 17 games.
? Wolves are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games.
? Last four Minnesota games went over the total..

Raptors (12-14)
? Toronto won/covered five of its last seven games.
? Raptors are 4-7 ATS in Tampa this season.
? Last eight Toronto games went over the total.

? Raptors won last five series games, covered last three.
? Minnesota is 6-4 ATS in last ten series games.
? Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

San Antonio @ Charlotte
Spurs (15-11)
? San Antonio won seven of its last ten games overall.
? Spurs are 8-3 ATS on the road this season.
? Under is 4-1 in Spurs? last five games.

Hornets (13-14)
? Charlotte won six of its last nine games.
? Hornets are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
? Under is 3-1 in Charlotte?s last four games.

? San Antonio won six of last eight series games.
? Spurs covered once in last five visits to Charlotte.
? Four of last five series games stayed under.

New Orleans @ Detroit
Pelicans (11-14)
? New Orleans lost five of its last six road games.
? Pelicans are 6-4 ATS in its last ten games overall.
? Over is 10-2-2 in their last fourteen games.

Pistons (7-19)
? Detroit lost five of its last seven games.
? Pistons are 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
? Under is 8-4 in Detroit?s last dozen home games.

? New Orleans won seven of last ten series games.
? Pelicans covered four of last five visits to the Motor City.
? Four of last five series games stayed under.

Portland @ Dallas
Trailblazers (15-10)
? Portland won six of last eight games, covered 7 of last 9.
? Blazers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
? Over is 9-3 in Portland?s last 12 games.
? Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out

Mavericks (13-14)
? Dallas won its last four games; they?re 1-4 ATS in last five.
? Mavericks are 1-8 ATS in last nine home games.
? Over is 11-2-1 in last 14 Dallas games.

? Teams split last ten series games.
? Blazers are 3-4 ATS in last seven visits to Dallas.
? Last five series games went over the total.

Milwaukee @ Oklahoma City
Bucks (16-10)
? Milwaukee lost last two games, after 5-0 streak.
? Bucks are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
? Over is 7-2 in Milwaukee?s last nine games.

Thunder (10-15)
? Thunder lost last three games; two in OT, the other by 2 points.
? OKC is 3-7-1 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

? Teams split last eight series games.
? Bucks are 2-3 ATS in last five series games.
? Seven of last nine series games stayed under.

Orlando @ Phoenix
Magic (10-17)
? Orlando lost seven of its last nine games.
? Magic is 4-7 ATS in last 11 road games.
? Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Suns (16-9)
? Phoenix won/covered eight of its last nine games.
? Suns won/covered their last six home games.
? Over is 3-0 in their last three games.

? Orlando won five of last seven series games.
? Magic covered four of last five trips to the desert.
? Six of their last nine games stayed under total.

LA Lakers @ Denver
Lakers (21-6)
? Lakers won seven games in row; 3 of their last 4 games went OT.
? Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
? Over is 4-0 in their last four games.

Nuggets (14-11)
? Denver split their last eight games overall.
? Nuggets are 5-8 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 8-3 in Denver?s last 11 games.

? Lakers won seven of last eight series games.
? LA is 2-1-1 ATS in last four visits to Denver.
? Seven of last nine series games went over.

Memphis @ Sacramento
Grizzlies (10-11)
? Memphis lost five of its last six games.
? Grizzlies are 0-3 ATS in last three road games.
? Over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games.

Kings (12-13)
? Sacramento won seven of last ten games (8-2 ATS)
? Kings won/covered three of their last five home games.
? Over is 10-3 in their last 13 home games.

? Kings won five of last six series games.
? Memphis is 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Sacramento.
? Three of last four series games went over.

Cleveland @ LA Clippers
Cavaliers (10-17)
? Cleveland lost eight of its last nine games (0-9 ATS).
? Cavaliers are 1-9 ATS in last nine road games.
? Cavaliers? last three games went over the total.

Clippers (19-8)
? Clippers split their last six games overall.
? Clippers are 3-6 ATS in last nine games at Staples.
? Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.

? Clippers won last six series games, last four all by 22+.
? Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in last five series games played here.
? Three of last four series games went over.


***********************


NBA

Sunday, February 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston @ Washington
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

San Antonio @ Charlotte
San Antonio
San Antonio is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing San Antonio

Minnesota @ Toronto
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games

New Orleans @ Detroit
New Orleans
New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing New Orleans

Portland @ Dallas
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Portland

Milwaukee @ Oklahoma City
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
Oklahoma City is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Orlando @ Phoenix
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

LA Lakers @ Denver
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of LA Lakers's last 17 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games when playing LA Lakers

Cleveland @ LA Clippers
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 12 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
LA Clippers is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland

Memphis @ Sacramento
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis



***************************


NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, February 14

***************************


Hoop Trends for Sunday February 14
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: New Orleans at Detroit (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Pelicans are 15-0 ATS (10.67 ppg) on the road off a game as a dog when they are off two double digit ATS losses.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Denver (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Nuggets are 0-18 ATS (-8.19 ppg) off a win as a home favorite in which their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Milwaukee at Oklahoma City (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Bucks are 17-0-1 OU (18.44 ppg) as a road favorite after their opponent made at least 10 more free throws.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Toronto (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Raptors are 0-9 OU (-12.61 ppg) as an 8+ point home favorite coming off a 10+ point road loss.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)



*************************

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 14
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BOS at WAS 01:00 PM
WAS +6.5.......91- 104......WINNER
U 230.5.........WINNER

SA at CHA 07:00 PM
CHA +2.0.......122 - 110....LOSER
O 229.0........WINNER

NO at DET 07:00 PM
NO -4.5 ....112 - 123......LOSER
U 220.5.....LOSER

MIN at TOR 07:00 PM
TOR -8.0
U 229.5

POR at DAL 07:30 PM
POR +5.0..........121 - 118.....WINNER
O 235.5...........WINNER

MIL at OKC 08:00 PM
MIL -11.0.............109 - 114......LOSER
O 228.5

ORL at PHO 09:00 PM
ORL +10.0......90 - 109
U 214.0............WINNER

CLE at LAC 10:00 PM
CLE +11.5....111 - 128.....LOSER
O 220.5.....WINNER

LAL at DEN 10:00 PM
DEN +3.0.......105 - 122....WINNER
U 217.0...........LOSER

MEM at SAC 10:00 PM
MEM -1.0
U 229.5



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
Feb. 12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
Feb. 11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
Feb. 10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
Feb. 09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
Feb. 08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
Feb. 07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb. 06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb. 05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb. 04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb. 02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS..................67 - 56.....-+26.00


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday?s 6-pack
Six of the college teams that play the best FG% defense:
42.1%? opponents? eFG%- Houston
43.1? Michigan
43.6? USC
44.1? Memphis
45.1? Alabama
45.5? Texas

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 485,235
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?Feels like I?m super washed up, but still had a blast. That was the most fun I?ve had in a while. Win or lose we booze on the Zappers.??
Johnny Manziel, who is playing in an Arena Football-type league, Fan Controlled Football

Monday?s quiz
Which American President was in office for only 32 days, before he died?

