CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Udog

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Dunkel

Thursday, December 22


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Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 22
SA at NO08:00 PMSA +8.5
O 228.0
+500 +500
WAS at UTA09:00 PMUTA -6.5
O 230.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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12/22/20223-1-075.00%+950Detail
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Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
College hoop teams getting biggest % of points on 3’s:
47.4%— Liberty
47.0%— Lafayette
46.5%— Chattanooga
44.3%— Penn State
43.7%— North Carolina A&T
42.9%— Marist

Quote of the Day
“Our sport feels broken now. We’ve got somebody with three times the median payroll and has no care whatsoever for the long-term of any of these contracts, in terms of the risk associated with any of them. How exactly does this work? I’m having a hard time wrapping my head around it.”
Anonymous MLB executive, talking about the Mets’ spending spree

Friday’s quiz
Who was the first coach of the Jacksonville Jaguars?

Thursday’s quiz
When Michael Jordan played minor league baseball for the Birmingham Barons in the Southern League in 1994, Terry Francona was the Barons’ manager.

Wednesday’s quiz
Matthew Stafford played his college football at Georgia.

***************************

Friday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..

— NFL’s Sunday Ticket is going to YouTube TV starting next year, which means that I’ll dump DirecTV after college basketball ends in March. I’ve had DirecTV for a long time, but primarily so I can watch the Rams every week, without going out to bars to watch.

Have to do my research on the best TV plan going forward; lot of options out there. I know almost nothing about YouTube TV, but I have until August to figure it out.

— Mets’ fans are excited about signing Justin Verlander, Carlos Correa as free agents; they’re going to have the biggest payroll in MLB history. Good for them.

But hey, the A’s signed Drew Rucinski this week. The 33-year old Rucinski gets $3M for this year, roughly what the Mets’ batboys earn (kidding). $3M is big money in Oakland. So what if Verlander will make $1,343,750 PER START this year, and that’s if he starts 32 games.

Rucinski pitched for the NC Dinos in Korea the last four years, going 53-36, 3.06 in 121 KBO starts. He is 4-4, 5.33 in 41 major league games from 2014-18, with the Angels/Marlins.

— An unusual thing about college basketball is that once you play a team out of conference, you root like hell for that team to win games, since their success helps your strength of schedule, which factors in to if/where you land on Selection Sunday.

Let’s look at UNLV, which is 11-1, but against schedule #227. Rebels beat Dayton/Washington State, two top 100 teams, lost by a hoop to #89 San Francisco. None of those three teams are in the top 50, so it will really help the Rebels if those three teams win a lot of conference games.

Jaguars 19, Jets 3
Jacksonville is 5-2 SU in last seven games after a 2-6 start.
QB Lawrence threw for 229 yards, ran 7 times for 51 more yards.
Jaguars were 7-16 on third down, Jets 2-13.
Last six games, Jaguars are +7 in turnovers (13-6)

Jets’ only score was FG on 1st drive; they recovered fumble on Jags’ 16-yard line.
#4 QB Streveler ran ball 9 times for 54 yards; rest of team had 11 rushes, 12 yards.
Jets are 2-6 SU in their last eight games, after a 5-2 start.
Jets are 6-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-7 scoring less than 20.

— Eagles’ QB Jalen Hurts (shoulder) is out for Saturday’s game in Dallas; Gardner Minshew (8-14 as an NFL starter) will start under center for Philly.

— Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson is out again this week, third game in a row he’ll miss. He is trying to get a huge contract from the Ravens, but the best ability is availability— Jackson got hurt in Week 13 LY, never played again, and now he’s missed Weeks 14-16 this year. Not good.

Adding to the intrigue is that Jackson has been acting as his own agent, which makes things in negotiations a lot more personal.

Eastern Illinois 92, Iowa 83— How does a 31-point underdog win on the road?
Favored Hawkeyes led 22-8 early on.
Iowa was down two starters (Murray, Connor McCaffery)
Eastern Illinois shot 66.7% inside the arc.
Iowa was only 7-33 on the arc.

Eastern Illinois is a bad team, 2-9 vs D-I teams; their other D-I win was over IUPUI, the worst of all the 363 D-I teams in the country. Just a hideous loss for Iowa, the biggest favorite to lose in the last 30 years.

— Wednesday was Early Signing Day in college football; lot of games that will be played 3-4 years from now were decided Wednesday, as teams re-stock their rosters. But don’t just assume what you hear on TV in true. Recruiting ratings aren’t gospel.

When he came out of high school, Aaron Donald was the #22 recruit in his class; he’s going to be in the Pro Football Hall of Fame. You think there were really 21 players who were better than him that year?

Some teams develop talent better than others; Kansas State is 10-3 this year, with three (3!!!!) players who were 4 or 5-star recruits. They recruit athletes, develop them into players.

— New York Knicks got nailed for tampering with free agent Jalen Brunson; as a result they’ll lose a 2nd-round draft pick in 2025.

— Golden State Warriors are 15-18, #11-seed in the west right now, and Steph Curry is out for the next couple months. Warriors are 3-16 on the road; looks like they’ll miss the playoffs.

— Law and Order is one of my favorite TV shows; 21 years, 472 episodes, a great launching point for lot of acting careers, not to mention the spinoff shows that branched off this original show.

