CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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Cnotes53

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MONDAY, DECEMBER 12
BK at WAS07:00 PMWAS +6.0+500
MIA at IND07:00 PMIND +3.5
O 228.0
+500 +500
ATL at MEM08:00 PMATL +9.5
O 226.0
+500 +500
OKC at DAL08:30 PMOKC +8.5+500
CLE at SA08:30 PMSA +9.5
O 220.0
+500 +500
MIN at POR10:00 PMMIN +4.0+500
BOS at LAC10:30 PMLAC +4.5
U 225.0
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Current MLB payrolls for 2023:
$300,283,332— New York (N)
$221,716,666— New York (A)
$207,549,008— Philadelphia
$176,517,878— San Diego
$199,216,666— Atlanta
$167,241,666— LA Angels

Quote of the Day
“Sometimes you don’t get what you want, because you deserve better.”
Anonymous

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the New Jersey Jets’ QB, last time they made the playoffs?

Monday’s quiz
Stan Humphries was the Chargers’ quarterback, in their one/only Super Bowl appearance.

Sunday’s quiz
Before Caleb Williams won Saturday, Reggie Bush was the last USC Trojan to win the Heisman Trophy, in 2005.

***********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

Patriots 27, Cardinals 13
— Tied 13-all in third quarter, NE ran Hopkins fumble back for game-winning TD.
— Five of last six New England games stayed under the total.
— Patriots are 5-1 ATS this season coming off a loss.
— Patriots are 1-4 SU when game goes over the total, 6-2 if it stays under.
— New England is 7-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-6 giving up 20+.

— QB Murray got hurt on 3rd play of game; torn ACL is the fear.
— Cardinals led this game 13-10 at halftime.
— Arizona was outscored in 2nd half in each of its last 8 games.
— Arizona in second half: 34 plays, 113 yards, zero points.
— Arizona is 1-9 SU when it scores less than 29 points.

— David Matranga is Aaron Judge’s agent; he had a very brief major league career himself, playing in six games for the 2003 Astros, one game for the ’05 Angels.

Matranga had one major league hit, a 5th inning home run off Joaquin Benoit on July 27, 2003.

Only 22 major league players ever had one MLB hit, with that hit being a home run; only 4 of those 22 guys did it in their first major league at-bat, like Matranga did.

Agents generally get 3% commission, which makes Aaron Judge’s $360M deal worth $1.08M to Mr Matranga. He’s a better agent than he was a ballplayer.

— Texas Longhorns suspended basketball coach Chris Beard after he was arrested on a felony assault charge late Sunday night. The person that Beard allegedly assaulted is a family member.

— There’s a pretty good chance that the payroll tax the Mets will pay next season will be bigger than the entire payrolls in Oakland/Pittsburgh.

Not a good thing for competitive balance.

— A’s were involved in a 3-team trade Monday:
Milwaukee got C William Contreras and two pitching prospects.
Oakland got five players, best of whom is P Kyle Muller.
Atlanta got C Sean Murphy

— Louisville has a great basketball tradition, but the Cardinals are a mess this year, an 0-9 mess, with three one-point losses. They’re turning ball over 24.4% if time (#356)

Cal Bears are doing even worse; they’re 0-11, with four losses to teams outside the top 200. Golden Bears are shooting 25.4% on arc (#356), 45.4% inside arc (#299).

— Northwestern State Demons are 8-2, with an upset win at TCU; the Demons got national press this weekend when one of their players scored his first college points.

Hansel Emmanuel is a 6-6 guard; he scored 5 points in 8:00 vs UL-Monroe. What makes this newsworthy is that Hansel Emmanuel has only one arm— he lost an arm in a childhood accident, when he was six years old.

— Miami Dolphins are in midst of an odd schedule; they stayed in California last week, in between road games against the 49ers/Chargers. Warm weather games.

This week, Miami plays its third straight road game, Saturday night in Buffalo; December 17 night game in western New York should be a lot of fun.

— Navy fired football coach Ken Niumatalolo over the weekend; Niumatalolo was 109-83 at Navy, 10-5 against Army, but the Middies are 11-23 the last three years. Even at a service academy, you go 11-23 and they tell you to take a hike.

— Baseball happenings:
Giants signed P Sean Manaea to a 2-year, $25M deal.
Blue Jays signed P Chris Bassitt to a 3-year, $63M deal.
Twins signed C Christian Vazquez to a 3-year, $30M deal.

