CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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Monday’s 6-pack
NHL leaders in goals scored:
40— McDavid, Oilers
35— Pastrnak, Bruins
32— Thompson, Sabres/Rantanen, Avalanche
31— Robertson, Stars
30— Ovechkin, Capitals/Horvat, Canucks
29— Hughes, Devils

Quote of the Day
“Ben Simmons is stealing money, ski mask and gloves, as a matter of fact.”
ESPN’s Jalen Rose

Monday’s quiz
Who was the Tennessee Titans’ QB in their one Super Bowl appearance?

Sunday’s quiz
The old TV show Frasier starring Kelsey Grammer was set in Seattle.

Saturday’s quiz
Steve Kerr played his college basketball at Arizona.

******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend……..

49ers 19, Cowboys 12
Game was 9-9 after three quarters.
Prescott threw INT in red zone just before halftime, when they trailed 9-6.
Rookie QB Purdy is 7-0 in his first seven NFL starts.
49ers visit Philadelphia next week in the NFC title game.

Bengals 27, Bills 10
Bengals’ first two drives: 16 plays, 151 yards, 14 points.
Mixon ran 20 times for 105 yards and a TD.
Bengals ran ball for 172 yards (5.1 yards/carry)
Cincinnati @ Kansas City is next week’s AFC title game.

— Joe Burrow is now 5-1 in NFL playoff games; all the other QB’s in Bengals’ history are a combined 5-14 in playoff games.

— Chiefs’ backup QB Chad Henne led a 98-yard TD drive Saturday, while Patrick Mahomes was getting his sprained ankle looked at. Henne was 5-7 passing for 23 yards in his brief stint; all season long, he had taken a total of 18 snaps.

The 37-year old Henne is 18-36 as an NFL starter, earning around $40M in his career. He’s started one game since 2014, but he was ready when needed Saturday.

— Odds for the conference championship games next week:
49ers @ Eagles (-2.5, 45.5)
Bengals @ Chiefs (-1.5, 47.5)

— If you’re a Jaguars’ fan, you have to be fired up about this season, going 10-9 and winning a playoff game, especially since they went 4-29 the last two seasons. With Trevor Lawrence at QB and a Super Bowl-winning coach in Doug Pederson, things are looking up.

— Here are the nine teams who passed on Patrick Mahomes in the 2017 Draft, the player they took instead, and their records since then:
1) Cleveland- Myles Garrett 39-58-1
2) Chicago- QB Mitch Trubisky 42-56- they traded up to get here
3) San Francisco- Solomon Thomas 53-46
4) Jacksonville- Leonard Fournette 34-65
5) Tennessee- Corey Davis 57-41
6) NJ Jets- Jamal Adams 29-69
7) LA Chargers- Mike Williams 52-46
8) Carolina- Christian McCaffrey 40-58
9) Cincinnati- John Ross 41-55-1

Chiefs are 82-25 since they drafted Mahomes.

Temple 56, Houston 55— #1 team in the country loses as a 20.5-point home favorite; Cougars were 11-21 on foul line, Temple 20-22.

Fairfield 62, Siena 52— Visiting Stags scored 15 points in first half, 47 in second half to pull the upset. Siena led 16-4 early on, but had only one player score more than 7 points.

Fairfield has won three in row, is now in 5th place in the 11-team MAAC. Siena’s loss drops them into a tie for first with Iona in the loss column.

Furman 96, Wofford 82— Paladins scored 1.35 points/possession; they’re shooting 59.6% inside the arc, #3 in country, while getting 36.5% of their points on the arc, #46 in country.

Last eight years, Furman is 83-30 in SoCon games, but they haven’t made the NCAA tourney since 1980. Could this be the year they break their drought?

— Finally found this year’s college basketball referee stuff; figure the season is 77 days old, there are seven officials who’ve worked 56+ games this season, which means they’re working five games a week. Not a lot of load management for referees.

— One of the amusing things about college basketball is when coaches who don’t like each other shake hands after a game; they blow by each other, barely touching hands as they scoot by.

— Arizona Wildcats have players on their roster from seven different countries. Their coach has three different passports; they showed them on TV Saturday night.

Lakers 121, Portland 112— Trailblazers outscored LA 45-13 in the second quarter……and they lost!!! They’re only NBA team since 1955 to win a quarter by 32+ points and still lose the game.
 

