CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Udog

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ORLANDO is 8-0 Over (8 Units) in home games off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog over the last 2 se...

NEW YORK is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.

GOLDEN STATE is 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) when playing their 4th road game in 7 days over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 115-81 Under (25.9 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.

INDIANA is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) after 5 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in the current season.

SACRAMENTO is 13-3 Over (9.7 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
 

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Long Sheet

Friday, January 20


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NEW ORLEANS (26 - 19) at ORLANDO (16 - 28) - 1/20/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (25 - 21) at ATLANTA (23 - 22) - 1/20/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games this season.
NEW YORK is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 59-73 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 9-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 8-6 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (22 - 23) at CLEVELAND (28 - 18) - 1/20/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 339-404 ATS (-105.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (25 - 21) at DALLAS (24 - 22) - 1/20/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 499-417 ATS (+40.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 646-551 ATS (+39.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DALLAS is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (23 - 24) at SAN ANTONIO (14 - 31) - 1/20/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1226-1093 ATS (+23.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 621-535 ATS (+32.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 206-163 ATS (+26.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 444-371 ATS (+35.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 494-417 ATS (+35.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (23 - 23) at DENVER (32 - 13) - 1/20/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
INDIANA is 258-194 ATS (+44.6 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
DENVER is 64-84 ATS (-28.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (27 - 17) at UTAH (24 - 24) - 1/20/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 53-74 ATS (-28.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 39-58 ATS (-24.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROOKLYN is 92-65 ATS (+20.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
UTAH is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (22 - 23) at SACRAMENTO (25 - 18) - 1/20/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in January games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 6-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (31 - 13) at LA LAKERS (20 - 25) - 1/20/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 81-53 ATS (+22.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) on Friday nights this season.
MEMPHIS is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 89-113 ATS (-35.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 237-287 ATS (-78.7 Units) after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Udog

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Friday, January 20


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Trend Report
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New Orleans @ Orlando
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games on the road
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing New Orleans

Golden State @ Cleveland
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Cleveland is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home

Miami @ Dallas
Miami
Miami is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Miami is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games

New York @ Atlanta
New York
New York is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
New York is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing New York

LA Clippers @ San Antonio
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 12 of LA Clippers's last 15 games on the road
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Antonio's last 16 games

Indiana @ Denver
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indiana's last 15 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Brooklyn @ Utah
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Memphis @ LA Lakers
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Lakers's last 15 games when playing Memphis

Oklahoma City @ Sacramento
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


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Udog

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Dunkel

Friday, January 20


3j6N0Pk.png
 

Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, JANUARY 20
NO at ORL07:00 PMNO +1.0
O 229.5
+500 +500
MIA at DAL07:30 PMDAL +1.5
U 218.0
+500 +500
GS at CLE07:30 PMCLE -10.5
O 219.5
+500 +500
NY at ATL07:30 PMNY +3.0
O 229.5
+500 +500
LAC at SA08:00 PMSA +7.0
O 231.0
+500 +500
IND at DEN09:00 PMDEN -9.0
O 237.5
+500 +500
BK at UTA09:00 PMUTA -5.0
U 231.5
+500 +500
OKC at SAC10:00 PMOKC +5.5
O 243.0
+500 +500
MEM at LAL10:00 PMMEM -6.0
U 243.5
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
Villanova 57, St John’s 49— Red Storm shot 32% from the floor.
VCU 74, Richmond 62— Five Rams scored in double figures.
Iona 84, Manhattan 76 OT— Gaels led by 11 at half, improve to 6-2 in MAAC.
Kent State 86, Ball State 65— Kent has won nine in a row, is 6-0 in MAC.
Hawks 139, Knicks 124— Dejounte Murray scored 29 points, had 12 rebounds.
Warriors 120, Cavaliers 114— Golden State rested four starters, still got a win.