Profitable weekend for a couple of former Oakland A’s.

— These former big leaguers will play pro baseball in Japan next year:
Matt Davidson (Hiroshima Carp)
Sheldon Neuse (Hanshin Tigers)
Frank Schwindel (Orix Buffaloes)
JB Wendelken (Yokohama Baystars)

— Browns’ WR Amari Cooper’s splits in home/road games:
Home games: 91.2 receiving yards/game, 5 TD’s.
True road games: 46.7 receiving yards/game, no TD’s.

Left out the neutral field game against the Bills in Detroit.

— Underdogs are 113-91-4 ATS in the NFL this season; if you wagered $100 on every underdog this season, you’d be $1,237 ahead.

— Detroit Pistons’ star Cade Cunningham is out for the year with a shin injury; Cunningham in scoring 19.9 ppg this season, after scoring 17.4 ppg as a rookie.

— Atlanta Falcons’ QB Marcus Mariota is on IR/out for the year with a knee injury. Falcons signed Logan Woodside to be their backup QB, behind rookie Desmond Ridder, who will make his first NFL start Sunday in New Orleans.

— Coastal Carolina football coach Jamey Chadwell just bolted to Liberty; Chanticleers’ QB Grayson McCall has now entered the transfer portal. Coastal is 9-3 this year; McCall started for the Chanticleers the last three years, and still has two years of eligibility left.

— Lebron James Jr, better known as Bronny James, has 6,000,000 followers on Instagram; he also has a Nike deal and a Beats By Dre contract that includes a commercial.

The kid is a senior in high school; he is 6-3, a top 100 college recruit, will almost definitely be in the 2024 NBA Draft, where he will likely play on the same team as his dad in 2024-25. Where his career goes from there remains to be seen.

“The expectation doesn’t match the talent level, or at least not yet, and that’s where it gets messy.’’ That is the evaluation of one unnamed college coach.

It’ll be interesting to follow; watching the docuseries on the Sierra Canyon team that Bronny plays for, it is clear that he is a good kid, an unselfish player. Sometimes having a famous dad creates unrealistic expectations; we’ll see how this plays out.
 

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PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days in the current season.

GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) as a dog in the current season.

LA LAKERS are 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games after a win in the last 3 seasons.




NBA

Tuesday, December 13


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Trend Report
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Sacramento @ Philadelphia
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Golden State @ Milwaukee
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Phoenix @ Houston
Phoenix
Phoenix is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Phoenix

New Orleans @ Utah
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah
Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Boston @ LA Lakers
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home


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NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 13


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SACRAMENTO (14 - 11) at PHILADELPHIA (14 - 12) - 12/13/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-82 ATS (-38.2 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (14 - 13) at MILWAUKEE (19 - 7) - 12/13/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 329-395 ATS (-105.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 233-282 ATS (-77.2 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (16 - 11) at HOUSTON (8 - 18) - 12/13/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 120-93 ATS (+17.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 98-77 ATS (+13.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 72-103 ATS (-41.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 58-77 ATS (-26.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-55 ATS (-20.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 30-54 ATS (-29.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 125-167 ATS (-58.7 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
HOUSTON is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (18 - 8) at UTAH (15 - 14) - 12/13/2022, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (21 - 7) at LA LAKERS (11 - 15) - 12/13/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 152-116 ATS (+24.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
BOSTON is 74-56 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 80-105 ATS (-35.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 2-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Cnotes53

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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 13
SAC at PHI07:00 PMSAC +4.0
O 229.5
+500 +500
GS at MIL07:30 PMMIL -3.0
U 232.0
+500 +500
PHO at HOU08:00 PMHOU +6.5
O 224.0
+500 +500
NO at UTA09:00 PMNO -2.0
U 232.5
+500 +500
BOS at LAL10:00 PMBOS -4.0
U 235.5
+500 +500
 

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UPDATED REVISED

BEST BETS FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER !

