CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, JANUARY 28

DEN at PHI	03:00 PM	PHI -4.0 U 231.5	+500 +500
NY at BK	05:30 PM	NY +1.5 O 226.0	+500 +500
HOU at DET	07:00 PM	DET -5.0 U 236.0	+500 +500
CHI at ORL	07:00 PM	CHI -2.5 O 231.0	+500 +500
LAC at ATL	07:30 PM	LAC -1.0 U 233.5	+500 +500
WAS at NO	08:00 PM	NO -4.5 O 231.0	+500 +500
PHO at SA	08:00 PM	PHO -6.0 O 232.5	+500 +500
SAC at MIN	08:00 PM	SAC -3.0 U 238.0	+500 +500
LAL at BOS	08:30 PM	BOS -7.5 O 237.0	+500 +500
DAL at UTA	09:00 PM	DAL +7.5 O 224.0	+500 +500
TOR at POR	10:00 PM	POR -4.5 U 232.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

01/28/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
01/27/2023	6-4-0	60.00%	+800	Detail
01/26/2023	4-8-0	33.33%	-2400	Detail
01/25/2023	9-11-0	45.00%	-1550	Detail
01/24/2023	5-9-0	35.71%	-2450	Detail
01/23/2023	10-4-0	71.43%	+2800	Detail
01/22/2023	4-9-1	32.14%	-2950	Detail
01/21/2023	4-10-0	28.57%	-3500	Detail
01/20/2023	12-6-0	66.67%	+2700	Detail
01/19/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
01/18/2023	5-13-0	27.78%	-4650	Detail
01/17/2023	4-4-0	50.00%	-200	Detail
01/16/2023	7-11-0	38.89%	-2550	Detail
01/15/2023	6-10-0	37.50%	-2500	Detail
01/14/2023	8-5-1	60.71%	+1250	Detail
01/13/2023	5-8-5	41.67%	-1900	Detail
01/12/2023	8-3-1	70.83%	+2350	Detail
01/11/2023	11-5-0	68.75%	+2750	Detail
01/10/2023	8-6-0	57.14%	+700	Detail
01/09/2023	5-6-1	45.83%	-800	Detail
01/08/2023	11-6-1	63.89%	+2200	Detail
01/07/2023	7-3-0	70.00%	+1850	Detail
01/06/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
01/05/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
01/04/2023	9-15-0	37.50%	-3750	Detail
01/03/2023	2-4-0	33.33%	-1200	Detail
01/02/2023	10-10-0	50.00%	-500	Detail
01/01/2023	2-3-1	41.67%	-650	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack
College basketball teams with best shooting %age on 2-point shots:
62.3%— Dayton
57.4%— Gonzaga
57.4%— South Dakota State
57.0%— Furman
56.8%— Belmont
55.7%— Delaware

Quote of the Day
“You put humanity above team loyalty. You showed the world unity over division. I am not surprised by it, but I am deeply grateful and I will be forever thankful and indebted to that.”
Bills’ safety Damar Hamlin, thanking the people of Cincinnati in a video message Saturday

Sunday’s quiz
First time the Philadelphia Eagles played in a Super Bowl, who was their QB?

Saturday’s quiz
When ESPN’s Dick Vitale coached college basketball, he coached at Detroit Mercy.

Friday’s quiz
The baseball scenes in The Natural were filmed in Buffalo.

****************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college basketball Saturday

— Big X went 7-3 against the SEC Saturday in the last Big X-SEC Challenge; SEC will get the last laugh when they poach Oklahoma/Texas away from the Big X down the road, but for this year, there is no doubt that the Big X is the best league in the country.

— West Virginia 80, Auburn 77
Texas Tech 76, LSU 69
Oklahoma 93, Alabama 69

West Virginia/Texas Tech/Oklahoma have a combined Big X record of 4-20, so of course they went 3-0 against the SEC Saturday.

— Oklahoma 93, Alabama 69— Lot of people were touting Alabama as the best team in the country, and they may still be, but they played their worst game here. Sooners scored 1.27 points/possession, led by 17 at the half in a shockingly easy win.

— West Virginia 80, Auburn 77— Mountaineers’ senior guard Erik Stevenson is a 23-year old senior who has seen the country as a college ballplayer:
2018-20— Wichita State, 68 games
2020-21— Washington, 26 games
2021-22— South Carolina, 30 games
2022-23— West Virginia, 21 games

Stevenson scored 31 points in this game; he takes difficult shots, but he made them in this game, going 10-17 from floor, 7-10 on arc. West Virginia is a bubble team; they’ll need Stevenson to be very good down the stretch to make the Field of 68.