Take Billions on Showtime; there are 32 actors who have appeared in 12+ episodes of Billons. 14 of those 32 actors appeared in at least one episode of Law and Order, and two others were in Law and Order SVU, and that doesn’t count Eric Bogosian, who was in Law and Order: Criminal Intent for 61 episodes, but was only in 11 episodes of Billions (so far).

— Cincinnati Reds signed OF/1B Wil Myers to one-year, $6M deal; Myers had an injury-plagued 2022, then went 3-29 in the playoffs for San Diego.

— Saints-Browns total Saturday is going to be the lowest NFL total since 2009, due to frigid weather in Ohio this weekend.

— Billy Eppler is the New York Mets’ GM; when he first graduated from college at UConn, he interned with the NFL’s Washington Redskins, then scouted in the Bronx, became assistant GM there, and later moved on to become GM of the Angels. Must also be nice to be GM of a team where the owner writes blank checks.

SMU 85, Iona 81— Mustangs trailed by 12 with 10:36 left in game, but rallied to beat Rick Pitino’s Iona squad, overcoming 21 turnovers. Iona lost despite making 13-22 on the arc. SMU shot 64.3% inside the arc.

This game is part of the Diamond Head Classic in Hawai’i. Christmas in Hawai’i must be fun.

— Detroit-Ottawa NHL game this week was postponed because of cruddy weather in Canada; it will be played February 27 instead.

Missouri 93, Illinois 71— Tigers led 51-26 at half-time; putrid effort by the Illini, which is 2-3 in its last five games, after a 6-1 start.

Western Kentucky 44, South Alabama 23
Hilltoppers led 31-3 at halftime.
WKU’s first three TD’s came on plays of 44-27-25 yards.
Hilltoppers threw for 522 yards (9.3 yards/attempt)

Air Force 30, Baylor 15
Falcons outgained Baylor 379-230.
Bears ran ball 26 times for 42 yards, completed only 11-23 passes.
Baylor lost its last four games, after a 6-3 start.

— Major League Baseball reduced Trevor Bauer’s suspension from 324 games to 194, meaning he is good to go for spring training. Dodgers have until January 6 to release him or add him to the 40-man roster. Bauer is eligible now, but is being docked pay for the first 50 games of 2023
 

Udog

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SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in road games against Southeast division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days in the current season.

BROOKLYN is 28-51 ATS (-28.1 Units) in home games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 362-286 ATS (47.4 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game since 1996.

CLEVELAND is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 135-93 ATS (32.7 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1996.

ATLANTA is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games in December games in the last 3 seasons.

INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

HOUSTON is 22-45 ATS (-27.5 Units) in home games after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

Mark Daigneault is 20-7 ATS (12.3 Units) after allowing 100 points or less (Coach of OKLAHOMA CITY)

DENVER is 35-14 Over (19.6 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 21-8 Over (12.2 Units) in road games when the total is 22-229.5 over the last 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
 
Last edited:

Udog

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NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, December 23


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SAN ANTONIO (10 - 21) at ORLANDO (12 - 21) - 12/23/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1217-1088 ATS (+20.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 198-150 ATS (+33.0 Units) in December games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 403-342 ATS (+26.8 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 112-77 ATS (+27.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 414-346 ATS (+33.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 493-414 ATS (+37.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
ORLANDO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (19 - 14) at PHILADELPHIA (18 - 12) - 12/23/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 117-153 ATS (-51.3 Units) against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games in the first half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 55-83 ATS (-36.3 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (22 - 9) at BROOKLYN (20 - 12) - 12/23/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 48-67 ATS (-25.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 35-51 ATS (-21.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 27-50 ATS (-28.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 15-43 ATS (-32.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 13-33 ATS (-23.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 9-6 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 10-5 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
11 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (16 - 16) at BOSTON (22 - 10) - 12/23/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 74-59 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (14 - 18) at CLEVELAND (22 - 11) - 12/23/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games in the first half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (13 - 18) at NEW YORK (18 - 14) - 12/23/2022, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (8 - 26) at ATLANTA (16 - 16) - 12/23/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 52-67 ATS (-21.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games in December games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (16 - 16) at MIAMI (16 - 16) - 12/23/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 255-194 ATS (+41.6 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
MIAMI is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games this season.
MIAMI is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (16 - 16) at HOUSTON (9 - 22) - 12/23/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 604-502 ATS (+51.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 104-67 ATS (+30.3 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 206-163 ATS (+26.7 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 286-230 ATS (+33.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 260-207 ATS (+32.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
HOUSTON is 47-61 ATS (-20.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 59-80 ATS (-29.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 42-57 ATS (-20.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 32-57 ATS (-30.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 22-43 ATS (-25.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (19 - 12) at OKLAHOMA CITY (14 - 18) - 12/23/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after allowing 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (17 - 15) at DENVER (19 - 11) - 12/23/2022, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 30-43 ATS (-17.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 50-64 ATS (-20.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 55-79 ATS (-31.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-7 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 10-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (12 - 21) at SACRAMENTO (17 - 13) - 12/23/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 180-239 ATS (-82.9 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (19 - 11) at PHOENIX (19 - 13) - 12/23/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 123-95 ATS (+18.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 66-46 ATS (+15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 73-47 ATS (+21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 55-34 ATS (+17.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (8 - 24) at LA LAKERS (13 - 18) - 12/23/2022, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 153-116 ATS (+25.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 48-63 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 38-55 ATS (-22.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 237-286 ATS (-77.6 Units) after a division game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 196-249 ATS (-77.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (18 - 12) at NEW YORK (18 - 14) - 12/25/2022, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (13 - 18) at DALLAS (16 - 16) - 12/25/2022, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 48-63 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
DALLAS is 149-112 ATS (+25.8 Units) on Sunday games since 1996.
DALLAS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (22 - 9) at BOSTON (22 - 10) - 12/25/2022, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 74-59 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 11-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-6 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (19 - 11) at GOLDEN STATE (15 - 18) - 12/25/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-7 ATS (+18.3 Units) in home games after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-10 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 73-47 ATS (+21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 55-34 ATS (+17.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 9-5 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-7 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (19 - 13) at DENVER (19 - 11) - 12/25/2022, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 123-95 ATS (+18.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 66-46 ATS (+15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 50-64 ATS (-20.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 55-79 ATS (-31.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 7-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Udog