DATE....................................W - L..................................%.............. ......................UNITS

12/13/2022....................3 - 6 - 1...............................33.33%............ ............. - 18.00
12/12/2022....................6 - 5 - 0...............................54.44%............ ...............+ 2.50
12/11/2022....................8 - 6 - 0...............................57.14%............ ...............+ 7.00
12/10/2022....................3 - 5 - 0................................37.50%........... ..............- 12.50
12/09/2022....................9 - 8 - 1...............................52.94%............ ...............+ 1.00
12/08/2022....................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%............ ................- 0.50
12/07/2022..................3 - 14 - 0..............................17.65%............. ..............- 62.00
12/06/2022....................3 - 3 - 0..............................50.00%............. ................- 1.50
12/05/2022....................7 - 3 - 0..............................70.00%............. ..............+ 18.50
12/04/2022....................9 - 7 - 0..............................56.25%............. ................+ 6.50
12/03/2022....................8 - 6 - 0..............................57.14%............. ................+ 7.00
12/02/2022....................6 - 4 - 0..............................60.00%............. ...............+ 8.00
12/01/2022....................2 - 0 - 0............................100.00%.............. ..............+ 10.00

TOTALS....................68 - 73 - 2..............................48.22%............. ................- 34.00
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
NBA franchises that are worth the most $$$
$7.56B— Golden State
$6.58B— New York
$6.44B— LA Lakers
$4.09B— Chicago
$3.92B— Boston
$3.86B— Brooklyn

Quote of the Day
“I am heartbroken on the passing of Coach Leach. In 1999, he gave a kid out of Snow College in Utah a shot at major college football. He saw something in me when no one else did. Like so many across our sport, I am grateful for Coach Leach’s impact on my life both personally and professionally. His offensive philosophy and vision were ahead of his time, and they continue to shape the game today.”
Tennessee football coach Jeff Heupel

Wednesday’s quiz
Arizona Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray was also a first round draft pick of which major league baseball team?

Tuesday’s quiz
Mark Sanchez was the New Jersey Jets’ QB, last time they made the playoffs, in 2010.

Monday’s quiz
Stan Humphries was the Chargers’ quarterback, in their one/only Super Bowl appearance.

***********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— If you’re a D-I college basketball coach, do you recruit Bronny James?

Lebron’s son is a 6-3 guard who can shoot it; he is unselfish, a good passer, but he’s not his dad, and it appears likely that he’ll only be in college for one year, so it is worth the effort?

Bronny’s high school team was on ESPN2 Monday night against Christ the King; who pays the tab for a high school team from New York City to visit Los Angeles for a game?

So Bronny’s college team will get extra TV games next year, but the top college teams don’t need any more TV exposure. If they did, the kid would’ve already signed with Duke or Kentucky.

He could also go play in the G-League, but the family obviously doesn’t need $$$, so that would seem less likely. You wonder if Bronny’s college team will have reality show about them, which can be pretty good exposure.

— Kyler Murray tore his ACL Monday night, is out for the rest of the year and part of next year. Brutal loss for the Cardinals, who have now lost 12 of their last 13 home games SU.

Bad loss for HBO too; they’re doing a Hard Knocks in-season series on the Cardinals; has to be a lot harder to do when the team’s season is going in the ashcan, like Arizona’s is.

— Since Dan Campbell has coached the Detroit Lions, Lions are 7-2 ATS in games where the spread was 3 or fewer points.

— Creighton Bluejays started their basketball season 6-0, but now they’ve lost five games in a row, with four of the five losses by 5 or fewer points. Only one of the five losses was at home; they open Big East play Friday at Marquette.

Iona 70, Princeton 64
This was a fun game to watch; Rick Pitino’s Gaels are 7-2 now. Iona visits 10-0 New Mexico Saturday in Albuquerque; Richard Pitino’s Lobos hosting his dad’s Gaels, with Iona on their way to Hawai’i for a tournament next week.

— Purdue named 36-year old Ryan Walters their new football coach; Walters is the 4th-youngest coach in I-A football. He comes from a defensive background (was DC at Illinois).

Purdue is 17-9 the last two years, so it isn’t a rebuilding situation.

— Dallas Cowboys didn’t sign Odell Beckham; they signed TY Hilton instead. The former Colts’ WR played 10 years in Indianapolis, but hasn’t played yet this year. He caught 53 TD passes in his decade with the Colts.

— RIP Mike Leach; the Mississippi State football coach passed away Monday night at age 61, after suffering a major heart attack.

Leach won coaching at Washington State, Texas Tech, Mississippi State, in smaller towns but in major conferences. He was unique; a total character who beat to his own drummer— his teams were so much fun to watch.

There was a TV interview where Leach went for five minutes about which Halloween candies he liked/disliked. He was a breath of fresh air in a business that often takes itself too seriously.

RIP coach. You will be missed.