— Baylor 67, Arkansas 64— Bears were 21-24 on foul line, Arkansas 6-11. Razorbacks have lost six of last nine games, have some injury issues- they used a 7-man rotation in this game, and only two of the seven guys scored more than 7 points.

Hogs led by 8 early in second half; Bracketology has them listed as an 8-seed, Eric Musselman is a very good coach— he’s coached two NBA teams, but they need to start winning some games pretty soon.

— Kansas 77, Kentucky 68— Jayhawks snap a 3-game losing skid; Bill Self is a great coach, he’s never had a 4-game losing skid at Kansas. He has experienced losing as a head coach, though.

Self’s first head coaching job was at Oral Roberts; he went 6-21 his first year there, in 1993-94, with a 16-game losing streak. He went 10-17 the second year, but then 39-16 the two years after that, and he starting climbing the coaching ladder, all the way to the top of the college game.

— Western Illinois 81, South Dakota State 73, OT— Rob Jeter has the Leathernecks headed for their first winning season in 10 years; they’re 14-8, 7-4 in the Summit League, after going 36-104 in Summit games the previous nine years.

Western Illinois trailed the Jackrabbits 39-17 in this game; they were down 18 with 8:48 left in the game. They out-rebounded South Dakota State 45-28.

— Oral Roberts 73, Omaha 64— Golden Eagles are 19-4, 10-0 in Summit League; they’re four games ahead of everyone else in the league, but Bracketology has them listed as a 12-seed, so they better win the Summit tournament if they want to make it to the NCAA’s.

— Milwaukee 75, Northern Kentucky 74— Norse led this game by 23 at one point, 47-27 at halftime, but Milwaukee stormed back for the road win. BJ Freeman was 3-10 from the floor, but 17-17 on foul line for the victorious Panthers.

— Louisiana 94, Georgia Southern 87— Ragin’ Cajuns were down 19 at the half, but they wound up shooting 31-40 on foul line and improved to 8-2 in the Sun Belt, tied with Marshall for first place. All five Louisiana starters scored in double figures.

— Clemson 82, Florida State 81— Clemson led this game 16-2 early on, but they were down 3 in last minute and needed a 3-point play from Chase Hunter with 0:04 left to nip the Seminoles, who made 13-30 3-pointers.

Clemson is having a dream season; they’re 18-4, 10-1 in ACC games, and only play one senior. Pat Riley called this type of season The Innocent Climb, when players first develop a trust that everyone is working towards the same goal and that greatness can be achieved, without anyone caring who gets the credit. Tigers are 8-2 in games decided by 8 or less points.

— Saint Mary’s 57, BYU 56— Grinding, slow game (only 58 possessions) but the Gaels prevail and have now won nine D-I games in a row- they’re 8-0 in WCC, a game ahead of Gonzaga.

Bracketology has them listed as a 7-seed, but they also haven’t played the Zags yet- they play in Moraga next Saturday.

— Hofstra 85, Charleston 81— We talked about this the other day; this was Charleston’s first CAA loss, their first loss anywhere since November 11, but now they probably need to win the CAA tournament to make the NCAA’s. A loss in the CAA tourney would be another bad loss; Hofstra is hovering around the #100 mark— five of their top seven players are seniors, though.

— Creighton 84, Xavier 67— Bluejays have won four in row, seven of last nine games; they shot 66.7% inside arc in this a game, a game with only 13 foul shots taken the whole day.

Creighton is shooting 56.2% inside arc, their opponents 46.2%; they’re still only 6-7 against top 100 teams, but they’ve played really well the last couple weeks.

— St Bonaventure 61, VCU 58— Bonnies are 11-11, 5-4 in A-15, despite having a whole new team this year; they’re #358 out of 363 teams in continuity. Mark Schmidt is an excellent coach; how some big $$$ program hasn’t gobbled him up is beyond me.

Draw a 100-mile circle around Olean, NY; tell me how many big-time high school players live in that circle, then explain to me how St Bonaventure is 100-49 in conference games the last nine years.

 

[Udog]

CHARLOTTE is 26-12 ATS (12.8 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

INDIANA is 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs in the current season.

