CNOTES 2020-2021 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Cnotes53 · Mar 4, 2021

551DENVER -552 INDIANA
INDIANA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

553MILWAUKEE -554 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 21-5 ATS (15.5 Units) in home games off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog since 1996.

555OKLAHOMA CITY -556 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 45-16 ATS (27.4 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

557MIAMI -558 NEW ORLEANS
MIAMI is 56-37 ATS (15.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

559SACRAMENTO -560 PORTLAND
PORTLAND is 13-5 ATS (7.5 Units) when the total >=230 in the current season.

563DETROIT -564 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2+ road games in the current season.

565GOLDEN STATE -566 PHOENIX
GOLDEN STATE is 37-53 ATS (-21.3 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 4

Toronto @ Boston
Raptors (17-18)
? Toronto lost three of its last its four games.
? Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
? Last three Toronto games went over the total.
? Toronto was missing five guys for last night?s game.

Celtics (18-17)
? Boston won its last three games SU.
? Celtics are 11-5 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 6-2 in last eight Boston games.

? Celtics won four of last five series games.
? Raptors are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Boston.
? Three of last four series games went over.

LA Clippers @ Washington
Clippers (24-13)
? Clippers lost five of their last eight games overall.
? Clippers are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
? Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Wizards (13-20)
? Wizards won seven of their last ten games (8-2 ATS)
? Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games.
? Over is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

? Clippers won four of last five series games.
? LA is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Washington.
? Over is 9-1 in last ten series games.

Denver @ Indiana
Nuggets (20-15)
? Denver is 8-4 in its last 12 games overall.
? Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in last five road games.
? Over is 4-2 in Denver?s last six road games.

Pacers (16-18)
? Indiana lost nine of its last 13 games.
? Pacers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.
? Over is 6-1-1 in Indiana?s last eight games.

? Denver won five of last eight series games.
? Nuggets are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Indiana.
? Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Milwaukee @ Memphis
Bucks (21-14)
? Milwaukee won five of its last six games (4-2 ATS).
? Bucks are 3-5 ATS in last eight road games.
? Over is 5-3 in Milwaukee?s last eight road games

Grizzlies (16-15)
? Memphis won three of its last four games.
? Grizzlies are 7-9-1 ATS at home this season.
? Under is 7-0 in their last seven games.

? Milwaukee won six of last nine series games.
? Bucks covered three of last four visits to Memphis.
? Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Oklahoma City @ San Antonio
Thunder (14-21)
? Thunder lost six of its last nine games.
? OKC is 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
? Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

Spurs (18-13)
? San Antonio won seven of last ten games overall.
? Spurs are 3-5 ATS in their last eight home games.
? Under is 6-3-1 in Spurs? last ten games.

? Spurs won seven of last ten series games.
? Thunder is 1-4 ATS in last five trips to San Antonio.
? Under is 3-1-1 in last five series games.

Miami @ New Orleans
Heat (17-18)
? Miami won six of seven, 10 of its last 14 games overall.
? Heat is 5-3 ATS in last eight road games.
? Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Pelicans (15-20)
? New Orleans is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games overall.
? Pelicans are 5-4 ATS in their last nine home games.
? Over is 19-3-2 in their last 24 games.

? Miami won four of last five series games.
? Heat covered four of last five visits to Bourbon Street.
? Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Sacramento @ Portland
Kings (14-21)
? Sacramento is 2-10 SU/1-11 ATS in last 12 games overall.
? Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
? Over is 10-1 in Sacramento?s last 11 games.

Trailblazers (20-14)
? Portland won ten of its last fifteen games SU.
? Blazers are 7-9 ATS at home this season.
? Over is 6-3 in Portland?s last nine home games.

? Blazers won five of last seven series games.
? Kings are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Portland.
? Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Detroit @ New York
Pistons (10-25)
? Detroit lost six of its last eight games (3-4-1 ATS last eight)
? Pistons are 5-3 ATS in last eight road games.
? Under is 6-2 in Detroit?s last eight games.

Knicks (18-18)
? New York won seven of last ten games (10-4 ATS last 14).
? Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
? Under is 4-1-2 in New York?s last seven games.

? Knicks won/covered last three series games.
? Detroit covered three of last four visits to Manhattan.
? Four of last five series games stayed under the total.

Golden State @ Phoenix
Warriors (19-17)
? Golden State split its last 10 games overall.
? Warriors are 3-5 ATS in their last eight road games.
? Under is 7-1 in their last eight road games.

Suns (23-11)
? Phoenix won/covered 15 of its last 18 games.
? Suns are 8-2 ATS in their last ten home games.
? Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

? Suns won four of last six series games.
? Golden State is 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Phoenix.
? Nine of last ten series games stayed under the total.

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NBA

Thursday, March 4

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Trend Report
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Detroit @ Carolina
Detroit
Detroit is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

Winnipeg @ Montreal
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 11 games

NY Rangers @ New Jersey
NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

Buffalo @ NY Islanders
Buffalo
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Tampa Bay @ Chicago
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 12 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Florida @ Nashville
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Florida
Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Columbus @ Dallas
Columbus
Columbus is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
Columbus is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Columbus

Ottawa @ Calgary
Ottawa
Ottawa is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Ottawa is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa

Toronto @ Vancouver
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vancouver's last 10 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

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NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 4

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TORONTO (17 - 18) at BOSTON (18 - 17) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 67-53 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 12-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 11-6 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (24 - 13) at WASHINGTON (13 - 20) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 83-60 ATS (+17.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (20 - 15) at INDIANA (16 - 18) - 3/4/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (21 - 14) at MEMPHIS (16 - 15) - 3/4/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 302-363 ATS (-97.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 186-143 ATS (+28.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (14 - 21) at SAN ANTONIO (18 - 13) - 3/4/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1141-1012 ATS (+27.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 582-492 ATS (+40.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 101-69 ATS (+25.1 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 385-305 ATS (+49.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 226-175 ATS (+33.5 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 459-384 ATS (+36.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 65-46 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-13 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (17 - 18) at NEW ORLEANS (15 - 20) - 3/4/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (14 - 21) at PORTLAND (20 - 14) - 3/4/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
PORTLAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (10 - 25) at NEW YORK (18 - 18) - 3/4/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (19 - 17) at PHOENIX (23 - 11) - 3/4/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHOENIX is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 4

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Hoop Trends for Thursday March 4
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Denver at Indiana (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Pacers are 10-0 ATS (11.90 ppg) at home with no rest after playing as a road favorite.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Denver at Indiana (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Nuggets are 0-11-1 ATS (-8.88 ppg) on the road with rest when they shot better than 50 percent from the field in each of their last two games.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Golden State at Phoenix (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 11-0 OU (13.36 ppg) as a favorite off a win in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Sacramento at Portland (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Kings are 0-12 OU (-12.08 ppg) off a win as a favorite in which Buddy Hield was their high scorer.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Cnotes53 · Mar 4, 2021

THURSDAY, MARCH 4
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

LAC at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS +5.5................117 - 119.........WINNER
O 236.0...........................WINNER

TOR at BOS 07:00 PM
TOR +8.0............125 - 132
O 220.5.....................WINNER

DET at NY 07:30 PM
DET +7.0.............104 - 114.....LOSER
O 207.5....................WINNER

DEN at IND 08:00 PM
IND +4.0.............113 - 103
O 227.0...................LOSER

MIL at MEM 08:00 PM
MEM +6.0............112 - 111
U 234.0.....................WINNER

MIA at NO 08:30 PM
NO -2.5............103 - 93.....LOSER
U 227.0.........................WINNER

OKC at SA 09:00 PM
SA -6.5.............107 - 102.....LOSER
O 219.5.............LOSER

SAC at POR 10:00 PM
SAC +4.0............119 - 123
O 236.5.................WINNER

GS at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO -6.5.............98 - 120...WINNER
O 226.5..............LOSER

NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

Mar. 04.............8 - 6...........57.14%.............+7.00
Mar. 03............10 - 4...........71.42%............+28.00
Mar. 02.............4 - 6............40.00%............-.13.00
Mar. 01.............5 - 4............55 .55%...........+ 3.00

Totals.............27 - 20...........67.50%............+19.00

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Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

Cnotes53 · Mar 5, 2021

Friday?s 6-pack
Six most experienced college basketball teams (W-L record)
6) UMBC (14-5)
5) Texas Southern (12-8)
4) Georgia Tech (14-8)
3) North Carolina Central (5-8)
2) Nicholls State (17-6)
1) Cal-Bakersfield (15-10)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 519,867
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?He?s like Luka Doncic, but a center. He passes like a point guard, can shoot off the leg like Dirk [Nowitzki]. He?s a point guard.?
Western Conference assistant coach, talking about Nikola Jokic

Friday?s quiz
Terry Francona has managed three major league teams; the Indians, Red Sox and who else?

Thursday?s quiz
In the history of the Oakland A?s, Mark McGwire has hit the most home runs (363)

Wednesday?s quiz
Paul Westhead was coach of the Lakers when they won the NBA title in 1980, Magic Johnson?s rookie year.

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Friday?s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here??.

13) Creighton suspended basketball coach Greg McDermott for Sunday?s regular season finale, after he used racially insensitive language in a postgame talk at Xavier last weekend.

According to a story on the Interweb, McDermott said this: ?Guys, we got to stick together. We need both feet in. I need everybody to stay on the plantation. I can?t have anybody leave the plantation.? Ummmm??not an outstanding choice of words.

When a head coach gets suspended for Senior Day, it is conceivable that McDermott won?t be back in Omaha next season. Imagine him recruiting on the heels of this?

12) Multimedia sports brand Overtime will be starting a professional basketball league that will offer high school basketball players an alternative to college in preparation for the NBA.

Overtime Elite will begin in September 2021 and will feature 30 of the nation?s top prospects from ages 16-18. The athletes will be given a guaranteed minimum salary of $100,000, in addition to bonuses and equity in the league.