— Joel Payamps is a pitcher who was traded to Milwaukee this week as part of the Sean Murphy 3-team trade. Since November 2020, Payamps has now changed teams seven times:

11/25/20—- Red Sox claimed him off waivers from Arizona
12/10/21— Toronto claimed him off waivers from Boston
12/22/21— Red Sox claimed him off waivers from Toronto
3/6/21— Toronto claimed him off waivers from Boston
7/21/21— Royals bought his contract from Toronto.
8/20/22— A’s claimed him off waivers from Kansas City.
12/12/22— A’s traded him to Milwaukee, in a 3-way deal.

He must be very good at packing.

— Baseball happenings:
San Francisco gave P Ross Stripling a 2-year, $25M deal.
Giants also gave SS Carlos Correa a 13-year, $350M deal
Pittsburgh gave P Vince Velasquez a 1-year, $3.15M deal.
Cleveland gave C Mike Zunino a 1-year, $6M deal.

— If the NFL playoffs started today (they don’t):
AFC: Bills, Chiefs, Ravens, Titans
Wild Cards: Bengals, Dolphins, Patriots

NFC: Eagles, Vikings, 49ers, Buccaneers
Wild Cards: Cowboys, Commanders, Giants

Alabama 91, Memphis 88
Tigers were 1-12 on the arc; only make was with 0:00.6 left in game.
Alabama was 29-40 on foul line, Memphis 19-25.
 

Udog

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GOLDEN STATE is 40-62 ATS (-28.2 Units) in road games in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 18-40 ATS (-26 Units) in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 in the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 9-0 Under (9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 19-4 ATS (14.6 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 31-61 ATS (-36.1 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 22-46 ATS (-28.6 Units) in home games in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 in the last 3 seaso...

MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA

Wednesday, December 14


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Trend Report
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Detroit @ Charlotte
Detroit
Detroit is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Charlotte
Charlotte is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Detroit
Charlotte is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit

Atlanta @ Orlando
Atlanta
Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Orlando
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Golden State @ Indiana
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games on the road
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games

New York @ Chicago
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against New York

Sacramento @ Toronto
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games
Toronto
Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Sacramento

Miami @ Oklahoma City
Miami
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Portland @ San Antonio
Portland
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland

Cleveland @ Dallas
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Washington @ Denver
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Minnesota @ LA Clippers
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Minnesota's last 18 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games on the road
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Clippers's last 9 games at home
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota


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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 14
GS at IND07:00 PMGS -1.0
O 238.5
+500 +500
ATL at ORL07:00 PMORL +2.5
O 225.0
+500 +500
DET at CHA07:00 PMCHA -3.5
O 229.5
+500 +500
SAC at TOR07:30 PMSAC +5.5
U 232.0
+500 +500
NY at CHI07:30 PMCHI -4.0
U 225.0
+500 +500
MIA at OKC08:00 PMMIA -2.5
U 223.0
+500 +500
POR at SA08:00 PMSA +7.5
O 230.0
+500 +500
WAS at DEN09:00 PMDEN -10.0
O 223.5
+500 +500
CLE at DAL09:00 PMCLE +2.0
U 216.5
+500 +500
MIN at LAC10:00 PMLAC -6.0
O 223.0
+500 +500
 

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DECEMBER'S COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BET'S !

DATE..................................... W - L......................................%.......... ............................UNITS

12/14/2022...................12 - 8 - 0................................60.00%........... ......................+ 16.00
12/13/2022...................13 - 8 - 0................................61.90%........... ...................... + 21.00
12/12/2022....................6 - 5 - 0..................................54.55%......... .......................+ 2.50
12/11/2022..................15 - 17 - 0...............................46.88%............ .....................- 18.50
12/10/2022..................38 - 46 - 0...............................45.23%............ .....................- 63.00
12/08/2022....................2 - 04 - 0................................33.33%........... ....................- 12.00
12/07/2022..................23 - 13 -0.................................63.88%.......... ....................+ 43.50
12/06/2022..................18 - 13 - 1................................58.06%........... ...................+ 18.50
12/05/2022.......................3 - 3 - 0................................50.00%........... ...................- 1.50
12/04/2022....................12 - 17 -0...............................41.27%............ .................- 33.50
12/03/2022.....................10 -12- 0................................45.45%.,......... ..................- 16.00
12/02/2022.....................12 - 5 - 0................................70.58%........... .................+ 32.50
12/01/2022.......................7 - 6 - 0.................................53.84%.......... ...................+ 2.00

TOTALS...................170 - 157 - 1.................................51.98%.......... ...................- 8.50
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack
NBA franchises that are worth the least $$$
$1.63B— New Orleans
$1.67B— Memphis
$1.7B— Minnesota
$1.75B— Oklahoma City
$1.77B— Charlotte
$1.82B— Detroit

Quote of the Day
“There’s no such thing as a sure thing, thats why they call it gambling.”
Oscar Madison, The Odd Couple

Thursday’s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, what veteran actor makes a brief appearance, playing the football coach at Wisconsin?

