CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Udog

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CLEVELAND is 7-0 Under (7 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the current season.

ATLANTA is 173-125 Over (35.5 Units) in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games since 1996.

DALLAS are 31-13 ATS (16.7 Units) after scoring 100 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 51-29 Over (19.1 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 11-30 ATS (-22 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 35-58 ATS (-28.8 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points in the current season.
 

Udog

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NBA
Dunkel

Monday, December 19


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Udog

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NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, December 19


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UTAH (17 - 15) at CLEVELAND (20 - 11) - 12/19/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games in the first half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 333-401 ATS (-108.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (13 - 17) at PHILADELPHIA (16 - 12) - 12/19/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games in the first half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 54-82 ATS (-36.2 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-7 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 8-7 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (11 - 20) at ATLANTA (15 - 15) - 12/19/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog this season.
ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in December games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 8-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 8-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (15 - 15) at MINNESOTA (15 - 15) - 12/19/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 603-501 ATS (+51.9 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 103-66 ATS (+30.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 205-162 ATS (+26.8 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 104-73 ATS (+23.7 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 227-168 ATS (+42.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 485-559 ATS (-129.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 156-197 ATS (-60.7 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (17 - 13) at OKLAHOMA CITY (12 - 18) - 12/19/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 63-37 ATS (+22.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (21 - 8) at NEW ORLEANS (18 - 11) - 12/19/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 331-396 ATS (-104.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (9 - 20) at HOUSTON (9 - 20) - 12/19/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1216-1087 ATS (+20.3 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 197-149 ATS (+33.1 Units) in December games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 402-341 ATS (+26.9 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 188-149 ATS (+24.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 492-414 ATS (+36.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
HOUSTON is 74-104 ATS (-40.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 59-78 ATS (-26.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 32-55 ATS (-28.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-30 ATS (-22.0 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 25-49 ATS (-28.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (13 - 16) at PHOENIX (18 - 12) - 12/19/2022, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 81-106 ATS (-35.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 122-94 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 100-78 ATS (+14.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 203-248 ATS (-69.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 10-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 11-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (7 - 23) at SACRAMENTO (16 - 12) - 12/19/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 76-105 ATS (-39.5 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Udog

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NBA

Monday, December 19


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Trend Report
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Utah @ Cleveland
Utah
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Utah is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 10 games at home

Toronto @ Philadelphia
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Orlando @ Atlanta
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando

Portland @ Oklahoma City
Portland
Portland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against Portland

Milwaukee @ New Orleans
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 12 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games on the road
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Orleans's last 12 games when playing Milwaukee

Dallas @ Minnesota
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 14 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Dallas

San Antonio @ Houston
San Antonio
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of San Antonio's last 20 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

LA Lakers @ Phoenix
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Phoenix is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Lakers

Charlotte @ Sacramento
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Charlotte is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home


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Cnotes53

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MONDAY, DECEMBER 19
UTA at CLE07:00 PMU 220.0+500
TOR at PHI07:00 PMTOR +6.5+500
ORL at ATL07:30 PMORL +8.0+500
POR at OKC08:00 PMO 229.0+500
SA at HOU08:00 PMHOU -4.5
U 227.5
+500 +500
DAL at MIN08:00 PMMIN +4.5
U 228.5
+500 +500
MIL at NO08:00 PMNO -1.0
O 228.0
+500 +500
LAL at PHO09:00 PMLAL +10.5+500
CHA at SAC10:00 PMCHA +10.0+500
 

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Most NFL playoff wins in the Super Bowl era:
36— Pittsburgh, New England
35— Dallas
34— San Francisco
29— Green Bay
25— Raiders
23— Rams/Denver

Quote of the Day
“I texted him, he always gave me the thought we were going to win the game. You see him, his mannerisms & demeanor every day, you go to the ballpark thinking you’re going to win the game when you see him. That’s a compliment I can’t give to everybody.”
Clayton Kershaw, talking about former teammate Justin Turner

Tuesday’s quiz
In what city do they play the Holiday Bowl every December?

Monday’s quiz
Justin Turner broke into the major leagues with the Orioles, in 2009. He later played four years for the Mets, before landing with the Dodgers.

Sunday’s quiz
Dick Vitale coached the Detroit Pistons from 1978-80, going 34-60 in 1+ seasons. He was 79-29 in four seasons coaching in college, at Detroit Mercy.

