CNOTES 2020-2021 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

[Cnotes53]

Friday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the NBA title:
+220? LA Lakers
+400? Brooklyn
+550? LA Clippers
+750? Milwaukee
+1200? Utah
+1400? Philadelphia

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 493,113
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Tweet of the Day
?Before today: The Colts are just a QB away from being a Super Bowl contender.

After today: The Colts are still just a QB away from being a Super Bowl contender.?
Jordan Moore

Friday?s quiz
Which college basketball conference has the most teams in it?

Thursday?s quiz
Carson Wentz played his college football at North Dakota State.

Wednesday?s quiz
NCIS star Mark Harmon was a college QB; he played at UCLA.

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Friday?s Den: Random stuff on a snowy night??.

13) Eagles traded QB Carson Wentz to Indianapolis, for a 3rd round pick in April?s draft and a 2nd round pick in 2022, which could become a 1st round pick if Wentz plays well.

Eagles won a Super Bowl since drafting Wentz, but he got hurt late in the Super Bowl season and Nick Foles led the team to their playoff wins. Wentz went 14-26 ATS the last three years; he will be reunited with Frank Reich, one of his OC?s in Philadelphia.

12) Colts? starting QB?s over the last three years, and next year:
2018: Andrew Luck
2019: Jacoby Brissett
2020: Philip Rivers
2021: Carson Wentz

11) From 2009-2016, there were 22 quarterbacks taken in the first round of the draft; of those 22 QB?s, none of them are still on the team that drafted them. Zero.

10) This list will grow: NFL teams that will have a new starting QB in September:
? Rams (Stafford)
? Lions (Goff)
? Colts (Wentz)
? Eagles (Hurts)
? Saints (????)

9) Phillies catcher JT Realmuto signed a five-year, $115M contract this winter, then broke his right thumb on the first day of spring training. Not good. He is expected to miss a month, could be ready for Opening Day.

8) They?re really going to have the dunk contest at halftime of the All-Star Game? How long does the freakin? dunk contest take? Has to be close to an hour, yes?

You?re going to tell the highest-paid players in the NBA that they have to sit around for an hour, then play ball for another half? What if one of them gets hurt? How is this a good idea? Have the dunk contest after the game- people who care about it will still watch.

7) When I?m watching basketball this season and coaches are wearing masks, if the guy has a suit and tie on, it looks weird. Like it better when coaches wear casual clothes.

6) Caesars Sportsbook posted the Dodgers? win total this season at 104.5, the highest total for any team over the last 32 seasons.

Pittsburgh?s total is 58, the lowest total since the 1993 Marlins.

5) Minor league baseball teams will play 6-game series this season, to reduce travel and save money. Season will also last 2-3 weeks longer, ending in late September, which will reduce the amount of late season call-ups.

4) Weird moment in the Kentucky-Vanderbilt game Wednesday night; Kentucky had the ball out of bounds under, but just before the ref hands the kid the ball to start play, they realize Kentucky has six guys on the court. Technical foul, not good. Doesn?t happen very often.

The benches in Vanderbilt?s arena are on the baseline, which is weird and probably added to the confusion, but it still wasn?t good. Kentucky led by 17 early, hung on and won by 3.

3) Klay Thompson finished 9th in All-Star voting among Western Conference guards; he?s played as much as I have this year. How do you vote for a guy to make the All-Star team who hasn?t played a second this season?

2) I had forgotten that Tony LaRussa is managing the White Sox this season; they?ve improved their roster and big things are expected. LaRussa is 76 years old; he hasn?t managed in 10 years.

1) Second day of spring training was a better one for my Oakland A?s; they signed 1B/DH Mitch Moreland, P Trevor Rosenthal. After trading DH Khris Davis, they needed another bat.

 

[Cnotes53]

501GOLDEN STATE -502 ORLANDO
GOLDEN STATE is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

505CHICAGO -506 PHILADELPHIA
CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game in the current season.

507ATLANTA -508 BOSTON
ATLANTA is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

509DETROIT -510 MEMPHIS
DETROIT is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

511OKLAHOMA CITY -512 MILWAUKEE
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

513PHOENIX -514 NEW ORLEANS
PHOENIX is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

515TORONTO -516 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

517DALLAS -518 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

519UTAH -520 LA CLIPPERS
UTAH is 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite in the current season.

575DENVER -576 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.


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NBA
Dunkel

Friday, February 19

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 19

Golden State @ Orlando
Warriors (16-13)
? Golden State won four of its last five games.
? Warriors are 3-1 ATS in last four road games.
? Four of their last six games stayed under.

Magic (11-18)
? Orlando lost ten of its last 13 games.
? Magic is 3-6 ATS in last nine home games.
? Under is 5-0 in their last five games.

? Golden State won eight of last ten series games.
? Warriors covered three of last four visits to Orlando.
? Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Denver @ Cleveland
Nuggets (15-13)
? Denver is 4-6 in its last ten games overall.
? Nuggets lost last five road games, by 10-21-5-13-2 points.
? Over is 10-4 in Denver?s last 14 games.

Cavaliers (10-19)
? Cleveland lost its last eight games (0-11 ATS last 11).
? Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in last four home games.
? Four of Cavaliers? last five games went over the total.

? Denver won six of last nine series games.
? Nuggets are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Cleveland.
? Four of last six series games stayed under.

Chicago @ Philadelphia
Bulls (12-15)
? Chicago is 5-4 in its last nine games SU.
? Bulls are 9-3 ATS on the road this season.
? Over is 7-2 in their last nine games overall.

76ers (19-10)
? 76ers lost four of their last seven games.
? Sixers are 9-4 ATS in last 13 home games.
? Over is 4-0 in Philly?s last four games overall.

? 76ers won seven of last eight series games.
? Bulls are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Philly.
? Over is 3-1 in last four series games played here.

Atlanta @ Boston
Hawks (12-16)
? Atlanta lost four of five, seven of last nine games.
? Hawks are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games.
? Seven of Atlanta?s eight games went over the total.

Celtics (14-14)
? Boston lost five of its last even games.
? Celtics are 8-4 ATS at home this season.
? Under is 3-1 in last four Boston games.

? Boston won 7 of last 8 series games (1-4 ATS last five)
? Hawks are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Boston.
? Over is 5-2 in last seven series games played here.

Detroit @ Memphis
Pistons (8-20)
? Detroit won three of its last five games, covered four of last six.
? Pistons are 2-4-3 ATS in last nine road games.
? Under is 6-4 in Detroit?s last ten games.

Grizzlies (12-12)
? Memphis won three of its last five games.
? Grizzlies are 5-7-1 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games.

? Teams split last eight series games.
? Pistons are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Memphis.
? Three of last four series games stayed under.

Oklahoma City @ Milwaukee
Thunder (11-17)
? Thunder lost five of last six games (4-2 ATS)
? OKC covered six of its last seven road games.
? Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten road games.

Bucks (16-13)
? Milwaukee lost last five games, giving up 1118.4 ppg.
? Bucks are 8-6 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 4-2 in Milwaukee?s last six games.

? Teams split last six series games.
? Thunder is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
? Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Phoenix @ New Orleans
Suns (17-10)
? Phoenix won/covered nine of its last 11 games.
? Suns are 7-4 ATS on the road this season.
? Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Pelicans (12-16)
? New Orleans lost four of its last five games overall.
? Pelicans are 5-3 ATS in their last eight home games.
? Over is 13-2-2 in their last 17 games.

? Phoenix won four of last six series games.
? Suns are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Bourbon Street.
? Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Toronto @ Minnesota
Raptors (14-15)
? Toronto won/covered seven of its last ten games.
? Raptors are 8-3 ATS in last 11 road games.
? Eight of last 11 Toronto games went over the total.

Timberwolves (7-22)
? Minnesota lost six of last seven, 16 of its last 20 games.
? Wolves are 4-5 ATS in their last nine home games.
? Five of last seven Minnesota games went over the total.

? Toronto won five of last six series games.
? Raptors are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Minnesota.
? Four of last six series games stayed under the total.

Utah @ LA Clippers
Jazz (24-5)
? Utah won nine in row, 20 of its last 21 games (19-1-1 ATS).
? Jazz is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games.
? Under is 6-2 in Utah?s last eight road games.

Clippers (21-9)
? Clippers won four of their last five games overall.
? Clippers are 5-4 ATS in last nine games at Staples.
? Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.

? Jazz won/covered four of last five series games.
? Utah won 114-96 here two nights ago.
? Four of last five series games stayed under the total.


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NBA

Friday, February 19

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Trend Report
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Golden State @ Orlando
Golden State
Golden State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Orlando
Golden State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Golden State

Denver @ Cleveland
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Denver's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Denver

Atlanta @ Boston
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Chicago @ Philadelphia
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago

Detroit @ Memphis
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 13 games on the road
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit

Oklahoma City @ Milwaukee
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing Oklahoma City

Phoenix @ New Orleans
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing New Orleans
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Phoenix

Toronto @ Minnesota
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games

Utah @ LA Clippers
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games


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NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, February 19

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GOLDEN STATE (16 - 13) at ORLANDO (11 - 18) - 2/19/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (12 - 15) at PHILADELPHIA (19 - 10) - 2/19/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 77-51 ATS (+20.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (12 - 16) at BOSTON (14 - 14) - 2/19/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 64-49 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (8 - 20) at MEMPHIS (12 - 12) - 2/19/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 55-84 ATS (-37.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (11 - 17) at MILWAUKEE (16 - 13) - 2/19/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 55-37 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 152-115 ATS (+25.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 62-42 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 298-361 ATS (-99.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (17 - 10) at NEW ORLEANS (12 - 16) - 2/19/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (14 - 15) at MINNESOTA (7 - 22) - 2/19/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 254-208 ATS (+25.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 37-53 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-28 ATS (-21.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-46 ATS (-20.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (24 - 5) at LA CLIPPERS (21 - 9) - 2/19/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
UTAH is 19-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (15 - 13) at CLEVELAND (10 - 19) - 2/19/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CLEVELAND is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CLEVELAND is 232-286 ATS (-82.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Hoop Trends for Friday February 19
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Jazz are 19-0 ATS (9.16 ppg) as a favorite off a win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Golden State at Orlando (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Magic are 0-14 ATS (-9.50 ppg) as a home dog with less than two days rest.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Phoenix at New Orleans (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Pelicans are 11-0-1 OU (13.50 ppg) when Lonzo Ball made more three pointers than two pointers last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Denver at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Cavaliers are 0-11-1 OU (-12.42 ppg) at home with more than two days of rest coming off a 10+ point loss.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 19
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