Wednesday’s quiz
Arizona Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray was also a first round draft pick of the Oakland A’s, unfortunately.

Tuesday’s quiz
Mark Sanchez was the New Jersey Jets’ QB, last time they made the playoffs, in 2010.

******************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— New England Patriots are 7-6; right now they’d be the #7-seed in the playoffs, the last team in on the AFC side. So far this season, here are the QB’s they’ve beaten/lost to:

Wins:
Zach Wilson (twice; he’s a backup now)
Mitch Trubisky (backup)
Jacoby Brissett (backup)
Sam Ehlinger (backup)
Colt McCoy (backup, after Kyler Murray tore his ACL)
Jared Goff (an actual good QB)

Losses:
Josh Allen
Tua Tagovailoa
Lamar Jackson
Aaron Rodgers
Justin Fields
Kirk Cousins

4 games left:
Derek Carr
Joe Burrow
Tua Tagovailoa
Josh Allen

You make the call; no more stiff quarterbacks on the horizon.

— If you like the NFL, HBO’s Hard Knocks is must-watch; it gives us an inside look at teams and how they react to winning/losing. The in-season team this year is Arizona, whose season is going in the ashcan, on several fronts.

Cardinals are 4-9; the Super Bowl is in their stadium this season.
QB Kyler Murray tore his ACL Monday
GM Steve Keim is taking a medical leave from the team.
One of coach Kliff Kingsbury’s mentors was the late Mike Leach, who passed away Monday.

HBO does a superior job of getting us to know these players/coaches better. I’m curious if teams like being in that spotlight. Has to be difficult sometimes.

— So far this NBA season, there have been seven times when a team played in Los Angeles on consecutive nights, once against the Clippers, once against the Lakers

First night: visiting team is 3-4 SU/4-3 ATS. All seven games stayed under the total.
2nd night: visiting team is 2-5 SU/1-5-1 ATS. Six of seven games went over the total.

— There is baseball stuff going on this month, as teams re-tool for next year, but as an Oakland A’s fan, not lot of that stuff involves the A’s. I’m used to it.

A’s are owned by a cheap bastard; they just take marginal players and prospects and do their best to put a team together. When it comes time for the young players to get paid, they wind up elsewhere (Manaea/Bassitt got big contracts elsewhere last week).

Luckily, fantasy baseball is a big thing, it makes the season fun, because my team actually tries to win. We don’t always win, but I freakin’ try, and I accept the results.

Handicapping baseball is also great fun, but being a fan isn’t fun if your team doesn’t try to compete to at least try to make the playoffs.

Baseball has a problem; don’t think they care, but when the hedge fund guy who owns the Mets tries to buy every free agent in sight, while the A’s/Pirates wallow in muck, it isn’t fun for the people who root for the A’s/Pirates. Simple as that.

— LA Dodgers gave P Noah Syndergaard a one-year, $13M contract for 2023. He was 10-10, 3.94 in 24 starts for Angels/Phillies last year.

— I’m still shaking my head that Carlos Correa got a 13-year, $350M contract with the Giants; I’m just hoping that I’m still alive when that contract runs out.

Having the DH in the National League now makes these contracts more feasible; Correa will almost certainly wind up as the Giants’ DH 8-9 years from now. If the NL didn’t have a DH, it would be impossible to give out a contract that long.

— Watching NBA games, the fans are so close to the action, it is remarkable that there aren’t more incidents during games. In lot of arenas, the coach is standing two feet in front of fans as he paces the sidelines. Think about where Jack Nicholson used to sit at Laker games.

As a fan, wouldn’t want to be that close to the action; these are very large men, if they go for a loose ball near the sidelines where I’m sitting, it could be painful.