Players will also have access to healthcare and disability benefits. If an Overtime Elite athlete chooses not to pursue an NBA career, the league will pay them up to $100,000 to go towards college tuition, that?s assuming they graduated high school.

Carmelo Anthony is on Overtime Elite?s board of directors.

11) 39-year old Ben Roethlisberger will be the Steelers? QB again next fall, after agreeing to a deal with the team? it is assumed he took a large pay cut to remain a Steeler.

10) Baylor 81, Oklahoma State 70? Bears held OSU star Cade Cunningham to four points in first half, then survived Cunningham?s 20-point explosion in the second half. Cowboys lost despite shooting 63.6% inside the arc.

Baylor is 20-1 after beating West Virginia/Oklahoma State within 48 hours, which kind of sounds like an NCAA Tournament weekend.

9) Kansas 67, Texas-El Paso 62:
? This was supposed to be a glorified workout for the Jayhawks, but they trailed 34-20 at the half, 48-33 with 13:46 left to play.
? UTEP is 12-11, 8-8 in Conference USA; they?re ranked #135.

8) Texas 69, Oklahoma 65? Sooners were on an 8-1 roll in this strangest of seasons, then they lost their last four games, likely putting them in a play-in game at the Big X tourney next week.

7) Vanderbilt 78, Cincinnati 64? This score doesn?t bode well for the AAC; Cincy had won six of its last eight games, then gets whacked at home by an SEC doormat. Memphis/SMU are near or on the NCAA bubble; they had to cringe when they saw this score.

6) Stetson 73, Bellarmine 70? Upset in the A-Sun: Bellarmine went 10-3 in the Atlantic Sun this year, their first season in Division I, but they got upset here by the gritty Hatters, who had lost to Bellarmine twice during the season.

5) New Orleans Saints cut Thomas Morstead, their punter for the last 12 years.

4) OF Jackie Bradley Jr signed a 2-year, $24M contract with Milwaukee.

3) Arizona OF Kole Calhoun hurt his knee, is out for six weeks.

2) Since 2015, Astros? C Martin Maldonado has thrown out 37.7% of runners trying to steal a base, the best %age of any catcher with 200+ attempts against him in that timespan.

1) Wizards 119, Clippers 117? Good coaching job by Scott Brooks; Wizards are 8-3 in their last 11 games, after starting the season 6-17. They?re within two games of the #8-seed in the East.

Cnotes53 · Mar 6, 2021

Saturday?s 6-pack
Six least experienced college basketball teams (W-L record)
342) Kennesaw State (5-19)
343) Presbyterian (7-15)
344) Duke (11-10)
345) Stetson (11-14)
346) Auburn (12-14)
347) Alabama A&M (6-8)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 520,518
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?It?s about the money. And when they say it?s not about the money, then it is definitely about the money.?
Former Giants? GM George Young

Saturday?s quiz
In the movie Little Big League, which Hall of Fame outfielder makes a game-saving catch to end the Minnesota Twins? season?

Friday?s quiz
Terry Francona has managed three major league teams; the Indians, Red Sox and the Phillies.

Thursday?s quiz
In the history of the Oakland A?s, Mark McGwire has hit the most home runs (363)

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Saturday?s Den: NBA trends at the halfway point??.

Atlanta:
? Won both their games since changing coaches.
? 1-4-1 ATS in last six road games.
? 3-5 ATS in last eight home games.
? Over is 6-3 in their last nine road games.

Boston:
? Won their last four games (2-2 ATS), all at home.
? 0-6 SU/ATS in last six road games.
? 3-4 ATS if they played the night before.
? Five of last six home games went over.

Brooklyn:
? Won/covered 10 of last 11 games.
? Won/covered last seven home games.
? 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
? Over is 13-3 in their last sixteen road games.

Charlotte:
? 7-5 SU in their last dozen games.
? 9-5 ATS in their last 14 road games.
? 5-3 ATS if they played the night before.
? Over is 12-1 in their last 13 road games.

Chicago:
? Won six of their last nine games.
? 10-2 ATS as a road underdog.
? 5-2 ATS if they played the night before.
? Over is 8-4 in their last dozen road games.

Cleveland:
? Won four of their last five games (5-0 ATS)
? 4-11 ATS as a road underdog.
? 8-6 ATS in their last 14 home games.
? Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games.

Dallas:
? Won nine of their last 11 games.
? 4-10 ATS as a home favorite.
? 2-4 ATS if they played the night before.
? Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

Denver:
? Won/covered their last four games.
? 4-8 ATS as a home favorite.
? 9-6 ATS in their last fifteen road games.
? Under is 3-1 in their last four home games.

Detroit:
? Lost seven of their last nine games.
? 9-5 ATS as a home underdog.
? 5-2 ATS if they played the night before.
? Last three road games went over the total.

Golden State:
? Lost last three games, by 26-2-22 points.
? 7-3 ATS as a home favorite.
? 4-8 ATS as a road underdog.
? Last six road games stayed under the total.

Houston:
? Lost their last thirteen games (1-12 ATS)
? 1-7 ATS as a home underdog.
? 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
? Under is 11-2-1 in their home games.

Indiana:
? Lost five of last six games (0-6 ATS)
? 6-12 ATS at home.
? 4-2-1 ATS if they played night before.
? Over is 5-0-1 in their last six road games.

LA Clippers:
? Lost four of last five games, all on the road.
? 7-5 ATS in last dozen home games.
? 6-0 ATS if they played the night before.
? Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

LA Lakers:
? Lost six of their last eight games.
? 3-7 ATS in last ten home games.
? 1-3 ATS if they played the night before.
? Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Memphis:
? 8-5 SU in their last thirteen games.
? 5-3 ATS in their last eight home games.
? 7-4 ATS as a road underdog.
? Last eight games stayed under the total.

Cnotes53 · Mar 8, 2021

Monday?s 6-pack
Six best college basketball teams, at 2-point FG% offense (W-L record)

64.4%? Gonzaga (24-0)
60.8%?Furman (16-9)
59.4%?Belmont (26-4)
58.0%? Loyola, Chi (24-4)
57.6%? Weber State (17-5)
57.4%? Colorado State (17-5)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 523,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Fact of the Day
This is the first time since 1996 where no ACC team is ranked in the nation?s top 10, heading into the ACC tournament. Only 5th time it has ever happened.

Monday?s quiz
What was the name of the domed stadium where the Mariners/Seahawks used to play?

Sunday?s quiz
Tim Matheson was a star in Animal House and also played Vice President Hoynes in the old TV series, The West Wing.

Saturday?s quiz
In the movie Little Big League, Ken Griffey Jr makes a game-saving catch to end the Minnesota Twins? season.

*****************************

Monday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend??

13) An underrated aspect of this college basketball season is that EVERY SENIOR in the country can come back and play in college again next season. The better seniors will take their talents and try to make money playing pro ball, but that?s just the tip of the iceberg. Will be curious to see what I think will be a huge amount of player movement this spring/summer.

12) Liberty 79, North Alabama 75? Liberty won the Atlantic Sun title here; they had already clinched the league?s automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament, because North Alabama just moved to D-I and isn?t eligible yet to play in March Madness.

Liberty has been in the A-Sun three years; they?ve won the league title all three years.

11) Michigan State 70, Michigan 64? This win makes the next week a little easier for fans, players and coaches in East Lansing. Would appear that this win gets the Spartans into the field of 68, but the more they do this coming week the better- playing Maryland Thursday afternoon in the Big 14 tournament is next on Michigan State?s calendar.

10) NCAA Tournament, like everything else, will be different this year; the second weekend of the tournament, usually Thursday-Sunday, will now be Saturday-Tuesday, with the regional finals being played Monday/Tuesday night, March 29-30.

9) USC 64, UCLA 63? Trojans swept their crosstown rivals this year; they?ll be the #2-seed in the Pac-12 tournament. UCLA lost its last three games and is 5-6 in its last 11 games, after a 12-2 start.

8) From 2006-08, under coach Ben Howland, UCLA made the Final Four three years in a row, going 97-17 those three years, but five years later, Howland got fired after a 25-10 season, saying his style of play wasn?t exciting enough. When a team wins seven national titles in a row, like UCLA did under John Wooden, the fanbase has unrealistic expectations.

In those three Final Four years, UCLA ranked #298-251-209 in tempo, but they went 97-17, so no one said anything. Howland?s last year, the 25-10 season, they were #35 in tempo, but they lost in the first round of the NCAA?s, and a change was made. They played faster, like people wanted, but they didn?t make the Final Four.. Some people are never happy.

7) My point is this: Mick Cronin is now UCLA?s coach; he is 36-20 at UCLA, 25-12 in Pac-12 games, solid numbers. But this is a fanbase who didn?t like Ben Howland?s style; here are the tempos that Mick Cronin?s teams have played the last eight years:

2021: #333 17-8 record (13-6 Pac-12)
2020: #325 19-12, 12-6 (no NCAAs)
2019: #338 28-7, 14-4 AAC (0-1 NCAA)
2018: $330 31-5, 16-2 (1-1)
2017: #330 30-6, 16-2 (1-1)
2016: #333 22-11, 12-6 (0-1)
2015: #339 23-11, 13-5 (1-1)
2014: #328 27-7, 15-3 (1-1)

Cronin went 6-9 in NCAA tourney games at Cincinnati, made one Sweet 16. At this time next year, the UCLA fanbase is going to start mumbling, if they aren?t already. Cronin wins a lot, his teams defend well, but fact of the matter is, he is no Ben Howland.

6) St Bonaventure-VCU are going to play in the A-14 championship game, but that game isn?t until Sunday in Dayton. Both teams are expected to make the NCAA Tournament, which will be held entirely in Indiana, and Dayton is close to Indiana, so the teams can get on a bus and go right from Dayton to their hotel where they?ll hunker down for the NCAA Tournament.