GS at ORL 07:00 PM
GS -4.0..........120 - 124.........LOSER
U 224.0...............LOSER

DEN at CLE 07:00 PM
DEN -8.5..................120 - 103
U 225.5......................WINNER

ATL at BOS 07:30 PM
ATL +4.0..........109 - 121.....LOSER
O 226.0............WINNER

CHI at PHI 07:30 PM
CHI +8.0.......105 - 112.....WINNER
O 228.5...........LOSER

OKC at MIL 08:00 PM
OKC +10.5........85 - 98....LOSER
U 231.5.............WINNER

PHO at NO 08:00 PM
NO +3.5.........132 - 114.....LOSER
O 230.5........................WINNER

DET at MEM 08:00 PM
MEM -4.5.......95 - 109..........WINNER
U 219.5

TOR at MIN 09:00 PM
TOR -2.5.........86 - 81.........WINNER
U 226.0...................WINNER

UTA at LAC 10:00 PM
UTA -5.0......112 - 116.........LOSER
U 224.5.............LOSER


NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb.19,2021...........8 - 8.........-4.00
Feb.18,2021...........3 - 3.........-1.50
Feb.17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
Feb.12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
Feb.11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
Feb.10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
Feb.09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
Feb.08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
Feb.07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb.06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb.05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb.04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb.02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS..................96 - 82.....-+29.00


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

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December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the home run title this season:
12-1? Mike Trout, Ronald Acuna
14-1? Juan Soto
16-1? Joey Gallo
18-1? Eloy Jimenez
20-1? Pete Alonso, Cody Bellinger, Aaron Judge
25-1? Vladimir Guerrero, Giancarlo Stanton

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 495,207
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I?ll tell my kids one day I played with Joel Embiid. When they?ll ask me who is the best player I ever played with, I?ll say Joel Embiid. It?s an honor to be out there with him on the floor.?
Tobias Harris, Embiid?s teammate

Saturday?s quiz
Which colleges sports teams are known as the Anteaters?

Friday?s quiz
ACC (15) is the college basketball conference that has the most teams in it.

Thursday?s quiz
Carson Wentz played his college football at North Dakota State.

*********************

Saturday?s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here

13) This is what politicians/public servants are SUPPOSED TO DO:

In Texas this week, Beto O?Rourke organized volunteers to make more than 784,000 wellness calls to senior citizens around the state, to make sure they?re OK.

Common decency shouldn?t be a partisan issue; O?Rourke is a private citizen now, but he still has influence and he used it to try to help people this week. Good for him.

12) Long time ago, 40 or so years ago, I was student manager of the basketball team at UAlbany, when the Great Danes were a Division III team. A great learning experience, made lot of friends because of it; I was thinking of this story tonight and it made me smile:

Albany had a JV team; this is February 1980. The JV team had several injuries, one of whom was Jody MacDonald, who is now a sports talk host in Philadelphia; our team was down to six guys, so for two interesting nights, I suited up as the JV?s 7th player.

Because part of my job as student manager was dealing with the officials before games, I knew most of them; this was my junior year. I?m in the layup line, knowing I wasn?t going to play but trying to look like an actual player during warmups. I hear a voice behind me.

?Remember, no dunking in warmups? one of the refs says to me, then smiles and walks away. Just what we need, a smart-ass official. 🙂

Never got into either game I suited up for, but I did play in one scrimmage on our Sweden trip the following summer. I shot too much and was quickly yanked; go figure.

11) Seems strange to me that NBA teams haven?t seen the second half of their schedules yet, but in the COVID era, the league wanted flexibility in how they?re scheduling.

10) Bill Walton was telling a story Thursday night about how Michael Jordan?s first college choice was UCLA, but Larry Brown, then UCLA?s coach, wasn?t interested. I?ve never heard that one before; the whole course of college basketball would?ve changed.

Ironic that Larry Brown is a North Carolina alum.

9) I listen to podcasts a lot; can learn a lot from diverse sources, which is a good thing.

Rams? GM Les Snead does a podcast with his wife, Kara Henderson; I?m listening to them as I type this, talking to poker pro Annie Duke about decision-making, and how decisions are made, and all the things that go into making good decisions.

Snead?s job has a lot of decision making; you wouldn?t think an NFL GM would take knowledge from a poker pro, but smart people listen to other smart people.

8) Boise State 81, Utah State 77:
? Broncos sweep Utah State, improve to 18-4, 14-3 in conference
? Mountain West is looking like a 2-bid league, with San Diego State looking solid.

7) Dayton 76, Saint Louis 53? Flyers sweep Saint Louis; they were up 20 at the half in this game. Not sure what to make of the Billikens; they had a 34-day COVID pause in January, are now only 4-3 in the A-14. They?re looking more and more like an NIT team.

6) UAB 76, Old Dominion 69:
? Brickfest: teams combined to shoot 7-32 on the arc.
? Andy Kennedy?s Blazers are 17-4, 10-3 in Conference USA, in Kennedy?s first season.
? UAB was +11 (20-9) in turnovers.

5) Iona 91, Monmouth 86:
? Rick Pitino?s Gaels are 7-5, 5-3 in the MAAC.
? Monmouth coach King Rice got tossed for carping to refs; in an empty gym, the yelling just sounds louder than it probably is.

Pitino has said that he believes in the Gonzaga/Saint Mary?s model of recruiting for mid-majors; 40-50% (6 or 7 players) being from foreign countries. Interesting strategy.

4) Baseball stuff:
? Mets gave P Taijuan Walker $20M for two years.
? Pirates gave 1B/3B Todd Frazier a minor league deal.

3) Lakers? star Anthony Davis (calf/achilles) is out for at least four weeks.

2) Get well soon to Indianas? manager Terry Francona, who had offseason surgery to address a staph infection in his big toe- he is still wearing a walking boot.

Everyone you listen to says that Francona is a good dude; he?s also been a successful manager, ending the Curse of the Bambino with the 2004 Red Sox. Baseball is better if he is involved.

Random trivia you probably already knew: Francona was manager of the Birmingham Barons in the AA Southern League, the year Michael Jordan played for the Barons.

1) A 111-year old woman in South Carolina got the COVID vaccine this week, the oldest person to do so.

Maria Aulenbacher attributes living such a long life to a few things: staying active and reading every day (she particularly favors historical books and non-fiction), a glass of red wine with lunch, and a beer with dinner. Good for her.

 

[Cnotes53]

523GOLDEN STATE -524 CHARLOTTE
GOLDEN STATE is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

525PHOENIX -526 MEMPHIS
PHOENIX is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

529SACRAMENTO -530 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

531MIAMI -532 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 23-46 ATS (-27.6 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

533WASHINGTON -534 PORTLAND
WASHINGTON is 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 20

Golden State @ Charlotte
Warriors (16-14)
? Golden State won four of its last six games.
? Warriors are 3-2 ATS in last five road games.
? Three of their last four games went over.

Hornets (13-15)
? Charlotte hasn?t played since Sunday.
? Charlotte lost four of its last seven games.
? Hornets are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
? Under is 3-2 in Charlotte?s last five games.

? Teams split last six series games.
? Warriors covered four of last five visits to Charlotte.
? Eight of last nine series games stayed under.

Miami @ LA Lakers
Heat (12-17)
? Miami lost three of its last four games, giving up 117.2 ppg.
? Heat is 6-9 ATS on the road this season.
? Over is 3-0 in their last three games.

Lakers (22-8)
? Lakers are 8-2 SU in last ten games, 2-5 ATS in last seven.
? Lakers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
? Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

? Lakers won eight of last ten series games.
? Miami is 3-2 ATS in last five series games played here.
? Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Sacramento @ Chicago
Kings (12-16)
? Sacramento lost its last five games, by 8-11-14-11-8 points.
? Kings covered their last five road games.
? Over is 13-3 in their last 16 home games.

Bulls (12-16)
? Chicago is 5-5 in its last ten games SU.
? Bulls are 2-6-1 ATS in last nine home games.
? Over is 7-3 in their last ten games overall.

? Sacramento won six of last seven series games.
? Kings are 4-0-1 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
? Three of last four series games went over.

Phoenix @ Memphis
Suns (18-10)
? Phoenix won/covered 10 of its last 12 games.
? Suns are 8-4 ATS on the road this season.
? Over is 5-1 in their last six games.

Grizzlies (13-12)
? Memphis won four of its last six games.
? Grizzlies are 6-7-1 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games.

? Memphis won seven of last eight series games.
? Suns are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Tennessee.
? Last five series games stayed under the total.

Washington @ Portland
Wizards (9-17)
? Wizards won their last three games overall.
? Washington is 2-5 ATS in last seven road games.
? Under is 6-1 in Wizards? last seven road games.

Trailblazers (18-10)
? Portland won nine of last 11 games, covered 10 of last 12.
? Blazers won/covered their last three home games.
? Over is 11-4 in Portland?s last 15 games.
? Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out

? Blazers won/covered last four games.
? Washington is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Portland.
? Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.




NBA

Saturday, February 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Golden State @ Charlotte
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

Miami @ LA Lakers
Miami
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 13 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
LA Lakers is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami

Sacramento @ Chicago
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Chicago is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Phoenix @ Memphis
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Phoenix is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games

Washington @ Portland
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 14 games when playing Portland
Portland
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


---------------------------------------------------


NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, February 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (16 - 14) at CHARLOTTE (13 - 15) - 2/20/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 204-255 ATS (-76.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 68-96 ATS (-37.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (18 - 10) at MEMPHIS (13 - 12) - 2/20/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 185-141 ATS (+29.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (12 - 16) at CHICAGO (12 - 16) - 2/20/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 50-76 ATS (-33.6 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
CHICAGO is 146-195 ATS (-68.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (12 - 17) at LA LAKERS (22 - 8) - 2/20/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 23-46 ATS (-27.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 182-228 ATS (-68.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 8-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (9 - 17) at PORTLAND (18 - 10) - 2/20/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 146-190 ATS (-63.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 24-47 ATS (-27.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, February 20

-------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 20
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

GS at CHA 08:00 PM
CHA +2.0.....100 - 102.....WINNER
U 234.0...................WINNER

MIA at LAL 08:30 PM
MIA +3.5..........96 - 94.......WINNER
U 208.0............WINNER

SAC at CHI 09:00 PM
SAC -2.0........114 - 122
O 235.0...............WINNER

PHO at MEM 09:00 PM
PHO -4.0............128 - 97........WINNER
U 225.5.................WINNER

WAS at POR 10:00 PM
POR -4.5.......118 - 111....LOSER
O 242.0............LOSER


NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb.20,2021...........7 - 2........+24.00
Feb.19,2021...........8 - 8.........-4.00
Feb.18,2021...........3 - 3.........-1.50
Feb.17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
Feb.12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
Feb.11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
Feb.10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
Feb.09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
Feb.08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
Feb.07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb.06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb.05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb.04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb.02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS.................103 - 84.....-+53.00


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday?s 6-pack
Six of Arizona Diamondbacks? top prospects:
1) Corbin Carroll, OF
2) Daulton Varsho, C/OF
3) Geraldo Perdomo, SS
6) Slade Cecconi, P
9) Pavin Smith, 1B/OF
10) Corbin Martin, P

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 497,532
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?Dreams really do come true. I?m completely depleted, I left everything out there. I thought maybe I was going to run in the top seven, eight? I completely surprised myself. In coming up to a bigger series like this, these are some of the guys I dreamed of racing. I?m a train wreck right now.?
18-year old Ty Gibbs, who won his Xfinity Series (car racing) debut Saturday. Ty Gibbs is the grandson of the great football coach Joe Gibbs

Sunday?s quiz
Who was coach of the Knicks when they won their only two NBA titles?