Quote of the Day
“I feel terrible for fans who buy tickets expecting to see someone play and they don’t get to see that person play. It’s a brutal part of the business. It’s why I’m going to continue to advocate for 72-game seasons.”
Warrriors’ coach Steve Kerr. Golden State rested four starters Friday night and won 120-114

Saturday’s quiz
Where did Steve Kerr play his college basketball?
Hint: He played in the Final Four as a senior

Friday’s quiz
Of the eight starting QB’s in this weekend’s NFL playoffs, two have started a Super Bowl; Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow.

Thursday’s quiz
Vikings’ QB Kirk Cousins started his NFL career with Washington in 2012.

********************************

Saturday’s Den: Notes on college basketball conference tournaments, and some other stuff

— For the first time since 1978, a reigning batting champion was traded in the offseason; Minnesota traded IF Luis Arraez to the Marlins, for P Pablo Lopez and two prospects.

Arraez hit .316 last year, scored 88 runs; he is expected to play second base for Miami. Lopez was 10-10, 3.75 in 32 starts last season.

Marlins plan to move Jazz Chisholm to CF, Juan Segura to 3B, Joey Wendle to SS; Arraez mostly played 1B last year, so spring training is going to include a lot of ground balls and work on defense. I have Miami’s star P Sandy Alcantara on my fantasy team; this makes me queasy.

By the way, Rod Carew was the last batting champion traded the following winter.

— If you like college basketball, ESPN+ is a must; they have games from all over the country, and you can watch replays of games. Have your remote handy though; some of the guys who broadcast these games aren’t exactly Jim Nantz or Mike Breen quality-wise. The mute button can be useful for some of these guys, but they’re all fun to watch.

I like watching games from the Big West or Conference USA, leagues that the main cable channels ignore.

— How come a lot of NBA players don’t play games on back/back nights, but there are college basketball refs who work 4-5 games a week?

College basketball season runs roughly from November 10-March 15, when pairings for the NCAA Tournament come out. That would be 126 days; I’m looking at referee stats from a few years ago, and there were 16 officials who worked 90+ games that season.

90 games in 126 games means that roughly, you work a game three out of four days for four months, and most referees are older than the average NBA player.

— Florida Gators released QB Jaden Rashada from his Letter of Intent; this ends a recruitment that reportedly went south because of a botched $13M NIL deal offered by the Gator Collective, a third-party group that furnishes NIL deals for Florida.

— Michigan fired co-offensive coordinator and QB coach Matt Weiss, who was put on leave recently amid an investigation by university police into a report of computer access crimes.

Industrial espionage in college football? Who knew?

— I’m wondering how much Danny DeVito gets paid for those Jersey Mike’s commercials, which seem to be on TV every half hour or so.

— We getting into late January, the conference races are heating up in college basketball. Here are some trends that deal with how teams do in conference tournaments:

— Gonzaga has won the WCC tournament nine of the last ten years; the one time they lost, it was to Saint Mary’s.

— Clemson is 15-4, 7-1 in ACC this season; since 2003, they’re 8-19 in ACC tournament games, with 2008 the only time during that time that they’ve won more than one game in an ACC tournament.

— Richmond won the Atlantic 10 tournament LY; before that, from 2012-21, Spiders were a combined 5-9 in A-10 tourney games. League seems to be wide open this season.

— In the Sun Belt, Texas State was 37-13 in conference games the last three years, but only 1-2 in Sun Belt tourney games; they won a game in the ’20 tournament before COVID ended things, then they lost in the first round the last two years. Bobcats are 10-10, 3-4 this season; curious to see how they’ll do in a league that is very wide-open this year.

— Houston Cougars are 10-2 in last four AAC tournaments, winning the title the last two years with five of those six wins by 13+ points.

— Villanova is down this year with Jay Wright gone; they’re 10-10, 4-5, not looking like an NCAA Tournament team, but the Wildcats are 17-2 in last seven Big East tournaments, winning it five times.

Last five years, Xavier is 2-5 in the Big East tournament; four of the five losses came in overtime. Sean Miller has the Musketeers at 15-4 in his first season back in Cincinnati; maybe this is their year to turn that stat around.