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NBA

Friday, December 23


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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San Antonio @ Orlando
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
San Antonio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

LA Clippers @ Philadelphia
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games on the road
LA Clippers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ Boston
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Toronto @ Cleveland
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Chicago @ New York
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
New York
New York is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
New York is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Detroit @ Atlanta
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Atlanta is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Detroit

Milwaukee @ Brooklyn
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Indiana @ Miami
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

New Orleans @ Oklahoma City
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans's last 14 games on the road
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Dallas @ Houston
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Houston is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Dallas

Portland @ Denver
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games when playing Denver
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing Portland

Memphis @ Phoenix
Memphis
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis

Washington @ Sacramento
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games at home
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington

Charlotte @ LA Lakers
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, DECEMBER 23
LAC at PHI07:00 PMLAC +3.5+500
SA at ORL07:00 PMORL -6.5
U 226.5
+500 +500
MIL at BK07:30 PMBK -2.5+500
MIN at BOS07:30 PMBOS -10.0
U 228.5
+500 +500
DET at ATL07:30 PMDET +8.5+500
TOR at CLE07:30 PMCLE -4.5+500
CHI at NY07:30 PMCHI +6.0
O 225.5
+500 +500
IND at MIA08:00 PMIND +6.0
O 223.5
+500 +500
NO at OKC08:00 PMNO +1.5+500
DAL at HOU08:00 PMHOU +7.0
O 220.0
+500 +500
POR at DEN09:00 PMDEN -4.5
U 232.5
+500 +500
WAS at SAC10:00 PMWAS +9.0+500
MEM at PHO10:00 PMMEM -3.0+500
CHA at LAL10:30 PMCHA +3.0
O 242.0
+500 +500
 

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12/23/202214-7-066.67%+3150Detail
12/22/20223-1-075.00%+950Detail
12/21/202211-10-052.38%+0Detail
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12/19/20227-5-058.33%+750Detail
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12/17/20229-5-064.29%+1750Detail
12/16/202211-9-055.00%+550Detail
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12/14/202212-8-060.00%+1600Detail
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12/11/20228-6-057.14%+700Detail
12/10/20223-5-037.50%-1250Detail
12/09/20229-8-152.78%+100Detail
12/08/20221-1-050.00%-50Detail
12/07/20223-14-017.65%-6200Detail
12/06/20223-3-050.00%-150Detail
12/05/20227-4-063.64%+1300Detail
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12/03/20228-6-057.14%+700Detail
12/02/20226-4-060.00%+800Detail
12/01/20222-0-0100.00%+1000Detail
 

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in touchdown passes:
35— Mahomes, KC
31— Burrow, Cin
30— Allen, Buff
26— Smith, Sea
24— Cousins/Tagovailoa/Lawrence
23— Goff/Carr/Rodgers

Quote of the Day
“Right now, I think we are very fragile. You start going through these things and then you start believing them. Once you start believing them, it becomes who you are. The only way to break them is by being mentally tough.”
Draymond Green, talking about the Golden State Warriors

Saturday’s quiz
In 1971, James Caan starred in Brian’s Song, the story of NFL player Brian Piccolo, who died in his 20’s. Which NFL team did Brian Piccolo play for?

Friday’s quiz
Tom Coughlin was the first coach of the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Thursday’s quiz
When Michael Jordan played minor league baseball for the Birmingham Barons in the Southern League in 1994, Terry Francona was the Barons’ manager.

*****************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

— First of all, hope all of you have an excellent Christmas; thanks for reading this blog, hope you read it every day (you don’t read it every day?!?!?!). Hope we all have an excellent 2023.

— Why, why, why do TV stations send reporters people outside during winter storms? As I type this, some poor bastard is standing outside in Buffalo, struggling to stand still in a vicious storm with both wind/snow beating down on him. We get it, the weather sucks; why punish this guy?

— 50 years ago this week, Steelers beat Oakland 13-7 in a dramatic playoff game, the Immaculate Reception game, where Franco Harris scored on a 60-yard TD pass off a deflection right at the end of the game. One of the most dramatic wins in NFL history.