Saturday?s quiz
Cal-Irvine?s sports teams are known as the Anteaters.

Friday?s quiz
ACC (15) is the college basketball conference that has the most teams in it.

*************************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Something to consider when filling out your brackets next month:

There have been only six national champions who didn?t win either:
a) the regular season title in their league, or
b) the conference tournament in their league. One or the other.

Last two teams to do it: UConn in 2014, Duke 2015.

12) North Carolina 99, Louisville 54:
? Louisville has had two COVID pauses; they lost by 37-45 points in their return games.
? Apparently Louisville requested this game be moved to Sunday, so they could have a couple more players eligible to play. North Carolina declined; will there be hard feelings?

11) West Virginia 84, Texas 82:
? Texas led 62-43 with 18:18 left in the game.
? Two Longhorn players had to be separated from each other during a timeout with 15:52 left to play. West Virginia outscored Texas 34-18 the rest of the game.
? Texas is 3-5 in its last eight games.
? West Virginia was 26-37 on the foul line, Longhorns 4-10.

10) Arizona 81, USC 72:
? Loss snaps Trojans? 7-game win streak.
? Arizona has five starters, from five different countries.

9) South Alabama 56, Appalachian State 54:
? Jaguars have won 8 in a row, the last seven by 6 or fewer points.
? South Alabama played 6 guys in this game; that almost never happens.
? Kayo Goncalves was 6-16 from floor; all 3-pointers. No foul shots.

8) Michigan State 78, Indiana 71:
? Spartans are 11-9 overall, 5-9 in the Big 14.
? Michigan State hasn?t missed the NCAA?s since 1997.

7) Upsets of the Day (it was an upsetting day):
? George Mason (+11.5) 79, VCU 76 OT
? DePaul (+11.5) 88, St John?s 83
? Cal-Fullerton (+9.5) 67, Cal-Irvine 64
? Eastern Illinois (+8.5) 76, Austin Peay 69
? Cal-San Diego (+7.5) 83, Cal-Riverside 82
? Marist (+7.5) 51, Saint Peter?s 50
? Arizona (+7.5) 81, USC 72
? Kentucky (+7.5) 70, Tennessee 55

6) Washington State 85, Stanford 76, 3OT:
? Stanford didn?t score in the third OT.
? Wazzu trailed by 8 in 2nd half; they were 13-40 on the arc, 14-35 inside arc.
? Costly loss for Stanford, which is squarely on the bubble.

5) Syracuse 75, Notre Dame 67:
? Notre Dame was up 59-39 with 16:49 left in the game.
? Buddy Boeheim (yes, his son) scored 29 points.

4) Hornets 102, Warriors 100? Draymond Green got two technicals with 0:09 left, and Golden State up two; this is not ideal. Charlotte made the two foul shots, tied the game, then won it on a jumper from the corner as time expired.

Golden State isn?t a great team anymore; they?re 16-15, a marginal playoff team. Giving away games like this one is damaging.

3) LSU 104, Auburn 80? Auburn is #346 in experience, #34 in tempo. They?re fun to watch, but they?ve been getting pounded, giving up 80+ points in seven of their last eight games.

This game had a total of 166, the biggest total in a college game this season, and it went over, by 18 points. ESPN?s Dalen Cuff was openly talking about the total on air during the game, which is unusual. Seems like ESPN is trying very hard to promote their show Daily Wager.

2) Baylor is 17-0 and is heavily favored to make the Final Four, but they haven?t played in three weeks; how many games will Baylor need to play before the tournament, to get their legs back, if they?re going to make the Final Four?

NCAA Tournament starts March 18-19, that?s 25 days from now.

1) Selection Sunday is three weeks away; I have no idea what?s going to happen between now and then, and neither do you. This is unchartered territory; games will be added to schedules on the fly, some teams won?t want to add games, because they?re secure in the Field of 68.

One thing to remember going forward; every player can come back and play next season; no one loses any eligibility. If you think this regular season has been weird, wait until the transfer season begins this spring.

 

[Cnotes53]

535BOSTON -536 NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS are 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

537PHILADELPHIA -538 TORONTO
PHILADELPHIA is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the last 3 seasons.

539DETROIT -540 ORLANDO
Steve Clifford is 24-8 ATS (15.2 Units) after scoring 120 points or more (Coach of ORLANDO)

539DETROIT -540 ORLANDO
ORLANDO is 24-8 ATS (15.2 Units) after scoring 120 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

541OKLAHOMA CITY -542 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.

543MINNESOTA -544 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games off a road loss in the last 3 seasons.

545DENVER -546 ATLANTA
DENVER is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

547BROOKLYN -548 LA CLIPPERS
BROOKLYN is 30-13 ATS (15.7 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

549SACRAMENTO -550 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.


***************************


NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 21

Boston @ New Orleans
Celtics (15-14)
? Boston is 4-6 SU in its last ten games.
? Celtics are 3-7 ATS in last ten road games.
? Over is 6-4 in last ten Boston games.

Pelicans (12-17)
? New Orleans lost five of its last six games overall.
? Pelicans are 3-4 ATS in their last seven home games.
? Over is 14-2-2 in their last 18 games.

? Teams split last eight series games.
? Celtics are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Bourbon Street.
? Under is 4-1 in last five series games played here.

Oklahoma City @ Cleveland
Thunder (11-18)
? Thunder lost six of last seven games (0-3 ATS last three)
? OKC covered six of its last eight road games.
? Over is 6-4-1 in their last 11 road games.

Cavaliers (10-20)
? Cleveland lost its last nine games (0-12 ATS last 12).
? Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in last five home games.
? Four of Cavaliers? last six games went over the total.

? Thunder won six of last seven series games.
? OKC covered three of last five visits to Cleveland.
? Three of last four series games stayed under.

Detroit @ Orlando
Pistons (8-21)
? Detroit lost seven of its last ten games, covered four of last seven.
? Pistons are 2-5-3 ATS in last ten road games.
? Under is 7-4 in Detroit?s last 11 games.

Magic (12-18)
? Orlando won its last two games, after a 1-8 skid.
? Magic is 3-1 ATS in last four home games.
? Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

? Detroit won four of last six series games.
? Pistons are 2-4 ATS in last five visits to the Magic Kingdom.
? Four of last five series games went over.

Philadelphia @ Toronto
76ers (20-10)
? 76ers are 8-4 in their last dozen games.
? Sixers are 0-3 ATS in last three road games.
? Over is 4-1 in Philly?s last five games overall.

Raptors (15-15)
? Toronto won/covered eight of its last 11 games.
? Raptors are 9-3 ATS in last 12 road games.
? Under is 3-1 in last four Toronto games.

? Raptors won six of last nine series games.
? 76ers are 1-3 ATS in last four road series games.
? Under is 4-1-1 in last six series games.

Minnesota @ New York
Timberwolves (7-23)
? Minnesota lost seven of last eight, 17 of its last 21 games.
? Wolves are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
? Three of last four Minnesota games stayed under the total.

Knicks (14-16)
? New York won three of last four games (6-2 ATS last eight).
? Knicks are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
? Over is 4-1 in New York?s last five home games.

? Minnesota won last four series games (3-1 ATS)
? Timberwolves are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan.
? Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Denver @ Atlanta
Nuggets (16-13)
? Denver is 4-2 SU in its last six games overall.
? Nuggets lost five of last six road games (1-5 ATS)
? Over is 10-5 in Denver?s last 15 games.

Hawks (12-17)
? Atlanta lost five of six, eight of last ten games.
? Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
? Eight of Atlanta?s nine games went over the total.

? Hawks won seven of last ten series games.
? Nuggets covered once in last five visits to Atlanta
? Three of last four series games went over the total.

Brooklyn @ LA Clippers
Nets (19-12)
? Brooklyn won/covered their last five games.
? Nets are 4-0 ATS in last four road games.
? 21 of last 25 Brooklyn games went over the total.
? Durant (hamstring) isn?t expected to play.

Clippers (22-9)
? Clippers won five of their last six games overall.
? Clippers are 6-4 ATS in last ten games at Staples.
? Over is 9-2 in their last 11 games.

? Clippers won seven of last ten series games.
? Nets covered four of last five series games played here.
? Over is 7-1 in last eight series games.

Sacramento @ Milwaukee
Kings (12-17)
? Sacramento lost its last six games SU.
? Kings covered five of their last six road games.
? Under is 3-1 in their last four road games.

Bucks (17-13)
? Milwaukee lost five of their last six games.
? Bucks are 9-6 ATS at home this season.
? Under is 3-1 in Milwaukee?s last four games

? Bucks won last eight series games (6-2 ATS)
? Kings are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
? Last ten series games went over the total.


***************************


NBA

Sunday, February 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston @ New Orleans
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Boston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Orleans's last 13 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Cleveland
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 15 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Minnesota @ New York
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing New York
New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Detroit @ Orlando
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Philadelphia @ Toronto
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Denver @ Atlanta
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Denver's last 16 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

Brooklyn @ LA Clippers
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
LA Clippers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Sacramento @ Milwaukee
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento


-------------------------------------------------


NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (15 - 14) at NEW ORLEANS (12 - 17) - 2/21/2021, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 65-49 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (20 - 10) at TORONTO (15 - 15) - 2/21/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-8 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-6 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (8 - 21) at ORLANDO (12 - 18) - 2/21/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 55-85 ATS (-38.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (11 - 18) at CLEVELAND (10 - 20) - 2/21/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 62-43 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-12 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (7 - 23) at NEW YORK (14 - 16) - 2/21/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (16 - 13) at ATLANTA (12 - 17) - 2/21/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 165-125 ATS (+27.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (19 - 12) at LA CLIPPERS (22 - 9) - 2/21/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 81-61 ATS (+13.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (12 - 17) at MILWAUKEE (17 - 13) - 2/21/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 56-37 ATS (+15.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 299-361 ATS (-98.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 84-115 ATS (-42.5 Units) after allowing 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


___________________________



Hoop Trends for Sunday February 21
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Denver at Atlanta (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Hawks are 11-0 ATS (11.77 ppg) off a game as a dog where they were outscored in the paint by double digits.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at New York (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 0-13-1 ATS (-6.93 ppg) after Karl Anthony Towns was the high scorer last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Orlando (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Magic are 14-0 OU (10.96 ppg) after they had at least 30 assists last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at New York (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Knicks are 0-15 OU (-15.47 ppg) after Julius Randle had at least 5 turnovers last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)