NEW ORLEANS are 8-0 Under (8 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, January 30

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, January 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (28 - 22) at CHARLOTTE (14 - 36) - 1/29/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 19-29 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or less this season.
MIAMI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MIAMI is 90-64 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 20-29 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CHARLOTTE is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in home games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (24 - 27) at MEMPHIS (31 - 18) - 1/29/2023, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 82-57 ATS (+19.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 64-44 ATS (+15.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 55-39 ATS (+12.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 46-24 ATS (+19.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 182-143 ATS (+24.7 Units) in January games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MEMPHIS is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (28 - 24) at CLEVELAND (30 - 21) - 1/29/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 340-406 ATS (-106.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 252-312 ATS (-91.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (26 - 24) at MILWAUKEE (32 - 17) - 1/29/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 90-60 ATS (+24.0 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 333-397 ATS (-103.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 110-164 ATS (-70.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 260-313 ATS (-84.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Sunday, January 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami @ Charlotte
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing Miami

Indiana @ Memphis
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

LA Clippers @ Cleveland
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Clippers is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

New Orleans @ Milwaukee
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing New Orleans


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, JANUARY 29

MIA at CHA	01:00 PM	MIA -6.0 O 222.5	+500 +500
IND at MEM	06:00 PM	IND +9.5 O 241.5	+500 +500
LAC at CLE	07:00 PM	CLE -5.0 U 214.0	+500 +500
NO at MIL	08:00 PM	MIL -8.5 U 234.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

01/29/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1250	Detail
01/28/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
01/27/2023	6-4-0	60.00%	+800	Detail
01/26/2023	4-8-0	33.33%	-2400	Detail
01/25/2023	9-11-0	45.00%	-1550	Detail
01/24/2023	5-9-0	35.71%	-2450	Detail
01/23/2023	10-4-0	71.43%	+2800	Detail
01/22/2023	4-9-1	32.14%	-2950	Detail
01/21/2023	4-10-0	28.57%	-3500	Detail
01/20/2023	12-6-0	66.67%	+2700	Detail
01/19/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
01/18/2023	5-13-0	27.78%	-4650	Detail
01/17/2023	4-4-0	50.00%	-200	Detail
01/16/2023	7-11-0	38.89%	-2550	Detail
01/15/2023	6-10-0	37.50%	-2500	Detail
01/14/2023	8-5-1	60.71%	+1250	Detail
01/13/2023	5-8-5	41.67%	-1900	Detail
01/12/2023	8-3-1	70.83%	+2350	Detail
01/11/2023	11-5-0	68.75%	+2750	Detail
01/10/2023	8-6-0	57.14%	+700	Detail
01/09/2023	5-6-1	45.83%	-800	Detail
01/08/2023	11-6-1	63.89%	+2200	Detail
01/07/2023	7-3-0	70.00%	+1850	Detail
01/06/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
01/05/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
01/04/2023	9-15-0	37.50%	-3750	Detail
01/03/2023	2-4-0	33.33%	-1200	Detail
01/02/2023	10-10-0	50.00%	-500	Detail
01/01/2023	2-3-1	41.67%	-650	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack
College basketball teams with best 2-point shooting %age:
61%— Marquette
59.3%— Indiana State
58.9%— Furman
58.5%— Cornell
57.9%— Southern Illinois
57.9%— Missouri

Quote of the Day
“That puts a lot of pressure (on us). But it’s not just the Padres, it’s the Mets, it’s the Phillies. This has been an interesting year. What the Padres are doing, I don’t 100% agree with, though I know that our fans probably agree with it. We’ll see how it works out.”
Colorado Rockies’ owner Dick Monfort, criticizing other teams’ spending $$$ on players

Monday’s quiz
First time the Minnesota Vikings played in a Super Bowl, who was their QB?

Sunday’s quiz
First time the Philadelphia Eagles played in a Super Bowl, Ron Jaworski was their QB.

Saturday’s quiz
When ESPN’s Dick Vitale coached college basketball, he coached at Detroit Mercy.

******************************

Monday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..

— I’ve said this many times here the last few years, but it bears repeating:

NFL teams need to have THREE quarterbacks active for EVERY game, to protect the quality of the league’s product. Quality of the product is kind of an important thing.

San Francisco had two QB’s injured Sunday; they had zero chance once that happened— they put the first QB back in, even though he couldn’t throw a football more than 5-10 yards. This was the worst NFL game I’ve seen in a long time, and I watch a lot of games.

NFL franchises are worth $4B or so; they can afford an extra $500,000 a year to pay a #3 QB who can try to save their butts in games like this one. It is worth the additional expense- think about how much the TV ratings must have gone down in the second half of this game.

— Eagles 31, 49ers 7
Total yardage was 269-164, Eagles; San Francisco completed only 11 passes the whole game.
49ers’ only touchdown drive was 46 yards.
San Francisco was an underdog twice this year; they lost those games 44-23/31-7.
I’m a Rams’ fan; this result is fine with me, but the game wasn’t fun to watch.