*********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— Genius alert; the guy in Texas who caught Aaron Judge’s 62nd home run was offered $3M for the baseball, but he turned it down, putting it up for auction instead, figuring he would get more than $3M. Whoops.

The bidding for the baseball just closed, with a high bid of……….$1.5M.

— When a QB throws a long pass and they call pass interference, the QB/WR should get stat credit for it, maybe a separate category, but they deserve credit.

— Indianapolis Colts lost 39-36 Saturday, blowing a 33-0 halftime lead; little odd that they scored 36 points, but had only one offensive TD— they had a pick-6 and a special teams TD- they also kicked five field goals.

— Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert is the first player in NFL history with 4,000+ passing yards in each of his first three NFL seasons.

— Eagles QB Jalen Hurts sprained his right (throwing) shoulder in Chicago Sunday; they’re not saying whether Hurts will play in Dallas Saturday.

— Saints visit Cleveland this week; the total is 32.5; if it stays at 32.5, would be lowest total in an NFL game since Week 17 back in 2010.

Weather forecast for Saturday in Cleveland: winds of 35 mph, with gusts up to 60 mph, wind chills as low as minus-14. Going to be a miserable Christmas Eve on Lake Erie.

Packers 24, Rams 12
— Green Bay outgained the Rams, 345-156.
— Packers also had a 13-yard advantage in field position.
— Only nine of Green Bay’s 68 plays came on third down.
— Aaron Jones carried ball 17 times for 90 yards.
— Aaron Rodgers wins his 10th straight Monday night game.

— Baker Mayfield was 4th QB to start for Rams this year.
— This was Rams’ 4th game outdoors TY (scored 9-13-10-12 points)
— Under is 5-1 in their road games this season.
— LA is 0-4-1 ATS this season as a road underdog.
— Rams are 0-6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Lambeau.

— Baker Mayfield has now played for seven different head coaches in his first five years in the NFL, the most of any QB since 1950.

— Hall of Famer Kenny Stabler holds the record, with 11 consecutive Monday night wins.

Marshall 28, UConn 14
Thundering Herd led 21-0 at half, scoring on a pick-6.
UConn completed only 11-30 passes on a sunny day in Myrtle Beach.
Both teams had over 110 penalty yards.
Marshall was 7-15 on third down, UConn 3-12.

— TCU QB Max Duggan is going to play in the college football playoff for the Horned Frogs, but then he will turn pro.

— San Diego Padres gave P Seth Lugo a 2-year, $15M deal; they’ll give him a chance to be a starter. Lugo has started 38 MLB games, but none since 2020.

Lugo appeared in 108 games for the Mets the last two years, but he wants to start; he started 18 games for the Mets back in 2017.

— Standings in NFC South:
Tampa Bay 6-8
Atlanta 5-9
Carolina 5-9
New Orleans 5-9

Standings in AFC South:
Tennessee 7-7
Jacksonville 6-8
Indianapolis 4-9-1
Houston 1-12-1

Standings in AFC East:
Buffalo 11-3
Miami 8-6
New England 7-7
NJ Jets 7-7

Standings in NFC East:
Philadelphia 13-1
Dallas 10-4
NJ Giants 8-5-1
Washington 7-6-1

New Mexico 82, Iona 74— Undefeated Lobos have played schedule #250, not exactly the best competition, but they’re still 11-0. This game was special because Richard Pitino’s team beat Iona, coached by Rick Pitino, Richard’s dad.

Iona is 7-3 this year, just the second top 100 win for New Mexico. Gaels are playing in the Rainbow Classic in Hawai’i this week.
 

Udog

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DETROIT is 59-36 ATS (19.4 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 Over (8 Units) when playing their 4th road game in 7 days over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current season.

PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games when the total is 22-229.5 in the current season.

DENVER is 23-47 ATS (-28.7 Units) in home games when the total >=220 in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 20


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UTAH (17 - 16) at DETROIT (8 - 24) - 12/20/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 35-50 ATS (-20.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (15 - 16) at NEW YORK (17 - 13) - 12/20/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in the first half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (11 - 18) at MIAMI (16 - 15) - 12/20/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 42-60 ATS (-24.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games this season.
MIAMI is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (11 - 20) at PHOENIX (19 - 12) - 12/20/2022, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 123-94 ATS (+19.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 75-56 ATS (+13.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 101-78 ATS (+15.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 65-47 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (19 - 10) at DENVER (18 - 11) - 12/20/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 73-46 ATS (+22.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 58-41 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 49-64 ATS (-21.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 54-79 ATS (-32.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA