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BOSTON is 9-1 Under (7.9 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

MILWAUKEE is 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 9-28 ATS (-21.8 Units) after 7 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 111-154 ATS (-58.4 Units) in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 199...

UTAH is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

SAN ANTONIO is 182-139 ATS (29.1 Units) in road games after 2+ home games since 1996.

MEMPHIS are 21-7 Over (13.3 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Monday, January 23


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Trend Report
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Boston @ Orlando
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games at home
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Milwaukee @ Detroit
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Atlanta @ Chicago
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Minnesota @ Houston
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Charlotte @ Utah
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Charlotte

San Antonio @ Portland
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Portland's last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Portland's last 23 games when playing at home against San Antonio

Memphis @ Sacramento
Memphis
Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Sacramento
Memphis is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Sacramento
Sacramento is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis


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Monday, January 23


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BOSTON (35 - 12) at ORLANDO (17 - 29) - 1/23/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 82-66 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 220-176 ATS (+26.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
BOSTON is 277-223 ATS (+31.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (29 - 17) at DETROIT (12 - 36) - 1/23/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
DETROIT is 250-300 ATS (-80.0 Units) after a division game since 1996.
DETROIT is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DETROIT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (24 - 24) at HOUSTON (10 - 36) - 1/23/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
HOUSTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
HOUSTON is 45-68 ATS (-29.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 34-61 ATS (-33.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in January games this season.
HOUSTON is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 8-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (24 - 23) at CHICAGO (21 - 24) - 1/23/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 60-74 ATS (-21.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (13 - 34) at UTAH (24 - 25) - 1/23/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
UTAH is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (14 - 32) at PORTLAND (21 - 25) - 1/23/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1227-1093 ATS (+24.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 445-371 ATS (+36.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 495-417 ATS (+36.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 123-90 ATS (+24.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PORTLAND is 54-72 ATS (-25.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 38-53 ATS (-20.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (31 - 15) at SACRAMENTO (26 - 19) - 1/23/2023, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 63-42 ATS (+16.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 181-141 ATS (+25.9 Units) in January games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 62-44 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 8-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, January 23


czmmyfr.png
 

Cnotes53

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MONDAY, JANUARY 23
BOS at ORL07:00 PMORL +8.0
U 229.5
+500 +500
MIL at DET07:00 PMDET +11.0
O 237.0
+500 +500
MIN at HOU08:00 PMMIN -5.5
U 234.0
+500 +500
ATL at CHI08:00 PMCHI -1.0
U 239.5
+500 +500
CHA at UTA09:00 PMCHA +8.0
U 240.0
+500 +500
SA at POR10:00 PMSA +9.0
O 240.5
+500 +500
MEM at SAC10:30 PMSAC -2.0
U 245.0
+500 +500
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Baylor 75, Kansas 69— Jayhawks have lost three games in a row.
Virginia Tech 78, Duke 75— Duke is an ordinary 5-4 in ACC games.
Nevada 97, New Mexico 94, 2OT— Lobos led by 5 in the first OT.
Northwestern 66, Wisconsin 63— Badgers were only 9-16 on foul line.
Oakland 76, Detroit 67— Grizzlies held Antoine Davis to 14 points.
Kings 133, Grizzlies 100— Sacramento scored 47 points in first quarter.

Quote of the Day
“I don’t need to go into all the pluses or minuses, but I’ve got a lot more to evaluate Mike McCarthy on than this playoff game.”
Cowboys’ owner Jerry Jones

Tuesday’s quiz
Mike McCarthy won a Super Bowl with Green Bay 12 years ago; how many playoff games has he won since then?

Monday’s quiz
Steve McNair was the Tennessee Titans’ QB in their one Super Bowl appearance.

Sunday’s quiz
The old TV show Frasier starring Kelsey Grammer was set in Seattle.

********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Early looks at the NCAA Tournament field……

— Big X— How good is the Big X this season? Bracketology has West Virginia listed as one of the last four teams in the Field of 68; they’re 1-6 in Big X play. Right now, Bracketology has eight of the ten Big X teams in the NCAA’s.