— San Francisco’s last five playoff appearances:
2012: W-W-L34-31 in Super Bowl
2013: W-W-L23-17 in NFC title game at Seattle
2019: W-W-L31-20 in Super Bowl
2021: W-W-L20-17 in NFC title game at LA Rams
2022: W-W-L31-7 in NFC title game at Philadelphia

— Chiefs 23, Bengals 20
Butker kicked a 45-field goal with 0:03 left for the win.
Late hit on Mahomes out of bounds on previous play set up the winning FG.
Mahomes threw for 326 yards and two TD’s- he was the 10th pick of the 2017 Draft.
Bears took Mitch Trubisky with the 2nd pick in that draft, which explains a lot.

Chiefs’ first three drives: 27 plays, 175 yards, 13 points.
Chiefs rest of the game: 39 plays, 182 yards, 10 points.
Bengals had nine penalties for 71 yards, Chiefs 4 for 55 yards.
Kansas City is now 3-2 in AFC title games the last five years.

— Super Bowl losers who get to the conference title game the next season are now 8-6.

— This is the first time in five years that two #1-seeds are playing in a Super Bowl; last five times two number 1 seeds met in the Super Bowl, the underdog won four times.

— Opening Line on the Super Bowl: Chiefs opened at -1.5, with a total of 49.5, but soon after that money moved the line to Eagles -2.5.

— Was thinking about this tonight, I’m going to do it next year (2024) because I already have my vacations planned for this year: I want to be in Las Vegas the week the NFL schedule comes out, so I can sit in a sportsbook and watch people bet into the first odds that are posted after the schedule comes out. Just think it would be aa fun thing to do.

— Dallas Cowboys told offensive coordinator Kellen Moore to take a hike Sunday; there have to be scapegoats when teams lose playoff games.

Dallas had a top-five scoring offense this season.
Cowboys averaged 27.5 ppg this year, 4th-most in NFL.
Dallas averaged 27.7 ppg in Moore’s four years as OC, #2 in the NFL.

But by all means, fire the offensive coordinator. Head coach Mike McCarthy will now call plays, which should be interesting.

— Miami Dolphins are going to hire former Broncos’ coach Vic Fangio as their new defensive coordinator. Miami will be the fifth defense Fangio has coordinated. He is very good at it.

— LA Rams hired former Jets’ offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur as their new OC; LaFleur spent the last two years with the Jets, after spending four years with the 49ers.

— Atlanta Falcons hired Ryan Nielsen as their new defensive coordinator, replacing Dean Pees, who retired. Nielsen spent the last six years with New Orleans, the Falcons’ arch-rival.

— Random trivia: Eagles’ coach Nick Sirianni and NFL commish Roger Goodell both grew up in Jamestown, NY.

— Mets signed 2B/OF Jeff McNeil to a 4-year, $50M contract; McNeil hit .326 this past season. He is a .307 career hitter with a .370 career on-base %age.

— Phillies signed 2B Josh Harrison to a one-year, $2M contract.

— TCU’s best basketball player, Mike Miles, hurt his knee in Saturday’s loss at Mississippi State; the Frogs got a promising injury update after Miles had an MRI- the injury is not season-ending. Miles is averaging 18.1 ppg this season.

— Temple Owls are 8-2 in the AAC, after a 6-7 pre-conference mark; Temple has the best eFG% defense in AAC games- they won at Houston, an impressive win. Their rematch with Houston is Sunday in Philadelphia.

— Providence 70, Villanova 65— Villanova is 3-6 in its last nine games; they’re 4-9 in games decided by 8 or less points.

— Purdue 77, Michigan State 61— Boilermakers are 21-1; they’re looking like a #1-seed in the NCAA Tournament. TV guys are praising coach Matt Painter left-and-right; one guy actually mentioned that he is a future Hall of Famer. Seth Greenberg said he is one of the five best coaches in America. Yikes.

Painter is a good coach, but he ain’t one of the five best coaches in America.

— Painter has made 15 of last 18 NCAA Tournaments, counting this year. That is very good.
— He is 10-4 SU/ATS in first round games. Pretty good, not great.
— He is 6-4/7-3 ATS in second round games. That approaches very good.
— 17-7 against the spread in first weekend games is impressive.

But then…….

— His record in Sweet 16 games: 1-5 SU, with the only win in overtime in 2019.
— His Sweet 16 losses came as a 2-seed, 3-seed, 4-seed (twice) and a 5-seed.
— Purdue lost a Sweet 16 game last year as a 13-point favorite against Saint Peter’s. He lost a second round game as a 9-point favorite to VCU in 2011.
— He lost his only Elite 8 game to Virginia in overtime in 2019.