Sunday?s quiz
James Harden played his college basketball at Arizona State.

Saturday?s quiz
Illinois is known as ?The Land of Lincoln?

********************

Monday?s Den: Going thru college basketball conferences

Selection Sunday is less than four weeks away; no one even knows yet how Championship Week is going to play out; will every conference have a tournament this year, or just a lot of makeup games, so the better teams can jack up their power ratings?

Here is what I think/know about how teams look heading into the season?s stretch run:

AAC? Houston is 17-2, the AAC?s only sure bet to be in the field of 68; Cougars beat Texas Tech on a neutral floor in November, will be a popular sleeper pick in people?s brackets.

Cincinnati is 4-0 since their 25-day COVID pause; the four wins were by a total of nine points. Memphis, SMU still have a shot to play their way into at-large bids.

ACC? When ESPN?s announcers openly talk about the ACC being down this year, you KNOW the league is down. kenpom.com has ACC as the #4 league, tied for its lowest ranking since 2013. Right now, Virginia/Florida State look like the only sure things for the NCAA?s.

ACC will wind up with 2-3 other teams in the field, but it?ll be dependent on who wins lot of games from now on. Louisville is on a pause; Virginia Tech and UNC should get in if the wheels don?t fall off for them. Duke is 8-8, 6-6 in league; they?re a bubble team.

A-14? Some teams in this league have been hit hard by the pandemic; Davidson hasn?t played in three weeks, Saint Louis went 34 days between games, Fordham didn?t play a game until December 30, then fired its coach.

Their conference tournament will be one of the better ones; the winner might be the only A-14 team in the field of 68.

Big East? Villanova/Creighton are in, Seton Hall is mostly in. Rest of the league better get hot, or they?ll be in the NIT. KenPom has the Big East at #5, as low as they?ve been since 2002.

UConn lost lost four of its last six games; Xavier just had a 2-week pause. Under Patrick Ewing., Georgetown is 23-42 in regular season conference games; how does he get to fix things?

Big 14? One of the most interesting parts of Selection Sunday will be how many teams from this league get in the field of 68. Pundits on the Big 14 Network would have you believe that every team in the league is tournament-worthy, but we know thats not true. Why should a team that finishes 9th or 10th in a 14-team league get to play for a national title?

Michigan came off a 23-day layoff Sunday and had a terrific comeback win at Wisconsin; Ohio State has won 9 of its last 10 games, Illinois has won five in a row (with two OT wins). One of the things I?ll be looking at is if Iowa gets in the same bracket as a real athletic underdog, a team like VCU or Loyola or Oregon.

Big X? Baylor hasn?t played in three weeks; my thing is that teams will need 3-4 games before the tournament to get their sea legs back. Oklahoma won its last won 7 of its last 8 games, and has a coach who has taken two other schools to a Final Four. They?re going to get six teams in the tournament unless Oklahoma State gets hot and makes it seven.

Texas was 11-2 before their 10-day COVID pause; they?re 3-2 since, but won their last couple games- they?re a team to watch between now and Selection Sunday.

Big West? I enjoy watching Big West games on my laptop late at night; its a good league, not a great league, but highly competitive. Adding Cal-Bakersfield made their conference tournament a hell of a lot harder- they?re a tough defensive team that doesn?t score points early, a lot like Cal-Irvine, another one of the league?s frontrunners.

Cal-Santa Barbara hasn?t lost yet in 2021 (10-0); this is the best team Cal-Riverside has ever had, and with a first-year head coach. Bottom part of the league has been on pause a lot; the semi-final doubleheader at the Big West tournament will be must-see TV.

Conference USA? North Texas/Western Kentucky seem like the two best teams; Mean Green hasn?t made the tournament since 2010, WKU hasn?t made it since 2013. UAB, Louisiana Tech also have a legit shot to win the tournament; this is a one-bid league.

Last three NCAA tournaments, C-USA had three different teams repping it, and none of those three were North Texas/Western Kentucky. Hilltoppers have an NBA big man in Bassey and three senior starters; this is Rick Stansbury?s time to shine.

Mountain West? Utah State, Boise State, San Diego State figure to battle it out in Las Vegas; Aztecs can get an at-large bid even if they lose in Vegas- they beat UCLA, Arizona State back before Christmas. San Diego State plays Boise State twice in a couple weeks; Aztecs got swept by Utah State. All three of those teams shouldo be in the Mountain West Final Four.

Bottom half of this league is really bad; the bottom three teams are a combined 6-35. Aztecs will sweat some on Selection Sunday if they lose in the MW tournament, but they?re likely the only team in the league that rates an at-large bid.

Pac-12? Contrary to what Bill Walton talks about on ESPN every week, league is a little down- Arizona?s being ineligible because of recruiting violations is a big part of that. I?m thinking four teams from Pac-12 get in. Right now, USC is clearly the best team, but Andy Enfield won more NCAA tourney game at Florida Gulf Coast (2) than he has with the Trojans (1).

UCLA lost three of its last five games; Mick Cronin hasn?t had a great record in March. Oregon usually gets stronger as time goes on; they?re likely to make some noise next month. Colorado has a veteran team, but they play one good game, then have a stinker- their last three losses are to Washington, Utah, Cal, all bad losses.

SEC? The most 2020 thing in college hoop is that Kentucky is 6-13, 6-7 in conference; curious to see if John Calipari is in the CBS studio during the first round of the tournament. With the league?s perennial frontrunner out of the picture, that leaves Alabama as the best team- they?re fun to watch, play a very fast pace, but they don?t have a great basketball pedigree (one win in NCAA?s, since 2007).

SEC figures to get five other teams in the field of 68; Arkansas, Florida, LSU, Missouri, Tennessee. Would expect all six teams to win their first round game; not sure any of them, other than Alabama, will get to the Sweet 16.