****************************


NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, February 21

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 21
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BOS at NO 03:30 PM
NO +2.0..........115 - 120...WINNER
O 231.0..............WINNER

PHI at TOR 07:00 PM
PHI -3.0..........103 - 110....LOSER
U 223.5............WINNER

MIN at NY 07:00 PM
NY -3.0..........99 - 103
U 216.5..........WINNER

DET at ORL 07:00 PM
DET +2.0.....96 - 105.......LOSER
O 210.5........LOSER

OKC at CLE 07:00 PM
OKC -2.5.......117 - 101
U 219.5

DEN at ATL 07:30 PM
DEN -3.0..........115 - 123....LOSER
O 232.5..........WINNER

BK at LAC 08:00 PM
BK +6.5.......112 - 108.....WINNER
O 235.5.........LOSER

SAC at MIL 09:00 PM
SAC +10.0.........115 - 128......LOSER
O 238.5.........WINNER


NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb.21,2021...........7 - 6........+2.00
Feb.20,2021...........7 - 2........+24.00
Feb.19,2021...........8 - 8.........-4.00
Feb.18,2021...........3 - 3.........-1.50
Feb.17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
Feb.12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
Feb.11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
Feb.10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
Feb.09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
Feb.08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
Feb.07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb.06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb.05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb.04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb.02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS.................110 - 90.....-+55.00


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday?s 6-pack
Six of Atlanta Braves? top prospects:
1) Cristian Pache, OF
2) Ian Anderson, P? He?s from a suburb of Albany
3) Drew Waters, OF
5) Bryce Wilson, P
9) Braden Shewmake, SS
11) Michael Harris, OF

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 499,911
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I?m not happy unless I?m miserable.?
Knicks coach Tom Thibodeau

Monday?s quiz
Which actor on Law and Order was also a US Senator, and unsuccessfully tried to run for President?

Sunday?s quiz
Red Holzman was Knicks? coach when they won their only two NBA titles, in 1970, 1973

Saturday?s quiz
Cal-Irvine?s sports teams are known as the Anteaters.

***************************

Monday?s Den: Happy birthday, Dad??.

13) I?ve become a fan of listening to podcasts on my phone; if there aren?t any good movies on TV late at night, after the games are over, then I?ll put music on or listen to a podcast.

I?m a little concerned that podcasts have replaced writing in a lot of places, because our society is lazy, and running your mouth is easier than typing out your thoughts, but still, I?ve enjoyed learning stuff from listening to people who are smarter than I am.

Word of caution: There A LOT OF PODCASTS out there, so pick/choose things that interest you. My main interests are sports and movies; here are a few podcasts I listen to:

? The Moment, with Brian Koppelman (one of writers of Billions)
? Eye on College Basketball, a CBS production which is self-explanatory.
? The Mind of Miles, with former Nebraska hoop coach Tim Miles, who will have himself a nice career on TV if he chooses that option. He is upbeat and can really talk.
? Truth and Basketball, with George Karl and another guy- they get some good guests. Listened to an episode with Julius Erving the other night.
? 6 Ways to Sunday? Rams? GM Les Snead and his wife, Kara Henderson talk about interesting aspects of being an NFL GM that we might not usually think about.

Sports, politics, movies, music; its all out there. Its like eavesdropping on conversations, so if you choose smart, interesting people, you?ll get smarter while you?re being entertained.

12) Book recommendation: If you love pro basketball and you remember the ABA, then you have to read Loose Balls, which is basically an oral history of the ABA. The author interviewed a ton of people, then cut/pasted their answers and created this book, long before cut/paste was an actual thing.

Lot of great stories; some of it is obviously dated, seeing how the ABA ended 45 years ago, but the ABA is also highly underrated in basketball history. This book is worth reading.

11) Kid on Florida Atlantic?s baseball team hit two grand slams in one inning the other day, and they were his first two college at-bats. Not a bad way to start your career.

10) I?m in a 14-team fantasy baseball league; it is a dynasty league, so we have a 2-round draft every February, but otherwise keep our teams from year-to-year. This league has been going on since 2005; we?ve finished our draft already and now wait for spring training games to start this coming weekend. Every team gets four drop/adds per month.

I used to offer trades during the spring, but trading can be frustrating; only a couple guys will make deals that are fair exchanges. Few years ago, thought I had a trade wrapped up, but then the guy says, ?One more thing??throw in deGrom and we?ve got a deal? Ummm, no bueno.

9) Colorado Rockies are taking grief over dealing Nolan Arenado, and the prospect of Trevor Story also getting traded sometime this year, before he hits free agency. Last time Colorado signed a major league free agent?

December 21, 2018, they signed Daniel Murphy. Are they trying to win?

8) More bad news for the Rockies Sunday; 35-year old 1B/OF Ian Desmond is opting out for the second year in a row, to spend more time with his family. Desmond must?ve taken good care of his money; he has passed on $13.5M by sitting out last year/this year. He is a free agent after this season; why would a hitter willingly leave Denver?

7) One of the pitfalls of wagering on college basketball is that lot of teams have very little depth, and a turned ankle or foul trouble to one guy can cripple a team.

? Notre Dame-Syracuse game Saturday, both teams played 7 guys (Syracuse played an 8th kid, but only for 3:00)
? South Alabama is on a roll, winning 8 in a row; they played six guys Saturday. Six!!!

Lot of work keeping up with who is healthy/who isn?t. It is way worse this year because of teams pausing for COVID and games getting re-scheduled. Hopefully next season will be more normal.

6) When you hear a basketball announcer on TV say ?Eurostep? that?s his polite way of saying, ?the guy just walked but the ref didn?t call it.?

5) Atlantic 14 tournament has been jockeyed around some:
? Tournament was moved up to March 3-6 in Richmond, all except the final.
? A-14 final will be March 14 in Dayton, which is close to Indiana, where the whole NCAA Tournament will be played. Trying to minimize any possible COVID issues.

4) St Bonaventure 69, Davidson 58:
? Bonnies are 11-3, 9-3 in conference.
? Get a map, and find Olean, NY; it is in middle of nowhere, on Southern Tier of NY.
? How does Bonnies? coach Mark Schmidt not have a better job? He is a great coach.

Bonnies have 12 players, 2 freshmen, one sophomore, and NINE JUNIORS. They could be a really good team the next couple of years.

3) When I wrote tomorrow NBA?s page just before I started this page, was watching the Minnesota-Knicks game on TV. Knicks won a close game; just heard that after the game, the Timberwolves fired coach Ryan Saunders.

2) As if the last year hasn?t been weird enough, Saturday an NHL game was delayed for eight hours because the sun was out and the ice at the outdoor rink was melting. This was at the same time as the PGA event in Los Angeles being delayed because it was too windy out. Oy.

1) Today would?ve been my dad?s 95th birthday; he passed away six years ago, and I miss him every day. He was a quiet, patient person; somehow the patience didn?t get passed down to his son. 🙂

Back in the day, I wasn?t allowed to watch The Three Stooges on TV: my mother apparently thought I would start drilling people in the head with a wrench if I did, but when she went out, I would put The Three Stooges on (WSBK in Boston) and my dad would come in the room, shake his head at me, but five minutes later, he?d be laughing harder than I was. Every time.

My dad grew up in New York City, was a huge Brooklyn Dodgers fan; he loved golf, the Mets/Knicks/Giants, going to the racetrack at Saratoga and being around his family, and we loved being around him. Happy birthday dad; wish you were here.

 

[Cnotes53]

553CHICAGO -554 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

555MIAMI -556 OKLAHOMA CITY
MIAMI is 32-14 ATS (16.6 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

557MEMPHIS -558 DALLAS
DALLAS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

559PORTLAND -560 PHOENIX
PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the current season.

561CHARLOTTE -562 UTAH
UTAH is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the current season.

563WASHINGTON -564 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 23-47 ATS (-28.7 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.


***********************


NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 22

Chicago @ Houston
Bulls (13-16)
? Chicago won three of its last four games SU.
? Bulls are 10-4 ATS on road this season.
? Over is 7-3 in their last ten road games.

Rockets (11-17)
? Houston lost its last seven games (1-6 ATS).
? Rockets covered once in their last seven home games.
? Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

? Rockets won seven of last eight series games.
? Bulls are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
? Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Memphis @ Dallas
Grizzlies (13-13)
? Memphis is 4-3 SU in its last seven games.
? Grizzlies are 1-3 ATS in last four road games.
? Over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games.

Mavericks (13-15)
? Mavericks haven?t played in eight days.
? Dallas won four of its last five games; they?re 1-5 ATS in last six.
? Mavericks are 1-10 ATS in last 11 home games.
? Over is 12-2-1 in last 15 Dallas games.

? Mavericks won three of last four series games.
? Memphis covered three of last four visits to Dallas.
? Four of last five series games went over.

Miami @ Oklahoma City
Heat (13-17)
? Miami won six of its last nine games overall.
? Heat is 7-9 ATS on the road this season.
? Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

Thunder (12-18)
? Thunder lost six of last eight games (1-3 ATS last four)
? OKC is 3-8-1 ATS at home this season.
? Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

? Miami won three of last four series games.
? Heat is 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma.
? Four of last five series games went over.

Portland @ Phoenix
Trailblazers (18-11)
? Portland won nine of last 12 games, covered 10 of last 13.
? Blazers are 11-4 ATS on the road this season.
? Over is 11-5 in Portland?s last 16 games.
? Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out

Suns (19-10)
? Phoenix won/covered 11 of its last 13 games.
? Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
? Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

? Portland won eight of last ten series games.
? Trailblazers covered once in last four visits to Phoenix.
? Four of last six series games went over.

Charlotte @ Utah
Hornets (14-15)
? Charlotte won four of its last six games.
? Hornets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
? Over is 5-2 in Charlotte?s last seven road games.

Jazz (24-6)
? Utah won 20 of its last 22 games (19-2-1 ATS).
? Jazz is 8-2 ATS in its last ten home games.
? Over is 4-2 in Utah?s last six games overall.

? Jazz won last six series games.
? Hornets are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
? Under is 4-1 in last five series games played here.

Washington @ LA Lakers
Wizards (10-17)
? Wizards won their last four games overall.
? Washington is 7-5 ATS on road this season.
? Under is 7-1 in Wizards? last seven road games.

Lakers (22-9)
? Lakers lost three of last four games, are 2-6 ATS in last eight.
? Lakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.
? Under is 3-0 in their last three games.
? Anthony Davis (calf/achilles) is out here.

? Washington won five of last eight series games.
? Wizards are 2-4 ATS in last six series games played here.
? Under is 4-1 in last five series games.