In short, Painter’s career record in 2nd-weekend NCAA games is 1-6 SU/ATS, not exactly the stuff of Hall of Famers.

He has a solid chance to get to the Final Four this year, with a 7-4 center who is really good. Will be interesting to see if the Boilermakers can live up to expectations.

— Charles Barkley was at the Auburn-West Virginia basketball game Saturday; he did a brief stint on ESPN, where he uttered the phrase, “stupid-ass transfer portal” As usual, Charles spoke the truth.

 

[Udog]

PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days in the current season.

LA LAKERS are 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games when the total >=230 in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 13-4 Under (8.6 Units) off a home win in the current season.

WASHINGTON is 11-3 Over (7.7 Units) after 2+ road games in the current season.

GOLDEN STATE is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) in road games in road games in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in home games after a loss in the current season.

TORONTO is 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in road games after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, January 30

 

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, January 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (19 - 31) at PHILADELPHIA (32 - 16) - 1/30/2023, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 9-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (23 - 27) at BROOKLYN (30 - 19) - 1/30/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 66-37 ATS (+25.3 Units) against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
BROOKLYN is 57-75 ATS (-25.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 43-59 ATS (-21.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 18-46 ATS (-32.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (27 - 21) at MINNESOTA (27 - 25) - 1/30/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (23 - 26) at SAN ANTONIO (14 - 36) - 1/30/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 56-71 ATS (-22.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 166-209 ATS (-63.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 1227-1097 ATS (+20.3 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 622-536 ATS (+32.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 112-78 ATS (+26.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 419-348 ATS (+36.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 193-152 ATS (+25.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 495-419 ATS (+34.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (25 - 24) at OKLAHOMA CITY (24 - 25) - 1/30/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in road games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in January games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 4-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (13 - 38) at DALLAS (26 - 25) - 1/30/2023, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DALLAS is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (23 - 28) at PHOENIX (26 - 25) - 1/30/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 132-104 ATS (+17.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 83-63 ATS (+13.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 104-81 ATS (+14.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 372-310 ATS (+31.0 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or less since 1996.
TORONTO is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (25 - 25) at PORTLAND (23 - 26) - 1/30/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 61-76 ATS (-22.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 56-73 ATS (-24.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 40-54 ATS (-19.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 2-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NBA

Monday, January 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Orlando @ Philadelphia
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando

LA Lakers @ Brooklyn
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Lakers's last 16 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Brooklyn's last 16 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Golden State @ Oklahoma City
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Golden State's last 14 games on the road
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Sacramento @ Minnesota
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Washington @ San Antonio
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
San Antonio is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington

Detroit @ Dallas
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Detroit

Toronto @ Phoenix
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Atlanta @ Portland
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Portland
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

xx

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, JANUARY 30

ORL at PHI	07:00 PM	PHI -9.0 U 230.0	+500 +500
LAL at BK	07:30 PM	LAL +9.0 O 230.0	+500 +500
WAS at SA	08:00 PM	WAS -6.0 O 240.5	+500 +500
GS at OKC	08:00 PM	GS -5.0 O 242.5	+500 +500
SAC at MIN	08:00 PM	MIN +1.0 O 238.0	+500 +500
DET at DAL	08:30 PM	DAL -8.5 O 229.5	+500 +500
TOR at PHO	09:00 PM	TOR +2.0 O 221.0	+500 +500
ATL at POR	10:00 PM	POR -2.0 U 236.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

01/30/2023	5-11-0	31.25%	-3550	Detail
01/29/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1250	Detail
01/28/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
01/27/2023	6-4-0	60.00%	+800	Detail
01/26/2023	4-8-0	33.33%	-2400	Detail
01/25/2023	9-11-0	45.00%	-1550	Detail
01/24/2023	5-9-0	35.71%	-2450	Detail
01/23/2023	10-4-0	71.43%	+2800	Detail
01/22/2023	4-9-1	32.14%	-2950	Detail
01/21/2023	4-10-0	28.57%	-3500	Detail
01/20/2023	12-6-0	66.67%	+2700	Detail
01/19/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
01/18/2023	5-13-0	27.78%	-4650	Detail
01/17/2023	4-4-0	50.00%	-200	Detail
01/16/2023	7-11-0	38.89%	-2550	Detail
01/15/2023	6-10-0	37.50%	-2500	Detail
01/14/2023	8-5-1	60.71%	+1250	Detail
01/13/2023	5-8-5	41.67%	-1900	Detail
01/12/2023	8-3-1	70.83%	+2350	Detail
01/11/2023	11-5-0	68.75%	+2750	Detail
01/10/2023	8-6-0	57.14%	+700	Detail
01/09/2023	5-6-1	45.83%	-800	Detail
01/08/2023	11-6-1	63.89%	+2200	Detail
01/07/2023	7-3-0	70.00%	+1850	Detail
01/06/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
01/05/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
01/04/2023	9-15-0	37.50%	-3750	Detail
01/03/2023	2-4-0	33.33%	-1200	Detail
01/02/2023	10-10-0	50.00%	-500	Detail
01/01/2023	2-3-1	41.67%	-650	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
College basketball teams with best 3-point shooting %age:
40.7%— Utah State
40.6%— Sam Houston State
40%— Youngstown State
40%— Xavier
39.8%— Belmont
39.5%— Stephen F Austin