Southern? Much like the Big West, I?m looking forward to the semi-finals of this tournament; this is a one-bid league, so when East Tennessee, Furman, NC-Greensboro and Wofford likely face off in the semi-finals, it?ll be very entertaining.

WCC? Gonzaga is in this league; they?re this generation?s version of Jerry Tarkanian?s great UNLV teams from 30-40 years ago. Big fish, small pond, strong national footprint. Gonzaga is going to be favored to win a national title; that springs added pressure.

BYU is only other WCC team that has a shot at an at-large bid; they have wins over San Diego State, Utah. BYU probably needs to get to 20 wins for that to happen; they?re a mature team in terms of the players? ages, which has to help in a weird season like this one.

 

[Cnotes53]

519CHICAGO -520 INDIANA
CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

521HOUSTON -522 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 451-516 ATS (-116.6 Units) in home games since 1996.

523ATLANTA -524 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

525PHILADELPHIA -526 UTAH
UTAH is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

527MIAMI -528 LA CLIPPERS
MIAMI is 32-13 ATS (17.7 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

529CLEVELAND -530 GOLDEN STATE
CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current season.


*********************


NBA
Dunkel

Monday, February 15

**************************


NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 15

Chicago @ Indiana
Bulls (10-15)
? Chicago lost four of its last six games SU.
? Bulls are 9-3 ATS on the road this season.
? Over is 6-2 in their last eight road games.

Pacers (14-13)
? Indiana won its last two games, after a 1-6 skid.
? Pacers are 2-7 ATS in last nine home games.
? Four of Indiana?s last five games stayed under the total.

? Pacers won/covered last six series games.
? Chicago covered once in its last five visits to Indiana.
? Last four series games went over the total.

Houston @ Washington
Rockets (11-15)
? Houston lost its last five games (0-5 ATS).
? Rockets covered once in their last five road games.
? Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Wizards (7-17)
? Wizards lost four of their last six games.
? Washington is 4-8 ATS at home this season.
? Under is 6-1 in Wizards? last seven games.

? Houston won last three series games.
? Rockets are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Washington.
? Over is 6-2-1 in last nine series games.

Atlanta @ New York
Hawks (11-15)
? Atlanta lost six of its last seven games.
? Hawks are 3-1 ATS in their last four road games.
? Five of Atlanta?s six games went over the total.

Knicks (13-15)
? New York won four of its last six games (5-1 ATS).
? Knicks are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
? Under is 7-3 in New York?s last ten games.

? Knicks won six of last eight series games.
? Hawks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan.
? Three of last four series games went over.

Philadelphia @ Utah
76ers (18-9)
? 76ers lost three of their last five games.
? Sixers are 3-6-2 ATS in last 11 road games.
? Over is 6-2 in Philly?s last eight road games.

Jazz (22-5)
? Utah won seven in row, 17 of its last 18 games (17-1-1 ATS).
? Jazz is 11-0-1 ATS in its last 12 home games.
? Over is 5-3-1 in Utah?s last nine home games.

? 76ers won five of last six series games (6-0 ATS)
? 76ers covered four of last five visits to Utah.
? Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Cleveland @ Golden State
Cavaliers (10-18)
? Cleveland lost nine of its last ten games (0-10 ATS).
? Cavaliers are 1-10 ATS in last 11 road games.
? Cavaliers? last four games went over the total.

Warriors (14-13)
? Golden State is 4-5 SU in its last nine games.
? Warriors are 4-5 ATS in last nine home games.
? Under is 3-1 in Golden State?s last four home games.

? Warriors won last ten series games (7-3 ATS)
? Cleveland is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the Bay Area.
? Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Miami @ LA Clippers
Heat (11-15)
? Miami won four of its last five games (3-2 ATS).
? Heat is 5-7 ATS on the road this season.
? Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

Clippers (20-8)
? Clippers won their last three games, by 7-9-17 points.
? Clippers are 4-6 ATS in last ten games at Staples.
? Over is 7-1 in their last eight games.

? Clippers won/covered last four series games.
? Miami is 2-2 ATS in last four series games played here.
? Last three series games went over the total.

Brooklyn @ Sacramento
Nets (16-12)
? Brooklyn lost four of its last seven games.
? Nets are 2-6 ATS in last eight road games.
? 19 of last 22 Brooklyn games went over the total.
? Durant (hamstring) is out here.

Kings (12-14)
? Sacramento lost its last three games, by 8-11-14 points.
? Kings are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.
? Over is 11-3 in their last 14 home games.

? Brooklyn won/covered last four series games.
? Nets are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Sacramento.
? Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.


**************************


NBA

Monday, February 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chicago @ Indiana
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Chicago's last 14 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

Houston @ Washington
Houston
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Houston

Atlanta @ New York
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 13 games on the road
New York
New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
New York is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

Philadelphia @ Utah
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Cleveland @ Golden State
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Miami @ LA Clippers
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games

Brooklyn @ Sacramento
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Brooklyn's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Brooklyn's last 22 games
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home


--------------------------------------------------------


NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, February 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (10 - 15) at INDIANA (14 - 13) - 2/15/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 9-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (11 - 15) at WASHINGTON (7 - 17) - 2/15/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 39-52 ATS (-18.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 114-80 ATS (+26.0 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
HOUSTON is 57-32 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 349-412 ATS (-104.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 145-190 ATS (-64.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (11 - 15) at NEW YORK (13 - 15) - 2/15/2021, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (18 - 9) at UTAH (22 - 5) - 2/15/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games this season.
UTAH is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
UTAH is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
UTAH is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (11 - 15) at LA CLIPPERS (20 - 8) - 2/15/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 88-62 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (10 - 18) at GOLDEN STATE (14 - 13) - 2/15/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 232-285 ATS (-81.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-59 ATS (-24.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-52 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (16 - 12) at SACRAMENTO (12 - 14) - 2/15/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 4-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

-------------------------------------


Hoop Trends for Monday February 15
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at Utah (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Jazz are 17-0 ATS (9.44 ppg) as a favorite off a win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Washington (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Wizards are 0-16-1 ATS (-11.21 ppg) off a win as a dog where they made at least 10 more free throws than their opponent.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago at Indiana (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Bulls are 15-0 OU (17.63 ppg) as a road dog with more than one day of rest off a home game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cleveland at Golden State (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Warriors are 0-10 OU (-8.80 ppg) as a home favorite after Draymond Green had more assists than shot attempts last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)


****************************

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 15
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