— Big 14— Bracketology has 10 of the 14 teams in the Field of 68:
1-seed– Purdue
5— Rutgers
6– Illinois
7— Iowa, Michigan State
9— Indiana
10— Maryland, Wisconsin
11— Ohio State
12— Northwestern

— SEC— Bracketology has five SEC teams in the field, with fading Arkansas as a 7-seed; they’re 2-5 in SEC games and have injury issues. Alabama/Tennessee are far and away the two best SEC teams this season.

— Kentucky is a bubble team; they’ve won three games in a row, and play Kansas Saturday in the Big X/SEC Challenge, so a win there would likely get them off the bubble.Their loss to #244 South Carolina, just before they upset Tennessee, is a red flag on their resume.

— ACC— Bracketology has seven ACC teams in NCAA’s, but none higher than a 3-seed:
3-seed— Virginia
5— Miami, NC State
6— Duke
8— Clemson
9— North Carolina, Pittsburgh

— #1-seeds, to this point: Alabama, Houston, Kansas, Purdue— the last Bracketology was done before Houston lost at home to Temple Sunday. We’ll see if losing as a 20-point favorite knocks them out of a #1-seed, for now.

Only one #1-seed has ever lost in the first round of the tournament; after that, there isn’t much difference between play the 8-9 seed winner and the 7-10 winner in the second round.

— #2-seeds, to this point: Arizona, Iowa State, Tennessee, UCLA— Tennessee/UCLA are best of this group. I’m thinking that UCLA will wind up as a #1-seed.

— Last four teams in; the two play-in games would be:
Ohio State-West Virginia and Northwestern-Oklahoma.

Northwestern had their last two games postponed by COVID-related issues, which complicates their situation.

— Mountain West— San Diego State/Boise State seem like they’re headed to the NCAA’s, with surging New Mexico listed as an 11-seed, which means they don’t have much margin for error.

This league is improved; their #7-rating this year (and last year) is highest league has been rated since 2013. UNLV is 1-6 in Mountain West, tied for last with Wyoming; they’re 11-1 in their non-conference games.

— Big East— Bracketology has five Big East teams in:
3-seed— Xavier
4— UConn, Marquette
6— Providence
8— Creighton

Doesn’t seem to be much bubble activity here; none of the other six Big East teams have a shot at an at-large bid- they’ll need to win the Big East Tournament to get in the NCAA’s.

— Pac-12— Bill Walton won’t like this, but Bracketology has three teams in: UCLA, Arizona and 10-seed Arizona State. They list the first eight teams outside the Field of 68; none of them are Pac-12 teams. Can USC/Utah get hot and out themselves on the bubble?

— AAC— Houston is a big fish in a small pond; they’ll either be a #1 or a #2-seed. Memphis is the only other AAC team that Bracketology has in the Field of 68, and they’re listed as an 11-seed, a bubble team. There are two Houston-Memphis games between now and the AAC tournament; Tigers would be well-served to at least split the pair.

Central Florida is listed as one of the last four out of the field.

— Atlantic 15— Last time this league had only one team in the NCAA’s? 2002, but they appear headed that way this season.

Bracketology has VCU as the lone A-15 team, but as a 12-seed, barely avoiding a play-in game. Dayton just lost to George Washington, the kind of loss that sends you to the NIT, unless you win the conference tournament.

— Championship Week is so much fun because all the other leagues are one-bid leagues, so their conference tournaments are essentially play-in events for the NCAA’s.

KenPom.com has Florida Atlantic ranked as #36, Charleston as #73; they would be the two fascinating teams to watch if they got upset in their conference tournament. Would they get at-large spots, and knock power conference teams out of the field?
 

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INDIANA is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 16-5 Over (10.5 Units) playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 139-98 Over (31.2 Units) versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing >=15 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season sin...

DALLAS are 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) in home games after a loss in the current season.

CHARLOTTE is 15-2 Over (12.8 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points in the current season.

LA LAKERS are 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) when playing 6 or more games in 10 days in the current season.
 