Before that game, the Steelers had never won a playoff game; they had losing seasons in 25 of their previous 37 seasons. Starting in 1972, Pittsburgh made the playoffs eight years in a row, winning four Super Bowls. That one play was the turning point in their franchise history.

— Which college QB has thrown the most TD passes this season?

Western Kentucky QB Austin Reed has thrown 41 TD passes this year; never would’ve guessed that.

— Read this week that there are now 333.2 million people in this country, 1.2 million more than at this time last year.

— Phoenix Suns sold for $4B this week; that’s billion, with a B.

Just 12 years ago, Golden State Warriors sold for $450M. Warriors are a much more successful franchise than Phoenix. NBA has taken off in popularity all over the world. The league basically forced the Suns’ owner out because he’s a bad guy, but he still banks a $4B payday.

— There are 42 NBA players making $30M+ this season.

— Lakers’ star Anthony Davis is out for a while with a foot injury; they haven’t said exactly how long he’ll be out, but it doesn’t sound good.

— Kids today don’t know how great a basketball player Wilt Chamberlain was; he still holds the record, with two streaks of 14 games in a row with 40+ points.

Chamberlain helped the 76ers win the 1967 NBA title, but people criticized him because they said he didn’t pass enough, so the next year, Wilt led the league in assists. Seriously, he did.

The guy scored 100 points in a game; he also played in 79+ games in seven of his last eight seasons, spanning ages 29-36, and this was before teams flew on charters. None of this load management BS for him.

— Arizona Diamondbacks are trading OF/C Daulton Varsho to Toronto, for C Gabriel Moreno and OF/1B Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Varsho hit 27 homers for Arizona LY.

— P Erick Fedde signed a $1M deal with the NC Dinos in Korean baseball; $1M is the maximum deal for a foreign player who is in his first season in the KBO.

— Two best base stealers ever: Rickey Henderson and Lou Brock.

Brock stole his first base on April 13, 1962.
Henderson stole his last base on August 29, 2003.

There were four days in 1979 where Brock/Henderson both stole a base on the same day.

— Houston Astros are really good in large part because their international scouting is excellent; they have four starting pitchers— Framber Valdez, Cristian Javier, Luis Garcia, Jose Urquidy, whose COMBINED signing bonuses were only $140,000.

Houston 23, Louisiana 16
Houston drove 92 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:20 left.
Ragin’ Cajuns led 13-0 in second quarter.
Teams combined to convert 6-25 on 3rd down, 6-8 on 4th down.
Houston was +3 in turnovers.

Wake Forest 27, Missouri 17
Wake QB Hartman threw for 280 yards, three TD’s.
How is Dave Clawson still the coach at Wake Forest? Some big $$$ school should scoop him up. Wake is a smallish school for big-time football; last seven years, Deacons are 44-30- they’ve won four of last six bowl games.

— Clemson QB DJ Uiagalelei is now Oregon State QB DJ Uiagalelei; he bolted to Corvallis this week, as the epidemic of QB’s transferring continues. He needs to be a more accurate passer.

— Mets traded backup C James McCann to Baltimore, have now signed C Omar Narvaez to an $8M deal for next season. Narvaez has a .728 career OPS.

— San Francisco Giants spend some of the $$$ they saved on the Carlos Correa non-signing; they gave Michael Conforto a 2-year, $36M deal— he sat out last year a shoulder sinjury, and they also gave P Taylor Rogers a 3-year, $33M deal. Rogers joins his twin brother Tyler in the Giants’ bullpen.

— Phillies signed closer Craig Kimbrel to a one-year, $10M deal.
 

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack
Interesting spreads for Week 17 NFL games:
— Cowboys (-6) @ Tennessee
— Dolphins (-3) @ New England
— Colts @ NJ Giants (-3)
— Bears @ Detroit (-6.5)
— Jaguars (-6) @ Houston
— Browns @ Washington (-2)

Quote of the Day
“The job pulls me away as it is. Everyone says to me all the time, ‘So what do you do other than coach?’ I spend time with my family. ‘No, really, what do you do?’ I spend time with my family. My dad was an absentee father. He got up and left and he never supported my mom or me and my sister. I’m not doing that.”
UMass basketball coach Frank Martin

Sunday’s quiz
Who started at QB for the Dallas Cowboys, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?

Saturday’s quiz
In 1971, James Caan starred in Brian’s Song, the story of NFL player Brian Piccolo, who died in his 20’s. Brian Piccolo played running back for the Chicago Bears.

Friday’s quiz
Tom Coughlin was the first coach of the Jacksonville Jaguars.

******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up Week 16 in the NFL

Bengals 22, Patriots 18
— Bengals led this game 22-0 at halftime.
— First half stats: Bengals ran 48 plays for 303 yards.
— First half stats: Patriots ran 15 plays for 60 yards.
— Patriots fumbled on Cincinnati’s 6-yard line with 0:55 left.
— New England missed two PAT’s and a 2-point conversion.

— Patriots’ last eight games: 11 TD’s, 23 FGA’s, 31 3/outs on 88 drives.
— Patriots lost four of their last five games SU.
— Cincinnati won/covered last seven games (12-1 ATS last 13).
— Cincy is 6-3 SU on road TY, 6-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Bengals are 14-7 ATS last 21 games as a road favorite.