— Surprising stat: Last time Indiana finished over .500 in the Big 14 was seven years ago, when they went 15-3 in conference play. Since 2004, Hoosiers are only 9-18 in the conference tournament.
 

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BOSTON is 23-5 ATS (17.5 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season over...

WASHINGTON is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 9-1 Under (7.9 Units) in home games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 19-7 ATS (11.3 Units) in home games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 9-28 ATS (-21.8 Units) after 7 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) as a home underdog in the current season.

INDIANA is 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) after 5 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 Over (11.6 Units) in road games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
 

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Saturday, January 21


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Trend Report
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Boston @ Toronto
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Boston

Orlando @ Washington
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando

Milwaukee @ Cleveland
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Charlotte @ Atlanta
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Charlotte

Houston @ Minnesota
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Houston's last 18 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Indiana @ Phoenix
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Indiana is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games

Philadelphia @ Sacramento
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games


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Udog

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Long Sheet

Saturday, January 21


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BOSTON (34 - 12) at TORONTO (20 - 26) - 1/21/2023, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 82-65 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (17 - 28) at WASHINGTON (19 - 26) - 1/21/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 52-71 ATS (-26.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 164-209 ATS (-65.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 293-348 ATS (-89.8 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or less since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (29 - 16) at CLEVELAND (28 - 19) - 1/21/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 260-311 ATS (-82.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 415-499 ATS (-133.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 339-405 ATS (-106.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (12 - 34) at ATLANTA (24 - 22) - 1/21/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-5 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-5 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (10 - 35) at MINNESOTA (23 - 24) - 1/21/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 45-68 ATS (-29.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in January games this season.
HOUSTON is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 26-55 ATS (-34.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 7-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (23 - 24) at PHOENIX (22 - 24) - 1/21/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 128-103 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 101-80 ATS (+13.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 204-249 ATS (-69.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (29 - 16) at SACRAMENTO (26 - 18) - 1/21/2023, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, JANUARY 21
BOS at TOR05:00 PMBOS -1.0
U 225.5
+500 +500
ORL at WAS07:00 PMORL +6.0
O 230.0
+500 +500
CHA at ATL07:30 PMATL -8.5
U 235.0
+500 +500
MIL at CLE07:30 PMMIL +1.5
O 221.0
+500 +500
HOU at MIN08:00 PMHOU +8.0
O 237.0
+500 +500
IND at PHO09:00 PMIND +6.5
O 229.0
+500 +500
PHI at SAC10:00 PMPHI -3.5
U 234.5
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks

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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack
Money leaders early in the PGA Tour season:
$3,162,000— Jon Rahm
$2,585,224— Keegan Bradley
$2,449,805— Max Homa
$2,332,085— Tom Kim
$2,106,071— Seamus Power
$2,007,392— Brian Harman

Quote of the Day
“You’ve got only one life to live. You can make it chicken shit, or chicken salad!!!”
Lloyd Bridges, in the movie Cousins

Sunday’s quiz
The old TV show Frasier starred Kelsey Grammer; what city was it set in?

Saturday’s quiz
Steve Kerr played his college basketball at Arizona.

Friday’s quiz
Of the eight starting QB’s in this weekend’s NFL playoffs, two have started a Super Bowl; Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow.

********************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

One of my boyhood heroes passed away this weekend; Sal Bando, the captain and 3B for the great Oakland A’s teams of the early 70’s, passed away from cancer at age 78.

Bando hit 242 home runs, knocked in 1,031 runs, made four All-Star teams; he later became general manager of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Bando was the heart and soul of those great A’s teams. RIP, sir.

Chiefs 27, Jaguars 20
— Mahomes sprained his ankle in 1st half; backup QB Henne led a TD drive. Mahomes played the second half.
— Jaguars turned ball over twice in fourth quarter.
— Jacksonville covered six of its last seven games.
— As a head coach, Pederson is 7-0 ATS as an underdog in playoff games.