HOU at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS +1.0...........119 - 131........WINNER
U 230.5

CHI at IND 07:00 PM
CHI +5.5.........120 - 112.....WINNER
O 225.0...........WINNER

ATL at NY 07:30 PM
ATL -2.0.........112 - 123......LOSER
U 218.0............LOSER

PHI at UTA 09:00 PM
UTA -7.5 ..123 - 134.....WINNER
U 226.0.....LOSER

MIA at LAC 10:00 PM
LAC -3.0.....118 - 125
U 216.5..........LOSER

CLE at GS 10:00 PM
GS -9.5........98 - 129....WINNER
O 227.0............PUSH

BK at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC +4.5........136 - 125..........LOSER
O 243.0.......WINNER



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
Feb. 12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
Feb. 11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
Feb. 10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
Feb. 09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
Feb. 08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
Feb. 07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb. 06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb. 05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb. 04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb. 02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS..................73 - 61.....-+28.50


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday?s 6-pack
NBA teams who score the most points/game:
120.9? Brooklyn Nets
120.7? Milwaukee Bucks
115.8? Los Angeles Clippers
115.5? Denver, Portland
115.0? Utah Jazz
114.7? Chicago Bulls

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 486,532
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?This is one of the top 20 coaching jobs in all of college football. When this opportunity came, I was ready. I really believe they?re getting the best Gus Malzahn of any time in my career, for the fact that I had eight weeks to reflect, refresh, evaluate, and to be better the next time you do it.?
Gus Malzahn

Tuesday?s quiz
Who is the wealthiest owner in the NBA?

Monday?s quiz
Williams Henry Harrison was president was in office for only 32 days, before he died.

Sunday?s quiz
James Harden played his college basketball at Arizona State.

************************

Tuesday?s Den: Nobody asked me, but??.

13) Florida State 81, Virginia 60:
? Seminoles were up 20 at the half; they played nine guys 14:00+
? Florida State made 13-24 on the arc.
? Very curious where they?ll be seeded next month.

12) North Carolina?s basketball team actually advertised on Twitter this week for a home game and they got one, Wednesday against Northeastern.

We?re going to see more of that over the next 2-3 weeks, teams adding games to the schedule on the fly, to juice up their resume some, and also keep their players sharp.

11) Was listening to Hubie Brown analyze a game on ESPN the other night; guy is one of the best analysts ever, and he is still sharp, even at age 87. Had the pleasure of meeting coach Brown way back in 1984, when he was coaching the Knicks. Good guy, very smart.

10) Duke?s freshman Jalen Johnson ?opted out? of the rest of the season, a nice way of saying he quit and will enter the NBA Draft. This news created mixed reactions on social media.

?Start what you finish? is probably an antiquated concept, but today is February 16. Duke isn?t going to make the NCAA?s, and even off they did, they wouldn?t last long. Would practicing and working out for an extra month be such a bad thing for him?

He could get hurt, that is true, but ?opting out? has to hurt his perception with at least some of the NBA teams who might draft him. He is going to have to work out anyway in preparation for the NBA Combine, and he could get hurt there too. I?m thinking the kid got bad advice.

9) One of the great strategic debates that doesn?t have a right answer is whether a team should foul intentionally, when they?re up 3 points in the last 0:15.

If you foul on purpose, the opponent can?t hit a game-tying 3, but they could rebound a missed foul shot, and that has happened. If you play it out and the opponent makes a 3, the game is still tied and you play overtime.

I watch a lot of games on TV and there is a very mixed opinion on what the right strategy is.

8) Central Florida hired former Auburn coach Gus Malzahn as its next football coach, to the tune of $2.3M a year. Not bad for a guy who, as recently as 2005, was a HS coach in Arkansas.

Malzahn was 9-3 in one year as Arkansas State?s coach, then went 68-35 at Auburn, 39-27 in SEC games. He had the misfortune of being at Auburn while Nick Saban was at Alabama.

7) Boston College fired basketball coach Jim Christian, who went 26-94 in ACC games; moving from the Big East to the ACC has been a debacle for BC?s athletic department.

Christian went 101-37 in eight years as a MAC coach at Ohio/Kent State, but he also went 18-44 in Big X games at TCU. BC is a tough job.

6) Hovering over every open coaching job is former Michigan coach John Beilein, whose brief stint in the NBA was a disaster. He went 63-15 his last two years at Michigan; I?m guessing a lot of AD?s would fire their coach, if they knew they could get Beilein to replace him.

5) Clippers 125, Heat 118: Since Patrick Beverley has been a Clipper:
? Clippers are 101-47 when Beverley played
? Clippers are 17-18 when Beverley didn?t play
? Beverley was one of four Clipper starters who sat this game out.

4) Baseball stuff:
? Mets signed OF Kevin Pillar
? Twins signed P Matt Shoemaker
? Braves signed 2B Jason Kipnis

3) I watch a lot of movies late at night; you know its an old(er) movie if someone uses a payphone, or doesn?t have a cellphone. We used to always to carry a quarter in our pocket in case you needed to make a quick phone call.

2) Why is Jeremy Lin in the G League? There are 30 NBA teams, 15 guys on a team; Jeremy Lin isn?t one of the best 450 basketball players in the world? That is nonsensical.

He scored 11.6 ppg in nine NBA seasons, dishing out 4.3 assists/game. This season in his four G League games, he is scoring 17.8 ppg, dishing out 7.3 ppg. He should be on an NBA roster.

1) Young lady named Jessica Pegula is a tennis pro playing in the Australian Open this week; her parents own the Buffalo Bills/Sabres, so she is a rich kid but she has worked very hard at playing tennis and is now at an elite level. Good for her.

 

[Cnotes53]

535DENVER -536 BOSTON
DENVER is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

537NEW ORLEANS -538 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 37-14 ATS (21.6 Units) in home games off a road win by 10 points or more since 1996.

539TORONTO -540 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

541LA LAKERS -542 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current season.

543PORTLAND -544 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

545BROOKLYN -546 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the current season.