5) Florida basketball coach Mike White played college basketball at Ole Miss, where his roommate was teammate Keith Carter, who is now the athletic director at Ole Miss. Athletic director is a nice way of saying ?lead fundraiser?; Carter raised a record $45.6M in cash contributions for the Rebels, in 2015-16.

Couple of very successful friends there; you wonder how many college roommates are both making six-figure salaries these days (White makes seven figures).

4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit Foxboro next season, which obviously is Tom Brady going back home to face his former employers. Would love to see the backroom negotiating with the TV networks who want to televise that game; it won?t be in Week 1- the Super Bowl champ opens the next season at home. But you know NBC/ESPN/FOX all want that game.

3) Speaking of which, apparently the NFL schedule will be released in May this year, a little later than usual. Schedule usually comes out before the draft, but with the COVID situation still developing, it makes sense to release the schedule a little later.

2) 31-year old Blake Griffin signed on with the Brooklyn Nets, after accepting a buyout from Detroit; Griffin has already earned $255M in his playing career and is due another $29.5M next year, so he is joining Brooklyn for the rest of this year, to try and win a championship.

1) Astros have injury issues in their pitching rotation; they signed Jake Odorizzi this weekend to a 2-year deal. Odorizzi has a 62-56 career record, was 15-7 for Minnesota in 2019- he started only four games LY, because of bruised ribs and a blister.

Cnotes53 · Mar 9, 2021

Tuesday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the Pac-12 tournament this week:
+150- USC
+200- Colorado
+350- Oregon
+400- UCLA
+2000- Stanford
+2500- Arizona State
+3300- Utah
+8000- Washington State
+10000- Oregon State
+20000- California, Washington

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 523,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I might have to get into that space ? it?s very humbling. I mean, it?s a great honor to have one of my cards sell for that much.?
Lakers star Anthony Davis, after his rookie card sold for $1.045M last month

Tuesday?s quiz
Where did Dak Prescott play his college football?

Monday?s quiz
Mariners/Seahawks used to play home games in the Kingdome.

Sunday?s quiz
Tim Matheson was a star in Animal House and also played Vice President Hoynes in the old TV series, The West Wing.

*******************

Tuesday?s Den: NBA trends at the halfway mark??.

Miami
? Won seven of last eight games SU.
? 5-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
? 6-3 ATS in last nine road games.
? Last three games stayed under the total.

Milwaukee:
? Won six of last seven games SU.
? 10-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
? 6-10 ATS as a road favorite.
? Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Minnesota:
? 0-5 SU/ATS since they changed coaches.
? Lost 13 of last 14 games SU, are 0-9 ATS in last nine.
? 6-9 ATS as a home underdog.
? Four of their last five games went over.

New Orleans:
? Lost three of their last four games SU.
? 2-8 ATS as a home favorite.
? 3-7 ATS in last ten road games.
? 12 of their last 14 games went over.

New York
? Won eight of last ten games SU.
? 6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
? 7-5 ATS in last dozen road games.
? Under is 7-0-1 in their last eight road games.

Oklahoma City
? 4-6 SU in their last ten games.
? 5-10 ATS as a home underdog.
? 8-3 ATS in last eleven road games.
? Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Orlando
? Lost their last five games SU.
? 5-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
? 2-6 ATS in last eight road games.
? Last four road games stayed under total.

Philadelphia
? Won six of their last eight games SU.
? 13-6 ATS at home.
? 0-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
? Over is 7-3 in their last ten road games.

Phoenix
? Won/covered 16 oof their last 19 games.
? 11-4 ATS as a home favorite.
? Covered eight of last nine road games.
? Over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

Portland
? Won their last four games.
? 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
? 12-6 ATS on the road this season.
? Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Sacramento
? Lost 11 of their last 13 games SU/ATS.
? 2-6 ATS as a home favorite.
? 9-7 ATS on the road this season.
? 11 of their last 12 games went over.

San Antonio
? Spurs split their last eight games SU.
? They?re 3-6 ATS in last nine home games.
? Covered nine of their 13 road games.
? Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight home games.

Toronto
? Raptors lost four of their last five games.
? 6-10 ATS in Tampa, their temporary home.
? 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
? Last four Toronto games went over.

Utah
? Jazz finished with a 1-3 road trip, after a 21-2 run.
? Utah is 13-0-1 ATS in its last 14 home games.
? Covered only one of last five road tilts.
? Over is 9-3 in their last twelve games.

Washington
? Won eight of their last eleven games SU.
? Covered five of last six home games.
? Covered five of last six road games.
? Four of last five series games stayed under.

Cnotes53 · Mar 10, 2021

Wednesday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the Big 14 tournament this week:
+150- Michigan
+350- Illinois, Iowa, Ohio State
+1000- Purdue
+1500- Wisconsin
+2500- Rutgers
+3500- Michigan State
+5000- Maryland, Minnesota
+6600- Indiana
+20000- Northwestern
+30000- Nebraska

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 525,117
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I don?t really like stats. Exit velocity. I?m more of, exit hits??I dropped out as a sophomore, Look where I am now. I?m OK.?
Bryce Harper

Wednesday?s quiz
Before becoming head coach at Duke, where was Mike Krzyzewski the head coach?

Tuesday?s quiz
Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State

Monday?s quiz
Mariners/Seahawks used to play home games in the Kingdome.

********************

Wednesday?s Den: Mid-week musings??.

13) Gonzaga 88, BYU 78:
? BYU led this game 53-41 at halftime.
? Gonzaga outscored BYU 18-5 on foul line.
? Gonzaga made 12-26 on arc, BYU 11-28.

One of the first questions I?ll be asking myself Sunday night, after the NCAA brackets come out, is whether Gonzaga has been tested enough this season. They haven?t won a game by single digits since December 2 vs West Virginia. The WCC isn?t as good as it usually is, and the Zags have breezed thru this season, while other leagues are way more competitive.

Baylor-Michigan-Illinois have had lot of tough games; it has to make you a better team.

12) Dallas Cowboys? QB Dak Prescott signed a 4-year, $160M deal, $123M guaranteed. By way of comparison, and without any editorial comment, here are some facts:

Prescott: 42-27 regular season record, 1-2 in playoffs
Jared Goff: 42-27 regular season record, 2-3 in playoffs, which doesn?t include his win in relief at Seattle in this year?s playoffs.

11) Interesting discussion on Mets? TV the other day about whether a team can improve a lot on defense, without changing the players who are in the field.

Was reminiscent of Troy Aikman saying on NFL broadcasts how quarterbacks cannot learn to become more accurate passers. Aikman believes that once you get to the NFL level, you are what you are, though Buffalo Bill fans would bring up Josh Allen and dispute that.

Bottom line is, Keith Hernandez/Ron Darling didn?t paint an optimistic picture of the Mets? defense for this season.

10) Last Friday, Troy State upset Texas-Arlington 91-86 in the Sun Belt tournament, which on the surface is no big deal, but there is an interesting back story.

From 2007-18, Scott Cross was Tex-Arlington?s coach; the last three years he was there, UTA went 72-33 overall, 37-15 in Sun Belt games. Damn good record, but they fired Cross because he didn?t win make the NCAA tournament? he made it once, in 2008, Cross? second year there.

Since they told Cross to take a hike, Tex-Arlington is 44-47 overall, 31-26 in Sun Belt games. Not exactly an upgrade.

I?m guessing when Troy State beat UTA last week, their coach took special satisfaction in the win, seeing how that coach was Scott Cross.

9) I watched Hoosiers for the 50th or so time the other day; watching the credits at the end, they thanked the governor of Indiana, who at the time was a guy named Robert Orr.

Bobby Orr was the governor of Indiana? I thought he was a Canadian!!! (Its a joke)

8) Miami Marlins used 61 players in 60 games last year, 37 of them pitchers; their spring training must be a mess this year, trying to whittle down those 61 guys down to a roster of 26 players. Don Mattingly did a great job in a weird season last year; choosing the right guys for a 162-game season is a much different dilemma.

7) Angels? broadcaster Jose Mota played one of the Detroit Tigers in the 1999 baseball movie, For Love of the Game, with Kevin Costner. Mota?s character makes a great play to preserve Billy Chapel?s perfect game; he and Mark Gubicza were talking about it on the Angels? broadcast the other night. Mota said it was an easier play to make, since he read the script and knew where the ball was going to be hit.

Looking at the Angels? website, they haven?t filled Victor Rojas? play-by-play slot yet; they should choose Mota. He and Gubicza have a good chemistry.

6) Last season, 12 major league umpires opted out of working, because of COVID; at least three of them are back this year. The Athletic did an interesting article, talking to Phil Cuzzi, Gerry Davis and Brian Gorman about coming back to work and sitting out last year.

Davis has umpired 4.957 major league games; only three umps have gotten to 5,000 games, so that?ll be a big deal when Davis gets to 5,000.

Umpire Brian Gorman?s late wife was a Los Angeles Times staff photographer and picture editor who was a two-time recipient of the Pulitzer Prize.

5) Today is Wednesday of Championship Week, and there are already 300+ names in the college basketball transfer portal. People who sell game programs are going to clean up next year. Guys who write Blue Ribbon Yearbook are going to get headaches. Lot of kids jumping from team-to-team.

4) Colorado Rockies? 1B CJ Cron is playing for his fifth time in the last five years; he started his career playing four years for the Angels, then went to Tampa Bay in 2018, Minnesota the next year, Detroit last year, and now Colorado.

He hit 55 homers in 2018-19; curious to see how many at-bats he gets this season.

3) NHL will be back on ESPN starting next season; curious to see if the league gets its own daily half-hour show, like the NBA has now. ESPN had forgotten about hockey since they last showed games in 2004. Good news for Steve Levy and Berry Melrose.