— Chiefs’ first three drives: 35 plays, 224 yards, 17 points.
— Mahomes was 22-30/195 passing, with 2 TD passes
— Chiefs lost field position battle in nine of last 13 games.
— Chiefs are in the AFC Championship game for the fifth year in a row.

Eagles 38, Giants 7
— In three meetings TY, Eagles outscored Giants 61-7 in first half.
— Giants in first half: 19 plays, 64 yards, no points.
— Eagles in first half: 42 plays, 260 yards, 28 points.
— Total yardage for game: Eagles 416, Giants 227

— Philly is 8-2 SU/7-3 ATS at home this season.
— Eagles were 10-14 on third down, Giants 5-13.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 10-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Philadelphia will host the NFC Championship game next Sunday.

In college basketball………
There were 13 teams that lost Saturday who at one time led by 10+ points.

Big X
TCU 83, Kansas 60— TCU snaps Jayhawks’ 16-game home winning streak.

Baylor 62, Oklahoma 60— Sooners shot 58% inside arc but were only 3-4 on foul line for the entire game. Baylor has won four in a row, is now 14-5, 4-3 in conference.

Oklahoma State 61, Iowa State 59— Cyclones led 28-12 early on, but wound up shooting 2-9 on arc, 7-12 on foul line.

Kansas State is 6-1 in Big X, leading three teams by a game. This is the best league in the country this season.

ACC
Duke 68, Miami 66— Miami was 12-42 (28.6%) inside the arc; they slip to 6-3 in the ACC.

Clemson 51, Virginia Tech 50– Clemson outscored the Hokies 5-1 over final 1:28 to stay in first place at 8-1. ACC teams are shooting 42.4% inside the arc vs Clemson.

Clemson is 8-1, Virginia is 7-2; five other teams are 6-3 in the ACC race.
Bottom four in the ACC: Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, Notre Dame, Louisville are a combined 3-31 in conference games.

Pac-12
Arizona 58, UCLA 52— Bruins’ 14-game win streak gets snapped; they shot 31.3% from the floor in this game. Arizona only played seven guys the whole game.

USC 77, Arizona State 69— Sun Devils got swept at home by the LA schools this week; Bobby Hurley tried pretty hard to get thrown out late in this game, but the refs wouldn’t give him the satisfaction. Trojans were 14-14 on the foul line.

UCLA is 8-1 in conference; they still lead the league by two games, with five teams tied for second in the loss column. UCLA/Arizona are locks for the NCAA’s; everyone else is on the bubble, at best.

Oregon State made the Elite 8 two years ago; since then, they’re 10-40 overall, 2-27 in Pac-12 games.

SEC
Alabama 85, Missouri 64— Crimson Tide has won eight games in a row, all by 11+ points; they start two freshman and a sophomore.

If the NCAA Tournament started tomorrow, I’d pick Alabama, UCLA to be in the Final Four. Not sure who else I’d have in there, but I think those are the two best teams.

Alabama is 7-0 in conference; Auburn, Tennessee, Texas A&M all have one loss.
LSU was 11-1 in pre-conference; they’re 1-6 in SEC games.

Big West
Cal-Davis 65, Cal Poly 63— Aggies outscored Cal Poly 15-0 over final 4:29 of this game, to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. Cal-Davis has won five of its last six games.

Long Beach State 112, Cal-San Diego 110, 3 OT’s— Marcus Tsohonis scored 46 points for Long Beach; they outscored the Tritons 5-0 over last 0:13 of the third OT. Two guys on Long Beach played 54:00 out of a possible 55:00.

This is a one-bid league; the conference tournament should be great fun.

Missouri Valley
Belmont 78, Bradley 76— Belmont outscored the Braves 11-3 over final 4:30; they swept Bradley this year, winning the two games by a combined five points.

Southern Illinois 61, Missouri 57— Salukis never trailed, are now 8-2 and tied for first place in the Valley. Salukis had four guys score in double figures, but they scored 11-10-10-10 points- they start four seniors.

Belmont/SIU are tied for first place; Northern Iowa is 7-3, after going 4-6 in pre-conference games. This is another one-bid league whose conference tournament will be must-watch TV.