Tuesday, December 20


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Trend Report
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Utah @ Detroit
Utah
Utah is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Detroit
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 16 games when playing Utah

Chicago @ Miami
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Chicago

Golden State @ New York
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games at home
New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Washington @ Phoenix
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

Memphis @ Denver
Memphis
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


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Cnotes53

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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 20
UTA at DET07:00 PMUTA -2.0+500
CHI at MIA07:30 PMCHI +4.0
O 222.5
+500 +500
GS at NY07:30 PMGS +5.5
O 222.0
+500 +500
WAS at PHO09:00 PMPHO -7.0+500
MEM at DEN10:00 PMDEN +1.0
U 236.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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12/06/20223-3-050.00%-150Detail
12/05/20227-4-063.64%+1300Detail
12/04/20229-7-056.25%+650Detail
12/03/20228-6-057.14%+700Detail
12/02/20226-4-060.00%+800Detail
12/01/20222-0-0100.00%+1000Detail
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Fewest NFL playoff wins in the Super Bowl era:
1— Detroit Lions
4— Houston Texans
6— Arizona Cardinals
7— Cleveland/Jacksonville
8— Cincinnati Bengals
9— Carolina Panthers

Quote of the Day
“He changed my life.”
Eagles’ QB Gardner Minshew, talking at a memorial service for the late Mike Leach, who coached Minshew for one season at Washington State. Minshew threw for 4,776 yards that season, and is now in the NFL.

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Matthew Stafford play his college football?

Tuesday’s quiz
They play the Holiday Bowl every December in San Diego.

Monday’s quiz
Justin Turner broke into the major leagues with the Orioles, in 2009. He later played four years for the Mets, before landing with the Dodgers.

****************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— San Francisco Giants were supposed to sign SS Carlos Correa to a 13-year, $350M contract, then have a big press conference about it Tuesday, but a medical concern appeared during Correa’s physical, and everything was on hold.

I’m typing this at 4am, watching re-runs of The West Wing on my laptop; Correa has changed his mind, and inked a 12-year, $315M deal with the New York Mets.

I’m wondering what those medical concerns are.

— I was thinking the other day: “How do Heisman Trophy winners do in their bowl game?” so I looked it up. It figures that winning the Heisman is a big distraction; football coaches pretty much hate distractions.

Since 2009, the Heisman winner’s team is 12-6 SU, 11-7 ATS in their bowl; some of those teams were in the college football playoff, which is why it is 18 games in 14 years.

— New York Knicks have won eight games in a row, during which they’re +112 with Quentin Grimes on the floor. Of the 48 NBA players who played 250+ minutes since the Knicks’ streak started, Grimes’ +112 is the best plus-minus in the league.

— Atlanta Falcons covered their first six games this season, going 3-3 SU; they’re 0-8 ATS since then, going 2-6 SU. Now they’re starting a rookie QB, which usually doesn’t help much in the present.

— Billionaire mortgage lender Mat Ishbia bought the Phoenix Suns Tuesday for roughly $4B, that’s billion, with a B. The deal includes the Phoenix team in the WNBA.

Ishbia, president and CEO of United Wholesale Mortgage, a Michigan-based company, has been trying to buy NBA/NFL teams recently- he tried to buy the Denver Broncos LY. He was a walk-on reserve for Michigan State’s national champion college hoop team in 2000.

— Quarterback Devin Leary transferred from NC State to Kentucky; he played 30 games for the Wolfpack, throwing 62 TD’s with only 16 INT’s. He will be coached by Liam Coen, who is going back to being an assistant at Kentucky after coaching this year with the LA Rams.

— Hopefully another college QB, JT Daniels, will write a book someday; Daniels announced this week that he is transferring to Rice, his 4th college stop. He must have some very interesting stories to tell.

Daniels played two years (12 games) at USC, then two years (9 games) at Georgia, then played this year at West Virginia (10 games). Daniels will turn 23 on Groundhog Day; he’ll be 24 before the NFL drafts him in 2024.

— Other baseball happenings:
Angels signed IF Brandon Drury to a 2-year, $17M deal.
P Jordan Lyles gets a 2-year, $17M deal with Kansas City.
RP Adam Ottavino gets a 2-year, $14.5M deal to stay with the Mets.
1B/OF Matt Carpenter signed a one-year, $6M deal with San Diego

— Last six games, Chicago Bears have been outscored 45-0 in last 2:00 of each half.