2) Turned on the TV when I woke up the other day, and all they?re talking about it is the royal family in England. I don?t give a rat?s ass about the royal family. Seriously, don?t want to hear one word about them, and I was an avid fan of Suits on USA Network, so I?m familiar with Meghan Markle?s work. She married a prince, good for her. Don?t want to hear about it.

Only Royals I care about are Whit Merrifield and Carlos Santana, Kansas City Royals.

1) I was fiddling around on the Interweb at 4am the other night when it dawned on me that in most years, this is my favorite two weeks of the whole year, conference tournaments this week, the NCAA?s next week. Watching basketball and eating pizza, good times.

The last year has seemed 10 years long; things are slowly getting better? several of my friends have gotten their vaccines and that?s a good thing. Watching basketball all week will also be a good thing? we didn?t get to do that last year. Getting back to normal will be the best thing.

Cnotes53 · Mar 10, 2021

501WASHINGTON -502 MEMPHIS
WASHINGTON is 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

503SAN ANTONIO -504 DALLAS
DALLAS are 214-151 ATS (47.9 Units) after scoring 90 points or less since 1996.

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 10

Washington @ Memphis
Wizards (14-20)
? Wizards won eight of their last 11 games (9-2 ATS)
? Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games.
? Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Grizzlies (16-16)
? Memphis won three of its last five games.
? Grizzlies are 6-3 ATS in last nine games overall.
? Under is 8-0 in their last eight games.

? Memphis won four of last five series games.
? Wizards are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Tennessee.
? Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

San Antonio @ Dallas
Spurs (18-14)
? San Antonio won seven of last 11 games overall.
? Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
? Under is 7-3-1 in Spurs? last 11 games.

Mavericks (18-16)
? Mavericks won nine of their last 11 games.
? Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
? Under is 5-1 in last six Dallas games.

? Mavericks won four of last five series games.
? Spurs covered three of last four visits to Dallas.
? Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

NBA

Wednesday, March 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington @ Memphis
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

San Antonio @ Dallas
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

--------------------------------------------------

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 10

*****************************

Eastern Conference 1st Half Records, Trends

******************************

Western Conference 1st Half Records, Trends

****************************

Hoop Trends for Wednesday March 10
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Washington at Memphis (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Wizards are 10-0 ATS (9.75 ppg) after Russell Westbrook had at least 10 assists last game.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Antonio at Dallas (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Spurs are 0-13-1 ATS (-10.11 ppg) as a road dog after their turnovers increased by at least 10 from the game prior.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Antonio at Dallas (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Spurs are 13-0 OU (12.58 ppg) as a dog off a loss in which they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Washington at Memphis (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Grizzlies are 0-12 OU (-17.12 ppg) as a favorite with rest after they scored more than 50 points in the paint last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

**************************

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (14 - 20) at MEMPHIS (16 - 16) - 3/10/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 149-191 ATS (-61.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 60-86 ATS (-34.6 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (18 - 14) at DALLAS (18 - 16) - 3/10/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 273-218 ATS (+33.2 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 1141-1013 ATS (+26.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 61-30 ATS (+28.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 233-167 ATS (+49.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
DALLAS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Cnotes53 · Mar 10, 2021

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 10
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

WAS at MEM 08:00 PM
WAS +3.5...........112 - 127.....LOSER
O 237.0.......................WINNER

SA at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -4.0................104 - 115....WINNER
U 224.0...........................WINNER

NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/10/2021 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
03/04/2021 9-7-2 55.56% +650 Detail
03/03/2021 12-8-0 60.00% +1600 Detail
03/02/2021 4-7-1 37.50% -1850 Detail

TOTALS............28-23-2.......54.90%.....+13.50

Totals.............27 - 20...........67.50%............+19.00

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

Cnotes53 · Mar 11, 2021

Thursday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the PLAYERS Championship this week:
12-1? Dustin Johnson
13-1? Bryson Dechambeau, Rory McIlroy
15-1? Jon Rahm
16-1? Justin Thomas
20-1? Morikawa, Schauffele, Simpson
24-1? Patrick Cantlay, Viktor Hovland

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 527,950
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
???..fear and desperation are running neck and neck as the prevailing sentiment within the Bears? front office right now, as its criminal mismanagement of the quarterback position has come to a crest with few easy ways out.?
Jason LaCanfora, CBS Sports

Thursday?s quiz
Who was manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their only World Series title?

Wednesday?s quiz
Before becoming head coach at Duke, Mike Krzyzewski was the head coach at West Point.

Tuesday?s quiz
Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State

**********************

Thursday?s Den: Nobody asked me, but??.

13) Butler-Xavier, tied 59-all with 0:24 left at the Big East tournament. FS1 shows how Xavier is on the NCAA bubble and needs to win this game.

FS1 announcer: ?This would be a bad loss for Xavier. Not to speak disparagingly of Butler, but this would be a bad loss.?

Hahaha. Can?t have it both ways, chief. If you say losing to Team A is a bad loss, then you?re speaking disparangly of Team A. No way around it.

Butler 70, Xavier 69 OT? Bad loss for Xavier, which lost six of its last eight games.

12) ACC tournament:
? Syracuse 89, NC State 68? Syracuse was 3-0 against the Wolfpack this season.
? Miami 67, Clemson 64? Hurricanes played seven guys yesterday. Seven.
? North Carolina 101, Notre Dame 59? UNC-Virginia Tech is a good game today.

11) Big X tournament:
? Kansas State 71, TCU 50? Wildcats won four of last five games, after an 0-13 skid.
? Oklahoma 79, Iowa State 73? Cyclones didn?t win a conference game this year.

10) Big 14 tournament:
? Minnesota 51, Northwestern 46? Gophers snap a 7-game skid here; they say Richard Pitino?s job is in jeopardy, and San Diego State?s Brian Dutcher would be their target to take Pitino?s place. Dutcher?s dad coached Minnesota in the early 80?s.

Here?s my proposal, and I?ve said this before: Louisville has an assistant coach named Luke Murray, who is Bill Murray?s son. If you?ve ever seen the movie Caddyshack, you remember the tense relationship Bill Murray?s character had with gophers on the golf course.

Having Bill Murray?s son being head coach of the Minnesota Gophers would open up a huge pool of possibilities for great TV commercials. Just an idea.

9) MAAC tournament:
? Iona 55, Siena 52? Rick Pitino gets his Gaels into the MAAC semi-finals, upsetting the top-seeded Saints.
? Fairfield 79, Monmouth 60? Pretty big upset, but Stags have won four of last five games.

8) Mountain West tournament had some sanity; all three favorites won Wednesday and two of them covered the spread. 2-seed Utah State gets to play UNLV on the Rebels? home court Thursday.

7) Upsets of the Day:
? Rice (+9.5) 72, Marshall 68
? California (+8) 76, Stanford 58
? Miami (+8) 67, Clemson 64
? Fairfield (+8) 79, Monmouth 60
? Butler (+6) 70, Xavier 69 OT
? Northern Arizona (+6) 77, Portland State 66

6) Pac-12 tournament:
? Utah 98, Washington 95? Utes led by 19 with 5:08 left, hung on for dear life. Utah made 14-26 on the arc, shot 66.7% inside arc and only won by 3 points. Yikes.
? Cal 76, Stanford 58? Wheels fell off down the stretch for Stanford; they lost their last five games, finishing 14-13 after an 8-3 start.

5) LaMarcus Aldridge will be leaving the San Antonio Spurs; Gregg Popovich had nice things to say about Aldridge the person, but the team had been faring better when Aldridge was off the floor, so they?re going to trade him, and he?ll be away from the team until that happens.

Aldridge is a free agent this summer; he is averaging only 13.7 ppg, the fewest he?s scored since his rookie season, and only 4.5 rebounds/game, a career-low.

4) NFL salary cap is going down 8% next season, first time in a decade the cap hasn?t gone up.

Free agency starts March 17; NFL will be fighting for headlines with the NCAA Tournament.

3) Kansas Jayhawks fired their football coach the other day; they fired their athletic director yesterday. When you hire a new coach and the team goes 3-18 over two years, the wealthy boosters get queasy about coughing up more money. Rich people aren?t patient.

2) Dodgers? ace Clayton Kershaw will be using a new baseball glove this season for the first time since 2009. Dodgers won the World Series, Kershaw retired his glove. Guess that means he isn?t superstitious.

1) To me, today (Thursday) is the best college basketball day of the year; 15 hours full of games from all over the country. A good to day to relax, eat pizza and watch a lot of ball. Enjoy.

Cnotes53 · Mar 11, 2021

505DETROIT -506 CHARLOTTE
CHARLOTTE is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

507BOSTON -508 BROOKLYN
BROOKLYN is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

509ATLANTA -510 TORONTO
ATLANTA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

511ORLANDO -512 MIAMI
MIAMI is 57-37 ATS (16.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

513PHILADELPHIA -514 CHICAGO
PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games in the current season.

515MINNESOTA -516 NEW ORLEANS
MINNESOTA is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) after allowing 130 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

517NEW YORK -518 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games as a favorite of 10 or more in the current season.

519DALLAS -520 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 89-70 ATS (12 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

521GOLDEN STATE -522 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 136-173 ATS (-54.3 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots since 1996.

523HOUSTON -524 SACRAMENTO
HOUSTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.

-----------------------------------

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 11

Detroit @ Charlotte
Pistons (10-26)
? Detroit lost seven of its last nine games
? Pistons are 5-4 ATS in last nine road games.
? Under is 6-3 in Detroit?s last nine games.

Hornets (17-18)
? Charlotte is 7-5 in its last 13 games SU.
? Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
? Over is 7-1 in Charlotte?s last eight games.

? Hornets won last ten series games.
? Pistons are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Charlotte.
? Under is 7-1 in last eight series games.

Boston @ Brooklyn
Celtics (19-17)
? Boston won its last four games SU.
? Celtics are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.
? Over is 7-2 in last nine Boston games.