Colonial
Charleston 87, Northeastern 61— Cougars have won 20 games in a row; they lost to North Carolina on November 11. They’re far and away the best team in this league but my question is this: if they get upset in the CAA tournament, say they finish 31-2, would they get an at-large spot in the NCAA Tournament?

The CAA has fallen off the cliff; they were the #14 league last year, but after football-related shuffling of schools, now they’re the #24 league. That doesn’t bode well for an at-large spot, so Charleston will have a lot of pressure on them in early March.

Mid-American
Akron 63, Western Michigan 55— Zips have won four in row, eight of last ten games; they’re in second place in MAC, trailing Kent State by a game.

Kent State is 16-3; they’ve lost to Charleston by 2, Houston by 5, Gonzaga by 7, but they don’t have any real impressive wins.

Ball State/Toledo could make the semi-finals of the MAC tournament very interesting.

WCC
San Francisco 82, BYU 74— Dons made 12-29 on the arc, never trailed. BYU has lost four of its last six games; they move to the Big X soon— they’re not going to do well there.

Gonzaga 99, Pacific 90— Zags are 17-4, 6-1 in the WCC, but they’re not a super team the way they’ve been the last few years. Only two of their six WCC wins were by double figures.

Gonzaga/Saint Mary’s are locks for NCAA’s; can anyone upset them in the WCC tournament?
 

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LA CLIPPERS are 16-4 Under (11.6 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 19-7 ATS (11.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or less in the current season.

MEMPHIS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games off a home win in the current season.

GOLDEN STATE is 17-3 Under (13.7 Units) in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the...

LA LAKERS are 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) off a home win in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, January 22


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (26 - 20) at MIAMI (25 - 22) - 1/22/2023, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 89-60 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
MIAMI is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (25 - 22) at TORONTO (20 - 27) - 1/22/2023, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in road games this season.
NEW YORK is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 280-227 ATS (+30.3 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
TORONTO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (24 - 24) at DALLAS (25 - 22) - 1/22/2023, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 276-329 ATS (-85.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 150-114 ATS (+24.6 Units) on Sunday games since 1996.
DALLAS is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 100 points or less this season.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 9-7 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 8-8 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (31 - 14) at PHOENIX (23 - 24) - 1/22/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 129-103 ATS (+15.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 81-54 ATS (+21.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 55-37 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (22 - 24) at DENVER (33 - 13) - 1/22/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in January games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 53-35 ATS (+14.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 8-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (28 - 17) at GOLDEN STATE (23 - 23) - 1/22/2023, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 54-74 ATS (-27.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 40-58 ATS (-23.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROOKLYN is 65-37 ATS (+24.3 Units) against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 93-65 ATS (+21.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (21 - 25) at PORTLAND (21 - 24) - 1/22/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 90-113 ATS (-34.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 68-95 ATS (-36.5 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PORTLAND is 54-71 ATS (-24.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 38-52 ATS (-19.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Udog

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NBA

Sunday, January 22


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA Clippers @ Dallas
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 13 of LA Clippers's last 16 games on the road
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

New Orleans @ Miami
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans

New York @ Toronto
New York
New York is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against New York
Toronto is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against New York

Oklahoma City @ Denver
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Memphis @ Phoenix
Memphis
Memphis is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

Brooklyn @ Golden State
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

LA Lakers @ Portland
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 9 games when playing LA Lakers


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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SUNDAY, JANUARY 22
LAC at DAL02:30 PMDAL -1.5
U 223.0
+500 +500
NO at MIA03:30 PMNO +7.5
O 218.0
+500 +500
NY at TOR06:00 PMTOR -1.0
U 222.0
+500 +500
OKC at DEN08:00 PMDEN -5.0
O 239.0
+500 +500
MEM at PHO08:00 PMMEM -9.5
O 233.0
+500 +500
BK at GS08:30 PMGS -7.5
O 236.0
+500 +500
LAL at POR09:00 PMPOR -6.0
U 239.5
+500 +500
 
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