*************************

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 16

************************



NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (15 - 11) at BOSTON (13 - 13) - 2/16/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 63-48 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 146-186 ATS (-58.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (11 - 15) at MEMPHIS (11 - 11) - 2/16/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 185-140 ATS (+31.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 6-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (12 - 15) at MILWAUKEE (16 - 11) - 2/16/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 152-113 ATS (+27.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 8-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-6 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (21 - 7) at MINNESOTA (7 - 20) - 2/16/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 144-108 ATS (+25.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 37-51 ATS (-19.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 85-126 ATS (-53.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (16 - 10) at OKLAHOMA CITY (11 - 15) - 2/16/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 62-40 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-32 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 50-36 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-6 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (17 - 12) at PHOENIX (17 - 9) - 2/16/2021, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.
BROOKLYN is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 73-49 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
PHOENIX is 54-79 ATS (-32.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

------------------------------------------------------


NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 16

Denver @ Boston
Nuggets (15-11)
? Denver won its last three games overall.
? Nuggets lost last three road games, by 10-21-5 points. .
? Over is 9-3 in Denver?s last 11 games.

Celtics (13-13)
? Boston lost ten of its last 14 games.
? Celtics are 7-3 ATS at home this season.
? Under is 7-4 in last eleven Boston games.

? Denver won three of last four series games.
? Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits to Boston.
? Last three series games stayed under the total.

New Orleans @ Memphis
Pelicans (11-15)
? New Orleans lost six of its last seven road games.
? Pelicans are 0-3 SU/ATS in their last three games overall.
? Over is 11-2-2 in their last fifteen games.

Grizzlies (11-11)
? Memphis lost five of its last seven games.
? Grizzlies are 4-6-1 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

? New Orleans won/covered six of last seven series games.
? Pelicans are 2-1 ATS in last three visits to Memphis.
? Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Toronto @ Milwaukee
Raptors (12-15)
? Toronto won/covered five of its last eight games.
? Raptors are 6-3 ATS in last nine road games.
? Eight of last nine Toronto games went over the total.

Bucks (16-11)
? Milwaukee lost last three games, giving up 122.7 ppg.
? Bucks are 4-7 ATS in their last 11 road games.
? Over is 7-3 in Milwaukee?s last ten games.

? Bucks won/covered last three series games.
? Raptors are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
? Last six series games stayed under the total.

LA Lakers @ Minnesota
Lakers (21-7)
? Lakers are 7-1 SU in last eight games, 1-4 ATS in last five.
? Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.
? Over is 5-0 in their last five games.

Timberwolves (7-20)
? Minnesota lost four of last five, 14 of its last 18 games.
? Wolves are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games.
? Four of last five Minnesota games went over the total.

? Timberwolves are 6-4 SU in last ten series games.
? Lakers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Minnesota.
? Four of last five series games stayed under.

Portland @ Oklahoma City
Trailblazers (16-10)
? Portland won seven of last nine games, covered 8 of last 10.
? Blazers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games.
? Over is 10-3 in Portland?s last 13 games.
? Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out

Thunder (11-15)
? Thunder lost three of last four games (4-0 ATS)
? OKC is 4-7-1 ATS at home this season.
? Under is 3-1 in their last four home games.

? Thunder won/covered last three series games.
? Portland is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Oklahoma.
? Three of last four series games went over the total.

Brooklyn @ Phoenix
Nets (17-12)
? Brooklyn won/covered their last three games.
? Nets are 3-6 ATS in last eight road games.
? 20 of last 23 Brooklyn games went over the total.
? Durant (hamstring) isn?t expected to play.

Suns (17-9)
? Phoenix won/covered nine of its last ten games.
? Suns won/covered their last seven home games.
? Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

? Brooklyn won eight of last ten series games.
? Nets covered four of last five visits to Phoenix.
? Four of last five series stayed under the total.


*****************************


NBA

Tuesday, February 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Denver @ Boston
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 13 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Denver
Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

New Orleans @ Memphis
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games

Toronto @ Milwaukee
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

LA Lakers @ Minnesota
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
LA Lakers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

Portland @ Oklahoma City
Portland
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland

Brooklyn @ Phoenix
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Brooklyn's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 20 of Brooklyn's last 23 games
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


***********************


Hoop Trends for Tuesday February 16
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Brooklyn at Phoenix (10:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 10-0 ATS (10.20 ppg) off a 10+ point win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Minnesota (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 0-13 ATS (-7.46 ppg) after Karl Anthony Towns was their high scorer last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Denver at Boston (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Celtics are 14-0-1 OU (17.40 ppg) as a favorite with less than two days rest off a road loss.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Toronto at Milwaukee (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Raptors are 0-9 OU (-19.17 ppg) after Kyle Lowry played more than 40 minutes last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 16
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DEN at BOS 07:00 PM
DEN +2.0.........99 - 112......LOSER
O 221.0...........LOSER

POR at OKC 08:00 PM
OKC +5.5.........115 - 104
O 225.0............LOSER

LAL at MIN 08:00 PM
LAL -6.0............112 - 104
U 222.5...........WINNER

TOR at MIL 08:00 PM
MIL -5.5........124 - 114.....LOSER
U 235.5

NO at MEM 08:00 PM
MEM -1.0.......144 - 113....LOSER
O 231.5.........WINNER

BK at PHO 10:30 PM
PHO -5.5..........128- 124
O 231.5............WINNER


NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
Feb. 12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
Feb. 11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
Feb. 10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
Feb. 09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
Feb. 08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
Feb. 07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb. 06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb. 05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb. 04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb. 02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS..................76 - 66.....-+16.00


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

NBA players who play the most minutes/game:
37.7? James Harden, Bkn
36.7? Julius Randle, NY
36.3? Fred Van Vleet, Tor
36.3? Jerami Grant, Det
36.1? Domantas Sabonis, Ind
35.9? Malcolm Brogdon, Ind

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 487,495
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings??..

13) Nets 128, Suns 124:
? Brooklyn was down 24 at one point, trailed 75-54 at the half.
? Durant, Irving didn?t play; Harden scored 38 points.
? Loss snaps the Suns? 6-game winning streak.

12) There has been lot of debate on social media about ballplayers quitting on their college teams, to get ready for the NBA Draft. Here is a quick summation of my thoughts on this:

? I firmly believe kids should be able to go straight to the NBA, from high school.
? The rule is the NBA?s, has little to do with the NCAA.
? Once you start a season with a team, you should finish the season with that team.

? The transfer epidemic is damaging college basketball; loyalty is obsolete.
? I?m not sure how Jalen Johnson quitting Duke now helps him; the season only has 3-4 weeks left. What will he do now, in those 3-4 weeks, that will be more productive than practicing and playing for Duke? (I?m not a Duke fan, not at all, but still?..)

? He could get hurt playing for Duke, he could get hurt working out or playing pickup.

Everyone wants to get rich quick; it ain?t that easy.