Nets (24-13)
? Brooklyn won/covered 10 of their last 11 games.
? Nets are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
? Three of last four Brooklyn home games stayed under.

? Nets won five of last eight series games.
? Boston is 0-3 ATS in last three visits to Brooklyn.
? Four of last five series games went over.

Atlanta vs Toronto (@ Tampa)
Hawks (16-20)
? Hawks won both their games since they fired their coach .
? Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.
? 12 of Atlanta?s 16 games went over the total.

Raptors (17-19)
? Toronto lost three of its last its four games.
? Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
? Last three Toronto games went over the total.

? Raptors won nine of last ten series games.
? Hawks are 1-3 ATS in last four road series games.
? Last four series games went over the total.

Orlando @ Miami
Magic (13-23)
? Orlando lost five in row, 13 of its last 17 games.
? Magic is 3-9 ATS in last dozen road games.
? Over is 3-0 in their last three games.

Heat (18-18)
? Miami won seven of its last eight games overall.
? Heat is 4-0 ATS in last four road games.
? Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

? Heat won three of last four series games.
? Magic covered four of last five visits to Miami.
? Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Philadelphia @ Chicago
76ers (24-12)
? Embiid, Simmons are expected to miss this game.
? 76ers won six of their last eight games.
? Sixers are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
? Over is 3-0 in Philly?s last three games.

Bulls (16-18)
? Chicago won six of its last nine games SU.
? Bulls are 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.
? Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

? 76ers won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
? Sixers covered once in their last four visits to Chicago.
? Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

New York @ Milwaukee
Knicks (19-18)
? New York won eight of last 11 games (11-4 ATS last 15).
? Knicks are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games.
? Under is 7-1-1 in New York?s last nine road games.

Bucks (22-14)
? Milwaukee won six of its last seven games (4-3 ATS).
? Bucks are 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
? Under is 3-0 in Milwaukee?s last three games

? Bucks won five of last six series games.
? Knicks are 1-3-1 ATS in last five trips to Milwaukee.
? Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Minnesota @ New Orleans
Timberwolves (7-29)
? Minnesota lost 13 of last 14, 23 of its last 27 games.
? Wolves are 0-9 ATS in their last eight games overall.
? Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Pelicans (15-21)
? New Orleans lost four of its last five games overall.
? Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
? Over is 19-4-2 in their last 25 games.

? Teams split last eight series games.
? Minnesota is 2-1 ATS in last three visits to Bourbon Street.
? Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Dallas @ Oklahoma City
Mavericks (19-16)
? Mavericks won 10 of their last 12 games.
? Mavericks are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
? Under is 6-1 in last seven Dallas games.

Thunder (15-21)
? Thunder split their last eight games.
? OKC is 6-10-1 ATS at home this season.
? Under is 9-3 in their last dozen games.

? Dallas won seven of last ten series games.
? Mavericks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma.
? Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.

Golden State @ LA Clippers
Warriors (19-18)
? Golden State is 3-5 in its last eight games overall.
? Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
? Under is 8-1 in their last nine road games.

Clippers (24-14)
? Clippers lost six of their last nine games overall.
? Clippers are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
? Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

? Clippers won four of last five series games.
? Golden State covered three of last four road series games.
? Three of last four series games stayed under.

Phoenix @ Portland
Suns (24-11)
? Phoenix won/covered 16 of its last 19 games.
? Suns are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games.
? Under is 4-1 in their last five road games.

Trailblazers (21-14)
? Portland won four in row, 11 of last 16 games SU.
? Blazers are 3-1 ATS in last four home games.
? Over is 7-3 in Portland?s last ten home games.

? Phoenix won three of last four series games.
? Suns are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Portland.
? Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Houston @ Sacramento
Rockets (11-23)
? Houston lost its last 13 games (1-12 ATS).
? Rockets covered once in their last seven road games.
? Over is 7-1 in their last eight road games.

Kings (14-22)
? Sacramento is 2-11 SU/ATS in last 13 games overall.
? Kings are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games.
? Over is 11-1 in Sacramento?s last 12 games.

? Houston won eight of last nine series games.
? Rockets covered four of last five visits to Sacramento.
? Four of last six series games went over the total.

-----------------------------------

NBA

Thursday, March 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit @ Charlotte
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

Boston @ Brooklyn
Boston
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Brooklyn is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

Atlanta @ Toronto
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 14 games
Toronto
Toronto is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Atlanta
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Orlando @ Miami
Orlando
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

New York @ Milwaukee
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games on the road
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Minnesota @ New Orleans
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 11 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans's last 11 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games at home

Philadelphia @ Chicago
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Dallas @ Oklahoma City
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games

Golden State @ LA Clippers
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State

Houston @ Sacramento
Houston
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Sacramento
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 12 games

Phoenix @ Portland
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Portland
Portland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

-----------------------------------------------------

B]NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 11[/B]

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (10 - 26) at CHARLOTTE (17 - 18) - 3/11/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 58-86 ATS (-36.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 7-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 8-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (19 - 17) at BROOKLYN (24 - 13) - 3/11/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BOSTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
BROOKLYN is 85-62 ATS (+16.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 159-121 ATS (+25.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 259-202 ATS (+36.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 6-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (16 - 20) at TORONTO (17 - 19) - 3/11/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (13 - 23) at MIAMI (18 - 18) - 3/11/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (24 - 12) at CHICAGO (16 - 18) - 3/11/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 77-112 ATS (-46.2 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
CHICAGO is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (7 - 29) at NEW ORLEANS (15 - 21) - 3/11/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-54 ATS (-31.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-52 ATS (-27.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-43 ATS (-20.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (19 - 18) at MILWAUKEE (22 - 14) - 3/11/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (19 - 16) at OKLAHOMA CITY (15 - 21) - 3/11/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 66-46 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 89-69 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (19 - 18) at LA CLIPPERS (24 - 14) - 3/11/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 83-61 ATS (+15.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 8-7 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-7 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (11 - 23) at SACRAMENTO (14 - 22) - 3/11/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in home games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
SACRAMENTO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (24 - 11) at PORTLAND (21 - 14) - 3/11/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHOENIX is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHOENIX is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHOENIX is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

-------------------------------------------

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 11

--------------------------------

Hoop Trends for Thursday March 11
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Phoenix at Portland (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 12-0 ATS (9.92 ppg) on the road coming off a 10+ point win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Kings are 0-12 ATS (-8.50 ppg) at home after they scored more than 50 points in the paint last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Golden State at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Warriors are 10-0-1 OU (13.41 ppg) on the road with more than two days of rest.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockets are 0-10 OU (-8.40 ppg) coming off a 10+ point loss as a home dog.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Cnotes53 · Mar 11, 2021

THURSDAY, MARCH 11
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DET at CHA 07:00 PM
CHA -4.5..........102 - 105.......LOSER
O 225.0........................LOSER

BOS at BK 07:30 PM
BK -2.5................109 - 122.......WINNER
O 233.5

ATL at TOR 07:30 PM
TOR +3.0..................121- 120
O 226.5......................WINNER

ORL at MIA 08:00 PM
MIA -8.0.............103 - 111
U 211.0...................LOSER

MIN at NO 08:00 PM
MIN +8.5..........135 - 105
O 238.0.................WINNER

NY at MIL 08:00 PM
NY +10.5..........101 - 134.....LOSER
O 222.5.........................WINNER

PHI at CHI 08:00 PM
PHI +3.5...........127 - 105....WINNER
O 227.5

DAL at OKC 09:00 PM
OKC +5.5.............108 - 116
O 219.5.....................WINNER

GS at LAC 10:00 PM
GS +7.0...........104 - 130
O 229.5................WINNER

PHO at POR 10:00 PM
POR +4.5...........127 - 121......LOSER
O 226.5....................WINNER

HOU at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC -4.5.......105 - 125......WINNER
U 231.0...................WINNER

NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

TOTALS......38-28-4.....57.57%......+36.00

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

Cnotes53 · Mar 12, 2021

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Leading scorers in country in Division I:
24.2? Max Abmas, Oral Roberts
24.0? Antoine Davis, Detroit
23.8? Luke Garza, Iowa
23.1? Cameron Thomas, LSU
21.8? Santi Aldama, Loyola, MD
21.8? Marcus Burk, IUPUI

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 527,950
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's Den: Wrapping up a hectic Thursday

13) Big East tourney:
Georgetown 72, Villanova 71
? Hoyas went 23-for-23 on foul line in a big upset.
? Villanova is #321 in bench minutes; they missed injured PG Gillespie.
? Patrick Ewing is obviously one of the best players in Knicks history; Ewing told reporters after the game that event staff at Madison Square Garden were regularly stopping him to check his passes- they don?t know who he is? His number is up in the freakin? rafters!!!

Seton Hall 77, St John?s 69 OT? This score could KO the Johnnies from the field of 68; if so, it could be the first year since 1993 that the Big East had only three teams in the NCAA?s.

12) SEC tourney:
Mississippi State 74, Kentucky 73? Bulldogs end a 15-game losing skid vs Kentucky
? This is the first time since 1976 that neither Kentucky/Duke will be in the NCAA?s.

11) ACC tourney:
? Duke-Florida State game was cancelled because of a positive COVID test in the Duke program; that ends Duke?s season, and their streak of 24 straight years in NCAA tourney.

Virginia 72, Syracuse 69? Freshman Reece Beekman buried a 3-pointer at the buzzer for Virginia, which trailed by 11 in first half. It was Beekman?s only basket of the game.

10) Big X tourney:
Texas 67, Texas Tech 66:
? Longhorns won four in row, seven of last nine games.
? Tech was only 12-20 on foul line, shot 41.9% inside arc, missed several tips/layups in last 2:00.

Kansas 69, Oklahoma 62
? Jayhawks won 8 of their last 9 games.
? Oklahoma limps into the NCAA?s, on a 1-5 skid.