*************************


NBA

Monday, February 22

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chicago @ Houston
Chicago
Chicago is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Chicago's last 20 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago

Memphis @ Dallas
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

Miami @ Oklahoma City
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 14 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Miami

Portland @ Phoenix
Portland
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Phoenix
Phoenix is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Phoenix is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Charlotte @ Utah
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte

Washington @ LA Lakers
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Washington


------------------------------------------


NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, February 22

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (13 - 16) at HOUSTON (11 - 17) - 2/22/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
HOUSTON is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-53 ATS (-18.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (13 - 17) at OKLAHOMA CITY (12 - 18) - 2/22/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 63-43 ATS (+15.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (13 - 13) at DALLAS (13 - 15) - 2/22/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 272-218 ATS (+32.2 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games this season.
DALLAS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (18 - 11) at PHOENIX (19 - 10) - 2/22/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PORTLAND is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 54-80 ATS (-34.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (14 - 15) at UTAH (24 - 6) - 2/22/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 27-50 ATS (-28.0 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 205-255 ATS (-75.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
UTAH is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games this season.
UTAH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
UTAH is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (10 - 17) at LA LAKERS (22 - 9) - 2/22/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 147-190 ATS (-62.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 57-85 ATS (-36.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 182-229 ATS (-69.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 2-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 2-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

----------------------------------------------


NBA
Dunkel

Monday, February 22

**********************


Hoop Trends for Monday February 22
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Phoenix (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Trail Blazers are 14-0 ATS (6.79 ppg) as a dog after a loss in which they led by double digits after the first quarter.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Phoenix (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 0-9 ATS (-14.72 ppg) as a home favorite off a win in which they scored a least 18 fast break points.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Memphis at Dallas (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Mavericks are 10-0 OU (18.65 ppg) coming off a game as a favorite.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Phoenix (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 0-12-1 OU (-10.81 ppg) as a favorite coming off a win in which they shot at least 50% on three pointers.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 22
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CHI at HOU 08:00 PM
HOU +1.0...........120 - 100....LOSER
O 226.0...........LOSER

MEM at DAL 08:30 PM
MEM +5.5..........92 - 101....LOSER
O 232.5........LOSER

POR at PHO 09:00 PM
POR +6.0.......100 - 132....LOSER
O 227.0...........WINNER

MIA at OKC 09:00 PM
MIA -6.5..........108 - 94
U 212.0........WINNER

CHA at UTA 09:00 PM
UTA -12.5..........110 - 132....WINNER
O 227.0

WAS at LAL 10:00 PM
WAS +7.0..........127 - 124
U 227.0.........LOSER



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb.22,2021...........3 - 6........-18.00
Feb.21,2021...........7 - 6........+2.00
Feb.20,2021...........7 - 2........+24.00
Feb.19,2021...........8 - 8.........-4.00
Feb.18,2021...........3 - 3.........-1.50
Feb.17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
Feb.12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
Feb.11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
Feb.10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
Feb.09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
Feb.08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
Feb.07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb.06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb.05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb.04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb.02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS.................113 - 96.....-+37.00


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday?s 6-pack
Odds for the PGA Tour event this week:
13-2? Dustin Johnson
9-1? Jon Rahm
16-1? McIlroy, Schauffele
18-1? DeChambeau, Thomas
20-1? Cantlay, Finau, Hatton, Holland
25-1? Brooks Koepka

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 500,899
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?It?s been great so far. Today was the first day we took the field as a team, and seeing these guys? work ethic makes you want to elevate your game. I have heard nothing but good things about this group of guys and I just want to be a piece of this puzzle.?
Francisco Lindor

Tuesday?s quiz
Who was the Boston Celtics? coach, before Brad Stevens?

Monday?s quiz
Fred Thompson played a District Attorney on Law and Order; in real life, he was a US Senator from Tennessee, and unsuccessfully tried to run for President.

Sunday?s quiz
Red Holzman was Knicks? coach when they won their only two NBA titles, in 1970, 1973

****************

Tuesday?s Den: Nobody asked me, but??.

13) There could be more of this to come; Western Kentucky will visit Houston Thursday night, in a hastily-arranged game designed to elevate both teams? resume for the NCAA Tournament.

WKU is 15-4, and appears to be a bubble team at best if they don?t win the C-USA tournament. Houston is 18-3, but a win here would help improve their resume.

12) Oklahoma State 74, Texas Tech 69 OT:

Oklahoma State was 22-32 on foul line, Texas Tech 8-12.

Cade Cunningham was the #1 high school recruit in the country last year; he chose to go to Oklahoma State, which ?coincidentally? had just hired his brother as an assistant coach.

All that is perfectly legal, has been done many times before. In the mid?80?s, Kansas hired Ed Manning as an assistant coach, then Ed?s son Danny led the Jayhawks to a national title. Ed Manning played in the NBA, but he was a truck driver when Kansas hired him.

During this game, ESPN?s Fran Fraschilla had the onions to say that the brother?s hiring wasn?t a ?package deal.? In other words, Oklahoma State would?ve hired the brother as an assistant coach, even if Cade Cunningham was a badminton player. Have to call bullshit on that one.

11) By the way, Oklahoma State will be going on probation soon, just not this year, because the NCAA hasn?t gotten around to hearing OSU?s appeal of the NCAA?s verdict on a previous issue. By the time the Cowboys go on probation, Cade Cunningham will be playing in the NBA.

In June 2020, after an FBI bribery-and-corruption investigation implicated a former OSU assistant coach- he got a three-month prison sentence, the NCAA gave Oklahoma State a 3-year probation, a one-year postseason ban and the loss of three total scholarships over a three-year period.

10) Duke 85, Syracuse 71? There is a phrase called ?addition by subtraction? where the group does better when one person leaves. Not necessarily that person?s fault, just that roles become more defined, there are fewer people looking over their shoulders to be subbed out.

Duke, in three games since Jalen Johnson skipped town:
? won 84-60 at Wake Forest
? won 66-65 over Virginia
? won 85-71 over Syracuse

Duke was 5-8 when Johnson played; they?re 6-0 in games he missed. Those are the facts; they are not in dispute. Decide for yourself why those facts are what they are.

9) There have been Celtic fans on social media bitching about coach Brad Stevens; Celtics are 15-15, lost six of their last nine games. To this point, they?re underachieving.

I?ll say this; of the 357 D-I college teams, how many would fire their coach if Stevens became available? He made the Final Four with a HORIZON LEAGUE TEAM (Butler wasn?t in the Big East yet). If he isn?t appreciated in Boston, someone with deep pockets surely will.

8) West Virginia won six of its last eight games; they?ve won five road games in a row, which is pretty amazing. West Virginia plays in the Big X; of the other nine teams in the league, closest town to West Virginia is Ames, Iowa, which according to Mapquest, is 872 miles away.

Thats their shortest conference road trip, 872 miles. Yikes.

7) South Carolina used to be an ACC school; they bolted the league in 1971, stayed independent in football until 1991, when they joined the SEC.

The basketball Gamecocks joined the old Metro Conference in 1983; that was a pretty good league, with Louisville, Cincinnati, Memphis, but it was basketball-only.

You wonder if they could do it all over again, if South Carolina would?ve stayed in the ACC.

6) Only one major league team ever has had a player wear 0 and another player wear 00 at the same time; the 1985 Blue Jays had Al Oliver (0) and Cliff Johnson (00).

This season, Marcus Stroman will wear 0 for the Mets; there were rumors that Taijuan Walker was going to wear 00, but he will wear 99 instead, joining Turk Wendell as Mets who wore #99.

5) Reliever Tyler Clippard is going to sign with Arizona; he must be good at packing:
2007? Bronx
2009-14? Washington
2015? Oakland/NY Mets
2016? Arizona/Bronx
2017? Bronx-White Sox-Houston
2018? Toronto
2019? Cleveland
2020? Minnesota
2021? Arizona

4) Since 2000, colleges with the most NFL draft picks:
141? Ohio State
127? Alabama
126? LSU
119? Miami
109? Florida, Florida State, Georgia, USC
101? Oklahoma

3) QB Tyler Shough has bolted Oregon for Texas Tech; Slough started all seven games for the Ducks last year, as Oregon won its 2nd consecutive Pac-12 title, but he was splitting time with Anthony Brown at the end of the season.

2) Albert Pujols? wife announced on Instagram that this season will be her husband?s last year in the major leagues; Albert Pujols has had a great career, hitting 662 home runs, a career OPS of .924, winning two World Series rings. He also earned roughly $345M in salary.

No word from Pujols himself on his career plans, but five years after he retires, he?ll be going to Cooperstown.

1) Golfer Tony Finau won the 2016 Puerto Rico Open, his only PGA Tour win; since then, he?s finished in the top ten of 37 other tournaments, earned $19.2M, but no more wins.

During that time, 43 other golfers have won 2+ tournaments. $19.2M is damn good golfing, but you?d think he would have more than one tournament win.

 

[Cnotes53]

565ATLANTA -566 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.

567DETROIT -568 ORLANDO
ORLANDO is 24-10 ATS (13 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

567DETROIT -568 ORLANDO
Steve Clifford is 24-10 ATS (13 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games (Coach of ORLANDO)

571BOSTON -572 DALLAS
DALLAS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

573SACRAMENTO -574 BROOKLYN
SACRAMENTO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game in the current season.

575PHILADELPHIA -576 TORONTO
PHILADELPHIA is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

579PORTLAND -580 DENVER
PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the current season.

581WASHINGTON -582 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 60-39 ATS (17.1 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.


************************


NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 23

************************


NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 23

Atlanta @ Cleveland
Hawks (13-17)
? Atlanta lost five of seven, eight of last 11 games.
? Hawks are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
? Nine of Atlanta?s ten games went over the total.

Cavaliers (10-21)
? Cleveland lost its last ten games (0-13 ATS last 13).
? Cavaliers are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games.
? Last three Cleveland games stayed under the total.

? Cavaliers won four of last five series games.
? Hawks are 0-3 ATS in last three visits to Cleveland.
? Three of last four series games stayed under.

Detroit @ Orlando
Pistons (8-22)
? Detroit lost eight of its last 11 games (0-3 ATS last three)
? Pistons are 2-6-3 ATS in last 11 road games.
? Under is 8-4 in Detroit?s last 12 games.

Magic (13-18)
? Orlando won/covered its last three games, after a 1-8 skid.
? Magic is 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
? Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

? Teams split last ten series games.
? Pistons are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Orlando.
? Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

Sacramento @ Brooklyn
Kings (12-18)
? Sacramento is 0-7 SU/ATS in last seven games overall.
? Kings covered five of their last seven road games.
? Over is 6-0 in Sacramento?s last six games.

Nets (20-12)
? Brooklyn won/covered their last six games.
? Nets are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
? 21 of last 26 Brooklyn games went over the total.
? Durant (hamstring) isn?t expected to play.