Vikings 27, Giants 24
— Joseph kicked a 61-yard FG at the gun for the win.
— Vikings scored TD on a 29-yard drive after a blocked punt.
— Vikings won 11 of their last 13 games SU.
— Minnesota is 10-0 when it scores 24+ points, 2-3 when it does not.
— Despite being 12-3, Vikings have outscored foes only 378-373.

— Giants converted 3-11 on third down, Minnesota 6-13.
— Big Blue outgained Vikings, 445-353.
— Barkley ran for 84 yards (6.0 yards/carry) and a TD.
— Giants are 11-4 ATS this season, 5-1 as a road underdog.
— Giants are 2-5-1 SU last eight games, after a 6-1 start.

Ravens 17, Falcons 9
— Atlanta was in red zone four times, scored only nine points.
— Falcons lost six of last seven games SU, are 0-9 ATS in last nine.
— In 2 games with Ridder, Atlanta scored 2 TD’s on 18 drives, with 4 FG’s.
— Falcons averaged only 3.5 yards/pass play.
— Atlanta is 1-5 SU outdoors this season, scoring 16 ppg.

— Ravens’ only TD came on 70-yard drive near end of first half.
— Baltimore is 9-1 giving up 20 or less points, 1-4 if they give up 20+.
— Last three games, Ravens ran ball for 215-198-184 yards.
— Last four weeks, Ravens converted 16-50 (32%) on 3rd down.
— Baltimore won eight of its last eleven games SU.

Saints 17, Browns 10
— Saints’ winning TD came on 15-yard drive after a 3rd quarter INT.
— This was Saints’ first win in six outdoor games this year.
— Dalton was only 8-15/92 passing for the whole game.
— Saints held last seven opponents under 6.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Seven of last eight New Orleans games stayed under the total.

— Cleveland’s only TD came on a 30-yard drive after an INT.
— Watson’s four games: Browns scored 3 TD’s on 38 drives, with 16 3/outs.
— Cleveland was in red zone three times, scored only 10 points.
— Browns averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Browns are 7-12-1 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite (2-3 TY).

Panthers 37, Lions 23
— Carolina ran for 240 yards in first half, most of any team since 2006.
— Panthers’ first six drives: 42 plays, 428 yards, 31 points.
— You’re reading armadillosports com
— Only nine of Carolina’s 65 plays came on third down.
— Carolina had seven plays of 30+ yards.
— Panthers won four of last six games, covered seven of last nine.

— Lions ran ball 17 times for only 45 yards.
— Carolina ran for 320 yards, averaged 11.4 yards/pass play.
— Panthers outgained Detroit, 570-381.
— Detroit had two empty trips to the red zone.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 10-21-1 SU, 21-10-1 ATS.

Bills 35, Bears 13
— Buffalo ran ball for 254 yards (8.2 yards/carry).
— Bills were 6-11 on 3rd down, Chicago 2-12.
— Buffalo outgained the Bears, 426-209.
— Last five games, Bills converted 32-66 (48.5%) on third down.
— Bills won their last six games, scoring 28.3 ppg.

— Bears were in red zone four times, scored only 13 points.
— Chicago lost eight in row, 11 of last 12 games SU (3-8-1 ATS).
— Last eight games, Chicago gave up 32.6 ppg.
— Opponents scored TD’s on 30 of last 74 drives.
— Over is 9-1-1 in their last eleven games.

Texans 19, Titans 14
— Texans snap their nine-game losing streak.
— Houston outgained the Titans, 285-272.
— Under is 6-3 in Houston’s last nine games.
— With loss, Titans fall behind Jacksonville in AFC South.
— Tennessee scored 19 or less points in nine of last 11 games.

— Titans turned ball over 3 times, averaged only 3.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Tennessee lost last five games, scoring 16-10-22-14-14 points.
— Henry ran ball for 126 yards and a TD.
— Last five weeks, Titans were outscored 60-28 in second half.
— Titans are 0-5 SU since OC got a DUI coming home from road trip.

Chiefs 24, Seahawks 10
— Seattle’s first five drives: 20 plays, 22 yards, 1 first down, no points.
— Seahawks were 2-14 on third down, Chiefs 3-11.
— Seattle averaged only 4.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Seattle is 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS in their last six games.
— Geno Smith is 20-28 as an NFL starter.

— Chiefs were in red zone three times, scored three TD’s.
— Chiefs won 10 of last 12 games (5-7 ATS).
— Chiefs have 79 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 48.
— Kansas City had 9-yard edge in field position.
— Chiefs were held under their team total in 6 of last 8 games.

49ers 37, Commanders 20
— Game was 7-7 at halftime.
— 49ers scored 3 TD’s, 3 FG’s on seven second half drives.
— 49ers outscored last seven opponents 117-37 in second half.
— 49ers are 9-0 when they score 24+ points, 3-4 when they don’t.
— San Francisco won its last eight games (7-1 ATS)

— Former starter Wentz replaced Heinicke at QB late in third quarter,
— Washington was 7-13 on third down, 49ers 4-11.
— Commanders ran for 79 yards, first time since Week 8 they ran for less than 100 yards.
— Washington is 4-1 when it scores 23+ points, 3-6-1 if they don’t.
— Washington is still hanging on to the #7-seed in the NFC.