11) Trevor Lawrence had surgery on his left (non-throwing) shoulder, will be on the shelf for 4-6 weeks, which doesn?t really matter, seeing how training camp starts in July. Jacksonville is going to take him, then sell a lot of tickets, then we?ll see who Urban Meyer hires to coach the offense.

10) I rarely look at NFL Mock Drafts anymore; they?re busywork, once you get past the first one, plus I?m a Rams fan- they haven?t had a first round pick since 2016 and don?t have another one until 2024.

Every writer should only be allowed to do one mock draft, not just constantly change them to attract more clicks.

9) Miami Dolphins gave kicker Jason Sanders a 5-year contract extension, apparently for $22M, with $10M of that guaranteed.

8) St John?s 93, Xavier 84:
? Red Storm won seven of its last eight games.
? St John?s coach Anderson wins his 400th career game.

7) Arkansas 75, Florida 64:
? Razorbacks won four in row, seven of last eight games.
? Eric Musselman has coached two NBA teams (Warriors/Kings)

6) I enjoy watching Florida State play; Leonard Hamilton plays a lot of guys (they?re #24 in bench minutes) and he doesn?t have lot of hotshot recruits, so they pass the ball willingly and root for each other and look like they?re having fun playing. That isn?t always the case.

5) Purdue 75, Michigan State 65? Spartans lost their last four road games, six of last eight games overall; they?re #329 in country at forcing turnovers. Unusual season for them.

4) Rhode Island 91, Dayton 89, 2OT:
? Dayton led 58-40 with 9:44 left in the game.
? Teams combined to take 75 foul shots.
? Flyers lost despite shooting 61% inside the arc.
? Win snaps URI?s 4-game losing streak.

3) Toronto 124, Milwaukee 113:
? Bucks lost their 4th straight game, have slipped to 16-12, #3-seed in East.
? Toronto won six of its last nine games, has improved to 13-15, #7-seed.

2) A US District Court judge ruled that Citibank won?t be allowed to recover $500M or so it accidentally wired. Citibank filed a lawsuit in August seeking the return of its money, but so far, no luck.

How would you like to be the person responsible for that screw-up? They were supposed to send Revlon $8M, but sent them around $500M instead. Whoops.

Apparently, the law usually punishes people who spend money accidentally deposited in their accounts, but not so in this case, thanks to the judge?s ruling.

1) Spring training starts today, which seems odd, given all the ice in my driveway, but pitchers and catchers report today. Exhibition games start in 10 days; they?re oddly entertaining. Our fantasy draft has started, always a good thing, a sign that warmer weather is on the way.

 

[Cnotes53]

B]549NEW YORK -550 ORLANDO[/B]
ORLANDO is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

551DENVER -552 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 31-15 ATS (14.5 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days in the last 3 seasons.

555HOUSTON -556 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

557ATLANTA -558 BOSTON
ATLANTA is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

559PORTLAND -560 NEW ORLEANS
PORTLAND is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the current season.

563DETROIT -564 DALLAS
DETROIT is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

565MIAMI -566 GOLDEN STATE
MIAMI is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

567UTAH -568 LA CLIPPERS
UTAH is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

713MINNESOTA -714 INDIANA
INDIANA is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.


---------------------------------


NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 17

---------------------------


NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 17

New York @ Orlando
Knicks (14-15)
? New York won last three games (6-1 ATS last seven).
? Knicks are 6-3 ATS in last nine road games.
? Under is 5-0 in New York?s last five road games.

Magic (10-18)
? Orlando lost ten of its last 12 games.
? Magic is 2-6 ATS in last eight home games.
? Under is 4-0 in their last four games.

? Home side won last six series games.
? Knicks covered once in last four visits to Orlando.
? Under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games.

Atlanta @ Boston
Hawks (11-16)
? Atlanta lost four in row, seven of its last eight games.
? Hawks are 3-2 ATS in their last five road games.
? Six of Atlanta?s seven games went over the total.

Celtics (14-13)
? Boston lost ten of its last 15 games.
? Celtics are 8-3 ATS at home this season.
? Under is 8-4 in last dozen Boston games.

? Celtics won last eight series games.
? Hawks covered four of last five visits to Boston.
? Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Houston @ Philadelphia
Rockets (11-16)
? Houston lost its last six games (0-6 ATS).
? Rockets covered once in their last six road games.
? Over is 3-0 in their last three road games.

76ers (18-10)
? 76ers lost four of their last six games.
? Sixers are 9-3 ATS in last 12 home games.
? Over is 5-3 in Philly?s last eight games overall.

? Houston won seven of last ten series games.
? Rockets covered once in last four visits to Philly.
? Last four series games stayed under the total.

Denver @ Washington
Nuggets (15-12)
? Denver won three of its last four games overall.
? Nuggets lost last four road games, by 10-21-5-13 points.
? Over is 9-4 in Denver?s last 13 games.

Wizards (8-17)
? Wizards split their last eight games overall.
? Washington is 5-8 ATS at home this season.
? Under is 6-2 in Wizards? last eight games.

? Wizards are 5-3 in last eight series games.
? Denver is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Washington.
? Five of last six series games stayed under the total.

Indiana @ Minnesota
Pacers (14-14)
? Indiana lost seven of its last ten games.
? Pacers are 7-5 ATS on the road this season.
? Over is 7-5 in Indiana?s road games this season.

Timberwolves (7-21)
? Minnesota lost five of last six, 15 of its last 19 games.
? Wolves are 7-2-1 ATS in their last ten games.
? Four of last six Minnesota games went over the total.

? Indiana won last three series games.
? Pacers covered four of last five visits to Minnesota.
? Under is 4-1 in last five series games played here.

Detroit @ Chicago
Pistons (8-19)
? Detroit won three of its last four games, covered four of last five.
? Pistons are 2-4-2 ATS in last eight road games.
? Over is 9-4 in Detroit?s road games this season.

Bulls (11-15)
? Chicago split its last eight games SU.
? Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.
? Over is 3-0 in their last three games overall.

? Bulls won/covered last four series games.
? Detroit is 2-3 ATS in last five trips to the Windy City.
? Under is 3-2 in last five series games played here.

Portland @ New Orleans
Trailblazers (17-10)
? Portland won eight of last ten games, covered 9 of last 11.
? Blazers are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
? Over is 10-4 in Portland?s last 14 games.
? Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out

Pelicans (12-15)
? New Orleans lost three of its last four games overall.
? Pelicans are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.
? Over is 12-2-2 in their last sixteen games.