— Green Bay waived WR Sammy Watkins Monday afternoon; Baltimore Ravens gobbled him up Tuesday, after WR Devin Duvernay got hurt in practice.

Providence 103, Marquette 98, 2OT
Marquette led by 8 with 5:04 left in regulation.
Providence was 35-49 on foul line, Marquette 13-19; three Golden Eagles fouled out.

Wake Forest 81, Duke 70—In 1975, John Wooden retired as UCLA’s coach; he remains the best college hoop coach ever. The guy who replaced Wooden was Gene Bartow, who went 52-9 at UCLA, but 52-9 wasn’t good enough to satisfy a spoiled fanbase, and he left to start the program at UAB, where he wound up coaching for 18 years. He was a very good coach.

Which brings us to Jon Scheyer, who is replacing Mike Krzyzewski this year; Krzyzewski is probably the 2nd-best coach of all-time. Duke is 10-3 this year- they started three freshmen in the Wake Forest game, but freshman don’t always stay in school very long, and Duke’s fanbase is spoiled.

It’ll be interesting to see how long Scheyer lasts at Duke; he’ll win lot of games, but it figures to be a thankless job. He’ll get other offers from less-stressful programs; when will he jump?

— There have been some big upsets in college basketball the last couple nights:
North Alabama (+22) 66, Ole Miss 65
Weber State (+16) 75, Utah State 72
Md-Eastern Shore (+15.5) 86, Temple 78
Tex-Arlington (+15) 68, San Francisco 63
Utah Valley (+12) 77, Oregon 72
Harvard (+10) 62, Cal-Irvine 57


Miami 66, Virginia 64— Hurricanes are quietly 12-1, 3-0 in ACC games.

Eastern Michigan 41, San Jose State 27
Spartans led 13-0, had PAT blocked and run back for two points.
Eastern Michigan wound up scoring 33 consecutive points.
EMU WR Lassiter caught six passes for 108 yards, two TD’s.

Toledo 21, Liberty 19
Rockets were 10-18 on third down, Liberty 2-9
Toledo ran 84 plays for 356 yards; Liberty 41 plays for 253 yards.
Good day for the MAC, going 2-0 in bowls.
 

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CLEVELAND is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days in the current season.

BOSTON is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) after playing a home game in the current season.

CHICAGO is 40-59 ATS (-24.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 27-51 ATS (-29.1 Units) as a home favorite in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 148-108 ATS (29.2 Units) in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games since 1996.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
 
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NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 21


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MILWAUKEE (22 - 8) at CLEVELAND (21 - 11) - 12/21/2022, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games in the first half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 334-401 ATS (-107.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (8 - 25) at PHILADELPHIA (17 - 12) - 12/21/2022, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
DETROIT is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 54-83 ATS (-37.3 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (15 - 16) at BOSTON (22 - 9) - 12/21/2022, 7:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 74-58 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (12 - 18) at ATLANTA (16 - 15) - 12/21/2022, 7:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 52-66 ATS (-20.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games in December games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (15 - 17) at BROOKLYN (19 - 12) - 12/21/2022, 7:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games in the first half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
BROOKLYN is 64-36 ATS (+24.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 47-67 ATS (-26.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 26-50 ATS (-29.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 14-43 ATS (-33.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 2-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (13 - 18) at NEW YORK (18 - 13) - 12/21/2022, 7:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in December games this season.
NEW YORK is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 371-308 ATS (+32.2 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or less since 1996.
TORONTO is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (17 - 14) at OKLAHOMA CITY (13 - 18) - 12/21/2022, 8:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 68-43 ATS (+20.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (15 - 16) at MINNESOTA (16 - 15) - 12/21/2022, 8:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 603-502 ATS (+50.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 103-67 ATS (+29.3 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 104-74 ATS (+22.6 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 259-207 ATS (+31.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 236-188 ATS (+29.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 644-550 ATS (+39.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 486-559 ATS (-128.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 157-197 ATS (-59.7 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (11 - 21) at HOUSTON (9 - 21) - 12/21/2022, 8:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 27-43 ATS (-20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 74-105 ATS (-41.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 59-79 ATS (-27.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 42-56 ATS (-19.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 32-56 ATS (-29.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 36-53 ATS (-22.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 52-78 ATS (-33.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
HOUSTON is 25-50 ATS (-30.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (13 - 17) at SACRAMENTO (16 - 13) - 12/21/2022, 10:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 48-62 ATS (-20.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 5-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (8 - 23) at LA CLIPPERS (18 - 14) - 12/21/2022, 10:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Udog