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Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 24


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CHICAGO (22 - 24) at INDIANA (23 - 25) - 1/24/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
CHICAGO is 107-73 ATS (+26.7 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (35 - 13) at MIAMI (26 - 22) - 1/24/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BOSTON is 82-67 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 220-177 ATS (+25.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
BOSTON is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 18-28 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in home games this season.
MIAMI is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 9-7 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-7 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (29 - 19) at NEW YORK (25 - 23) - 1/24/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (33 - 14) at NEW ORLEANS (26 - 21) - 1/24/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (20 - 26) at DALLAS (25 - 23) - 1/24/2023, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 53-71 ATS (-25.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 239-191 ATS (+28.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DALLAS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (13 - 35) at PHOENIX (24 - 24) - 1/24/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 239-288 ATS (-77.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
PHOENIX is 130-103 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 102-80 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (25 - 24) at LA LAKERS (22 - 25) - 1/24/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 91-113 ATS (-33.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 8-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 9-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Udog

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Tuesday, January 24


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chicago @ Indiana
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Indiana's last 18 games when playing at home against Chicago

Boston @ Miami
Boston
Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home

Cleveland @ New York
Cleveland
Cleveland is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against New York
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
New York
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New York's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Denver @ New Orleans
Denver
Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 10 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 10 games when playing Denver

Washington @ Dallas
Washington
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Washington

Charlotte @ Phoenix
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games at home

LA Clippers @ LA Lakers
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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TUESDAY, JANUARY 24
CHI at IND07:00 PMCHI -1.0
O 237.5
+500 +500
BOS at MIA07:30 PMBOS +1.5
O 217.5
+500 +500
CLE at NY07:30 PMNY +3.0
O 219.0
+500 +500
DEN at NO08:00 PMDEN +1.5
O 230.5
+500 +500
WAS at DAL08:30 PMWAS +7.5
U 226.0
+500 +500
CHA at PHO09:00 PMPHO -6.5
O 227.0
+500 +500
LAC at LAL10:00 PMLAL +4.0
O 232.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks
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01/01/20232-3-141.67%-650Detail
 

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
College basketball teams getting highest % of their points on 3’s:
3) Chattanooga 45.2%
4) Penn State 43.5%
6) San Francisco 41.4%
7) Detroit Mercy 41.4%
8) Belmont 41.4%
9) VMI 41.1%

Quote of the Day
“If he’s a good hitter, why doesn’t he hit good?”
Billy Beane, in Moneyball

Wednesday’s quiz
The first time Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the Super Bowl, who was their QB?

Tuesday’s quiz
Mike McCarthy won a Super Bowl with Green Bay 12 years ago; he is 6-8 in playoff games since then.

Monday’s quiz
Steve McNair was the Tennessee Titans’ QB in their one Super Bowl appearance.

**************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— Here’s a question to start the day with:
If you were a Division I college basketball coach, would you try and recruit Bronny James to play for your team?

Plusses:
He is a 6-3 G who is a good shooter, an unselfish player.
He’s played at a high level in high school, against good competition.
He is Lebron James’ son; he’ll increase your visibility. Maybe by a lot.

Minuses:
He isn’t his father, who is one of the 2-3 best basketball players ever.
He’s only going to play one year in college, then go to the NBA to play on the same team as his father, before Lebron Sr retires.

Is it worth all the effort to recruit the kid? It is an interesting question.

Illinois 69, Ohio State 60— Buckeyes lost six of their last seven games; they’re shooting 43.4% inside the arc in conference games, which isn’t good.

North Carolina 72, Syracuse 68— Tar Heels were 14-23 on the foul line, Syracuse 2-3. North Carolina scored the last five points of the game, after blowing a 10-point lead.

Iowa State 80, Kansas State 76— Cyclones shot 69.7% inside the arc in a high-level game between two teams who will be fashionable picks for the Final 4 in March.

Kentucky 69, Vanderbilt 53— Wildcats won their last four games, have Kansas visiting Rupp Arena Saturday. They win that game, they’re off the proverbial bubble.

Rutgers 65, Penn State 45— Scarlet Knights have won 8 of their last 10 games; they’re forcing turnovers 23.2% of the time, are tied for 2nd place in the Big 14.

TCU 79, Oklahoma 52— Horned Frogs are 14-3 in their last 17 games; they’re #3 in the nation in continuity, and they pounded Oklahoma in this game, up 44-27 at halftime.

Drake 70, Indiana State 68— Drake led 44-26 at halftime, blew the lead, then won the game on a 3-pointer with 0:02 left. Drake has won five of its last six games; the Sycamores have lost five in a row.