9) Pac-12 tourney:
Oregon State 83, UCLA 79 OT? Beavers won four of last five games; they were down 16 late in first half.
? With 10:00 left in game, OSU had 40 points; they scored 30 in last 10:00 of regulation.
? UCLA lost its last four games.

USC 91, Utah 85 2OT:
? Three Trojans played 42:00+.
? Lot of foul shots: USC was 29-39, Utah 25-30

8) Big 14 tourney:
Maryland 68, Michigan State 57? Spartans will have a long few days, waiting to see if they?re in the field of 68, or are heading to Texas for the NIT.

Wisconsin 75, Penn State 74:
? Badgers led 68-50 with 7:48 left, hung on for only their 2nd win in seven games.
? Wisconsin made 12-23 on the arc, won by a point. Bit of a red flag.

7) Upsets of the Day:
? Georgetown (+8) 72, Villanova 71
? Montana (+6.5) 80, Weber State 75
? Oregon State (+5) 83, UCLA 79 OT
? Mississippi State (+3.5) 74, Kentucky 73
? Tulane (+3.5) 77, Tulsa 70
? Nevada (+3.5) 89, Boise State 82
? Cal-Davis 58 (+3.5), Cal-Bakersfield 56

6) Big West tourney:
Cal-Davis 58, Cal-Bakersfield 56? 7th win in last eight games for the Aggies.

Cal-Irvine 58, Cal Poly 51? Anteaters jumped out to a 31-9 lead, then held on. Cal Poly shot 29% inside the arc.

5) Conference USA tourney? All four favorites won, three covered; this tournament is being played at Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas- they have two games going on at once.

4) MAC tourney:
Toledo 91, Ball State 89 OT:
? Toledo blew a 10-point lead with 5:49 left, then trailed by 5 in overtime.
? Rockets won five of their last six games.

3) Mountain West tourney:
San Diego State 69, Wyoming 66:
? Top-seeded Aztecs struggled here; Wyoming is going to be good down the road.
? San Diego State won its last 12 games, plays Nevada tonight.

Disappointing that UNLV hasn?t made the semi-finals of this event since 2014; they?re the host team, but the program has slipped into mediocrity.

2) Big Sky tourney:
Montana 80, Weber State 75
? Montana is 14-12, but five of those wins are against non-Division I teams. This was the 2nd biggest upset of the day nationally.
? Grizzlies can shoot though; they?re shooting 37.5% on arc (#31), 79.8% on foul line (#7)

1) AAC tourney:
South Florida 73, Temple 71? Why did Temple fire Fran Dunphy? Guy went 23-10 his last year, won 21+ games nine of his 13 years there- Owls are 10-22 in AAC games since he left.

Cnotes53 · Mar 12, 2021

527CLEVELAND -528 NEW ORLEANS
CLEVELAND is 52-72 ATS (-27.2 Units) after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

529PHILADELPHIA -530 WASHINGTON
PHILADELPHIA is 39-57 ATS (-23.7 Units) in road games in the last 3 seasons.

531DENVER -532 MEMPHIS
DENVER is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current season.

533ORLANDO -534 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.

535MIAMI -536 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

537HOUSTON -538 UTAH
UTAH is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the current season.

539INDIANA -540 LA LAKERS
INDIANA is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

-------------------------------

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 12

Philadelphia @ Washington
76ers (25-12)
? 76ers won seven of their last nine games.
? Sixers are 2-4 ATS in their last six road games.
? Over is 4-0 in Philly?s last four games.

Wizards (14-21)
? Wizards won eight of their last 12 games (9-3 ATS)
? Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last six home games.
? Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

? 76ers won last four series games, by 5-6-9-17 points.
? Wizards covered five of last six series games.
? Under is 3-1 in last four series games played here.

Denver @ Memphis
Nuggets (21-15)
? Denver is 9-4 in its last 13 games overall.
? Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in last six road games.
? Under is 4-2 in Denver?s last six games overall.

Grizzlies (17-16)
? Memphis won four of its last six games.
? Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS in last nine games overall.
? Under is 8-1 in their last nine games.

? Denver won four of last five series games.
? Nuggets covered once in last six visits to Memphis.
? Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Cleveland @ New Orleans
Cavaliers (14-21)
? Cleveland won four of last five games, after an 0-10 skid .
? Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
? Five of last seven Cleveland games stayed under the total.

Pelicans (15-22)
? New Orleans lost five of its last six games overall.
? Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.
? Over is 20-4-2 in their last 26 games.

? Pelicans won six of last seven series games.
? Cavaliers covered once in last five trips to New Orleans.
? Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Miami @ Chicago
Heat (19-18)
? Miami won eight of its last nine games overall.
? Heat is 4-0 ATS in last four road games.
? Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Bulls (16-19)
? Chicago lost three of its last four games SU.
? Bulls are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games.
? Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

? Miami won eight of last ten series games.
? Heat covered four of last six visits to Chicago.
? Three of last four series games went over.

Orlando @ San Antonio
Magic (13-24)
? Orlando lost six in row, 14 of its last 18 games.
? Magic is 4-9 ATS in last 13 road games.
? Over is 4-0 in their last four games.

Spurs (18-15)
? San Antonio lost four of last six games overall.
? Spurs are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
? Under is 7-3-1 in Spurs? last 11 games.

? Teams split last six series games.
? Magic covered four of last five trips to the Alamo.
? Last four series games went over the total.

Houston @ Utah
Rockets (11-24)
? Houston lost its last 14 games (1-13 ATS).
? Rockets covered once in their last eight road games.
? Over is 7-2 in their last nine road games.

Jazz (27-9)
? Utah is 3-4 in its last seven games, after a 19-1 run (22-5-1 ATS last 28).
? Jazz is 12-0-1 ATS in its last 13 home games.
? Over is 6-1 in Utah?s last seven games.

? Houston won eight of last ten series games.
? Rockets covered four of last five visits to Utah.
? Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

Indiana @ LA Lakers
Pacers (16-19)
? Indiana lost 10 of its last 14 games.
? Pacers are 3-6 ATS in their last nine road games.
? Over is 6-2-1 in Indiana?s last nine games.

Lakers (24-12)
? Lakers lost six of their last eight games.
? Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten home games.
? Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

? Home side won last nine series games.
? Pacers are 0-4 ATS in last four series games played here.
? Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

--------------------------------

NBA

Friday, March 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Washington
Washington is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Cleveland @ New Orleans
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games at home

Denver @ Memphis
Denver
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

Orlando @ San Antonio
Orlando
Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Orlando

Miami @ Chicago
Miami
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

Houston @ Utah
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Utah
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Indiana @ LA Lakers
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana

--------------------------------------

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, March 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (14 - 22) at NEW ORLEANS (15 - 22) - 3/12/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 129-165 ATS (-52.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (25 - 12) at WASHINGTON (14 - 21) - 3/12/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (21 - 15) at MEMPHIS (17 - 16) - 3/12/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 187-143 ATS (+29.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (13 - 24) at SAN ANTONIO (18 - 15) - 3/12/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1141-1014 ATS (+25.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 582-493 ATS (+39.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 102-67 ATS (+28.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 382-316 ATS (+34.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 92-65 ATS (+20.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 459-385 ATS (+35.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
ORLANDO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (19 - 18) at CHICAGO (16 - 19) - 3/12/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 169-132 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (11 - 24) at UTAH (27 - 9) - 3/12/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
HOUSTON is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games this season.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-5 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (16 - 19) at LA LAKERS (24 - 13) - 3/12/2021, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 182-230 ATS (-71.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

------------------------------------

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, March 12

-------------------------------

Hoop Trends for Friday March 12
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Denver at Memphis (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS (8.12 ppg) at home off a win in which they had at least three players with at least 20 points.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cleveland at New Orleans (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Pelicans are 0-19 ATS (-11.61 ppg) at home after they shot worse than 26% on threes last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at Washington (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The 76ers are 13-0 OU (12.69 ppg) as a favorite after playing as a road dog last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Utah (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockets are 0-9 OU (-6.50 ppg) as a dog off a loss as a dog in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Cnotes53 · Mar 12, 2021

FRIDAY, MARCH 12
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

PHI at WAS 08:00 PM
WAS +4.5...........127 - 101.......LOSER
O 234.0...................LOSER

CLE at NO 08:00 PM
NO -7.0............82 - 116
O 229.0.................LOSER

DEN at MEM 08:00 PM
DEN -3.0..............103 - 102
U 227.5.....................WINNER

ORL at SA 09:00 PM
ORL +6.5..........77 - 104.........LOSER
U 215.5..................WINNER

MIA at CHI 09:00 PM
MIA -2.0............101 - 90.........WINNER
O 220.5......................LOSER

HOU at UTA 10:00 PM
UTA -17.0............99 -114
O 228.5................LOSER

IND at LAL 10:30 PM
IND +4.5.........100 - 105......LOSER
O 217.0....................LOSER

NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

01/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

TOTALS......41-36-4.....53.24%......+7.00

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

Cnotes53 · Mar 13, 2021

Saturday?s 6-pack
Top six scoring teams in Division I:
92.1? Gonzaga
86.4? Colgate
85.0? Iowa
84.8? Baylor
84.5? Southern Utah
83.9? Bryant

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 532,151
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?Nobody ever changed the world by doing what everyone else was doing.?
Mark Cuban

Saturday?s quiz
When was the last time a team that was lower than a #2-seed won the national title in college basketball?

Friday?s quiz
Of the 31 conference tournaments this month, four were/are being played in Las Vegas.

Thursday?s quiz
Bob Brenly was manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their only World Series title.

--------------------------------

Saturday?s Den: Wrapping up a busy basketball day

13) Pac-12 tourney:
Oregon State 75, Oregon 64
? Beavers were picked last in pre-season polls, finished a surprising 5th in regular season, now they?re playing for the league title Saturday.
? Oregon State is 20-44 on the arc the last two days.