Quote of the Day
“Have a good sense of humor— winning (poker) players have learned to tolerate bad beats that happen. A gallows’ sense of humor may help them endure the bad times.”
Pro poker player Barry Greenstein

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was UCLA’s basketball coach the last time the Bruins made the Final Four?

Monday’s quiz
First time Minnesota Vikings played in a Super Bowl, Joe Kapp was their QB, in Super Bowl IV

Sunday’s quiz
First time the Philadelphia Eagles played in a Super Bowl, Ron Jaworski was their QB.

****************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— College basketball referee John Higgins has been busy the last week:
January 24— Penn State @ Rutgers
January 25— Utah State @ San Diego State— Long plane ride for a back/back
January 26— Utah @ Oregon State
January 28— California @ Stanford
January 29— Michigan State @ Purdue— Day game after long plane ride.
January 30— Baylor @ Texas— Six games in seven days, that’s a lot of running.

— Didn’t take long for Kellen Moore to find a new job; fired by the Cowboys Sunday night, Moore quickly landed as the Chargers’ new offensive coordinator.

Speaking of the Chargers, QB Justin Herbert recently had surgery on his left (non-throwing) shoulder.

— 49ers’ QB Brock Purdy tore the UCL in his elbow Sunday, the injury is expected to keep him out for six months, so he’ll probably miss the start of training camp.

— Chiefs-Eagles last met in Week 4 last season, with Kansas City winning 42-30; Tyreek Hill caught 11 passes for 186 yards and three TD’s. Hill is in Miami now, of course. Jalen Hurts threw for 387 yards and two TD’s in that game.

— NFL salary cap is expected to go up to $224.8M next year, an increase of $16.6M per team.

— Virginia 67, Syracuse 62— Not sure why, but Jalen Hurts was in the Carrier Dome for this game. Virginia wins its 7th game in a row; they trailed by 4 with 8:22 left to play.

— Texas Tech 80, Iowa State 77 OT— Red Raiders were down 59-36 with 12:38 left in this game; they outscored Iowa State 26-12 on the foul line, rallied to get their first conference win after an 0-8 start in Big X play. Cyclones were only 12-21 on the foul line.

— Texas 76, Baylor 71— 30+ NBA scouts watched the Longhorns snap Baylor’s six-game winning streak; Sir’Jabari Rice scored 21 points in 24:00 off the bench for Texas.

— Wizards 127, Spurs 106— Washington had lost its previous 22 visits to San Antonio; their last win in the Alamo was December 11, 1999.

— College QB Sam Huard transferred from the Washington Huskies to I-AA Cal Poly; Sheldon Cross, Huard’s high school coach at Kennedy Catholic HS was recently hired as the offensive coordinator of the Mustangs. Huard’s dad is former NFL QB Damon Huard, who started four games for the Seahawks in 2000.

— College hoop teams who get highest %age of points on 3’s:
44.9%- Chattanooga
43.7%- Penn State
41.7%- Detroit Mercy
40.9%- San Francisco

— College hoop teams who get highest %age of points on foul shots:
28.4%- Saint Peter’s
25.6%- North Texas
25.4%- UConn
24.5%- Portland State

— College hoop teams who force the most turnovers:
26.8% of possessions- Iowa State
26.5%- UNLV
25.3%- Stephen F Austin
25.3%- Missouri

— College hoop teams that are best teams at offensive rebounding:
38.6% of their misses- Duke
38.5%- Tennessee
38.2%- Houston
38.1%- Purdue

— College hoop teams with most experience:
Penn State
Fort Wayne
Notre Dame
Virginia
UAB