Cowboys 40, Eagles 34
— Cowboys are 10-5 ATS last 15 games as home favorite (5-2 TY)
— Dallas is +14 in turnovers in its wins, minus-2 in losses.
— Cowboys won 11 of their last 14 games (9-5 ATS).
— Last eight games, Dallas scored 36 TD’s on 85 drives.
— Dallas is 14-4 ATS last 18 NFC East home games.

— Eagles turned ball over four times (minus-3).
— DeVonta Smith caught eight passes for 112 yards, two TD’s.
— Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Eagle games.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 4-7 ATS as an underdog.
— Philly is now 7-1 SU on road this year, 2-6 ATS.

Steelers 13, Raiders 10
— Steelers drove 76 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:46 left.
— Pittsburgh is 5-2 since its bye week, with +8 turnover ratio.
— Steelers have one turnover (+12) in their wins, 17 (-11) in losses.
— In seven post-bye games, opponents are 26-79 (32.9%) on third down
— Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games.

— Raiders drove 72 yards for a TD on their first drive.
— Rest of game: 39 plays, 109 yards, 7 first downs, 3 points.
— Raiders averaged only 4.3 yards per pass attempt.
— Raiders are 3-7 SU in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Raiders have lost five games they led by 7+ points at halftime.

— Pitt QB Kedon Slovis is transferring to BYU; Slovis started his college career at USC.

— Middle Tennessee 25, San Diego State 23
Blue Raiders kicked 37-yard FG with 2:05 left for the win.
San Diego State led 14-0 after the first quarter.
Aztecs outgained Middle Tennessee 364-170.
San Diego State turned ball over five times (minus-4)
 

Udog

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PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days in the current season.

DALLAS are 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points in the last 3 seasons.

Mike Budenholzer is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game (Coach of Milwaukee).

GOLDEN STATE is 12-2 Over (9.8 Units) when the total is 22-229.5 in the current season.

DENVER is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, December 25


Gfc6CMR.png





NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, December 25


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PHILADELPHIA (19 - 12) at NEW YORK (18 - 15) - 12/25/2022, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (13 - 19) at DALLAS (17 - 16) - 12/25/2022, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 48-64 ATS (-22.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
LA LAKERS are 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 149-112 ATS (+25.8 Units) on Sunday games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 153-117 ATS (+24.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
DALLAS is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (22 - 10) at BOSTON (23 - 10) - 12/25/2022, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 75-59 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 11-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-6 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (20 - 11) at GOLDEN STATE (15 - 18) - 12/25/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-7 ATS (+18.3 Units) in home games after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-10 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 74-47 ATS (+22.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 19-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 221-166 ATS (+38.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 9-5 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-7 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (19 - 14) at DENVER (20 - 11) - 12/25/2022, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 123-96 ATS (+17.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 66-47 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 56-79 ATS (-30.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 7-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA

Sunday, December 25


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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ New York
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
New York is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games

LA Lakers @ Dallas
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 9 games
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games

Milwaukee @ Boston
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Milwaukee's last 21 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Memphis @ Golden State
Memphis
Memphis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games
Golden State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

Phoenix @ Denver
Phoenix
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver
Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Denver
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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SUNDAY, DECEMBER 25
PHI at NY12:00 PMNY +1.5
O 217.5
+500 +500
LAL at DAL02:30 PMDAL -8.0
U 226.5
+500 +500
MIL at BOS05:00 PMBOS -4.5
U 225.5
+500 +500
MEM at GS08:00 PMMEM -4.5
U 228.5
+500 +500
PHO at DEN10:30 PMDEN -3.5
U 230.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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12/25/20223-7-030.00%-2350Detail
12/23/202214-7-066.67%+3150Detail
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12/03/20228-6-057.14%+700Detail
12/02/20226-4-060.00%+800Detail
12/01/20222-0-0100.00%+1000Detail
 

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack
Most points scored in a game on Christmas Day:
60— Bernard King
59— Wilt Chamberlain
50— Rick Barry
47— Jerry West
46— Tracy McGrady
45— Wilt Chamberlain, Dominique Wilkins, Tom Heinsohn

Quote of the Day
“I don’t know if they know, because we don’t really know until we know who we have week to week. I wish I was joking.”
Sean McVay on his team’s personnel, before Sunday’s game. Rams were missing 9 of 22 starters Sunday

Monday’s quiz
Jared Goff was the Rams’ starting QB from midway thru 2016 until 2020. Which current backup QB in the NFL was the Rams’ starter before Goff?

Sunday’s quiz
Craig Morton started at QB for the Dallas Cowboys, first time they played in a Super Bowl, way back in Super Bowl V against the Colts.

Saturday’s quiz
In 1971, James Caan starred in Brian’s Song, the story of NFL player Brian Piccolo, who died in his 20’s. Brian Piccolo played running back for the Chicago Bears.

*********************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up Week 16 in the NFL

Packers 26, Dolphins 20
— Dolphins lost their last four games, after a 5-0 streak.
— Miami in first half: 6 drives: 26 plays, 229 yards, 20 points.
— Miami in 2nd half: 4 drives: 22 plays, 100 yards, 3 INT’s, no points.
— Last four games, Dolphins are 10-39 on third down.
— Miami leads four teams by game each for last playoff slot.