? Nets won/covered last five series games.
? Kings are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Brooklyn.
? Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Golden State @ New York
Warriors (16-15)
? Golden State split its last ten games SU.
? Warriors are 1-3 ATS in last four road games.
? Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Knicks (15-16)
? New York won four of last five games (7-2 ATS last nine).
? Knicks are 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
? Over is 4-2 in New York?s last six home games.

? Knicks won last two series games, after losing previous eight.
? Golden State is 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Manhattan.
? Five of last six series games went over.

Philadelphia vs Toronto (@ Tampa)
76ers (20-11)
? 76ers covered once in their last six games.
? Sixers are 0-4 SU/ATS in last four road games.
? Over is 7-3 in Philly?s last ten road games.

Raptors (16-15)
? Toronto won/covered four in row, nine of its last 12 games.
? Raptors are 5-8 ATS at home in Tampa this season.
? Under is 4-1 in last four Toronto games.

? Toronto won seven of last ten series games.
? 76ers are 1-4 ATS in last five road series games.
? Under is 5-1-1 in last seven series games.

Boston @ Dallas
Celtics (15-15)
? Boston is 4-7 SU in its last 11 games.
? Celtics are 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
? Over is 7-4 in last 11 Boston games.

Mavericks (14-15)
? Mavericks won five of its last six games.
? Mavericks are 2-10 ATS in last 12 home games.
? Over is 13-2-1 in last 16 Dallas games.

? Celtics won seven of last eight series games.
? Boston covered three of last four visits to Dallas.
? Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games played here.

Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Timberwolves (7-24)
? Timberwolves fired their coach Sunday; they have a new coach now.
? Minnesota lost eight of last nine, 18 of its last 22 games.
? Wolves are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games.
? Four of last five Minnesota games stayed under the total.

Bucks (18-13)
? Milwaukee won last two games, after an 0-5 skid.
? Bucks are 10-6 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 5-2 in Milwaukee?s last seven home games

? Bucks won six of last seven series games.
? Minnesota is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
? Five of last seven series games stayed under.

Portland @ Denver
Trailblazers (18-12)
? Portland lost its last two games, after an 8-1 run.
? Blazers are 11-5 ATS on the road this season.
? Over is 11-6 in Portland?s last 16 games.
? Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out

Nuggets (16-14)
? Denver lost three of last four games overall.
? Nuggets won five of their last six home games.
? Over is 6-3 in Denver?s last nine games.

? Nuggets won three of last four series games.
? Portland is 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Denver.
? Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Washington @ LA Clippers
Wizards (11-17)
? Wizards won their last five games overall.
? Washington is 8-5 ATS on road this season.
? Under is 7-2 in Wizards? last nine road games.

Clippers (22-10)
? Clippers won five of their last seven games overall.
? Clippers are 6-5 ATS in last 11 games at Staples.
? Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games.

? Clippers won five of last seven series games.
? Washington is 0-4 ATS in last four series games here.
? Over is 8-1 in last nine series games.


**************************


NBA

Tuesday, February 23

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Atlanta @ Cleveland
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Detroit @ Orlando
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Orlando
Orlando is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Sacramento @ Brooklyn
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Boston @ Dallas
Boston
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games at home

Golden State @ New York
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
Golden State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing New York
New York
New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Golden State

Philadelphia @ Toronto
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota

Portland @ Denver
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 9 games on the road
Portland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Denver
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home

Washington @ LA Clippers
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington


-------------------------------------------


NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 23

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (13 - 17) at CLEVELAND (10 - 21) - 2/23/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (8 - 22) at ORLANDO (13 - 18) - 2/23/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 30-43 ATS (-17.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (16 - 15) at NEW YORK (15 - 16) - 2/23/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 2-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (15 - 15) at DALLAS (14 - 15) - 2/23/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 462-378 ATS (+46.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
BOSTON is 65-50 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (12 - 18) at BROOKLYN (20 - 12) - 2/23/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
BROOKLYN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
BROOKLYN is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 82-61 ATS (+14.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (20 - 11) at TORONTO (16 - 15) - 2/23/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 9-8 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 11-6 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
12 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (7 - 24) at MILWAUKEE (18 - 13) - 2/23/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 37-55 ATS (-23.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 300-361 ATS (-97.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (18 - 12) at DENVER (16 - 14) - 2/23/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 10-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 9-6 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (11 - 17) at LA CLIPPERS (22 - 10) - 2/23/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 148-190 ATS (-61.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 58-85 ATS (-35.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 81-58 ATS (+17.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

---------------------------------------


Hoop Trends for Tuesday February 23
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Milwaukee (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Bucks are 14-0-1 ATS (7.80 ppg) as a 7-17 point home favorite with less than two days rest.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Milwaukee (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 0-14-1 ATS (-6.50 ppg) after Karl Anthony Towns was their high scorer last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Sacramento at Brooklyn (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Kings are 10-0-2 OU (11.46 ppg) as a road dog when they have lost at least four straight meetings vs the current opponent.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Orlando (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Magic are 0-12 OU (-14.25 ppg) at home off a home game in which Evan Fournier had the highest plus/minus on the team.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 23
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DET at ORL 07:00 PM
ORL -3.5..........105 - 93......LOSER
O 210.5............LOSER

ATL at CLE 07:00 PM
CLE +7.5......111 - 112
O 228.0............LOSER

GS at NY 07:30 PM
NY +3.0.......114 - 106.....LOSER
U 219.5...........LOSER

PHI at TOR 07:30 PM
TOR +1.5..........109 - 102
U 221.5............WINNER

SAC at BK 07:30 PM
BK -6.5.........118 - 127......WINNER
U 242.0...........LOSER

BOS at DAL 07:30 PM
BOS -1.5...........107 - 110.......LOSER
O 224.5...........LOSER

MIN at MIL 08:00 PM
MIL -10.5.........112 - 139....WINNER
O 231.0.............WINNER

POR at DEN 10:00 PM
POR +6.5............106 - 111......WINNER
O 232.0..........LOSER

WAS at LAC 10:00 PM
WAS +12.0..........116 - 135............LOSER
O 233.5.............WINNER



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb.23,2021...........6 - 10......-25.00
Feb.22,2021...........3 - 6........-18.00
Feb.21,2021...........7 - 6........+2.00
Feb.20,2021...........7 - 2........+24.00
Feb.19,2021...........8 - 8.........-4.00
Feb.18,2021...........3 - 3.........-1.50
Feb.17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
Feb.12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
Feb.11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
Feb.10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
Feb.09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
Feb.08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
Feb.07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb.06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb.05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb.04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb.02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS.................119 - 106.....+12.00


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the college basketball title:
3-1? Gonzaga, Baylor
7-1? Michigan
11-1? Villanova
14-1? Houston, Ohio State, Texas
16-1? Florida State
18-1? Illinois, Iowa

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 501,724
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?We all wish we could have more rest. I?m here to work. I?m here to punch my clock in and be available to my teammates.?
Lebron James

Wednesday?s quiz
Which college team did Brad Stevens lead to two Final Fours?

Tuesday?s quiz
Doc Rivers was the Boston Celtics? coach before Brad Stevens.

Monday?s quiz
Fred Thompson played a District Attorney on Law and Order; in real life, he was a US Senator from Tennessee, and unsuccessfully tried to run for President.

*************************

Wednesday?s Den: Mid-week musings??.

13) A gambler bet $67,000 Tuesday night at @pointsbetusa that 17-0 Baylor would beat 2-16 Iowa State SU, but Baylor was down 32-15 early, was still down a point with 4:54 left to play- they wound up winning 77-72.

The gambler risked $67,000, made himself a stresssful $2,914. Very stressful.

12) Baylor 77, Iowa State 72? That was the Bears? first game in three weeks; they just need to get games under their belt, to get ready for the tournament. Can a team get in midseason form in three weeks? We?re about to find out.

11) March?s college basketball schedule is going to be scrambled this year, but at least they?re going to play tournaments, unlike last year. Some of the conference tournaments start next week; I?ll be posting information on all that I can. Hopefully next season will be more normal.

10) NBA trends on back/backs:
? Road teams who played at home night before: Favorites 4-3 ATS, underdogs 6-10-1
? Teams on road for 2nd consecutive night: F 13-8 ATS, U 19-13-1
? Teams at home for 2nd consecutive night: F 12-9-1, U 14-14
? Home teams who played on road night before: F 2-9, U 10-6
? Home teams 38-38-1???favorites 31-29-1, underdogs 49-43-2

9) I?d be fascinated to know what NBA coaches who also coached in college think about the two sports: Billy Donovan, Brad Stevens, Quin Snyder. Even Lon Kruger, who coached the Hawks for a few years but who coaches Oklahoma now.

Recruiting and the transfer epidemic has to make college coaching less appealing; the money is better in the NBA, but lot of coaches like to teach? lot more of that in college.

Would be a fascinating HBO special this summer. Or NBA TV.

8) Lefty pitcher Scott Kazmir signed a minor league deal with the Giants; he has a career record of 108-96, but hasn?t pitched in the majors since 2016. Giants will be his 7th big league team.

7) NBA teams who play the fastest tempo, which could be helpful in betting totals:
1) Golden State
2) Houston
3) Chicago
4) Minnesota
5) Philadelphia

6) Michigan State 81, Illinois 72: Some nights Illinois looks like a Final Four team, then there are nights like tonight. You have to win four tournament games in a row to make the Final Four; is Illinois consistent enough?

5) There are already 110 kids on the college basketball transfer portal; with this year being a free year for college players, meaning that conceivably, everyone playing this year could also come back and play next year, the transfer portal should be fascinating this spring.

Over 1,000 kids transferred last year; I?m guessing this year?s number will be around 1,500.

4) All-Star reserves were announced Tuesday; couple of surprising omissions:
? Phoenis Suns are 20-10; Devin Booker is their best player, scoring 24.7 ppg.
? Domantas Sabonis is one of four players averaging at least 20 points, 10 rebounds and 5 assists per game.

NBA All-Star Game is way harder to make than the baseball/football All-Star Games

3) Michigan?s football team has six new assistant coaches for next season; now all ten of Jim Harbaugh?s assistant coaches are under 40 years old, which is highly unusual.

2) Georgia 91, LSU 78? Dismal effort by LSU, which is now 4-5 in its last nine games. LSU is #329 in the country in assists/FG?s made, meaning they go 1-on-1 a lot and depend on their rebounding for scoring. Not the best recipe for March, especially for experience team #327.

1) Auburn star Sharife Cooper has his foot in a walking boot, Auburn isn?t playing in the postseason and Cooper is likely headed to the NBA this summer, so his college career is pretty much over. So are Auburn?s chances of winning again this season. They?ve lost 7 of their last 8 games, and finish up with Tennessee/Alabama.

 

[Cnotes53]

501GOLDEN STATE -502 INDIANA
INDIANA is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

503TORONTO -504 MIAMI
MIAMI is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.