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Wednesday, December 21


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Trend Report
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Milwaukee @ Cleveland
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Milwaukee's last 19 games on the road
Cleveland
Cleveland is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Detroit @ Philadelphia
Detroit
Detroit is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Indiana @ Boston
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games at home

Toronto @ New York
Toronto
Toronto is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
New York
New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Chicago @ Atlanta
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Chicago

Golden State @ Brooklyn
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Portland @ Oklahoma City
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games
Portland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland

Dallas @ Minnesota
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Dallas's last 15 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

Orlando @ Houston
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Houston
Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Orlando
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando

LA Lakers @ Sacramento
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 8 games on the road
LA Lakers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers

Charlotte @ LA Clippers
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 21
DET at PHI07:00 PMDET +12.0
O 223.0
+500 +500
MIL at CLE07:00 PMCLE -2.0
U 216.5
+500 +500
IND at BOS07:30 PMIND +10.0
O 233.0
+500 +500
GS at BK07:30 PMGS +12.5
O 224.5
+500 +500
CHI at ATL07:30 PMCHI +5.5
U 236.5
+500 +500
TOR at NY07:30 PMNY -1.5+500
POR at OKC08:00 PMOKC +3.5
O 235.5
+500 +500
DAL at MIN08:00 PMDAL -3.5
U 230.0
+500 +500
ORL at HOU08:00 PMORL -1.5
U 223.5
+500 +500
LAL at SAC10:00 PMSAC -7.0
U 240.5
+500 +500
CHA at LAC10:30 PMCHA +8.5
O 225.5
+500 +500
 

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12/21/202211-10-052.38%+0Detail
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12/16/202211-9-055.00%+550Detail
12/15/20222-4-033.33%-1200Detail
12/14/202212-8-060.00%+1600Detail
12/13/20223-6-135.00%-1800Detail
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12/06/20223-3-050.00%-150Detail
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12/02/20226-4-060.00%+800Detail
12/01/20222-0-0100.00%+1000Detail
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack
Eastern Illinois 92, Iowa 83— Panthers were a 31.5-point underdog.
Florida State 73, Notre Dame 72— Seminoles won three of last four, after a 1-9 start.
Nets 143, Warriors 113— Brooklyn led 91-51 at halftime.
San Francisco 97, Arizona State 60— Dons made 15-29 on the arc.
— QB Nick Foles is going to start for the Colts this week against the Chargers.
— Tennessee Titans’ QB Ryan Tannehill (ankle) is likely out for the year. Rookie Malik Willis is the new starter, with Josh Dobbs the backup.

Quote of the Day
“Every time I walked in, he would have the Cubs game on. He just loved baseball so much. … Being a Cub means more to me than people will realize. It’s no secret I left my hometown team to be here.”
Cubs’ SS Dansby Swanson, talking about his late grandfather, who was a Cubs’ fan

Wednesday’s quiz
When Michael Jordan played minor league baseball for the Birmingham Barons in the Southern League in 1994, who was the Barons’ manager?
Hint: He later won two World Series as a manager

Wednesday’s quiz
Matthew Stafford played his college football at Georgia.

Tuesday’s quiz
They play the Holiday Bowl every December in San Diego.

****************************

Thursday’s Den: In a perfect world, where I made the decisions……….

In a perfect world, where I made the decisions……….
— Higher-seeded NFL teams would choose their opponents for playoff games.

Eagles are the #1 seed in the NFC right now; they would get a first round bye, which leaves Minnesota as the #2 seed. They would get the choice of playing the 5-6-7 seed in their first playoff game, then San Francisco would get their choice of the two remaining teams to play.

This would be a tremendous TV show, when teams announce who they choose to play. Great TV means more $$$ and we know NFL owners love $$$.

Second round of the playoffs would be the same thing; #1-seed would get to choose which of the two lowest-remaining teams they’d like to play.

They used to do this in the G-League; we do it in our fantasy baseball league now— it is fun.

— Long time ago, in the early 70’s, NBA had a 1-on-1 tournament; this would be an awesome idea for the offseason, to raise $$$ for the charities of the players’ choice.

Imagine a 64-player bracket, with games on national TV in the summer; it would be excellent. Would be fun to sit in a sportsbook and watch people who bet on these games.

Two players per team would get in, and then you could have fan voting for the last four spots. It would create a lot of interest.