Several years ago, when Lebron James was on the Cavaliers, he tried to save a ball and crashed into the wife of golfer Jason Day on the sidelines. Jason Day made zero effort to protect his wife; if Day got run over by Lebron and gets hurt, he couldn’t play golf he and his wife could lose a whole boatload of money.

The moral of the story: always protect the money.

— Gonzaga is 2-2 ATS this season as a home favorite; Saint Mary’s is 3-2. Rest of the WCC is 9-22 ATS as a home favorite. Gonzaga is a big fish in a very shallow pond, which is a good thing for them; being associated with Gonzaga is good for Saint Mary’s too, gets them on TV a lot more than they would otherwise.

2022 Gonzaga is very similar to what UNLV was in the late 80’s, when the Rebels crushed the Big West every year, then made noise nationally too.

UNLV got their national title in 1990; the other good teams in the Big West back then, New Mexico State, Santa Barbara, Fullerton, they fell off the face of the earth once UNLV bolted to the Mountain West. No more TV exposure; TV exposure is a good thing.

— There is a D-2 college football team, the Ferris State Bulldogs, who play for the D-2 national title Saturday. Ferris State is located in Michigan; they’ve got a good team, but they missed the boat with their nickname.

How can they not be called the Ferris Wheels? They’d have awesome football helmets.

Wake Forest 67, Appalachian State 66:
Wake hit a mid-range jumper at the buzzer for the win, off a side out-of-bounds play.
App State led by 6 at the half; Wake led by 9 with 14:02 left in game.

Wake is now 22-0 all-time vs App State, but ASU should make some noise in the Sun Belt this winter. Seven of their nine D-I games have been decided by 5 or fewer points.

UCLA 87, Maryland 60— Terps came into this game 8-2, but got bamboozled by UCLA, which is 9-2. Game was never close; Bruins were +12 in turnovers; they led 49-20 at halftime.

Louisville 94, Western Kentucky 83— Cardinals get their first win of the year; they made 13-25 shots on the arc (they’re still only 31.8% on arc for the year).

— Recruiting services rate college recruits, with 5-star guys the best prospects. Here are the number of 4-star and 5-star recruits on certain college football teams this year:

75—Alabama
68— Georgia
59— Texas
44— Michigan
26— Tennessee
3— Kansas State

Some teams recruit talent; other teams have to develop talent. Kansas State is 9-3, with only three players who were a 4 or 5-star recruit. Pretty impressive coaching.
 

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MEMPHIS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) as a dog in the current season.

PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, December 15


x6a1qcO.png





NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 15


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (20 - 7) at MEMPHIS (18 - 9) - 12/15/2022, 8:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 330-395 ATS (-104.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 72-45 ATS (+22.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 54-32 ATS (+18.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games this season.
MEMPHIS is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in the first half of the season this season.
MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 220-165 ATS (+38.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (14 - 15) at HOUSTON (9 - 18) - 12/15/2022, 8:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 149-108 ATS (+30.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
MIAMI is 178-139 ATS (+25.1 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
MIAMI is 260-214 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
HOUSTON is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 41-55 ATS (-19.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 24-49 ATS (-29.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (18 - 9) at UTAH (16 - 14) - 12/15/2022, 9:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (16 - 12) at LA CLIPPERS (17 - 13) - 12/15/2022, 10:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 120-94 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 64-46 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 7-7 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-6 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Thursday, December 15


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Milwaukee @ Memphis
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Miami @ Houston
Miami
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Houston
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

New Orleans @ Utah
New Orleans
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Utah
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Phoenix @ LA Clippers
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Phoenix


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 15
MIA at HOU08:00 PMMIA -2.5
U 218.0
+500 +500
MIL at MEM08:00 PMMEM -2.5
U 226.5
+500 +500
NO at UTA09:00 PMNO -1.0+500
PHO at LAC10:30 PMLAC +5.5+500
 

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DECEMBER'S COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BET'S !