505HOUSTON -506 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

507BOSTON -508 ATLANTA
BOSTON is 156-113 ATS (31.7 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.

509SAN ANTONIO -510 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 285-232 ATS (29.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1996.

511MINNESOTA -512 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

513DETROIT -514 NEW ORLEANS
Dwane Casey is 22-40 ATS (-22 Units) when the total >=220 (Coach of DETROIT)

513DETROIT -514 NEW ORLEANS
DETROIT is 22-40 ATS (-22 Units) when the total >=220 in the last 3 seasons.

517LA LAKERS -518 UTAH
UTAH is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games off a home win by 10 points or more in the current season.


**************************


NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 24

Golden State @ Indiana
Warriors (17-15)
? Golden State won five of its last eight games SU.
? Warriors are 3-6 ATS as road underdogs TY.
? Under is 4-1 in their last five road games.

Pacers (15-14)
? Indiana won three of its last four games.
? Pacers are 2-8 ATS in their last ten home games.
? Over is 3-0 in Indiana?s last three games.

? Pacers won four of last six series games.
? Warriors covered three of last four trips to Indiana.
? Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Boston @ Atlanta
Celtics (15-16)
? Boston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games.
? Celtics are 3-9 ATS in last 12 road games.
? Over is 3-1 in last four Boston games.

Hawks (13-18)
? Atlanta lost six of eight, nine of last 12 games.
? Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
? Nine of Atlanta?s 11 games went over the total.

? Boston won eight of last nine series games.
? Celtics covered their last three visits to Atlanta.
? Three of last four series games went over.

Houston @ Cleveland
Rockets (11-18)
? Houston lost its last eight games (1-7 ATS).
? Rockets covered twice in their last seven road games.
? Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

Cavaliers (10-21)
? Cleveland snapped an 0-10 skid last nite (1-13 ATS last 14).
? Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
? Last four Cleveland games stayed under the total.

? Houston won five of last six series games.
? Rockets are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Cleveland.
? Under is 3-2 in last five series games played here.

Toronto @ Miami
Raptors (16-16)
? Toronto won/covered four of five, nine of its last 13 games.
? Raptors are 9-3 ATS in their last dozen road games.
? Under is 4-0 in last four Toronto games.

Heat (14-17)
? Miami won three in row, seven of its last ten games overall.
? Heat is 0-8-1 ATS in last nine home games.
? Under is 4-1 in their last five home games.

? Toronto won six of last nine series games.
? Raptors are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Miami.
? Last four series games stayed under the total.

Minnesota @ Chicago
Timberwolves (7-25)
? Minnesota lost nine of last ten, 19 of its last 23 games.
? Wolves are 1-3 ATS in their last four road games.
? Four of last six Minnesota games stayed under the total.

Bulls (14-16)
? Chicago won four of its last five games SU.
? Bulls are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten home games.
? Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

? Minnesota won eight of last ten series games.
? Timberwolves are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
? Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Detroit @ New Orleans
Pistons (9-22)
? Detroit lost eight of its last 12 games (1-3 ATS last four)
? Pistons are 3-6-3 ATS in last 12 road games.
? Under is 9-4 in Detroit?s last 13 games.

Pelicans (13-17)
? New Orleans lost five of its last seven games overall.
? Pelicans are 6-4 ATS in their last ten home games.
? Over is 15-2-2 in their last 19 games.

? Detroit won three of last four series games.
? Pistons covered their last three visits to Bourbon Street.
? Four of last six series games stayed under.

San Antonio @ Oklahoma City
Spurs (16-11)
? Spurs haven?t played in ten days.
? San Antonio won five of its last six games overall.
? Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
? Under is 4-2 in Spurs? last six games.

Thunder (12-19)
? Thunder lost seven of last nine games (1-4 ATS last five)
? OKC is 4-9-1 ATS at home this season.
? Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

? San Antonio won six of last nine series games.
? Spurs are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma.
? Under is 5-4-1 in last ten series games.

Charlotte @ Phoenix
Hornets (14-16)
? Charlotte won four of its last seven games.
? Hornets are 1-3 ATS in their last four road games.
? Over is 6-2 in Charlotte?s last eight road games.

Suns (20-10)
? Phoenix won/covered 12 of its last 14 games.
? Suns are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.
? Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

? Suns won last two series games, after losing previous five.
? Charlotte is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Phoenix.
? Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

LA Lakers @ Utah
Lakers (22-10)
? Lakers lost four of last five games, are 2-7 ATS in last nine.
? Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
? Under is 13-3 in their road games this season.

Jazz (25-6)
? Utah won 21 of its last 23 games (20-2-1 ATS).
? Jazz is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 home games.
? Over is 5-2 in Utah?s last six games overall.

? Lakers won/covered last four series games.
? Lakers are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Utah.
? Three of last four series games went over.


------------------------------


NBA

Wednesday, February 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Golden State @ Indiana
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
Golden State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Golden State
Indiana is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Golden State

Boston @ Atlanta
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home

Houston @ Cleveland
Houston
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games

Toronto @ Miami
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Toronto

Minnesota @ Chicago
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Minnesota

Detroit @ New Orleans
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Orleans's last 14 games at home

San Antonio @ Oklahoma City
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games at home

Charlotte @ Phoenix
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Phoenix is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

LA Lakers @ Utah
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of LA Lakers's last 19 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


-----------------------------------------


NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 24

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (17 - 15) at INDIANA (15 - 14) - 2/24/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 74-50 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
INDIANA is 184-146 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (16 - 16) at MIAMI (14 - 17) - 2/24/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 255-208 ATS (+26.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (11 - 18) at CLEVELAND (11 - 21) - 2/24/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-54 ATS (-19.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (15 - 16) at ATLANTA (13 - 18) - 2/24/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 65-51 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (16 - 11) at OKLAHOMA CITY (12 - 19) - 2/24/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 63-44 ATS (+14.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1139-1010 ATS (+28.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 384-304 ATS (+49.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 458-383 ATS (+36.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (7 - 25) at CHICAGO (14 - 16) - 2/24/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 37-56 ATS (-24.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-41 ATS (-17.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 35-53 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 147-195 ATS (-67.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (9 - 22) at NEW ORLEANS (13 - 17) - 2/24/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 56-86 ATS (-38.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 133-101 ATS (+21.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (14 - 16) at PHOENIX (20 - 10) - 2/24/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 205-256 ATS (-76.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 39-61 ATS (-28.1 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 55-80 ATS (-33.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (22 - 10) at UTAH (25 - 6) - 2/24/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games this season.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
UTAH is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 6-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

------------------------------------------


NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 24

---------------------------------


Hoop Trends for Wednesday February 24
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Utah (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Jazz are 19-0 ATS (9.16 ppg) as a favorite off a win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Chicago (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 0-15-1 ATS (-7.06 ppg) after Karl-Anthony Towns was their high scorer last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Golden State at Indiana (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Warriors are 12-0 OU (16.54 ppg) with no rest off a win as a favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Cleveland (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockets are 0-10 OU (-16.15 ppg) off a game as a dog in which Eric Gordon shot worse than 33 percent.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)


-----------------------------------


Breaking Down the Utah Jazz's Historic ATS Run
Jason Logan

The Jazz have been steamrolling teams and have an NBA-best 25-6 record and 23-8 ATS mark. They're winning by an average of 9.8 points per game and have been betting favorites in all but three contests.

The Utah Jazz are making sweet, sweet NBA betting music this season. Heading into Wednesday's home game versus the Los Angeles Lakers, the Jazz are not only the NBA?s top team at 25-6 SU but also its best bet at 23-8 against the spread.

That red-hot ATS record has earned +12.9 units for NBA bettors or a windfall of $1,290 if you wagered $100 on each of Utah?s 31 games this season at flat -110 juice.

Those earnings are bolstered by two winning streaks: an 11-game ATS run between January 8 and January 29 and an eight-game ATS streak that was snapped in Friday's 116-112 road loss to the Los Angeles Clippers, with Utah closing as a 1-point road underdog.

Utah's historic ATS run

The Jazz were 18-2 ATS in the 20 games heading into last Thursday's 114-96 win in the first of two road stops versus Clippers (failing to cover in back-to-back outings on January 31 and February 2), which ranked as the second-best 20-game ATS stretch in the past 30 NBA seasons. And, depending on the closing spread used for grading Utah's 117-105 win over Detroit on February 2 (-12 or -12.5), that mark could have been 18-1-1 ATS.

The 2014-15 Atlanta Hawks own the top 20-game ATS run in that span, posting a 19-1 ATS mark from December 15 to January 21 (a streak that went 20-1 ATS before coming to an end). Those Hawks also strung together 15 consecutive ATS wins ? another NBA betting record.

Utah boasted an average margin of victory of 15.6 points during that 11-game ATS stretch versus an average point spread of -5.5. On the year, the Jazz own an average margin of victory of 9.8 points per game and closed as betting favorites in all but three of their 31 contests.

Can the Jazz keep covering?

As the momentum builds and the bettors get wise to Utah's profitable push (now 20-3 ATS in the past 23 outings), oddsmakers will pad those spreads knowing that public money is coming. And once that money comes in, these spreads can make major moves before tipoff.

Take Utah's recent eight-game ATS run for example. The Jazz faced an average closing spread of -6.6 but those lines opened at an average of -5.1, moving up 1.5 points per game. Utah opened -3.5 at L.A. Thursday (the first of two road games vs. the Clippers) and jumped to -4.5 before moving to -6.5 upon news that Los Angeles would be without stars Paul George and Kawhi Leonard.

According to Consensus numbers, Utah garnered an average of 57 percent of bets placed during those eight contests, including 60, 57, 69, and 59 percent of bets in four of those outings, despite taking on three of the tougher teams in the Eastern Conference in the Philadelphia 76ers, Miami Heat, and Milwaukee Bucks?as well as the Clippers.

Eventually, there will be a tipping point when public perception pushes the spreads too high, opening up value on the other side of the board. Friday's loss to L.A. could have started the dominoes falling, however, that game saw different line movement as past outings due to the available statuses of George and Leonard (Utah opened as low as -2 and climbed as high as -5 before L.A.'s star were given the thumbs up, shrinking this line as low as Jazz +1).

One thing working for Utah backers during this magical season is that the Jazz aren't a very popular team among casual NBA fans. If the Los Angeles Lakers or Boston Celtics had started stringing together ATS wins left and right, you could be sure the public players would be all over it and any value would dry up faster than a ShamWow in the middle of the Utah salt flats.

Looking at the 2014-15 Hawks (another team outside of the NBA public darlings), they opened with a 33-12 ATS record in the first 45 games of the schedule, another NBA betting best.

As Atlanta's streak gained attention from the betting public, however, the spreads grew and the betting bonanza eventually came to an abrupt halt when the Hawks were installed as 17.5-point home favorites versus Minnesota on January 25, 2015, winning the game 112-100 but falling short of that pile of chalk. That tipped off a 1-4 ATS skid for the Hawks, who also faced lofty spreads of -14 and -16 in that span.