? Pelicans won/covered last four series games.
? Portland is 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Bourbon Street.
? Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Oklahoma City @ Memphis
Thunder (11-16)
? Thunder lost four of last five games (4-1 ATS)
? OKC covered its last six road games.
? Under is 3-2 in their last four games overall.

Grizzlies (11-12)
? Memphis lost six of its last eight games.
? Grizzlies are 4-7-1 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 8-1-1 in their last ten games.

? Memphis won three of last four series games.
? Grizzlies covered last five series games.
? Four of last six series games stayed under total.

Miami @ Golden State
Heat (11-16)
? Miami won four of its last six games.
? Heat is 5-8 ATS on the road this season.
? Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Warriors (15-13)
? Golden State won three of its last four games.
? Warriors are 9-6 ATS in last 15 home games.
? Four of their last five games stayed under.

? Miami won last three series games, covered last four.
? Heat is 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Golden State.
? Three of last four series games went over.

Utah @ LA Clippers
Jazz (23-5)
? Utah won eight in row, 19 of its last 20 games (18-1-1 ATS).
? Jazz is 7-1 ATS in its last eight road games.
? Under is 5-2 in Utah?s last seven road games.

Clippers (21-8)
? Clippers won their last four games, by 7-9-17-7 points.
? Clippers are 5-3 ATS in last eight games at Staples.
? Over is 8-1 in their last nine games.

? Utah won eight of last ten series games.
? Jazz covered four of last five series games played here.
? Under is 3-1 in last four series games.


------------------------------


NBA

Wednesday, February 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New York @ Orlando
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games on the road
New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York

Atlanta @ Boston
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Houston @ Philadelphia
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Houston
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Indiana @ Minnesota
Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

Denver @ Washington
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Denver
Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver

Detroit @ Chicago
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

Portland @ New Orleans
Portland
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Orleans's last 11 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Memphis
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City

Miami @ Golden State
Miami
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games

Utah @ LA Clippers
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah


----------------------------------------------------


Hoop Trends for Wednesday February 17
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Jazz are 18-0 ATS (9.06 ppg) as a favorite coming off a win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: New York at Orlando (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Magic are 0-10 ATS (-10.65 ppg) at home coming off a road loss.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Atlanta at Boston (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Hawks are 11-0 OU (19.09 ppg) off a loss in which their opponent shot 50% or better from beyond the arc.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: New York at Orlando (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Magic are 0-11 OU (-10.09 ppg) off a road loss in which they scored 15 or more points in the second half than the first half.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)


---------------------------------

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (14 - 15) at ORLANDO (10 - 18) - 2/17/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 4-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (15 - 12) at WASHINGTON (8 - 17) - 2/17/2021, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (11 - 16) at PHILADELPHIA (18 - 10) - 2/17/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 39-53 ATS (-19.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 77-50 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 57-33 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (11 - 16) at BOSTON (14 - 13) - 2/17/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 64-48 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (17 - 10) at NEW ORLEANS (12 - 15) - 2/17/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (11 - 16) at GOLDEN STATE (15 - 13) - 2/17/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 41-59 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 69-97 ATS (-37.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-0 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (23 - 5) at LA CLIPPERS (21 - 8) - 2/17/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
UTAH is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (8 - 19) at CHICAGO (11 - 15) - 2/17/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 55-84 ATS (-37.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
CHICAGO is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 77-112 ATS (-46.2 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
CHICAGO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (11 - 16) at MEMPHIS (11 - 12) - 2/17/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-33 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 17
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NY at ORL 07:00 PM
NY -4.5.........89 - 107......LOSER
U 210.0...........WINNER

HOU at PHI 07:30 PM
PHI -10.5........113 - 118...LOSER
U 226.5........LOSER

ATL at BOS 07:30 PM
BOS -3.0....122 - 114.....LOSER
O 224.5..........WINNER

DEN at WAS 08:00 PM
DEN -3.5.......128 - 130
O 234.5...........WINNER

IND at MIN 08:00 PM
IND -5.5
U 225.5

DET at CHI 08:00 PM
DET +3.0........102 - 105....PUSH
O 219.5...........LOSER

POR at NO 09:00 PM
POR +3.0.....126 - 125
O 236.0..........WINNER

OKC at MEM 09:00 PM
OKC +7.0.....113 - 122
O 226.5...........WINNER

UTA at LAC 10:00 PM
UTA -3.5..........114 - 96.....WINNER
U 227.0................WINNER

MIA at GS 10:00 PM
GS -1.5.......112 - 120......WINNER
O 222.5............WINNER



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb. 17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
Feb. 12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
Feb. 11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
Feb. 10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
Feb. 09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
Feb. 08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
Feb. 07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb. 06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb. 05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb. 04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb. 02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS..................85 - 71.....-+34.50


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday?s 6-pack
Odds for this week?s Genesis Invitational golf event:
6-1? Dustin Johnson
12-1? Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm
14-1? Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele
16-1? Bryson DeChambeau
18-1? Patrick Cantlay
22-1? Brooks Koepka

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 488,352
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I?ve never wished a man dead, but I have read some obituaries with great pleasure.?
Clarence Darrow

Thursday?s quiz
Where did Carson Wentz play his college football?

Wednesday?s quiz
NCIS star Mark Harmon was a college QB; he played at UCLA.

Tuesday?s quiz
Clippers? Steve Ballmer is wealthiest owner in NBA; he is worth $51B, that?s billion, with a B

***************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??..

13) San Diego Padres gave 22-year old SS Fernando Tatis Jr. a 14-year, $340M contract last night, a lot of $$$$ to give to a young man who has played in 143 big league games, over two years. Tatis has .301 with 39 homers, 98 RBI over those two seasons- big production.

I have to remind myself that San Diego is the 8th-biggest city in the country, so even though they?ve never won much, they are a big market team.

12) Do casinos post fake bets for publicity? The other day, BetMGM posted that a $10,000 bet was made on the Washington Wizards to win the NBA title this season. There are people who are rich/stupid enough to just throw away serious money?

Right now, Washington is 9-17, three games out of a playoff spot; I have a better shot at dating Gina Gershon than the Wizards have at winning the NBA title this year (stop laughing).

11) While I wait for Ms Gershon to contact me, the Baseball America Prospects Handbook came in the mail Tuesday, so I have a lot of reading to do. Each team?s top 30 prospects are profiled, it helps me a lot during fantasy baseball season.