DATE..................................... W - L......................................%.......... ............................UNITS

12/15/2022.....................2 - 4 - 0................................33.33%........... ......................- 12.00
12/14/2022...................12 - 8 - 0................................60.00%........... ......................+ 16.00
12/13/2022...................13 - 8 - 0................................61.90%........... ...................... + 21.00
12/12/2022....................6 - 5 - 0..................................54.55%......... .......................+ 2.50
12/11/2022..................15 - 17 - 0...............................46.88%............ .....................- 18.50
12/10/2022..................38 - 46 - 0...............................45.23%............ .....................- 63.00
12/08/2022....................2 - 04 - 0................................33.33%........... ....................- 12.00
12/07/2022..................23 - 13 -0.................................63.88%.......... ....................+ 43.50
12/06/2022..................18 - 13 - 1................................58.06%........... ...................+ 18.50
12/05/2022.......................3 - 3 - 0................................50.00%........... ...................- 1.50
12/04/2022....................12 - 17 -0...............................41.27%............ .................- 33.50
12/03/2022.....................10 -12- 0................................45.45%.,......... ..................- 16.00
12/02/2022.....................12 - 5 - 0................................70.58%........... .................+ 32.50
12/01/2022.......................7 - 6 - 0.................................53.84%.......... ...................+ 2.00

TOTALS...................172 - 161 - 1.................................51.65%.......... ....................- 20.50
 

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Friday’s 6-pack
49ers 21, Seahawks 13— San Francisco clinches NFC West.
— Golden State star Steph Curry (shoulder) is out 4-6 weeks.
Heat 111, Rockets 108— Tyler Herro scored 41 points.
Jazz 132, Pelicans 129 OT— Jordan Clarkson scored 39, had 8 rebounds.
— Orioles signed 2B Adam Frazier to a one-year, $8M contract.
— Lefty P Carlos Rodon gets six years, $162M to pitch for Bronx.

Quote of the Day
“I know he’s (Mason Rudolph) ready to play. I know it’s probably in the back of his mind like, ‘Dang, when I’m going get my chance?’ I feel like this week is it for him. I know he’s going to do everything it takes to be prepared this week, get ready for Sunday.”
Steelers’ WR Diontae Johnson, who apparently doesn’t think much of QB Mitch Trubisky

Friday’s quiz
Baltimore Ravens have won two Super Bowls; who were the two QB’s who won them?

Thursday’s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, Sam Elliott played the football coach at Wisconsin.

Wednesday’s quiz
Arizona Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray was also a first round draft pick of the Oakland A’s, unfortunately.

****************************

Friday’s Den: College basketball early season trends…….

These lists reflect only teams in the betting rotation:

— Most experienced teams:
Penn State, Fort Wayne, UAB, Virginia, Notre Dame

— Teams with best continuity:
Tulane, Fort Wayne, Stanford, Penn, Dayton, Virginia

— Least experienced teams:
Eastern Illinois, Dartmouth, IUPUI, Monmouth, Nebraska-Omaha

— Teams with least continuity:
St Bonaventure, Georgetown, New Mexico State, Milwaukee, Ohio State

— Teams playing fastest tempo in country:
St John’s, Arizona, UAB, Missouri

— Teams playing slowest tempo in country:
North Texas, Virginia, Charlotte, Niagara

— Best teams on the offensive boards:
Duke, Tennessee, Mississippi State, Providence, Houston

— Best 3-point shooting %age:
Utah State, Florida Atlantic, Belmont, St Thomas, Pepperdine

— Highest %age of points on 3-pointers:
Penn State, Chattanooga, Marist, Oral Roberts, Detroit Mercy

— Highest %age of shots are 3-pointers:
Chattanooga, Southern Illinois, Wyoming, San Francisco

— Best 2-point shooting %age:
Wright State, Long Beach State, UCLA, Valparaiso, Georgia State

— Best teams on foul line:
Saint Peter’s, Portland State, Texas A&M, Kent State, UConn

— Teams getting highest %age of points on foul shots:
VCU, Seton Hall, Nevada, Virginia, Weber State

— Teams forcing highest %age of turnovers:
Iowa State, UNLV, Tennessee, Missouri, SF Austin

— Best 2-point FG% defense:
Northwestern, Houston, Arizona State, Mississippi State, Utah

— Teams that have played easiest schedule:
Fordham, Air Force, Denver, Saint Peter’s, TCU

— Teams that have played hardest schedule:
Michigan State, Gonzaga, Alabama, San Diego State, Oral Roberts
 

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SACRAMENTO is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the current season.

ATLANTA is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) in home games as a favorite of 10 or more over the last 2 seasons.

Nick Nurse is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games (Coach of TORON...

CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days in the current season.

Mark Daigneault is 28-12 ATS (14.8 Units) off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog (Coach of OKLAHOMA CITY).

CHICAGO is 17-6 Under (10.4 Units) in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season in the last 3 season...

DALLAS are 11-2 Under (8.8 Units) in home games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.
 
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