Colorado 72, USC 70
? Buffs had a 17-0 run in first half, needed a tip dunk with 0:02.3 left for the win.
? Colorado has now beaten USC seven times in a row.

12) Big 14 tourney:
Michigan 79, Maryland 66
? 11:30am opener saw Michigan coach Howard get tossed after he got into a kerfuffle with Maryland coach Turgeon. Michigan is 20-3; Howard should be happier.

Ohio State 87, Purdue 78 OT
? Buckeyes led by 18 at half, needed OT for the win.
? Purdue was only 15-27 on the foul line.

11) ACC tourney:
? Georgia Tech advanced to finals because Virginia couldn?t play due to COVID issues.

Florida State 69, North Carolina 66:
? Florida State has unusually good depth; they?ll be a popular pick to make the Final Four.
? North Carolina shot 34% inside arc, had 21 offensive rebounds.

10) Big X tourney:
Oklahoma State 83, Baylor 74:
? Cowboys outscored Baylor 31-14 over final 7:49.
? OSU star Cunningham tweaked his ankle last week and missed a game, but played 77:00 out of 80:00 the last two days.
? Baylor heads into the NCAA Tournament at 22-2.

Texas advanced to the finals, because Kansas couldn?t play due to COVID issues.

9) Big East tourney:
Georgetown 66, Seton Hall 58
? #8-seed Hoyas are in Big East finals for first since since 2010.
? Seton Hall lost five of last six games, finishes 14-13. No bueno.

Creighton 59, UConn 56
? Bluejays won the MVC tournament last two years they were in that league, but they?ve never won the Big East tournament- they?re favored to do that tonight.
? Creighton outscored UConn 11-3 over final 5:26 of this game.
? Bluejays are #40 experience team; they?re an experienced group.

8) Big Sky tourney:
Montana State 80, Southern Utah 77 OT
? Top-seeded Thunderbirds get upset here.

Eastern Washington 78, Montana 50
? Eagles won 12 of their last 13 games

7) Upsets of the Day:
? Oregon State (+8) 75, Oregon 64
? Montana State (+6.5) 80, Southern Utah 77 OT
? Fairfield (+6.5) 52, Saint Peter?s 47
? Cincinnati (+5.5) 74, SMU 71
? Georgetown (+3.5) 66, Seton Hall 58

6) SEC tourney:
? All four favorites won Friday; I?m hoping Ole Miss gets in the NCAA Tournament- they looked like a tournament team in their 76-73 loss to LSU. Non-conference losses to Dayton/Wichita aren?t going to help their cause any.

Arkansas 70, Missouri 64:
? Razorbacks have won nine games in a row.
? Officials totally dominated this game- the TV guys stopped counting when they got to 17 offensive fouls in this game. Guys were flopping all over the place.
? Underrated thing about Eric Musselman; he?s coached two NBA teams and he also coached in the CBA? the guy is an X?s-and-O?s savant.

5) MAAC tourney:
Iona 70, Niagara 64
? Rick Pitino re-surfaces on national TV Saturday; his Gaels are playing for their fifth MAAC tournament title in last six tries.
? Iona didn?t play a game in January; they had a 7-week COVID pause, and didn?t play for 17 days before this tournament. Gaels have a new coach (albeit a Hall of Fame coach) and #274 continuity team, but they?re favored to win their league title tonight.

4) MAC tourney:
Ohio 87, Toledo 80
? Toledo hasn?t made the NCAA?s since I was in college (1982); they were the top seed here, but got upset here, despite shooting 69.4% inside arc.

Buffalo 81, Akron 74 OT
? Buffalo survived miserable 8-19 shooting on foul line; they were down 5 with 6:32 left.
? Bulls have won seven games in a row; they?re trying for 5th NCAA bid in last six tournaments.

3) Conference USA tourney
Western Kentucky 64, UAB 60
? Hilltoppers made 10-20 on arc; they also have an NBA-type big man in Bassey, who had 22 points, 7 rebounds, 4 blocked shots.

North Texas 54, Louisiana Tech 48:
? Mean Green won last three nights, giving up 53 ppg. They?re experience team #16 and they play a very slow tempo. North Texas last made the NCAA?s in 2010.

Cnotes53 · Mar 13, 2021

SATURDAY, MARCH 13
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NY at OKC 02:00 PM
NY -5.0...............119 - 97.......WINNER
O 209.0............................WINNER

MIL at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS +11.0.................125 - 119
O 240.5...........................WINNER

TOR at CHA 07:00 PM
CHA -2.5...........104 - 114.........WINNER
U 233.5

DET at BK 07:00 PM
BK -11.0............95 - 100.........LOSER
O 227.0......................LOSER

SAC at ATL 07:30 PM
SAC +4.0..............106- 121.......LOSER
O 238.0

POR at MIN 08:00 PM
POR -4.5............125 - 121..........LOSER
U 234.0...........................LOSER

IND at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO -7.0..........................122 - 111...........LOSER
U 223.0

NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
03/13/2021..4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

TOTALS......45-42-4.....51.72%......- 6.00

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

Cnotes53 · Mar 14, 2021

Sunday?s 6-pack
? Georgetown 73, Marquette 48? #8-seed Hoyas win the Big East.
? Texas 91, Oklahoma State 86? Longhorns had lost last six Big X title games.
? Grand Canyon 74, New Mexico State 56? Bryce Drew?s Antelopes win WAC.
? Iona 60, Fairfield 51? Rick Pitino gets his Gaels into the NCAAs.
? North Texas 61, Western Kentucky 57 OT? Mean Green?s first title since 2010.
? Oregon State 70, Colorado 68? Beavers win Pac-12 tourney for first time.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 533,868
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?Try not to do too many things at once. Know what you want, the number one thing today and tomorrow. Persevere and get it done.?
George Allen

Sunday?s quiz
We know Hawai?i is the 50th state; which state was the first state?

Saturday?s quiz
2014 was the last time a team that was lower than a #2-seed won the national title in college basketball, when #7-seed UConn won the title.

Friday?s quiz
Of the 31 conference tournaments this month, four were/are being played in Las Vegas.

************************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Last three days have been very excellent; sat around my house in hooded sweatshirts and sweats, watched ball for 14-16 hours a day, ate pizza, took a lot of notes. Life almost seemed normal again.

In most years, this is my favorite week of the year; last year it was a disaster, when everything shut down because of the pandemic. This week, college basketball was everywhere, the way it is supposed to be in March. Filled in the voids with spring training baseball. Good stuff.

Sunday night the brackets come out, something we all missed last year.

Meanwhile, there was other stuff going on besides college basketball:

12) Every summer, HBO does Hard Knocks, a behind-the-scenes look at NFL training camp, usually one team each summer. They do five one-hour shows during the summer; it is fun to learn some things that normally behind-the-scenes. It helps promote the league.

Baseball needs to do this!!! Give HBO access to a team every spring; Lord knows there is enough free time for managers/coaches/players to talk on camera. Let HBO spen six weeks with the Angels so America can learn about Trout, and Ohtani. Next year do the Padres.

Promote the game!!! Young people need to learn how great baseball is; there is so much stuff going on these days, so much competition for the entertainment dollar. Expose baseball to as many people as possible; that would seem like a good business move.

Speaking of which, why do they black out TV broadcasts of games on MLB Network? Let as many people watch games as want to do it? it is STUPID to black games out.

11) Major league baseball now controls the minor leagues; starting this season, they?re going to use the minors as a laboratory for new rules. Different levels will have different experiments:
? All four infielders will have to have both feet on the infield dirt.
? Teams will have to have two infielders on each side of th einfield.
? 0:15 pitch clock, which seems to be a bit much.
? Throws to first base vs baserunners will be limited.
? Robotic ball/strike umpires (I really dislike this one, maybe even hate it)

10) The motivation for all this is that MLB wants more baseballs put in play; less strikeouts and walks, more game action. If there are only two fielders on the right side of the infield, guys can go to the other way more? hard grounders that are pulled are more likely to be hits. Fewer batters will try to hit home runs all the time.

Batting average in the major leagues the last three years:
2018: .248
2019: .252
2020: .245? In 2000, it was .270. Shifts have badly hurt offense; offense makes the game more fun to watch.

9) Worlds colliding: a guy named Frank McCourt used to own the Dodgers- it didn?t go well. He had to sell the team, after he spent too much money in his personal life, and his toxic divorce proceedings pushed the Dodgers into bankruptcy. No bueno.

McCourt now owns a soccer team in France, a team previously owned by a guy who was the CEO of Adidas. When the guy passed away in 2009, his wife inherited the team? she is worth $5.9B, according to Forbes magazine, the richest Russian-born woman in the world. She later sold the soccer team to McCourt.

Anyway, it turns out that the Adidas guy was 2nd-cousins with Julia Louis-Dreyfus, who played Elaine on the Seinfeld TV show. Like I said, worlds colliding.

8) Chicago Cubs hired Jon Sciambi as their new TV play-by-play guy, a huge upgrade over the last guy, who moved to White Sox radio. Sciambi is awesome and will team with former big league pitcher Jim Deshaies. The reason I care about this a decent amount is that I have both Anthony Rizzo and Kris Bryant on my fantasy team, so I?m going to be watching the Cubs a lot this season.

7) Was watching the Milwaukee Brewers play in the middle of the night this week, the replay of an exhibition game, and got this sick feeling that I get every March when I watch the Brewers.

They?re analytically-driven, which means their front office guys all went to fancy colleges, and they do unusual things with the team, then use their college degrees to defend them when they don?t work. Translation: I will never have another Milwaukee pitcher on my fantasy team.

6) Random sports trivia; Arkansas hoop coach Eric Musselman is the son of the late coach Bill Musselman, who coached the Minnesota Gophers, also in the NBA and in the CBA, with the Albany Patroons, who played three miles from my house. Musselman?s Gophers won the 1972 Big Ten championship, back before there was a conference tournament.