Had to be tougher boo to put together this year, since there was no minor league season last year. Prospects who played at the teams? site last summer did so under a cloud of secrecy.

10) The way it stands now, Ben Roethlisberger is a $41.2M salary cap hit for the Steelers next fall; they?re expected to re-do his contract somehow. Seems like March is going to be a wild time for the league and a lot of its quarterbacks, even some famous ones.

If they release Big Ben, he would still be a $21M+ cap hit; who could they get that is better?

9) Nebraska-Illinois football game was supposed to be played in Ireland August 28; they?ll play in Champaign instead.

8) Utah Jazz coach Quin Snyder is going to coach the West All-Stars in the March 7 All-Star Game; he?ll be the first Jazz coach since Frank Layden in 1984 to coach an All-Star team.

7) Bulls 105, Pistons 102:
? In his last six games, Chicago?s Zach LaVine is 52-94 inside the arc, 29-50 outside the arc.
? LaVine is scoring 28+ ppg; he had 37 in this game. This is a young man who scored 9 ppg in his only year of college, at UCLA. He has worked really hard to become a skilled scorer.

6) VCU 68, Richmond 56? Spiders hadn?t played a D-I game in 22 days, and it showed. These two local rivals meet again on March 6.

5) USC 89, Arizona State 71? Trojans have won 7 in row, 13 of last 14 games; the Mobley brothers work great together inside. Plus, the Trojans made 11-20 3-pointers.

4) NC State 74, Pitt 73
? To borrow a hockey term, this was a chippy game, several technical fouls.
? Both teams shot 60%+ inside the arc.
? Pitt star Champagne was 3-11 from floor, 11-16 on foul line.
? Wolfpack has won 11 games in a row over Pitt.

3) Kentucky 82, Vanderbilt 78
? Wildcats? last three games were decided by 1-2-4 points.
? Calipari is milking every drop he can out of a sub-par roster; they led this game 25-8 and were still life-and-death to win.
? Vanderbilt fired Bryce Drew after he went 16-38 in three SEC seasons; Jerry Stackhouse is now 5-24 in SEC play in his 2nd season at Vandy. Winning at Vandy is a tough job.

2) Apparently, some of the NBA?s best players are queasy about participating in NBA-sponsored public service announcements to people accepting the coronavirus vaccine.

This is above my salary grade, but for the love of Pete, listen to the scientists; they?re really smart people who are a very diverse group of people. They won very hard to find medicines that will help us stay healthy.

Lot of people might go get a vaccine because an NBA player endorses it, and those people would then have a better chance of staying healthy, and so would the rest of us.

1) First day of spring training was a rough day for my Oakland A?s; P Frankie Montas tested positive for COVID, C Sean Murphy has a collapsed lung. Other than that, things were great.

 

[Cnotes53]

569TORONTO -570 MILWAUKEE
TORONTO is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

569TORONTO -570 MILWAUKEE
Nick Nurse is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots (Coach of TORONTO)

571BROOKLYN -572 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games off a road win over the last 2 seasons.

573MIAMI -574 SACRAMENTO
MIAMI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, February 18

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 18

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TORONTO (13 - 15) at MILWAUKEE (16 - 12) - 2/18/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 152-114 ATS (+26.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 8-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-7 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (18 - 12) at LA LAKERS (22 - 7) - 2/18/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 23-45 ATS (-26.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (11 - 17) at SACRAMENTO (12 - 15) - 2/18/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MIAMI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 18

Toronto @ Milwaukee
Raptors (13-15)
? Toronto won/covered six of its last nine games.
? Raptors are 7-3 ATS in last ten road games.
? Eight of last ten Toronto games went over the total.

Bucks (16-12)
? Milwaukee lost last four games, giving up 123.0 ppg.
? Bucks are 8-4 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 7-4 in Milwaukee?s last 11 games.

? Toronto won six of last nine series games.
? Raptors are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
? Six of last seven series games stayed under.

Brooklyn @ LA Lakers
Nets (18-12)
? Brooklyn won/covered their last four games.
? Nets are 4-6 ATS in last ten road games.
? 21 of last 24 Brooklyn games went over the total.
? Durant (hamstring) isn?t expected to play: Irving is probable.

Lakers (22-7)
? Lakers are 8-1 SU in last eight games, 2-4 ATS in last six.
? Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten home games.
? Over is 5-1 in their last six games.

? Brooklyn won three of last four series games.
? Nets are 2-2-1 ATS in last five series games played here.
? Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

Miami @ Sacramento
Heat (11-17)
? Miami lost its last three games, giving up 119 ppg.
? Heat is 5-9 ATS on the road this season.
? Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
? Four Miami guys played 39:00+ in an OT loss last night.

Kings (12-16)
? Sacramento lost its last four games, by 8-11-14-11 points.
? Kings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.
? Over is 12-3 in their last 15 home games.

? Kings won five of last seven series games.
? Miami covered once in last five visits to Sacramento.
? Three of last four series games stayed under.




NBA

Thursday, February 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Toronto @ Milwaukee
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 10 games
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games

Brooklyn @ LA Lakers
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Brooklyn's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 21 of Brooklyn's last 24 games
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Lakers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Miami @ Sacramento
Miami
Miami is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Miami's last 19 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home


-----------------------------------------------------------------------


Hoop Trends for Thursday February 18
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Heat are 10-0 ATS (6.70 ppg) as a favorite off a road game where Tyler Herro attempted more three pointers than two pointers.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Kings are 0-9 ATS (-10.11 ppg) at home after they scored more than 50 points in the paint.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Kings are 19-0 OU (13.95 ppg) as a dog with rest coming off a home game that had 8+ lead changes.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Toronto at Milwaukee (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Raptors are 0-8 OU (-14.94 ppg) off a win as a dog in which Norman Powell took fewer than 10 shots.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 18
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TOR at MIL 07:30 PM
TOR +6.0.............110 - 96......WINNER
U 235.5................WINNER

BK at LAL 10:00 PM
LAL -2.5......109 - 98 .......LOSER
U 231.5..........WINNER

MIA at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC +1.0.....118 - 110......LOSER
U 227.0..........LOSER


NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:
Feb. 18,2021...........3 - 3.........-1.50
Feb. 17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
Feb. 12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
Feb. 11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
Feb. 10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
Feb. 09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
Feb. 08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
Feb. 07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb. 06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb. 05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb. 04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb. 02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb. 01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS..................88 - 74.....-+33.00


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00