— Packers won last three games, after a 1-7 skid.
— Green Bay had 12-yard advantage in field position.
— Packers’ last five drives: one TD, three field goals.
— Packers won despite converting only 2-14 on third down.
— Packers led at halftime once in last eight games.

Rams 51, Broncos 14
— Performances like this get head coaches fired.
— Denver lost 10 of their last 12 games (4-7-1 ATS)
— Rams led 31-6 at halftime.
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in 11 of 15 games.
— Denver is 0-7 SU in true road games TY; they won game in England.

— Rams scored on every drive (5 TD’s/3 FG’s); they took knee with 0:06 left.
— Rams’ first two TD drives were only 34-11 yards.
— Akers ran ball 23 times for 118 yards, three TD’s.
— Higbee caught nine passes for 94 yards, two TD’s.
— Rams won two of Mayfield’s three starts for them.

Buccaneers 19, Cardinals 16 OT
— Cardinals led 16-6 with 9:00 left in regulation.
— Tampa Bay tied game on a FG with 2:31 left in regulation.
— 7-8 Buccaneers lead NFC South by a game.
— Tampa Bay is 7-1 allowing less than 20 points, 0-7 giving up 20+.
— Buccaneers are 5-9 ATS last 14 games as road favorite (2-4 TY)

— Cardinals’ last four drives: 20 plays, 71 yards, 2 turnovers, no points.
— McSorley was 24-45/217 passing, in his first NFL start.
— Last three games, Arizona converted 11-45 third down plays.
— Arizona is 1-11 SU when it scores less than 29 points.
— Cardinals lost five in row, nine of their last 11 games SU.

— Since 1950, only two NFL QB’s have started their careers 3-0 with 2+ passing TD’s in each game………49ers’ QB Brock Purdy and Hall of Famer Kurt Warner.

Hawai’i 58, SMU 57
Host Rainbows win Diamond Head Classic on 3-pointer at buzzer.
SMU led by 12 with 14:30 left in game.
Mustangs missed front end of two 1&1’s in last minute.

Utah State 82, Washington State 73
Aggies made 11-17 3-pointers.
Good win for everyone in Mountain West Conference.
Mountain West is 6-5 SU/ATS vs Pac-12 this season.

Creighton 80, DePaul 65
Since 2008, DePaul is 49-222 in Big East conference games.
Bluejays made 16-29 3-point shots in this game.
DePaul scored 55 ppg in its last three games.

Bengals 22, Patriots 18
— Bengals led this game 22-0 at halftime.
— First half stats: Bengals ran 48 plays for 303 yards.
— First half stats: Patriots ran 15 plays for 60 yards.
— Patriots fumbled on Cincinnati’s 6-yard line with 0:55 left.
— New England missed two PAT’s and a 2-point conversion.

— Patriots’ last eight games: 11 TD’s, 23 FGA’s, 31 3/outs on 88 drives.
— Patriots lost four of their last five games SU.
— Cincinnati won/covered last seven games (12-1 ATS last 13).
— Cincy is 6-3 SU on road TY, 6-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Bengals are 14-7 ATS last 21 games as a road favorite.

Vikings 27, Giants 24
— Joseph kicked a 61-yard FG at the gun for the win.
— Vikings scored TD on a 29-yard drive after a blocked punt.
— Vikings won 11 of their last 13 games SU.
— Minnesota is 10-0 when it scores 24+ points, 2-3 when it does not.
— Despite being 12-3, Vikings have outscored foes only 378-373.

— Giants converted 3-11 on third down, Minnesota 6-13.
— Big Blue outgained Vikings, 445-353.
— Barkley ran for 84 yards (6.0 yards/carry) and a TD.
— Giants are 11-4 ATS this season, 5-1 as a road underdog.
— Giants are 2-5-1 SU last eight games, after a 6-1 start.

Ravens 17, Falcons 9
— Atlanta was in red zone four times, scored only nine points.
— Falcons lost six of last seven games SU, are 0-9 ATS in last nine.
— In 2 games with Ridder, Atlanta scored 2 TD’s on 18 drives, with 4 FG’s.
— Falcons averaged only 3.5 yards/pass play.
— Atlanta is 1-5 SU outdoors this season, scoring 16 ppg.

— Ravens’ only TD came on 70-yard drive near end of first half.
— Baltimore is 9-1 giving up 20 or less points, 1-4 if they give up 20+.
— Last three games, Ravens ran ball for 215-198-184 yards.
— Last four weeks, Ravens converted 16-50 (32%) on 3rd down.
— Baltimore won eight of its last eleven games SU.

Saints 17, Browns 10
— Saints’ winning TD came on 15-yard drive after a 3rd quarter INT.
— This was Saints’ first win in six outdoor games this year.
— Dalton was only 8-15/92 passing for the whole game.
— Saints held last seven opponents under 6.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Seven of last eight New Orleans games stayed under the total.