When Bill Musselman was at Minnesota, one of the subs on his team was this guy who was pretty good in another sport, a 6-6 outfielder you may have heard of. Guy named Dave Winfield, a baseball Hall of Famer.

5) Tip of the cap to Nick Markakis, who retired this week after a 15-year career where he hit .288 for the Orioles/Braves, with a career on-base % of .357. Pretty freakin? good.

Markakis played in 147+ games in 12 of his 15 seasons; he wound up with 2,388 hits. He was on my fantasy team for several years, was a big help? one of the best ?abilities? is dependability.

4) NCAA Tournament schedule is a little different this year:
? Play-in games will all be on Thursday.
? First round games are Friday/Saturday
? Second round games are Sunday/Monday
? Second weekend of the tournament will be Saturday-Tuesday.

3) Georgia Tech 80, Florida State 75
? This was only second time EVER (Georgia Tech-Virginia in 1990) that the ACC title game didn?t have a team from North Carolina in it.
? Georgia Tech wins ACC title for first time since 1993.

2) 12-15 years ago, when I used to go to Florida every summer to watch the AAU national tournament at Disney World, I?d venture to different high schools in the Kissimmee area to watch games. When I went back to work the next week, I?d tell people how I spent my vacation, and more than one person gave me an odd look. Go figure.

One day I?m at Poinciana HS watching games, sitting on a cafeteria table, behind one of the baskets and this young coach sits on the other end of the table. I struck up a conversation with him and picked his brain for a couple hours, learned a lot. Probably asked too many questions, but learned a lot.

Maybe 4-5 years ago, I?m at Bishop Gorman HS in Las Vegas watching games, and once again I?m sitting next to the same guy, and we had another good conversation. Now I?m a nobody, he had no reason to be nice to me, or answer my numerous questions, but he did.

Josh Pastner is a hell of a nice guy; was so happy to see him win this game and win the ACC title. He was a sub as a player on great Arizona teams under Lute Olson and now has been a head coach for 12 years, seven at Memphis, five at Georgia Tech. Congrats coach!!!

1) Since AFL-NFL merger, most starts for a QB-coach combo without making playoffs:
85? Jim Zorn/Jack Patera, (expansion Seahawks)
59? David Carr/Dom Capers (expansion Texans)
52? Ryan Tannehill/Joe Philbin (Dolphins)
48? Derek Carr/Jon Gruden (Raiders)

Cnotes53 · Mar 14, 2021

557MEMPHIS -558 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 90-70 ATS (13 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

559UTAH -560 GOLDEN STATE
UTAH is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) off a home win in the current season.

561SAN ANTONIO -562 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

563MIAMI -564 ORLANDO
MIAMI is 34-14 ATS (18.6 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

565CLEVELAND -566 ATLANTA
CLEVELAND is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

567BOSTON -568 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

569PORTLAND -570 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

571TORONTO -572 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

573LA CLIPPERS -574 NEW ORLEANS
LA CLIPPERS are 40-21 ATS (16.9 Units) in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

--------------------------------------

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (17 - 17) at OKLAHOMA CITY (16 - 22) - 3/14/2021, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 67-47 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 50-36 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (28 - 9) at GOLDEN STATE (19 - 19) - 3/14/2021, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
UTAH is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (19 - 15) at PHILADELPHIA (26 - 12) - 3/14/2021, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 81-52 ATS (+23.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 1142-1014 ATS (+26.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 385-306 ATS (+48.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 383-316 ATS (+35.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (20 - 18) at ORLANDO (13 - 25) - 3/14/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 246-201 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
ORLANDO is 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 7-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (14 - 23) at ATLANTA (18 - 20) - 3/14/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-40 ATS (-20.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 233-288 ATS (-83.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 136-192 ATS (-75.2 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (19 - 18) at HOUSTON (11 - 25) - 3/14/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BOSTON is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BOSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-0 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (22 - 15) at MINNESOTA (8 - 30) - 3/14/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-54 ATS (-29.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-45 ATS (-19.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-34 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-31 ATS (-24.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (17 - 21) at CHICAGO (16 - 20) - 3/14/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 255-209 ATS (+25.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (25 - 14) at NEW ORLEANS (16 - 22) - 3/14/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 84-61 ATS (+16.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

-----------------------------------------------

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 14

Memphis @ Oklahoma City
Grizzlies (17-17)
? Memphis split its last eight games.
? Grizzlies are 8-3 ATS in last 11 games overall.
? Under is 9-1 in their last ten games.

Thunder (16-22)
? Thunder split their last ten games.
? OKC is 2-5-1 ATS if they played night before.
? Over is 3-0 in their last three home games.

? Memphis won four of last five series games.
? Grizzlies are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Oklahoma.
? Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Utah @ Golden State
Jazz (28-9)
? Utah split its last eight games, after a 19-1 run.
? Jazz is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games.
? Over is 6-2 in Utah?s last eight games.

Warriors (19-19)
? Golden State lost its last four games.
? Warriors are 6-3 ATS in last nine home games.
? Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

? Utah won last five series games.
? Jazz covered last four visits to the Bay Area.
? Last five series games went over the total.

San Antonio @ Philadelphia
Spurs (19-15)
? San Antonio is 8-5 in its last 13 games overall.
? Spurs are 5-3 ATS in their last eight road games.
? Under is 8-3-1 in Spurs? last 12 games.

76ers (26-12)
? Embiid (knee) is out here.
? 76ers won eight of their last ten games.
? Sixers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
? Over is 4-1 in Philly?s last five games.

? 76ers won five of last six series games.
? Spurs are 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Philly.
? Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Miami @ Orlando
Heat (20-18)
? Miami won nine of its last ten games overall.
? Heat is 5-0 ATS in last five road games.
? Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Magic (13-25)
? Orlando lost seven in row, 15 of its last 19 games.
? Magic is 5-7 ATS in last 12 home games.
? Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

? Miami won four of last five series games.
? Heat is 2-3 ATS in its last five visits to Orlando.
? Last three series games went over the total.

Cleveland @ Atlanta
Cavaliers (14-23)
? Cleveland lost 12 of its last 16 games.
? Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
? Six of last eight Cleveland games stayed under the total.

Hawks (18-20)
? Hawks are 4-0 SU since they fired their coach .
? Hawks are 4-5 ATS in their last nine home games.
? 14 of Atlanta?s last 18 games went over the total.

? Cleveland won/covered last four series games.
? Cavaliers covered three of last four visits to Atlanta.
? Four of last five series games stayed under.

Boston @ Houston
Celtics (19-18)
? Boston won four of its last five games SU.
? Celtics are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games.
? Over is 7-3 in last nine Boston games.

Rockets (11-25)
? Houston lost its last 15 games (2-13 ATS).
? Rockets are 0-7 ATS in last seven home games.
? Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

? Rockets won last five series games.
? Celtics 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
? Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Portland @ Minnesota
Trailblazers (22-15)
? Portland won five of its last six games SU.
? Blazers are 10-5 ATS in last 15 road games.
? Over is 5-1 in Portland?s last six games.

Timberwolves (7-30)
? Minnesota lost 14 of last 16, 24 of its last 29 games.
? Wolves are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
? Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.

? Portland won eight of last ten series games.
? Blazers covered once in last five visits to Minnesota.
? Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Toronto @ Chicago
Raptors (17-21)
? Raptors have had COVID issues, may be missing guys.
? Toronto lost five of its last its six games.
? Raptors are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road games.
? Four of last five Toronto games went over the total.

Bulls (16-20)
? Chicago lost four of its last five games SU.
? Bulls are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 home games.
? Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

? Toronto won last ten series games (6-4 ATS)
? Raptors covered five of last six visits to Chicago.
? Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

LA Clippers @ New Orleans
Clippers (25-14)
? Clippers lost four of their last six games overall.
? Clippers are 1-4 ATS in last five road games.
? Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Pelicans (16-22)
? New Orleans lost five of its last seven games overall.
? Pelicans are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
? Over is 20-5-2 in their last 27 games.

? Clippers won last four series games.
? LA covered once in its last four visits to Bourbon Street.
? Four of last five series games went over the total.

--------------------------------------

NBA

Sunday, March 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Memphis @ Oklahoma City
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home

Utah @ Golden State
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Utah

San Antonio @ Philadelphia
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
San Antonio is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Miami @ Orlando
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
Orlando is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Miami

Cleveland @ Atlanta
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Boston @ Houston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Boston's last 16 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 11 games at home

Portland @ Minnesota
Portland
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

LA Clippers @ New Orleans
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 13 of New Orleans's last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 10 games at home

Toronto @ Chicago
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Chicago's last 21 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Toronto

------------------------------------

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, March 14

Cnotes53 · Mar 14, 2021

SUNDAY, MARCH 14
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MEM at OKC 02:00 PM
MEM -7.5.............122 - 128
U 220.0.....................LOSER

UTA at GS 04:00 PM
UTA -6.5..............119 - 131.....LOSER
O 232.5...........................WINNER

SA at PHI 06:30 PM
SA +4.0...............99 - 134
O 223.0.......................WINNER

MIA at ORL 07:00 PM
ORL +7.5............102 - 97...WINNER
U 209.0.......................WINNER

CLE at ATL 07:30 PM
CLE +6.0............82 - 100
O 222.5...................LOSER

POR at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN +4.5............112 - 114
O 234.0.................LOSER

BOS at HOU 08:00 PM
BOS -11.0.............134 - 107
U 222.0....................LOSER

LAC at NO 09:00 PM
NO +6.0..............115 - 135.....WINNER
U 232.0..................LOSER

TOR at CHI 09:00 PM
CHI -3.0..............95 - 118
U 230.0.................WINNER

NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/14/2021..6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
03/13/2021..4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

TOTALS......51-48-4.....51.51%......- 9.00

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

CNOTES 2020-2021 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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