— Major League Baseball has to have a salary floor; we pretty much know there will never be a salary cap, but for the love of God, if you own a big league team and you don’t try to win, why do you own the freakin’ team?!?!?!

A site called Spotrac estimates that the Mets will wind up paying a luxury tax of $84.2M on next year’s payroll. $84.2M tax on a payroll of $353,900,339. With Carlos Correa’s signing, the salary tax goes up to the $100M level.

Here are the bottom five estimated payrolls in MLB
26) Royals $96,280,809
27) Reds $86,491,989
28) Orioles $81,787,001
29) Pirates $72,965,709
30) A’s $61,930,158

Mets’ payroll TAX will be higher than five teams’ entire payrolls. Awesome.

So let’s suggest a $100M salary floor; you’re not up for that, then sell your team. Competitive balance is what makes the NFL great; baseball could use more of it.

— You know how they have four play-in games at the start of the NCAA Tournament? Those eight teams should all be at-large teams, not conference champs from cruddy conferences. Reward the conference champs by letting them all get to the first Thursday/Friday round.

Let the last teams eight who survive the bubble have to play in Dayton.

— Once a quarterback gets past the line of scrimmage running with the ball, he should lose his special quarterback protection. You see a guy run, then he slides down when he seems a tackler coming, and whines to the ref if he gets touched. You pass the line of scrimmage, you’re just another player.

— With USC/UCLA bolting the Pac-12 for a midwestern league (the Big 16?), Pac-12 will be back to Pac-10, unless they listed to us and add two teams:

UNLV, and either San Diego State/Boise State. BYU would’ve made sense, but they’re bolting to the Big X instead. Adding both San Diego State/Boise State would help the football side a decent amount, but how do you add teams and ignore Las Vegas?

— NFL should scrap Thursday games (except Week 1/Thanksgiving) and go to doubleheaders on Monday nights, that’s the better idea. Amazon Prime could still show a game every week, and the players wouldn’t have to play games on three days’ rest.

— One week every season, NBA games would use the red, white and blue ball the ABA had back in the day; the four former ABA teams that still exist (Pacers, Nuggets, Spurs, Nets) would play each other that week. A good way to honor the sport’s past.

— If I ran an NFL team and we had a good quarterback, I’d let him call plays and use no-huddle offense. Teams have all week to work up a game plan; let Sunday be the players’ day. Think that defenses would have harder time defining trends and they couldn’t substitute as much.

— Baseball should re-align geographically; the five California teams could be in one division, the two New York City teams should be division rivals, it would just be more fun.

Cubs-White Sox, A’s-Giants, Dodgers-Angels would be good division rivalries.

— High school basketball players should be able to jump right from high school to the pros; they used to do this. Lebron James, Kevin Garnett, Kobe Bryant; none of them played in college.

This would help the college game; people would become more familiar with the players who play college ball.

— There are readers out there who just LOVE IT when I talk about politics, so let’s do that for a minute. My idea: once any politician turns 72 years old, he/she cannot run for office again. We need younger people more invested in our government; having 80-year old senators makes zero sense. Who would be against this idea?

— When a college football/basketball coach takes more $$$ and moves up the coaching ladder, his new team should have to play a road game at the coach’s old school, to compensate them for poaching the coach.

Last spring, Shaheen Holloway bolted from Saint Peter’s to Seton Hall; under my plan, Seton Hall would have to come to Jersey City and play a road game against the Peacocks. Big money teams don’t like to play true road games.

— There is absolutely no need for baseball managers/coaches to wear uniforms; let them dress like football coaches, with pullovers/khakis.

— College basketball has no official starting point; they should bring back the 24-hour college basketball marathon that used to be on TV. It was awesome; it was actually 28 or 29 straight hours of college hoop, with a game from Hawai’i at 4am, then small college East Coast games at 6am/8am. Maybe the night before Election Day, so we have a solid TV option instead of results of elections.
 

Udog

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Sep 10, 2018
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NEW ORLEANS are 95-62 Over (26.8 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1996.

WASHINGTON is 12-2 Over (9.8 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.




NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 22


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SAN ANTONIO (10 - 20) at NEW ORLEANS (18 - 12) - 12/22/2022, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-5 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (12 - 20) at UTAH (18 - 16) - 12/22/2022, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA

Thursday, December 22


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Trend Report
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San Antonio @ New Orleans
San Antonio
San Antonio is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games

Washington @ Utah
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Utah
Utah is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games when playing Washington


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