— College hoop teams with most continuity:
Tulane
TCU
Pennsylvania
Fort Wayne
Stanford

— College hoop teams with least continuity:
St Bonaventure
Georgetown
New Mexico State
LSU
Milwaukee

 

[Udog]

CLEVELAND is 11-2 Under (8.8 Units) in home games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) on Tuesday nights in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 46-27 Over (16.3 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 16-6 Over (9.4 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 31

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 31

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (28 - 23) at CLEVELAND (31 - 21) - 1/31/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 341-406 ATS (-105.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (23 - 28) at NEW YORK (27 - 24) - 1/31/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 93-115 ATS (-33.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 2-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (15 - 36) at MILWAUKEE (33 - 17) - 1/31/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 111-164 ATS (-69.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 102-135 ATS (-46.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 6-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 5-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (28 - 25) at CHICAGO (23 - 26) - 1/31/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 163-208 ATS (-65.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (26 - 25) at DENVER (34 - 16) - 1/31/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 90-61 ATS (+22.9 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
DENVER is 66-86 ATS (-28.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Tuesday, January 31

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami @ Cleveland
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games

LA Lakers @ New York
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Lakers's last 11 games
LA Lakers is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New York
New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
New York is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

LA Clippers @ Chicago
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Chicago
LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers

Charlotte @ Milwaukee
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte

New Orleans @ Denver
New Orleans
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver
Denver is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, JANUARY 31

MIA at CLE	07:00 PM	CLE -4.0 U 210.5	+500 +500
LAL at NY	07:30 PM	NY -1.5 O 232.0	+500 +500
LAC at CHI	08:00 PM	CHI +3.0 O 226.0	+500 +500
CHA at MIL	08:00 PM	CHA +11.0 O 244.0	+500 +500
NO at DEN	10:00 PM	DEN -6.5 U 231.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

01/31/2023	4-6-0	40.00%	-1300	Detail
01/30/2023	5-11-0	31.25%	-3550	Detail
01/29/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1250	Detail
01/28/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
01/27/2023	6-4-0	60.00%	+800	Detail
01/26/2023	4-8-0	33.33%	-2400	Detail
01/25/2023	9-11-0	45.00%	-1550	Detail
01/24/2023	5-9-0	35.71%	-2450	Detail
01/23/2023	10-4-0	71.43%	+2800	Detail
01/22/2023	4-9-1	32.14%	-2950	Detail
01/21/2023	4-10-0	28.57%	-3500	Detail
01/20/2023	12-6-0	66.67%	+2700	Detail
01/19/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
01/18/2023	5-13-0	27.78%	-4650	Detail
01/17/2023	4-4-0	50.00%	-200	Detail
01/16/2023	7-11-0	38.89%	-2550	Detail
01/15/2023	6-10-0	37.50%	-2500	Detail
01/14/2023	8-5-1	60.71%	+1250	Detail
01/13/2023	5-8-5	41.67%	-1900	Detail
01/12/2023	8-3-1	70.83%	+2350	Detail
01/11/2023	11-5-0	68.75%	+2750	Detail
01/10/2023	8-6-0	57.14%	+700	Detail
01/09/2023	5-6-1	45.83%	-800	Detail
01/08/2023	11-6-1	63.89%	+2200	Detail
01/07/2023	7-3-0	70.00%	+1850	Detail
01/06/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
01/05/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
01/04/2023	9-15-0	37.50%	-3750	Detail
01/03/2023	2-4-0	33.33%	-1200	Detail
01/02/2023	10-10-0	50.00%	-500	Detail
01/01/2023	2-3-1	41.67%	-650	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Nevada casinos made a lot of $$$ in December:
$258.7M— Penny slots
$131.2M— Blackjack
$148M— Baccarat
$55.2M— Sports betting
$41.9M— Roulette
$41.3M— Craps

Quote of the Day
“I gave that [acceptance] speech every day in my car for the Arizona State job for 13 years to and from the office. I’d be pulling up to a light talking to myself. People would be looking at me. They’d think I was crazy.”
Arizona State’s new football coach, Ken Dillingham

Wednesday’s quiz
When was the last time the NFL MVP also won the Super Bowl that season?

Tuesday’s quiz
Mick Cronin was UCLA’s basketball coach the last time the Bruins made the Final Four; they made it two years ago.