Atlanta would finish the season with a 50-31-1 record against the spread, going 17-19-1 ATS in its final 37 games (then falling flat with a 6-10 ATS mark in the playoffs). The Hawks boasted an average margin of victory of +4.5 points per game that season.

Looking at the all-time best bets in NBA gambling history, the 2009-10 Bucks are at the top of the mountain with a 52-28-2 ATS record in an 82-game season (the 2011-12 San Antonio Spurs went 43-22-1 ATS in a 66-game lockout-shortened schedule).

The Bucks, who covered at an incredible 65 percent clip that year, strung together 10 straight covers and went on an 11-0-1 ATS tear between February 19 and March 12. Milwaukee, which went 46-36 SU, owned an average margin of victory of only +1.3 points per game.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 24
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BOS at ATL 07:30 PM
BOS -2.0.........112 - 127..........LOSER
O 224.0...........WINNER

GS at IND 07:30 PM
GS +2.0............111 - 107........WINNER
O 231.5.......LOSER

HOU at CLE 07:30 PM
CLE +4.0 .............96 - 112
O 220.0..........LOSER

SA at OKC 08:00 PM
SA -1.0.........99 - 102
O 217.0........LOSER

MIN at CHI 08:00 PM
MIN +4.0........126 - 133......LOSER
O 227.5............WINNER

DET at NO 08:00 PM
NO -9.5.......118 - 128.....WINNER
O 222.5.................WINNER

TOR at MIA 08:00 PM
MIA -2.0............108 - 116
U 213.5............LOSER

CHA at PHO 09:00 PM
PHO -10.0..........124 - 121.....LOSER
O 224.0..............WINNER

LAL at UTA 10:00 PM
LAL +9.0......89 - 114........LOSER
O 218.5.................LOSER


NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Feb.24,2021...........6 - 8.......-14.00
Feb.23,2021...........6 - 10......-25.00
Feb.22,2021...........3 - 6........-18.00
Feb.21,2021...........7 - 6........+2.00
Feb.20,2021...........7 - 2........+24.00
Feb.19,2021...........8 - 8.........-4.00
Feb.18,2021...........3 - 3.........-1.50
Feb.17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
Feb.12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
Feb.11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
Feb.10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
Feb.09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
Feb.08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
Feb.07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb.06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb.05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb.04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb.02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

TOTALS.................125 - 114.....-2.00


January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00


****************************************

December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Six of the Baltimore Orioles? best prospects:
1) Adley Rutschman, C
2) Grayson Rodriguez, P
4) Heston Kjerstad, OF
5) Ryan Mountcastle, OF
7) Yusniel Diaz, OF
9) Dean Kremer, P

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 506,030
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.

Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.

13) Since the AFL/NFL merger 50+ years ago, only one NFL quarterback who has started 50+ games hasn?t thrown at least one pick-6. The answer is surprising; I?ll post it down below.

12) May 17, 1979; Phillies beat the Cubs 23-22 in ten innings, with the wind blowing out at Wrigley Field. One of the craziest ballgames ever:

? Neither starting pitcher finished the first inning.
? Cubs? #3-4 hitters went a combined 7-13, with seven runs scored, 13 RBI and Chicago still lost.
? Cubs? #3 hitter was Bill Buckner, who was a very good big league hitter.
? For some reason, Larry Bowa hit 2nd, Pete Rose 3rd for the Phillies. Bowa was a good fielder but a less-than-average hitter. Bake McBride batted leadoff for Philly.

?Tug McGraw gave up 7 runs (4 earned) in 0.2 innings; you may have heard of his son, Tim McGraw, the great singer. Tug McGraw saved 180 games in his 19-year MLB career.
? Rawly Eastwick got the win in relief, throwing two perfect innings in a 23-22 game.
? Six different players knocked in 4+ runs.
? Bob Boone (Aaron Boone?s father) was the Phillies? catcher.
? The game took 4:03 to play; 14,952 fans watched it.

11) Jazz 114, Lakers 89:
? Jazz have played 32 games; they?re had a 20+ point lead in 20 of them.
? In its last 23 games, Utah is 20-2-1 against the spread.

10) NBA will host two 4-team play-in tournaments May 18-21, to determine the last four playoff teams this season, two in each conference:
? #7-seed hosts the #8-seed; winner is in.
? #10-seed visits the #9-seed; loser is out.
? Loser of the 7-8 game hosts the 9-10 winner; winner of that game gets in playoffs.

9) Arkansas 81, Alabama 66:
? Free throws: Arkansas 27-43, Alabama 3-8. Seems fair.
? One kid on Arkansas was 16-19 on the line; Alabama?s whole team was 3-8.
? Arkansas has won five in row, 8 of last 9 games.
? Alabama is 4-3 in its last seven games, after a 14-3 start.

8) Rutgers 74, Indiana 63? The pundits on the Big 14 Network preach endlessly about how great their league is; I?m a skeptic. FS1?s Doug Gottlieb was saying how fewer kids from the Big 14 jump early to the NBA, so they have an advantage early in the season, their teams have more continuity, an advantage that erodes as the season goes on.

7) ESPN missed the boat when they let Gottlieb walk; he is a way better analyst than Jay Bilas, who somehow is ESPN?s #1 analyst. Bilas played for Duke, which seems to mean a lot at ESPN.

Gottlieb speaks his mind, has some humor and doesn?t bitch about the refs every 90 seconds, the way Bilas does. Always learn stuff listening to Gottlieb.

6) NC State 68, Virginia 61:
? Virginia lost three in row, after a 15-3 start.
? Wolfpack won three in row, after an 8-9 start.
? NC State played seven guys the whole game. Not many teams have depth these days.

5) Wednesday night?s biggest upsets:
? Western Carolina (+14) 81, NC-Greensboro 80
? NC State (+12) 68, Virginia 61
? Marquette (+8.5) 83, North Carolina 70
? St Joe?s (+8) 97, Dayton 84
? Butler (+7.5) 61, Seton Hall 52
? Fresno State (+7) 67, UNLV 64

4) SNY in New York City does it right; they replay a classic Mets? game every weekday at 3pm. Watching ballgames is the fun thing to do, listening to Cohen-Darling-Hernandez is a fine way to spend a winter afternoon, at least until exhibition games start this weekend.

3) Blue Jays? 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr has lost 42 pounds since last season; he turns 22 next month, has hit .269 in his first 183 big league games, over two seasons. Curious to see if being so much lighter will make him a better hitter.

2) I?m amazed that people bet on the NFL Draft; you can wager on how many QB?s will get taken in the first round, what pick in the first round will the last QB be taken, basically anything you can think of.

Over the last 50 years, Mitch Trubisky is the only NFL quarterback with 50+ starts who hasn?t thrown at least one pick-6.

1) Conference tournaments start tonight; the Horizon League has four first-round games.

 

[Cnotes53]

519DALLAS -520 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

523SACRAMENTO -524 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 13-5 ATS (7.5 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

525LA CLIPPERS -526 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 72-48 ATS (19.2 Units) in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.

527WASHINGTON -528 DENVER
WASHINGTON is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

529NEW ORLEANS -530 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.


*************************


NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 25

Dallas @ Philadelphia
Mavericks (15-15)
? Mavericks won six of its last seven games, all at home.
? Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in last ten road games.
? Over is 13-3-1 in last 17 Dallas games.

76ers (21-11)
? 76ers won three of their last four games.
? Sixers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
? Under is 3-0 in Philly?s last three games.

? Dallas won last three series games, covered last five.
? Mavericks are 3-2 ATS in their last five visits to Philly.
? Under is 4-1 in last five series games played here.

Orlando @ Brooklyn
Magic (13-19)
? Orlando won/covered three of its last four games, after a 1-8 skid.
? Magic is 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
? Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.

Nets (21-12)
? Brooklyn won/covered their last seven games.
? Nets are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
? 22 of last 27 Brooklyn games went over the total.

? Nets are 6-4 in last ten series games.
? Orlando covered its last four visits to Brooklyn.
? Three of last four series games went over.

Sacramento @ New York
Kings (12-19)
? Sacramento is 0-8 SU/ATS in last eight games overall.
? Kings lost last three road games, by 8-13-9 points.
? Over is 7-0 in Sacramento?s last seven games.

Knicks (15-17)
? New York won four of last six games (7-3 ATS last ten).
? Knicks are 6-3 ATS in last nine home games.
? Under is 3-0 in New York?s last three games.

? Sacramento won five of last six series games.
? Kings are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan.
? Under is 9-1 in last ten series games.

LA Clippers @ Memphis
Clippers (23-10)
? Clippers won six of their last eight games overall.
? Clippers are 5-2 ATS in last seven road games.
? Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games.

Grizzlies (13-14)
? Memphis is 4-8 SU in its last dozen games.
? Grizzlies are 6-8-1 ATS at home this season.
? Under is 3-0 in their last three games.

? Clippers won seven of last nine series games.
? LA is 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Memphis.
? Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Washington @ Denver
Wizards (11-18)
? Wizards won/covered five of their last six games overall.
? Washington is 8-6 ATS on road this season.
? Over is 4-1 in Wizards? last five games.

Nuggets (17-14)
? Denver split its last six games overall.
? Nuggets are 6-9 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 4-2 in Denver?s last six home games.

? Washington won three of last four series games.
? Wizards are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Denver.
? Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

New Orleans @ Milwaukee
Pelicans (14-17)
? New Orleans won three of its last five games overall.
? Pelicans are 1-3 ATS if they played the night before.
? Over is 16-2-2 in their last 20 games.

Bucks (19-13)
? Milwaukee won/covered last three games, after an 0-5 skid.
? Bucks are 11-6 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 6-2 in Milwaukee?s last eight home games

? Bucks won four of last five series games.
? Pelicans are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
? Eight of last nine series games went over.


************************

***********************

NBA

Thursday, February 25

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas @ Philadelphia
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

Orlando @ Brooklyn
Orlando
Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Sacramento @ New York
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

LA Clippers @ Memphis
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games

Washington @ Denver
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Denver
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Washington

New Orleans @ Milwaukee
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing at home against New Orleans


------------------------------------------------


NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, February 25

***********************


Hoop Trends for Thursday February 25
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: New Orleans at Milwaukee (9:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Bucks are 15-0-1 ATS (8.28 ppg) as a 7-17 point home favorite with less than two days of rest.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Orlando at Brooklyn (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Magic are 0-12 ATS (-14.21 ppg) after allowing at least 50 points in the paint last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: New Orleans at Milwaukee (9:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Pelicans are 14-0-1 OU (14.00 ppg) after Zion Williamson shot better than 58 percent from the field last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Clippers at Memphis (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Grizzlies are 0-11 OU (-19.18 ppg) with rest off a 10+ point loss in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)