— Cleveland’s only TD came on a 30-yard drive after an INT.
— Watson’s four games: Browns scored 3 TD’s on 38 drives, with 16 3/outs.
— Cleveland was in red zone three times, scored only 10 points.
— Browns averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Browns are 7-12-1 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite (2-3 TY).

Panthers 37, Lions 23
— Carolina ran for 240 yards in first half, most of any team since 2006.
— Panthers’ first six drives: 42 plays, 428 yards, 31 points.
— You’re reading armadillosports com
— Only nine of Carolina’s 65 plays came on third down.
— Carolina had seven plays of 30+ yards.
— Panthers won four of last six games, covered seven of last nine.

— Lions ran ball 17 times for only 45 yards.
— Carolina ran for 320 yards, averaged 11.4 yards/pass play.
— Panthers outgained Detroit, 570-381.
— Detroit had two empty trips to the red zone.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 10-21-1 SU, 21-10-1 ATS.

Bills 35, Bears 13
— Buffalo ran ball for 254 yards (8.2 yards/carry).
— Bills were 6-11 on 3rd down, Chicago 2-12.
— Buffalo outgained the Bears, 426-209.
— Last five games, Bills converted 32-66 (48.5%) on third down.
— Bills won their last six games, scoring 28.3 ppg.

— Bears were in red zone four times, scored only 13 points.
— Chicago lost eight in row, 11 of last 12 games SU (3-8-1 ATS).
— Last eight games, Chicago gave up 32.6 ppg.
— Opponents scored TD’s on 30 of last 74 drives.
— Over is 9-1-1 in their last eleven games.

Texans 19, Titans 14
— Texans snap their nine-game losing streak.
— Houston outgained the Titans, 285-272.
— Under is 6-3 in Houston’s last nine games.
— With loss, Titans fall behind Jacksonville in AFC South.
— Tennessee scored 19 or less points in nine of last 11 games.

— Titans turned ball over 3 times, averaged only 3.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Tennessee lost last five games, scoring 16-10-22-14-14 points.
— Henry ran ball for 126 yards and a TD.
— Last five weeks, Titans were outscored 60-28 in second half.
— Titans are 0-5 SU since OC got a DUI coming home from road trip.

Chiefs 24, Seahawks 10
— Seattle’s first five drives: 20 plays, 22 yards, 1 first down, no points.
— Seahawks were 2-14 on third down, Chiefs 3-11.
— Seattle averaged only 4.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Seattle is 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS in their last six games.
— Geno Smith is 20-28 as an NFL starter.

— Chiefs were in red zone three times, scored three TD’s.
— Chiefs won 10 of last 12 games (5-7 ATS).
— Chiefs have 79 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 48.
— Kansas City had 9-yard edge in field position.
— Chiefs were held under their team total in 6 of last 8 games.

49ers 37, Commanders 20
— Game was 7-7 at halftime.
— 49ers scored 3 TD’s, 3 FG’s on seven second half drives.
— 49ers outscored last seven opponents 117-37 in second half.
— 49ers are 9-0 when they score 24+ points, 3-4 when they don’t.
— San Francisco won its last eight games (7-1 ATS)

— Former starter Wentz replaced Heinicke at QB late in third quarter,
— Washington was 7-13 on third down, 49ers 4-11.
— Commanders ran for 79 yards, first time since Week 8 they ran for less than 100 yards.
— Washington is 4-1 when it scores 23+ points, 3-6-1 if they don’t.
— Washington is still hanging on to the #7-seed in the NFC.

Cowboys 40, Eagles 34
— Cowboys are 10-5 ATS last 15 games as home favorite (5-2 TY)
— Dallas is +14 in turnovers in its wins, minus-2 in losses.
— Cowboys won 11 of their last 14 games (9-5 ATS).
— Last eight games, Dallas scored 36 TD’s on 85 drives.
— Dallas is 14-4 ATS last 18 NFC East home games.

— Eagles turned ball over four times (minus-3).
— DeVonta Smith caught eight passes for 112 yards, two TD’s.
— Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Eagle games.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 4-7 ATS as an underdog.
— Philly is now 7-1 SU on road this year, 2-6 ATS.

Steelers 13, Raiders 10
— Steelers drove 76 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:46 left.
— Pittsburgh is 5-2 since its bye week, with +8 turnover ratio.
— Steelers have one turnover (+12) in their wins, 17 (-11) in losses.
— In seven post-bye games, opponents are 26-79 (32.9%) on third down
— Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games.

— Raiders drove 72 yards for a TD on their first drive.
— Rest of game: 39 plays, 109 yards, 7 first downs, 3 points.
— Raiders averaged only 4.3 yards per pass attempt.
— Raiders are 3-7 SU in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Raiders have lost five games they led by 7+ points at halftime.

— Pitt QB Kedon Slovis is transferring to BYU; Slovis started his college career at USC.

Middle Tennessee 25, San Diego State 23
Blue Raiders kicked 37-yard FG with 2:05 left for the win.
San Diego State led 14-0 after the first quarter.
Aztecs outgained Middle Tennessee 364-170.
San Diego State turned ball over five times (minus-4)
 

Udog

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BROOKLYN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons...

DETROIT is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 36-20 Over (14 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 19-5 ATS (13.5 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 419-333 ATS (52.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

INDIANA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

PORTLAND is 9-1 Under (7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.
 
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