Monday’s quiz
First time Minnesota Vikings played in a Super Bowl, Joe Kapp was their QB, in Super Bowl IV

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Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— Our daily update on college basketball referee John Higgins’ schedule:
January 24— Penn State @ Rutgers
January 25— Utah State @ San Diego State— Long plane ride for a back/back
January 26— Utah @ Oregon State
January 28— California @ Stanford
January 29— Michigan State @ Purdue— Day game after long plane ride.
January 30— Baylor @ Texas
January 31— Kansas State @ Kansas- Seven games in eight nights, that’s a lot of running.

— Denver Broncos sent their 1st round pick in April’s draft, plus a 2nd-round pick in 2024 to New Orleans, for coach Sean Payton and a 3rd-round pick in 2024.

Payton had a 152-89 record coaching the Saints, 9-8 in playoff games, winning the Super Bowl after the 2009 season. Now he gets to coach Russell Wilson, which should be interesting.

— Tuesday morning, Denver was 40-1 to win next year’s Super Bowl; now they’re 28-1.

— Houston Texans hired 49ers defensive coordinator DeMeco Ryans as their new head coach; he’ll be the Texans’ 4th head coach in four years, which helps explain why he got a 6-year contract.

Last three years, Texans are 11-38-1; the Deshaun Watson debacle made things worse. They probably shouldn’t have fired Bill O’Brien, who was 54-52 coaching Houston, making playoffs four times in seven seasons.

— Tennessee Titans used 91 players in 2021, have had injury issues at home, so they’re changing their home field from natural grass to an artificial surface that they’ve tried out at their practice facility. Tennessee players endorsed the artificial surface, so the change is being made.

— Buffalo QB Josh Allen cited an elbow injury for pulling out of the Pro Bowl Games this week in Las Vegas; he’ll be playing in the Pebble Beach pro-am golf tournament instead.

— Underdogs are 7-4 against spread in the last eleven Super Bowls.

— I’ve had YouTube TV for 2-3 weeks now; here is some news.

Good news first: If you’re watching a TV show/movie, then turn the TV off to go out or whatever you do, when you turn the TV back on, you can resume watching that show. Thats a good thing.

Not-so-good— Apparently YouTube TV and MLB Network are at war, so that station is off my TV for the indefinite future. March is the only month where MLB Network is important; they show a ton of spring training games, plus the World Baseball Classic, but I’ll be in Las Vegas for a good chunk of March, so its not that big a deal.

More good news— Apparently the YES Network is going to be available on YouTube TV, so if you like the Bronx baseball team, their games will be available. I had been told that the YES Network wasn’t available on YouTube, so that is a good change.

— Former Braves’ TV guy Chip Caray is taking over as the television play-by-play voice of the St. Louis Cardinals, the team his grandfather Harry Caray worked for 50 years ago.

Chip Caray worked for the Braves for the past 20 years; he’s made himself into a much better announcer than he used to be. Pretty good upgrade for the Cardinals.

— January 31 is a pretty strong day for baseball birthdays: Ernie Banks, Nolan Ryan and Jackie Robinson.

— Tampa Bay Rays signed 3B Yandy Diaz to a 3-year, $24M deal. Diaz hit .296 with an .824 OPS last year, scoring 71 runs while knocking in 57.

— Georgetown Hoyas have lost 29 of their last 30 Big East games, but they have beaten the spread in their last four games, so at least they’re competing.

— I’ve thought about this a lot recently; think I’d be in favor of legalizing offensive goaltending in college basketball. Would just make the game easier to officiate.

— TCU 76, West Virginia 72— Mountaineers are 7-22 in their last 29 Big X games; they’re shooting 29.3% on arc in conference games this season.

— Kansas 90, Kansas State 78— Wildcats shot 34% inside arc, made 31-36 on foul line. Kansas made 11-27 on arc, 25-35 on foul line, as they avenged an earlier loss to K-State.

— Akron 81, Buffalo 64— Zips made 12-18 on arc; they’ve won seven games in a row, and are tied for first place in the MAC with………

— Toledo 81, Miami OH 78—……….the Rockets, who were bailed out of a tough road game by RayJ Dennis, who scored 29 points, with six assists.

— Nevada 75, San Diego State 66— Wolf Pack shot 60.6% inside arc, turned ball over only six times; they’re 35-28 in Mountain West games in Steve Alford’s four years in Reno, but they haven’t gotten to the NCAA’s in his time there (they would have in 2020, had the tournament been played).

Loss drop San Diego State into a tie for first place with Boise State.

 

[Udog]

WASHINGTON is 11-2 Under (8.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game in the current season.

MEMPHIS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

ORLANDO is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) after a non-conference game in the current season.

GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in road games when the line is +3 to -3 in the current season.

HOUSTON is 23-50 ATS (-32 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 16-30 ATS (-17 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 4-21 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.