Georgetown 81, DePaul 76— Hoyas ended their 29-game Big East losing streak. Since 2008, DePaul is now 52-227 in Big East Conference games.

San Jose State 82, Air Force 52— Spartans improve to 13-8, 4-4 in Mountain West; as Tim Miles is doing a great rebuilding job. How great?

Since joining the Mountain West ten years ago, San Jose is 73-224, 25-143 in conference games. Their last winning season was 1993-94. Miles is doing a miraculous job in San Jose.

Toledo 84, Eastern Michigan 79— Rockets were down 11 with 6:46 left; they survived a 43-point explosion from EMU star Emoni Bates, who had scored a total of 34 points in his previous three games. At one point, Bates scored 29 straight points for the Eagles.

Northern Illinois 86, Kent State 76— Huskies were a 13-point home underdog; they handed Kent State their first MAC loss, dropping them into a first-place tie with Akron.

In non-basketball stuff……….
— Scott Rolen got 76.3% of the votes, joins Fred McGriff as 2023 inductees into the Baseball Hall of Fame. Todd Helton missed getting voted in by 11 votes, which is disappointing.

Here are Helton’s career home/away splits:
Home: .345 batting average, 1.048 OPS, with 227 home runs
Away: .287 batting average, .855 OPS, with 142 home runs

It all adds up; Helton hit .316 with 369 career home runs. Does it really matter where he hit them? He is getting penalized for playing for the Rockies.

— Arte Moreno took his Los Angeles Angels off the market; be bought the team 20 years ago for $180M, was asking $2.5B to sell them this year.

Angels haven’t had a winning record since 2015; they last made the playoffs in 2014, but not because they don’t try. It’ll be interesting to see if they can re-sign Shohei Ohtani next year.

— By the way, in 1980, the Mets were sold for $21.1M; wonder what they’re worth now?
 

Udog

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Rick Carlisle is 72-43 ATS (24.7 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half (All games)

PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in January games in the current season.

DENVER is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) off a road win in the last 3 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 11-2 Under (8.8 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 299-232 Under (43.8 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1996.

MEMPHIS are 30-10 Over (19 Units) after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 20 or more since 1996.

Will Hardy is 20-6 ATS (13.4 Units) as a dog (Coach of UTAH)

Mike Brown is 20-7 ATS (12.3 Units) in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more (All games)

SAN ANTONIO is 15-3 Over (11.7 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.
 

Udog

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NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, January 25


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INDIANA (24 - 25) at ORLANDO (18 - 29) - 1/25/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
ORLANDO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (29 - 17) at PHILADELPHIA (30 - 16) - 1/25/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 55-74 ATS (-26.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROOKLYN is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 55-32 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 138-93 ATS (+35.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (24 - 24) at OKLAHOMA CITY (23 - 24) - 1/25/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 60-75 ATS (-22.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 124-159 ATS (-50.9 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in January games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after allowing 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (34 - 14) at MILWAUKEE (30 - 17) - 1/25/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 203-254 ATS (-76.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 333-396 ATS (-102.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 260-312 ATS (-83.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (24 - 25) at NEW ORLEANS (26 - 22) - 1/25/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (21 - 26) at HOUSTON (11 - 36) - 1/25/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 54-71 ATS (-24.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 165-209 ATS (-64.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-61 ATS (-32.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 26-55 ATS (-34.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (31 - 16) at GOLDEN STATE (23 - 24) - 1/25/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 52-30 ATS (+19.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 63-43 ATS (+15.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 181-142 ATS (+24.8 Units) in January games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 9-6 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-7 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (25 - 25) at PORTLAND (22 - 25) - 1/25/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
PORTLAND is 55-72 ATS (-24.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 39-53 ATS (-19.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 7-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (21 - 27) at SACRAMENTO (27 - 19) - 1/25/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 44-30 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (14 - 33) at LA LAKERS (22 - 26) - 1/25/2023, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
LA LAKERS are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 1227-1094 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 445-372 ATS (+35.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 193-150 ATS (+28.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 495-418 ATS (+35.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 123-91 ATS (+22.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 91-114 ATS (-34.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 238-287 ATS (-77.7 Units) after a division game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 6-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 7-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
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